Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights & Investment Recommendations - Unity and Epic Games announced a strategic partnership to create an open and interoperable ecosystem for game engines, allowing developers to publish Unity games on the Fortnite platform with over 500 million registered accounts, enhancing user reach and commercialization efficiency [2][21] - NVIDIA's quarterly performance exceeded expectations, with data center revenue growing by 289% year-on-year, reflecting strong demand for AI infrastructure [3][22] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in leading internet companies in Hong Kong, the gaming industry, and the film and cultural tourism sectors, driven by consumption policies and technological empowerment [3][22] Sub-industry Data Film Industry - The top three films by box office this week are "Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle" with 134.67 million yuan (42.9% market share), "Wild Era" with 75.67 million yuan (24.1%), and "Now You See Me 3" with 55.44 million yuan (17.7%) [23][24] Gaming Industry - The top three iOS games by revenue are "Teamfight Tactics," "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin," and "Honor of Kings," while the top three Android games are "Heart Town," "Sword and Magic Legend," and "My Leisure Time" [25] TV Series Industry - The top three TV series by broadcasting index are "Tang Dynasty Ghost Stories: Chang'an," "Four Happiness," and "Phoenix Platform," with indices of 85.5, 82.4, and 81.8 respectively [26][27] Variety Shows & Animation - The top variety show is "Now Departing Season 3" with a broadcasting index of 82.4, followed by "Wonderful Night Season 2" and "Flowers and Youth Together" [28][29] - The top three animated shows by viewership index are "Xian Ni" with 212.8, "Happy Hammer" with 191.6, and "Swallowing the Starry Sky" with 187.2 [30]

证券研究报告|宏观跟踪周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 22 日 下周（11月 24-28日）进入跨月周，资金面风浪依旧未平。周一（24日）起， 拆借 7 天利率可跨月。参考今年二季度以来季中月（5 月、8 月）资金利率在跨月周 的变化情况，R007 最大上行幅度分别为 11、8bp，而 R001 多在跨月当日显著上 行，幅度在 5-10bp。 与此同时，下周公开市场还面临 2.58万亿元到期，单周到期规模仅次于国庆后 一周的 2.66 万亿元。其次，政府债缴款规模可能依然不低。根据已披露的发行计 划，下周缴款额预计为 2337亿元。不过，下周三（26日）还将有国债 2个月、3个 月期贴现国债计划发行，实际缴款压力将更大，根据我们估算，实际缴款规模或仍 在 3000 亿以上，约为 3087 亿元左右。 因此，对于接下来的跨月周，地方债发行缴款以及MLF续作情况将是两个关键 变量。不过，考虑到三季度基本面压力显现，央行宽货币态度延续，下周央行或同 步加大短期逆回购资金投放，缓解资金压力，预计跨月期间隔夜、7 天资金成本高 点或在 1.60%附近。 ►公开市场：11 月 24-28 日，逆回 ...

证券研究报告|固收点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 新房成交反弹 [Table_Title2] able_Summary] 地产周速达 1）周度： 二手房成交在连续下滑两周后进入窄幅震荡。本周（11月 14-20日），15城二手房成交面积为 218万平方 米，环比微降 0.3%，仍处于过去四周 213 万至 233 万平区间的低位，相当于年内高点的 74%。 新房则自低点连续两周回升。38 城新房成交面积为 263 万平方米，环比增长 19%，增幅较上周的 2%明 显扩大，不过仍位于过去四周 216 万至 292 万平区间，修复至年内高点的 50%。 同比来看，高基数影响仍在。受去年 924 新政后销售放量形成的高基数影响，同比增速继续承压，本周 15 城二手房成交面积同比下降 12%，连续第六周走弱（此前曾连续七周同比改善）；38 城新房成交面积同比 跌幅为 19%，跌幅相比上周的 34%明显收窄，已连续第八周录得负增长。主要是二线城市新房销售在改善。 2）月度： 11 月上中旬，高频数据显示新房同比降幅扩大，二手房略有修复。11 月 1-20 ...

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results

Global Market Overview - The global market experienced a further pullback this week due to the decline in AI stocks across multiple markets and the Federal Reserve's uncertain stance on interest rate cuts [1][3] - The VIX index rose above 28, indicating increased market volatility [1][3] - The TAMAMA Technology Index has shown fluctuations, currently with a P/E ratio of 35.3, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has decreased slightly but remains at a P/E of 43.4 [1][3] - The S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio is at 38.94, still considered high despite a decrease from above 40 [1][3] US Market Performance - Major US indices, including the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq, saw declines of 1.95%, 1.91%, and 2.74% respectively [3][11] - The S&P 500 sectors mostly declined, with the largest gain in Communication Services at 3.04% and the largest loss in Information Technology at 4.73% [11][15] - The market is expected to face adjustment pressures in sectors such as finance, communication services, consumer, and industrials due to high valuations and uncertain monetary policy [1][3] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Hong Kong Chinese Enterprises Index all fell, with declines of 5.09%, 5.09%, and 3.45% respectively [23][27] - The Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 7.18%, indicating significant pressure on tech stocks [23][27] - Despite the overall decline, there are opportunities for selective low-cost acquisitions in undervalued assets with favorable fundamentals [1][3] Economic Data - Japan's GDP growth rate for Q3 2025 was -0.4%, lower than the previous value of 0.6% [37][39] - Japan's industrial production index showed a month-on-month increase of 2.58%, surpassing the previous decline of -1.47% [37][39] - The core CPI in Japan for October 2025 was 3%, higher than the previous 2.9% [39][43]

A-share Market Valuation - The current PE (TTM) for the A-share market is 16.10, with a median of 13.51 and a maximum of 30.60[12] - The PE (TTM) for the Shanghai Composite Index is 13.95, while the CSI 300 is at 13.11[9] - The PE (TTM) for the ChiNext Index is significantly higher at 48.76, indicating a growth-oriented market segment[12] Hong Kong Market Valuation - The Hang Seng Index has a current PE (TTM) of 11.48, with a median of 10.29 and a maximum of 22.67[60] - The Hang Seng Technology Index shows a higher PE (TTM) of 20.97, reflecting the tech sector's growth potential[60] US Market Valuation - The S&P 500 has a current PE (TTM) of 28.09, with a median of 21.13 and a maximum of 41.99[84] - The NASDAQ Index is at 39.93, indicating a strong valuation in the tech-heavy index[92] Sector Valuation Insights - Non-bank financials, food and beverage, and non-ferrous metals sectors in A-shares are currently at historically low PE levels[22] - The technology sector, including computing and electronics, is at historically high PE levels, suggesting potential overvaluation[22] Risk Premium Analysis - The equity risk premium (ERP) for the A-share market has fluctuated, with a current value indicating a risk-averse market environment[16]

Market Overview - On November 20, the stock market opened high but closed lower, with major indices declining and risk assets weakening, while the bond market also showed weak performance due to news impacts [1] - The total trading volume in the A-share market was 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Market Sentiment and Trading Dynamics - The market sentiment was initially optimistic due to Nvidia's better-than-expected earnings and positive news regarding broker mergers, but this optimism did not last, leading to a decline in major indices [2] - The trading volume continued to shrink, with the turnover rate of the Wind All A index dropping from 1.94% on November 18 to 1.70% on November 20, indicating a weakening trading willingness [2] Index Support Levels - The Wind All A index closed at 6228 points, close to a significant support level at 6225 points, which may provide stability to the index [3] - If the index breaks below this level, it could indicate a loss of confidence among investors, leading to further adjustments [3] Sector Performance - The lithium mining sector rebounded, contributing to a 1.70% increase in the Wind index, although the sustainability of this rebound remains uncertain [3] - AI computing power continues to attract some capital, with the optical module and circuit board indices rising by 0.68% and 0.66%, respectively [3] - The banking sector benefited from risk-averse logic and expectations of increased allocations from insurance funds, recovering from previous declines [3] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut has receded, creating pressure on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in the technology sector [4] - The Hang Seng Technology Index continued to decline despite Nvidia's strong performance, indicating a challenging environment for tech stocks in Hong Kong [4] Bond Market Movements - The bond market experienced fluctuations driven by news, with long-term interest rates slightly declining initially but later rising due to speculation about new real estate stimulus policies [4] - The yields on 10-year government bonds and policy bank bonds rose by approximately 0.2 basis points to 1.81% and 1.87%, respectively [5] Fund Flow and Market Sentiment - After the Double Eleven shopping festival, the funding environment remains weak, influenced by a high volume of government bond issuances [6] - The market saw a reversal in fund flows, with both precious metals and new energy sectors experiencing net outflows, reflecting a high profit-taking sentiment among investors [7] Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market showed overall weak sentiment, with most sectors experiencing pullbacks due to receding rate cut expectations and fundamental pressures [6] - Precious metals saw a significant narrowing of gains after two days of rebounds, while industrial metals displayed mixed performance [6] Non-Farm Payroll Impact - The release of stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data led to increased volatility in precious metals, with gold prices initially dropping but quickly recovering [8] - The black coal futures market faced significant pressure due to weak demand, leading to a high auction failure rate [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue increase of 6.34% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 8.188 billion yuan, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.86% to 420 million yuan [2] - The company is expected to gradually improve its overseas production capacity in the coming year, which will contribute positively to performance [4][5] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company has a stable core business with high order visibility and strong revenue certainty. New business market expansion is gradually breaking through, with expectations of performance contributions as demand increases [3] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 21.98%, a decrease of 1.73 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to tariff policies leading to order transfers and increased costs from cross-border raw material transportation. Industry competition has also pressured product pricing [4] - The expense ratio increased to 16.18%, up 1.27 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to slowing revenue growth and increased stock incentive costs [5] Investment Recommendations - Due to the impact of tariffs and industry competition, the overall revenue growth and gross margin are below previous expectations. However, the strong certainty of the core business and the growth potential from innovative business segments lead to an adjustment in profit forecasts. Revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised to 110.5 billion, 127.2 billion, and 149.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share adjusted to 0.46, 0.59, and 0.81 yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5]. Core Insights - The lithium salt sales reached 72,900 tons in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 42% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37%, driven by strong demand from the electric vehicle and battery storage sectors [1][19]. - The average selling price of lithium salt was approximately $8.8 per kilogram, reflecting a 3.5% increase from the previous quarter, signaling a price turning point in a volatile market [1]. - The overall revenue for the company in Q3 2025 was $1.173 billion, a 9% increase year-on-year and a 12% increase quarter-on-quarter [7]. Summary by Sections Lithium Salt Business - Q3 2025 lithium salt sales were 72,900 tons, up 42% year-on-year and 37% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The average realized price for lithium salt was $8,281 per ton, down 15% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The unit sales cost for lithium salt was $6,050 per ton, down 24% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The unit gross profit for lithium salt was $2,231 per ton, up 24% year-on-year and 75% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Specialty Plant Nutrition (SNP) - Q3 2025 SNP sales were 277,800 tons, a 2% increase year-on-year and a 5% increase quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The average realized price for SNP was $935 per ton, up 3% year-on-year but down 5% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The unit sales cost for SNP was $800 per ton, up 8% year-on-year but down 7% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The unit gross profit for SNP was $135 per ton, down 19% year-on-year but up 6% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Iodine and Derivatives - Q3 2025 iodine and derivatives sales were 3,400 tons, unchanged year-on-year and down 11% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The average realized price for iodine was $71,941 per ton, up 5% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The unit sales cost for iodine was $33,038 per ton, up 5% year-on-year but down 2% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The unit gross profit for iodine was $38,903 per ton, up 5% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter [4]. Potassium Fertilizer - Q3 2025 potassium fertilizer sales were 66,800 tons, down 62% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - The average realized price for potassium fertilizer was $506 per ton, up 30% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - The unit sales cost for potassium fertilizer was $496 per ton, up 57% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - The unit gross profit for potassium fertilizer was $10 per ton, down 86% year-on-year and 76% quarter-on-quarter [6]. Financial Performance - The company's gross profit for Q3 2025 was $345.8 million, a 23% increase year-on-year and a 36% increase quarter-on-quarter [9]. - The pre-tax profit for Q3 2025 was $265.6 million, a 37% increase year-on-year and an 81% increase quarter-on-quarter [10]. - The net profit after tax for Q3 2025 was $178.4 million, a 33% increase year-on-year and a 102% increase quarter-on-quarter [12]. Outlook - The company expects to maintain strong sales momentum in Q4 2025, particularly in lithium spodumene concentrate, with the Kwinana lithium plant projected to reach rated capacity by the end of 2026 [19].

Investment Rating - The report recommends the industry [9] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company's uranium production decreased by 4% quarter-over-quarter to 4.4 million pounds, while year-over-year it increased by 2% [1][11] - The average realized price for uranium in Q3 2025 was $62.12 per pound, reflecting a 3% increase year-over-year and an 8% increase quarter-over-quarter [7][11] - The company reported a net loss of 158,000 CAD in Q3 2025, compared to a profit of 7.426 million CAD in the same period last year [11][25] Summary by Sections Uranium Business - Production volume in Q3 2025 was 4.4 million pounds, a 2% increase year-over-year but a 4% decrease quarter-over-quarter [1][24] - Sales volume for uranium was 6.1 million pounds, down 16% year-over-year and down 30% quarter-over-quarter [3][24] - The average cash production cost for uranium was 25.2 CAD per pound, a 4% increase year-over-year but a 4% decrease quarter-over-quarter [5][11] - The average cash cost for purchased uranium was 82.51 CAD per pound, down 25% year-over-year and down 15% quarter-over-quarter [6][11] Fuel Services Business - Production volume for fuel services was 3,100 tons of uranium, a 3% decrease year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter [7][12] - Sales volume for fuel services was 1,900 tons, down 46% year-over-year and down 44% quarter-over-quarter [8][12] - The average realized price for fuel services was 49.11 CAD per kg of uranium, a 42% increase year-over-year and a 33% increase quarter-over-quarter [10][12] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was 615 million CAD, a 15% decrease year-over-year and a 30% decrease quarter-over-quarter [11][25] - Gross profit was 170 million CAD, a 1% decrease year-over-year and a 34% decrease quarter-over-quarter [11][25] - Adjusted net earnings for Q3 2025 were 32 million CAD, a 33% increase year-over-year but a 90% decrease quarter-over-quarter [11][25] Operational Highlights - The company expects to produce between 14 million to 15 million pounds of U3O8 from McArthur River/Key Lake in 2025, down from a previous estimate of 18 million pounds [15][18] - The company has established a strategic partnership with Brookfield to accelerate the deployment of nuclear reactors in the U.S., with a total investment of at least $80 billion [21][22] - The company has signed contracts for the delivery of over 28 million pounds of U3O8 annually over the next five years, with expectations for increased production to leverage market pricing [23][24]