Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance has significantly improved due to the rise in potassium chloride and copper prices, with a notable increase in net profit [2][3] - The resumption of lithium carbonate production and the steady progress of new projects are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.401 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.35% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.751 billion yuan, up 47.26% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 2.756 billion yuan, an increase of 49.27% year-on-year - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 723 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.71%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 35.76% [1] Product Sales and Pricing - The potassium chloride sales volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was 783,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, primarily due to the release of approximately 80,000 tons from national reserves - The average selling price of potassium chloride was approximately 2,920 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.9% - The company’s lithium carbonate sales volume was 4,800 tons, a decrease of 53.0% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 67,300 yuan per ton, down 24.6% year-on-year [2] Investment Income - The company received investment income of 1.95 billion yuan from its associate, Julong Copper Industry, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.1% - Julong Copper's copper production was 142,500 tons, up 16.8% year-on-year, with sales volume of 142,400 tons, an increase of 18.1% year-on-year, and an average selling price of 83,000 yuan per ton, up 8.0% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The company has resumed production at its lithium subsidiary and adjusted its lithium carbonate production and sales plan for 2025, expecting both to reach 8,510 tons - New projects, including the completion of photovoltaic power station construction contracts and the progress of the Laotian potassium salt mine project, are on track [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 3.645 billion, 4.845 billion, and 5.828 billion yuan respectively - The report maintains the "Buy" rating based on the anticipated growth driven by rising potassium chloride and copper prices [3][4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report suggests that lithium carbonate will experience a relatively strong and volatile trend, and investors should pay attention to the sustainability of demand [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Market Data**: The closing prices of the 2511 and 2601 contracts are 75,700 and 75,780 respectively. The trading volumes are 366,375 and 303,602, and the open interests are 159,000 and 271,858 [2]. - **Basis Data**: The basis between spot and 2511 contract is -2,350, and between spot and 2601 contract is -2,430. The basis between 2511 and 2601 contracts is -80 [2]. - **Raw Material Data**: The prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) and lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) are 846 and 1,825 respectively. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,350 [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - **Price Information**: SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 73,349 yuan/ton, up 285 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,350 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 71,100 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan/ton [3]. - **Policy News**: Sichuan Province will optimize and adjust the 2025 subsidy policy for trading in old cars and electric bicycles. The subsidy policy for car scrapping and replacement in 2025 has been suspended since October 18, 2025 [4]. - **Company News**: From January to September 2025, Zangge Mining's lithium carbonate production was 6,021 tons, reaching 70.75% of the annual production target, and sales were 4,800 tons, completing 56.4% of the annual sales target. The company's photovoltaic power station construction contract for the Mamilcuo Salt Lake project has been signed, and the project plant construction is progressing as planned [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 1, indicating a relatively strong trend [4].

Core Viewpoint - Cangge Mining has demonstrated stable operations with significant growth in net profit and revenue, driven by strong performance in its core business and investment income from its associate company, Julong Copper [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Cangge Mining achieved operating revenue of 2.401 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.751 billion yuan, up 47.26% [1][2]. - The third quarter alone saw a revenue increase of 28.71% to 723 million yuan and a net profit growth of 66.49% to 951 million yuan [2][3]. - Investment income from Julong Copper amounted to 1.950 billion yuan, accounting for 70.89% of the company's net profit for the period [1][2]. Business Segments - Cangge Mining has diversified its operations from a single potassium fertilizer producer to a comprehensive mining group involved in potassium, lithium, and copper [2][4]. - The company has achieved 70.16% and 82.51% of its annual targets for potassium chloride production and sales, respectively, with an average selling price increase of 26.88% and a decrease in average sales cost by 19.12% [3][4]. Strategic Development - Cangge Mining is focusing on strategic mineral resources, particularly potassium and lithium, and has a strong resource reserve advantage with significant expansion potential [4][5]. - The company has made substantial progress in its projects, including the successful trial operation of the second concentrator at Julong Copper and the completion of key infrastructure for ongoing projects [3][6]. Market Position and Stock Performance - As of October 17, 2025, Cangge Mining's stock price reached 54.69 yuan per share, reflecting a market capitalization of approximately 85.88 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of about 104.6% [3][4]. - The company has maintained a low debt ratio of 7.79%, indicating a healthy financial structure that supports future project development [4][6]. Shareholder Returns - Cangge Mining has actively returned value to shareholders, with cumulative cash dividends of 7.429 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, and a mid-year cash dividend of approximately 1.569 billion yuan in 2025 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the non-ferrous metals industry, highlighting ongoing uncertainties regarding tariffs and record high prices for gold and silver [2][3]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that while short-term tariff uncertainties persist, precious metals are expected to trend upward in the long term due to factors such as geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases [6][8]. - The performance of companies like Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt is noted, with both showing strong revenue growth and profitability in their recent quarterly reports [6][8]. Industry Overview - **Basic Industry Data**: The non-ferrous metals sector comprises 125 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 45,379.37 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 39,608.97 billion yuan [3]. - **Price Performance**: The absolute performance over the last 12 months is reported at 69.1%, with a relative performance of 50.0% [4]. Precious Metals - **Market Trends**: Gold futures closed at 999.8 yuan per gram, up 10.9% week-on-week, while silver futures rose 10.53% to 12,249 yuan per kilogram [6]. - **Company Performance**: Zijin Mining reported a total revenue of 2,542.0 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, with net profit rising by 55.45% to 378.64 billion yuan [6][8]. New Energy Metals - **Cobalt Market**: The report notes that cobalt prices are on the rise, with the average price for electrolytic cobalt reaching 381,000 yuan per ton, a 9.01% increase from the previous week [8]. - **Company Insights**: Huayou Cobalt's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 589.41 billion yuan, up 29.57% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 39.59% to 42.16 billion yuan [8]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the performance of precious metals stocks, particularly companies like Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, as well as silver stocks such as Xingye Silver Tin [7][8].

Core Insights - Cangge Mining reported a revenue of 2.401 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.75 billion yuan, up 47.26% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 723 million yuan, representing a 28.71% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, which is a 66.49% increase year-on-year [1] - The significant contribution to investment income from the associated company, Julong Copper, which produced 142,500 tons of copper and generated a net profit of 6.421 billion yuan, leading to an investment income of 1.95 billion yuan for Cangge Mining, accounting for 70.89% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Cangge Mining's revenue for the first three quarters reached 2.401 billion yuan, with a 3.35% year-on-year growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.75 billion yuan, reflecting a 47.26% increase year-on-year [1] - In Q3 alone, the company reported a revenue of 723 million yuan, marking a 28.71% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, which is a 66.49% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: Investment Contributions - Julong Copper's performance significantly boosted Cangge Mining's profitability, with an investment income contribution of 1.95 billion yuan, which is 70.89% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - Julong Copper's copper production for the year reached 142,500 tons, with a revenue of 11.821 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.421 billion yuan [1] - The investment income from Julong Copper increased by 587 million yuan, a growth of 43.09% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Project Developments - The second phase of the Julong Copper Mine expansion project has made significant progress, with successful trial operations of the second concentrator [2] - The completion of the Julong Copper Mine's second phase is expected to increase annual copper production to between 300,000 and 350,000 tons, laying a solid foundation for future performance growth [2] - Cangge Lithium, a subsidiary of Cangge Mining, resumed lithium resource development activities after receiving approval, with production officially restarting on October 11, 2025 [2] Group 4: New Projects and Licenses - The Marmicuo Salt Lake project aims to produce 50,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate annually, with an estimated total investment of 4.537 billion yuan [3] - Cangge Potash Fertilizer, a wholly-owned subsidiary, received mining rights and permits, allowing for the development of lithium and boron resources alongside potassium salt [3] - The new permits are expected to enhance the long-term development of potassium salt and support the stability of potassium chloride supply, contributing to national food security [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting several key companies as investment opportunities [4]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt the market, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver, which have reached new highs [1][2]. - Industrial metal prices are expected to remain strong due to supply disruptions and optimistic macroeconomic forecasts, despite short-term volatility caused by tariffs [2][3]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, are projected to perform well due to strong demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors [3]. - Precious metals are benefiting from strong central bank purchases and high expectations for interest rate cuts, which are expected to support gold prices in the medium to long term [3]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Tariff-induced short-term volatility is affecting copper prices, but supply disruptions are expected to support prices [2]. - Aluminum demand remains resilient, with a decrease in social inventory indicating a potential price stabilization [2][19]. - The report highlights key companies in the industrial metals sector, including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [2]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are rising due to new export quota regulations from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while lithium demand remains strong due to the growth of the electric vehicle market [3]. - Key companies recommended in this sector include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to strong demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainties [3]. - Recommended companies in the precious metals sector include Western Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zijin Gold [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][8]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its financial results, with a significant increase in net profit and revenue for the first three quarters of 2025. The net profit reached 2.75 billion yuan, up 47.3% year-on-year, while revenue was 2.4 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the strong performance of potassium, lithium, and copper segments, with significant growth potential anticipated in the coming years [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, and a net profit of 2.75 billion yuan, up 47.3% year-on-year. The net profit for Q3 alone was 950 million yuan, reflecting a 66.5% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company’s operating costs per ton for lithium were reported at 41,000 yuan, with a decrease in costs noted in Q3 [2]. Lithium Segment - The lithium production line faced a temporary shutdown due to mining license issues, leading to a decrease in sales volume in Q3. The sales target for lithium carbonate was revised down from 11,000 tons to 8,500 tons for 2025 [2]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Q3 was reported at 73,000 yuan, a 12.7% increase from the previous quarter [2]. Potassium Segment - The potassium fertilizer prices remained strong, with the company’s selling price for potassium chloride at 2,679 yuan per ton, and 2,826 yuan in Q3 [3]. - The production and sales volume for potassium chloride in Q1-Q3 2025 were 702,000 tons and 784,000 tons, respectively [3]. Copper Segment - The company reported a copper production and sales volume of 143,000 tons and 142,000 tons for Q1-Q3 2025, with Q3 figures showing a slight increase [4]. - The LME copper price was reported at 9,821 USD per ton in Q3, reflecting a 3.7% increase [4]. Project Progress - The lithium production line at the Chaqi Lake has resumed operations as of October 11, 2025, following the resolution of licensing issues [5]. - The company is progressing with its expansion projects, including the second phase of the giant dragon project, which is expected to commence production by the end of 2025 [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.68 billion yuan, 5.70 billion yuan, and 8.02 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 15, and 11 [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - Cangge Mining Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by reduced operating costs and increased investment income [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Cangge Mining achieved operating revenue of 2.4 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.75 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.26% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 723 million yuan, up 28.71% year-on-year, and a net profit of 950 million yuan, reflecting a 66.49% increase [1] - The average selling price of potassium chloride (including tax) increased by 26.88%, while the average selling cost decreased by 19.12%, resulting in a gross margin increase of 20.78 percentage points [2] - The average selling price of lithium carbonate (including tax) decreased by 24.59%, with the average selling cost rising by 2.98%, leading to a gross margin decline of 18.42 percentage points [2] Investment Income - Cangge Mining holds a 30.78% stake in Xizang Julong Copper Co., which produced 142,500 tons of copper and generated operating revenue of 11.821 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.421 billion yuan [2] - The investment income from Julong Copper amounted to 1.95 billion yuan, accounting for 70.89% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the year-to-date, with a year-on-year increase of 43.09% [2] Project Developments - Cangge Mining's subsidiary, Geermu Cangge Potash Fertilizer Co., received mining rights and licenses, allowing for the development of potassium, magnesium, lithium, and boron resources, which will enhance the company's competitive edge and support national food security [4] - The second phase of the Julong Copper Mine expansion has made significant progress, with successful trials of the second concentrator, ensuring timely production [2][4] Lithium Resource Recovery - Cangge Mining's lithium resource project has resumed production after a temporary halt, with plans to achieve a lithium carbonate production target of 11,000 tons for 2025 [5][6] - The company estimates that the temporary shutdown will have a minimal impact on its 2025 financial performance, and it will adjust production and sales plans accordingly [6]

Core Viewpoint - The production halt in July significantly impacted the profitability of Zangge Mining in the third quarter, leading to a decline in net profit despite stable performance in other business segments [2][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3, Zangge Mining reported a net profit of 951 million yuan, a 9.7% decrease from Q2, ending a three-quarter growth streak [3][4]. - The company's total net profit for the first three quarters reached 2.75 billion yuan, with investment income from Tibet Julong Copper accounting for 71% of this figure, amounting to 1.95 billion yuan [4][10]. - Revenue in Q3 fell by 35.76% compared to the previous quarter, with net profit decreasing by 9.72% [6]. Business Segments - The potassium chloride business maintained stable production and sales, with Q3 output at 216,400 tons and sales at 247,900 tons [4]. - The lithium salt segment experienced a significant decline, with Q3 production dropping from 3,000 tons in Q2 to 850 tons, and sales falling from 2,940 tons to 330 tons due to the production halt [4][5]. Production Resumption - After a temporary halt, Zangge Mining's lithium salt production resumed on October 11, 2023, following the approval from relevant authorities [6][7]. - The company adjusted its annual lithium carbonate production and sales targets from 11,000 tons to approximately 8,510 tons due to the impact of the production halt [6]. Future Outlook - The recovery of lithium salt production is expected to eliminate the factors that led to revenue and profit declines in Q3, with potential for growth in Q4 [7]. - The average LME copper price increased to 10,546 USD/ton in October, suggesting higher investment income from Tibet Julong Copper in the upcoming quarters [10]. - The second phase of the Julong Copper project is projected to double annual copper production to between 300,000 and 350,000 tons by the end of 2025, which will significantly enhance Zangge Mining's profitability [11][12]. Profit Forecast - Analysts predict Zangge Mining's net profit for 2025 to be 3.54 billion yuan, with an increase to 5.09 billion yuan in 2026, indicating a profit increase of over 1.5 billion yuan [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - Zangge Mining achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.751 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.26% [1] - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 951 million yuan, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 66.49%, exceeding market expectations [1] Financial Performance - The substantial growth in Q3 occurred despite the suspension of lithium carbonate operations for over two months [1] - The company announced the resumption of lithium carbonate production in October after the suspension began in July [1] Project Progress - The second beneficiation plant of the Julong Copper Mine has successfully completed trial operations [1] - The Mami Cuo Salt Lake project is progressing as planned [1] - The first phase of Guoneng Mining's 3,300-ton production line has been successfully connected [1] - The mining rights for the Chaqi Salt Lake have been extended, and new mineral types have been added [1] - Zangge Lithium officially resumed production on October 11 [1] Investment Rating - The company maintains a "Buy" rating [1]