Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1][27]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the overall performance of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) is expected to show significant results in 2026, with a focus on high-quality development and investment opportunities in various sectors [6][25]. Summary by Sections BSE Market Overview - As of January 30, 2026, the BSE has 292 constituent stocks with an average market capitalization of 3.207 billion [4][10]. - The BSE 50 Index experienced a decline of 3.59%, closing at 1531.55 points, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices showed minor fluctuations [4][10]. - The average daily trading volume for the week was 28.731 billion, an increase of 7.20% from the previous week, with a turnover rate of 5.88% [4][15]. Sector Performance - The top five performing sectors on the BSE for the week were: - Oil and Petrochemicals: 33.99% - Media: 4.97% - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: 4.69% - Transportation: 2.28% - Communication: 2% [4][17]. New Stocks - One new stock was issued during the week, Meidel (920119.BJ), with updates on the status of other companies in the review process [5][22]. Key News - The BSE released a revised "Guidelines for the Preparation of Sustainable Development Reports" to enhance the quality of sustainability disclosures among listed companies [6][24]. - The first IPO of the year was accepted, with Beijing Huadian Guangda Environment Co., Ltd. aiming to raise approximately 260 million by issuing up to 32.2 million shares [6][24]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on the following sectors for investment in 2026: 1. Data Centers: KLT and Shuguang Data Creation 2. Robotics: Suzhou Axis, Audiwei, JunChuang Technology, and Fuheng New Materials 3. Semiconductors: Hualing Co. and Kaide Quartz 4. Consumer Goods: Taihu Snow, Boshenglong, Lusi Co., Kangbiter, and Thunder God Technology 5. Military Information Technology: Chengdian Guangxin and Xingtuzhihui [6][25].

Group 1: Macro Overview - The report indicates that the cyclical sector is expected to enter an expansion phase, with both cyclical and growth sectors currently in the analysts' expansion zone, resonating with the industry mainline model [3] - The report highlights that the cumulative amount of pending foreign exchange settlement funds since 2022 is approximately 1.13 trillion USD, with a weighted average exchange rate of 7.1 [2] - It is projected that the USD to RMB exchange rate will likely stabilize between 6.8 and 7.1 in 2026, with an overall upward trend but limited potential for sustained unilateral appreciation [2] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report lists the top-performing industries for January, March, and the past year, with notable performances in the oil and petrochemical sector (32.0% increase over the past year) and construction materials (42.7% increase) [1] - Conversely, the report identifies the worst-performing industries, including defense and military (-6.7% in January) and pharmaceuticals (-3.6% in January) [1] Group 3: Company Analysis - Huijia Times - Huijia Times is recognized for its competitive advantages, including a dense store network and deep local market insights, which contribute to significant scale effects and brand barriers in the Xinjiang region [6] - The company is actively upgrading its supermarket and shopping center formats and exploring innovative "low-altitude economy + consumption" scenarios, which are expected to open a second growth curve [6] - Revenue projections for Huijia Times from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 2.422 billion, 2.557 billion, and 2.782 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.5%, 5.6%, and 8.8% respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight," indicating an expected increase in performance exceeding the market benchmark index by more than 10% over the next 6-12 months [40]. Core Insights - The North Exchange market has reached a significant milestone with the number of qualified investors surpassing 10 million, marking a net increase of nearly 2 million compared to the same period last year, which lays a solid foundation for long-term healthy market development [3][34]. - Despite recent market adjustments, the long-term allocation value of the North Exchange remains recognized by institutions, with a slight decrease in margin financing indicating a reduction in market risk appetite [3][36]. - The acceleration of new stock issuances is expected to provide new supply to the market, with five new stocks issued in January and more expected in the coming weeks [3][36]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The average daily trading volume of all A-shares on the North Exchange reached 20.48 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.7% week-on-week [8]. - The North Exchange 50 index fell by 0.70% during the week, with an average turnover rate of 2.13% [8]. Key News and Policies - A joint release by ten departments introduced the "Low Altitude Economy Standard System Construction Guide (2025 Edition)," focusing on five core areas including low-altitude aircraft and safety regulation [20]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange adjusted the trading margin levels and price fluctuation limits for certain gold and silver contracts [24]. Core Driving Factors - The North Exchange's market construction has reached a new stage, with a significant increase in qualified investors, indicating enhanced market attractiveness and investor ecosystem development [34]. - Structural differentiation is evident in the industry, with active performance in energy and technology sectors, while the overall valuation shows signs of convergence [35]. - Market sentiment is cautious, with a slight retreat in margin financing indicating reduced risk appetite among investors [36]. Investment Recommendations and Strategies - Attention is recommended on the upcoming adjustments to the North Exchange 50 constituent stocks, which may create passive allocation demand for index funds [37]. - Focus on sectors with clear industrial trends such as AI, commercial aerospace, and semiconductors, as well as leading companies in the new energy sector that align with new productivity directions [38]. - A bottom-up approach is suggested to identify stocks with matching performance and valuation, especially those with potential for exceeding earnings expectations [38].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment sentiment surrounding the Chinese stock market as the Lunar New Year approaches, highlighting a historical tendency for the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) to rise during this period, leading to a prevailing recommendation for investors to "hold stocks" over the holiday [1][3]. Market Performance Analysis - Over the past decade, the SSE has recorded an increase in 7 out of 10 years during the 5 trading days before the Lunar New Year, and 6 out of 10 years on the day before the holiday [1][2]. - Recent market trends show the SSE rebounding above 4100 points after a strong rally at the end of 2025, with significant gains observed on February 9, 2026, where the SSE rose over 1% [2]. Institutional Outlook - Multiple brokerage firms express optimism regarding the market's performance around the Lunar New Year, with a consensus on the "hold stocks" strategy based on historical trends and current economic conditions [3]. - China Galaxy Securities identifies two main reasons for a favorable market outlook: ongoing supportive policies since September 2024 aimed at enhancing investor confidence and liquidity support from various financial factors [3]. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The overall A-share index price-to-book (PB) ratio has decreased to 1.90, placing it at the 54.40th percentile historically, indicating a return to median valuation levels [4]. - Earnings forecasts for 2026 suggest a shift where profitability may become the focal point for market attention, with structural improvements noted in sectors such as technology manufacturing and cyclical industries benefiting from price increases [4]. Sector Performance Insights - Historical data indicates that sectors such as non-ferrous metals, automotive, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and electric equipment have performed well before the holiday, while sectors like environmental protection, electronics, media, and agriculture are expected to excel post-holiday [4].

Group 1 - The government is enhancing the supply guarantee capacity of important agricultural and livestock products, with a focus on stabilizing support policies post-transition period and allocating regular support funds of 5.3 billion yuan, emphasizing industrial support, employment assistance, and development aid for underdeveloped regions [11][3]. - A total of 13.49 billion yuan is allocated for agricultural, forestry, and water expenditures to promote high-standard farmland construction and black soil protection, aiming to steadily increase grain production [11]. - The government is implementing three key actions: the "Seed Chip" project, improving forage supply, and increasing production efficiency of beef and lamb, as well as revitalizing the dairy industry [11]. Group 2 - The government is actively supporting people-centered urbanization by allocating 2.06 billion yuan to advance housing security and the renovation of old urban communities and shantytowns, enhancing housing safety and living quality [5][13]. - There is a focus on upgrading urban infrastructure, including water supply, heating, gas, and pipeline systems, promoting urbanization centered around county towns [5][13].

盘后数据出炉。 沪深300今日主力资金净流入66.71亿元，创业板净流入125.74亿元。 | | | 各板块最近五个交易日主力资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 沪深300 | 创业板 | 科创板 | | 2026-2-9 | 66.71 | 125.74 | -21.49 | | 2026-2-6 | -72.87 | -141.98 | -10.61 | | 2026-2-5 | -141.86 | -198.14 | -0.62 | | 2026-2-4 | -144.23 | -257.76 | -12.22 | | 2026-2-3 | -18.21 | -3.48 | -44.87 | | | | 尾盘资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | 2026-2-9 | 4.77 | 5.70 | -4.57 | | 2026-2-6 | -20.66 | -44.54 | 1.21 | | 2026-2-5 | -12.92 | -17.42 | -2.00 | | 2026-2-4 | 9.36 | 14.02 | -4.14 | | 202 ...

Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the achievements of Guangdong's modern industrial system construction during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, showcasing significant advancements in various sectors. Group 1: Industrial Development - Guangdong's new industrialization has progressed significantly, with the AI core industry expected to reach a scale of 300 billion yuan by 2025, and the production of industrial and service robots ranking first in the country [1] - The province produced over 6.9 million civilian drones last year, maintaining its position as the national leader [2] - Guangdong's manufacturing sector includes 44 industrial products with over 10% national market share, 23 products with over 20%, and 11 products with over 30% [2] Group 2: Service Sector Growth - The quality and efficiency of the service industry have improved, with new business models like home services and fresh e-commerce emerging, leading to a projected 9.6 billion tourists and 1.24 trillion yuan in tourism revenue by 2025 [3] - The province has seen a significant increase in the number of listed companies, with over 220 new listings, bringing the total to 1,224 and a total market value of 30.8 trillion yuan, an increase of 14.6 trillion yuan [2] Group 3: Infrastructure and Innovation - By the end of 2025, Guangdong's high-speed rail operating mileage is expected to reach 3,411 kilometers, a 65.2% increase from 2020 [3] - The province has established six national manufacturing innovation centers and 28 key manufacturing pilot platforms, leading the nation in both categories [4] - R&D investment in Guangdong is projected to rise from 347.99 billion yuan in 2020 to 535 billion yuan by 2025, with R&D intensity increasing from 3.14% to 3.6% [4] Group 4: Agricultural and Consumer Sector - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery in Guangdong is expected to reach 979.87 billion yuan by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [6] - The province's consumer goods replacement program achieved sales of 264.2 billion yuan, accounting for 10% of the national total, benefiting 61 million people [6]

连日来，东鹏饮料、国恩科技先后登陆港股，推动"A+H"上市阵营持续扩容，成为香港新股市场持续繁荣的生动缩影。Wind数据显示，截至2月5 日，今年以来港股市场已迎来15家新股上市，同比增长87.50%，总募资额达513.07亿港元，同比激增757.71%，其中东鹏饮料以101亿港元募资额， 成为港股2026年首个百亿规模IPO。 尽管香港证监会持续加强IPO申请文件质量审核，但行业对2026年港股IPO市场保持高位运行已形成共识。近日发布的《2025年香港IPO市场及二级 市场白皮书》显示，截至2025年底，港股IPO有效上市申请达277家，另有4家企业已通过聆讯，项目储备充足。其中93家为A+H公司，占比高达 33.6%，软件服务、医疗保健、工业制造三大领域递表企业合计占比超六成。 A股龙头企业赴港上市热潮持续，成为市场重要增长动力。2025年港股新增19家A+H公司，募资额占港股半壁江山，较2024年大幅增长。截至目 前，仍有9家千亿市值A股公司排队候场，93家A股公司已递表。"A+H"模式不仅帮助企业对接内地与国际资金、优化股东结构，也为港股注入优质 资产，提升市场整体质量。 港交所制度改革持续释放红利 ...

天风证券表示，根据经济复苏与市场流动性，可以把投资主线降维为三个方向：1、AI产业革命带来的 算力、存力、 电力及应用的科技主线机会，2、内外共振，经济逐步修复，牛市主线风格"强者恒强"， 但周期后半段易有所表现，3、赔率思维，即考虑风格轮动、底部反转的可能性。连续三年跑输但第四 年跑赢概率较大的行业有 食品饮料、农林牧渔、社会服务、 医药生物。AI产业趋势的进展取决于 AI应 用端和消费端的突破，重视AI巨头的布局。牛市初期资金更偏好少数高景气赛道，后期资金抱团聚焦 主线，新增资金获利难度提升，而周期股又具备低估值、高贝塔的属性，易随着基本面回暖的深化而发 挥较好的业绩弹性，获得增量资金青睐。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market experienced increased volatility due to global risk asset fluctuations, a pullback in the global software industry, and controversies surrounding subsidies for tech giants [1] - Despite the volatility, the liquidity remains relatively abundant, with significant inflows from foreign and southbound investors driving strength in traditional sectors such as agriculture, food and beverage, and transportation [1] - Looking ahead, the peak earnings season for US tech stocks is nearing its end, and a decrease in precious metal volatility is anticipated, with potential catalysts in technology and consumer sectors around the Chinese New Year [1] Group 2 - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy, recommending holding stocks through the holiday period while focusing on semiconductor stocks, specialty consumer sectors with improving trends, real estate chains, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The mid-term allocation view remains unchanged, with a recommendation to accumulate resource stocks after stabilization and to overweight insurance and local Hong Kong stocks [1]