Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Xiaocaiyuan, is positioned as the leading brand in the affordable Chinese dining sector, focusing on providing "delicious and inexpensive" home-style meals. It has a strong supply chain and standardized processes that support its rapid expansion into new regions, particularly in first-tier and new first-tier cities [6][12]. - The Chinese restaurant market is experiencing a significant shift towards chain operations, with the market size reaching approximately 5.6 trillion yuan in 2024 and a chain rate increasing from 12% to 20% over the past decade. Xiaocaiyuan is identified as the top brand in the affordable dining segment [6][38]. - The company has optimized its store model, leveraging a self-built supply chain and central kitchen to ensure fresh and standardized food preparation. It maintains high customer retention through its brand values and has a short payback period for new stores, averaging 13.8 months [6][12]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiaocaiyuan was founded in 2013 in Anhui and has rapidly expanded its presence across 14 provinces, achieving revenue of 5.21 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, and a net profit of 580 million yuan, up 9.2% [12][6]. - The company operates a fully franchised model, covering both dine-in and delivery services, with delivery accounting for 38.6% of its revenue [12][19]. Industry Overview - The Chinese restaurant market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.6%, with the segment of chain restaurants growing even faster. The online dining segment has also seen significant growth, with an increase in online sales contributing to the overall market expansion [38][43]. - The affordable dining sector, where Xiaocaiyuan operates, is estimated to be worth around 4 trillion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 9.1% over the next five years [58]. Financial Analysis - The report forecasts that Xiaocaiyuan's net profit will reach 709.89 million yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.5% from 2025 to 2027. The price-to-earnings ratio is expected to decrease significantly, indicating that the company is undervalued compared to its peers [1][6]. - The company has a strong financial position, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 34.07% and a net asset value per share of 2.01 yuan [5][6].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 固态电池产业化全面提速，特斯拉人形方案 调整不改产业趋势 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 06 月 22 日 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -1% 9% 19% 29% 2024-6-21 2024-10-20 2025-2-18 2025-6-19 电力设备 沪深300 证券分析师 曾朵红 相关研究 《新能源入市刺激抢装，光伏涨价 风 电排产向上——新能源月报：2025 年 4 月报》 2025-06-20 《固态电池产业化进展加快，特斯拉 Robotaxi 定档》 2025-06-15 东吴证券研究所 1 / 45 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 6630 下 ...

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20250622 以伊冲突继续主导全球风偏——全球市场观 察系列 "硬"数据开始体现关税冲击。虽然以消费者信心为代表的"软"数据， 情绪指标开始回升，但"硬"数据方面，美国 5 月零售销售环比-0.9%， 预期-0.6%，前值由 0.1%修正为-0.1%，为 2023 年 3 月以来的最大降幅， 主要受汽车购买量下降的拖累。 偏鹰的美联储议息会议。6 月议息会议如期不降息，主要是关税对通胀 的影响可能较为顽固，要防止物价上涨成为持续性问题。对于未来，鲍 威尔对降息的态度体现中庸："它可能来得很快，也可能不会很快到来" （We know the time will come. It could come quickly. It could not come quickly）。不过从点阵图来看，预计全年不降息的人数增加，从 3 人增 加到 7 人，相较于 3 月议息会议明显偏鹰。 地缘冲突反复。6 月 16 日，伊朗通过阿拉伯中间人传递信息，伊朗官员 称，只要美国不参与袭击，伊朗愿意重返核问题谈判桌。6 月 18 日，中 东冲突升级，特朗普呼吁伊方"无条件投降"，被爆在 ...

Economic Indicators - The weekly ECI supply index is at 50.15%, down 0.03 percentage points from last week, while the demand index remains stable at 49.93%[6] - The monthly ECI supply index for June is 50.17%, a decrease of 0.06 percentage points from May, with the demand index also at 49.93%, unchanged from May[7] - The ECI investment index is at 49.96%, unchanged from last week, while the consumption index has slightly increased to 49.76%, up 0.01 percentage points[6] Real Estate and Consumption - Real estate sales in 30 major cities recorded a year-on-year decline of 8.6% as of June 21, indicating a weakening in market sentiment[7] - Passenger car retail sales increased by 20% year-on-year for the first half of June, showing improvement compared to the previous month[7] - The government plans to distribute 138 billion yuan in central funds for "trade-in" programs in the third and fourth quarters, which may support consumption in the long term[7] Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The ELI index is at -1.02%, up 0.04 percentage points from last week, indicating a slight improvement in liquidity conditions[11] - A total of 4.17 trillion yuan in interbank certificates of deposit will mature this month, with only 2.96 trillion yuan issued, suggesting ongoing financing pressure in the banking system[13] - The central bank conducted a net liquidity injection of 200 billion yuan through reverse repos to support liquidity ahead of the quarter-end[13] Risks and Outlook - There is uncertainty regarding U.S. tariff policies and the potential for policy measures to fall short of market expectations[46] - The sustainability of improvements in the real estate market remains to be observed[46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector has shown a decline of 1.42% in the past week, underperforming the CSI 300 and the Wind All A Index, which declined by 0.45% and 1.07% respectively [4] - The report suggests that strategic infrastructure projects in the central and western regions may become a focus for investors, particularly in areas like hydropower and major construction projects [4] - The real estate sector is nearing a clearing phase, leading to improved supply dynamics, which may benefit leading companies in the industry [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The construction materials sector has experienced a price drop in cement, with the national average price at 356.8 RMB/ton, down 3.3 RMB/ton from the previous week and 36.0 RMB/ton from the same period last year [4][20] - The average cement inventory level is at 66.4%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from last week but an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [25] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals 2.1 Cement - The average shipment rate for cement is 44.0%, down 1.7 percentage points from last week and 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [25] - The report anticipates that the cement industry will maintain a higher profit margin compared to last year due to improved supply-demand balance and ongoing policy support for domestic demand [12][19] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report indicates that the profitability of glass fiber remains resilient, with demand in wind power and thermoplastics continuing to grow [13] - The industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply-demand balance, benefiting leading companies with strong product structures [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with inventory levels remaining high and price pressures expected to increase as the market enters a seasonal downturn [14] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies like Qibin Group, which may benefit from industry capacity reductions and diverse business growth [15] 3. Renovation and Building Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and consumption, particularly in the renovation sector [16] - Companies with strong growth intentions and those benefiting from government subsidies are recommended for investment consideration [16]

Report Title - The title of the report is "Big Refining Weekly Report: Filament Prices Rebound, Production and Sales Decline Significantly" [1] Report Date - The report was released on June 22, 2025 [1] Report Analysts - The chief energy and chemical securities analyst is Chen Shuxian, CFA, with the practice certificate number S0600523020004 [1] - The research assistant is Zhou Shaowen, with the practice certificate number S0600123070007 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Report Core Views - The report provides a weekly update on the big refining industry, covering key projects' spreads, polyester, refining, and chemical segments, as well as relevant listed companies [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Big Refining Weekly Data Briefing - **Price and Spread**: The weekly spread of domestic key big refining projects was 2,295 yuan/ton, a decrease of 135 yuan/ton (6% MoM); the spread of foreign key big refining projects was 983 yuan/ton, an increase of 14 yuan/ton (1% MoM). Brent crude oil was at $75.5/barrel, up $6.8 (9.8% MoM), and WTI was at $73.5/barrel, up $6.4 (9.5% MoM) [2][8] - **Polyester Sector**: POY/FDY/DTY industry average prices were 7,079/7,357/8,300 yuan/ton, up 193/168/161 yuan/ton respectively. Their weekly average profits were 8/-73/-44 yuan/ton, down 34/51/56 yuan/ton respectively. POY/FDY/DTY inventories were 16.3/19.8/25.6 days, down 1.6/1.9/2.9 days respectively. The filament operating rate was 90.3%, up 0.6 pct. The downstream loom operating rate was 60.7%, down 0.4 pct. Weaving enterprises' raw material inventory was 11.2 days, up 0.6 days, and finished - product inventory was 26.2 days, up 0.8 days [2] - **Refining Sector**: Domestic and US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices rose this week [2] - **Chemical Sector**: The average PX price was $880.0/ton, up $61.1/ton, and the spread to crude oil was $328.6/ton, up $11.8/ton. The PX operating rate was 86.3%, down 0.1 pct [2] - **Related Listed Companies**: Private big refining and polyester filament companies include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Hengyi Petrochemical, Tongkun Group, and Xin Fengming [2] - **Stock Performance and Earnings Forecast**: The report tracks the stock price changes and earnings forecasts of 6 private refining companies, including Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, etc. For example, Hengli Petrochemical's stock price was 14.1 yuan, with a total market value of 99.3 billion yuan, and its net profit attributable to the parent in 2024A was 7.044 billion yuan [8] 2. Big Refining Weekly Report - **Index and Spread Trends**: It analyzes the trends of big refining indexes, domestic and foreign project spreads, and the price changes of crude oil, PX, and other products [11][19] - **Polyester Sector**: Multiple aspects of the polyester sector are analyzed, such as the prices and profits of PX, PTA, POY, FDY, DTY, etc., as well as the operating rates and inventory levels of relevant products [22][38] - **Refining Sector**: It details the price and spread changes of domestic, US, European, and Singaporean gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [82][97][108][119] - **Chemical Sector**: It presents the price and spread changes of various chemical products, including polyethylene LLDPE, EVA foaming materials, etc. [129][130]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 海外周报 20250622 如何理解港元触及弱方保证的影响 2025 年 06 月 22 日 ◼ 海外流动性：港元触及弱方保证，后续需警惕流动性收紧对港股的冲击。 本周，港元兑美元即期汇率数次触及 7.85 的弱方兑换保证，引发市场对 于香港金管局是否出手干预、引发流动性收紧的担忧。本周一和周三， 港元汇率盘中数次触及 7.85，按照港元联系汇率制度安排，这将触发金 管局被动以 7.85 的价格卖出美元、买入港币，守住弱方兑换保证，间接 引致香港市场的港元流动性紧缩。究其原因，自 4 月 2 日对等关税冲击 以来，美元资产抛售潮下，包括港元资金在内的非美资金回流，加速了 港元汇率的趋势性升值。至 5 月 2 日，港元汇率触及 7.75 的强方保证， 引发金管局卖出港币、回收美元以维持港元在[7.75, 7.85]区间。数据显 示，香港金管局曾在 5 月 7 日净买入 1.28 万亿港元资产，被动投放流 动性。流动性的宽松也引发 Hibor 利率自 5 月初以来迅速走低，SOFR- Hibor 利差升至阶段性新高，导致港元汇率迅速向 7.85 的点位贬值，并 在本周触及 7.8 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 继续看好保险股估值修复；关注券商股主题 性机会 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 06 月 22 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 罗宇康 执业证书：S0600123090002 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 33% 40% 47% 54% 61% 2024/6/24 2024/10/22 2025/2/19 2025/6/19 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《权益 ETF 系列：震荡行情可能会持 续较长时间。》 2025-06-22 《金融开放与资本市场改革迈出新一 步》 2025-06-18 东吴证券研究所 1 / 16 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现：最近 5 个交易日（2025 年 06 月 16 日-2025 年 06 月 20 日）非银金融板块各子行业中仅保险板块跑赢沪深 300 指 数。保险行业上涨 0.24%， ...

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收周报 固收周报 20250622 周观："低波动"现状难掩利率趋势下行力 量（2025 年第 24 期） [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 债市延续"低波动"状态，利率上行还是下行力量更强？本周 （2025.6.16-2025.6.20），10 年期国债活跃券收益率从上周五的 1.642%下行 0.4bp 至 1.638%。周度复盘：周一（6.16），5 月经济数据 公布，其中社零当月同比 6.4%，略超预期，主要得益于 618 的提前和消 费补贴，债市并未受经济数据公布的影响，延续窄幅波动。此外，今日 央行 4000 亿元的 6 个月期买断式逆回购落地，资金面延续宽松，支撑 债市情绪，全天 10 年期国债活跃券收益率下行 0.2bp。周二（6.17）， 早盘资金面延续宽松，随后市场受两则消息影响，一是央行即将重启国 债买卖，二是短久期国债将纳入存款准备，10 年期国债活跃券收益率迅 速下行。同时，陆家嘴金融论坛即将召开，此前已有预告将公布重大金 融政策，市场对货币政策的进一步宽松仍有期待，全天 10 年期国债活 跃券收益率下行 0.65bp ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and decoration sector, specifically recommending an increase in investment in the water conservancy and specialized engineering segments [1]. Core Insights - The construction and decoration sector experienced a decline of 2.24% during the week of June 16-20, 2025, while the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index fell by 0.45% and 1.07%, respectively, indicating an underperformance of 1.79% and 1.17% [1]. - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is promoting over 3,200 projects to private capital, with a total investment exceeding 10.14 trillion yuan, aimed at enhancing private investment participation in major national projects [2][20]. - The second China-Central Asia Summit resulted in the signing of 12 cooperation documents, which are expected to boost infrastructure demand in Central Asia and Xinjiang, China [2][23]. Summary by Sections Industry Policy and News Commentary - The NDRC is accelerating the introduction of a long-term mechanism for private enterprises to participate in major national projects, which is expected to stimulate effective investment and benefit engineering and related material demand [2][20]. - Economic data for May shows a stable growth trend, with infrastructure investment increasing by 5.6% year-on-year, although the growth rate has slowed [3][18]. - The construction PMI showed a slight recovery, indicating an acceleration in construction activities and improved project expectations [4][13]. Market Performance Review - The construction and decoration sector's performance has been under pressure, with significant declines in real estate investment and sales, reflecting ongoing challenges in the sector [3][18]. - Retail sales of construction and decoration materials showed a positive growth of 3.0% year-on-year, indicating some resilience in consumer demand [3][18]. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on construction companies with stable performance and low valuations, such as China Communications Construction Company, China Power Construction Company, and China Railway Group, as they are expected to benefit from policy support and infrastructure investment recovery [4][14]. - For international projects, companies like China National Materials Group and Shanghai Port Group are recommended due to their potential to benefit from ongoing infrastructure cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative [8][14].