Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, particularly focusing on the shopping center industry [4][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the consumption industry and shopping center sector in China still have significant growth potential, driven by an expected increase in total consumption and a structural recovery [4][5]. - Leading commercial companies have achieved stable same-store growth and expansion through operational alpha, which may lead to a revaluation of IP (Intellectual Property) values [4][5]. - The report draws comparisons with the U.S. commercial real estate market, highlighting that during five interest rate cut cycles, commercial real estate indices consistently yielded positive returns, significantly outperforming other asset classes [4][5]. Summary by Sections Macro Perspective - The domestic consumption sector remains under pressure, with retail sales growth gradually recovering to +4.3% as of October 2025, while CPI remains low at +0.2% [14][21]. - Compared to the U.S. and Japan during their real estate crises, China's consumption resilience is still relatively strong [14][21]. - Long-term growth potential exists in the consumption sector, particularly in shopping centers, as GDP per capita and retail sales per capita are expected to rise [28][31]. Mid-level Perspective - As of Q3 2025, the total area of centralized commercial space in China reached 661 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth of +4.4% [49]. - The number of new openings has decreased, but the proportion of reopened projects after adjustments has increased, indicating a shift in strategy [53]. - The report notes that 57% of existing projects have been open for over five years, highlighting the importance of effective asset management [53]. Micro Perspective - Leading companies in the sector exhibit significant operational efficiency, with top firms showing a concentration of 19% in opening area as of 2024 [4][5]. - Key companies are expected to see a revaluation of their IP, with potential increases of 39% for China Resources Land and 33% for New World Development [4][5]. - The report indicates that the average operating profit margin for IP is between 55% and 84%, with dividend yields for major companies exceeding 5% [4][5]. U.S. Market Review - The report highlights that during five interest rate cut cycles, the NCREIF commercial real estate price index achieved an average return of 31%, second only to gold [4][5]. - The long-term same-store NOI (Net Operating Income) growth in the U.S. has been stable, correlating positively with GDP growth [4][5]. Catalysts for Growth - The report suggests that the high barriers to entry in commercial operations will enhance the competitive advantage of leading firms, especially as the "residential development supports commercial" model weakens [4][5]. - The introduction of C-REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) is expected to further support the revaluation of commercial assets [4][5].

Group 1: Company Overview - The report focuses on Hengxuan Technology (688608.SH), a leader in low-power Bluetooth SoC, primarily targeting the mid-to-high-end brand market. The company has been dedicated to wireless ultra-low-power SoC chip design for 10 years, specializing in applications for TWS headphones, smartwatches, and AI glasses [4][10][13] - Hengxuan's products are widely used in devices from major brands such as Samsung, OPPO, Huawei, Xiaomi, Honor, and Xiaotiancai, showcasing its strong market presence and technological capabilities [10][13] Group 2: Financial Projections - The report provides a buy rating for Hengxuan Technology, forecasting revenue for 2025-2027 to be 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion respectively, with growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [4][11] - Projected net profit for the same period is estimated at 7.98 billion, 10.57 billion, and 13.00 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 45 and 34 for 2025 and 2026, indicating a 29% upside potential compared to comparable companies [4][11] Group 3: Product and Market Position - Hengxuan's TWS headphone SoC has a market share of approximately 10%, with an average selling price (ASP) close to 10 yuan per unit, positioning it as a leader among domestic manufacturers [10][11] - The company is also expanding its capabilities in smartwatch chips, with expected revenue of 10.45 billion in 2024, representing a 116% year-on-year growth and an output of over 40 million units [11][12] Group 4: Technological Advancements - Hengxuan has developed a unified software and algorithm framework that enhances customer stickiness by allowing multiple products to share a development environment [10][13] - The BES2800 chip, built on a 6nm process, integrates advanced features such as dual-core Cortex-M55 and self-developed NPU, balancing energy efficiency with local AI inference capabilities [10][13]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3876 points, with a slight decrease of 0.06% for the day and a 2.13% decline over the past five days [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2439 points, down 0.1% for the day and 1.94% over the past five days [1] - Large-cap indices showed a 0.39% increase yesterday but a 1.43% decline over the past month, while mid-cap and small-cap indices also experienced declines [1] Group 2: Industry Performance - Aerospace equipment II sector saw a significant increase of 7% yesterday, with a 9.41% rise over the past month and a 39.23% increase over the past six months [1] - The home appliance components sector increased by 3.83% yesterday but declined by 3.3% over the past month, with a notable 45.83% increase over the past six months [1] - The coal sector, particularly coking coal II, experienced a decline of 4.38% yesterday and a 2.65% decline over the past month, despite a 27.2% increase over the past six months [1] Group 3: Company Analysis - Hengxuan Technology - Hengxuan Technology specializes in low-power Bluetooth SoC chip design, focusing on high-end brand markets and applications in TWS headphones, smartwatches, and AI glasses [10][11] - The company has a market share of approximately 10% in TWS SoC shipments, with a high average selling price (ASP) of nearly 10 yuan per unit, leading the domestic market in revenue [10][11] - Projected revenues for Hengxuan Technology from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 42.53 billion, 54.41 billion, and 67.11 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 28%, and 23% [10][11]

Group 1 - The report highlights the rapid growth of the ETF market, with a total asset size of 6.72 trillion yuan as of Q3 2025, an increase of 1.11 trillion yuan from the previous quarter [3][5] - As of November 28, 2025, there are 1,369 ETFs in the market, with a total size of 56,886.98 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 850.44 billion yuan in the past week [6] - A-share ETFs and cross-border ETFs are the largest categories, with sizes of 36,057.20 billion yuan and 9,385.70 billion yuan, respectively [6] Group 2 - Guotai Fund has a comprehensive ETF layout, with 73 non-monetary ETFs totaling 2,657.25 billion yuan as of November 30, 2025 [10] - The report discusses the construction of an industry rotation strategy based on anchoring ratios and momentum acceleration, which aims to capture industry momentum trends more effectively [14][15] - The historical performance of the ETF combination from July 1, 2021, to November 30, 2025, shows a total return of 4.04% and an annualized return of 0.90%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.12% [19][21] Group 3 - The current ETF combination includes Guotai Shanghai Composite ETF (510760), Guotai MSCI China A ESG Universal ETF (159621), Guotai FTSE China A Free Cash Flow Focus ETF (159399), Guotai CSI Home Appliances ETF (159996), and Guotai CSI 2000 ETF (561370) [22][23] - The weights of the ETFs in the current combination are 20.85%, 18.95%, 19.91%, 19.00%, and 21.29%, respectively [23]

上 市 公 司 计算机 2025 年 12 月 04 日 柏楚电子 (688188) ——获船级社船体智能制造系统设计方案 AiP 认证，有 望开启成长新周期 报告原因：有信息公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 12 月 03 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 130.35 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 224.58/126.32 | | 市净率 | 6.3 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 2.17 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 37,636 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,878.00/12,955.25 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 20.83 | | 资产负债率% | 4.94 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 289/289 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 12-03 01-03 02- ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 单月过会10家优质项目，积极关注战配投资机遇 ——2025年北交所新股申购11月报 研究支持： 吕靖华 A0230124070002 证券分析师：刘靖 A0230512070005 王雨晴 A0230522010003 2025.12.04 主要内容 ◼ 融资&审核 ◼ 申购&发行 ◼ 上市&收益 (1) 11月5只新股上市，首日涨幅中值+337.15%，丹娜生物/大鹏工业/北矿检测/南特科技/中诚咨询首日涨幅为 +473.10%/+388.68%/+337.15%/+206.81%/+181.74%，1-11月无新股首日破发。 (2) 对于单只新股理论申购收益率，新 股丹娜生物/北矿检测/大鹏工业/南特科技/中诚咨询分别为+0.095%/+0.077%/+0.073%/+0.069%/+0.048%。 (3) 2024年 北交所新股申购累计收益率+4.01%（发行新股23只），25年1-11月新股申购理论收益率累计增厚+2.33%（发行上市新股 22只）（注：按首日均价计算涨幅，仅考虑中签率和涨幅，不考虑产品现金冗余）。 ◼ 2026年新股申购收益及收益率预测 www.swsrese ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the midstream and upstream PPI price increase chain [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the industrial sectors such as automotive manufacturing, oil and coal extraction and processing, black metal mining, and electricity and heat supply are showing improved performance in terms of revenue, industrial added value, and profit growth [2][3] - It emphasizes the potential for recovery in sectors like pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, textiles, and non-metallic materials, which are currently facing challenges but may present opportunities for supply clearing [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Industrial Sector Monthly Tracking - As of October 2025, revenue and profit growth rates are improving in midstream manufacturing and upstream resource sectors, while sectors like pharmaceuticals and consumer goods are still in a low growth phase [2][3] - Inventory and fixed asset growth rates are low, indicating ongoing supply chain adjustments in industries such as pharmaceuticals and non-metallic materials [2][3] Economic Climate - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 shows a slight recovery at 49.2%, with improved order and export order conditions, although service sector activities have returned to contraction [2][3] High-Frequency Indicators - In the automotive sector, retail sales of passenger vehicles decreased by 0.8% year-on-year in October 2025, while new energy vehicle sales grew by 7.3% [2][3] - The home appliance sector is facing high base pressure, with negative growth expected in domestic production due to previous demand surges and high base effects from 2024 [2][3] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing price stabilization, with white liquor and pork prices bottoming out, while dairy and meat prices are recovering [2][3] Advanced Manufacturing - The report notes that prices for new energy products remain high, with significant demand for lithium batteries and engineering machinery [3] - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged over 200% in the past year, indicating a tight supply-demand balance that may persist into 2026 [3] Financial Sector - The banking sector shows a slight increase in non-performing loan rates, but overall risk remains manageable, with net interest margins stabilizing [3] - Insurance premium income growth has slowed, reflecting a shift towards more flexible insurance products [3] Real Estate Chain - The real estate market is experiencing a decline in both sales and prices, with significant weakness in investment and construction activities [3] - Cement prices are fluctuating at low levels, while prices for glass and other building materials are stabilizing [3] Commodity Prices - Oil prices are fluctuating around $60 per barrel, while coal prices have rebounded above 800 yuan due to supply constraints and winter storage needs [3] - The report indicates a general upward trend in metal prices, driven by macroeconomic factors and expectations of interest rate cuts [3]

策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 2025 年 12 月 04 日 笃定前行，增持再贷款与预案金额 均大幅增长 ——上市公司回购增持月度跟踪（2025 年 11 月） 相关研究 《满怀信心，增持实施与预案金额 均大幅增长——上市公司回购增持 月度跟踪（2025 年 10 月）》 2025/11/04 证券分析师 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 陆灏川 A0230520080001 luhc@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 联系人 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 1 7 | 1.互换便利+回购增持再贷款，使用情况如何？ . | | --- | | 2.11 月回购、增持情况概览……………………………………… ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the sustainability of price increases in the midstream and upstream PPI chain, indicating a favorable environment for investment opportunities in these sectors [1] Industrial Sector Monthly Tracking - The automotive manufacturing, oil and coal extraction and processing, black metal mining, and electricity and heat sectors show improvements in economic indicators, while sectors like pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, textiles, and non-metallic materials are in a phase of supply clearing and potential recovery [2] - As of October 2025, industries with improving inventory and fixed asset growth include pharmaceuticals, non-metallic mining and products, light manufacturing, textiles, and food and beverage [2] Economic Conditions - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 slightly rebounded to 49.2%, with price conditions improving due to reduced internal competition; raw material prices are in an expansion phase [3] - Order conditions have improved, particularly in export orders, while inventory replenishment sentiment has decreased, with the service sector returning to contraction [3] High-Frequency Indicators by Sector - **Consumer Sector**: Service consumption outperforms durable goods, with strong resilience in external demand [3] - Automotive sales, particularly in new energy vehicles, show a year-on-year retail sales growth of 7.3% in October 2025, despite a 0.8% decline in overall passenger vehicle sales [3] - Home appliance sales face high base pressure, with negative growth expected in domestic production for major appliances due to previous demand overextension [3] - Retail growth in textiles stabilizes, with upstream raw material prices showing signs of recovery [3] - **Advanced Manufacturing**: Prices for new energy products remain high, with significant growth in sales of engineering machinery and heavy trucks [3] - The photovoltaic sector sees stable supply-demand dynamics, while lithium battery materials face severe supply-demand mismatches, leading to price increases [3] - **Technology Sector**: Improvements in telecommunications business volume and base station equipment shipments, with domestic chip sales accelerating [3] - **Financial Sector**: Insurance premium growth slows after product repricing, while secondary market transaction volumes recover [3] - **Real Estate Chain**: Real estate sales and prices remain weak, with cement prices fluctuating at low levels [3] - **Cyclical Commodities**: Oil prices fluctuate within a narrow range, while coal prices rise due to winter storage replenishment [3] Supply Indicators - As of October 2025, the inventory growth rate and fixed asset investment growth rate are low, indicating a continued process of supply clearing in various sectors [6]

Core Insights - The report highlights that the computer industry is experiencing a significant shift with a focus on three key areas: large models, computing power, and applications, indicating a competitive convergence and accelerated iteration [3][9] - Institutional holdings in the computer sector are at a historical low of 2.4% as of September 30, 2025, suggesting potential for growth in valuations [3][9] - The report anticipates a robust growth trajectory for the computer sector in 2025, characterized by a Q1 peak followed by steady growth [3][9] Summary by Sections Holdings and Valuation - Institutional holdings in the computer industry are at a historical low of 2.4%, indicating room for valuation expansion [3][9] - The PS/PCF valuation metrics suggest that there is still space for growth in the sector [3][9] Fundamental Analysis - A performance inflection point has been observed, with significant profit elasticity and the gradual formation of AI application catalysts [3][9] - The report identifies three major focus areas for 2026: large models, computing power, and applications, all of which are undergoing significant changes [3][9] Model Development - The gap between Chinese and American large models is narrowing, with expectations for further reduction and potential surpassing in certain areas by 2026 [3][9] - Future developments to watch include breakthroughs in long-context limitations, multi-modal and world models, and innovative training methods [3][9] Computing Infrastructure - The report discusses advancements in chip technology, supernodes, and AI infrastructure, indicating a multi-dimensional iteration that is closing the loop between computing power, models, and applications [3][9] - The evolution of chips from merely usable to highly efficient is highlighted, along with improvements in system efficiency through engineering innovations [3][9] AI Software - The software industry is entering an optimal layout window as large model values are being validated across multiple fields [4][9] - A significant number of companies are seeing AI revenue contributions exceeding 10%, marking a technological revolution in the software sector [4][9] - Promising areas for investment include Deep Research, AI programming, multi-modal applications, industry agents, and AI solutions for marketing, office, and finance [4][9]