Group 1 - The first PTA bonded delivery by Yisheng Petrochemical's subsidiary Yisheng Dahua and ITG is set to take place in September 2025, facilitating smoother cross-border transactions and integrating the Zhengzhou futures market with the global industrial chain [1] - The introduction of the export-type bonded delivery system by Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange has significantly reduced participation costs for foreign enterprises, attracting more international players to engage in PTA futures trading [2][4] - As of the end of 2024, over 700 foreign traders from more than 30 countries and regions have opened accounts to participate in specific trading at Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, indicating a growing international interest [3] Group 2 - The PTA futures market has enhanced the international trade experience for companies by providing benchmark pricing, improving negotiation power, and ensuring efficient and transparent international deliveries [2] - Companies like Wan Kai New Materials have established a mature cooperation loop with South American clients, utilizing the Zhengzhou futures prices to lock in raw material costs and streamline export processes [2] - The growth of foreign participation in the PTA market has not only increased trading volumes but also reshaped the market ecosystem, leading to a more stable polyester market [3] Group 3 - The futures market has enabled Chinese companies to expand internationally, with firms like Wan Kai New Materials and Xiamen Guomao Petrochemical significantly increasing their production capacities and export volumes since 2018 [4][6] - The introduction of futures tools has allowed companies to manage risks across the entire supply chain, as seen with New Fengming Group's expansion in polyester production and export [5] - Yisheng Petrochemical has grown from a PTA producer with a capacity of 12.2 million tons to the world's largest with a capacity of 21.9 million tons, highlighting the transformative impact of futures trading on business models [6] Group 4 - The future outlook for the Zhengzhou futures market includes the expectation of incorporating more varieties and delivery points into the international framework, promoting global industrial chain collaboration [7]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Polypropylene: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - PX: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Urea: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - PVC: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Caustic Soda: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] - Glass: ★★★ (anticipated upward trend, with clear long - term investment opportunities) [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical market shows diversified trends, with different products having different supply - demand relationships and price trends. Some products are affected by supply changes, some by demand fluctuations, and some by both. Market participants need to pay attention to the fundamentals of different products and make investment decisions based on specific circumstances [2][3][5] Summary by Category Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures fluctuated around the 5 - day moving average, closing below it. Supply increased, demand was weak, and prices were under pressure [2] - Polyolefin futures had narrow fluctuations. PE production enterprises were inclined to raise prices due to increased demand and macro - economic support. PP faced supply pressure and weak market sentiment [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene prices fluctuated narrowly, with improved fundamentals but potential pressure in the fourth quarter. It was recommended to operate on the spread between months [3] - Styrene futures fluctuated narrowly. Production increased, port inventory decreased slightly, but there was no strong upward price drive [3] Polyester - PX and PTA prices rebounded from lows. Terminal demand was expected to increase, and attention should be paid to oil prices and demand trends [5] - Ethylene glycol prices fluctuated weakly. Supply increased slightly, and it was expected to oscillate at a low level in the short term [5] - Short - fiber production increased, with stable supply - demand and weak processing margins. It was recommended to consider a long - position configuration in the medium term [5] - Bottle - chip processing margins oscillated at a low level, and over - capacity limited the margin repair space [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol prices continued to decline. Import volume was high, port inventory increased, and inland production was relatively strong. Attention should be paid to macro - sentiment and downstream restocking [6] - Urea prices oscillated at a low level. Supply was relatively abundant, demand was weak, and the market was likely to continue to oscillate without new positive factors [6] Chlor - Alkali Industry - PVC was in a weak trend. Supply was stable, demand was average, and inventory increased. Prices were expected to oscillate weakly [7] - Caustic soda was strong. Supply decreased slightly, demand for replenishment increased, and prices were expected to oscillate strongly in the short term but with limited long - term increase [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash prices fluctuated greatly. Supply increased, demand improved slightly, and the market was in an oversupply situation. Cautious operation was recommended [8] - Glass was in a weak trend. Production was affected by the parade, inventory might increase, and prices were expected to be difficult to break previous lows [8]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Polyester Sector Weekly Report [1] - Report Date: August 15, 2025 [2] - Analyst: Zhang Weiwei [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 3: Core Views - Short - term: The supply - demand fundamentals have slightly improved, but the overall driving force is still limited; the market will follow the crude oil price fluctuations in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the risk of price reversals [25] - Medium - to long - term: The polyester sector as a whole will continue to fluctuate in the low - level range, waiting for the demand to pick up [26] Group 4: Macro and Crude Oil News - IEA expects that this year's global crude oil supply surplus will exceed previous expectations, with supply growth more than three times the demand growth rate. Global crude oil supply will increase by 2.5 million barrels per day this year and 1.9 million barrels per day next year [4] - The US - Russia presidential meeting is scheduled for 03:30 am Beijing time on Saturday. Trump said there is a 25% probability that the meeting will be unsuccessful, and he will promote sanctions against Russia if the talks go poorly [4] - EIA predicts that US oil production will reach a record 13.41 million barrels per day in 2025, but production will decline in 2026 due to falling oil prices. Brent crude will average $51 per barrel next year, lower than last month's forecast [4] - OPEC raises the forecast of global oil demand for next year and lowers the forecast of supply growth from non - OPEC+ countries, indicating a tighter market outlook. Global oil demand will grow by 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026, an upward revision of 100,000 barrels per day [4] - As of the week ending August 8, US commercial crude oil inventories increased by 3 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 800,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 714,000 barrels [4] - Traders fully price in a 25 - basis - point Fed rate cut in September. The probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 0%, the probability of a 25 - basis - point cut is 94.3%, and the probability of a 50 - basis - point cut is 5.7% [5] Group 5: Futures and Spot Prices - WTI crude oil continuous increased by 0.22% week - on - week, while the price of naphtha remained unchanged [7] - PX511 decreased by 1.61% week - on - week, and PX CFR: Taiwan Province decreased by 1.88% [7] - TA601 decreased by 1.27% week - on - week, and PTA spot benchmark price decreased by 0.83% [7] - EG509 decreased by 0.66% week - on - week, and the mainstream price of ethylene glycol in East China decreased by 0.22% [7] - PF510 decreased by 0.84% week - on - week, and the mainstream price of polyester staple fiber in East China decreased by 0.62% [7] - PR511 decreased by 0.84% week - on - week, and the mainstream price of polyester bottle chips in East China decreased by 0.84% [7] - PX basis decreased by 11.83% week - on - week, PTA basis decreased by 51.22%, ethylene glycol basis increased by 24.05%, short - fiber basis increased by 14.29%, and polyester bottle - chip basis remained unchanged [7] Group 6: Supply Analysis - PX: Weilian Chemical's 1 - million - ton device restarted, and some devices are under maintenance. As of August 15, the domestic PX weekly average capacity utilization rate is 82.67%, and the weekly output is 693,300 tons. Asian PX weekly average capacity utilization rate is 72.03%. Next week, PX weekly output is expected to increase slightly [11] - PTA: Hailun Petrochemical was put into production this week, and some devices restarted. As of August 15, the domestic PTA weekly capacity utilization rate is 75.01%, and the weekly output is 1.3841 million tons. PTA continued to destock this week. Next week, domestic supply is expected to increase [12] - Ethylene glycol: Domestic ethylene glycol supply decreased slightly this week. As of August 15, the domestic weekly average capacity utilization rate is 61.10%. Port inventory increased this week. Next week, total supply is expected to increase, and ports may continue to accumulate inventory [13] Group 7: Demand Analysis - Polyester end: The weekly average polyester operating rate is 86.35%, a 0.14 - percentage - point increase from the previous week [14] - Polyester inventory: Polyester filament and staple fiber destocked this week [17] - Terminal: As of August 15, the operating rate of Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms is 58.07%, an increase of 2.29 percentage points. The order days of Chinese weaving sample enterprises are 8.34 days, an increase of 1.50 days, and the坯布 inventory days are 29.96 days, a decrease of 1.03 days [23] Group 8: Strategy Recommendation - Short - term: The supply - demand fundamentals have slightly improved, but the overall driving force is still limited; follow the crude oil price fluctuations in the short - term and beware of price reversals [25] - Medium - to long - term: The polyester sector as a whole will continue to fluctuate in the low - level range, waiting for the demand to pick up [26] - Next week's focus: US - Russia meeting, US tariff policy, macro - market sentiment, EIA weekly inventory data, and the operation of upstream and downstream devices [26]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum will be held on August 19-20, focusing on the agricultural products and industrial sectors, particularly the peanut and polyester industries, addressing the impacts of trade changes and the role of futures markets in these sectors [1][2] Group 1: Agricultural Products (Oils and Fats) Forum - The forum will discuss how the futures market can assist the oils and fats industry in managing price risks amid geopolitical tensions, extreme weather, and supply chain restructuring [1] - The futures market is seen as a tool for precise pricing and risk hedging, providing transparent price benchmarks and efficient hedging tools for enterprises [1] - Establishing a highly participatory and international peanut futures market can enhance China's market influence and pricing power [1][2] Group 2: Polyester Industry Forum - The polyester industry can utilize futures and derivative tools to effectively manage production and processing cost volatility, reducing losses from price fluctuations in raw material procurement and product inventory [2] - The use of internationalized products like PTA futures allows domestic companies to lock in processing profits in collaboration with overseas clients, enhancing the overall competitiveness of the global trade chain [2] - The forum aims to deepen cooperation with international partners in the polyester industry and promote the establishment of overseas delivery warehouses for futures products in key export destinations [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Methanol - The inland maintenance is expected to peak in early August. Currently, the production volume remains at a high level year - on - year. This week, the port has significantly accumulated inventory, the basis is stable, there are many imports in August, downstream demand is weak due to low profits, MTO profits are low, and the situation of low - profit and high - load operation is unsustainable. Pay attention to the subsequent start - up situation. For the 09 contract, there is significant inventory accumulation. The 01 contract has expectations of a seasonal peak season and Iranian plant shutdowns. After the near - end weakens significantly, consider building positions at low prices [1][2]. Polyolefins - On the supply side, PP maintenance is starting to decline, PE maintenance will increase in mid - to - late August, imports remain at a low level, and new production capacity is expected to be put into operation from August to September. On the demand side, the downstream start - up of PP/PE is at a low level, raw material inventories have decreased to a low level, and there is potential for restocking during the subsequent peak season. The overall valuation is moderately high, and the inventory of the upper and middle reaches is being depleted. The fundamental contradictions are not significant. The strategy is to take profit on the previous unilateral short positions at 7200 - 7300 near 7000 and continue to hold the LP01 position [7]. Polyester Industry Chain - **PX**: Some PX maintenance units have restart expectations, and PX supply will increase marginally in August. Although there are new PTA units being put into operation, there are many unplanned PTA unit shutdowns in August due to low processing fees. The PX supply - demand situation is expected to weaken marginally in August, and with weak oil price support, PX will fluctuate weakly. However, the medium - term supply - demand pressure is not significant, and the downward space for PX is limited. The strategy is to pay attention to the support near 6500 - 6600 for PX11 and mainly expand the PX - SC spread at low levels [10]. - **PTA**: Due to continuously low processing spreads, the planned shutdowns of PTA units have increased in August, and the PTA supply - demand situation has improved compared to expectations. However, with the commissioning of the new Hailun Petrochemical PTA unit, the medium - term PTA supply - demand situation is expected to be weak, and the PTA basis will operate weakly. Overall, considering the weak supply - demand expectations and the trend of oil prices, PTA will fluctuate weakly. However, due to low PTA processing fees and limited PX supply - demand pressure, and with the expectation of the "Golden September and Silver October" peak season, the downward space for PTA is limited. The strategy is to pay attention to the support near 4600 for TA01, conduct reverse arbitrage for TA1 - 5 at high prices, and mainly expand the PTA surface processing fee at low levels (around 250) [10]. - **MEG**: In terms of domestic supply, multiple coal - to - MEG units are restarting or increasing production in August, but the 1.9 - million - ton - per - year MEG unit of Shenghong Refining & Chemical is currently shut down due to an accident, and the restart time is undetermined, so the domestic supply recovery is postponed. In terms of overseas supply, the Ma Petroleum and Saudi Sharg3 units have shut down temporarily, and the restart time is unclear. The MEG import volume may be revised downwards. On the demand side, terminal orders are weak during the traditional off - season, but as the high - temperature period and the off - season are coming to an end, the polyester load will gradually increase. Overall, the short - term MEG supply - demand situation is expected to improve, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range. The strategy is that EGO9 is expected to fluctuate in the range of 4350 - 4500 [10]. - **Short - fiber**: The short - fiber supply and demand are both increasing. On the supply side, the previously shut - down short - fiber plants are gradually restarting. In terms of demand, with the approaching of the traditional "Golden September and Silver October" peak season, there are improvements in local autumn and winter orders at the terminal, and the downstream yarn - coating demand has increased slightly compared to last year, providing some support for prices. However, the short - term supply - demand driving force is limited, and the weak oil price trend may cause the absolute price of short - fiber to fluctuate weakly. The strategy is the same as that for TA in a single - side trade; the surface processing fee will fluctuate in the range of 800 - 1100, and the upward and downward driving forces are both limited [10]. - **Bottle - grade polyester**: August is still the peak season for soft - drink consumption, and large bottle - grade polyester plants such as Sanfangxiang, China Resources, Yisheng, and Wankai are maintaining production cuts. As the production - cut time extends, even though the demand is average, the production - cut effect is gradually emerging, as reflected in the slow depletion of current bottle - grade polyester inventory, which provides support for the processing fee. The absolute price still follows the cost side. The precondition for the processing fee to expand is an increase in demand. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the production cuts of bottle - grade polyester units will further increase and the downstream follow - up situation. The strategy is that the PR single - side trade is the same as that for PTA, the main - contract surface processing fee of PR is expected to fluctuate in the range of 350 - 500 yuan/ton, and consider going long on the processing fee at low prices in the short term [10]. Crude Oil - Oil prices are rebounding. The current main trading logic is the game between geopolitical risk uncertainties and weak demand expectations. Specifically, the meeting between US and Russian leaders may cause oil price fluctuations. If the summit fails, the threat of secondary sanctions from the US on Russian oil buyers such as China and India may lead to supply disruptions in Russia, triggering a short - term bullish risk premium and driving oil prices to rebound slightly. However, the loose supply - demand fundamentals suppress the upward space. The IEA expects the supply surplus pressure to become increasingly prominent from 2025 - 2026, and the production increase of OPEC+ and the growth of non - member supply will further increase the loose pressure. In the short term, the unexpected increase in EIA US crude oil inventories has also strengthened the bearish sentiment. Macroscopically, the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September provides some support for demand, but the impact is limited and lagging. Overall, the market remains in a stalemate before the summit results. As the weekend approaches, oil prices face two - way risks and the volatility will intensify. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines for single - side trades and consider widening the spreads between October - November/December. The support levels are [60, 61] for WTI, [63, 64] for Brent, and [470, 480] for SC. On the options side, opportunities for volatility contraction can be captured [14]. Chlor - alkali Industry - **Caustic soda**: The delivery volume of caustic soda to the main downstream has increased, and the non - aluminum downstream rigid demand has followed up. The overall demand performance has been good recently. However, some units in East China will resume operation next week. There will be fewer maintenance enterprises in the future than before, and the supply is expected to increase. In South China, it is the off - season for non - aluminum industries, but the supply is increasing. The exports of East China enterprises are mostly previous orders, and the non - aluminum market is also average. It is expected that the number of warehouse receipts in the main production areas will increase in August, which will also have a certain negative impact. It is expected that the rebound height will be limited. In the future, attention can be paid to the purchasing situation of alumina enterprises [76]. - **PVC**: On the supply side, new production capacity is being gradually put into operation, the domestic trade is weak, the spot trading is weak, and the number of warehouse receipts on the futures market is increasing. The inventory pressure continues to increase, and the demand is difficult to improve. In August, new domestic and foreign production capacity will continue to be released. Fujian Wanhua and Tianjin Bohua are expected to release production capacity in August, Gansu Yaowang plans to start production in August, and Qingdao Haiwan plans to start production in September. The release of new production capacity will put new pressure on the PVC supply side. On the downstream side, there is no expectation of improvement, the start - up rate of downstream product enterprises remains low, and the purchasing enthusiasm is weak. The industry is still in the off - season. Overall, the supply - demand pressure remains significant. The movement of coking coal will affect the PVC futures price from the cost side. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines for short - term trades [76]. Pure Benzene - Styrene - **Pure benzene**: In the third quarter, there are expectations of improvement in the pure benzene supply - demand situation compared to the previous quarter. With fewer port arrivals in August, port inventories are expected to decline, which will provide some short - term support for pure benzene prices. However, the overall supply of goods remains sufficient, and its own driving force is limited. It is expected that the short - term support for pure benzene will be relatively strong. However, with weak oil price support and weak medium - term supply - demand expectations, pure benzene will face some pressure. The strategy is that the BZ2603 single - side trade will follow the trends of oil prices and styrene [79]. - **Styrene**: In the short term, the overall styrene supply remains at a high level. However, as styrene profits are being compressed, some units have maintenance expectations; the overall load of the downstream 3S has increased. The short - term styrene supply - demand situation has improved marginally, and the port inventory continues to decline slightly, but the absolute level of port inventory is still high, and the fundamental driving force for styrene is limited. Coupled with the recent weak oil price trend, styrene may be dragged down in the short term. The strategy is to pay attention to the support near 7200 for EB09 and consider shorting on rebounds [79]. Urea - Recently, the futures market has been fluctuating weakly. The main trading logic is that the loose domestic supply - demand situation has dragged down the center of the futures price. Specifically, on the supply side, the production volume has increased, and the capacity utilization rate has improved. Although some enterprises are under maintenance, the overall supply is sufficient. On the demand side, agricultural demand is weak, industrial demand has limited growth, and in some regions, downstream production is restricted due to the military parade, resulting in temporary pressure on demand. The continuous inventory accumulation has further increased the market pressure. Although there is a certain amount of exports, the increase is limited, and the market's expectation for export fulfillment has cooled down, making it difficult to reverse the loose domestic supply - demand situation, which has led to the downward pressure on the futures price. In the future, pay attention to the resumption progress of maintenance enterprises and new maintenance plans, as well as the progress of the export side, the final confirmed volume of the Indian IPL tender, and China's supply proportion. In the short term, the futures market is likely to continue to operate weakly [86]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, the closing price of MA2601 was 2435, down 1.77% from the previous day; the closing price of MA2509 was 2340, down 1.47%. The MA91 spread was - 8.65%, and the Taicang basis remained stable at 10. The spot prices in Inner Mongolia's northern line, Henan Luoyang, and Taicang all declined to varying degrees [1]. - **Inventory**: As of Wednesday, methanol enterprise inventory was 29.5573 tons, up 0.64% from the previous value; port inventory was 102.2 tons, up 10.41%; social inventory was 131.7 tons, up 8.06% [1]. - **Start - up Rates**: As of Thursday, the domestic upstream start - up rate was 72.63%, down 0.74%; the overseas upstream start - up rate was 69.8%, up 1.96%. The downstream MTO unit start - up rate was 76.92%, up 0.68%; the formaldehyde start - up rate remained unchanged at 30.2%; the water - based paint start - up rate was 90.8%, up 1.09% [1]. Polyolefins - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, the closing prices of L2601, L2509, PP2601, and PP2509 all declined to varying degrees. The spreads between L2509 - 2601 and PP2509 - 2601 also changed. The basis of North China LDPE film and East China PP both increased slightly [7]. - **Inventory**: As of Wednesday, PE enterprise inventory was 44.5 tons, down 13.76% from the previous value; PP enterprise inventory was 58.8 tons, up 0.07%. The PP trader inventory was 18.0 tons, down 4.06% [7]. - **Start - up Rates**: As of Thursday, the PE device start - up rate was 77.8%, down 2.10%; the downstream weighted start - up rate was 37.9%, down 0.47%. The PP device start - up rate was 76.6%, down 1.1%; the PP powder start - up rate was 37.5%, up 4.1%; the downstream weighted start - up rate was 48.6%, down 0.3% [7]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, the prices of upstream products such as Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil, and CFR Japan naphtha all changed to varying degrees. The prices of downstream polyester products such as POY150/48, FDY150/96, and polyester bottle - grade chips also fluctuated. The PX - related prices and spreads, as well as the PTA - related prices and spreads, also showed different trends [10]. - **Inventory and Arrival Expectations**: As of August 11, the MEG port inventory was 55.3 tons, up 7.2% from August 4. The MEG arrival expectation on August 14 was 14.1 tons, up 2.2% from the previous day [10]. - **Start - up Rates**: The Asian PX start - up rate was 73.6%, up 0.2%; the Chinese PX start - up rate was 82.0%, up 0.9%. The PTA start - up rate was 76.2%, up 0.9%; the MEG comprehensive start - up rate was 68.4%, down 0.6%. The polyester comprehensive start - up rate was 88.8%, up 0.7% [10]. Crude Oil - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 15, Brent crude oil was at $66.84 per barrel, up 1.84% from the previous day; WTI was at $63.90 per barrel, down 0.09%. The spreads between different contracts and different crude oil varieties also changed significantly [14]. - **Refined Oil Prices and Spreads**: The prices of NYM RBOB, NYM ULSD, and ICE Gasoil all changed to varying degrees on August 15. The spreads between different refined oil contracts also showed different trends [14]. Chlor - alkali Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, the prices of Shandong 32% liquid caustic soda (converted to 100%), East China calcium - carbide - based PVC, and other products all declined to varying degrees. The spreads between different contracts and the basis also changed [76]. - **Inventory**: As of August 7, the liquid caustic soda inventory in East China factories was 21.9 tons, up 2.0%; the PVC upstream factory inventory was 33.7 tons, down 2.4%; the total PVC social inventory was 48.1 tons, up 7.3% [76]. - **Start - up Rates**: As of August 8, the PVC total start - up rate was 77.8%, up 6.1%. The start - up rates of downstream products such as alumina, viscose staple fiber, and PVC pipes all changed to varying degrees [76]. Pure Benzene - Styrene - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, the prices of upstream products such as Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil, and CFR Japan naphtha all changed. The prices of pure benzene and styrene - related products also fluctuated. The spreads between different products and contracts also showed different trends [79]. - **Inventory**: As of August 11, the pure benzene inventory in Jiangsu ports was 14.60 tons, down 10.4%; the styrene inventory in Jiangsu ports was 14.88 tons, down 6.4% [79]. - **Start - up Rates**: As of August 8, the Asian pure benzene start - up rate was 76.096%, down 1.3%; the domestic pure benzene start - up rate was 78.8%, up 0.3%. The start - up rates of downstream products such as PS, EPS, and ABS also changed to varying degrees [79]. Urea - **Prices and Spreads

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - All commodities in the report are rated as "volatile" [1][2][4][5][6] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The crude oil market is affected by factors such as the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations, the "Trump - Putin Summit", and the market is in a state of waiting for further guidance with an increase in risk - aversion sentiment. The oil price has rebounded from a low level, but the final outcome of the talks needs to be monitored [1]. - The fuel oil market is under pressure due to sufficient supply and falling spot premiums. The high - sulfur fuel oil's summer power - generation demand is waning, and the upward space for both high - and low - sulfur fuel oils is not optimistic [2]. - The asphalt market is expected to show a pattern of increasing supply and demand in August. In the short term, the price will likely fluctuate within a range due to the lack of a clear one - sided driver [2][4]. - The polyester market is affected by the decline in crude oil prices. With the recovery of supply and demand, the polyester chain follows the decline in the cost - end crude oil price [4]. - The methanol market has a situation where the Iranian device load has recovered to a high point, the port inventory has increased rapidly, suppressing the near - month price. However, the main contract will switch to January, and the subsequent winter port destocking will limit the downward space, maintaining a near - weak and far - strong structure with narrow - range price fluctuations [5]. - The polyolefin market is approaching the peak demand season of "Golden September and Silver October". The supply will remain at a high level after the end of the maintenance season, and the demand is expected to increase. The overall upward space is limited, and the price is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range [5]. - The PVC market has high - level supply fluctuations and gradually recovering demand. The supply - demand gap is narrowing, and the inventory is expected to decline slowly. The price is expected to fluctuate weakly [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Crude Oil**: On Thursday, oil prices rose. The WTI September contract closed up $1.31 to $63.96 per barrel, a 2.09% increase; the Brent October contract closed up $1.21 to $66.84 per barrel, a 1.84% increase; SC2509 closed at 488.2 yuan per barrel, up 4.6 yuan per barrel, a 0.95% increase. The Fed's interest - rate cut expectations may boost market demand. The "Trump - Putin Summit" is about to take place, and the market is waiting for the outcome. The oil price has rebounded from a low level, and the overall view is "volatile" [1]. - **Fuel Oil**: On Thursday, the main fuel oil contract FU2509 on the SHFE closed down 1.03% at 2700 yuan per ton; the low - sulfur fuel oil main contract LU2510 closed down 0.23% at 3449 yuan per ton. Singapore's on - land fuel oil inventory decreased, and the spot premium of low - sulfur fuel oil in Singapore fell to a four - month low. The overall view is "volatile" [2]. - **Asphalt**: On Thursday, the main asphalt contract BU2509 on the SHFE closed down 0.4% at 3510 yuan per ton. This week, the sample shipment volume of 54 domestic asphalt enterprises decreased, and the capacity utilization rate of 69 sample modified asphalt enterprises increased. The supply is expected to increase, and the demand is expected to recover, with the price expected to fluctuate within a range. The view is "volatile" [2][4]. - **Polyester**: TA509 closed down 0.55% at 4666 yuan per ton; EG2509 closed down 0.89% at 4367 yuan per ton. Some MEG devices are shut down, and some polyester devices are restarted. The overall view is "volatile" [4]. - **Methanol**: The Iranian device load has recovered to a high point, the port inventory has increased rapidly, suppressing the near - month price. The main contract will switch to January, and the price is expected to maintain a near - weak and far - strong structure with narrow - range fluctuations. The view is "volatile" [5]. - **Polyolefin**: The maintenance season is coming to an end, and the supply will remain high. With the approaching of the peak demand season, the demand is expected to increase. The price is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. The view is "volatile" [5]. - **Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC)**: The supply remains at a high - level fluctuation, the demand is gradually recovering, and the price is expected to fluctuate weakly. The view is "volatile" [6]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the base - price data of multiple energy - chemical varieties on August 15, 2025, including spot prices, futures prices, basis, basis rates, and their changes and historical quantiles [7]. 3.3 Market News - The Russian government is considering extending the full ban on gasoline exports until September [9]. - South Korea did not import Iranian crude oil in July this year and last year, and its crude oil imports in July this year were 11.3 million tons, slightly higher than the same period last year [9]. 3.4 Chart Analysis - **4.1 Main Contract Prices**: The report presents the closing - price charts of the main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, LPG, PTA, ethylene glycol, etc. [11][13][15][17][19][21][24] - **4.2 Main Contract Basis**: It shows the basis charts of various products such as crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, etc. from 2021 to 2025 [25][27][31][32][33][37] - **4.3 Inter - period Contract Spreads**: The report provides the spread charts of different contracts of fuel oil, asphalt, PTA, ethylene glycol, PP, LLDPE, natural rubber, etc. [39][41][44][47][50][51][54] - **4.4 Inter - variety Spreads**: It includes the spread charts of different varieties such as crude oil's internal - external market, B - W spread, fuel oil's high - low sulfur spread, BU/SC ratio, ethylene glycol - PTA spread, etc. [56][60][58] - **4.5 Production Profits**: The report shows the production - profit charts of ethylene - based ethylene glycol, PP, LLDPE, etc. [64][66] 3.5 Team Member Introduction - The research team members include Zhong Meiyan, Du Bingqin, Di Yilin, and Peng Haibo, each with their own professional fields and rich experience and honors [69][70][71][72] 3.6 Contact Information - The company's address is Unit 703, 6th Floor, No. 729 Yanggao South Road, China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone. The company phone is 021 - 80212222, the fax is 021 - 80212200, the customer service hotline is 400 - 700 - 7979, and the postal code is 200127 [74]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - The energy and chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For each sector, option strategies and suggestions are provided for selected varieties. Each option variety's strategy report includes analysis of the underlying asset's market, research on option factors, and option strategy suggestions [9]. - The overall strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Overview of Underlying Futures Markets - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various energy and chemical option underlying futures contracts, such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, etc. [4] 3.2. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR indicators for different option varieties are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying asset's market and the turning points of the market [5]. 3.3. Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option underlying assets are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the maximum open interests of call and put options [6]. 3.4. Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility indicators of different option varieties are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes, as well as historical volatility and the difference between implied and historical volatility [7]. 3.5. Option Strategies and Suggestions for Different Varieties 3.5.1. Crude Oil Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Last week, US crude oil inventories decreased due to increased exports, and gasoline and distillate inventories also declined. The market showed a pattern of short - term rebound受阻 and facing pressure [8]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of crude oil options fluctuated around the average level. The open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating a short - term weak and volatile market. The pressure level was 600 and the support level was 490 [8]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [8]. 3.5.2. LPG Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Factory inventories showed a slight decrease, and port inventories were at a high level and fluctuating. The market was short - term bearish [10]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of LPG options remained at a relatively high historical level. The open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong bearish power. The pressure level was 5400 and the support level was 4200 [10]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a bearish - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [10]. 3.5.3. Methanol Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Methanol production and capacity utilization increased, and the market showed a weak upward trend with pressure [10]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of methanol options decreased and fluctuated below the average. The open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level was 2600 and the support level was 2300 [10]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a bearish - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [10]. 3.5.4. Ethylene Glycol Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Ethylene glycol inventories decreased, and the market showed a weak and wide - range volatile pattern [11]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of ethylene glycol options fluctuated around the average level. The open interest PCR was around 0.80, indicating a volatile market. The pressure level was 4450 and the support level was 4400 [11]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a short - volatility strategy. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [11]. 3.5.5. Polypropylene Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Polypropylene inventories decreased, and the market showed a weak upward trend with pressure [12]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of polypropylene options fluctuated around the historical average. The open interest PCR decreased to below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level was 7300 and the support level was 6500 [12]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, there is no suggestion. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [12]. 3.5.6. Rubber Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Rubber imports increased, and the market showed a short - term weak upward trend with pressure [13]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of rubber options increased rapidly and then decreased to around the average. The open interest PCR was below 0.60. The pressure level was 16000 and the support level was 14000 [13]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot hedging, there is no suggestion [13]. 3.5.7. PTA Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: PTA inventories decreased, and the market showed a weak and volatile pattern [14]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of PTA options fluctuated at a relatively high level. The open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level was 5000 and the support level was 4450 [14]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot hedging, there is no suggestion [14]. 3.5.8. Caustic Soda Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Caustic soda production was high, demand was low, and the price was under pressure. The market showed a short - term upward trend with pressure [15]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of caustic soda options was at a high level. The open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong bearish pressure. The pressure level was 3000 and the support level was 2400 [15]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, there is no suggestion. For spot collar hedging, construct a long collar strategy [15]. 3.5.9. Soda Ash Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Soda ash inventories were high, production increased, and the market showed a volatile pattern with support [15]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of soda ash options increased rapidly and then decreased significantly but was still at a high level. The open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong bearish pressure. The pressure level was 1640 and the support level was 1200 [15]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is a suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a short - volatility combination strategy. For spot long hedging, construct a long collar strategy [15]. 3.5.10. Urea Options - **Underlying Asset Market Analysis**: Urea inventories decreased, and the market showed a low - level volatile pattern [16]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of urea options fluctuated slightly around the historical average. The open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong bearish pressure. The pressure level was 1900 and the support level was 1700 [16]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: For directional strategies, there is no suggestion. For volatility strategies, construct a bearish - biased short call + put option combination strategy. For spot hedging, construct a long collar strategy [16].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum will focus on key industry issues, providing a platform for experts to discuss solutions and explore new development paths for stable operations in the face of market changes [1] Group 1: Forum Overview - The forum will feature two sub-forums: one on agricultural products (oilseeds) and another on industrial products (polyester), addressing themes related to trade changes and international competitiveness [1] - Experts from various associations and companies will present on topics such as global supply and demand analysis, market risks, and the role of futures markets in enhancing industry resilience [2] Group 2: Agricultural Products Forum Insights - The agricultural forum will cover critical topics including global vegetable oil supply and demand, the biodiesel market, and the domestic peanut market's risks and responses [2][3] - The futures market is seen as a tool for precise pricing and risk management, helping companies navigate challenges posed by geopolitical factors and supply chain disruptions [3] Group 3: Industrial Products Forum Insights - The industrial forum will discuss the evolution of the global aromatics supply chain and the outlook for polyester supply and demand [2] - The use of futures and derivative tools is emphasized for managing production costs and enhancing competitiveness in global trade [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Urea futures showed a weak and volatile trend, mainly due to the game between the expected support from the export end and the domestic demand in the third quarter. The implementation of India's tender and the release of quotas will relieve the domestic high - supply pressure to some extent, but the domestic consumption restricts the upward elasticity. The short - term trend is likely to remain weak and volatile, and the actual export volume needs to be monitored [29]. - For methanol, the inland maintenance is expected to peak in early August, with high output year - on - year. The port has significantly accumulated inventory this week, and the import in August is still high. The downstream demand is weak due to low profits. The 09 contract has a strong expectation of inventory accumulation, while the 01 contract has seasonal peak season and Iran's shutdown expectations. It is recommended to build positions at low levels after the near - end weakens [32]. - In the polyester industry, the supply of PX is expected to increase marginally in August, but the demand from PTA and the terminal is not good, so the PX rebound is lack of drive. PTA's supply - demand situation has improved in the short - term but is expected to be weak in the medium - term. Ethylene glycol's short - term supply - demand is expected to improve. Short - fiber's short - term supply - demand drive is limited. Bottle - chip's processing fee has support, and its absolute price follows the cost [37]. - For PVC and caustic soda, the demand for caustic soda is currently good, but the supply is expected to increase in the future, and the rebound height is limited. PVC's supply pressure is increasing due to new capacity release, and the downstream demand has no sign of improvement [46]. - In the polyolefin industry, the supply of PP and PE has different trends, and the demand is expected to improve with the approaching of the peak season. The fundamental contradiction is not significant. It is recommended to stop profit for short positions and hold the LP01 contract [52]. - For crude oil, the overnight oil price declined due to the supply - side factors. The market sentiment is pessimistic, and the oil price is under pressure. The oil price is likely to remain weak, and the impact of the US - Russia negotiation on Friday needs to be monitored [59]. - In the pure benzene - styrene industry, pure benzene has short - term support but limited self - drive, and its rebound is under pressure. Styrene has a short - term situation of weak supply and demand, and it is expected to maintain a volatile trend [63]. Summaries by Related Catalogs Urea - **Futures Contracts**: On August 13, the 01 contract was 1747 yuan/ton (-0.51% compared to August 12), the 05 contract was 1788 yuan/ton (-0.45%), the 09 contract was 1726 yuan/ton (-0.06%), and the methanol main contract was 2375 yuan/ton (-0.67%) [25]. - **Futures Contract Spreads**: On August 13, the 01 - 05 contract spread was -41 yuan/ton (-2.50% compared to August 12), the 05 - 09 contract spread was 62 yuan/ton (-10.14%), the 09 - 01 contract spread was -21 yuan/ton (27.59%), and the UR - MA main contract spread was -649 yuan/ton (2.26%) [26]. - **Main Positions**: On August 13, the long top 20 positions were 42364 (-17.26% compared to August 12), the short top 20 positions were 49534 (-18.28%), the long - short ratio was 0.86 (1.26%), the unilateral trading volume was 90686 (-0.82%), and the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipt quantity was 3823 (0.00%) [27]. - **Upstream Raw Materials**: On August 13, the price of anthracite small pieces in Jincheng was 900 yuan/ton (0.00%), the price of thermal coal at the pithead in Ejin Horo Banner was 525 yuan/ton (0.00%), etc. [28]. - **Spot Market Prices**: On August 13, the price of small - particle urea in Shandong was 1730 yuan/ton (0.58%), in Shanxi was 1620 yuan/ton (-0.61%), etc. [28]. - **Cross - regional Spreads**: On August 13, the Shandong - Henan spread was -10 yuan/ton (0%), the Guangdong - Henan spread was 140 yuan/ton (-7%), etc. [29]. - **Downstream Products**: On August 13, the price of melamine in Shandong was 5194 yuan/ton (0.00%), the price of 45% S compound fertilizer in Henan was 2930 yuan/ton (0.00%), etc. [29]. - **Supply - Demand Overview**: On August 15, the domestic daily urea output was 19.21 million tons (1.05% compared to August 14), the coal - based urea daily output was 15.03 million tons (1.35%), etc. [29]. Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the MA2601 closing price was 2479 yuan/ton (-0.68% compared to August 12), the MA2509 closing price was 2375 yuan/ton (-0.67%), etc. [31]. - **Inventory**: The methanol enterprise inventory was 29.5573% (0.64% compared to the previous value), the methanol port inventory was 102.2 million tons (10.41%), and the methanol social inventory was 131.7% (8.06%) [31]. - **Upstream and Downstream**: The upstream domestic enterprise operating rate was 73.17% (2.28% compared to the previous value), the downstream external - procurement MTO device operating rate was 76.4% (0.00%), etc. [32]. Polyester Industry - **Downstream Product Prices and Cash Flows**: On August 13, the POY150/48 price was 6745 yuan/ton (0.2% compared to August 12), the FDY150/96 price was 7095 yuan/ton (0.0%), etc. [37]. - **PX - related Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the CFR China PX price was 10300 yuan/ton (-0.4% compared to August 12), the PX - naphtha spread was 267 yuan/ton (1.1%), etc. [37]. - **PTA - related Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the PTA East - China spot price was 4695 yuan/ton (-0.2% compared to August 12), the TA09 - TA01 spread was -34 yuan/ton (0.0%), etc. [37]. - **MEG Port Inventory and Arrival Expectations**: On August 11, the MEG port inventory was 51.6 million tons (7.2% compared to August 4), and the MEG arrival expectation was 14.1 million tons (3.7%) [37]. - **Polyester Industry Operating Rate Changes**: The Asian PX operating rate was 73.6% (0.2% compared to August 1), the PTA operating rate was 76.2% (0.9%), etc. [37]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Spot and Futures Prices**: On August 13, the Shandong 32% liquid caustic soda equivalent price was 2500 yuan/ton (0.0%), the Shandong 50% liquid caustic soda equivalent price was 2620 yuan/ton (0.8%), etc. [42]. - **Caustic Soda Overseas Quotes and Export Profits**: On August 7, the P - 13 - 4 price was 390 US dollars/ton (-2.59% compared to July 31), and the export profit was 142.5 yuan/ton (19.0%) [42]. - **PVC Overseas Quotes and Export Profits**: On August 7, the CFR Southeast Asia price was 680 US dollars/ton (0.0% compared to July 31), and the export profit was 30.3 yuan/ton (152.5%) [43]. - **Supply**: The caustic soda industry operating rate was 89.1% (1.7% compared to August 1), the PVC total operating rate was 77.8% (6.1%), etc. [44]. - **Demand**: The alumina industry operating rate was 82.6% (0.2% compared to August 1), the viscose staple fiber industry operating rate was 85.0% (0.0%), etc. [45]. - **Inventory**: On August 7, the liquid caustic soda East - China factory inventory was 21.9 million tons (2.0% compared to July 31), the PVC total social inventory was 48.1 million tons (7.3%), etc. [46]. Polyolefin Industry - **Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the L2601 closing price was 7381 yuan/ton (-0.11% compared to August 12), the L2509 closing price was 7313 yuan/ton (-0.22%), etc. [50]. - **PE and PP Non - standard Prices**: The East - China LDPE price was 9550 yuan/ton (0.00% compared to the previous value), the East - China HD film price was 7490 yuan/ton (-0.13%), etc. [51]. - **Inventory and Operating Rates**: The PE device operating rate was 77.8% (-2.10% compared to the previous value), the PE downstream weighted operating rate was 37.9% (-0.47%), etc. [51]. Crude Oil - **Crude Oil Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, Brent was 65.63 US dollars/barrel (-0.74% compared to August 13), WTI was 62.79 US dollars/barrel (0.22%), SC was 490.50 yuan/barrel (-0.77%), etc. [59]. - **Refined Oil Prices and Spreads**: On August 14, NYM RBOB was 207.72 US dollars/gallon (0.33% compared to August 13), NYM ULSD was 224.90 US dollars/gallon (0.28%), etc. [59]. - **Refined Oil Crack Spreads**: On August 14, the US gasoline crack spread was 24.45 US dollars/barrel (2.08% compared to August 13), the European gasoline crack spread was 16.04 US dollars/barrel (0.00%), etc. [59]. Pure Benzene - Styrene Industry - **Upstream Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the CFR China pure benzene price was 751 US dollars/ton (-0.5% compared to August 12), the pure benzene - naphtha spread was 187 US dollars/ton (1.1%), etc. [63]. - **Styrene - related Prices and Spreads**: On August 13, the styrene East - China spot price was 7350 yuan/ton (-0.3% compared to August 12), the EB09 - EB10 spread was -23 yuan/ton (-11.5%), etc. [63]. - **Downstream Cash Flows**: On August 13, the phenol cash flow was -720 yuan/ton (-1.2% compared to August 12), the caprolactam cash flow (single product) was -1845 yuan/ton (1.7%), etc. [63]. - **Inventory and Operating Rates**: On August 11, the pure benzene Jiangsu port inventory was 14.60 million tons (-10.4% compared to August 4), the styrene Jiangsu port inventory was 14.88 million tons (-6.4%), etc. [63].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The supply - demand of ethylene glycol fundamentals is basically stable, lacking obvious drivers, and the overall price trend is mainly range - bound. Although there is a cumulative inventory trend, the inventory accumulation is limited, and the supply - demand is in a fragile balance. With low inventory, the upward elasticity is expected to be large. Also, the coal - to - ethylene glycol profit has been compressed by coal prices recently, and the downward space is expected to be limited under stable costs. It is recommended to buy ethylene glycol on dips, and the entry timing should focus on commodity sentiment [3]. 3. Other Key Points Polyester Price Range Forecast - The monthly price range forecast for ethylene glycol is 4200 - 4700, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 9.09% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 1.4% [2]. - For PX, it is 6500 - 7400, with a volatility of 11.78% and a historical percentile of 17.7% [2]. - For PTA, it is 4400 - 5300, with a volatility of 9.30% and a historical percentile of 4.6% [2]. - For bottle chips, it is 5800 - 6500, with a volatility of 7.92% and a historical percentile of 0.9% [2]. Polyester Hedging Strategies - **Inventory Management**: When the finished - product inventory is high and worried about the decline of ethylene glycol prices, for long - position inventory, it is recommended to short EG2509 futures with a 25% hedging ratio at an entry range of 4450 - 4550. Also, buy EG2509P4350 put options and sell EG2509C4500 call options with a 50% hedging ratio at an entry range of 10 - 15 to prevent price drops and reduce capital costs [2]. - **Procurement Management**: When the procurement inventory is low and hoping to purchase according to orders, for short - position inventory, it is recommended to buy EG2509 futures with a 50% hedging ratio at an entry range of 4300 - 4400. Sell EG2509P4350 put options with a 75% hedging ratio at an entry range of 10 - 30 to reduce procurement costs and lock in the purchase price if the price drops [2]. 利多解读 - On August 4, the Emergency Management Department released the new version of the "Coal Mine Safety Regulations", causing coal prices to rebound and costs to rise [4]. 利空解读 - There is a market rumor that large filament manufacturers' FDY is suffering heavy losses and there are plans to cut production, but the implementation needs further observation [7]. Price and Spread Data - On August 13, 2025, the price of Brent crude oil was 66.1 dollars/barrel, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 0.8 dollars/barrel [8]. - The price of PX CFR China was 836 dollars/ton, with a daily increase of 2 dollars/ton and a weekly decrease of 8 dollars/ton [8]. - The price of PTA inner - market spot was 4692 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 13 yuan/ton and a weekly increase of 17 yuan/ton [8]. - The TA main - contract basis was - 11 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 11 yuan/ton and a weekly increase of 14 yuan/ton [8]. Processing Fee and Profit Data - The Asian PXN was 266 dollars/ton, with a daily increase of 265.67 dollars/ton and a weekly increase of 3 dollars/ton [9]. - The POY profit was 73 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 73 yuan/ton and a weekly decrease of 106 yuan/ton [9]. - The polyester bottle - chip processing fee was 350 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 350 yuan/ton and a weekly decrease of 389 yuan/ton [9].