1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the given reports. 2. Core Viewpoints - For copper, the CESCO copper conference shows that institutions and the industry generally support buying on dips. The copper price is expected to move up, ranging between $10,500 and $11,300, driven by strong domestic demand and overseas demand for power grids and computing. However, the potential outflow of North American copper inventories due to the disappearance of US tariffs is a risk factor [1]. - For aluminum, the Shanghai aluminum futures price has stabilized and rebounded, with significant inventory reduction. It may fluctuate in the short - term. Supply and demand are expected to be loose in early 2026 and then tighten [1]. - For zinc, the price has fluctuated this week. The supply side faces challenges with declining TC and potential production cuts in December. The demand side is weak both at home and abroad. The export window is open, and the price may not fall deeply. It's advisable to wait and see for single - side trading, look for reverse arbitrage opportunities, and consider positive arbitrage for the 01 - 03 spread [2]. - For nickel, the supply of pure nickel has decreased slightly, demand is weak, and inventories are rising. With ongoing policy support in Indonesia, short - selling opportunities can be monitored [3]. - For stainless steel, the supply has increased slightly, demand is mainly for rigid needs, costs are stable, and inventories are high. Given the potential policy support in Indonesia, short - selling opportunities are worth attention [3]. - For lead, the price has declined this week, with improved sales. The supply is abundant, and demand is expected to weaken. The supply - demand mismatch has been alleviated, and the price is expected to fluctuate between 16,900 and 17,200. It's advisable to observe the increase in warehouse receipts and the price support of waste batteries [5]. - For tin, the price has increased this week. The supply side has limited recovery potential with many disturbances, and demand is mainly rigid. In the short - term, it's advisable to wait and see, and in the long - term, consider buying near the cost line [8]. - For industrial silicon, the production in Q4 is expected to be balanced with a slight surplus, and the price is expected to fluctuate. In the long - term, the price will likely oscillate at the cycle bottom based on seasonal marginal costs [9]. - For lithium carbonate, the market has been volatile due to multiple factors. In the short - term, supply and demand are both strong, but the upward price movement depends on inventory reduction, speculative demand, and stronger holding willingness. 3. Summary by Metal Copper - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the spot premium of Shanghai copper rose from 115 to 220, the scrap - refined copper spread increased by 869, and the LME inventory increased by 675 tons [1]. - **Market Outlook**: The copper price is expected to rise, with a range of $10,500 - $11,300. Bullish factors include limited domestic scrap copper supply, increased domestic power grid demand in 2026, global computing center construction, and Southeast Asian power construction demand. The bearish factor is the potential outflow of North American inventories if US tariffs disappear [1]. Aluminum - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the Shanghai aluminum ingot price increased from 21,450 to 22,010, and the LME inventory decreased by 2,500 tons [1]. - **Market Outlook**: The Shanghai aluminum futures price has rebounded, and inventories are decreasing. The market may fluctuate in the short - term, with supply and demand expected to be loose in early 2026 and then tighten [1]. Zinc - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the Shanghai zinc ingot price increased from 22,370 to 22,990, the LME zinc inventory increased by 1,875 tons [1][2][12]. - **Market Outlook**: The zinc price has fluctuated this week. The supply side has issues such as declining TC and potential production cuts in December. The demand is weak both at home and abroad. The export window is open, and the price may not fall deeply [2]. Nickel - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the Shanghai nickel spot price increased from 119,500 to 120,300, and the LME inventory increased by 126 tons [3]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply of pure nickel has decreased slightly, demand is weak, and inventories are rising. With ongoing policy support in Indonesia, short - selling opportunities can be monitored [3]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the prices of 304 cold - rolled, 304 hot - rolled, 201 cold - rolled, 430 cold - rolled, and scrap stainless steel remained unchanged [3]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply has increased slightly, demand is mainly for rigid needs, costs are stable, and inventories are high. Given the potential policy support in Indonesia, short - selling opportunities are worth attention [3]. Lead - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the lead price decreased, the LME inventory decreased by 5,100 tons [4][5]. - **Market Outlook**: The lead price has declined this week, with improved sales. The supply is abundant, and demand is expected to weaken. The supply - demand mismatch has been alleviated, and the price is expected to fluctuate between 16,900 and 17,200 [5]. Tin - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the tin price increased, and the LME inventory decreased by 20 tons [8]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply side has limited recovery potential with many disturbances, and demand is mainly rigid. In the short - term, it's advisable to wait and see, and in the long - term, consider buying near the cost line [8]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the 421 Yunnan and Sichuan basis improved, the 553 East China and Tianjin basis decreased slightly, and the warehouse receipt quantity increased by 336 [9]. - **Market Outlook**: The production in Q4 is expected to be balanced with a slight surplus, and the price is expected to fluctuate. In the long - term, the price will likely oscillate at the cycle bottom based on seasonal marginal costs [9]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Inventory Data**: From November 28 to December 4, the SMM electric and industrial lithium carbonate prices decreased slightly, the basis weakened, and the warehouse receipt quantity increased by 770 [9]. - **Market Outlook**: The market has been volatile due to multiple factors. In the short - term, supply and demand are both strong, but the upward price movement depends on inventory reduction, speculative demand, and stronger holding willingness [9].

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints The report presents the latest market information on the oilseeds and oils industry, including inventory, export, production, price, and spread data in countries such as the United States, Brazil, and Canada [1]. Detailed Summaries 1. Inventory and Export Data - Analysts expect the US 2025 - 26 soybean year - end inventory to rise to 302 million bushels, up from the USDA's November 14 estimate of 290 million bushels [1]. - For the week ending October 30, US soybean export sales increased by 1.2485 million tons, in line with expectations, with exports to the Chinese mainland up 232,000 tons. Export shipments were 1.0285 million tons [1]. - For the week ending October 30, US soybean meal export sales increased by 219,800 tons, meeting expectations, and export shipments were 238,700 tons [1]. - ANEC predicts that Brazil's December soybean exports will reach 2.81 million tons, up from 1.47 million tons last year, and soybean meal exports are expected to be 1.33 million tons, down from 2.17 million tons last year [1]. - Secex data shows that Brazil exported 4.19717712 million tons of soybeans in November, a 64.40% year - on - year increase [1]. 2. Production Data - Canada's 2025 rapeseed production reached a record high, with the national yield rising to 44.7 bushels per acre and production increasing by 13.3% to 21.8 million tons [1]. 3. Price and Spread Data - **Spot Prices**: From November 28 to December 4, 2025, the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, and palm oil in Guangzhou fluctuated [2]. - **Basis**: The report provides basis data for soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil at different periods and locations [3][4][5]. - **Price Spreads**: The report includes various seasonal price spreads of oilseeds and oils, such as the spreads between different contract months of soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil, as well as the spreads between different varieties [16].

纸浆早报 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 加拿大 | 金狮 | CFR | 780 | 6300 | -1.50 | | | 雄狮 | CFR | 730 | 5535 | -457.04 | | 智利 | 银星 | CFR信用证 90天 | 680 | 5525 | 22.41 | 注：上一日汇率 - 7.07 美元价格以及人民币价格均采用卓创数据，以13%增值税计算 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/05 SP主力合约收盘价： 5496.00 | 日期 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/01 | 2025/11/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5496.00 | 5458.00 | 5328.00 | 5190.00 | 5198.00 | | 折美元价 | 674.79 | 674.79 | 658.04 | 640.65 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints presented in the given content Summary by Related Catalogs Glass - **Price and Contract Information**: From November 26 to December 3, 2025, the price of 5mm glass in different regions showed various changes. For example, the price of 5mm glass in Wuhan Changli remained stable at 1130, while the price of 5mm glass in Hubei increased from 990 to 1060. The FG05 contract price decreased from 1169 to 1125, and the FG01 contract price decreased from 1037 to 1020 [1]. - **Profit and Cost**: The profit of North China coal - fired glass increased from 105.7 to 108.3, and the cost decreased from 930.3 to 922.7. The profit of South China natural gas glass remained at - 188.1, and the profit of North China natural gas glass decreased from - 304.5 to - 309.5. The 05FG and 01FG contract natural gas profits also decreased [1]. - **Sales and Production**: The sales and production rate of glass in different regions varied. The sales and production rate in Shahe was 97, in Hubei was 113, in East China was 105, and in South China was 128. The sales of Shahe factories were okay, but the sales of Shahe traders were average, and the spot - futures sales were poor. The transactions in Hubei factories were okay, but the transactions of Hubei mid - stream spot - futures were poor [1]. 纯碱 - **Price and Contract Information**: From November 26 to December 3, 2025, the price of heavy soda ash in different regions also changed. For example, the price of heavy soda ash in Shahe decreased from 1140 to 1130, and the price of heavy soda ash in Central China remained at 1150. The SA05 contract price decreased from 1241 to 1233, the SA01 contract price decreased from 1175 to 1165, and the SA09 contract price decreased from 1309 to 1295 [1]. - **Profit and Cost**: The profit of North China ammonia - soda ash decreased from - 288.7 to - 295.5, and the cost decreased from 1418.7 to 1415.5. The profit of North China combined - soda ash increased from - 445.3 to - 429.6 [1]. - **Inventory and Industry News**: The inventory of the mid - upstream of the soda ash industry continued to decline, and the second - phase project of Yuanxing started feeding [1].

Global Asset Market Performance - The latest value of the 1-year yield of China's 2-year treasury bond is 1.406 [2] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging economies' currencies are: 5.312 against the Brazilian real, 16.996 against the South African rand, 1473.500 against the South Korean won, 32.040 against the Thai baht, and 4.113 against the Malaysian ringgit [2] - The latest values of the onshore RMB, offshore RMB, RMB central parity rate, and RMB 12-month NDF are 7.072, 7.072, 7.073, and 6.935 respectively [2] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices are: S&P 500 at 6857.120, Dow Jones Industrial Average at 47850.940, NASDAQ at 23505.140, etc [2] - The latest values of credit bond indices are: US investment-grade credit bond index at 3540.480, eurozone investment-grade credit bond index at 266.108, etc [2] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - For A-shares, the closing price is 3875.79 with a -0.06% change; for the CSI 300, it's 4546.57 with a 0.34% change; for the SSE 50, it's 2974.34 with a 0.38% change; for the ChiNext, it's 3067.48 with a 1.01% change; for the CSI 500, it's 7012.81 with a 0.24% change [3] - The PE(TTM) values of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX are 13.96, 11.82, 31.94, 27.28, and 18.52 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.02, 0.02, 0.06, 0.04, and 0.15 [3] - The latest capital flow values for A-shares, the main board, the small and medium-sized enterprise board, the ChiNext, and the CSI 300 are -442.10, -426.62, -, -67.51, and 72.52 respectively, and the 5-day average values are -509.13, -353.73, -, -119.52, and -30.13 [3] - The latest trading volume values for the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small and medium-sized board, and ChiNext are 15489.60, 3487.67, 886.22, 3137.25, and 4117.28 respectively, with环比 changes of -1210.02, -257.19, 31.27, -174.24, and -545.69 [4] - The basis and basis spread for IF, IH, and IC are -15.97 (-0.35%), -6.14 (-0.21%), and -29.61 (-0.42%) respectively [4] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 treasury bond futures are 108.00, 105.62, 107.67, and 105.60 respectively, with changes of -0.22%, -0.14%, -0.34%, and -0.24% [4] - The current capital interest rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR-3M are 1.3611%, 1.4852%, and 1.5800% respectively, with daily changes of -12.00 BP, 1.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [4]

s 加安期货 沥青早报 | | 指标 | 11/4 | 11/28 | 12/2 | 12/3 | 12/4 | 日度变化 | 팀 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基差&月差 | 山东基差(+80)(弘润) | 17 | 44 | 114 | 78 | 48 | -30 | | | | 华东基差(镇江库) | 157 | 54 | 134 | 88 | 88 | 0 | | | | 华南基差(佛山库) | 107 | -16 | 64 | 18 | -2 | -20 | | | | 12-01 | -4 | -18 | -25 | -25 | -19 | 6 | | | | 12-03 | -35 | -48 | -53 | -52 | -47 | 5 | | | | 01-02 | -15 | -7 | -5 | -9 | -11 | -2 | | | | BU主力合约(01) | 3193 | 2996 | 2916 | 2952 | 2952 | 0 | | | | 成交量 | 228866 | 587546 | 4 ...

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、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我司均不承担任何责任。 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 803.0 -6.0 -19.0 -7.0 -17.0 25省终端可用天数 24.3 -0.4 4.4 3.4 6.7 秦皇岛5000 703.0 -6.0 -20.0 -15.0 -22.0 25省终端供煤 551.7 -0.6 -56.8 -88.3 -71.1 广州港5500 855.0 -5.0 -5.0 15.0 -40.0 北方港库存 2616.0 14.0 96.0 418.0 -48.6 鄂尔多斯5500 555.0 -10.0 -30.0 5.0 -55.0 北方锚地船舶 51.0 -17.0 -29.0 -22.0 -4.0 大同5500 605.0 -10.0 -30.0 5.0 -65.0 北方港调入量 160.2 -20.1 -13.1 -16.5 4.5 榆林6000 732.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 -95.0 北方港吞吐量 153.1 -7.4 -0.9 24.3 -12.7 榆林62 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/05 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/05 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 91250 11526 7.75 三月 91020 11476 7.94 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.03 -1611.35 现货出口 - 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/05 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22980 3302 6.96 三月 22905 3060 5.63 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.43 -4870.73 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/05 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22010 2868 7.68 三月 22115 2899 7.63 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.32 -1844.30 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/05 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 120300 14694 8.19 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.13 -1266.98 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/05 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 17150 1966 8.70 三月 17235 2005 11.43 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.68 39.38 ...