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研报掘金丨华安证券:维持万华化“买入”评级 TDI供应紧张价格上涨 石化板块产销量延续增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 07:59
Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.157 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 17.45% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.035 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.96% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.20% [1] Industry Outlook - The TDI supply is tight, leading to price increases, while the petrochemical sector continues to see growth in production and sales [1] - Future production and sales in the sector are expected to continue growing, with Wanhua's second TDI project in Fujian set to be completed in July 2025, adding 330,000 tons per year [1] - Wanhua's MDI project will undergo technical upgrades to increase capacity by 700,000 tons per year, expected to be completed by Q2 2026 [1] Capacity Expansion - The company successfully started up a 250,000 tons per year LDPE facility in Yantai in early 2025 [1] - A joint venture will initiate the construction of an integrated special polyolefin facility in Fuzhou, Fujian Province [1] - The first phase of a 1 million tons per year ethylene facility has been undergoing a technical upgrade since June 3, with a 5-month duration, which will enhance profitability by switching feedstock from propane to ethane [1] Product Development - The company is gradually implementing capacity for polyurethane and new materials, indicating potential for future earnings growth [1] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [1]
万华化学(600309):Q3净利维稳,静待周期修复
HTSC· 2025-10-27 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported stable net profit in Q3, with revenue of 53.324 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 5.52% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.035 billion RMB, up 3.96% year-over-year but down 0.20% quarter-over-quarter [1][2]. - Despite a downward adjustment in the 2025 profit forecast due to ongoing supply-demand pressures, the report anticipates a gradual recovery in industry conditions, maintaining profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 144.226 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.29% year-over-year, and a net profit of 9.157 billion RMB, down 17.45% year-over-year. The non-recurring net profit was 9.101 billion RMB, down 16.72% year-over-year [1][2]. - The Q3 gross margin was reported at 12.77%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from Q2 [2]. Segment Performance - The company’s sales volumes for polyurethane, petrochemicals, and new materials in the first three quarters were 4.58 million tons, 4.60 million tons, and 1.84 million tons, respectively, representing year-over-year increases of 12%, 13%, and 30% [2]. - Revenue from these segments was 55.1 billion RMB, 59.3 billion RMB, and 23.8 billion RMB, with year-over-year changes of +2%, -4%, and +19% respectively [2]. Market Outlook - The report indicates that the polyurethane segment is experiencing price pressures due to weak downstream demand, while the petrochemical segment is also under pressure from supply increases and weak demand [3]. - The company is actively advancing several projects, including TDI/MDI projects and ethylene feedstock modifications, which are expected to contribute to performance improvements [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The 2025 net profit forecast has been adjusted down to 12.29 billion RMB, a decrease of 11% from the previous estimate, while the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain at 17.78 billion RMB and 20.81 billion RMB, respectively [4][20]. - The target price for the company is set at 79.52 RMB, based on a 14x PE ratio for 2026 [4].
研报掘金丨国海证券:维持万华化学“买入”评级,聚氨酯行业龙头,规模优势显著
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-27 06:32
Core Viewpoint - WanHua Chemical reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.157 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.45% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 3.035 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.96% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.2% [1] - Management expenses decreased by 200 million yuan year-on-year, while they increased by 130 million yuan quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025 [1] - R&D expenses declined by 80 million yuan both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, emphasizing a management theme of "Year of Transformation" through organizational and budget management changes [1] - The peak of capital expenditure has passed, with new projects aimed at high-quality growth [1] Industry Position - WanHua Chemical is a leading player in the polyurethane industry, demonstrating significant scale advantages [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, indicating positive market sentiment towards its future performance [1]
万华化学变革见效第三季营收净利双增 财务费用14.98亿元减少近2亿元
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-10-27 02:11
Core Viewpoint - Despite the overall downturn in the chemical industry, Wanhua Chemical (600309.SH) shows signs of improvement in its operations, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in the third quarter of 2025, marking the first such increase since 2020 [1][6]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Wanhua Chemical reported revenue of approximately 144.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 2.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.157 billion yuan, down 17.45% year-on-year [4]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw revenue and net profit increase by 5.52% and 3.96% respectively, indicating a potential end to the previous declining trend [6][7]. - The company’s cash flow remained stable, with a net operating cash flow of approximately 17 billion yuan, consistent with the previous year [3]. Product and Market Dynamics - The decline in performance was attributed to falling sales prices of major products, including polyurethane and petrochemical series, with significant price drops observed in raw materials [2][5]. - The average price of butanol was reported at 5,913 yuan/ton, down 20.57% year-on-year, while pure benzene averaged 5,905 yuan/ton, down 30.05% [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Wanhua Chemical has designated 2025 as a "transformation year," focusing on organizational and operational efficiency improvements through systematic changes [3][4]. - The company has increased its R&D investment to approximately 3.451 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.91% [8][9]. - The successful launch of multiple new production facilities, including a second ethylene unit, demonstrates the company's commitment to innovation and cost competitiveness [7][8]. Innovation and R&D - The company has accelerated the conversion of self-developed technologies, achieving significant milestones in various product lines, including battery materials and specialty amines [8]. - As of the end of 2024, Wanhua Chemical employed 4,763 R&D personnel, accounting for 14.3% of its total workforce, and has been actively filing patents [9].
万华化学(600309):三季度归母净利同比提升,聚氨酯产能有序扩张
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-27 01:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Wanhua Chemical is "Outperform the Market" [5][31] Core Views - In Q3 2025, Wanhua Chemical reported a revenue of 53.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.03 billion yuan, up 4.0% year-on-year but down 0.2% quarter-on-quarter [8][31] - The polyurethane segment showed differentiated demand with orderly capacity expansion. The revenue from the polyurethane segment was 18.25 billion yuan, down 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.56 million tons and 1.55 million tons, respectively [10][24] - The petrochemical segment faced price pressure but benefited from new capacity contributions, achieving a revenue of 24.39 billion yuan, up 31.1% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.83 million tons and 1.75 million tons, respectively [24][27] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment maintained stable production and sales, with revenue of 8.18 billion yuan, down 1.0% quarter-on-quarter, and production and sales volumes of 650,000 tons [27][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Wanhua Chemical's gross margin was 12.8%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 0.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 6.3%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year and 0.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8][10] - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 12.556 billion yuan, 14.057 billion yuan, and 14.307 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.00, 4.48, and 4.56 yuan [31][33] Segment Analysis - The polyurethane segment's product prices showed fluctuations, with pure MDI priced at 18,300 yuan/ton, polymer MDI at 15,200 yuan/ton, TDI at 14,700 yuan/ton, and soft foam polyether at 8,000 yuan/ton [10][24] - The petrochemical segment's product prices generally declined, with significant drops in major products like propylene and butanol, but the company managed to offset price pressures through increased capacity utilization [24][27] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment continued to develop, with a focus on high-value products and new energy industry demand supporting long-term growth [27][28]
万华化学_业绩回顾_2025 年三季度净利润触底回升,虽弱于预期;维持买入
2025-10-27 00:52
Summary of Wanhua Chemical Group (600309.SS) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Wanhua Chemical Group - **Stock Code**: 600309.SS - **Market Cap**: Rmb192.9 billion / $27.1 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb281.3 billion / $39.5 billion - **Current Price**: Rmb61.45 - **Target Price**: Rmb80.00 - **Upside Potential**: 30.2% [1][5] Key Financial Highlights - **3Q25 Net Profit**: Rmb3.035 billion, up 4% year-over-year but 8% below Goldman Sachs estimates [1][18] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: 12.8%, down 0.6 percentage points year-over-year but up 0.6 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [2][18] - **Top-line Revenue**: Rmb53.32 billion, up 6% year-over-year and 11% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding estimates by 10% [1][9] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Rmb4.15 for 2025E, with a downward revision of 1-6% for 2025E-27E [1][10] Segment Performance - **Polyurethane Sales**: Sales value decreased by 3% year-over-year, but volume growth remained strong at 10% [9][19] - **Specialty Chemicals**: Sales value increased by 17% year-over-year, indicating robust demand [9][19] - **Petrochemicals**: Sales value increased by 9% year-over-year, with a significant 31% quarter-over-quarter growth [9][19] Operational Insights - **Volume Growth**: Strong across all segments, with polyurethane, petrochemicals, and specialty chemicals showing year-over-year growth of 10%, 33%, and 30% respectively [9][19] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: Stabilized sequentially, with petrochemicals ASP up 14% quarter-over-quarter, while polyurethane and specialty chemicals ASP remained steady [9][19] Cost Management - **Operating Expenses**: Lower than expected at Rmb2.39 billion, down 10% year-over-year, contributing to an EBIT margin of 8.3% [18] - **Net Finance Expenses**: Increased significantly due to foreign exchange losses, impacting net profit margin [18] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - **Operating Cash Flow**: Rmb6.49 billion, down 28% year-over-year but covering 2.1 times net profit [18] - **Capital Expenditures**: Decreased by 31% year-over-year to Rmb6.72 billion, contributing to a reduced net gearing ratio of 66.3% [18] Future Outlook - **Revised Target Price**: Increased to Rmb80.00 from Rmb78.00 based on earnings revisions and valuation adjustments [1] - **Investment Rating**: Maintained as "Buy" due to strong operational performance and growth potential in specialty chemicals and petrochemicals [1][10] Additional Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The company faced challenges with profitability in key specialty chemicals, attributed to unfavorable product mix and pricing trends [16] - **Long-term Growth**: Expected revenue growth of 3.8% in 2024, with EBITDA growth projected at 23% in 2026 [11][14] This summary encapsulates the key financial metrics, operational performance, and future outlook for Wanhua Chemical Group, highlighting both opportunities and challenges within the current market landscape.
万华化学(600309):产能释放部分抵御价格下行压力
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-26 11:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [6][41]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 90.9 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 6.35%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.123 billion yuan, down 25.1% year-on-year [1][11]. - Despite price pressures, the company managed to increase its production and sales volume across its main business segments [12][17]. - The company has effectively controlled its expenses, with a total expense of 4.846 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.98 billion yuan compared to the previous year [3][31]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross profit of 12.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.352 billion yuan year-on-year, with a comprehensive gross margin of 13.8%, down 2.6 percentage points [2][13]. - The company’s operating cash flow per share was 2.7 yuan, with a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of 1.95 yuan [1][11]. - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is projected to be 13.1 billion, 16.3 billion, and 22.5 billion yuan respectively [41]. Business Segments - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows that the polyurethane series generated 36.9 billion yuan, the petrochemical series 34.9 billion yuan, and the fine chemicals and new materials series 15.6 billion yuan [2][12]. - The production volumes for the three main series in the first half of 2025 were 2.98 million tons for polyurethane, 2.95 million tons for petrochemicals, and 1.24 million tons for fine chemicals, reflecting year-on-year increases [17][19]. Cost Control and Investment - The company’s expense ratio for the first half of 2025 was 5.3%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous year, with significant reductions in management and financial expenses [3][31]. - The company’s ongoing construction projects have decreased significantly, with the amount of ongoing projects at 39.7 billion yuan, down 7.8 billion yuan from the previous period [37].
万华化学(600309):三季度产品产销量同比提升,业绩拐点已现
CMS· 2025-10-26 09:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][6][7] Core Views - The company has shown signs of performance stabilization with a year-on-year increase in product output and sales in the third quarter, indicating a potential turning point in its financial performance [1][6] - The polyurethane industry demand remains stable, particularly in the new energy and high-end manufacturing sectors, driven by the lightweight requirements of electric vehicles [6][7] - The report forecasts revenue growth for the company, estimating revenues of 191.17 billion yuan, 219.85 billion yuan, and 241.83 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 144.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.29% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.157 billion yuan, down 17.45% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 53.3 billion yuan, an increase of 5.52% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.035 billion yuan, up 3.96% year-on-year [1][6] - The company’s production of polyurethane products reached 1.56 million tons in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13%, while sales increased by 10% [6][7] Price and Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 61.45 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 192.4 billion yuan [2] - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 4.17 yuan, 4.29 yuan, and 4.89 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.7, 14.3, and 12.6 [6][7][14]
万华化学(600309)季报点评:Q3利润同比正增 持续看好周期龙头
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-26 08:25
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 144.23 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.16 billion yuan, down 17.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 53.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [1] Polyurethane Sector - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's polyurethane products generated sales revenue of 55.1 billion yuan, an increase of 2% year-on-year, with production and sales volumes of 4.54 million tons and 4.58 million tons, up 8% and 12% respectively [2] - In Q3 2025, sales revenue from polyurethane products was 18.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.56 million tons and 1.55 million tons, up 13% and 10% year-on-year [2] - The price gap for TDI products significantly increased due to supply constraints from overseas and domestic maintenance, contributing to the company's Q3 profitability [2] - The company plans to expand its MDI production capacity to 4.5 million tons per year by 2026, following the approval of an environmental impact report for a new project [2] Petrochemical Sector - The petrochemical segment reported sales revenue of 59.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decline of 4% year-on-year, with production and sales volumes of 4.78 million tons and 4.6 million tons, up 17% and 13% respectively [3] - In Q3 2025, sales revenue from petrochemical products was 24.4 billion yuan, an increase of 9% year-on-year and 31% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.83 million tons and 1.75 million tons, up 41% and 33% year-on-year [3] - The company has successfully launched several key projects, including the PDH project and the ethylene expansion, which are expected to enhance profitability through cost reduction [3] New Materials Sector - The new materials segment achieved sales revenue of 23.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19%, with production and sales volumes of 1.89 million tons and 1.84 million tons, both up 30% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, sales revenue from new materials was 8.2 billion yuan, a 17% increase year-on-year, while production and sales volumes remained stable at 650,000 tons [4] - The company is focusing on global expansion and has successfully launched several new products, including high-end optical-grade materials and vitamin A, enhancing its market position [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Based on the company's financial disclosures and market conditions, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 12.5 billion, 16.32 billion, and 18.43 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.4, 11.8, and 10.4 [5] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its growth potential and market positioning [5]
基础化工周报:尿素价格偏弱运行-20251026
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-26 08:15
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI in the polyurethane sector this week were 18,200 yuan/ton, 14,286 yuan/ton, and 13,449 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of +286 yuan/ton, -207 yuan/ton, and +134 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 5,099 yuan/ton, 2,184 yuan/ton, and 2,211 yuan/ton, with week-on-week changes of +383 yuan/ton, -110 yuan/ton, and +105 yuan/ton [2]. - In the oil, gas, and olefin sector, the average prices of ethane, propane, steam coal, and naphtha this week were 1,364 yuan/ton, 3,777 yuan/ton, 531 yuan/ton, and 3,937 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of +21 yuan/ton, +15 yuan/ton, +16 yuan/ton, and -0 yuan/ton. The average price of polyethylene was 7,441 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 78 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polyethylene were 892 yuan/ton, 1,593 yuan/ton, and 15 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of -56 yuan/ton, -96 yuan/ton, and -51 yuan/ton. The average price of polypropylene was 6,680 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 120 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polypropylene were 16 yuan/ton, 1,289 yuan/ton, and -113 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of -86 yuan/ton, -122 yuan/ton, and -78 yuan/ton [2]. - In the coal chemical sector, the average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2,154 yuan/ton, 1,596 yuan/ton, 3,907 yuan/ton, and 2,410 yuan/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of -21 yuan/ton, -0 yuan/ton, -21 yuan/ton, and -19 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 140 yuan/ton, -83 yuan/ton, -168 yuan/ton, and 154 yuan/ton, with week-on-week changes of -55 yuan/ton, -14 yuan/ton, +25 yuan/ton, and -6 yuan/ton [2]. - The chemical blue-chip companies mentioned in the report are Wanhua Chemical, Baofeng Energy, Satellite Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, New Hope Liuhe, and Adisseo [2]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance Tracking**: The basic chemical index had a week-on-week increase of 2.1%, a month-on-month increase of 1.8%, a three-month increase of 7.8%, a one-year increase of 21.9%, and a year-to-date increase of 23.0% as of October 24, 2025. Among the related companies, Baofeng Energy had a week-on-week increase of 7.0%, a month-on-month increase of 8.6%, a three-month increase of 11.8%, a one-year increase of 15.9%, and a year-to-date increase of 12.1%. Satellite Chemical had a week-on-week increase of 2.8%, a month-on-month decrease of 1.7%, a three-month decrease of 0.3%, a one-year increase of 0.3%, and a year-to-date increase of 0.0%. Hualu Hengsheng had a week-on-week increase of 0.9%, a month-on-month decrease of 0.8%, a three-month increase of 3.1%, a one-year increase of 6.0%, and a year-to-date increase of 16.6%. New Hope Liuhe had a week-on-week increase of 0.3%, a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, a three-month increase of 5.5%, a one-year decrease of 1.0%, and a year-to-date increase of 10.0%. Wanhua Chemical had a week-on-week decrease of 0.1%, a month-on-month decrease of 3.0%, a three-month decrease of 0.6%, a one-year decrease of 21.5%, and a year-to-date decrease of 12.7% [8][10]. - **Related Company Profit Tracking**: As of the closing price on October 24, 2025, the total market capitalization of Wanhua Chemical was 192.4 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 13 billion yuan in 2024A, 13.5 billion yuan in 2025E, 16.5 billion yuan in 2026E, and 19 billion yuan in 2027E. Baofeng Energy had a total market capitalization of 132.7 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 6.3 billion yuan in 2024A, 12.4 billion yuan in 2025E, 14.1 billion yuan in 2026E, and 14.9 billion yuan in 2027E. Satellite Chemical had a total market capitalization of 61.4 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 6.1 billion yuan in 2024A, 6.6 billion yuan in 2025E, 8 billion yuan in 2026E, and 9.8 billion yuan in 2027E. Hualu Hengsheng had a total market capitalization of 52.8 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 3.9 billion yuan in 2024A, 4.3 billion yuan in 2025E, 4.7 billion yuan in 2026E, and 5.1 billion yuan in 2027E. New Hope Liuhe had a total market capitalization of 71.4 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 5.9 billion yuan in 2024A, 6 billion yuan in 2025E, 6.9 billion yuan in 2026E, and 7.3 billion yuan in 2027E. Adisseo had a total market capitalization of 25.4 billion yuan, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 1.2 billion yuan in 2024A, 1.6 billion yuan in 2025E, 1.7 billion yuan in 2026E, and 2.1 billion yuan in 2027E [8][10]. - **Polyurethane Industry Chain**: The average price of pure MDI this week was 18,200 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 286 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 25%. Its gross profit was 5,099 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 383 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 73%. The average price of polymer MDI was 14,286 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 207 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 21%. Its gross profit was 2,184 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 110 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 45%. The average price of TDI was 13,449 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 134 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 31%. Its gross profit was 2,211 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 105 yuan/ton and a seven-year quantile of 67% [8][10]. - **Oil, Gas, and Olefin Industry Chain**: - **Raw Material Prices**: The average price of ethane this week was 26 cents/gallon (1,364 yuan/ton), with a week-on-week increase of 0.41 cents/gallon (21 yuan/ton) and a ten-year quantile of 63% (74%). The average price of propane was 532 dollars/ton (3,777 yuan/ton), with a week-on-week increase of 2 dollars/ton (15 yuan/ton) and a ten-year quantile of 45% (51%). The average price of NYMEX natural gas was 3.4 dollars/mmbtu (1,252 yuan/ton), with a week-on-week increase of 0.38 dollars/mmbtu (138 yuan/ton) and a ten-year quantile of 78% (79%). The average price of Brent crude oil was 63 dollars/barrel (3,282 yuan/ton), with a week-on-week increase of 1 dollar/barrel (69 yuan/ton) and a ten-year quantile of 41% (49%). The average price of naphtha was 555 dollars/ton (3,937 yuan/ton), with a week-on-week change of -0 dollars/ton (-0 yuan/ton) and a ten-year quantile of 43% (52%). The average price of steam coal was 531 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 16 yuan/ton and a ten-year quantile of 61%. The average price of methanol was 2,276 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 29 yuan/ton and a ten-year quantile of 26% [8][10]. - **Profit Comparison of Oil, Gas, and Coal Routes**: For polyethylene production, the profit of ethane cracking was 892 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 56 yuan/ton, a decrease of 475 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 907 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of naphtha cracking was 15 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 51 yuan/ton, a decrease of 60 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 60 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of MTO was -77 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 2 yuan/ton, an increase of 320 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and an increase of 320 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of CTO was 1,593 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 96 yuan/ton, an increase of 392 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 265 yuan/ton year-on-year. For polypropylene production, the profit of PDH was 16 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 86 yuan/ton, a decrease of 332 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and an increase of 401 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of naphtha cracking was -113 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 78 yuan/ton, a decrease of 254 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and an increase of 338 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of MTO was -381 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 24 yuan/ton, an increase of 106 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 93 yuan/ton year-on-year. The profit of CTO was 1,289 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 122 yuan/ton, an increase of 177 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year, and a decrease of 84 yuan/ton year-on-year [8][10]. 2. Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend**: No specific content provided - **2.2 Polyurethane Sector**: Analyzed the price trends and price - spread relationships of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [17][20] - **2.3 Oil, Gas, and Olefin Sector**: Analyzed the price trends of domestic steam coal, naphtha, crude oil, propane, ethane, and natural gas, as well as the profitability of different routes for producing polyethylene and polypropylene [24][25][33] - **2.4 Coal Chemical Sector**: Analyzed the price trends and gross profit situations of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, acetic acid, coke, methanol, and other products [40][45][50] - **2.5 Animal Nutrition Sector**: Analyzed the price trends of solid and liquid methionine, VA, and VE [62][66][68]