Summary of Conference Call Notes Company Overview - Company: Anjii Food - Industry: Frozen Food Industry Key Financial Metrics - In 2024, Anjii Food achieved revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.17% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion, up 0.46% [1] - Net cash flow from operating activities reached 2.104 billion, a growth of 7.85% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 3.6 billion, a decline of approximately 4% year-on-year, with net profit of 395 million, down 10% [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the company demonstrated resilience through cost structure optimization and product strategy adjustments [1] Business Segment Performance Prepared Foods - Revenue for the prepared foods segment in 2024 was 7.839 billion, with a growth of 15.4 billion, representing a growth rate of 18%-19% [2] - The "Fresh Lock" series became a core growth driver, generating over 1.5 billion in revenue, increasing its share from 9% in 2022 to 10.5% in 2024 [2] - The upcoming launch of "Fresh Lock 6.0" in H2 2025 is expected to strengthen the company's competitive advantage in the consumer market [2] Frozen Dishes - The frozen dishes segment generated revenue of 4.35 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [3] - Key products like "Small Crispy Meat" achieved revenue of 300 million, up 50% [3] - Shrimp products maintained stable growth, while some items faced price fluctuations, with certain products seeing a price drop of over 6% despite increased sales [3] Frozen Noodles and Rice - Revenue for the frozen noodles and rice segment was nearly 2.5 billion, a decline of 3.14% year-on-year due to intensified industry competition and price drops [4] - The company plans to focus on major product strategies to enhance brand influence and customer loyalty [4] - Overall gross margin for 2024 was 23.3%, a slight increase of 0.09 percentage points [4] Strategic Adjustments and Market Positioning - In 2025, the company will adjust its product strategy: - For B-end, focus on cost-effective products and introduce high-quality mid-priced items [5] - For C-end, emphasize product upgrades and series of popular items [5] - Revenue from distributor channels reached 12.3 billion, a growth of 9% [5] - Direct sales channels saw a decline of 4%, while e-commerce channels also experienced a slight drop of 2% due to reduced sales of certain products and the closure of unprofitable e-commerce operations [5] Future Outlook - The company aims to strengthen its market share through a focus on high-end, youthful product lines and customized products for major supermarkets [6] - The competitive pressure in the industry peaked in Q4 2024, but is expected to ease in Q1 2025 as the consumer market gradually recovers [6] - Raw material costs are projected to rise, but the company is implementing measures to control cost increases effectively [7] - The dividend payout ratio increased from 30% to 70%, with a cash dividend ratio of 65%, reflecting strong profitability and financial stability [7] - The company submitted an A1 application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with plans to complete the listing process by the end of June 2025 [7]

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a mixed performance across various segments, with opportunities in new channels and product categories. The report highlights the need for companies to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [5][6][7] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Baijiu Sector - The baijiu sector achieved a total revenue of CNY 440.515 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.89%, and a net profit of CNY 166.778 billion, up 7.50%. In Q1 2025, revenue was CNY 152.933 billion, growing 1.82%, and net profit was CNY 63.340 billion, increasing 2.33% [15][19] - High-end baijiu brands like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao are expected to see stable growth targets of around 9%, 5%, and steady progress respectively for 2025 [19][21] - The report notes that companies are increasing dividend rates to enhance returns for investors, with expected dividend yields for major brands ranging from 1.39% to 6.28% in 2025 [18] 2. Frozen Food - The frozen food industry is facing a slowdown in growth, with leading companies like Anjijia showing resilience while others like Qianwei Central Kitchen are under pressure due to product structure. The industry is seeking breakthroughs in products and channels to improve revenue and profit [6] 3. Snack Foods - The snack food sector is experiencing differentiation, with leading companies leveraging product innovation and channel expansion to drive growth. Salted Fish's brand "Big Demon King" has shown significant results from brand investment [6] 4. Soft Drinks - The soft drink segment is seeing high growth from brands like Dongpeng, while companies like LuLu and Master Kong maintain operational resilience. New products in the health drink category are also performing well [6] 5. Pet Food - The pet food industry remains highly prosperous, with leading companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. showing revenue growth rates of 21.22% and 19.15% respectively in 2024 [7] 6. Bakery Products - The bakery sector is recovering, with significant growth in supermarket channels driven by new product launches. Companies like Angel Yeast are expanding their international business, contributing to overall growth [8] 7. Dairy Products - Yili's revenue is stabilizing with better-than-expected profit performance, while New Dairy is seeing continuous profit margin improvements. Yili aims for a total revenue of CNY 119 billion in 2025 [8] 8. Beer - The beer market is witnessing a recovery in consumption, with major brands like Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer showing positive sales growth in Q1 2025 [9] 9. Seasoning Products - The seasoning industry is under pressure, but companies like Haitian are performing steadily, with core products like soy sauce maintaining growth [9]

Summary of Company and Industry Insights from Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Anjijia Food - **Industry**: Frozen Food Industry Key Financial Performance - **2024 Revenue**: 101.04 billion CNY, up 7.85% YoY, with major contributions from: - **Prepared Foods**: 78.39 billion CNY, growth of 15.4 billion CNY, driven by rapid growth in fresh-keeping products, revenue share increased to 10.5%, expected price close to 11.5 CNY/kg [2][3] - **Frozen Dishes**: 43.5 billion CNY, growth of 4.7%, notable increases in small crispy meat and shrimp slides, but shrimp tails declined due to price fluctuations [2][3] - **Frozen Noodles and Rice**: Close to 25 billion CNY, down 3.14% YoY, impacted by industry competition and price declines [2][3] - **Gross Margin**: 23.3% for 2024, up 0.09 percentage points, with improvements in frozen prepared foods and stable margins in fresh-keeping products [2][7] - **Net Profit**: Slight increase of 0.47%, affected by increased stock incentive costs and higher investments in roasted chicken and chicken sausages [2][7] Strategic Initiatives - **Big Product Strategy**: 39 products with over 100 million CNY in revenue, accounting for 70% of total sales, with stable growth in frozen fish products [2][5] - **Dividend Policy**: Increased payout ratio from 30% to 40%, with a cash dividend ratio of 65% for 2024, leading to a total payout ratio of 70% [4][12] - **New Product Strategy for 2025**: Focus on cost-effectiveness for B-end products and upgrading C-end products, with expected growth of 15%-20% for fresh-keeping products [4][16] Market Dynamics - **Channel Performance**: - **Distributor Channel**: 9% growth, reaching 123 billion CNY - **Direct Sales**: Down 4% due to decreased sales in chain stores - **E-commerce**: Slight decline of 2%, totaling 3.12 billion CNY, mainly due to the shutdown of the Qingliu 5 e-commerce platform [6] - **Competition**: Price competition in frozen noodles has intensified since 2023, with promotional efforts increasing to capture market share, leading to profit pressure [21][22] Future Outlook - **2025 Q1 Performance**: Revenue of 36 billion CNY, down approximately 4% YoY; net profit of 3.95 billion CNY, down 10% YoY, affected by consumer environment and seasonal factors [8][9] - **Government Subsidies**: Increased by approximately 30 million CNY in Q1 due to the return of previously owed funds, positively impacting financial status [10] - **Cost Control**: Anticipated increase in costs due to raw material prices, but efforts in bulk procurement and centralized production are expected to mitigate impacts [36] Industry Trends - **Frozen Hot Pot and Noodle Market**: Expected growth despite price competition, with signs of recovery noted in April [18][19] - **Small Enterprises**: Many small businesses are at breakeven points, reflecting intense competition and survival pressures [27][28] - **Market Share**: The company maintains a leading market share across various segments, with ongoing efforts to innovate and respond to market demands [28] Conclusion - The company is positioned for moderate growth in 2024 and 2025, with strategic initiatives focused on product innovation, cost control, and market expansion. The competitive landscape remains challenging, but the company’s strong market position and proactive strategies are expected to sustain its growth trajectory.

- The report discusses a "Volume Timing Signal" model, which provides cautious signals for major broad-based indices as of May 9, 2025[23][24] - The "HS300 Upward Stock Ratio Sentiment Indicator" is introduced, calculated as the proportion of HS300 constituent stocks with positive returns over the past N days. This indicator is noted for capturing upward opportunities but has limitations in avoiding downside risks[24][25] - The "Momentum Sentiment Indicator" is derived by smoothing the upward stock ratio indicator over two different time windows (N1=50, N2=35). A bullish signal is generated when the short-term line exceeds the long-term line, and vice versa[27] - The "Moving Average Sentiment Indicator" is based on the eight moving averages (8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233). The indicator assigns values (-1, 0, 1) based on the number of moving averages above or below the current price. A bullish signal is triggered when the price exceeds more than five moving averages[31][32] Backtesting Results of Models - Volume Timing Signal: All major indices (e.g., HS300, CSI500, CSI1000) are in a "cautious" state as of May 9, 2025[23][24] - HS300 Upward Stock Ratio Sentiment Indicator: The upward stock ratio is approximately 53% for the past week[25] - Momentum Sentiment Indicator: Both the fast and slow lines are trending downward, with the fast line falling below the slow line, indicating a cautious outlook[27] - Moving Average Sentiment Indicator: HS300 is currently in a non-bullish sentiment zone[37]

Group 1: Guizhou Moutai - Guizhou Moutai announced that Zhang Yixing has become the brand ambassador for its cultural tourism [1] Group 2: Qingdao Beer - Qingdao Beer plans to acquire 100% equity of Shandong Jimo Yellow Wine Factory for a total consideration of RMB 66.5 million [2] - The acquisition aims to enhance industry synergy and competitiveness, expanding the company's non-beer business and product line [2] - The integration of Jimo Yellow Wine is expected to create complementary sales effects between seasonal products, enhancing market competitiveness [2] Group 3: Jin Zai Food - Jin Zai Food has launched its soft-boiled quail eggs in select stores of Pang Dong Lai, with no current plans to invest in snack chain stores [3] Group 4: Jiahe Food - Jiahe Food's coffee business focuses more on online branding, with significant investment in brand promotion [4] - The company plans to control overall expense ratios to mitigate impacts on profits while expanding its C-end business through online platforms [4] Group 5: Uni-President China - Uni-President China reported an unaudited net profit of RMB 602 million for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025 [5] Group 6: Anjiexin Food - Anjiexin Food is adjusting its 2025 new product strategy, differentiating between B-end and C-end approaches [6] - The company will focus on product innovation and competitive pricing, with plans to launch various new products in the frozen food category [6] Group 7: Market Regulation - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated a special action to address the production and sale of counterfeit and substandard meat products from April to December 2025 [7][8] Group 8: Food Additives - The State Council's Food Safety Office and other departments have launched a comprehensive governance plan to address the abuse of food additives, focusing on illegal practices and enhancing regulatory measures [9] Group 9: Naixue Tea - Naixue Tea has rebranded with a new logo "Naisnow" and is set to open its first store in the U.S. in Flushing, New York [10] Group 10: Cha Baidao - Cha Baidao's flagship store in Chengdu has begun trial operations, featuring a menu that includes ice cream and special tea cocktails with premium spirits [11] Group 11: Xiaobuxiang - Xiaobuxiang reported an 18.85% increase in revenue during the May Day holiday, with plans to open 80 new stores this year [12] Group 12: Estee Lauder - Estee Lauder reported a 9.8% decline in sales to $3.55 billion for Q3, with organic sales in China showing double-digit growth for specific brands [14][15] Group 13: Pang Dong Lai - Pang Dong Lai has implemented a return policy for jade and jadeite purchases, allowing customers to return items without incurring fees [16] Group 14: ST Renle - ST Renle received a notice from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding the potential termination of its stock listing [17] Group 15: Yonghui Supermarket - Yonghui Supermarket issued a public letter supporting ethical business practices and committed to upholding integrity in the retail industry [18]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The prepared food industry has undergone significant technological upgrades and category expansions, moving beyond traditional offerings like frozen dumplings to include complex dishes such as Baota meat and Squirrel Fish [1] - The chain restaurant trend in China is accelerating, with the national chain rate increasing from 15% in 2020 to 22% in 2024, and expected to reach around 24% by 2025, indicating substantial growth potential for standardized and pre-processed ingredients [2] Group 2: Company Performance - Anjiu Food reported a total revenue of 15.127 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.70%, with core categories like frozen prepared foods and frozen dishes achieving revenues of 7.839 billion yuan and 4.349 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 11.41% and 10.76% [1] - Qianwei Central Kitchen faced a decline in overall performance with a revenue of 1.868 billion yuan, down 1.71% year-on-year, but its frozen prepared dishes and other products saw a remarkable increase in sales revenue to 142 million yuan, up 273.39% [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The growth of frozen dish revenue is closely linked to the trend of restaurant chain expansion, as standardized production of prepared foods optimizes cooking processes and ensures consistent consumer experiences across multiple locations [2] - The industry faces challenges such as low market concentration, intense competition from emerging brands and traditional restaurants, and a strong consumer focus on cost-effectiveness, leading to price pressures on restaurant businesses [3] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - The prepared food sector is experiencing issues with product homogeneity, leading to price wars and a lack of innovation, while consumer concerns about quality and safety are increasing [3] - Companies need to innovate through technology, focusing on personalized and diverse consumer demands, and enhance brand trust by prioritizing quality and safety through transparent production and strict quality control [3]

Group 1 - The company is making significant adjustments to its new product strategy for 2025, differentiating between B-end and C-end strategies, with B-end focusing on "timely follow-up" and C-end shifting to "upgrade and replace" [1] - In the frozen fish paste and meat products segment, the company plans to launch a new 6.0 strip product that is smaller in weight, catering to single-person and small family consumption [1] - The company aims to enhance its competitive advantage in frozen dishes, with plans to introduce a 250g pack of volcanic stone grilled sausages for C-end, emphasizing flavor and packaging [1] Group 2 - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape in the frozen prepared foods and frozen noodle products sectors, focusing on leveraging its market share and channel advantages [2] - The acquisition of Dingwei Thai is based on three main strategies: product complementarity, channel complementarity, and the potential for premium pricing in the domestic frozen baking sector [2] - The company plans to enhance its product structure and optimize its market position by focusing on core products and developing new varieties in the frozen noodle category [2]

Group 1: Songzi Co., Ltd. (松井股份) - Songzi Co., Ltd. is steadily advancing its business in the passenger car coating sector, deepening collaborations with BYD and North American T Company, and expanding its product line to include exterior large component coating materials, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 78.17% in Q1 2025 [1] - To maintain its gross margin, the company is enhancing product competitiveness and optimizing costs [1] - In the high-end consumer electronics sector, Songzi is deepening cooperation with leading clients, leveraging innovative processes to explore incremental space and improve its product system [1] - The company has significant technical advantages in its power battery insulation coating project, with smooth commercialization progress and policy support driving market demand for insulation technology [1] - In response to changes in tariff policies, Songzi is focusing on the global trade environment, deepening domestic substitution processes, and strengthening its international market layout [1] - The ink and adhesive business has made progress, with plans to meet diverse future demands [1] Group 2: Anyi Food (安井食品) - Anyi Food is adjusting its 2025 new product strategy, focusing on extreme cost performance for B-end and quality-price ratio for C-end, with key product launches including fresh-keeping 6.0 strip products, tender fish balls, black tiger shrimp slides, tiger skin fried eggs, and a series of lucky bag products [2] - To consolidate its market position against competition in frozen prepared foods and frozen noodle products, Anyi is amplifying the advantages of its frozen prepared food flagship products and making breakthroughs in new-style pastries [2] - The acquisition of Dingwei Thai aims to complement product categories and channels, focusing on developing high-end cod fish paste products, segmented categories of Kanto stew, and the frozen baking track [2] - The company is embracing customization for supermarkets to adapt to the needs of supermarket systems and new retail formats, currently in the early stages of strategy implementation [2] - The total cash dividend for 2024 is projected to be 1,040,059,864.54 yuan, with plans to continue sharing operational results and boosting investor confidence in 2025 [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable operations and clear strategic direction, with a focus on optimizing its business strategies for continued profitability improvement [7][8] - The company reported a total revenue of 151.27 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.85 billion yuan, which is a slight increase of 0.46% [7] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 1.015 yuan per share, totaling 14.85 billion yuan [7] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024: 151.27 billion yuan (YoY +7.70%) - 2025E: 159.14 billion yuan (YoY +5.20%) - 2026E: 170.91 billion yuan (YoY +7.40%) - 2027E: 182.17 billion yuan (YoY +6.59%) [4][8] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2024: 14.85 billion yuan (YoY +0.46%) - 2025E: 15.94 billion yuan (YoY +7.38%) - 2026E: 17.59 billion yuan (YoY +8.77%) - 2027E: 19.73 billion yuan (YoY +7.36%) [4][8] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: 5.06 yuan - 2025E: 5.44 yuan - 2026E: 6.00 yuan - 2027E: 6.73 yuan [4][8] - **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratios**: - 2024: 15.30 - 2025E: 14.25 - 2026E: 12.91 - 2027E: 11.51 [4][8] Operational Insights - The company has 39 products generating over 1 billion yuan in revenue, contributing approximately 70% of total revenue, with four products exceeding 5 billion yuan [7] - The company’s gross margin remained stable at 23.30% for 2024, while the net margin slightly decreased to 10.01% [7] - The company is focusing on product strategy improvements, with a shift towards enhancing product quality and price competitiveness [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable operations and clear strategic direction, with a focus on optimizing its business strategies for continued profitability improvement [7][8] - The company reported a total revenue of 151.27 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.85 billion yuan, which is a slight increase of 0.46% [7] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 1.015 yuan per share, totaling 14.85 billion yuan [7] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 159.14 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.20% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 15.94 billion yuan, representing a growth of 7.38% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be 5.44 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.25 [4] Product Performance - In 2024, the company had 39 products with revenue exceeding 100 million yuan, contributing approximately 70% of total revenue [7] - The revenue from prepared foods reached 78.39 billion yuan, growing by 11.41%, with a standout product, the vacuum-sealed packaging, expected to grow over 18% [7] - The revenue from dish products was 43.49 billion yuan, increasing by 10.76%, with the small crispy meat product expected to grow by 50% [7] Margin and Cost Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 was stable at 23.30%, while the net margin slightly decreased to 10.01% [7] - The company experienced an increase in management expenses due to stock incentive costs, which rose by 80 million yuan [7] - The expense ratio for 2024 was 10.03%, with a notable increase in management fees [7] Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on product strategy improvements, with a B-end strategy emphasizing cost-effectiveness and a C-end strategy aimed at product upgrades [7] - The company plans to launch new products and enhance promotional efforts to drive sales growth [7] - The profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 15.94 billion yuan, 17.59 billion yuan, and 19.73 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 5.44 yuan, 6.00 yuan, and 6.73 yuan [7][8]