hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 12 日 证券分析师 证券研究报告 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | 北交所全面进入"920 新代码"时代，资本市场动荡需关注短期波动和长期机会 ——北交所周观察第四十七期（20251012） 投资要点： 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 10 月 9 日北交所全面进入"920 时代"，北交所作为中国第三大证券交易所的独立地位有望 得到进一步夯实。2025 年 10 月 3 日，北交所开展北京证券交易所存量上市公司证券代码批 量切换等业务通关测试，也是代码切换之前的最后一次测试。回顾整个代码切换政策推进历 程，2023 年 11 月 17 日，为落实"深改 19 条"意见，北交所启动为上市公司股票使用 920 代码号段的相关准备工作。2024 年 4 月 22 日，北交所上线启用 920 ...

证券研究报告 固收点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 11 日 10 月，信用策略如何布局？ ——信用策略系列报告 投资要点： 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 赵孟田 SAC：S1350525070004 zhaomengtian@huayuanstock.com 拉长时间维度到 2025Q3，短端下沉策略仍然是相对占优的策略选择。2025Q3，10Y 国 债收益率从季度初的 1.64%调整至 9/30 的 1.86%（以中债国债到期收益率曲线列示的数据为 准），不同期限不同券种的信用债收益率在 2025Q3 也都跟随利率出现不同程度调整，持续的 下跌行情使得市场情绪趋向谨慎。2025Q3，不同券种的短端下沉策略组合均有正收益，3Y AAA-产业债子弹型策略也录得正收益，除此以外的其他策略对组合收益均有负向贡献，其中 城投债哑铃型、二级债哑铃型、银行永续债哑铃型和拉久期策略的亏损均达到了 1%以上。值 得注意的是，无论何种策略，在 9 月份或是三季度所能够获得的资本利得均为负值，在票息 保护本就相对较弱 ...

证券研究报告|北交所专题报告 2025年10月9日 证券分析师 姓名：赵昊 资格编号：S1350524110004 邮箱：zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 证券分析师 姓名：万枭 资格编号：S1350524100001 邮箱：wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 核心要点：9月新股收益率维持397%高位，2025Q3预期顶格收益达14.4万元 n 发行情况：2025年前9个月共计15家公司完成上市，募资49亿元，全年募资已超越2024年；9月有3家公司上市，募资额 9.2亿元，北交所IPO节奏维持加速态势，预计后续IPO延续该节奏。2025Q3有9家公司上市（上季度为3家），募资额27 亿元（上季度为7亿元），从募资规模来看，2025Q3创下2024Q1以来新高。公司质量方面，2025年前9月，北交所新上 市公司的2024年营收平均为8.9亿元，归母净利润平均为1.3亿元，财务数据相比2023-2024年新上市公司显著提升。 n 申购热度：从网上申购资金来看，2025年前9个月平均达6079亿元，9月平均达7248亿元；2025Q3平均达 ...

Group 1: Investment Insights on Bank Preferred Shares - Bank preferred shares dominate the preferred stock market, with a total issuance of 58 shares raising 908.66 billion yuan, of which bank preferred shares account for 92.35% [5][6] - As of September 16, 2025, there are 31 existing preferred shares with a total scale of 705.88 billion yuan, of which 28 are bank preferred shares totaling 701.15 billion yuan [5][6] - Investment in bank preferred shares should adopt a defensive strategy considering "redemption risk," especially in a declining interest rate environment where banks may redeem high fixed-rate preferred shares to refinance at lower costs [8][7] Group 2: Waste-to-Energy Industry Insights - In Q3 2025, the waste-to-energy sector saw 32 projects awarded with a total investment of approximately 2.3 billion yuan, with 75% of these projects focused on upgrading existing facilities rather than new constructions [10][11] - The price of waste cooking oil in China reached a three-year high, with the average price for northern waste oil recorded at 7,374 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.23% increase month-on-month [12][13] - The tightening supply and demand dynamics are expected to support further price increases in the future, benefiting companies with raw oil resources [13][12]

M&A Overview - A total of 59 new disclosed equity transactions occurred in the period from September 15 to September 30, 2025, with a total transaction value of 9.45 billion RMB[3] - Among these, 25 were acquisition events, with 4 initiated by companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE)[10] - Major projects included significant investments in emerging industries such as new energy, biomedicine, semiconductors, and scientific instruments[10] Recent Acquisitions - Four new acquisition events were reported, including Huaitong New Materials planning to acquire 51% of Baoding Sanyuan, and Chuangyuan Xinke proposing to acquire 100% of Weiyu Tiandao for up to 900 million RMB[15] - The acquisition of Weiyu Tiandao is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring and is focused on expanding capabilities in satellite testing[5] Financial Performance - Weiyu Tiandao achieved revenue of 211.25 million RMB and a net profit of 51.65 million RMB in 2024, with an estimated PE ratio of no more than 17.4 times based on the acquisition price[30] - The acquisition is anticipated to enhance Chuangyuan Xinke's capabilities in integrated testing solutions for communication and navigation[27] Market Trends - The BSE is witnessing a trend towards vertical expansion, business upgrades, and market expansion, particularly in high-growth sectors like new energy and advanced manufacturing[42] - The integration of technology and business models is expected to drive innovation and enhance competitive advantages in the market[33]

Market Performance - In September 2025, the North Exchange 50 Index decreased by 2.90%, continuing to underperform compared to the ChiNext and STAR Market indices [6][12][30] - The North Exchange 50 Index had a year-to-date increase of 47% for the first nine months of 2025, but this was surpassed by the ChiNext 50 and STAR 50 indices [3][6][12] - The trading volume in September 2025 rose to 26.019 billion shares, but the trading value fell to over 610 billion yuan, with the average daily trading value dropping from 30.5 billion yuan in August to 28 billion yuan in September [14][17][22] Industry Insights - In September 2025, only 15 companies saw their stock prices increase by 10% or more, with five companies, including Tianhong Lithium and Beitery, experiencing gains exceeding 20% [13][16] - The construction materials and home appliances sectors showed relatively better performance in September 2025 [11][15] Valuation Metrics - As of September 30, 2025, the overall price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the North Exchange A-shares reached 50 times, which is 109% of the ChiNext's valuation and 62% of the STAR Market's valuation [22][30] - The average PE ratio for newly listed companies from January 1, 2024, to September 30, 2025, was 13.99 times, with an average first-day price fluctuation of 240% [41][42] New Listings and IPOs - From January 1, 2024, to September 30, 2025, a total of 38 companies were newly listed on the North Exchange, with no new companies listed in the last week of September 2025 [36][43] - One company, Xintianli, passed the listing committee meeting, while two companies, Hengdao Technology and Xinrui Electronics, are under inquiry [43][44]

Industry Overview - The global headphone market grew from $8.4 billion in 2013 to $58.3 billion in 2022, with a CAGR of 24.02%[15] - China's headphone industry output increased from ¥49.256 billion in 2013 to ¥137.422 billion in 2021, achieving a CAGR of 13.68%[20] - The wireless headphone segment in China saw a rapid growth with a CAGR of 36.66% from ¥7.839 billion in 2013 to ¥95.351 billion in 2021[20] Market Trends - The high-fidelity audio system market is projected to reach $3.101 billion globally by 2024, with a CAGR of 3.90% from 2020[26] - China's high-fidelity audio system market is expected to grow to $0.652 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 2.84%[31] - The professional audio market globally is forecasted to reach ¥139.824 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 5.00% from 2020[34] Company Performance - HIFIMAN's revenue for H1 2025 was ¥107 million, a year-on-year increase of 20.77%[45] - HIFIMAN's gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 70.10% and 29.42%, respectively[45] - XGIMI International's revenue for H1 2025 was ¥226 million, with a slight decrease of 0.13% year-on-year[51] Market Sentiment - The median stock price change for the North Exchange consumer service sector was -6.65% from September 22 to September 26, 2025[57] - The median P/E ratio for the consumer service sector decreased from 48.4X to 46.1X during the same period[62] - The total market capitalization for the North Exchange consumer service sector fell from ¥123.863 billion to ¥117.746 billion[67]

证券研究报告 传媒 行业专题报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 30 日 证券分析师 陈良栋 SAC：S1350524100003 chenliangdong@huayuanstock.com 周政宇 SAC：S1350525050006 zhouzhengyu@huayuanstock.com 魏桢 weizhen@huayuanstock.com 团播， 一次产业的自我升级 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——传媒互联网行业专题报告 投资要点： 几点认知差：人群、政策、商业化和国际化。 1）男团和女团的核心受众均是女性为主。目前女团/男团核心受众均是女性（18-40 岁）为主，是直播打赏市场中的增量消费人群，"世另我"的情绪消费+社交氛围+ 粉丝经济，或将拉伸整体付费宽度+水位，明显区别于过去"暧昧经济"的直播内容 受众。 2）政策的高要求和严监管推动行业集中度提升。2025 年，抖音发布《抖音直播团 播机构管理规范》，从团播机构管理层面明确六项禁止行为。近一年来，平台已处 置 1200 多个违规团播账号，清退 12 家违规经营机构，为优质团播成长营造健康环 境。 3）直播打赏之外，IP 和 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a negative trend in the stock prices of the consumer service sector on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with a median decline of -6.65% for the week [2][42]. Core Insights - The Chinese electroacoustic industry has maintained rapid development since the 1980s, with leading domestic manufacturers transitioning from low-end markets to high-end electroacoustic markets [5][6]. - The global headphone market has grown from $8.4 billion in 2013 to $58.3 billion in 2022, with a CAGR of 24.02%. China's headphone industry output value increased from 49.256 billion yuan in 2013 to 137.422 billion yuan in 2021, achieving a CAGR of 13.68% [9][12]. - The report highlights two companies planning to list on the Beijing Stock Exchange: HIFIMAN, a high-end electroacoustic brand, and XGIMI International, which focuses on high-fidelity audio products [2][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Domestic Leading Electroacoustic Manufacturers - The Chinese electroacoustic industry has developed a complete industrial system and supply chain, with manufacturers increasing R&D investments to enhance technical capabilities [6][7]. - The market for high-fidelity audio systems is expected to grow, with the global market projected to reach $3.101 billion by 2024, and China's market expected to reach $652 million [16][20]. 2. Overall Market Performance - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the consumer service sector on the Beijing Stock Exchange decreased from 48.4X to 46.1X, indicating a decline in market valuation [42][45]. - The total market capitalization of consumer service enterprises fell from 123.863 billion yuan to 117.746 billion yuan during the reporting period [49][51]. 3. Industry P/E Ratios - The median TTM P/E ratio for the broader consumer industry decreased from 61.2X to 57.2X, reflecting a downward trend in valuations across various sectors [56][58]. - The P/E ratio for the food and beverage sector also saw a decline, dropping from 43.7X to 41.7X [58][60]. 4. Company Announcements - Dahu Biological has established a wholly-owned subsidiary to extend its business into pig farming, indicating a strategic move to diversify its operations [64][65].

Fixed Income - The bond market experienced significant adjustments in September, influenced by strong stock market performance and institutional behaviors, particularly in technology stocks, leading to expectations of economic recovery [2][8][9] - The current configuration of the bond market is highlighted as having substantial value, with a potential stabilization and a downward trend in bond yields anticipated [11][14][16] - The People's Bank of China has indicated a need for continued monetary policy support, with expectations for further interest rate cuts as economic data shows signs of weakness [10][14] Transportation - The express delivery sector is witnessing a price increase, with major companies raising rates in Shanghai, indicating a shift from price competition to quality-driven growth, which is expected to enhance profitability [22][23][34] - The shipping and port sector is recommended for investment due to improved industrial profits and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with specific attention to oil transportation and shipping companies benefiting from OPEC+ production increases [24][25][35] Media - The media industry is focusing on the professionalization and quality enhancement of group broadcasts, with initiatives aimed at cultivating high-quality content and innovative cultural promotion [5][6] Automotive - Tesla's upcoming FSD V14 release is anticipated to significantly impact the autonomous driving sector, potentially leading to a paradigm shift in technology and competition within the industry [5][6] Pharmaceuticals - The pharmaceutical company Sinopharm is strategically expanding its CKM pipeline, focusing on chronic disease management, with several products entering clinical stages, reinforcing its leadership in the Chinese market [6][7] Public Utilities and Environmental Protection - The renewable energy sector is facing a decline in new installations, but there is optimism for policy support for green hydrogen and methanol, which could drive growth in the coming years [6][7] Metals and New Materials - The copper market is expected to enter an upward cycle due to supply disruptions, with significant price increases anticipated as demand remains strong [6][7]