Core Viewpoint - The potential shift of iPhone production back to the U.S. could lead to a significant price increase, with estimates suggesting a rise of at least 25% to as much as 190% compared to current prices, severely impacting demand and inflation [1][2][4]. Group 1: Cost Implications - Analysts predict that the price of the iPhone 16 Pro, currently priced at $1199, could rise to approximately $1500 if produced in the U.S. due to labor cost increases [3]. - A more pessimistic estimate suggests that the price of a U.S.-manufactured iPhone could reach $3500, with Apple needing to invest $30 billion over three years to shift just 10% of its supply chain to the U.S. [4]. Group 2: Labor and Skills Challenges - The labor cost for manufacturing iPhones in the U.S. is significantly higher, with U.S. assembly and testing costs estimated at $200 compared to $40 in Asia [8]. - There is a notable shortage of skilled engineers in the U.S., which complicates the feasibility of large-scale production. Apple CEO Tim Cook highlighted that the number of engineers in the U.S. is insufficient compared to Asia [9]. Group 3: Supply Chain Complexity - Even if assembly were to occur in the U.S., most components would still be sourced from Asia, where tariffs could further increase costs. For instance, the price of the iPhone 16 Pro Max could rise by 91% due to tariffs and labor costs [10]. - The complexity of the global supply chain makes a complete transition to U.S. manufacturing highly challenging and potentially unfeasible [11]. Group 4: Strategic Responses - Apple has engaged in negotiations with the Trump administration to secure temporary tariff exemptions, allowing it to continue manufacturing in Asia without incurring additional costs [12]. - There is speculation that Apple may consider small-scale production of certain products in the U.S. to negotiate for tariff exemptions, similar to its previous commitments [12].

特朗普政府对欧盟突然加码施压，并表示美国"与欧盟的谈判毫无进展"。 据央视新闻报道，当地时间5月23日周五，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上表示，建议自6月1日起对欧盟征收50%的关税。特朗普声明公布后，美国在2025年陷 入衰退的几率上升到43%。 事实上，特朗普对欧洲的不满由来已久。据媒体报道，特朗普的经济团队私下里一直对欧洲官员抱怨，欧盟成员国在贸易优先事项上的分歧拖慢了谈判进程。 他们认为欧洲在谈判中过于谨慎，不愿就美国关注的问题，如流媒体服务费、增值税、汽车法规以及对美国公司实施的反垄断罚款等，提出具体的解决方案。 分析认为， 美欧贸易谈判方式存在根本性差异。特朗普急于快速宣布协议，而欧盟领导人采取更为稳健和注重程序的谈判方式。欧盟官员一直试图找到一个应 对美国的中间立场，既不似中国般强硬，又比英国更具主动性。 白宫极限施压：耐心耗尽，重拳出击 分析指出， 欧盟官员已寻求在回应美国方面找到一个中间地带，既不似中国般强硬，又比英国更具主动性。 欧盟"佛系"谈判，惹怒特朗普 与特朗普的强硬谈判策略形成鲜明对比的是， 欧盟领导人采取了更为稳健和注重程序的谈判方式，这包括与27个成员国的频繁磋商。 这种协商一致的 ...

美元本周下跌2%，创下自4月关税抛售以来最大单周跌幅，投资者对美国财政状况的担忧情绪急剧升温。 投资者对美国财政负担不断加重的担忧正在慢慢积聚。 对美国资产市场质量的持续担忧以及去美元化威胁继续对美元构成压力。 当日稍早，美国财政部长贝森特试图淡化美元走弱的担忧，声称"很大程度上是其他国家或其他货币在走强，而不是美元在走弱"。贝森特表示，欧洲的"财政扩 张"提振了欧元，而日本央行的加息则支撑了日元。但市场显然不买账： 周五彭博美元指数的跌幅明显超过正常水平，价格跌破4月低点，创年内新低。 ICE美元指数周四反弹失败，周五重挫下跌，一度跌破99整数关口。 财政扩张与货币竞争：美元跌势的外部推手 报道表示，投资者的恐慌情绪并非毫无根据。 特朗普的减税法案引发的财政赤字担忧已经推动长期美债遭遇抛售 ，30年期国债收益率本周上涨0.13个百分点，突破5%关口。BBH分析师警告： 周五，美元对包括欧元和日元在内的一篮子货币下跌0.9%，本周累计跌幅达到2%。最令市场担忧的是美元对高利率环境的异常反应。通常情况下， 更高的收 益率会增加美元资产的吸引力，但当前美元、美国政府债券和股票同时下跌的现象，被视为投资者恐慌抛售美 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a controversial event called "Trump Coin Night," held at Trump's golf club, highlighting the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency, particularly focusing on the involvement of major crypto figures like Sun Yuchen and the implications for the crypto industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event was attended by 220 major holders of "Trump Coin," with the top 25 receiving VIP meeting opportunities with Trump [1]. - Sun Yuchen, founder of TRON, was the center of attention, receiving a $100,000 Trump-branded watch during the event [2]. - Trump's speech criticized the Biden administration's stance on cryptocurrency and promised to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world" [3]. Group 2: Ethical Concerns and Protests - The event faced ethical scrutiny, with protesters outside the venue chanting against perceived corruption in cryptocurrency [8][11]. - Senator Jeff Merkley labeled the dinner as "the peak of corruption," and there were concerns about potential violations of federal gift regulations [13][14]. Group 3: Financial Implications - Over $148 million has been invested in Trump Coin to secure dinner seats, with 80% of the coin controlled by Trump's family and associated entities, valued at over $10 billion [15][16]. - The transaction fees from Trump Coin have reportedly generated over $300 million for insiders, with Trump's entities potentially earning up to $100 million from these fees [16]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Trump Coin experienced a significant price drop of approximately 80% from its January peak, indicating high volatility and speculative nature [18]. - The article suggests that only a small group of early investors profited, while many ordinary investors faced substantial losses, characterizing Trump Coin as a typical meme coin reliant on hype and celebrity influence [19].

5月20日，国家发改委 高层 明确表态，将从创新驱动、地方约束、产业布局、行业自律四方面系统 整治 "内卷式竞争"。 对已经深陷激烈价格战多年的汽车行业来说，政策高层的指令明确。此前，顶层会议也多次明确提 出，反对内卷式竞争。 然而，政策的滞后性与执行难度，使得部分企业仍抱有侥幸心理。 长城汽车董事长魏建军 曾经对 "价格战是双刃剑"的预言余音未散，"倒闭车厂的二手车如废铁"预警 还在发酵。 过度资本化裹挟下的价格战 ，正侵蚀着消费者的利益。 在新能源车平均售价同比下滑 12.6%的背 景下，用户所持车型的保值率大幅下探，"新车当二手卖"的现象已成普遍。二手车市场中，部分车辆 上市半年即贬值超30%。消费者信任正在被反复透支，对品牌长期价值的判断趋于谨慎。 在行业深陷 "内卷"泥潭时，长城汽车董事长魏建军的声音显得愈发清晰。他直言："吹灭别人的灯， 关键是什么灯，它要是鬼灯我一定要把它吹灭了，让这个行业得到健康发展。" 在他看来，价格战不仅击穿了商业底线，更以牺牲用户权益为代价透支产业未来。当部分车企以 "亏 本换销量"粉饰虚假繁荣时，魏建军却以 务实 "精神撕开行业真相："有些产品从二十二三万降到十 二三万 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government maintains a "strong dollar" policy, dismissing speculations about a shift towards a "weak dollar" or secret currency agreements [1][9][10]. Group 1: Strong Dollar Policy - Stephen Miran, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, confirmed the commitment to a "strong dollar" policy, refuting any claims of secret currency agreements during trade negotiations [1][3][4]. - Following Miran's statements, the U.S. dollar index rose by 0.5% to 100.1216 before slightly retreating [2]. - Miran emphasized that the strong dollar is not just about exchange rates but also concerns the stability of the dollar system and its structural advantages as the global reserve currency [10]. Group 2: Trade and Economic Strategy - Miran addressed concerns regarding tariffs, economic deficits, and potential recession, stating that the recent market volatility is expected during policy adjustments [11][13]. - He noted that while companies might delay investments or hiring, this does not indicate an impending recession, but rather a temporary shift in timing [14]. - The administration is engaged in trade negotiations with over 20 countries, expecting to finalize multiple agreements in the coming months, which could significantly boost U.S. exports and help reduce the trade deficit [15]. Group 3: Fiscal Deficit and Tax Policy - Miran criticized the Biden administration for leaving behind a challenging fiscal situation while defending the current fiscal strategy [16][17]. - He argued that fiscal deficits should occur during genuine crises, not during stable economic periods, and that assessments of deficits should consider various factors beyond static evaluations [18]. - Despite market challenges, Miran expressed confidence in the administration's core economic strategy, which focuses on tax reform, deregulation, and energy independence [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in 30-year Japanese government bond yields to historical highs has raised concerns about the global bond market, indicating potential structural issues within the market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Japanese Bond Market Dynamics - The rise in 30-year Japanese bond yields began in mid-April and has led to fears of a "value trap," where bonds appear cheap but may continue to decline in value due to structural supply-demand imbalances [2][3][6]. - Since early April, the 30-year Japanese bond yield has increased by 85 basis points, while the 30-year U.S. bond yield rose by 60 basis points during the same period [3]. - For dollar investors, the 30-year Japanese bond yield, after currency hedging, stands at 7.03%, significantly higher than the 4.96% yield of the 30-year U.S. bond [4]. Group 2: Global Bond Market Implications - The issues in the Japanese bond market may serve as a warning signal for the global bond market, reflecting three major trends affecting bond markets worldwide: persistent inflation pressures, declining demand from asset-liability management (ALM) investors, and high government financing needs [8]. - Japan's core inflation rate has exceeded the Bank of Japan's 2% target for two consecutive years, contributing to rising equilibrium yields [8]. - The demand for long-term bonds is decreasing as market interest rates rise, with domestic holdings of long-term bonds stabilizing [8]. Group 3: Potential Responses from the Bank of Japan - The Bank of Japan's future policy direction is a focal point for market observers, with potential measures including reducing the maturity of issued debt, fiscal constraints, adjusting the quantitative tightening path, and possibly restarting a rate hike cycle [13][14][18]. - The expectation is that the Bank of Japan will maintain a steady pace of reducing its bond purchases, with a target of 2 trillion yen per month starting in April 2026 [17].

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration has suspended Harvard University's eligibility to enroll international students, requiring current foreign students to transfer or risk losing their legal status [1][5][6]. Group 1: Impact on Harvard University - The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has revoked Harvard's Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification, preventing the university from enrolling any international students for the 2025-2026 academic year [5][6]. - Approximately 6,800 international students currently enrolled at Harvard represent 27% of the total student body, a significant increase from 19.6% in 2006 [8][9]. - Harvard's response to the DHS action is that it is illegal, and the university is committed to maintaining its ability to enroll international students from over 140 countries [10][11]. Group 2: Broader Implications for Higher Education - The Trump administration's actions against Harvard reflect a broader conflict with elite universities, leading to financial pressures and potential enrollment declines at other institutions like MIT and Columbia University [4][12][15]. - MIT is facing financial challenges and has announced plans to reduce graduate student admissions by 8% due to federal funding cuts [15]. - Columbia University has seen a significant drop in applications, attributed to concerns over campus unrest and the Trump administration's scrutiny, resulting in a loss of approximately $400 million in federal research funding [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of three prominent consumer brands from Henan, China: Mixue Ice City, Pop Mart, and Pang Donglai, highlighting their unique business strategies and the founders' backgrounds that resonate with current consumer sentiments [3][5][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - Mixue Ice City went public in Hong Kong in March 2023, with its stock price soaring from the IPO price of 202.5 HKD to 456 HKD, marking a 125% increase within two months [5][9]. - Pop Mart, founded by Wang Ning, initially faced challenges post-IPO in 2020 but has recently seen a resurgence, with its stock price reaching nearly 200 HKD, driven by popular IPs like Labubu [6][9]. - Pang Donglai, known for his high-profile public persona, has built a supermarket chain that emphasizes employee welfare and community engagement, becoming a symbol of hope during economic downturns [7][10]. Group 2: Founders' Backgrounds - The founders of these companies, all from Henan, share a humble background, which influences their business philosophies. Zhang Hongchao and Zhang Hongfu of Mixue Ice City grew up in poverty, leading to a focus on affordability in their products [5][8]. - Wang Ning of Pop Mart, despite initial skepticism from investors, persisted in his vision of creating a unique retail experience that appeals to adults, which has now gained significant traction [11][12]. - Yu Donglai of Pang Donglai has a more public-facing approach, actively engaging with the community and promoting a positive work environment, which has garnered both support and criticism [7][10]. Group 3: Market Strategies - Mixue Ice City has rapidly expanded into Southeast Asia, with over 550 stores in Vietnam and Indonesia by early 2022, aiming to provide affordable beverages globally [26][27]. - Pop Mart has adopted an aggressive expansion strategy into major international cities, including New York and Paris, focusing on high-traffic tourist areas to enhance brand visibility [28][29]. - Pang Donglai has maintained a stronghold in Henan, with a significant portion of its products being self-branded, projecting a sales increase from 20 billion to 60 billion in proprietary goods by 2024 [30][31].

华尔街见闻出品 以下文章来源于资事堂 ，作者资事堂 资事堂 . 资事堂注意到：DeepSeek的母公司深度求索公司日前在招聘平台持续发力人才引进。 除了常规的算法研究、程序设计等领域。2025年5月，在不少实习生招聘平台上都出现了"DeepSeek招聘数据百晓生（医疗方向）实习生"的需求。 这个在几年前创立深度求索公司，推出DeepSeek大模型的年轻人，在2025年初震动了中国上下。 但在这前后，他都始终保持着低调，一如他率领的那个推出DeepSeek大模型的AI技术团队——除了偶尔崭露头角的论文，业界对他和他们的了解，并不比半 年前多了多少。 但可以想见的是，这支团队一定在默默的发力，持续攀登新的高峰。 作者 孙建楠 编辑袁畅 梁文锋，又有了新动向！ 日前，一则不起眼的招聘信息，或许透露了这支年轻团队的一个新方向。 ——医疗。 DeepSeek招聘医疗实习生 在最新的招聘需求中，DeepSeek团队提到： 按照相关招聘要求，这个实习生岗位，需求是医学背景的本科高年级和研究生。 一周工作四天以上，实习工资日薪超过500-580元每天。 以此累计，正常的"满勤"实习生，每月大概率收入过万元。 独特的"数据百晓 ...