Group 1: Report Summary - The ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.18% last week; short - term and medium - long - term pure bond funds rose 0.02% and 0.05% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.11% each [2] Group 2: Capital Flows - As of January 16, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 16.512 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.307 billion yuan, 14.018 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 2.814 billion yuan respectively [4] - Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.274 billion yuan, 0.113 billion yuan, and 0.05 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a net outflow of 5.776 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net outflow of 8.679 billion yuan [4] - As of January 16, 2026, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 60.615 billion yuan, 487.023 billion yuan, and 25.964 billion yuan respectively since 2025, totaling 573.603 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Net Value Performance - Overall, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose last week. As of January 16, 2026, Boshi 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.37% for the week. Huaxia Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.31%, and the 10 - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.36%. Convertible Bond ETF and SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 1.05% and 0.68% respectively last week [5] Group 4: Credit Bond ETF and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Performance - As of January 16, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0128 and 1.0010 respectively, rising 0.09% and 0.07% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, Dacheng Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.10% for the week. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, Invesco and Wanjia Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs performed relatively well [6] - As of January 16, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 21BP, and that of sci - tech innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [6] Group 5: Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 16, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.34 years, 1.56 years, and 2.13 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.58 years and 2.80 years respectively [7] - Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond indexes were 3.31 years, 3.24 years, and 3.16 years respectively [7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report This week (January 12 - January 16), the money market rates showed a divergence, with large - scale banks increasing their average daily lending, and funds reducing leverage. The maturity volume of certificates of deposit (CDs) increased, and most of the CD maturity yields declined. In the cash bond trading, the main buyers were insurance companies, which mainly increased their holdings of 15 - 30Y interest - rate bonds. Large - scale banks increased their purchases of 7 - 10Y interest - rate bonds, funds mainly increased their holdings of 1 - 3Y credit bonds and 3 - 5Y other bonds (including Tier 2 and perpetual bonds), and wealth management products increased their allocation to CDs [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Money Market - **Open - market operations**: This week, there were 138.7 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities. The central bank cumulatively injected 951.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases, 900 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchases were injected, and 600 billion yuan matured. The net injection for the whole week was 1112.8 billion yuan [5][8]. - **Money market rates**: As of January 16, R001, R007, DR001, and DR007 were 1.37%, 1.51%, 1.32%, and 1.44% respectively, with changes of 2.54BP, - 0.2BP, 4.72BP, and - 2.97BP compared to January 9, and were at the 17%, 9%, 14%, and 3% historical percentiles respectively [5][10]. - **Large - scale banks' lending**: From January 12 to January 16, the total lending scale of large - scale banks was 29.02 trillion yuan, with a daily maximum lending scale of 6.2 trillion yuan and an average daily lending scale of 5.8 trillion yuan, a 0.06 - trillion - yuan increase compared to the previous week's average [15]. - **Pledged repurchase trading volume**: The average daily trading volume was 8.62 trillion yuan, with a daily maximum of 8.94 trillion yuan, a 14.90% increase compared to the previous week's average. The average daily proportion of overnight repurchase transactions decreased by 0.64 percentage points, and as of January 16, it was at the 97.3% percentile [5][17]. 3.2 Certificates of Deposit and Bills - **CD issuance and financing**: The CD issuance scale increased compared to the previous week, and the net financing turned negative. The total issuance was 552.88 billion yuan, an increase of 377.82 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The total maturity was 808.46 billion yuan, an increase of 480.1 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The net financing was - 255.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 102.28 billion yuan compared to the previous week [5][21]. - **CD maturity volume**: The CD maturity volume increased this week, with a total of 808.46 billion yuan, an increase of 480.1 billion yuan compared to the previous week. In the new week (January 19 - January 23), the CD maturity was 706.39 billion yuan [21][26]. - **CD issuance rates**: The CD issuance rates of different banks and different maturities showed a divergence. As of January 16, the one - year CD issuance rates of joint - stock banks, state - owned banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks changed by - 0.5BP, - 2.5BP, 3.04BP, and - 7BP respectively compared to January 9. The 1M, 3M, and 6M CD issuance rates changed by 1BP, 0.7BP, and - 4.88BP respectively compared to January 9 [28]. - **Shibor rates**: The Shibor rates increased. As of January 16, the overnight, 1 - week, 2 - week, 1M, and 3M Shibor rates changed by 5.3BP, 0.9BP, 0.9BP, 0.1BP, and 0.5BP respectively compared to January 9 [30]. - **CD maturity yields**: Most of the CD maturity yields declined. As of January 16, the 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M, and 1Y maturity yields of AAA - rated ChinaBond commercial bank CDs changed by - 1.25BP, 0BP, - 1.09BP, - 1BP, and - 0.75BP respectively compared to January 9 [5][34]. - **Bill rates**: The bill rates declined. As of January 16, the 3M state - owned bank direct discount rate, 3M state - owned bank transfer discount rate, 6M state - owned bank direct discount rate, and 6M state - owned bank transfer discount rate changed by - 2BP, - 2BP, - 8BP, and - 4BP respectively compared to January 9 [5][36]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior Tracking - **Inter - bank leverage ratio**: The inter - bank leverage ratio in the bond market decreased slightly. As of January 16, it decreased by 0.08 percentage points to 105.66% compared to January 9, and was at the 46.40% historical percentile since 2021 [39]. - **General fund leverage ratio**: The general fund leverage ratio declined slightly. As of January 16, the bank leverage ratio, securities leverage ratio, insurance leverage ratio, and general fund leverage ratio were 103.9%, 195.8%, 133.5%, and 104.1% respectively, with changes of - 0.1BP, 5.51BP, 0.46BP, and - 0.02BP compared to January 9, and were at the 48%, 7%, 93%, and 4% historical percentiles respectively [5][41]. - **Net purchase duration**: The net purchase weighted average duration of funds decreased, while that of insurance companies increased slightly. As of January 16, the net purchase weighted average duration (MA = 10) of funds was - 3.71 years, a decrease from - 2.51 years on January 9; that of wealth management products was - 1.54 years, a decrease; that of securities was - 7.49 years, a decrease; and that of insurance companies was 9.93 years, an increase [5][43]. - **Duration of pure - bond funds**: The duration of medium - and long - term pure - bond funds decreased slightly, while that of short - term pure - bond funds increased. As of January 16, the duration of medium - and long - term pure - bond funds decreased by 0.02 years to 3.26 years compared to January 9, and was at the 13% historical percentile since 2025; the duration of short - term pure - bond funds increased by 0.01 years to 1.77 years compared to January 9, and was at the 76% historical percentile since 2025 [47].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing performance of the pharmaceutical sector, with a focus on the upcoming annual earnings forecasts and the potential for exceeding expectations. The sector has shown a return of 7.08% since the beginning of 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.88% [8][12]. - Key catalysts in the industry include significant partnerships and acquisitions, such as AbbVie’s $6.5 billion upfront payment for RC148 and a $1 billion collaboration between Eli Lilly and NVIDIA to accelerate AI drug development [4][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative drug chains and the AI+ theme, suggesting that these areas will continue to attract investment and yield positive results [4][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical sector's total market capitalization is approximately 74,744.70 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 68,522.64 billion yuan [2]. - The report notes that the pharmaceutical sector is currently valued at 23.4 times PE based on 2026 earnings forecasts, which is a premium of 13.7% compared to the overall A-share market [15]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the pharmaceutical sector has experienced a mixed performance, with medical services up by 3.29% while other segments like medical devices and traditional Chinese medicine have seen declines [8][12]. - The report also mentions that the market is transitioning to a more rational and steady growth phase, moving away from the initial volatility seen at the start of the year [4]. Key Company Performances - Notable companies such as WuXi Biologics, Sangamo Therapeutics, and Tigermed have been highlighted for their strong performance, with WuXi Biologics showing a significant increase of 26.53% in January [24]. - The report suggests continued monitoring of companies involved in AI and small nucleic acid technologies, as they are expected to lead future growth in the sector [5][9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are well-positioned within the innovative drug chain and AI+ sectors, as these are anticipated to provide substantial returns [4][5]. - Specific stocks recommended include WuXi Biologics, Sangamo Therapeutics, and Tigermed, which have shown promising growth trajectories [24].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The subprime mortgage crisis was primarily caused by the rapid issuance of subprime loans due to the Federal Reserve's low-interest policies, leading to increased household leverage and speculative behavior in housing markets [51] - The crisis saw a significant decline in housing prices, with a drop of approximately 26% from 2007 to 2012, followed by a recovery that saw prices surpass pre-crisis levels by 2016 [7][75] - The effectiveness of traditional monetary policy (interest rate cuts) was limited, while unconventional monetary policies (quantitative easing) and substantial fiscal policies had a more pronounced impact on stabilizing the economy and housing market [78] Summary by Sections 1. Subprime Crisis Overview - Prior to the crisis, the U.S. housing price index experienced a significant increase, with a peak growth rate of 14.44% in 2005, while the overall GDP growth was only 7.25% during the same period [7] - The homeownership rate peaked at 69% in 2004, significantly above historical averages, and fell to 63.4% by 2016 [10] 2. Subprime Crisis Rescue Policies and Effects - The Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate from 5.31% in 2007 to 0.11% by 2009, a decrease of 5.20 percentage points [55] - The total budget cap for three major fiscal stimulus acts exceeded $1.6 trillion, equivalent to 11% of the U.S. GDP in 2008 [58] - Housing prices continued to decline until mid-2009, with a year-on-year decrease of -12.58% in March 2009, before beginning to recover [62] 3. Housing Market Dynamics - The rental yield in the U.S. remained stable from 2000 to 2015, with a peak of approximately 8.1% in Q1 2012, while mortgage rates fell significantly [66] - The S&P 500 index dropped from 1549 points in October 2007 to 735 points in February 2009, recovering to 1569 points by March 2013 [71] 4. Economic Recovery Indicators - The U.S. GDP experienced four consecutive quarters of negative growth from Q4 2008 to Q3 2009, recovering to pre-crisis levels by Q3 2010 [71] - The unemployment rate rose from 4.4% in April 2007 to 10.0% in October 2009, returning to 4.4% by March 2017 [75]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - This week's macro data is positive. Social financing and export data both exceeded expectations, and the settlement and sale of foreign exchange reached a new high for a single month in the past 10 years. The improvement in corporate credit and strong export performance indicate an economic recovery. The commodity market has cooled down, and the bond market has entered a relatively balanced range [1][2][3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Data Continued to Improve, Corporate Credit Improved, and Exports Were Strong - In December 2025, the social financing growth rate was higher than expected, with loan components providing support and a significant improvement in corporate credit. New social financing in December was 22,080 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.30%. Corporate short-term loans were stronger than seasonal trends, and medium- and long-term loans improved year-on-year [9] - Exports in December increased by 6.6% year-on-year, and the full-year increase was 5.5%, both significantly exceeding market expectations. The settlement and sale of foreign exchange surplus in December reached the highest level for a single month since 2014, at 999.3 billion US dollars [2][9] - Historically, exchange rate appreciation is relatively beneficial to domestic assets. The central bank emphasized "preventing overshoot risks" in its recent statements [2][10] Commodity Market Pulled Back, and the Range of Rising Commodities "Narrowed" - Since the beginning of the year, commodities and equities have emerged in resonance, led by precious metals and non-ferrous metals. The Nanhua Commodity Index has risen by 3.7%. The market is mainly driven by geopolitical uncertainties and optimistic expectations for metals. The strength order is precious metals > non-ferrous metals > black metals > agricultural products > energy and chemicals [3][12] - After the Shanghai Stock Exchange raised the margin ratio for margin trading and the exchange introduced restrictions on some popular varieties, the commodity market cooled down. Only precious metals continued to rise, while the growth of non-ferrous metals slowed, and energy, chemicals, black metals, and agricultural products turned from rising to falling [3][14] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, there is an extreme style differentiation. Large-cap "value" varieties such as copper and aluminum are oscillating, lacking strong driving funds, while small-cap "growth" non-ferrous metals are highly elastic. Small metals are driven by supply factors, but their prices are volatile and difficult to sustain. Precious metals are mainly affected by geopolitical variables, with gold being less volatile than silver [3][16][19] Bond Market Entered a Relatively Balanced Range, and Attention Should Be Paid to the Differentiated Trends of Long-Term Bonds - Currently, the interest rate market has entered a relatively balanced range. The 30-year Treasury bond rate is around 2.3%, and the 10-year Treasury bond rate quickly returned to the central bank's desired range (around 1.85%) after a brief fluctuation [5][20] - For interest rate bonds, the short-term downward space is limited. Bond market sentiment has improved, and large banks have increased their purchases of 7 - 10-year bonds, which may indicate more policy easing. The profit of short-selling interest rate bonds has also decreased [5][20] - The strategy of short-selling local government bonds is attracting more attention, which may bring trading opportunities for widening spreads. The borrowing of local government bonds has increased, mainly due to concerns about supply and the narrowing of the spread between old local government bonds and old Treasury bonds [5][21] - For Tier 2 capital bonds and perpetual bonds, continuous buying is the key to the continuation of the market. Buying may come from dividend insurance and "fixed income +" accounts. However, for large institutional investors, the attractiveness of perpetual bonds is limited compared to equities at current levels. The allocation strength of "fixed income +" funds needs to be monitored [6][21]

Group 1 - The report highlights a spring market rally in A-shares driven by a "fear of missing out" mentality, leading to significant price increases [3][4] - The adjustment in financing margin ratios by the China Securities Regulatory Commission aims to prevent overheating in the market, promoting a slow bull market rather than ending the current bull run [3][6] - The report notes a shift in capital from high-leverage sectors to low-leverage sectors, indicating a more cautious investment approach [4][6] Group 2 - The AI industry chain is identified as a key investment focus, with a consensus forming around the logic of "storage drives computing power, and computing power leads to applications" [5] - The insurance sector is highlighted as a suitable contributor to absolute returns, benefiting from a bull market and showing defensive characteristics during corrections [5] - A combination investment strategy is recommended, focusing on sectors with high technological contributions and stable growth, such as chemicals, home appliances, and display panels [5] Group 3 - The report indicates that the balance of margin financing has reached 2.68 trillion yuan, surpassing previous highs, suggesting a cautious but optimistic market outlook [6][10] - The report discusses the performance of various sectors, noting that industries such as computers, non-bank financials, and pharmaceuticals have seen increased leverage, while others like defense and agriculture have begun to deleverage [7][8] - The report emphasizes the strong inflow of foreign capital, which has become a significant short-term market driver, contrasting with the more modest increase in margin financing [8][9] Group 4 - The report on the medical consumables procurement indicates a clear shift towards rational price competition, with a mechanism introduced to prevent extreme low pricing [15][16] - The procurement results show a high selection rate for domestic companies, particularly in the urology intervention market, indicating a trend towards domestic substitution [16] - The report suggests that the optimized procurement rules will positively impact leading companies with strong product capabilities and nationwide supply capabilities, enhancing their competitive position [16][17]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The State Grid Corporation of China plans to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, which represents a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, aimed at developing a new power system and enhancing the supply chain [21][22] - The global lithium-ion battery shipment is expected to reach 2,280.5 GWh in 2025, with a growth rate of 47.6% year-on-year, driven by demand in the energy storage sector [14] - The report highlights significant developments in the energy storage sector, including a 2.2 GW independent energy storage project in Hohhot and a 10 GWh energy storage system factory to be built by Sungrow in Egypt [18][19] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - Container Technology signed a major procurement agreement with CATL to supply 3.05 million tons of lithium iron phosphate materials from Q1 2026 to 2031, with a total sales value exceeding 120 billion yuan [12] - The report recommends focusing on companies like CATL and EVE Energy, as well as new technology directions such as solid-state batteries [6] Energy Storage Sector - Hohhot's independent energy storage project will have a construction scale of 2.2 GW, expected to be operational by the end of 2027 [18] - Sungrow will invest in a 10 GWh energy storage system factory in Egypt, marking a significant step in localizing battery storage system manufacturing [19][20] Power Equipment Sector - The State Grid's investment plan aims to support the construction of a new power system, with a focus on renewable energy integration and enhancing grid capabilities [21][22] - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in ultra-high voltage projects and power equipment exports [6] Photovoltaic Sector - The report notes stable prices for silicon materials and an increase in silicon wafer production, with expectations for a slight rise in production in January [24][25] - The demand for photovoltaic components remains under pressure due to high prices, but there is an anticipated upward trend in component prices [27][28] Wind Power Sector - The report highlights significant offshore wind projects in both domestic and international markets, with recommendations to focus on leading cable and turbine manufacturers [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the industry investment rating [1][2][3] Core Viewpoints of the Report - The spring rally in the A-share market at the beginning of the year was driven by the fear of missing out, but after the regulatory adjustment of the minimum margin ratio for margin trading, the market shifted from a rapid rise to a slow bull market. The two - margin funds did not leave but switched from high - leverage to low - leverage sectors. The left - hand force of the spring rally came from institutional investors, while foreign capital and margin trading formed the right - hand acceleration, with foreign capital participating more actively [2][15] - The AI industry chain is the main direction where funds form a consensus. The logic of "storage driving computing power, and computing power leading to applications" is expected to be a popular investment direction. Insurance in the financial sector can contribute absolute returns, and industries such as chemicals, home appliances, and panels can be considered for portfolio investment [3][28][29] Summary According to the Directory Market Review: From High - Speed Growth to Active Cooling - At the beginning of the year, the A - share market experienced a spring rally. From the beginning of the year to January 13, the Sci - tech Innovation 50 index rose 9.33%, and sectors such as media, computer, and national defense and military industry led the gains. The proportion of margin trading turnover in the total turnover reached 11.5%, approaching the upper limit of the historical average plus twice the standard deviation [8] - On January 14, the regulatory authorities announced an increase in the margin ratio from 80% to 100%, which was a measure to cool down the over - heated market sentiment. After the adjustment, there was a "hot - cold switch" in the broad - based index and industry structure. In the broad - based index, leveraged funds shifted from small - cap to large - cap stocks. In the industry structure, funds shifted from high - volatility themes to undervalued blue - chips [11][12][13] Slow Bull Trend Established, Leverage Cooling, but Bullish Sentiment Remains - Margin trading accelerated the spring rally but was not the dominant force. The spring rally was mainly driven by domestic institutional investors, with foreign capital and margin trading accelerating on the right - hand side, and foreign capital's participation was more significant. Comparing the trading volume ratios of 9 trading days before and after New Year's Day, the trading volume ratio of north - bound funds increased from 10.2% to 11.6%, while that of margin trading only increased from 11.0% to 11.4% [15] - While broad - based ETFs experienced large - scale outflows, theme - based ETFs continued to see inflows. For example, from January 14 to 16, the average daily net outflow of the CSI 300 ETF reached 14.71 billion yuan, while sectors such as non - ferrous metals, consumption, securities, and medical devices saw capital inflows [19][20] Tightening Micro - environment Accelerates Stock Game, with Both Offensive and Defensive Strategies - The marginal tightening of the micro - liquidity environment led to a stock game and structural optimization. The AI industry chain remained the main line, and some funds flowed back to sectors such as home appliances and chemicals with high safety margins [25] - The capital flow in the AI industry showed a "spiral relay" pattern, starting from storage chips and commercial aerospace, moving to AI applications, and then flowing back to storage and spreading to embodied intelligent robots. The semiconductor and media ETFs remained at the forefront, indicating strong market recognition of the AI industry chain [26] Index Uptrend Slows, Strong Focus on the AI Industry Chain - The AI industry chain's "storage - computing power - application" logic is expected to be a popular investment direction. The performance of US stocks provides a strong reference, and the continuous strength of overseas technology giants has raised the valuation ceiling for A - share counterparts [28] - Insurance in the financial sector can contribute absolute returns. It benefits from the bull market and the rise of the technology sector in terms of asset - side profitability and has defensive properties when offensive sectors adjust [28] - For portfolio investment, technology sectors can provide high returns and elasticity, while sectors such as chemicals, home appliances, and panels with improving fundamentals and healthy chip structures can be used as stable investment options [29]

Core Insights - The report highlights the "Net Profit Gap Strategy" which achieved an absolute return of 6.60% this year, with an annualized return of 29.76% since 2010, outperforming the benchmark by 25.95% [10][11] - The "Davis Double Play Strategy" has shown a historical annualized return of 26.45% from 2010 to 2017, with consistent excess returns exceeding 11% in each year of the backtest period [4][9] - The "Enhanced CSI 300 Portfolio" has demonstrated stable excess returns, with a relative excess return of 3.08% this year and 2.17% for the week [13][18] Net Profit Gap Strategy - This strategy focuses on stocks that show a significant upward price gap on the first trading day following earnings announcements, indicating market recognition of earnings surprises [10] - The strategy constructs a portfolio by selecting the top 50 stocks based on the magnitude of the price gap after earnings announcements [10] Davis Double Play Strategy - The strategy involves buying stocks with low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios that have strong growth potential, aiming to sell them once their growth is recognized and PE ratios increase [4][7] - Historical performance shows that the strategy has consistently outperformed the benchmark, achieving a total return of 4.64% as of January 16, 2026, while underperforming the CSI 500 index by 5.63% this year [9][11] Enhanced CSI 300 Portfolio - This portfolio is constructed based on investor preferences, including GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price), growth, and value investing styles [13] - The strategy aims to identify undervalued stocks with strong profitability and growth potential, achieving a stable historical excess return [18]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market cooled slightly in the second week of the new year. The margin trading and short - selling (MTS) new rules achieved a "preventive" cooling effect before the market overheated, and the slow - bull trend was established. MTS funds showed differentiation rather than a retreat, and northbound funds had a strong willingness to flow in, although the net outflow of broad - based ETFs accelerated [5][11]. - Institutions took a left - hand approach, while MTS and northbound funds served as accelerators for the incremental funds since the beginning of the year. Northbound funds became an incremental force for short - term market activity [9]. - The performance of broad - based indexes was differentiated. Large - cap and dividend indexes declined, while technology stocks and micro - cap stocks performed well [10][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Performance - This week, broad - based indexes showed differentiated performance. Large - cap indexes such as the CSI 300 and the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.6% and 0.4% respectively, and the dividend index dropped by 1.8%. Technology stocks and micro - cap stocks performed well, with the ChiNext and the STAR 50 rising by 1.0% and 2.6% respectively, and micro - cap stocks increasing by 1.7% [10][13]. Leveraged Funds - Since the spring rally, the MTS balance has rapidly recovered. As of January 15, the MTS balance reached 2.69 trillion yuan, exceeding the highs in 2015 and 2021. The proportion of MTS balance to the market value of tradable shares reached 2.59%, slightly exceeding the high in March 2022 [21]. - The proportion of MTS trading volume to A - share trading volume rose in the first week of the new year and touched the "mean + 2 standard deviations". This week, it rebounded slightly, with the average rising from 11.27% to 11.33%, slightly lower than the "mean + 2 standard deviations" [21]. - Since the beginning of the year, leveraged funds have flowed into major broad - based indexes significantly. In the first week, the average daily net purchase of margin trading in the Shanghai Composite Index, the CSI 500, and the CSI 1000 exceeded 3 billion yuan. This week, the net inflow of MTS in the CSI 500 and the CSI 1000 decreased significantly on Wednesday and Thursday, while the MTS funds in the STAR 50 continued to flow in at an accelerated pace [26]. - From Monday to Tuesday this week, industries such as household appliances, non - banking, media, pharmaceutical biology, computers, and non - ferrous metals had a relatively large proportion of MTS net purchases to trading volume. From Wednesday to Thursday, industries such as national defense and military industry, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, coal, and building materials shifted from adding leverage to de - leveraging. The proportion of MTS net purchases to trading volume in industries such as media, household appliances, pharmaceuticals, computers, and non - ferrous metals decreased significantly. After January 13, the proportion of MTS net purchases to trading volume in industries such as banks, public utilities, food and beverages, non - banking, and electronics increased [6][27]. - This week, stocks of all market - value gradients added leverage. After the MTS new rules, stocks of different market values showed differentiation. Since Wednesday, the proportion of MTS net purchases to trading volume of stocks with a market value of over 100 billion yuan increased, while that of stocks with a market value of less than 100 billion yuan decreased [35]. - The proportion of MTS net purchases to trading volume of popular stocks increased. The average proportion of leveraged funds in the trading volume of the top 35 popular stocks rose to 6.30% this week, still lower than the 9.42% in the last week of August. On Wednesday, popular stocks such as Cambricon, Goldwind Science & Technology, and Kunlun Tech de - leveraged. From Thursday to Friday, popular stocks such as Zhongji Innolight, Kweichow Moutai, and Luxshare Precision added leverage [42][44]. ETF Funds - From Wednesday to Friday, the net outflow of broad - based ETFs was relatively large. The average daily net outflow of the CSI 300 ETF reached 14.7 billion yuan, and the average daily net outflow of the SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 ETFs exceeded 5 billion yuan [48]. Quantitative Funds - This week, the premium of the near - term stock index futures basis widened, and the discount of the far - term futures narrowed. The discount deepened only on Wednesday and then recovered. Overall, the demand for hedging decreased [52]. Northbound Funds - Since Q4 2025, due to the relaxation of US monetary policy, the increasing expectation of US dollar depreciation, and the narrowing of the Sino - US interest rate spread, net foreign exchange settlement has increased, leading to the passive release of RMB and the return of RMB [59]. - Foreign capital actively participated as a right - hand force in the market rally at the beginning of the year, with a higher degree of participation than MTS funds. Comparing the trading volume proportions in the nine trading days before and after New Year's Day, the trading volume proportion of northbound funds increased from 10.2% to 11.6%, a rise of 1.4 percentage points, while that of MTS funds only increased from 11.0% to 11.4%, a rise of 0.4 percentage points [61]. - This week, the total trading volume of northbound funds rebounded. The average daily trading volume increased from 327.2 billion yuan to 401.1 billion yuan, and the proportion in A - share trading volume rose from 11.47% to 11.61%. Since late December 2025, the trading volume of northbound funds has rebounded significantly [67].