Report Summary 1. Market Performance Overview - During the period from July 14 - 18, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.04%. Most Shenwan primary industries saw gains, with the communication and pharmaceutical biology sectors performing well. Overseas equity market indices mostly declined, and the international gold price dropped. All types of funds increased this period [2]. 2. Equity - related Funds 2.1 Industry Performance - In the equity market, the communication and pharmaceutical biology sectors of Shenwan primary industries performed well this period. In the past 12 periods, the comprehensive and communication sectors showed better overall performance [8]. 2.2 Fund Performance - Active - investment stock funds rose by 3.29% compared to the previous period, and active - investment hybrid funds rose by 2.76%. Funds heavily invested in sectors like pharmaceutical biology performed well. Representative high - return active - investment stock funds this period included JingShun Great Wall Medical Industry Stock A (17.61%), and high - return funds this year included HuaAn Pharmaceutical Biology Stock Initiation A (98.31%). Similar high - return data were also presented for index stock funds and active - investment hybrid funds [2][13][14]. 3. Fixed - income Funds 3.1 Bond Market Index Performance - This period, bond market representative indices all rose. The ChinaBond Aggregate Index, ChinaBond Corporate Bond Index, and ChinaBond Treasury Bond Index rose by 0.11%, 0.09%, and 0.04% respectively, and the ChinaBond Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.67% [16]. 3.2 Fund Category Performance - Convertible bond funds led in returns this period, rising by 1.09%. Ordinary bond funds rose by 0.27%, long - term pure - bond funds by 0.07%, medium - and short - term pure - bond funds by 0.05%, and short - term pure - bond funds by 0.04%. In terms of this year's comprehensive returns, convertible bond funds had an average return of 9.84%, performing better [16]. 4. QDII Funds 4.1 Fund Category Performance - Most types of QDII funds rose this period. Equity funds - Greater China QDII funds led with a 4.17% increase. Looking at the whole year, equity funds - Greater China QDII funds had a significant increase of 30.44%. Some categories like bond - type QDII funds and certain alternative - asset QDII funds declined [18]. 4.2 Representative Fund Performance - Representative high - return QDII funds this period included HuTianFu Hong Kong Advantage Selection A (15.89%), and high - return funds this year included HuTianFu Hong Kong Advantage Selection A (133.72%) [20].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that index funds are a key focus for fund companies' future strategies, with 72 index funds, 33 mixed funds, and 6 QDII funds being the top three types in June [1][4][5] - The first batch of 10 Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs has been successfully approved, which includes 6 tracking the AAA Sci-Tech Bond Index, 3 tracking the Shanghai AAA Sci-Tech Bond Index, and 1 tracking the Shenzhen AAA Sci-Tech Bond Index, reflecting the overall performance of bonds from technology innovation companies [1][8] - The rapid approval of these ETFs demonstrates efficient collaboration between policy and market, enriching the ETF product system in China and guiding funds towards the technology innovation sector [1][8] Group 2 - The report indicates that the Shanghai Stock Exchange's broad-based ETF products are expanding, with the Shanghai 380 Index focusing on mid-cap stocks and the Shanghai 580 Index on small-cap stocks, providing more refined investment tools for investors [2][14] - In June, three fund companies received approvals for establishing branch institutions, including E Fund, which set up a wealth management sales subsidiary in Guangzhou, and Xingsheng Global Fund, which established a subsidiary in Singapore [2][15][17] Group 3 - The report details that in June, there were 130 fund products accepted by the CSRC, a decrease from 154 in the previous month, with notable increases in FOF and stock funds, while index and mixed funds saw declines [4][5] - The approval of the first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs is significant for the market, as it allows for better tracking of the performance of technology innovation bonds and enhances capital market support for this sector [8][12] Group 4 - The report outlines that the establishment of new subsidiaries by fund companies is aimed at enhancing their service capabilities and expanding their market reach, with E Fund focusing on buy-side investment advisory services [17][19] - The establishment of Xingsheng Global's subsidiary in Singapore is part of a broader strategy to enhance global business operations and improve product diversity [18][19]

Issuance Market - In the current period, 2 REITs were issued with a total scale of 5.58 billion yuan, and the average allocation ratio remains low at 0.43% [1][6] - A total of 12 REITs have been issued this year, with the number increasing by 9% compared to the same period last year, while the total issuance scale decreased by 23% to 20.9 billion yuan [1][6] - The issuance of property REITs shows a significant advantage in both quantity and scale compared to operating rights REITs, accounting for over 80% of the total [1][6] Secondary Market - The current number of REIT products in the market is 71, with a total scale exceeding 211.9 billion yuan, maintaining a lead in property REITs over operating rights REITs [2][13] - The REITs market experienced a slight decline of -0.62%, lagging behind the stock market, while the overall increase for the year is 16.33%, significantly outperforming stock indices [2][14] - Property REITs have shown a year-to-date increase of 18.82%, while operating rights REITs increased by 13.84%, with notable performance differences among various underlying asset types [2][14] Dividend Situation - The total dividends for the REITs market in 2025 reached 4.572 billion yuan, with a dividend yield of 2.80%, which is lower than the dividend yield of the CSI Dividend Index [3][28] - Property REITs have a dividend yield of 2.30%, significantly lower than the 3.42% yield of operating rights REITs [3][28] - The forced dividend nature of REITs results in high dividend ratios across different types, with operating rights REITs showing higher dividend amounts and yields compared to property REITs [3][29] Investment Value Analysis - The latest valuation for all property REITs is 27.39, which has decreased compared to the previous period, with affordable housing REITs showing relatively high valuations [4][35] - The valuation (P/EBITDA) for industrial park REITs is the lowest among all asset types, while the internal rate of return for water conservancy facility REITs is the highest among operating rights REITs [4][35] - The dividend yield for property REITs calculated from actual dividends over the past year is 3.61%, indicating a strong dividend ratio compared to stock indices [4][35]

Core Insights - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the humanoid robot industry, emphasizing opportunities in both domestic and international supply chains and application sectors [1][3] - The emergence of Tesla's Optimus project is seen as a catalyst for industry transformation, marking the beginning of mass production in humanoid robots [5][6] - The report highlights the collaboration between major tech companies like Huawei, Tencent, and Baidu with humanoid robot firms, indicating a trend towards integrated technological advancements [12] Group 1: International Supply Chain - Tesla's Optimus project exemplifies the automotive industry's entry into robot self-research, with hundreds of companies involved in developing the first complete humanoid robot supply chain [6] - The report notes that Tesla aims to produce thousands of Optimus robots by 2025, with plans to scale production to 500,000 units by 2030 [7] - The cost of producing the Optimus robot is projected to decrease from $200,000 to $20,000 through the reuse of automotive supply chains [8] Group 2: Domestic Supply Chain - The report identifies Figure, founded by Brett Adcock, as a promising player in the humanoid robot sector, leveraging past entrepreneurial successes [9] - Figure's first humanoid robot, Figure 01, was launched in October 2023, showcasing capabilities such as learning tasks through human demonstration [10] - The report outlines significant funding rounds for Figure, including a $675 million Series B round in February 2024, with investments from major tech firms [10] Group 3: Application Sectors - The report discusses the evolution of the elderly care robot industry towards more humanized, specialized, lightweight, intelligent, and widespread applications [13] - Exoskeleton robots are expanding from industrial applications to elderly care, assisting caregivers and enhancing mobility for seniors [14] - Bionic robots are rapidly finding applications in cultural tourism, serving as guides and performers, thus enhancing the visitor experience [15] Group 4: Industry Chain Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring key players in the Tesla robot supply chain, including companies like Sanhua Intelligent Controls and Top Group [16] - For the elderly care and exoskeleton robot sectors, companies such as Ousheng Electric and MediTech are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [17]

Group 1: Market Performance Overview - In the past week (20250707 - 20250713), US stocks declined, while the Nasdaq China Technology Index and the Hang Seng Index rose. The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average changed by -0.08%, -0.31%, and -1.02% respectively, and the Nasdaq China Technology Index changed by 1.83%; the Hang Seng Index changed by 0.93% [2]. - A - shares generally rose, with both growth and blue - chip stocks increasing. The wind All - A Index rose 1.71%. Different indices such as the CSI A100, CSI 300, etc., had varying degrees of increase. In terms of sector styles, both blue - chip and growth stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets rose, and the North Securities 50 Index changed by 0.41% [3]. - Most industries rose, with Hong Kong brokers, rare earths, real estate, and photovoltaic leading the gains. Among 30 CITIC industries, only 3 declined and 27 rose. The leading industries were comprehensive finance and real estate with a weekly increase of over 6%. ETFs related to Hong Kong securities, rare earths, etc., also had a weekly increase of over 6% [4]. Group 2: Bond Market Conditions - In the past week (20250707 - 20250713), the price of interest - rate bonds fell, and the yield curve flattened. The 10 - year treasury bond futures main contract fell 0.25% compared to July 4, 2025, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond increased by 2.20 BP to 1.6653% [5]. - The capital price increased slightly, and the central bank's open - market operations had a net withdrawal. As of July 11, 2025, R007 was 1.5086%, up 2.05 BP from July 4, 2025, and DR007 was 1.4718%, up 4.96 BP. The central bank had a net withdrawal of 226.5 billion yuan in the past week [6]. - The bond - market leverage level increased. The current 7 - day capital cost is lower than the 5 - year treasury bond yield. The bank - to - bank pledged repurchase trading volume (5 - day average) increased from 7.60 trillion yuan on July 4, 2025, to 8.21 trillion yuan on July 11, 2025 [7]. - US bond yields increased, and the curve became steeper. As of July 11, 2025, the 10 - year US bond yield increased by 8 BP to 4.43% compared to July 4, 2025. Except for the 6 - month maturity variety, other maturity yields increased, with long - term yields rising more [8][9]. Group 3: Currency and Commodity Markets - The US dollar appreciated, and the price of gold showed internal and external differentiation. In the past week (20250707 - 20250713), the US dollar index rose 0.91%. The US dollar appreciated against the euro, pound, and yen. The US dollar - RMB exchange rate increased. The external gold market rose, while the domestic gold price fell [10]. Group 4: Trade and Market Outlook - Trump's threat to impose tariffs on August 1 is considered a means to increase bargaining chips in trade negotiations. The final implementation or postponement of the tariff increase is uncertain. The US Commerce Secretary will meet with Chinese officials in early August to discuss trade issues [11]. - A - share investors' risk preference is expected to remain high. Trump's tariff threats do not involve China, which is beneficial for A - share investors' risk preference. The report continues to be optimistic about structural opportunities such as the second supply - side reform, rare earths, etc. In the bond market, interest - rate bond yields may continue to fluctuate narrowly at a low level, and gold in the commodity market may benefit from the uncertainty brought by tariff threats [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the refrigerant industry is experiencing a sustained boom, significantly boosting the company's performance. The company is expected to achieve a substantial increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 1.97 to 2.13 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 136% to 155% [5][8] - The report anticipates that the company's revenue will continue to grow due to the high demand for high-end fluorinated new materials and the implementation of the third-generation refrigerant quota scheme, which is expected to enhance profitability further [8] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 27.55 yuan, with a 12-month price range of 14.42 to 29.00 yuan. The total share capital is approximately 2,699.75 million shares, and the circulating market value is 74.378 billion yuan [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.97 to 2.13 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 136% to 155%. The second quarter is projected to show a net profit of 1.16 to 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 122% to 152% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44% to 63% [5][6] - The refrigerant sales volume for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 154,600 tons, with an average price of 39,372.45 yuan per ton, leading to a revenue of 6.087 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.09% [6] Market Trends - The report indicates that the refrigerant market is entering a favorable cycle driven by quota systems and increasing downstream demand. The average prices for various refrigerants have shown significant increases, with R22, R32, R125, and R134a prices rising by -12%, 23%, 14%, and 22% respectively [6] - The non-refrigerant business also shows stable growth, with fluorochemical raw material sales volume increasing by 11.72% year-on-year, contributing to a revenue of 681 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.16% [7] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 26.99 billion yuan, 30.05 billion yuan, and 34.20 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 10.3%, 11.3%, and 13.8% [8][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4.407 billion yuan, 5.092 billion yuan, and 5.830 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 124.9%, 15.5%, and 14.5% respectively [8][11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The light industry sector is experiencing rapid growth in demand for trendy toys, driven by Generation Z, with products like blind boxes tapping into deep emotional values. The integration of AI technologies is expected to enhance the light manufacturing sector, supported by policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and boosting domestic demand [2][3] - The export chain for light industry products such as thermos cups and office furniture is showing stable overseas demand, with tariff impacts expected to be gradually absorbed. Companies with overseas production capacity and supply chain resilience are recommended for attention [3] - The home goods sector is set to benefit from an additional 150 billion yuan in special government bonds for consumer upgrades, which is expected to stimulate demand and support economic growth [4] Summary by Sections Light Industry - The trendy toy sector is witnessing significant growth, with a sixfold increase in bookings for the Bubble Mart city park in June compared to the previous year, surpassing other entertainment venues in Beijing [2] - Companies to watch include Bubble Mart, Blokus, and Miniso [2] Export Chain - The light industry export chain is expected to recover as tariff policies become clearer, with a focus on companies like Jiangxin Home, Ninebot, and Jia Yi [3] Home Goods - The third batch of consumer upgrade funds will be released in July, with manufacturing PMI showing signs of improvement, indicating a potential recovery in home goods consumption [4][7] Textile and Apparel Industry - The demand for gold is projected to grow, with domestic jewelry companies expected to see sales and performance improvements in 2025. The outdoor economy is also boosting sales in sports apparel [8][9] - Companies to focus on include Anta, Li Ning, and Bosideng, which are expanding their market presence [10][11] Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to grow due to increased overseas production and enhanced core competitiveness, with companies like Huali Group and Weixing Co. recommended for investment [12][13]

Group 1: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with domestic demand showing signs of improvement and export growth driven by emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [4][6] - Domestic engineering machinery demand is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by a peak in equipment replacement and increased investment in infrastructure projects, with local government bond issuance rising by 84% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025 [6] - The export value of engineering machinery reached USD 5.152 billion in April 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, with total exports from January to April amounting to USD 18.07 billion, up 9.01% year-on-year [6][8] Group 2: Semiconductor Equipment - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry is poised for expansion, with significant capital expenditure expected for 300mm wafer fabs in China, projected to exceed USD 100 billion from 2025 to 2027 [10][13] - The trend towards self-sufficiency in semiconductor equipment is accelerating, with low domestic localization rates in critical equipment categories, indicating substantial room for import substitution [11][13] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, and Quick Intelligent [13][25] Group 3: Industrial Mother Machines - The machine tool industry is on an upward cycle due to ongoing domestic substitution and increasing demand for high-end machine tools, with government policies supporting tax incentives and talent development [14][16] - Short-term performance improvements are anticipated as the industry enters a renewal phase [16] Group 4: Traditional Energy Equipment - The traditional energy equipment sector is benefiting from low oil inventories in the U.S. and the upcoming peak consumption season, which is expected to support rising oil prices [17][19] - Geopolitical factors, including U.S.-Iran negotiations and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are influencing market dynamics [19] - Companies such as Nuwei Co., Xizhuang Co., and Jerry Co. are recommended for investment [19][25] Group 5: New Energy Equipment - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is witnessing increased capital expenditure and technological advancements, with a growing number of startups and active financing in the past five years [20][24] - Significant progress in nuclear fusion technology has been made, with multiple records achieved in plasma operation [24] - Investment opportunities include companies like Hezhuan Intelligent, Xizhuang Co., and Jingda Co. [24][25]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a mixed performance last week, with the Hang Seng Index declining by 1.52%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 1.75%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index falling by 2.34% [5][10] - The Hang Seng Large Cap Index decreased by 1.60%, while the Mid Cap Index rose by 1.93% and the Small Cap Index increased by 2.31% [5][10] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, the non-manufacturing business activity index at 50.5%, and the composite PMI output index at 50.7%, indicating a slight recovery in economic activity with increases of 0.2 percentage points for the first two indices and 0.3 percentage points for the composite index compared to the previous month [6][9] - Experts noted that the Chinese economy demonstrated resilience and vitality in the first half of the year, laying a solid foundation for achieving annual growth targets [6][9] Investment Recommendations - It is suggested to focus on the high-tech manufacturing sector within the Hong Kong stock market due to the positive economic signals indicated by the PMI data [5][6] Market Data - As of July 4, the Hang Seng Index's current PE (TTM) was 10.41 times, approximately at the 55th percentile since January 1, 2007, while the PB was 1.13, at the 40th percentile [7][12] - The southbound capital inflow last week was 13.892 billion HKD, a decrease from the previous week's inflow of 14.489 billion HKD [7][14] - The top five net purchases by southbound funds included SMIC at 2.279 billion HKD, Tracker Fund of Hong Kong at 1.674 billion HKD, Meituan at 1.530 billion HKD, Innovent Biologics at 1.225 billion HKD, and China Construction Bank at 1.096 billion HKD [7][16] - The top five net sales included Alibaba at 6.998 billion HKD, Tencent at 2.015 billion HKD, Xiaomi at 1.274 billion HKD, CanSino Biologics at 0.641 billion HKD, and Pop Mart at 0.413 billion HKD [7][17]

Group 1 - The fundraising enthusiasm improved month-on-month, with a total fundraising scale of 1034.44 billion, an increase of 25.19% compared to the previous month. The top three types of funds raised were index funds at 402.72 billion (approximately 38.93%), bond funds at 260.23 billion, and mixed funds at 241.82 billion [1][14]. - The average subscription days for completed fundraising decreased by 16.67% month-on-month to 17.48 days. Among these, 17 funds completed fundraising within 5 days, while 102 funds took between 5 to 30 days, and 9 funds took more than 30 days [1][18]. Group 2 - The three largest funds raised in June were: Dongfanghong Yingfeng Stable Allocation 6-Month Holding A (FOF, 65.73 billion), Tianhong Zhongdai Investment Grade Corporate Credit Bond Selected Index A (Index Fund, 60.01 billion), and Jingguan Taifu Zhongdai Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Comprehensive A (Index Fund, 60.01 billion). These funds significantly contributed to the fundraising success of Dongfanghong Asset Management (89.28 billion), Tianhong Fund (73.13 billion), and Jingguan Taifu Fund (60.01 billion) [2][21]. - A total of 176 funds participated in the issuance in June, with 119 newly issued funds and 57 continuing funds. The top three types of newly issued funds were index funds (63), mixed funds (23), and bond funds (18) [5][12]. Group 3 - The number of companies participating in fund issuance decreased from 82 in May to 76 in June, with 73 being fund companies and 3 being securities or asset management companies. The highest number of issuances came from Fuguo Fund and Yifangda Fund, each with 8 funds [4]. - The total number of newly issued funds in June decreased by 4.03% month-on-month but increased by 65.28% year-on-year, slightly below the average level of the past three years [8][11].