Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel, among others [3][4]. Core Insights - The ongoing escalation of "reciprocal tariffs" has led to a divergence in demand for construction materials and steel plates, with a notable impact on export demand for plates [3][4]. - Domestic steel prices have decreased, with significant drops in various categories, including rebar and cold-rolled steel [8][9]. - The overall steel production has seen a slight decline, with total output for major steel varieties at 8.71 million tons, a decrease of 1.46 million tons week-on-week [2][3]. Price Trends - As of April 11, 2025, the price of 20mm HRB400 rebar in Shanghai is 3,170 CNY/ton, down 50 CNY/ton from the previous week [8][9]. - The prices for hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel have also seen declines, with hot-rolled at 3,330 CNY/ton (down 40 CNY) and cold-rolled at 3,910 CNY/ton (down 100 CNY) [8][9]. Production and Inventory - The production of rebar increased by 3.72 million tons to 2.32 million tons this week, while total inventory decreased by 388,300 tons to 11.76 million tons [2][3]. - The social inventory of rebar decreased by 278,500 tons, while factory inventory increased by 72,500 tons [2][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the following companies: 1. Baosteel, Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel in the general steel sector 2. CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co., and Xianglou New Materials in the special steel sector 3. Jiuli Special Materials, Wujin Stainless Steel, and Youfa Group in the pipe materials sector [3][4]. - It also recommends paying attention to high-temperature alloy stocks, specifically Fushun Special Steel [3]. Profitability Analysis - The report indicates a decrease in long-process steel profits, with rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled margins down by 19 CNY/ton, 41 CNY/ton, and 38 CNY/ton respectively [1][3]. - Short-process electric furnace steel profits have seen a slight increase [1][3]. International Market Overview - The U.S. steel market prices have remained stable, with hot-rolled coil prices at 1,040 USD/ton and cold-rolled at 1,270 USD/ton [21][23]. - European steel prices have increased, with hot-rolled prices at 715 USD/ton, up 25 USD from the previous week [21][23]. Raw Material Market - Domestic iron ore prices have shown a mixed trend, with some prices declining, such as Brazilian powder at 850 CNY/ton, down 35 CNY [26][27]. - Scrap steel prices have also decreased, with a current price of 2,030 CNY/ton, down 60 CNY from last week [26][27].

➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 11 日，公司发布 2024 年年报，2024 年实现营业收入 37.80 亿元，同比下降 12.61%；归母净利润 4.74 亿元，同比增长 11.46%；扣 非归母净利润 4.33 亿元，同比增长 17.70%。 大金重工（002487.SZ）2024 年年报点评 经营全面提质，向全球一流海工企业迈进 2025 年 04 月 13 日 单季度来看，得益于公司 DAP 交付模式下的首批出口海工产品交付完毕，24Q4 公司实现收入 14.73 亿元，同比增长 48.55%、环比增长 55.07%；归母净利润 1.92 亿元，同比增长 1017.55%、环比增长 77.44%；扣非归母净利润 1.75 亿 元，同比扭亏、环比增长 80.81%。 ➢ 经营质量持续提升：盈利能力方面，公司转型海工业务主导的成果显著，毛 利率、净利率连续三年提升，2024 年实现毛利率 29.83%、同比提升 6.59pcts， 实现净利率 12.54%、同比提升 2.71pcts。其中，风电装备产品毛利率为 25.93%， 同比提升 5.37pcts。由于海外客户回款优质，且公司对国内业务加强回款管 ...

西部矿业（601168.SH）2024 年年报点评 冶炼拖累 Q4 业绩，期待玉龙扩产 2025 年 04 月 12 日 ➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报，2024 年公司营收 500.26 亿元，同比 +17.02%，归母净利 29.32 亿元，同比+5.10%。其中，2024Q4 公司营收 133.0 亿元，同比+26.49%，环比+13.21%；季度归母净利 1.99 亿元，同比-66.33%， 环比-82.09%，Q4 业绩低于我们预期，业绩低于预期主要是冶炼亏损和资产减 值所致。公司全年计划派息 23.83 亿元，分红比例为达到 81%，股息率为 6.5%， 分红超预期。 ➢ 2024 年公司归母净利润同比增加 1.42 亿元，其中毛利增利 22.45 亿元， 但费用&税金减利 3.09 亿元，其他/投资收益减利 4.43 亿元，减值损失减利 5.36 亿元，少数股东损益减利 9.18 亿元。①毛利增加主要是铜产量全年同比大幅提 升及商品价格上升。②减值损失主要是本年度发生固定资产和无形资产减值损 失。③少数股东损益主要是玉龙铜矿利润大幅上涨致少数股东享有权益增加。 ➢ 2024 年玉龙铜矿产量 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a record high net profit in Q1 2025, driven by increased copper and gold prices and production [12][16] - The company is expected to see continuous growth in copper and gold production, with projected net profits of 41.81 billion, 46.13 billion, and 48.16 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][47] Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 789.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76% [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 101.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.39% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 32.15% [12][16] Revenue and Profit Breakdown - The year-on-year increase in net profit was primarily due to a gross profit increase of 56.5 billion, attributed to rising copper and gold prices [16] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 22.9%, up 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [21] Production and Sales - Copper and gold production saw significant growth, with copper production increasing by 7.33% and gold production by 6.92% quarter-on-quarter [31] - The company benefited from the ramp-up of production at various projects, including the La Arena project in Peru [31] Cost and Pricing - The average prices for copper and gold increased by 5.05% and 11.98% respectively in Q1 2025 [31] - The cost of production for copper and gold increased slightly, with gold costs rising by 6.82% [32] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from rising copper and gold prices, with projected net profits of 418 billion, 461 billion, and 482 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][47] - The company has initiated a share buyback program, purchasing 64.32 million shares at an average price of 15.55 per share, reflecting confidence in its market value [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's 2024 annual report and 2025 Q1 report indicate a revenue increase of 8.54% year-on-year, reaching 1.609 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 2.45% to 4.508 billion yuan. However, Q4 2024 saw a significant decline in net profit by 84.64% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced investment income from Yalong River and China Nuclear Huineng [1][2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 364 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.17%, and a net profit of 1.479 billion yuan, up 16.16% year-on-year. This growth was driven by increased hydroelectric power generation and favorable pricing [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 522 million yuan, up 13.09% year-on-year, but net profit dropped to 85.8 million yuan, a decrease of 84.64% year-on-year. The overall investment income for 2024 was 4.504 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year, with Yalong River contributing 3.966 billion yuan, a decline of 4.5% [1][2] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 5.173 billion yuan, 5.467 billion yuan, and 5.964 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.06, 1.12, and 1.22 yuan [5][6] Future Outlook - The Yinjing Hydropower Station is anticipated to continue contributing to the company's income, with additional contributions expected from the Yalong River and Dadu River following the commissioning of the Sichuan-Chongqing UHV project. The company plans to fully commission remaining units by the end of 2025, which will enhance revenue [4] - Financial expenses are projected to decrease significantly, improving profitability. In 2024, financial expenses were reduced by 159 million yuan, and further reductions are expected in 2025 due to a low-interest-rate environment [4]

有色金属周报 20250412 "对等关税"驱动避险需求，金价创新高 2025 年 04 月 12 日 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （元） | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 17.15 | 1.21 | 1.56 | 1.70 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 6.59 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.82 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 14.53 | 1.27 | 2.33 | 2.62 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 30.73 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.57 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 推荐 | ...

学大教育（000526.SZ）深度报告 战略转型创始人回归，个性化教育龙头再启航 2025 年 04 月 12 日 ➢ 投资建议：个性化教育龙头再启航，首次覆盖"推荐"评级。预计 2024-2026 年公司营收别同比增长 21.4%、20.0%和 15.3%；归母净利润分别同比增长 17.3%、 34.8%和 22.9%，EPS 分别为 1.48 元、1.99 元和 2.45 元，PE 分别为 35 倍、26 倍 和 21 倍，PB 分别为 8.1 倍、6.6 倍和 5.0 倍，PS 分别为 2.4 倍、2.0 倍和 1.7 倍， 估值优势较为显著。公司是个性化教育龙头企业和教育中概股回归"第一股"，个性 化教育、职业教育、文化阅读和医教融合等发展良好。公司拥有较为完善的业务网络， 丰富的产品矩阵，雄厚的师资力量，较多的研发投入，竞争力强，受益中高考"黄金 十年"。同时，另外，公司推出了股权激励计划和回购计划，有利于员工的积极性， 彰显对公司价值认可。看好公司未来的成长性，首次覆盖，给予"推荐"评级。 推荐 首次评级 当前价格： 51.99 元 [Table_Author] ➢ 风险提示：政策风险、市场竞争加 ...

➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报。2024 年公司实现营收 278.39 亿元，同比增 长 19.46%，归母净利润 8.47 亿元，同比增长 73.09%，扣非归母净利润 8.70 亿 元，同比增长 76.36%。单季度看，24Q4 公司实现营收 68.5 亿元，同比增长 50.53%，环比增长 16.98%，归母净利润 1.8 亿元，同比增长 71.32%，环比减 少 21.43%，扣非归母净利 2.0 亿元，同比增长 86.49%，环比减少 13.55%。业 绩符合我们此前预期。 ➢ 点评：金锑价格上行，助推公司业绩。量：整体：2024 年公司共生产黄金 46.33 吨，同比减少 2.87%，其中生产标准锑 29209 吨，同比减少 6.15%，其 中精锑 8686 吨，氧化锑 13258 吨，含量锑 4721 吨，乙二醇锑 2331 吨，氧 化锑母粒 213 吨；钨产量 1008 标吨，同比增加 7.12%；自产：2024 年公司自 产金 3.7 吨，同比减少 6.13%；自产锑 15227 吨，同比减少 13.2%；钨精矿自 产 879 标吨，同比增加 59.24%。生产目标：2025 年公司计 ...

湖南黄金（002155.SZ）2024 年年报点评 金锑共振，业绩表现亮眼 2025 年 04 月 12 日 ➢ 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报。2024 年公司实现营收 278.39 亿元，同比增 长 19.46%，归母净利润 8.47 亿元，同比增长 73.09%，扣非归母净利润 8.70 亿 元，同比增长 76.36%。单季度看，24Q4 公司实现营收 68.5 亿元，同比增长 50.53%，环比增长 16.98%，归母净利润 1.8 亿元，同比增长 71.32%，环比减 少 21.43%，扣非归母净利 2.0 亿元，同比增长 86.49%，环比减少 13.55%。业 绩符合我们此前预期。 ➢ 点评：金锑价格上行，助推公司业绩。量：整体：2024 年公司共生产黄金 46.33 吨，同比减少 2.87%，其中生产标准锑 29209 吨，同比减少 6.15%，其 中精锑 8686 吨，氧化锑 13258 吨，含量锑 4721 吨，乙二醇锑 2331 吨，氧 化锑母粒 213 吨；钨产量 1008 标吨，同比增加 7.12%；自产：2024 年公司自 产金 3.7 吨，同比减少 6.13%；自产锑 1522 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Views - The company’s subsidiary, Grammer, turned profitable in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of €487.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, and a net profit of €9.7 million, marking a turnaround from losses [2][3]. - The restructuring measures under the "Top 10" plan are beginning to show results, particularly in the EMEA region, which has positively impacted performance [2][4]. - The company is expanding its market presence in the electric vehicle sector, with significant growth potential in domestic seat assembly projects, having secured 21 projects with a total lifecycle value of approximately ¥888-935 billion [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Grammer's revenue was €487.4 million, with a net profit of €9.7 million, leading to a significant increase in net profit attributable to the parent company of ¥65.4 million, a year-on-year increase of ¥106.8 million [2][3]. - The company forecasts revenue for 2025 to reach ¥267.50 billion, with net profit expected to be ¥6.61 billion, translating to an EPS of ¥0.52 [4][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company aims to become a global leader in smart cockpits by leveraging the strengths of both Grammer and itself, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [4]. - The company has made significant strides in the passenger car seat business, achieving mass production and substantial revenue growth from new projects [3][4]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at ¥267.50 billion, ¥299.50 billion, and ¥359.50 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of ¥6.61 billion, ¥9.50 billion, and ¥13.47 billion [4][6].