Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for AMD, indicating an outperform rating based on expected revenue growth and strong performance in key segments [19]. Core Insights - AMD reported FY2Q25 revenue of $7.69 billion, exceeding market expectations of $7.43 billion, with a Non-GAAP EPS of $0.48, aligning with consensus [6][1]. - The growth was primarily driven by strong sales of EPYC and Ryzen processors, which offset the negative impact of export controls on Instinct sales [6][1]. - The company anticipates significant revenue contributions from the MI400 series and Helios platform starting in 2026, representing a multi-billion dollar opportunity [8][3]. Revenue Breakdown - For 2Q25, revenue by segment was as follows: - Data Center revenue: $3.2 billion, up 14% YoY, with an operating loss of $155 million due to inventory costs [6][1]. - Client and Gaming revenue: $3.6 billion, up 69% YoY, with an operating profit of $767 million and an operating profit margin (OPM) of 21% [6][1]. - Embedded revenue: $824 million, down 4% YoY, with an operating profit of $257 million and an OPM of 33% [6][1]. Future Outlook - For 3Q25, AMD expects revenue between $8.4 billion and $9.0 billion, with a midpoint of $8.7 billion, representing a 28% YoY increase, primarily driven by high double-digit growth in the Data Center segment [10][4]. - The Non-GAAP gross margin is projected to be 54%, with operating expenses estimated at $2.55 billion [10][4]. AI Business Growth - AMD's AI business continues to show strong growth, particularly with the MI350 series accelerators, which have demonstrated competitive performance in training and inference workloads [7][2]. - The MI355 model has entered mass production ahead of schedule and is expected to significantly contribute to Data Center growth in the second half of the year [7][2]. Product Development - The MI400 series is on track for development, with expected AI performance reaching 40 PFLOPs and leading in memory and bandwidth metrics [8][3]. - The Helios platform, designed for complex AI tasks, is anticipated to enhance performance significantly for advanced models [8][3]. Shipment Delays - The MI308 product is currently under review by the U.S. Department of Commerce, causing delays in shipments, with limited output expected in 3Q25 [9][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 17.90, up from a previous target of HKD 13.40 [2][14][32]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 612 million for H1 2025, a 23% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by an upfront payment from Merck of USD 85 million [20][21]. - The gross profit for the same period was RMB 610 million, with net profit reaching RMB 330 million, reflecting a 59% increase year-on-year [20][21]. - The company has a robust cash position of approximately RMB 2.3 billion, which supports its operations and planned R&D investments for the next 2-3 years without the need for external financing [22][23]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for FY25-27 are revised to RMB 610 million, RMB 630 million, and RMB 630 million respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of RMB 30 million, RMB 130 million, and RMB 350 million [14][32]. - The company’s revenue growth is projected at 2544% for FY25, followed by 21% for FY26, and 3% for FY27 [17]. Pipeline and Product Development - The company has a well-structured pipeline, including one asset at the NDA stage and several others in various clinical phases, indicating a clear strategy for market expansion [22][24]. - Lead assets ABSK021 and ABSK011 are expected to contribute significantly to revenue within the next 2-3 years, with ABSK021 showing a 54% overall response rate in a Phase III study [24][28]. - ABSK011 has demonstrated promising results in treating liver cancer, with an overall response rate of 44.8% in second-line patients [28][29]. Strategic Direction - The management aims to expand from early-stage small molecules into bispecific antibodies, antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), and autoimmune diseases, targeting broader market opportunities [22][23]. - The company has repurchased approximately HKD 150 million worth of shares over the past two years, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [23]. Valuation - The valuation is based on a risk-adjusted discounted cash flow (DCF) model, with a WACC of 10.0% and a terminal growth rate of 3.5%, leading to a target price of HKD 17.90 per share [14][32].

Investment Rating - The report provides an investment rating of "Outperform" for the company, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark by more than 10% [23]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached $2.2 billion, exceeding expectations by $100 million, with a year-over-year growth of 30.4% [7][8]. - The non-GAAP gross margin was reported at 65.6%, surpassing previous guidance of 63%, and showing improvements from both the previous quarter and year [7][8]. - The company has raised its full-year revenue growth expectation for 2025 from 17% to 25%, with the target revenue increased from $8.2 billion to $8.75 billion, driven by growth in AI, cloud, and enterprise sectors [9][10]. Revenue and Growth - Q2 2025 revenue was $2.2 billion, a 30.4% increase year-over-year, with software and service renewals contributing approximately 16.3% [7][8]. - The company expects Q3 revenue to be around $2.25 billion [11]. Profit Metrics - Operating income in Q2 2025 surpassed $1 billion for the first time, reaching $1.08 billion, which accounted for 48.8% of revenue; net profit was $923.5 million, or 41.9% of revenue [8]. - Diluted earnings per share were reported at $0.73, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 37.7% [8]. Gross Margin and Operating Margin - The expected gross margin for 2025 is projected to be between 63% and 64%, with an operating margin of approximately 48% [10]. AI Network Business Progress - The company has positioned its AI network solutions as the preferred platform for various AI accelerators, primarily supporting NVIDIA GPUs and initiating collaborations with AMD and other startups [12]. - The back-end AI network revenue target is set at $750 million, with overall AI network revenue expected to exceed $1.5 billion by 2025 [12][13]. - The Etherlink product portfolio is noted as the most comprehensive solution in the industry, enhancing GPU utilization and reducing data exchange times by 30% to 50% [13].

Core Insights - The report highlights an escalating competition among Chinese e-commerce platforms in the instant retail and food delivery market, with significant subsidies being deployed to capture user attention and market share. This competition is not solely focused on short-term transaction volume but reflects deeper strategic goals centered around user acquisition and platform stickiness [55] - Alibaba is investing RMB 50 billion over 12 months to enhance its logistics and service integration across platforms like Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me, aiming to improve user experience and operational efficiency [55] - Meituan, as the market leader, has achieved over 120 million daily orders, while JD.com is focusing on quality and high-frequency categories through its "Double Hundred Plan" to support brand sales and improve merchant services [55] Group 1: Competitive Strategies and Subsidy Analysis - The intense competition in the food delivery and instant retail market is driven by platforms extending their services to cover local life scenarios, with Alibaba integrating various services to enhance user retention and cross-category conversion [6][7] - The national appliance subsidy program has provided a strong boost to platforms, with JD.com benefiting the most due to its dominance in the home appliance category, while Alibaba's impact is more moderate due to its broader category coverage [17][21] - The order volume in the food delivery and instant retail market surged from approximately 100 million in May to 250 million daily orders by July, indicating a significant increase in market activity [55][29] Group 2: Market Share and Future Outlook - The report anticipates that by the end of 2025, the market share distribution among Meituan, Taobao Flash Sale & Ele.me, and JD.com will be approximately 60%:30%:10%, respectively, with future competition focusing on user retention and operational efficiency post-subsidy [35][55] - The total addressable market (TAM) for food delivery and instant retail is projected to reach approximately RMB 4.1 trillion by 2030, driven by increasing consumer acceptance of home delivery services and improvements in technology and supply chain networks [32][35] - The report emphasizes that the competition will hinge on who can maintain their core advantages through precise operations and scene-based product innovation after the subsidy war [35]

Investment Rating - The report provides a rating of "Outperform" for Infineon, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark [15]. Core Insights - Infineon reported FY25 Q3 revenue of €3.7 billion, aligning with market expectations, and an EPS of €0.37, surpassing the consensus of €0.34, showcasing strong profitability resilience [1][5]. - The automotive segment (ATV) generated €1.87 billion, down 11.5% YoY, while the Power & Sensor Systems (PSS) segment saw significant growth of 40.6% YoY, reaching €1.53 billion, driven by robust demand for AI server power solutions [1][2][5]. - The company anticipates FY2025 AI-related revenue to reach €600 million, potentially increasing to €1 billion in FY2026, highlighting the substantial impact of AI on performance [2][6]. - Infineon is strategically managing inventory, with current turnover at 176 days, above the target of 120 days, but plans to reduce it to 150-160 days by fiscal year-end, reflecting a cautious yet flexible approach to market recovery [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Infineon's Q3 FY25 revenue was €3.7 billion, with an EPS of €0.37, exceeding market expectations [1][5]. - The adjusted gross margin improved to 43% from 40.9% in Q2 FY25, driven by increased shipments and lower idle costs [1][5]. Business Segments - Automotive (ATV) revenue was €1.87 billion, down 11.5% YoY; Green Industrial Power (GIP) revenue was €431 million, down 9.3% YoY; PSS revenue was €1.53 billion, up 40.6% YoY; Connected Secure Systems (CSS) revenue was €349 million, down 4.6% YoY [1][5]. - The PSS segment's growth is primarily attributed to strong demand for AI server power solutions, with significant collaborations, such as with NVIDIA on a high-voltage DC power architecture [2][6]. Future Outlook - For Q4 FY25, revenue is projected at €3.9 billion, reflecting a 5.3% QoQ increase but a slight decline of 0.5% YoY, with all business segments expected to grow [3][8]. - FY2025 revenue is forecasted at €14.6 billion, a decrease of 2.2% YoY, with adjusted gross margin expected to remain above 40% [3][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 6.05 based on a 15.5x PE for 2025 [5][9]. Core Insights - The company's wind power assets in Fujian are of high quality, and the power supply-demand situation in Fujian is favorable, indicating potential for renewable energy absorption [11]. - The current valuation shows a strong safety margin with a PB of 1.4x and a PE of 13x for 2025E, alongside expectations for asset injections, making it a long-term investment opportunity [11]. - The company experienced a decline in power generation in Q2 2025, with a total of 0.51 billion kWh generated, down 18% year-over-year, primarily due to weak wind resources [10][11]. Financial Summary - The projected financials indicate total revenue of RMB 1,732 million for 2023, with a slight increase to RMB 1,741 million in 2024, and expected growth to RMB 2,144 million by 2027 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decrease from RMB 678 million in 2023 to RMB 651 million in 2024, before rising to RMB 851 million by 2027 [4]. - The estimated EPS for 2025 is RMB 0.39, increasing to RMB 0.45 by 2027 [5][9]. Project Developments - The company has several projects in the pipeline, including the Chang Le offshore project with a total investment of RMB 7.3 billion, expected to contribute approximately RMB 0.5 million to annual net profit [12]. - Another project, the Chang Le B area offshore wind project, has an estimated annual net profit contribution of RMB 0.2 million [12]. - A total of 480,000 kW fishery-PV projects have been filed, with an expected annual net profit contribution of RMB 0.4 million [12].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 Aug 2025 [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件 美国能源 US Energy 全球最大数据中心集中地电力市场 PJM 容量拍卖价格创新高 PJM Capacity Auction Price Hits Record High in the World's Largest Data Center Hub 毛琼佩 Olivia Mao 杨钰其 Yuqi Yang olivia.qp.mao@htisec.com yq.yang@htisec.com 2025 年 7 月 22 日，全球最大数据中心集中地所在电力市场 PJM 发布《2026/2027 年度容量电价拍卖报告》。PJM 拍卖清算价格统一为拍卖价格上限——329.17 美元/MW-日，再创历史新高，标志着 PJM 市场整体电力供需关系进 一步趋紧。 点评 价格再创历史新高，RTO 统一清算价达上限 PJM 的业务范围覆 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a long-term buy on thermal power, particularly during market style adjustments [1]. Core Insights - Electricity demand continues to rise, with June's total electricity consumption reaching 867 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 5.4% [4]. - The report anticipates a rebound in coal prices, particularly in Qinhuangdao, and expects improved Q3 performance for the industry due to rising thermal power electricity growth and prices [4]. - The National Energy Administration reported that the total installed capacity by the end of June was 3.65 billion kW, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 18.7% [4]. Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In June, total electricity consumption was 867 billion kWh, with secondary and tertiary industry consumption at 548.8 billion kWh and 175.8 billion kWh, showing year-over-year increases of 3.2% and 9% respectively [4]. - Residential electricity consumption reached 129.1 billion kWh, up 10.8% year-over-year [4]. Power Generation - June's power generation was 796.3 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 1.7% [4]. - From January to June, total power generation was 4,537.1 billion kWh, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.8% [4]. Installed Capacity and Investment - By the end of June, the total installed capacity was 3.65 billion kW, with hydro, thermal, nuclear, wind, and solar power showing year-over-year increases of 3%, 4.7%, 4.9%, 23%, and 54% respectively [4]. - Power engineering investment reached RMB 363.5 billion, a year-over-year increase of 5.9%, while grid investment was RMB 291.1 billion, up 14.6% year-over-year [4]. Storage Development - Gansu province is developing storage capacity, with new grid storage reaching 6 million kW, which is 5% of the 70 million kW of wind and solar capacity [4]. - Gansu's new storage capacity is 6.07 million kW and 14.03 million kWh, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 65.6% [4]. Policy Changes - Liaoning's new power reform policy includes a capacity market where coal power and grid storage receive fixed capacity price compensation [4]. - The spot market has a bid cap of RMB 1.1/kWh and a clearing cap of RMB 1.5/kWh, with adjustments for existing and new projects [4].

Investment Rating - The report provides a neutral investment rating for On Semiconductor, indicating that the stock's total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be in line with the return of its relevant broad market benchmark [17]. Core Insights - On Semiconductor reported FY2Q25 earnings with revenue of $1.47 billion, slightly above market consensus of $1.45 billion, and a non-GAAP EPS of $0.53, in line with expectations [6][10]. - The company is experiencing a significant growth in AI Datacenter revenue, which has doubled year-over-year, driven by strong demand for the Treo platform and partnerships with market leaders like NVIDIA [2][7]. - Automotive revenue has bottomed out in 2Q25 but is expected to grow quarter-over-quarter in 3Q25, particularly in the Chinese market, which saw a 23% QoQ increase due to new electric vehicle projects [2][8]. - The company is proactively exiting non-core businesses, which is expected to impact revenue by approximately $300 million, or about 5% of FY2025 revenue [3][9]. Summary by Sections Earnings Performance - In FY2Q25, On Semiconductor's revenue was $1.47 billion, with Power Solutions revenue at $698 million (-16% YoY), Analog & Mixed-Signal revenue at $556 million (-14% YoY), and Intelligent Sensing revenue at $215 million (-15% YoY) [6][10]. - The automotive segment generated $733 million in revenue, down 19% YoY, while industrial revenue was $406 million (-13% YoY) and other revenue was $329 million (-8.6% YoY) [6][10]. Future Outlook - For 3Q25, On Semiconductor expects revenue to be between $1.465 billion and $1.565 billion, with a midpoint of $1.51 billion, representing a 14% YoY decline [3][10]. - The expected gross margin is projected to range from 36.4% to 38.4%, with non-GAAP EPS anticipated to be between $0.54 and $0.64, with a midpoint of $0.59, slightly above market expectations [3][10].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - In July 2025, Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) reached MOP22.125 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.0%, recovering to 90.5% of the 2019 level [1][13] - From January to July 2025, the cumulative GGR was MOP140.896 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.5% but a decrease of 19.0% compared to the same period in 2019 [1][13] - The growth in GGR was supported by concerts held in July featuring artists such as Aaron Kwok, Sandy Lam, and Wang Feng [1][13] - Looking ahead to August, various events are scheduled, including concerts by Eason Chan and others, which are expected to further boost visitor numbers and GGR [1][13] Summary by Sections GGR Performance - Macau's GGR in July 2025 was MOP22.125 billion, a 19.0% increase year-on-year and a 5.0% increase month-on-month, but still down 9.5% from 2019 [1][13] - The cumulative GGR from January to July 2025 was MOP140.896 billion, up 6.5% year-on-year but down 19.0% from 2019 [1][13] Visitor Trends - In June 2025, the number of inbound visitors to Macau was 2.89 million, a 13.3% year-on-year increase, recovering to 94.3% of the 2019 level [3][14] - For Q2 2025, the total number of inbound visitors was 9.36 million, reflecting a 19.3% year-on-year increase [3][14] Hotel Occupancy - The hotel occupancy rate in Macau for June 2025 was 88.4%, an increase of 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [4][15] - The average stay duration for hotel guests was stable at 1.6 nights [4][15]