Core Viewpoint - Wuliangye, once a leader in the liquor industry, is at a crossroads as it seeks to regain market share lost to Moutai by targeting the low-alcohol segment and appealing to younger consumers [1][4]. Industry Dynamics - The liquor industry has seen a shift in focus from high-end products to mid-range and mass-market offerings, with Shanxi Fenjiu leveraging strategic investments to achieve national expansion and enter the top three [3]. - Moutai has established a strong brand barrier through consistent price increases and has maintained its position at the top of the industry since surpassing Wuliangye in 2013 [3]. Company Performance - Wuliangye's revenue and net profit growth rates have slowed, with 2025 mid-year reports showing revenue growth at 4.19% and net profit growth at 2.28%, indicating a closing window to catch up with Moutai [3]. Strategic Initiatives - In response to industry changes, Wuliangye is focusing on low-alcohol products and the younger market, launching a 29-degree product named "Yijian Qingxin" that utilizes AI technology for taste balancing and features a modern design [4]. - The new product, priced at 399 yuan for a 500ml bottle, has sparked debate about whether young consumers will embrace it as a "liquor craft" [4]. Challenges and Opportunities - The transition to lower alcohol content may risk altering the traditional liquor profile, with concerns about potential quality degradation [4]. - Wuliangye's strategic shift aims to address generational consumption changes and create new market opportunities between high-end products and younger consumers [4][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The white liquor market is gradually stabilizing, with health and nutrition creating a second growth curve for Ximai. The food and beverage index increased by 1.1% from September 8 to September 12, ranking 17th among 28 sub-industries, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.3 percentage points. The sub-industries of meat products (+3.0%), white liquor (+1.7%), and pre-processed foods (+0.4%) performed relatively well. The white liquor sector is currently under demand pressure, with slight price declines for Feitian Moutai, indicating terminal demand stress. However, there are signs of improvement in terminal sales for Moutai since the end of August, suggesting that the bottom for the white liquor market is approaching. It is expected that the economic activity will increase with the implementation of large-scale infrastructure projects, leading to a stable upward trend in the white liquor market [4][11][12]. Summary by Sections Weekly Viewpoints - The white liquor market is stabilizing, and health products are becoming a potential growth area for Ximai. The food and beverage index's performance is lagging behind the market, with specific sub-industries showing better results [4][11]. Market Performance - The food and beverage index rose by 1.1%, ranking 17th out of 28 sectors, and underperformed the CSI 300 by about 0.3 percentage points. Meat products, white liquor, and pre-processed foods led the sub-industry performance [11][13]. Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices are declining, with full-fat milk powder auction prices down by 5.6% month-on-month but up by 12.2% year-on-year. Domestic fresh milk prices are also showing a downward trend [18][21]. Liquor Industry News - The liquor industry is seeing new product launches to adapt to market changes, with companies like Wuliangye and Zhenjiu introducing new products targeting younger consumers. The market is expected to recover as risks are released and new products are introduced [4][39]. Recommended Portfolio - The recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, Wancheng Group, and Bairun Shares, with each company showing potential for growth despite current market pressures [5][43].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company's total revenue for H1 2025 is 52.771 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is 19.492 billion yuan, up 2.28% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items is 19.48 billion yuan, an increase of 2.86% year-on-year [2][6]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported total revenue of 15.831 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.58% to 4.632 billion yuan, with the net profit excluding non-recurring items down 5.75% to 4.618 billion yuan [2][6]. - The sales revenue from liquor products in H1 2025 reached 49.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.26%. The revenue from Wuliangye liquor was 40.998 billion yuan, up 4.57% year-on-year, while other liquor products generated 8.122 billion yuan, an increase of 2.73% year-on-year [11]. Financial Performance - The company's gross profit margin for H1 2025 decreased by 0.53 percentage points to 76.83%, and the net profit margin attributable to shareholders declined by 0.69 percentage points to 36.94% [11]. - The company plans to align its revenue growth target for 2025 with macroeconomic indicators, with expected EPS for 2025 and 2026 at 8.36 yuan and 8.83 yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 15 and 14 times [11].

Core Points - The case involves the sale of counterfeit "Wuliangye" liquor by an individual named Wang, leading to legal actions for trademark infringement [1][3] - Wang sold 9 boxes (54 bottles) of counterfeit liquor for a total of 54,000 RMB, which was refunded upon discovery of the issue [1] - The Sichuan Yibin Wuliangye Group confirmed that the liquor sold was not produced by them, thus violating their trademark rights [1][3] Legal Proceedings - Wang was placed under criminal detention for selling counterfeit goods but was later not prosecuted due to the minor nature of the offense and his willingness to compensate the victim [3] - The administrative prosecution recommended by the procuratorate led to an investigation by the local market supervision bureau, which found Wang's actions violated trademark laws [3] - Wang faced administrative penalties, including the confiscation of 54 bottles of counterfeit liquor and a fine of 189,000 RMB [3] Industry Impact - The Qinghai Provincial Procuratorate emphasized the importance of protecting intellectual property to prevent counterfeit products from entering the market, thereby safeguarding consumer health and trust [4] - Administrative penalties serve as a deterrent against infringement, ensuring that minor offenses do not go unpunished and maintaining market integrity and competition [4]

Group 1 - The core idea of the article highlights Wuliangye's innovative exhibition strategy at the Service Trade Fair, showcasing its brand history and cultural heritage through dual exhibition spaces [2][4][9] - Wuliangye has set up six themed check-in points that connect indoor and outdoor areas, each uniquely presenting the charm of "Great Nation's Strong Aroma" [4][6] - The outdoor area incorporates local Yibin cultural elements, offering visitors a taste experience with Wuliangye cocktails paired with local delicacies like Yibin burning noodles and ice powder [6][8] Group 2 - The Service Trade Fair serves as a significant platform for China's openness and cooperation, featuring nearly 2,000 exhibitors, including around 500 Fortune 500 companies [9][11] - Wuliangye participates as a "global partner" and "designated wine" to showcase the cultural depth and unique appeal of Chinese liquor to the world [9][11] - The company emphasizes its commitment to enhancing global influence through participation in international exhibitions, thereby promoting traditional Chinese culture and modern display methods [11][13]

截至9月12日收盘，超级品牌概念下跌1.00%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，百润股份、上汽集 团、金龙鱼等跌幅居前。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金属锌 | 3.39 | 足球概念 | -1.33 | | 金属铅 | 3.04 | PEEK材料 | -1.13 | | 存储芯片 | 2.76 | 乳业 | -1.12 | | 培育钻石 | 2.73 | BC电池 | -1.02 | | 黄金概念 | 1.83 | 超级品牌 | -1.00 | | 金属铜 | 1.82 | 互联网保险 | -0.98 | | 金属镍 | 1.78 | 太赫兹 | -0.97 | | 小金属概念 | 1.69 | POE胶膜 | -0.93 | | 特色小镇 | 1.66 | 信托概念 | -0.91 | | 国家大基金持股 | 1.64 | 人造肉 | -0.91 | 资金面上看，今日超级品牌概念板块获主力资金净流出34.55亿元，其中，37股获主力资金净流出，10 股主力资金净流出超亿元，净流出资金居 ...

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector experienced a pullback on September 12, with the Food ETF (515710) declining by 1.23% by the end of the trading day [1] - Key stocks in the sector, such as liquor and dairy products, saw significant declines, with Guizhou Moutai dropping 5.28% and Shede Liquor down 3.09% [1] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by recent consumption stimulus policies introduced in various regions, which are expected to boost domestic consumption during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [3][5] Group 2 - Analysts from Dongxing Securities are optimistic about the recovery of the consumer sector in the second half of the year, particularly in the restaurant industry, driven by tourism and sports economies [3] - The Food ETF manager noted that the current low valuation of the food and beverage sector presents a good investment opportunity, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.52, which is at the 11.76% percentile of the past decade [4] - The white liquor sector is expected to see a recovery as multiple policies are anticipated to improve demand, especially during the upcoming holidays [5][6] Group 3 - The white liquor sector faced significant challenges in the second quarter due to policy impacts, but there are signs of recovery as consumer scenarios improve [6] - The Food ETF (515710) is strategically positioned with approximately 60% of its holdings in leading high-end and mid-range liquor stocks, and nearly 40% in other beverage and dairy segments [6]

Core Insights - The 2025 China International Service Trade Fair, themed "Digital Intelligence Leading, Service Trade Renewed," showcased Wuliangye as a leading Chinese liquor brand, emphasizing its heritage brewing techniques and modern product innovations [1][8][15] - Wuliangye's exhibition highlighted its cultural significance and commitment to international expansion, presenting a blend of traditional and contemporary elements [1][3][5] Company Overview - Wuliangye, a major state-owned enterprise, integrates traditional brewing wisdom with cutting-edge technology, positioning itself as a benchmark for digital transformation in the Chinese liquor industry [10][12] - The company has been recognized as a pilot enterprise for data security management by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, reflecting its leadership in digital enterprise management [10] Product Innovation - The launch of the "29° Wuliangye - Crush on You" product, designed with modern aesthetics and a focus on low-alcohol consumption, aims to attract younger consumers and create a new consumption ecosystem [5][7] - Wuliangye's product range includes classic offerings and creative cultural products, enhancing its appeal at the trade fair [3][5] Cultural and International Engagement - The exhibition featured interactive elements, allowing visitors to engage with Wuliangye's history and cultural narratives, reinforcing the brand's connection to Chinese heritage [3][5] - Wuliangye's participation in the fair underscores its strategy to leverage cultural ties and quality as foundations for global market expansion [15] Digital Transformation - The company is advancing digital transformation across its supply chain, production management, and agricultural practices, utilizing smart agriculture systems for better resource management [12] - Wuliangye is implementing digital quality management throughout its production lifecycle, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and product quality [10][12]

Group 1 - The company, Wuliangye (000858.SZ), announced a donation of 5 million yuan to support post-disaster reconstruction efforts in Muaizhen, Junlian County, following a landslide [1] - The donation is part of the company's commitment to fulfilling its social responsibility [1] - The Sichuan Wuliangye Public Welfare Charity Foundation will be responsible for implementing the donation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is entering a period of accelerated clearing in 2025, with significant declines in production, profits, and increasing inventory pressures among distributors [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, the total production of the liquor industry was 1.9159 million kiloliters, a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%. Sales revenue reached 330.42 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.19%, while profits fell to 87.687 billion yuan, down 10.93% [1]. - 58.1% of distributors reported increased inventory, with over half facing price inversion issues, indicating weak terminal consumption and reduced willingness to collect payments from distributors [1][2]. Company Performance - Among 19 listed liquor companies, 13 experienced revenue declines, accounting for 68% of the total, with a significant slowdown in revenue growth compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The market is increasingly favoring leading companies, with the top six liquor firms accounting for 47% of revenue and 62.2% of total profits in 2024, marking a 13 percentage point increase over five years [2]. Profitability Trends - The wholesale price index for liquor has been declining, with notable drops in prices for major brands like Moutai and Wuliangye, indicating a broader trend of price decreases across the industry [3][4]. - Only three companies saw an increase in gross margin, while 16 experienced declines, with the most significant drops reported by Jiugui Liquor, Shede Liquor, and Kouzi Liquor [4][7]. - The average net profit margin for many companies has also decreased, with Jiugui Liquor, Shunxin Agriculture, and Water Well Square showing the most significant declines [4][7]. Market Dynamics - The growth logic of the liquor industry is changing, with a shift from "volume reduction and price increase" to simultaneous declines in both volume and price [2][3]. - Smaller liquor companies, particularly those with revenues below 5 billion yuan, are facing the most severe impacts, entering a destocking phase earlier than larger firms [4][5][6]. Financial Highlights - In the first half of 2025, the total net profit for 19 listed liquor companies was 97.003 billion yuan, with Moutai and Wuliangye accounting for 69% of this total [8]. - Six leading liquor companies contributed to 94% of the total net profit, while 11 companies reported net profits below 1 billion yuan, with some even incurring losses [8].