Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4][9]. Core Views - The company's main business is expected to stabilize and recover, with innovative anti-cancer drugs showing improved efficacy and reduced toxicity, suggesting that the platform may have been validated [4][11]. - The impact of the national procurement on the core product, Leflunomide, is gradually diminishing, and with new products being launched, the company's performance is anticipated to return to a growth trajectory [6][11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2001, specializes in the research, production, and sales of chemical raw materials, chemical preparations, pharmaceutical excipients, and specialty intermediates. It was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2018 [16]. - The company has a strong position in cardiovascular preparations, oral cephalosporin raw materials, alpha-keto acid raw materials, inhalation anesthetics, and androgen hormone intermediates [16]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.54 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5% year-on-year. The decline is primarily attributed to the impact of Leflunomide's inclusion in national procurement [6][24]. - The company expects a rebound in revenue, projecting 1.81 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.7% [8]. Product Development and Innovation - The introduction of ALK-N001, an innovative anti-cancer drug, is based on the TMEA platform, which has shown promising clinical results. The first drug from this platform, Legobit, has completed Phase III trials, demonstrating superior efficacy and safety compared to existing chemotherapy options [7][11]. - The company is actively expanding into new fields such as plant sterols and animal health, which are expected to become new growth drivers [6][11]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 132 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 216 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 64%, 29%, and 27% [8][9]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 69, 54, and 42 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The report gives an initial investment rating of "Buy" for the company, highlighting its multi-layered business layout and organizational upgrades as catalysts for growth [3][7][9]. Core Insights - The company has been deeply engaged in the optical sector for over 20 years, with diversified layouts contributing to long-term growth momentum. It has established three growth curves: consumer electronics, automotive optics, and AR/VR applications, expanding its product ecosystem from components to modules and solutions [4][12]. - The company achieved a revenue of 6.278 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.67%, and a net profit of 1.03 billion yuan, up 71.57%, marking a historical high [4][35]. - The strategic transformation phase is underway, with organizational upgrades aimed at enhancing collaboration with major clients and optimizing operational efficiency [6][21]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - The company has built a multi-layered business structure focusing on consumer electronics, automotive optics, and AR/VR, with a commitment to becoming a leading one-stop optical solution provider globally [19][24]. - The company has successfully transitioned through various stages of development, from indirect supply to direct supply and now to an ODM model, enhancing its position in the supply chain of major clients [20][21]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 1.248 billion yuan, 1.526 billion yuan, and 1.750 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 21.20%, 22.27%, and 14.67% [7][9]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.278 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.67% [8][35]. Product Development - The company is focusing on the AR/VR optical applications, with AR waveguide technology being a core strategic initiative, expected to drive future growth [5][64]. - The automotive electronics segment, particularly the AR-HUD product, has gained significant market share domestically and is set for expansion into overseas markets [5][11]. Market Position - The company has established strong partnerships with major clients, enhancing its product capabilities and technical strength, which are crucial for its growth trajectory [6][21]. - The company is actively expanding its international presence, particularly in North America and Europe, to enhance its market influence [44].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery sector shows significant divergence in June data, with a focus on the industry's anti-involution process [3] - The express logistics market is expanding, supported by the national strategy to boost domestic demand, with a year-on-year growth of 15.8% in express delivery volume in June 2025 [5] - The performance of major express companies varies, with SF Express maintaining a business volume growth rate of over 30%, while other companies like YTO Express and Yunda Express show slower growth [4][5] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In June 2025, the total express delivery volume reached 16.87 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, with total revenue of 126.32 billion yuan, up 9.0% [5][24] - Major express companies' performance in June: YTO Express (2.627 billion pieces, +19.34%), Yunda Express (2.173 billion pieces, +7.41%), SF Express (1.460 billion pieces, +31.77%) [4][28] - The market share for these companies is 15.6% for YTO, 12.9% for both Yunda and Shentong, and 8.7% for SF Express [4] Air Transportation - The air travel sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 4.4% in passenger transport volume in June 2025 [52] - Major airlines are projected to improve their performance in Q2 2025 due to better supply-demand dynamics and lower oil prices [8] Shipping and Ports - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from OPEC+ production increases and a favorable economic environment, with a focus on crude oil transportation [16] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increased by 27.8% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in the bulk shipping market [11][68] - Container throughput at Chinese ports showed a slight increase in cargo volume but a decrease in container throughput [81] Road and Rail - In June 2025, road freight volume increased by 2.86% year-on-year, while rail freight volume rose by 7.36% [45] - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with a slight increase in freight truck traffic [14] Supply Chain Logistics - Companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics are expected to benefit from strategic transformations and improved profitability [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media internet industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The official release and open-sourcing of Kimi K2 is expected to drive significant advancements in domestic large models and AI applications, particularly in sectors such as gaming, education, video, e-commerce, toys, and marketing [4][5] - The AI application landscape is evolving, with notable developments in AI-driven e-commerce live streaming, which has shown a GMV exceeding 55 million yuan, indicating a breakthrough in operational efficiency [6] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI-generated video technology and the active engagement of platforms in enhancing short video ecosystems, suggesting a focus on companies involved in short video production and marketing [7][8] Summary by Sections AI Applications - Kimi K2, a foundational model with 1 trillion total parameters and 32 billion active parameters, demonstrates superior capabilities in coding, tool usage, and mathematical reasoning, indicating a leap in AI application potential [5] - The report highlights the integration of AI in e-commerce live streaming, which is expected to lower operational costs and extend live streaming durations, thus improving efficiency [6] Gaming Sector - The summer gaming season is anticipated to see new product launches and significant updates to existing titles, with a focus on the performance of leading gaming companies in AI-enhanced gaming experiences [8] Internet Sector - The report discusses the regulatory environment affecting the internet sector, particularly in food delivery and instant retail, suggesting a shift towards more sustainable business practices and innovation rather than price competition [9] Film and Television - The summer film season is projected to boost box office revenues, with a focus on key film producers and cinema ticketing companies [10] - The report notes the strong performance of specific films and the overall market dynamics, indicating a healthy recovery in the film industry [41] Market Overview - The report provides a market recap, noting the performance of major indices and the media sector's ranking among various industries during the specified period [15][16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5][10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a "反内卷" (anti-involution) trend leading to a general increase in commodity prices, with specific catalysts such as policy expectations driving price movements in copper, aluminum, lithium, and cobalt [4][6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Important macroeconomic information includes the U.S. June core CPI being below expectations at 2.9%, and retail sales showing a month-on-month increase of 0.6% [10]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries including steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals [10]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Copper prices are expected to rebound due to policy expectations, with LME copper prices increasing by 0.83% and SHFE copper prices slightly decreasing by 0.03% [6][25]. - Inventory levels have risen, with LME copper stocks increasing by 12.37% [22][25]. - Downstream demand is recovering, with copper rod operating rates at 74.2%, up by 7.2 percentage points [6]. 2.2 Aluminum - Aluminum prices are also expected to rise, with alumina prices increasing by 0.16% to 3165 CNY/ton [6][36]. - SHFE aluminum prices fell by 1.01% to 20500 CNY/ton, but are projected to recover due to strong policy support [6][36]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - LME lead prices decreased by 1.38%, while SHFE lead prices fell by 1.70% [46]. - LME zinc prices increased by 1.24%, but SHFE zinc prices dropped by 0.45% [46]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - LME tin prices fell by 0.73%, and SHFE tin prices decreased by 0.65% [60]. - LME nickel prices decreased by 0.33%, while SHFE nickel prices fell by 0.78% [60]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices are on the rise, with lithium carbonate increasing by 4.55% to 66650 CNY/ton, and lithium spodumene rising by 5.49% to 711 USD/ton [75]. - Supply issues are noted, with a slight increase in production but ongoing inventory accumulation [75]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices are under pressure, with domestic cobalt prices down by 1.22% to 243000 CNY/ton [88]. - The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended its cobalt export ban by three months, which may lead to a price rebound in Q4 [88].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The automotive industry is experiencing intensified efforts to combat "involution," leading to a more orderly terminal price competition. Since May 2025, various government departments have indicated a commitment to regulate "involution-style" competition in the automotive sector, with measures including cost investigations and price monitoring [3][6] - The impact of "involution" is expected to be more adverse for mid-to-low-end manufacturers, while manufacturers that can create user demand through technology and branding are likely to benefit [3][15] - The anticipated reduction in subsidies for new energy vehicles (NEVs) in 2026 may put pressure on actual sales growth, despite short-term support from consumer expectations of recovering discounts and potential tax incentives [3][16] Summary by Sections Automotive Industry Involution Measures - The core reason for the current round of involution in the automotive industry is weak demand, triggered by price cuts from major players like BYD. The market is entering a phase of stock competition, with many manufacturers resorting to price cuts to gain market share [6][7] - Key measures to combat involution include resisting low-price competition, enhancing product quality checks, advocating for the orderly exit of outdated capacities, and standardizing supplier payment terms to within 60 days [7][10] Impact on Price Competition - The measures taken are expected to lead to a more orderly terminal price competition, with significant promotional policies being retracted and efforts to stabilize dealer inventories and accelerate rebate payments [10][12] - Several manufacturers have committed to paying dealers within 60 days, which is expected to alleviate pressure on dealer inventories and stabilize terminal prices [11][13] Sales Outlook - The automotive industry is projected to face challenges in sales growth due to the anticipated reduction in NEV purchase tax subsidies in 2026. The expected decrease in subsidies may lead to a decline in sales growth rates, particularly for low-price segment manufacturers [16][17] - Historical data suggests that previous tax reduction policies have led to significant sales increases, indicating that the upcoming subsidy changes could similarly impact sales dynamics [20][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of core assets in Hong Kong's electric power equipment sector, highlighting the strong approval of coal power installations and the ongoing demand for pumped storage [5][6] - The report indicates that the approval of coal power installations is expected to remain high, with approximately 31 GW approved in the first half of 2025, maintaining levels similar to 2024 [17] - The report notes that the growth in electricity load is expected to outpace overall electricity consumption growth, indicating a long-term trend that will rely heavily on conventional power sources [18] - The wind power sector is experiencing a slowdown in the rapid scaling of turbine sizes, which may lead to improved profitability for wind turbine manufacturers [22][34] Summary by Sections Electric Power Equipment - The report highlights the strong approval of coal power installations, with 90 GW, 83 GW, and 78 GW approved in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, and an expectation to exceed 80 GW in 2025 [17] - The demand for pumped storage is projected to remain high, with significant approvals in recent years, indicating a robust market for this segment [21] - Key companies to focus on include Harbin Electric, Dongfang Electric (H), and Goldwind Technology (H), along with A-share counterparts [6][34] Electricity Production - In June 2025, the industrial electricity production reached 796.3 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, with a daily average of 26.54 billion kWh [35] - The report notes a narrowing decline in hydropower output and an acceleration in solar power generation, while wind and thermal power growth has slowed [35][38] Coal Industry - In June 2025, coal imports decreased significantly, with a year-on-year decline of 25.9%, attributed to low domestic coal prices [43] - The report indicates that domestic coal production is at a turning point, with a year-on-year increase of 3.0% in June, but with pressures from low prices affecting production levels in key regions [57] - Recommendations include focusing on leading coal companies with high long-term contracts, such as China Coal Energy and China Shenhua Energy [43]

证券研究报告 医药生物 板块表现： 亲合力减毒增效抗肿瘤创新平台或已得到验证，关注昂利康 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——医药行业周报（25/7/14-25/7/18） 投资要点： 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 20 日 刘闯 SAC：S1350524030002 liuchuang@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 联系人 本周医药市场表现分析：7 月 14 日至 7 月 18 日，医药指数上涨 4.00%，相对沪深 300 指数 超额收益为 2.91%。本周，涨幅靠前的主要为创新药标的如博瑞医药、力生制药、南新制药， 创新药进一步演绎分化，继续重点看好创新药，关注下半年有 BD 强催化的核心标的。建议关 注：1）创新药作为较为确定的产业趋势，重点关注：A 股）热景生物、华纳药厂、微芯生物、 悦康药业、前沿生物、福元医药、昂利康、信立泰、一品红、科兴制药、泽璟制药、科伦药 业、恒瑞医药；港股）三生制药、中国生物制药、科伦博泰、康方生物、信达生物、翰森制 药；2）25 年业绩或逐季度边际改善、估值水平较低且有边际改善的个股 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the central bank achieved a net injection of 1.2611 trillion yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3534 points, with equities showing strong performance, but the Treasury bond yields did not weaken significantly. The 10Y Treasury bond yield fluctuated narrowly around 1.66%, and the 1Y Treasury bond yield decreased slightly by about 2BP during the week. The end of the tax period did not bring obvious loosening of the capital side [3][41]. - Most credit spreads in different industries compressed to varying degrees this week, with only a small number of industries seeing a slight widening. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank secondary and perpetual bonds all compressed slightly overall [3][4][41]. - The buying frenzy of science and technology innovation bond component securities has entered the second half. With the concentrated listing of science and technology innovation bond ETFs this week, the market's enthusiastic subscription has pushed the component securities market towards the end. It is recommended that funds that have participated in this round of the market may consider taking profits and exiting [4][42]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Primary Market 1.1 Net Financing Scale - This week, the net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 173.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 54.4 billion yuan compared to last week. The total issuance was 400.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 59 billion yuan, and the total repayment was 227.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.6 billion yuan. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 18.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.2 billion yuan compared to last week [9]. - In terms of product types, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 32.1 billion yuan, an increase of 11.4 billion yuan; the net financing of industrial bonds was 61.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 51.2 billion yuan; and the net financing of financial bonds was 79.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.6 billion yuan [9]. 1.2 Issuance Cost - The weighted average issuance rates of AA and AA+ industrial and urban investment bonds this week were in the range of 2.2% - 2.5%, and the overall issuance rate of financial bonds was relatively low. The issuance rate of AA industrial bonds decreased by 37BP compared to last week, mainly due to the low issuance coupons of some bonds, while the fluctuations of other bonds were within 10BP [18]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Transaction Situation - The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 32.1 billion yuan compared to last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 203.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.3 billion yuan; the trading volume of industrial bonds was 357.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.2 billion yuan; the trading volume of financial bonds was 460.3 billion yuan, an increase of 6.4 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities was 16.7 billion yuan, an increase of 5.1 billion yuan [19]. - The turnover rates of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds decreased compared to last week, while that of financial bonds increased slightly. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds was 1.32%, a decrease of 0.16pct; the turnover rate of industrial bonds was 2.05%, a decrease of 0.09pct; the turnover rate of financial bonds was 3.15%, an increase of 0.02pct; the turnover rate of asset - backed securities was 0.48%, an increase of 0.15pct [20]. 2.2 Yield - The yield of AA ultra - long - term credit bonds over 10Y decreased significantly by 11BP, and the yields of other credit bonds with different terms and ratings mostly compressed by no more than 3BP compared to last week [23]. - Taking AA+ 5Y bonds of each type as an example, the yields of most bonds decreased to varying degrees. The yields of private - placement industrial bonds and renewable industrial bonds decreased by 2BP and 3BP respectively; the yield of AA+ 5Y urban investment bonds decreased by 1BP; the yield of commercial bank ordinary bonds remained unchanged, and the yield of secondary capital bonds decreased by 2BP; the yield of AA+ 5Y asset - backed securities decreased by 2BP [25]. 2.3 Credit Spreads - Overall, most credit spreads in different industries compressed to varying degrees this week, with only a small number of industries seeing a slight widening. Specifically, the credit spreads of AA+ leisure services and machinery increased by 6BP each, the credit spread of AA+ pharmaceutical and biological decreased by 7BP, and the credit spread of AAA leisure services decreased by 7BP. The fluctuations of other bonds were within 5BP [4][25]. 2.3.1 Urban Investment Bonds - In terms of terms, the credit spreads of urban investment bonds compressed slightly overall this week. The credit spreads of 0.5 - 1Y, 1 - 3Y, 3 - 5Y, 5 - 10Y, and over 10Y urban investment bonds compressed by less than 1BP, 1BP, 1BP, 2BP, and less than 1BP respectively [30]. - In terms of regions, the credit spread of AA urban investment bonds in Liaoning compressed significantly, while the fluctuations in other regions were within 5BP. The top five regions with the highest AA - rated urban investment bond credit spreads were Guizhou, Jilin, Yunnan, Gansu, and Liaoning; the top five regions for AA+ were Guizhou, Qinghai, Shaanxi, Yunnan, and Liaoning; and the top five regions for AAA were Liaoning, Yunnan, Tianjin, Jilin, and Inner Mongolia [31][32]. 2.3.2 Industrial Bonds - The credit spreads of industrial bonds compressed overall this week, with only a small number of terms and ratings seeing a slight widening. The credit spreads of 1Y AAA - and AA+ private - placement industrial bonds compressed by 1BP each, and the credit spreads of 10Y AAA -, AA+, and AA private - placement industrial bonds compressed by 3BP, 3BP, and 5BP respectively. The credit spreads of 1Y AAA -, AA+, and AA renewable industrial bonds widened by no more than 2BP, and the credit spreads of 10Y AAA -, AA+, and AA renewable industrial bonds compressed by 3BP, 4BP, and 5BP respectively. The fluctuations of other industrial bonds were within 3BP [34]. 2.3.3 Bank Capital Bonds - The credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds compressed slightly overall this week, with the compression amplitude of different terms and ratings within 3BP. The 3Y and 5Y credit spreads of AA bank perpetual bonds compressed by 3BP each, and the compression amplitudes of other bonds were no more than 2BP [37]. 3. This Week's Bond Market Sentiment - This week, the implied ratings of "HPR Huayu A" and "H20 Huayu B" issued by Chongqing Yerui Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. were downgraded; the implied ratings of 5 bond issues by Chongqing State - owned Cultural Assets Management Co., Ltd. were downgraded; Jiangshan Oupai Door Industry Co., Ltd. was placed on the watchlist, and its "Jiangshan Convertible Bond" was also placed on the watchlist; the implied ratings of "20 Guohua Life 01" and "21 Guohua Life 01" issued by Guohua Life Insurance Co., Ltd. were downgraded; the entity rating of Changde Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the rating of its "21 Changde Rural Commercial Secondary" bond was also downgraded [3][39]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Overall, most credit spreads in different industries compressed this week. Investment strategies suggest being bullish on long - duration urban investment and capital bonds, strongly recommending the perpetual bonds of Minsheng, Bohai, and Hengfeng Banks, and paying attention to the opportunities of insurance sub - bonds [41]. - For science and technology innovation bonds, it is recommended that funds that have participated in this round of the market may consider taking profits and exiting [42].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not explicitly mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - "Anti - involution" may be Supply - side Reform 2.0, potentially driving a significant rebound in PPI and impacting the bond market [2]. - The stock market is rising steadily, with a notable increase in risk appetite. This may attract funds into the stock market, putting pressure on the bond market [2]. - China's export resilience is prominent. There is a possibility of a further reduction in US tariffs on China, which could promote export growth [2]. - The commencement of the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project may boost infrastructure investment growth and drive up related stock prices [2]. - The bond market is expected to fluctuate narrowly in the short term. Attention should be paid to the progress of "anti - involution". The report recommends long - duration sinking of urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - bonds, and suggests paying attention to investment opportunities in certain capital bonds and Hong Kong - listed bank stocks [2]. 3. Summary by Related Aspects Macroeconomic Policy Impact - In 2015, supply - side reform and shantytown renovation promoted a significant rebound in PPI and nominal GDP growth, causing the bond market to decline. In 2025, "anti - involution" has become the focus of economic policy and may have a similar impact [2]. Stock and Bond Market Relationship - Since the Spring Festival in 2025, the stock market has been rising steadily, ending the negative economic cycle from 2022 - 2024. The wealth effect of the stock market promotes consumption, and the inflow of funds into the stock market may put pressure on the bond market [2]. Export Situation - China's total export value has grown rapidly in the past year. The resilience of exports is not only due to "rush - to - export" but also reflects the global competitiveness of many industries. A reduction in US tariffs on China could further boost exports [2]. Infrastructure Investment - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of about 1.2 trillion yuan, may drive the stabilization of infrastructure investment growth and the rise of related stocks [2]. Bond Market Outlook - The bond market's trading volume is overly concentrated in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds. If the "anti - involution" efforts are strong, it may lead to the collapse of the ultra - long - term bond concentration and a 10 - 20BP adjustment in the bond market. The 10 - year Treasury yield may need a new round of interest rate cuts to reach a new low. In the short term, the bond market will fluctuate narrowly, and attention should be paid to the progress of "anti - involution" [2].