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酒价内参1月23日价格发布 价格小幅回暖分化格局延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 01:21
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a slight recovery in the retail prices of China's top ten liquor products, indicating a temporary alleviation of downward pressure in the industry [1][7]. Price Trends - The average retail price of the top ten liquor products reached 8,863 yuan on January 23, an increase of 9 yuan from the previous day [1][7]. - The market displayed a mixed performance with five products increasing in price, four decreasing, and one remaining stable [1][8]. - Notable price increases included Xijiu Junpin and Gujing Gonggu 20, which rose by 10 yuan and 8 yuan per bottle, respectively [1][8]. - Conversely, the premium Moutai led the declines with a drop of 11 yuan per bottle, followed by Feitian Moutai, which fell by 4 yuan [1][8]. Market Analysis - The data for "Wine Price Reference" is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, aiming to provide an objective and traceable overview of liquor market prices [2][9]. - The introduction of new sales channels for Moutai products has begun to influence market prices significantly [2][9]. - Fund managers are showing a mixed approach towards the liquor sector, with some increasing their holdings in leading brands, indicating a potential recovery phase for the industry [3][9]. - The liquor sector is perceived to be at a historical valuation low, with expectations of demand recovery driven by consumption policies under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3][9].
张坤在管基金披露2025年四季报:减持白酒股 加仓阿里巴巴
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 23:43
易方达蓝筹精选的前十大重仓股并未发生变更,依次为:腾讯控股(00700)、贵州茅台(600519.SH)、五粮液(000858.SZ)、阿里巴巴(09988)、山西 汾酒(600809.SH)、泸州老窖(000568.SZ)、百胜中国(09987)、中国海洋石油(00883)、京东健康(06618)、分众传媒(002027.SZ)。其中,张坤较大 幅度地减持了分众传媒,还减持了泸州老窖、山西汾酒、五粮液;加仓了阿里巴巴。 | 序号 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 相关资讯 | 占浄值 | 持股数 | 持仓市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 比例 | (万股) | (万元) | | 1 | 00700 | 腾讯控股 | 股吧 行情 | 9.94% | 598.00 | 361,972.83 | | 2 | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | 股吧 行情 | 9.93% | 2.238.00 | 361.655.12 | | 3 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 股吧 行情 | 9.72% | 245.11 | 353.939.85 ...
公募基金去年如何对待白酒?张坤、刘彦春在减持
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-22 09:41
Group 1 - Several public funds have reduced their holdings in liquor stocks, particularly in high-end brands like Kweichow Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu, with reductions of 8.08% and 5.14% respectively [2] - The liquor sector experienced a cumulative decline of 11.5% in Q4 2025, contrasting with the overall bullish market, which has contributed to the decision of funds to decrease their positions [2] - The fundamental performance of the liquor industry is also underwhelming, with many companies issuing profit warnings for 2025 [3] Group 2 - Major liquor companies are forecasting significant declines in net profits, with Shui Jing Fang expected to see a 71% drop and Kuozi Jiao anticipating at least a 50% decrease [3] - The ongoing decline in the liquor sector is attributed to multiple factors, including supply-demand imbalances and changes in consumer behavior, indicating a shift from irrational exuberance to a focus on intrinsic value [3] - The consumer sector remains under pressure, with domestic demand facing challenges compared to export-oriented companies, as highlighted by Zhang Kun's analysis [4]
山西汾酒:致力于打破传统白酒刻板印象,以更轻松、更包容姿态融入多元化社交生活
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-01-22 08:18
Core Insights - The company is focusing on building a consumer-centric strategy to transform its brand heritage into market competitiveness, emphasizing product quality and enhancing consumer experience [1][2] - The company is actively integrating products with evolving drinking scenarios to break traditional perceptions of liquor, targeting younger consumers and promoting a modern lifestyle [1][2] Group 1 - The company aims to enhance market resilience and core competitiveness by optimizing communication mechanisms and strengthening service experiences [1] - The company is expanding into younger and fashionable market segments by creating innovative consumption scenarios that allow traditional liquor to blend into diverse social settings [1] - The company is committed to understanding consumer needs and emotional experiences, enriching the emotional value of its products in social interactions [1] Group 2 - The industry anticipates that 2026 will be a pivotal year for innovation in drinking scenarios and consumption methods, with new trends like casual drinking parties and modern drinking styles gaining popularity [2] - The industry must break traditional drinking scene boundaries and embrace changes to meet the personalized and fashionable experiences demanded by younger consumers [2] - The industry should focus on making traditional liquor accessible and understandable to younger generations, fostering a lively social atmosphere for consumption [2]
张坤等知名基金经理罕见发声!
天天基金网· 2026-01-22 05:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic adjustments made by prominent fund managers at E Fund in their investment portfolios for Q4 2025, focusing on sectors like AI, healthcare, consumer goods, and technology [2][4][6][10] Group 2 - Zhang Kun adjusted the structure of investments in the healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors while maintaining a stable position in top holdings, which include Tencent Holdings, Kweichow Moutai, and Alibaba-W [4][5] - Zhang Kun expressed confidence in the improvement of living standards and social security in China over the next decade, suggesting a narrowing gap with developed countries [4] - The AI wave is seen as a significant driver for innovation, with strong domestic demand expected to attract global resources and talent [4][5] Group 3 - Chen Hao focused heavily on AI-related sectors, increasing allocations in power equipment, new energy, non-bank financials, and chemicals, which yielded positive returns [7][8] - Chen Hao anticipates a transition of the AI industry from an acceleration phase in 2025 to a stable growth phase in 2026, emphasizing the importance of structural opportunities and the integration of AI with local applications [7][8] Group 4 - Xiao Nan reduced allocations in high-end and sub-high-end liquor sectors while increasing investments in the livestock industry, anticipating inflation-driven cost increases over the next two years [10] - The top holdings in Xiao Nan's consumer sector fund remained unchanged, including Kweichow Moutai and Midea Group [10]
组合中企业“护城河还在,城在不在”?张坤在2025年四季报中给出了明确回答
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 03:40
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the investment strategies of top fund managers, particularly focusing on Zhang Kun from E Fund, who has made adjustments in his portfolio amidst market fluctuations, maintaining a long-term optimistic outlook on China's economic transformation and the growth of domestic demand [1][10]. Fund Performance - As of the end of Q4 2025, Zhang Kun managed funds totaling 48.383 billion yuan, with three A-share focused products underperforming against benchmarks, while the E Fund Asia Select, which invests in overseas Chinese stocks, achieved a positive return of 4.53% [1][2][10]. - The performance of the funds is as follows: - E Fund Blue Chip Select: -8.93% return, 31.021 billion yuan in size - E Fund Quality Select: -8.42% return, 11.385 billion yuan in size - E Fund Quality Enterprise Three-Year Holding: -6.82% return, 2.585 billion yuan in size - E Fund Asia Select: 4.53% return, 3.392 billion yuan in size [2][12]. Portfolio Adjustments - In Q4 2025, Zhang Kun reduced holdings in key stocks such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao, while maintaining overall stock positions but adjusting sector allocations towards pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, and technology [3][13]. - The top holdings in the portfolio include Tencent Holdings (6.93%), Kweichow Moutai (6.87%), and Wuliangye (6.70%), with notable reductions in their respective weightings [3][13]. Economic Outlook - Zhang Kun expressed a long-term optimistic view on macroeconomic conditions, predicting significant improvements in living standards and social security in China over the next decade, narrowing the gap with developed countries [4][14]. - He emphasized the unique advantages of the Chinese market in the context of the global AI wave, suggesting that a strong domestic demand market is a crucial driver for technological innovation [4][14]. Investment Philosophy - The report indicates that despite current market pessimism regarding core assets, Zhang Kun believes that the intrinsic value of quality companies remains intact, presenting attractive investment opportunities for long-term investors [5][15]. - The central economic work conference highlighted the importance of boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand as key tasks for 2026, reinforcing the focus on consumer-driven growth [6][16]. GDP Growth Projections - According to the "14th Five-Year Plan," China aims to achieve a per capita GDP of $23,400 by 2035, requiring a compound annual growth rate of 5.27% from the current level of $13,300 [7][17]. - The report notes that the decline in housing prices over the past five years has negatively impacted consumer wealth and spending, but this trend may be reversing, potentially improving consumer sentiment and demand [8][18].
张坤2025四季报发声:强大内需不仅是“消费引擎”,更是“科技创新的燃料”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 03:34
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the investment strategies of top fund managers, particularly focusing on Zhang Kun from E Fund, who has made adjustments in his portfolio amidst market fluctuations, maintaining a long-term optimistic outlook on China's economic transformation and the growth of the domestic market [1][10]. Fund Performance - As of the end of Q4 2025, Zhang Kun managed a total fund size of 48.383 billion yuan, which reflects adjustments from the previous quarter [1]. - Three of the funds primarily investing in A-shares reported negative quarterly returns, failing to outperform their benchmarks, while the E Fund Asia Select, which focuses on overseas Chinese stocks, achieved a positive return of 4.53%, significantly exceeding its benchmark [2][10]. Portfolio Adjustments - In Q4 2025, there was a reduction in holdings of key stocks such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao, while maintaining a stable stock position overall [3][13]. - The adjustments focused on reallocating investments in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, and technology [3][13]. Economic Outlook - Zhang Kun expressed a long-term optimistic view on the macroeconomic environment, predicting significant improvements in living standards and social security in China over the next decade, narrowing the gap with developed countries [4][14]. - He emphasized the unique advantages of the Chinese market in the context of the global AI wave, noting that a strong domestic demand market is a crucial driver for technological innovation [4][14]. Investment Philosophy - The report addresses concerns regarding the long-term value of core assets, with Zhang Kun asserting that the underlying value remains intact and that current market pessimism has created attractive valuations for quality companies [5][15]. - He believes that the current low valuation of quality assets presents a rare opportunity for long-term investors [5][15]. Policy Context - The Central Economic Work Conference in December emphasized the importance of boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand as a key task for 2026, highlighting the government's commitment to enhancing consumer spending [6][16]. - The report notes that recent indicators show domestic consumption has been weak, particularly for companies focused on domestic demand compared to those reliant on exports [6][16]. GDP Growth Projections - According to the "14th Five-Year Plan," China aims to achieve a per capita GDP level comparable to that of middle-income developed countries by 2035, requiring a compound annual growth rate of 5.27% [7][17]. - The report suggests that the decline in housing prices over the past five years has negatively impacted consumer wealth and spending, but this trend may be reversing due to potential policy support and lower interest rates [7][17].
机构看好零食乳业弹性,白酒估值修复可期,消费ETF嘉实(512600)布局消费复苏行情
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 03:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of the consumer sector in China, particularly the growth of brand value for Kweichow Moutai, which increased by 2.2% to reach $59.63 billion, ranking first in the global liquor industry [1] - The China Securities Index shows that the major consumer index has risen by 0.20%, with significant gains from stocks such as Hainan Rubber (+2.15%), Yanjing Beer (+1.64%), and Dongpeng Beverage (+1.53%) [1] - The market is currently favoring sectors like snacks and dairy, which are experiencing clear growth and higher elasticity, driven by policy support and improving monthly data, while the liquor sector is in a "bottoming out" phase [1] Group 2 - The major consumer index includes leading A-share consumer stocks across various categories, with liquor being the largest sector, accounting for over 38% of the index [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the major consumer index, which include Yili, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye, collectively account for 68.63% of the index [1] - Investors can also access the consumer recovery trend through the Consumption ETF linked fund (009180) [3]
易方达基金张坤Q4持仓出炉:前十大重仓包括腾讯控股、贵州茅台等
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that E Fund's Blue Chip Select Fund, managed by Zhang Kun, has maintained a stable stock position while adjusting its sector allocations in pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, and technology as of Q4 2025 [1] - The top ten holdings of the fund as of the end of Q4 2025 include Tencent Holdings, Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Alibaba-W, Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, Yum China, CNOOC, JD Health, and Focus Media, showing no changes from Q3 2025 [1] - Zhang Kun expresses confidence that both the actual living standards and social security levels in China will significantly improve over the next decade, narrowing the gap with developed countries [1] Group 2 - The current AI wave highlights the importance of a strong domestic demand market in promoting technological innovation, as it attracts global resources, talent, and capital [2] - Subscription revenues, such as the approximately $200 annual fee for C-end users of leading AI models like GPT and Gemini, are crucial for companies' financing and ongoing investment confidence amid debates about an "AI bubble" [2] - A domestic company with leading foundational model capabilities could benefit from a stronger consumer environment, enhancing subscription income and model investment interactions, which may help it catch up with global leaders [2]
酒价内参1月22日价格发布 习酒君品下跌13元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 01:23
新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示,中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月22日迎 来普遍下跌。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖,今日总售价为8854元,较昨日下跌12元。市场价格 第五次创下近两个月的新低,高端酒价格中枢持续下移,行业短期调整态势未改。 今日市场普跌特征凸显,十大单品七跌三涨,头部酒品走势分化,仅少数单品显露止跌回暖迹象。下跌 产品中,习酒君品领跌,环比降低13元/瓶;古井贡古紧随其后,环比下跌9元/瓶;国窖1573与洋河梦 之蓝M6+均环比下跌4元/瓶;飞天茅台环比下跌3元/瓶,i茅台平价货源持续投放,终端价格支撑进一步 弱化;青花汾20与青花郎跌幅较小,分别下跌2元/瓶与1元/瓶。上涨产品中,精品茅台领涨,环比大幅 上涨18元/瓶,渠道货源阶段性收紧,叠加部分终端补货需求释放;五粮液普五八代上涨5元/瓶;水晶 剑南春微涨1元/瓶。 "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有合理分布的约200个采集点,包括但不限于酒企的指定经销 商、社会经销商、电商平台和零售网点等,原始取样数据为过去24个小时各点位经手的真实成交终端零 ...