Report Title - The report is titled "Commodity Option Data Daily Report" [3] Report Core View - The report presents the latest data on commodity options including historical volatility, implied volatility, and provides trading strategy recommendations based on the volatility levels of different commodities [4][5][9] Commodity Option Data Historical Volatility - Various commodities are listed with their respective主力价格, 涨跌幅, 当日波动, and historical volatility (HV20, HV40, HV60, HV120). For example, the主力 price of 沪铝 is 20735 with a 涨跌幅 of 0.29%, and its HV20 is 8% [4] Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data such as 主力平值IV and 主力平值IV分位值 are provided for different commodities. For instance, the 主力平值IV of 二烯橡胶 is 48% and its 主力平值IV分位值 is 97% [5] Historical Trends - Historical trends of some commodities like 工业硅 and 铁矿 are presented graphically [5] Strategy Recommendations - For 碳酸锂, it is recommended to sell a wide - straddle combination (卖出LC2509C80000 and 卖出LC2509P75000) on 2025.7.24 as its volatility is relatively high [9] - For 铁矿石, 豆油, and 菜油, it is recommended to buy a wide - straddle combination on 2025.6.3 as their volatilities are relatively low. For example, for 铁矿石, buy 买入I2509C690 and 买入I2509P700 [9]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core View of the Report - The supply of industrial silicon is expanding as factories in the northwest and southwest regions continue to resume production. On the demand side, the weekly output of downstream polysilicon and silicone has increased. From a balance perspective, the resumption of production on the supply side will impact the supply - demand balance, and combined with hedging pressure, the futures price is expected to be weak in the short term [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Different contracts (SI2508 - SI2512) have different closing prices, price changes (ranging from -1.12% to 0.05%), and trading volumes. For example, SI2508 has a closing price of 8800 with a -0.68% change and a trading volume of -16; SI2509 has a closing price of 8800, a -1.07% change, and a trading volume of 68175 [1] Spot Market - Different grades of industrial silicon (such as 553 (unoxygenated), 553 (hydrogenated), 421, etc.) have different prices in different regions. For example, 553 (unoxygenated) has a price of 9200 in the market, and 421 has a price of 9750. In ports like Huangpu and Tianjin, prices also vary. Additionally, prices of related products like DMC, 107 glue, polysilicon, and aluminum alloy ADC12 are provided [1] Spread - The spreads between different contracts (e.g., si2508 - si2509, si2509 - si2510) and between different spot products (e.g., 421 spot - 553 oxygenated spot) are presented. For example, si2508 - si2509 has a spread of 0 with a change of 65, and 421 spot - 553 oxygenated spot has a spread of 350 [1] Warehouse and Warehouse Receipt - Information about various warehouses and their storage capacities, premium/discount standards, and changes in warehouse receipts is provided. The total storage capacity is 31.55 million tons, and the total warehouse receipts decreased by 102 from 49890 to 49788 [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - From a fundamental perspective, the increase in production in Inner Mongolia has led to a rise in output, and the downstream silicon wafer production schedule has been continuously increasing. In the short term, the lower limit of the price is supported by production costs and the price - holding actions of large manufacturers, while the upper limit is pressured by weak downstream demand and hedging. It is expected that the futures price will fluctuate [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Price - PS2511 closed at 51,800 with a decline of 2.24%; PS2508 closed at 50,505; PS2509 closed at 51,800 with a decline of 2.41%; PS2510 closed at 51,860 with a decline of 2.34% [1]. Spread - The spread between PS2508 - PS2509 is - 1,295 with an increase of 1,280; the spread between PS2509 - PS2510 is - 60 with a decrease of 35; the spread between PS2510 - PS2511 is 60 with a decrease of 60 [1]. Spot Price - The average price of N - type dense material is 46 with no change in percentage; the average price of N - type mixed material is 45 with no change in percentage [2]. Inventory - The weekly inventory of polysilicon is 233,000 tons with an increase of 4,000 tons; the weekly inventory of silicon wafers is 0.96 GW with an increase of 19.11; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 4,940 tons with an increase of 240 tons [2]. Industry News - The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee stated on July 30 that it will govern the disorderly competition of enterprises in accordance with laws and regulations and promote the governance of production capacity in key industries. It will also deepen reforms, develop new - quality productivity through scientific and technological innovation, and optimize the market competition order [2].

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Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - On Tuesday (August 12), most domestic commodity futures closed higher, with industrial products mostly rising and agricultural products showing mixed performance [1] - The steel market is in a tight - balance state between "policy expectation support" and "off - season demand suppression", and high - level volatility of steel is expected. Attention should be paid to the inflection point of hot metal production and the implementation of production - restriction policies [1] - In the short term, due to the impact of China - Canada trade policies, the vegetable oil sector may continue to show a strong - oscillating trend, and palm oil may also continue its strong performance, with market sentiment remaining bullish [1] Group 3: Summaries According to Related Catalogs Black Series - Most black - series commodities rose. After the implementation of production - restriction news in Tangshan over the weekend and the upward trend of coking coal and coke futures prices, the prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil futures rebounded by about 1%. The inventory of the five major steel products increased by 23470 tons to 1.37536 million tons last week, reaching a more than two - month high [1] Basic Metals - Most basic metals rose. For copper, with the increasing expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut and a strong bullish atmosphere in industrial products, the copper market showed a strong performance. For lithium carbonate, it opened sharply higher, then oscillated and declined, with a supply contraction due to the shutdown of a mine in Jiangxi, but the increase in spodumene - based lithium production would supplement part of the supply reduction. With increased downstream production scheduling in August, the fundamentals improved marginally [1] Energy Products - Energy products rebounded after a decline. International oil prices stabilized and rebounded overnight, driving up the sentiment in the domestic crude - oil market. In the short term, due to OPEC +'s planned production increase in September and concerns about the impact of tariff policies on demand, oil prices are expected to oscillate weakly. Geopolitical risks may support short - term price increases. In the long term, due to OPEC +'s production - increase strategy, weakening peak - season demand, inventory accumulation, and the increasing substitution rate of the new - energy industry, oil prices are still under pressure [1] Agricultural Products - Most agricultural products rose. The preliminary ruling on the anti - dumping investigation of Canadian rapeseed by the Ministry of Commerce led to a sharp rise in the far - month vegetable oil contracts, while the main 09 contract of rapeseed meal fell under the pressure of a large increase in warehouse receipts. Palm oil continued to be strong due to lower - than - expected production growth and inventory in Malaysia and the impact of Indonesia's B50 biodiesel policy [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - International oil prices are oscillating. The meeting between Russian President Putin and US President Trump in August 2025 may discuss a long - term peace plan to end the Ukraine war. OPEC+ decided to increase crude oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, ending the first - stage复产 work one year ahead of schedule. Geopolitical factors and supply - side changes may lead to a long - term downward trend in crude oil prices. For fuel oil, due to weak power demand in the Middle East and increased production, and with OPEC's continued production increase weakening crude oil sentiment, fuel oil is expected to remain weak. The recommended operation strategy for both crude oil and fuel oil is to wait and see [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market News - Russian President Putin and US President Trump will meet in Alaska on August 15, 2025, to discuss a long - term peace plan to end the Ukraine war. Trump plans to promote a "Putin - Zelensky - Trump" tripartite meeting, but Ukraine opposes excluding European countries. Russia's core demands include Ukraine's recognition of the sovereignty of Russian - occupied areas and abandonment of joining NATO. The US tries to fulfill the "100 - day cease - fire" commitment through a cease - fire agreement [3]. - OPEC+ 8 - country meeting decided to increase crude oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, ending the first - stage复产 work one year ahead of schedule. The next meeting will be held on September 7 to discuss future production policy changes [3]. 3.2 Futures Market Data 3.2.1 Futures Closing Prices - **Domestic Market**: SC crude oil closed at 495.2 yuan/barrel, up 5.8 yuan (+1.19%); FU high - sulfur fuel oil at 2770 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan (+0.36%); LU low - sulfur fuel oil at 3502 yuan/ton, up 39 yuan (+1.13%) [3]. - **Foreign Market**: WTI crude oil at 64 dollars/barrel, unchanged; Brent crude oil at 66.71 dollars/barrel, unchanged; Nymex gasoline at 2.0775 dollars/gallon, unchanged; ICE diesel at 669 dollars/ton, unchanged; Nymex natural gas at 2.984 dollars/mmBtu, unchanged [3]. 3.2.2 Spread Data - **Crude Oil Spreads**: SC - WTI spread increased by 0.80 yuan/barrel (+17.62%); SC - Brent spread increased by 0.80 yuan/barrel (+43.73%); Brent - WTI spread remained unchanged at 2.71 dollars/barrel [3]. - **Fuel Oil Spreads**: FU - SC spread decreased by 4 yuan/ton (+6.58%); LU - SC spread increased by 1 yuan/ton (+0.46%); LU - FU spread increased by 29 yuan/ton (+4.13%) [3][4]. 3.3 Spot Price Data - **Crude Oil**: Oman crude oil decreased by 0.62 dollars/barrel (-0.89%) to 68.76 dollars/barrel; Russian ESPO decreased by 0.46 dollars/barrel (-0.73%) to 62.47 dollars/barrel; Brent Dtd increased by 0.18 dollars/barrel (+0.26%) to 68.15 dollars/barrel [4]. - **Fuel Oil**: Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 9 dollars/ton (-2.23%) to 394 dollars/ton; Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 3 dollars/ton (-0.61%) to 486.5 dollars/ton [4]. 3.4 Fundamental Data - **US EIA Data**: US commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 3029 thousand barrels (-0.71%) to 423,662 thousand barrels; gasoline inventory decreased by 1323 thousand barrels (-0.58%) to 227,082 thousand barrels; distillate oil inventory decreased by 565 thousand barrels (-0.50%) to 112,971 thousand barrels; US production decreased by 30 thousand barrels/day (-0.23%) to 13,284 thousand barrels/day; refined oil inventory decreased by 141 thousand barrels (-0.32%) to 44,681 thousand barrels [4]. - **Singapore ESG Data**: Singapore fuel oil inventory increased by 314 thousand barrels (+1.34%) to 23,699 thousand barrels [4]. - **Exchange Warehouse Receipts**: SC crude oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 4,767,000; FU fuel oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 92,710; LU fuel oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 21,050 [4]. 3.5 Macro and Shipping Data - **Macro Data**: The US dollar index was at 98.267, up 0.2343 (+0.24%); the US 10 - year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.27%; the RMB/US dollar exchange rate remained unchanged at 7.2545 [4]. - **Shipping Data**: The Baltic BDI index was at 2038, down 13 (-0.63%); the crude oil freight rate BDTI index was at 1013, up 2 (+0.20%); the refined oil freight rate BCTI index was at 656, down 15 (-2.24%) [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The urea market is considered to be in an overall oscillating state, with macro and cost factors being positive, while weak domestic demand is negative [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cost - The price of coking coal on August 12, 2025, was 470.00, unchanged from the previous day; the price of anthracite small pieces was 890.00, also unchanged; the price of natural gas decreased by 50.00 to 4050.00 [1] Price - Mainstream urea enterprise prices in key regions continued to decline, with low - end factory prices of 1660 - 1670 yuan/ton seeing increased transactions. The short - term market is expected to stabilize and the low - end prices may rise slightly. The market needs more positive factors such as export news or macro - sentiment boost [1] Inventory - Factory inventory, port inventory, and downstream sample inventory remained unchanged at 88.76, 48.30, and 1700.00 respectively on August 12, 2025 [1] Supply - Urea daily production was 192,100.00, and the overall start - up rate was 82.98%, with coal - based at 83.66% and gas - based at 76.52%, all remaining unchanged [1] Demand - The start - up rates of compound fertilizer, melamine, and formaldehyde remained unchanged at 41.50, 61.10, and 41.53 respectively [1] Profit - The profit of fixed - bed was - 167.00, water - coal slurry was 282.00, and natural gas was - 185.00, all unchanged. The price of liquid ammonia decreased by 20.00 to 2180.00 [1] Associated Products - The price of compound fertilizer was 2500.00, unchanged; melamine increased by 30.00 to 5180.00; and something (the text seems incomplete here) increased by 20.00 to 2250.00 [1] Futures - The settlement price increased by 8.00 to 1726.00, the basis decreased by 15.00 to 3.00, the increase rate was 1.67%. The trading volume decreased by 10,414.00 to 91,194.00, the open interest decreased by 17,264.00 to 91,810.00, and the warehouse receipt volume increased by 200.00 to 3823.00 [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Report's Core View - The domestic liquid caustic soda market had fair transactions today, with prices in most regions remaining stable. The price of 50% liquid caustic soda in Shandong rose steadily, while the price of 48% liquid caustic soda in Jiangsu decreased. Chlor - alkali enterprises in Shandong had good shipments and low inventory pressure. Due to some enterprises having low loads or undergoing maintenance, the price of 32% liquid caustic soda remained stable, and the price of 50% liquid caustic soda rose steadily. Demand in Jiangsu was average, and the price of high - concentration caustic soda decreased slightly. The mainstream transaction price of 32% ion - membrane caustic soda in Shandong was 820 - 865 yuan/ton, and the local large - scale alumina factory's purchase price was 750 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 50% ion - membrane caustic soda in Shandong was 1270 - 1350 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous working day. The PVC price in Shandong increased by 30 yuan, and the futures主力 contract's closing price increased by 10. With intense long - short game, it is recommended to continue to stay on the sidelines. [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Product Price Changes - **Raw Salt**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and the Northwest remained unchanged at 200, 250, and 200 respectively [1]. - **Calcium Carbide**: The price in Inner Mongolia decreased by 15 to 2325, while the price in Shandong remained at 2780 [1]. - **Liquid Chlorine**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and the Northwest changed to - 100, - 50, and - 600 respectively, with increases of 100, 30, and 0 [1]. - **32% Liquid Caustic Soda**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remained stable at 800, 890, etc. [1]. - **50% Liquid Caustic Soda**: Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu, and other regions remained stable at 1300, 1400, etc. [1]. - **Caustic Soda Flakes**: Prices in Shandong, Inner Mongolia, the Southwest, etc. remained unchanged [1]. - **PVC**: The price in Shandong increased by 30 to 4830, and the price in Inner Mongolia remained at 4580 [1]. - **Futures and Related Indicators**: The futures主力 contract's closing price increased by 10 to 2502, and the basis in Shandong and Jiangsu decreased by 10 [1]. 2. Price Spreads - **50% Caustic Soda - 32% Caustic Soda Spread**: Remained at 100 in Shandong [1]. - **Caustic Soda Flakes - 50% Caustic Soda Spread**: Remained at 625 in Shandong [1]. - **Regional Spreads of 50% Caustic Soda and Caustic Soda Flakes**: Remained unchanged in various regions [1]. 3. Profits and Electricity Prices - **Chlor - Alkali Profits**: In Shandong, it increased by 100 to - 165, and in the Northwest, it increased by 20 to 818 [1]. - **Electricity Prices**: Remained unchanged in Shandong and Inner Mongolia at 0.75 and 0.5 respectively [1].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2) Core View of the Report - Due to the high uncertainty of macro - policies, it is recommended to remain on the sidelines [1] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Index Changes - Coal (Q5500) price increased from 685 to 690, with a change of 5 [1] - Lanthanum charcoal (Shaanxi medium material) price remained unchanged at 620 [1] - Inner Mongolia calcium carbide price remained unchanged at 2450, and Shandong calcium carbide price remained unchanged at 2780 [1] - Futures (main continuous) price increased from 5010 to 5047, with a change of 37 [1] - Spot prices of different PVC types (such as East China SG - 5, South China SG - 5, etc.) showed varying degrees of increase [1] - Basis in East China decreased from - 120 to - 137, with a change of - 17; in Central - South, it increased from - 110 to - 107, with a change of 3; in North China, it decreased from - 140 to - 147, with a change of - 7 [1] - Shandong calcium carbide - based profit increased from - 840 to - 810, with a change of 30; Inner Mongolia calcium carbide - based profit increased from - 548 to - 528, with a change of 20 [1] - CFR China remained unchanged at 701, CFR Southeast Asia remained unchanged at 679, and FAS Houston decreased from 632 to 627, with a change of - 5 [1] Market Conditions - PVC paste enterprises' quotes were mainly stable, with sporadic grades showing narrow - range flexibility. Traders focused on shipments, the overall market trading atmosphere was average, downstream procurement enthusiasm was insufficient, and most purchases were made as needed, with some waiting - and - seeing sentiment [1] Production and Inventory - Total PVC production start - up rate increased from 76.84% to 79.46%, with a change of 2.62%; calcium carbide - based start - up rate increased from 76.03% to 78.65%, with a change of 2.62%; ethylene - based start - up rate increased from 78.99% to 81.49%, with a change of 2.5% [1] - East China inventory increased from 39.48 to 42.37, with a change of 2.89; Central - South inventory increased from 5.32 to 5.71, with a change of 0.39; social inventory increased from 44.8 to 48.08, with a change of 3.28 [1]

Group 1: Report Summary - This is a log data daily report from the Research Institute of Guomao Futures, dated August 13, 2025 [2][3] Group 2: Price Information Spot Prices - In Shandong, for radiata pine, 3.9m medium A is 750 yuan/m³, 5.9m medium A is 790 yuan/m³, 3.9m small A is 720 yuan/m³, 5.9m small A is 730 yuan/m³; in Jiangsu, 4m medium A is 770 yuan/m³, 6m medium A is 800 yuan/m³, 4m small A is 720 yuan/m³, 6m small A is 750 yuan/m³ [4] Outer - Disk Quotes - The price range of 4m medium A radiata pine in July is 113 - 117 dollars/JAS m³, up 6 dollars from June's 110 - 111 dollars/JAS m³ [4] Futures Prices - LG2511 contract is 845.5 yuan/m³, down 1 yuan from the previous period; LG2509 contract is 824.5 yuan/m³, down 8 yuan from the previous period [4] Downstream Timber Prices - In Shandong and Jiangsu, the price of 4000*50*100 wood squares is 1270 yuan and 1260 yuan respectively, unchanged from the previous period [4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Information Supply - In June 2025, New Zealand's log import volume was 1710000 m³, North American timber was 101000 m³, and European timber was 131000 m³; in July, New Zealand's was 1673000 m³, North American timber was 95000 m³, and European timber was 190000 m³. The shipping volume from New Zealand to China from July 14 - 20 and July 21 - 27 was 320000 JAS m³ [4] Inventory - On August 1, the total inventory was 3170000 m³, with Shandong inventory at 1930000 m³ and Jiangsu inventory at 960000 m³ [4] Demand - On August 1, the daily average outbound volume was 64200 m³, with Shandong's at 35700 m³ and Jiangsu's at 23200 m³ [4] Group 4: Core View - The log spot market was basically stable this week, port inventory and outbound volume were stable, and spot prices rose due to the increase in the price of futures - spot merchants. The current market price of 5.9m medium A is 790 - 800 yuan/m³, and the delivery cost is about 820 - 830 yuan/m². It is expected that the log 09 contract will operate in the range of 820 - 840 yuan/m³ [4]