IT之家 1 月 26 日消息，埃隆 · 马斯克阐述了他认为特斯拉和 SpaceX 终将远超竞争对手的原因，指出自动驾驶、机器人技术以及天基能源这三大力量将从根 本上重塑经济规模。 马斯克近期在社交平台 X 上发布了两条推文，称上述两家公司所处的领域，其发展并非呈线性增长，而是指数级增长。 有 X 平台用户指出，SpaceX 的估值已超过美国六大国防公司的总和。马斯克对此回应称，天基产业的经济价值最终将超越地球经济的总价值。他表示，太 空能为人类提供的能源总量约为地球的十万倍，而这些能源仍然不到太阳能量的百万分之一。 IT之家注意到，在后续发布的推文中，马斯克还称："凭借自动驾驶技术，特斯拉的市值已超过其他所有汽车厂商的总和。"他补充称，这一估值还未将特斯 拉的人形机器人"擎天柱"（Optimus）纳入考量。这位首席执行官表示，一旦擎天柱实现规模化量产，有望将全球 GDP 提升一个数量级。 ...

Domestic News - The total number of motor vehicles in China reached 469 million, with 43.97 million being new energy vehicles [2] - Beijing's new energy vehicle ownership exceeded 1.3 million, with over 80% of vehicles meeting the "National V" emission standard [3] - FAW-Volkswagen plans to launch 13 new models in 2026, including 6 fuel vehicles and 7 new energy vehicles [4] - Ledao Auto aims to complete the investment of over 8,000 new battery packs within January, achieving a progress rate of 91.36% as of January 24 [5] - BAIC Blue Valley is investing 1.991 billion yuan to upgrade its Xiangjie Super Factory, with construction expected to start in March 2026 [6] - Chery has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Yihaichuxing, delivering 5,000 new vehicles [7] - GAC Aion and Didi have partnered to deliver the Robotaxi R2, marking a significant step in autonomous vehicle commercialization [8] - CATL and Minyun Group have deepened their strategic cooperation to promote the electrification of public transportation [9] Foreign News - India and the EU have reached an agreement to significantly reduce automotive import tariffs, with tariffs on cars priced over €15,000 dropping from 110% to 40% immediately, and eventually to 10% [10] - The Philippines is projected to reach 491,395 vehicle sales in 2025, a 3.7% increase from 2024 [11] - The UAE is accelerating the commercialization of autonomous driving, with Abu Dhabi launching public autonomous operations and Dubai issuing its first autonomous driving test license [12] - Tesla has initiated a fully autonomous taxi service in Austin, Texas, without a safety driver present [13] Commercial Vehicles - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle has launched the world's largest medium and heavy-duty commercial vehicle smart factory in Shiyan, Hubei [14] - CATL has released the first mass-produced sodium-ion battery for light commercial vehicles [15] - Yuchai has introduced the world's first flywheel range extender technology brand, marking a significant innovation in commercial power systems [16] - Henan Province has implemented 21 measures to support truck drivers, enhancing service quality and operational efficiency [17]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is set to report its Q4 2025 earnings on January 28, with expectations of growth in its Energy Generation and Storage business despite a decline in vehicle deliveries [2]. Group 1: Tesla's Performance - Tesla's Q3 production totaled 447,450 units, a 5% year-over-year decline, while Q4 deliveries reached a record 497,099 cars, up 7.4% from the previous year [3]. - Total automotive revenues for Tesla were $21.2 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates of $18.86 billion [4]. - Energy Generation and Storage revenues were $3.4 billion in Q3 2025, a 44% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates of $2.9 billion [5]. Group 2: Energy Generation and Storage Business - The Energy Generation and Storage segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by strong demand for products like Megapack and Powerwall [6]. - In Q4, Tesla deployed 14.2 GWh of energy storage products, setting a new record, with expected revenues of $3.4 billion, indicating an 11% year-over-year increase [7]. - The segment boasts a gross margin estimate of 31.1%, an improvement of 5.9 percentage points from the previous year, highlighting its profitability [8]. Group 3: Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tesla's upcoming quarter is $25.11 billion in sales and earnings of 44 cents per share, with a slight decrease in the earnings estimate over the past month [9]. - Tesla's current Earnings ESP is +3.15%, but the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat due to a lack of favorable conditions [10]. Group 4: Competitor Insights - Cummins Inc. is expected to report Q4 results on February 5, with an Earnings ESP of +4.82% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [11]. - BorgWarner is scheduled to report on February 11, with an Earnings ESP of +4.47% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [12]. - Rivian Automotive, set to report on February 12, has an Earnings ESP of +12.02% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Positive" for the Robotaxi industry [2][10]. Core Insights - The Robotaxi industry is expected to experience rapid growth in the U.S. by 2026, driven by advancements from companies like Tesla and Waymo [6][5]. - Tesla has initiated public operations of its fully autonomous Robotaxi fleet in Austin, with plans for widespread application by the end of 2026 [6]. - Waymo is expanding its operational areas significantly, with plans to increase the number of cities it serves, including Miami and others [6]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - Tesla's fully autonomous Robotaxi fleet began public service in Austin on January 22, 2026, with gradual increases in vehicle numbers planned [6]. - Waymo has expanded its operational area in Austin from 90 to 140 square miles and is set to launch services in additional cities [6]. Future Projections - By the end of 2026, Robotaxi services are anticipated to be widely adopted across the U.S., influencing related industries domestically [6]. - Tesla's Cybercab is expected to enter production in April 2026, with a projected cost of less than $0.20 per mile for large-scale operations [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as Ponyo, Horizon Robotics, and XPeng Motors, while also suggesting to monitor other players like Didi Global, Uber, and Cao Cao Mobility [6].

The dollar fell against most of its major peers as potential US involvement in foreign-exchange intervention in Japan hurt sentiment toward the world’s reserve currency. Gold rose above $5,000 for the first time on haven demand.The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slid as much as 0.5% to the lowest level since September after a rate check Friday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York spurred speculation the US may assist Japan in efforts to weaken the greenback versus the yen. Japan’s currency jumped as much a ...

导读：美国和加拿大的特斯拉取消车道保持功能，如今中国的大部分车型均标配该功能。 （文 / 观察者网 周盛明 编辑 / 高莘） 值得注意的是，在促进FSD的订阅率方面，特斯拉近期动作频频。马斯克此前宣布，特斯拉将于今年2 月14日之后取消辅助驾驶系统FSD的一次性买断模式，之后用户将只能通过按月订阅的模式使用FSD。 目前尚不知晓中国是否也会同步这一政策。 马斯克并未就一系列政策转变说明原因。不过外媒猜测，这一举措和马斯克与董事会此前签订的对赌协 议有关。 去年11月，特斯拉股东批准了马斯克的天价薪酬方案。根据该方案，如果特斯拉能够达成一系列市值和 运营里程碑，马斯克将有望获得价值约1万亿美元的股票——其中一个目标就是"实现1000万活跃的FSD 订阅用户"。 目前，特斯拉尚未透露有多少客户购买或正在按月订阅FSD。 此前，特斯拉为新车标配"基础辅助驾驶"功能，包括"主动巡航控制"和"车道内智能辅助转向"。在政策 更新后，美国和加拿大的新车取消了后者。 据悉，"车道内智能辅助转向"即"车道保持"功能，如今中国的大部分车型均标配该功能。 特斯拉此举也引发了诸多北美车主的不满。有车主在社交媒体发文称："包括我在内， ...

2026年销量承压的理想则于1月20日"入局"这轮"金融大战"。其官方海报称，"首付3.25万元起，月供低至2578元，新车轻松开回家"；针 对MEGA与i8，另有专属7年贷款方案，可享前三年免息，月供低至2857元。随后，小鹏汽车在官方金融分期页面直接标注"限时6年-7年 低息方案"，明确活动有效期与费率口径，以"全系可享"的覆盖面争夺春节前的新增订单。 "七年低息"正在成为开年车市最热门的竞争焦点。据财联社记者初步统计， 继特斯拉率先推出7年超低息方案后，小米、理想、小鹏及吉利等车企迅 速跟进，将车贷周期从传统的三年拉长至七年，一场以金融服务为核心的竞争突然席卷而来。 这场"金融大战"由特斯拉于1月6日率先点燃，其针对Model3、Model Y以及Model YL车型推出7年超低息购车方案，其中Model YL系首 次开放该政策。以Model 3后轮驱动版为例，目前官网售价23.55万元，在不加装任何选配的情况下，首付7.99万元，贷款15.56万元，月 供1918元，共分为84期，折合年化率0.98%，7年总利息仅5000多元，而这一利率仅为市场普遍水平（4%-8%）的1/4，甚至低于部分 银行理财收 ...

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk predicts that space-based industries will surpass the value of all terrestrial industries combined, emphasizing the vast potential of harnessing solar energy from space [2]. Group 1: Space Industry Valuation - Musk stated that SpaceX is more valuable than all six major US defense companies combined, highlighting the growing significance of the space sector [2]. - He believes that space-based industries could reach a total valuation of $100 trillion, with plans for lunar factories and orbital data centers for AI [3]. Group 2: Energy Potential - Musk argues that even if humanity could harness 100,000 times more solar energy than what is available on Earth, it would still represent less than a millionth of the Sun's total energy output, indicating the immense energy potential in space [2]. Group 3: Criticism and Market Sentiment - James Chanos, a notable short-seller, criticized Musk's comments, suggesting that the total addressable market (TAM) for space companies is theoretically infinite, which he views with skepticism [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [1]. Core Insights - The offshore wind tendering in overseas markets remains robust, with significant capacity awarded in recent auctions, reflecting strong demand [6][11]. - Elon Musk announced a plan to establish 200GW of solar manufacturing capacity in the U.S. within three years, which is expected to boost the solar industry significantly [6][11]. - The global household energy storage market is projected to grow nearly 50% in 2025, with key markets like Germany, the U.S., Australia, and Japan dominating the landscape [7][11]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - Recent overseas offshore wind tenders show high activity, with the UK awarding 8.4GW in its latest auction, marking the largest in Europe [11][26]. - The wind power index increased by 5.16% in the week of January 19-23, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.78 percentage points, with a current PE_TTM of approximately 29.34 times [12][11]. - The report highlights the potential for investment opportunities in the offshore wind supply chain as demand continues to rise [11]. Solar Power - Elon Musk's announcement at the World Economic Forum regarding the 200GW solar capacity plan is expected to create significant market enthusiasm, particularly for suppliers in the solar equipment sector [6][11]. - The solar sector's current PE_TTM is around 51.85 times, with various indices showing substantial weekly gains [4][11]. Energy Storage & Hydrogen - The global household energy storage system shipment is expected to reach approximately 35GWh in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of nearly 50% [7][11]. - The report recommends investments in domestic and international large-scale storage companies and highlights the potential for distributed storage in emerging markets [7][11].

Market Overview - As of January 26, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.74% and 0.86% respectively [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 22,631 billion yuan, an increase of 3,495 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Gold and Precious Metals - International gold prices have surpassed $5,000 per ounce for the first time, leading to a surge in precious metals and non-ferrous resource stocks [2][4] - The price of spot gold increased by 1.87%, reaching a new historical high of $5,081 per ounce, with a monthly increase of over $730 [3] - Spot silver also saw a significant rise, exceeding $108 per ounce, with a monthly increase of over 50% [3] Companies in Precious Metals - Companies such as China Gold, Yuguang Gold Lead, and Silver Nonferrous Metals have experienced consecutive trading days of price increases, with China Gold rising by 9.98% [2][4] - The financial attributes of gold are being driven by factors such as real interest rates, the US dollar index, and geopolitical situations, with gold's foreign exchange reserve ratio increasing to 25.94% as of January 2026 [4] Space Photovoltaics - The space photovoltaic sector is gaining momentum, with companies like Mingyang Smart Energy experiencing a three-day consecutive price increase [5][6] - Elon Musk announced plans for SpaceX and Tesla to build a total of 200GW of photovoltaic capacity in the US over the next three years, which is expected to boost the sector [6] Influenza Vaccine Sector - The influenza vaccine sector is seeing strong performance, with companies like Zhijiang Biological and others hitting their price limits [7][8] - The rise is attributed to recent reports of Nipah virus infections in India, which have heightened demand for vaccines [8]