Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [4] Core Viewpoints - The central government is expanding support for urban renewal actions, with a focus on enhancing urban infrastructure and improving living conditions. This includes a planned investment of 2.9 trillion yuan in over 60,000 urban renewal projects in 2024 [2][10][12]. - The report indicates that the real estate market is approaching a turning point, with expectations of incremental policy support to stabilize the industry. There is a growing consensus on the market bottom, suggesting a smoother logic for short-term policy speculation and long-term valuation recovery [14]. Summary by Sections 1. Urban Renewal Support - In June 2025, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development announced support for 20 cities in urban renewal actions, with a focus on infrastructure improvement and urban quality enhancement [9][10]. - The central government plans to provide fixed subsidies for cities undertaking urban renewal, with varying amounts based on regional classifications [10][11]. 2. Market Overview - The new housing market saw a transaction area of 211 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 19.53% in May 2025. The inventory reached 105.11 million square meters, with faster absorption in first and second-tier cities compared to third-tier cities [3][18]. - The second-hand housing market recorded a transaction area of 143 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 19.93% [26]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in non-state-owned enterprises benefiting from debt relief and policy support, as well as leading real estate companies with product advantages and regional firms with improving market shares [14]. - Specific companies to watch include: Longfor Group, China Overseas Development, Poly Development, and Beike [14][15].

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [6] Core Insights - British American Tobacco focuses on expanding the Glo product line in the second half of the year, with expectations for revenue growth driven by innovative products [1] - For the fiscal year 2025, British American Tobacco anticipates revenue growth of 1-2% and adjusted operating profit growth of 1.5%-2.5%, indicating strong resilience [1] - The U.S. market is expected to recover revenue and profit growth due to enhanced delivery capabilities of combustible tobacco products and the Velo Plus brand [1] - Despite a 9% year-on-year decline in industry sales, British American Tobacco has solidified its market share in the U.S. [1] - The electronic cigarette export value from China remained stable in April 2025, with a total export value of $8.77 billion, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.84% [4] Summary by Sections Emerging Tobacco Products - Velo is the fastest-growing product in the oral tobacco category, with a market share increase of 270 basis points to 14.3% and a modern oral tobacco share increase of 350 basis points to 29.7% [2] - The U.S. market saw a total volume share increase of 550 basis points to 11.9%, driven by high trial and retention rates [2] - Glo's market share decreased by 90 basis points due to intense competition in Japan, but the launch of Glo Hilo in Serbia showed promising results [2] E-Cigarettes - Vuse maintains its global value share leadership, but the U.S. and Canadian markets are affected by illegal products [3] - The company expects a double-digit revenue decline in the first half of the year, with improvements anticipated in the second half due to the phased launch of the Vuse Ultra product [3] - Long-term goals include revenue growth of 3-5% and adjusted operating profit growth of 4-6% by 2026 [3] Market Performance - The top five export destinations for Chinese e-cigarettes accounted for 65.96% of total exports, with the U.S. being the largest market at $3.34 billion [4] - The UAE market has shown significant growth, surpassing Malaysia to become the fifth-largest destination for Chinese e-cigarette exports [4] Investment Opportunities - Suggested companies to focus on include Smoore International, Yinghe Technology, and others in the vaping supply chain [5]

Group 1 - The report highlights the impact of trade tensions between the US and China, noting that after the US initiated tariff threats in March 2018, multiple high-level talks occurred, but the US frequently changed its stance, leading to a breakdown in negotiations and escalation of conflicts [2][29] - China's trade surplus has been increasing since 2020, with a projected total trade surplus of $1,105.3 billion by April 2025, compared to an average of $385.1 billion from 2018 to 2019 [2][29] - The report suggests that the domestic industrial production index is recovering, with specific sectors like methanol and polyester filament showing improvement, while others like Shandong refining and tires are declining [2][29] Group 2 - The report discusses the Chinese government's comprehensive financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, including initiatives to boost the digital economy, with a target for the core digital economy to account for over 10% of GDP by 2025 [3] - The development of multimodal large models in technology is emphasized, with companies like ByteDance and Alibaba making significant advancements in AI capabilities [3] - The report indicates that the self-sufficiency strategy remains a long-term focus, driven by national policies and the need for domestic supply chain resilience, particularly in sectors heavily reliant on imports from the US [4][6] Group 3 - The report identifies key investment opportunities in sectors with low valuations, particularly in defense, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, while suggesting a focus on the rhythm of industry development [6] - The report notes that the semiconductor industry is expected to see continued growth, driven by advancements in AI and the release of new products, particularly in the context of AI glasses and storage solutions [21][22] - The report highlights the performance of the REITs market, with a focus on infrastructure projects and the increasing activity in the sector, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [32]

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 房地产 证券研究报告 城更支持再扩围，关注中央预算内投资增量 行业追踪（2025.5.31-2025.6.6） 2025 年 6 月 4 日，财政部、住房城乡建设部 2025 年度中央财政支持实施城市更新行动评选 宣布，拟支持的 20 个城市为（按行政区划排序）：北京、天津、唐山、包头、大连、哈尔滨、 苏州、温州、芜湖、厦门、济南、郑州、宜昌、长沙、广州、海口、宜宾、兰州、西宁、乌鲁 木齐。自 2024 年起，中央财政支持部分城市实施城市更新行动。2024 年 5 月，财政部《关 于开展城市更新示范工作的通知》，文件提出自 2024 年起，中央财政创新方式方法，支持部 分城市开展城市更新示范工作。2024 年首批拟支持的 15 个城市为（按行政区划排序）：石家 庄、太原、沈阳、上海、南京、杭州、合肥、福州、南昌、青岛、武汉、东莞、重庆、成都、 西安。 2025 年，中央财政继续支持实施城市更新行动，探索建立可持续的城市更新机制，推动补齐 城市基础设施的短板弱项，加强消费型基础设施建设，促进城市基础设施建设由"有没有"向 "好不好"转变。2025 年 4 月，财政部、住房城乡建设部发 ...

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 2025 年 06 月 08 日 | 投资评级 | | | --- | --- | | 行业评级 | 强于大市（维持评级） | | 上次评级 | 强于大市 | 作者 刘奕町 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110523050001 liuyiting@tfzq.com 曾先毅 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110524060002 zengxianyi@tfzq.com 胡十尹 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110525010002 hushiyin@tfzq.com 吴亚宁 联系人 wuyaning@tfzq.com 行业走势图 -15% -7% 1% 9% 17% 25% 33% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 金属与材料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源数据 相关报告 1 《金属与材料-行业研究周报:黄金重 回 升 势 ，关 注权 益 板块 配 置机 会 》 2025-05-24 2 《金属与材料-行业研究周报:宏观情 绪 回 暖 ，看 好基 本 金属 向 上修 复 》 2025-05-18 3 《 金 属 与 材 料 - 行 业 深 度 研 究:24&2 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Insights - British American Tobacco focuses on expanding the Glo product line in the second half of the year, with expectations for revenue growth driven by innovative products [1] - The company anticipates a revenue increase of 1-2% for the fiscal year 2025, with adjusted operating profit expected to rise by 1.5%-2.5% [1] - Despite a 9% year-on-year decline in industry sales, British American Tobacco has solidified its market share in the U.S. [1] - The electronic cigarette export value from China remained stable in April 2025, with a total export amount of $8.77 billion, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.84% [4] Summary by Sections Emerging Industry - British American Tobacco's revenue for the first half of 2025 is better than expected, with strong performance in the Americas, Middle East, and Europe regions [1] - The modern oral tobacco product Velo is experiencing rapid growth, increasing its market share by 270 basis points to 14.3% [2] - Glo's market share has decreased by 90 basis points, primarily due to competition in Japan, but Glo Hilo's launch in Serbia shows promising results [2] Electronic Cigarettes - Vuse maintains its global value share leadership, but faces challenges from illegal products in the U.S. and Canada [3] - The company expects a double-digit revenue decline in the first half of the year, with improvements anticipated in the second half due to the launch of Vuse Ultra [3] - Long-term goals include a revenue growth target of 3-5% and adjusted operating profit growth of 4-6% by 2026 [3] Export Data - In the first four months of 2025, China's electronic cigarette exports totaled $3.242 billion, with the U.S. being the largest market, accounting for $334 million [4] - The UAE market has shown significant growth, surpassing Malaysia to become the fifth-largest destination for Chinese electronic cigarette exports [4] Investment Opportunities - Suggested companies to focus on include Smoore International, Yinghe Technology, and others in the vaping supply chain [5]

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in infrastructure expectations in the western region, with significant opportunities emerging in the building materials sector [2][3] - The real estate market is expected to stabilize with government support, as indicated in the 2025 Government Work Report, which aims to promote a recovery in the real estate market [2][14] - The report identifies key projects that will drive demand for building materials, including the Three Gorges New Channel and the Mêdog Hydropower Station, which are expected to significantly boost cement demand [3][19] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.88%, while the building materials sector (CITIC) increased by 0.59% this week, with most sub-sectors showing positive returns [12] - Notable stock performances included Shandong Glass Fiber (+18.4%) and Quartz Shares (+14.1%) [12] Western Infrastructure Expectations - The report notes a significant increase in special bond issuance in central and western regions, with Sichuan (+162%), Chongqing (+35%), and Shaanxi (+1162%) showing remarkable growth [3][16] - Fixed asset investments in Tibet and Xinjiang also increased by 16.5% and 17.2% respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the region [3] Key Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks based on project involvement: Huaxin Cement, Xizang Tianlu, and Qingsong Jianhua, among others, which are expected to benefit from upcoming infrastructure projects [3][19] - The focus is on traditional building materials companies that are expected to see long-term value, as well as new energy materials that are likely to continue their growth trajectory [19] Building Materials Sub-Sector Tracking - Cement prices have shown a slight decline of 1.2% this week, with regional variations in price adjustments [17] - The glass market, particularly photovoltaic glass, is experiencing price drops due to weak demand, with significant inventory levels reported [17][18]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the stablecoin industry or Circle Core Insights - The global stablecoin market has a market capitalization exceeding $236.6 billion as of June 8, 2025, representing a growth of over 45 times since 2019, with expectations to reach a trillion-dollar scale in the future [3][15] - USDT and USDC dominate the stablecoin market, holding 64% and 25% of the market share respectively, indicating strong network effects and competitive barriers [4][20] - Regulatory frameworks are becoming clearer globally, with significant legislation such as the MiCA regulation in Europe and the GENIUS Act in the US, which are expected to accelerate the adoption of stablecoins [4][41] - Stablecoins are primarily used for cryptocurrency trading and DeFi activities but are increasingly penetrating the payment sector, offering advantages over traditional systems like SWIFT and ACH [4][28][31] Summary by Sections 1. Stablecoin Market Overview - Stablecoins are designed to maintain price stability by pegging their value to other assets, primarily fiat currencies [11] - The market has seen rapid growth, with stablecoins becoming a primary medium for trading on major platforms, accounting for 88% of Binance's trading volume as of June 3, 2025 [15][16] 2. Competitive Landscape - The stablecoin market is highly concentrated, with the top three stablecoins (USDT, USDC, and USDS) accounting for 92% of the market share [20] - Traditional financial institutions and governments are entering the stablecoin space, but the first-mover advantage of USDT and USDC remains significant [23][27] 3. Application Scenarios - Stablecoins are increasingly being adopted in payment systems, with transaction volumes exceeding $10.8 trillion in 2023, showing a 17% year-over-year growth [28][31] - The potential for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is significant, with estimates suggesting a market size in the hundreds of trillions of dollars [34][35] 4. Regulatory Developments - Major economies are establishing regulatory frameworks for stablecoins, enhancing clarity and compliance, which is expected to drive market growth [41][46] - The US GENIUS Act and the EU MiCA regulation are pivotal in shaping the future of stablecoin issuance and management [41][42] 5. Circle's Position - Circle is a leading compliant dollar stablecoin issuer, with USDC being the second-largest stablecoin by market capitalization at approximately $58.8 billion [5] - The company focuses on building a comprehensive financial infrastructure around USDC, enhancing its adoption through partnerships with major exchanges and financial institutions [5][50]

金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 量化择时周报：步入震荡上沿，维持中性仓位 步入震荡上沿，维持中性仓位 上上周周报(20250525)认为：短期市场宏观不确定性增加和成交萎缩的压 制下，风险偏好较难快速提升，预计成交或将继续下行，等待地量信号， 预计成交缩量至 9000 亿附近有望迎来反弹。最终 wind 全 A 上周表现强势， 全周大涨 1.61%。市值维度上，上周代表小市值股票的中证 2000 上涨 2.29%， 中盘股中证 500 上涨 1.6%，沪深 300 上涨 0.88%，上证 50 上涨 0.38%;上周 中信一级行业中，表现较强行业包括通信、有色金属，通信上涨 5.06%，家 电、食品饮料表现较弱，家电下跌 1.75%。上周成交活跃度上，非银金融资 金流入明显。 从择时体系来看，我们定义的用来区别市场整体环境的 wind 全 A 长期均 线（120 日）和短期均线（20 日）的距离开始扩大，最新数据显示 20 日 线收于 5115，120 日线收于 5081 点，短期均线位于长线均线之上，两线 差值由上周的 0.29%变化至 0.68%，但距离绝对值继续小于 3%，市场继续处 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the REITs industry Core Insights - The Shanghai Municipal Development and Reform Commission has proposed measures to enhance the quality and expansion of infrastructure REITs in the city, encouraging local enterprises to actively apply for project reserves [1][7] - The overall REITs market showed positive performance, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index increasing by 1.58% during the week of June 3 to June 6, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.69 percentage points [2][17] - The total issuance scale of listed REITs reached 1,744 billion yuan, with 66 REITs issued as of June 6, 2025 [8] Industry Dynamics - The Shanghai Municipal Development and Reform Commission has issued a notification to strengthen project reserve planning for infrastructure REITs, establishing a "green channel" for high-quality projects [1][7] Primary Market - As of June 6, 2025, the total issuance scale of listed REITs reached 1,744 billion yuan, with a total of 66 REITs issued [8] Market Performance - During the week of June 3 to June 6, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index rose by 1.58%, while the REITs Total Index increased by 1.57% [2][17] - The leading performers included the China Merchants Highway REIT, which increased by 7.96% [2][17] Liquidity - The total trading volume of REITs increased, with a total trading amount (MA5) of 498 million yuan, up 4.6% from the previous week [3][37] - The largest REITs type by trading amount was transportation infrastructure, accounting for 32.4% of the total [3][37] Valuation - The report does not provide specific valuation metrics for the REITs industry