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Core Viewpoint - Baiyin Nonferrous (601212) experienced a trading halt today with a daily turnover rate of 8.36%, a transaction amount of 3.245 billion yuan, and a price fluctuation of 15.73% [2] Trading Activity - The stock was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's "Dragon and Tiger List" due to a daily price deviation of 10.23%, with a net sell of 114 million yuan from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect [2] - The top five trading departments accounted for a total transaction of 758 million yuan, with a buying amount of 302 million yuan and a selling amount of 455 million yuan, resulting in a net sell of 153 million yuan [2] - The Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect was both the largest buying and selling department, with a buying amount of 126 million yuan and a selling amount of 240 million yuan, leading to a net sell of 114 million yuan [2] Fund Flow - The stock saw a net outflow of 329 million yuan from main funds today, with a net outflow of 203 million yuan from large orders and 126 million yuan from big orders [3] - Over the past five days, the main funds experienced a net inflow of 7.894 million yuan [3] Margin Trading Data - As of October 10, the stock's margin trading balance was 482 million yuan, with a financing balance of 473 million yuan and a securities lending balance of 8.651 million yuan [3] - Over the past five days, the financing balance decreased by 31.578 million yuan, a decline of 6.25%, while the securities lending balance increased by 1.594 million yuan, an increase of 22.59% [3] Financial Performance - According to the semi-annual report released on August 27, the company achieved an operating income of 44.559 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 15.28%, and a net profit of -217 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - Company Hai Liang Co., Ltd. plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and international competitiveness [1] - The company is currently in discussions with relevant intermediaries regarding the H-share issuance, with specific details yet to be finalized [1] - The H-share issuance is subject to approval from the company's board, shareholders, and regulatory bodies including the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] Group 2 - Over the past five years, two shareholders of Hai Liang Co., Ltd. have received warning letters for illegal share reductions [2] - The Zhejiang Charity Foundation, a shareholder, was warned for failing to disclose a reduction in shareholding from 5.14% to 3.11% in a timely manner [2] - The actions of the Zhejiang Charity Foundation violated regulations regarding information disclosure and acquisition management [2] Group 3 - The Zhejiang Charity Foundation changed its name to Zhejiang Jiaxing Charity Foundation on December 31, 2021, and operates independently from Hai Liang Co., Ltd. [3] - The company's vice president received a warning for not disclosing a share reduction plan prior to selling shares [3] - The vice president's actions also violated regulations concerning shareholder reductions and information disclosure [3]

Group 1: Copper - The LME copper price dropped 4.5% on Friday due to Trump's tariff announcement, closing above $10,300 per ton. The current tariff impact and market panic are estimated to be lower than the Tomb - Sweeping Festival disturbance [1]. - The smelting reduction exceeded expectations, and there was medium - level inventory accumulation this week. After the sharp decline in copper price on Friday, the volume of price - fixing and goods receiving is expected to increase significantly next week, driving inventory depletion [1]. - Maintain a callback - buying strategy for copper, pay attention to the support around $10,300 for LME copper, and consider selling put options below $10,000 or gradually building virtual inventory [1]. Group 2: Aluminum - The operating capacity is increasing slightly. The production schedule of photovoltaic modules has stabilized, and the proportion of molten aluminum in September has significantly rebounded. However, there is seasonal inventory accumulation of aluminum ingots and bars due to the holiday effect [1]. - The global economic recovery is showing signs, and the expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut is strengthening. But the uncertainty of Sino - US economic and trade relations has deepened, leading to a certain divergence in the trends of domestic and foreign markets [1]. - The short - term fundamentals are acceptable. Keep an eye on terminal demand and hold at low prices in the long term [1]. Group 3: Zinc - The domestic zinc price fluctuated and rose this week due to the US government shutdown sentiment and the opening of the export window [2]. - The domestic TC of zinc is decreasing, and the imported TC is increasing. The domestic zinc ore supply will be tighter from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year, while the overseas zinc ore supply increased more than expected in the second quarter [2]. - The domestic fundamentals of zinc are poor, but the export window may open due to export profits. It is recommended to wait and see under the enhanced macro - uncertainty. Consider gradually taking profits on domestic - foreign positive spreads and pay attention to the opportunity of far - month reverse spreads. Also, focus on the positive spread opportunity between December and February contracts [2]. Group 4: Nickel - The supply of pure nickel remains at a high level, the demand is weak, and the inventory is stable in China and increasing overseas. The short - term fundamentals are weak [4]. - The Indonesian protests have subsided, but there are continuous disturbances in the Indonesian nickel ore sector, and the policy side still has the motivation to support prices [4]. Group 5: Stainless Steel - Steel mills' production schedules in October increased slightly compared to the previous month. The demand is mainly for rigid needs, the prices of nickel - iron and chrome - iron are stable, and there is inventory accumulation during the holiday in Xijia and Foshan, with the warehouse receipts remaining stable [9]. - The overall fundamentals are weak. The short - term macro - trade friction uncertainty increases, and the Indonesian policy side has a certain motivation to support prices [9]. Group 6: Lead - The lead price rose this week due to macro factors. The supply of recycled lead is expected to increase by 30,000 tons in October, and the primary lead concentrate is in short supply [13]. - The battery production rate increased this week, but the finished - product inventory is high. After the National Day, the demand may weaken. The refined - scrap price difference is - 25, and the LME registered warehouse receipts decreased by 100,000 tons [13]. - The lead price is expected to fluctuate at a high level next week, ranging from 17,000 to 17,400 [13]. Group 7: Tin - The tin price moved up this week due to macro factors. The domestic processing fee for tin ore is low, and some domestic smelters have reduced production. Overseas supply is expected to recover in October [16]. - The demand for solder has slightly improved during the peak season, mainly supported by rigid demand. The domestic inventory has slightly decreased, and the overseas LME inventory is fluctuating at a low level [16]. - The short - term domestic fundamentals are in a state of weak supply and demand. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and hold at low prices close to the cost line in the long term [16]. Group 8: Industrial Silicon - A leading enterprise in Xinjiang resumed production this week. The start - up in Sichuan and Yunnan is stable, and there is a strong expectation of production reduction in November. The supply and demand of industrial silicon are balanced in Q4 [17]. - In the long term, the over - capacity of industrial silicon is still high, and the price is expected to fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle based on the seasonal marginal cost [17]. Group 9: Lithium Carbonate - The price of lithium carbonate fluctuated this week. Overseas mines have a strong willingness to support prices, and traders are reluctant to sell, but salt factories have a low acceptance of high - priced lithium ore [17]. - The pre - holiday inventory - building rhythm was strong first and then weak and is now approaching the end. The spot basis is stable and slightly weak, and some discounts have widened by 100 - 200 yuan [17]. - Lithium carbonate is still in the capacity expansion cycle, and the static supply - demand pattern is still in surplus. With the help of the seasonal peak season and the explosion of energy - storage demand, the monthly balance has turned to continuous inventory depletion, but the amplitude is average [17].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth in China's aluminum material production, with a reported output of 576 million tons in April 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [1] - Cumulative aluminum production from January to April 2025 reached 2,111.7 million tons, showing a cumulative growth of 0.9% [1] Group 2 - The article references key companies in the aluminum industry, including China Aluminum (601600), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), and Nanshan Aluminum (600219) [1] - The report by Zhiyan Consulting forecasts the market development potential and investment risks in the aluminum material industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry and specific companies within the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting strong performance and favorable market conditions [8]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the recent increase in gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion due to renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][8]. - Industrial metals are expected to continue strengthening due to supply disruptions and robust demand, particularly in copper and aluminum [2][3]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, are projected to perform well due to strong demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage markets [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.80%, while the SW Non-ferrous Index increased by 11.89% during the reporting period [1]. - Precious metals, including gold and silver, saw significant price increases of 6.48% and 2.48%, respectively [1]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Price and Stock Correlation - The report notes that aluminum prices are supported by a seasonal increase in demand and controlled inventory levels, with a current price of 20,950 RMB/ton [27]. - Copper prices are influenced by supply disruptions and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with a recent price of 10,374 USD/ton [12][41]. 2.2 Industrial Metals - The report highlights that aluminum production is expected to remain low due to increased direct supply ratios and seasonal demand, which supports price stability [25][26]. - Copper supply is under pressure from production cuts by major mining companies, which is expected to sustain higher prices [2][41]. 2.3 Lead, Tin, and Nickel - Lead prices have shown resilience due to tight supply conditions, with recent prices around 20,026 USD/ton [58]. - Nickel prices are fluctuating due to regulatory changes in Indonesia and supply concerns, currently priced at 122,180 RMB/ton [60]. 3. Precious Metals and Minor Metals 3.1 Precious Metals - Gold prices have surged due to strong safe-haven demand, with a recent price of 4,035.50 USD/oz, reflecting a 6.48% increase [14][74]. - Silver prices are also rising, driven by industrial demand and investment interest, currently at 47.52 USD/oz [14][74]. 3.2 Energy Metals - Lithium demand remains robust, with prices supported by strong consumption in electric vehicles and energy storage, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 71,300 RMB/ton [14][3]. - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with current prices around 331,500 RMB/ton [3][14]. 4. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, citing strong earnings forecasts and favorable market conditions [4][8].

Core Points - Yunnan Copper announced that as of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders is 167,454 [1] Summary by Category - **Company Information** - Yunnan Copper has reported a total of 167,454 shareholders as of the specified date [1]

白银有色公告称，公司股票于2025年9月30日、10月9日、10月10日连续三个交易日内收盘价格涨幅偏离 值累计超过20%，属于股票交易异常波动。公司目前生产经营活动正常，内外部经营环境未发生重大调 整，内部生产经营秩序正常。经自查和征询前两大股东，确认不存在影响公司股票交易异常波动的重大 事项，也无其他应披露而未披露的重大信息。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Copper**: Overnight copper prices rose and then fell, with LME copper approaching its historical high. The US government shutdown and delayed economic data have led to differences among Fed officials on whether to cut interest rates in October. LME, Comex, and domestic social copper inventories have increased, and downstream procurement is cautious at high prices. The impact of the Grasberg mine accident in Indonesia on global copper supply in Q4 2025 and 2026 is a fact, which is expected to support copper prices. It is recommended to go long on dips and pay attention to the price differences between Comex and LME copper and between domestic and foreign markets [1]. - **Aluminum**: After the holiday, alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy all showed a slightly stronger trend. Alumina market news is scarce, and it continues to be in an oversupply situation. After the short - term price increase of electrolytic aluminum, the market has pinned its hopes on the "Silver October" for consumption. Pay attention to the post - holiday inventory - consumption trend, and beware of price corrections if the destocking is less than expected [1][2]. - **Nickel**: Overnight, LME nickel and Shanghai nickel prices rose. LME inventory increased, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts decreased. Indonesia has introduced a new policy on mining production quotas. Nickel ore operations are stable, but policy risks need to be watched. Stainless steel is under pressure, and the new energy industry chain is expected to see increased demand. Shanghai nickel prices are expected to fluctuate widely [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: Macro factors and inventory increases have affected copper prices. The mine accident impact on supply is expected to support prices. It is recommended to go long on dips and monitor price differences [1]. - **Aluminum**: Post - holiday prices are slightly stronger. Alumina is in surplus, and electrolytic aluminum consumption hopes are on "Silver October". Monitor inventory - consumption trends [1][2]. - **Nickel**: Prices are affected by macro and policy factors. Nickel ore operations are stable, but policy risks exist. Stainless steel is under pressure, and new energy demand is expected to increase. Prices will fluctuate widely [2]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: On October 9, 2025, the price of flat - water copper was 85,720 yuan/ton, up 2,525 yuan from September 30. LME inventory decreased by 3,925 tons, and domestic social inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons [3]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead was 16,910 yuan/ton on October 9, up 30 yuan from September 30. LME inventory increased by 1,375 tons, and上期所 inventory decreased by 7,315 tons [3]. - **Aluminum**: On October 9, the Wuxi aluminum price was 20,980 yuan/ton, up 300 yuan from September 30. LME inventory decreased by 4,825 tons, and domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory increased by 5.7 million tons [4]. - **Nickel**: On October 9, the price of Jinchuan nickel plate was 124,825 yuan/ton, up 1,150 yuan from September 30. LME inventory increased by 5,580 tons, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 42 tons [4]. - **Zinc**: On October 9, the main settlement price was 22,200 yuan/ton, up 1.2% from September 30. LME inventory remained unchanged, and domestic social inventory increased by 0.78 million tons [6]. - **Tin**: On October 9, the main settlement price was 285,070 yuan/ton, up 2.3% from September 30. LME inventory decreased by 115 tons, and上期所 inventory decreased by 130 tons [6]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: Charts show the historical trends of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [8][10][12]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts show the historical trends of the spread between the first and second - month contracts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 [15][19][20]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of LME inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [23][25][27]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of SHFE inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [29][31][33]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of social inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series from 2019 - 2025 [36][38][40]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts show the historical trends of copper concentrate index, rough copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless steel 304 smelting profit margin from 2019 - 2025 [42][44][46]. 3.4 Team Introduction - The research team consists of Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi, who have rich experience in non - ferrous metal research and have won many industry awards [49][50].

Group 1 - Yunnan Copper's trading volume reached 3.715 billion RMB, marking a new high since its listing [1] - The latest stock price increased by 3.02%, with a turnover rate of 9.27% [1] - The previous trading day's total trading volume was 2.897 billion RMB [1] Group 2 - Yunnan Copper Co., Ltd. was established on May 15, 1998, with a registered capital of 2.00362831 billion RMB [1]