Investment Rating - The investment rating for the beauty care industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - In September 2025, the GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) of the beauty category on Douyin increased by 19.7% year-on-year, although it saw a month-on-month decline of 10.4% [4] - The top 20 beauty brands on Douyin achieved a total GMV exceeding 3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 38.59%. Notably, the brand Han Shu maintained its leading position with over 500 million yuan in GMV, and 40% of brands in the top 20 experienced more than double growth [4] - Domestic brands showed strong performance, with 60% of the top 20 brands having a higher GMV contribution from self-operated channels than from influencer promotions. Brands like Han Shu and Bai Que Ling had over 70% of their GMV from self-operated channels, indicating a competitive advantage for domestic brands in self-operated channels [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The beauty and skincare product price distribution is relatively balanced, while the color cosmetics and fragrance categories heavily rely on affordable products. The price segment under 150 yuan accounted for 49.54% of the market share in September, marking it as the main price segment [4] - Products priced under 150 yuan made up 36.23% of the skincare category, while products priced over 1,000 yuan contributed over 10% to GMV. In contrast, 74% of the GMV in the color cosmetics and fragrance category came from products priced under 150 yuan, indicating a more concentrated price distribution [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic brands that are continuously enhancing their market scale and brand influence through mainstream channels. Recommended stocks include: 1. Mao Ge Ping, a leading high-end domestic beauty brand with strong product and channel expansion capabilities 2. Po Lai Ya, known for its mature organizational structure and industry-leading marketing and management capabilities 3. Wan Mei Biological, which is experiencing accelerated brand growth through its flagship products 4. Shang Mei Co., benefiting from the trend of affordable consumption with multi-category and multi-channel development [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market and stock market as a means to boost social expectations and facilitate domestic demand circulation. The focus is on high-quality housing and urban renewal, with a potential wave of development for high-quality residential properties [4][45] - The report suggests that the central government's consistent messaging since September 2024 has been to stabilize the real estate market, especially in light of external economic pressures [4][45] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.3%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 3.9%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) decreased by 0.8% during the week [4][7] - In terms of individual stocks, Hefei Urban Construction saw a significant increase of 18.1%, while Shenzhen Real Estate A experienced a decline of 12.0% [4][7] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of October 4-10, 2025, 42 key cities recorded a total new housing transaction volume of 980,000 square meters, a decrease of 51.0% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 53.5% [11][17] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, new housing transactions in these cities totaled 1.22 million square meters, down 44.8% month-on-month and 39.5% year-on-year [17] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - During the same week, 21 key cities recorded a total of 860,000 square meters in second-hand housing transactions, a decrease of 26.6% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 48.4% [29][35] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, second-hand housing transactions totaled 930,000 square meters, down 64.5% month-on-month and 29.3% year-on-year [35] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focusing on urban renewal and governance, with plans to upgrade old houses into "good houses" [45] - New regulations in Shenzhen limit the height of residential buildings to manage safety risks, while Chengdu has increased the area limit for balconies and other auxiliary spaces [45][46] Company Announcements - In September 2025, China Overseas Development reported a sales figure of 20.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, while Poly Developments reported 20.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.8% [48] - New City Holdings issued a total of 160 million USD in unsecured fixed-rate bonds with a 2-year term and an interest rate of 11.88% [48]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a hidden champion in overseas metering, benefiting from the global smart grid construction wave. The advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) market is expected to grow significantly, driven by carbon neutrality goals and energy digitalization [5][7][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The company's closing price is 92.43 yuan, with a market capitalization of 12,837.29 million yuan and a circulating market value of 2,938.66 million yuan. The asset-liability ratio stands at 22.45% [3]. 2. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2,550 million yuan (2023), 2,933 million yuan (2024), 3,698 million yuan (2025E), 4,383 million yuan (2026E), and 5,082 million yuan (2027E). The corresponding net profit estimates are 486 million yuan (2023), 589 million yuan (2024), 757 million yuan (2025E), 935 million yuan (2026E), and 1,073 million yuan (2027E) [6][8]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The global smart metering market is projected to grow from 21.91 billion USD in 2022 to 32.46 billion USD by 2027, with a CAGR of 8.2%. The company is well-positioned to capture market share in this expanding sector [7][19]. 4. Competitive Landscape - The company competes with global giants like Itron and Landis+Gyr, and has successfully established a presence in various European markets. Its market share in Europe has increased from 9.46% in 2021 to 12.14% in 2023 [10][31]. 5. Company Strengths - The company has a strong technological foundation with over 600 global certifications and a significant presence in the European market. It has established long-term relationships with top-tier power companies, enhancing its competitive edge [10][44][49]. 6. Growth Potential - The company is expected to see substantial growth in both domestic and international markets, with a projected revenue increase of 132.86% in the domestic market for the first half of 2025. The company aims to expand its production capacity significantly through new investment projects [7][10][30].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the energy storage industry, particularly focusing on lithium-ion battery technologies and their advancements [1][2]. Core Insights - The research highlights significant progress in solid-state lithium batteries, particularly in solid-solid interface contact, which is crucial for their engineering applications [6][7]. - The electrochemical energy storage sector is experiencing rapid growth, with a notable increase in installed capacity and technological diversification [10][11]. - As of June 2025, the total operational energy storage capacity reached 75.79 GW/175.12 GWh, with lithium-ion batteries dominating the market [25][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Rapid Development of Electrochemical Energy Storage Technologies - The report emphasizes the advancements in solid-state lithium batteries, which are seen as the next generation of energy storage devices due to their high safety and energy density [6][7]. - The energy storage technology landscape is diversifying, with lithium-ion batteries maintaining a dominant position, accounting for 97.34% of the total operational energy storage capacity as of June 2025 [36][19]. 2. Market Performance of North Exchange Technology Growth Stocks - The median price change for North Exchange technology growth stocks was +0.11% from October 9 to October 10, 2025, with 80 companies (52%) experiencing an increase [42][44]. - Notable performers included Changfu Co., Ltd. (+29.89%) and Lingge Technology (+29.82%) [45]. 3. Industry Valuation Metrics - The median TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the new energy industry increased by 1.70% to 38.7X, indicating a positive valuation trend [46]. - The electronic equipment sector's median TTM P/E ratio rose from 57.8X to 58.6X, reflecting a stable market environment [46]. 4. Company Announcements - Tianhong Lithium Battery and Shaanxi Hongda Electric Power Engineering Co., Ltd. plan to jointly establish a holding subsidiary with a registered capital of RMB 50 million [4]. 5. Energy Storage Industry Overview - The report identifies 24 companies within the energy storage industry chain on the North Exchange, categorized into upstream (materials & production equipment), midstream (manufacturing & integration), and downstream (systems & operations) sectors [37][39]. - The report notes that large-scale energy storage projects (over 100 MW) are becoming increasingly prevalent, with a significant portion of new installations focusing on independent energy storage systems [33][30].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - Recent developments in the overseas uranium industry have led to increased market activity, particularly with Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SPUT) purchasing approximately 4 million pounds of U3O8, raising total inventory from about 50.7 million pounds to nearly 55 million pounds, tightening the supply and driving uranium prices up [4][16] - The U.S. Department of Energy plans to expand its strategic uranium reserves to reduce dependence on Russian uranium, which currently fuels about 25% of U.S. nuclear power plants, potentially affecting 5% of national electricity generation if supply is disrupted [4][16] - The importance of nuclear energy in the U.S. energy structure is increasing due to the acceleration of electrification and rising demand for clean energy, with the strategic reserve seen as crucial for energy security and stable supply [4][16] Market Performance Summary - The Hong Kong and U.S. tech stocks experienced volatility, with the Hang Seng Tech Index closing at 6259.8, down 5.5%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 2.4 percentage points [7][9] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed at 6407.6, down 2.7%, also underperforming compared to the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices [7][9] - The AI energy sector showed strong performance, with top gainers including AMD (+31%), ENERGY FUELS (+23%), and URANIUM ENERGY (+11%) [9][14] Web3 and Cryptocurrency Market - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreased to $4.14 trillion as of October 10, 2025, down from $4.15 trillion the previous week [18][22] - The total trading volume in the cryptocurrency market was $211.71 billion, accounting for 5.11% of the total market capitalization [18][22] - Core assets in the cryptocurrency market saw significant inflows, with a total net inflow of $2.715 billion recorded, despite a sharp price drop following the announcement of new tariffs by the U.S. government [29][30]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The acquisition of a 53% stake in Fulu Family further expands the brand matrix of the company [5] - The beer industry has a large market size and consumer base, with increasing demand for high-quality and diverse products, which is expected to open up opportunities in the fresh beer market [8] - The company is expected to leverage its existing supply chain advantages and franchisee strengths to enhance its brand presence in the fresh beer sector [8] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 20,302.47 million RMB - 2024: 24,828.87 million RMB (growth of 22.29%) - 2025E: 30,443.21 million RMB (growth of 22.61%) - 2026E: 36,691.03 million RMB (growth of 20.52%) - 2027E: 42,410.49 million RMB (growth of 15.59%) [6] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - 2023: 3,137.34 million RMB - 2024: 4,436.50 million RMB (growth of 41.41%) - 2025E: 5,425.05 million RMB (growth of 22.28%) - 2026E: 6,586.02 million RMB (growth of 21.40%) - 2027E: 7,670.19 million RMB (growth of 16.46%) [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the upcoming years are projected as follows: - 2025E: 26.88 - 2026E: 22.14 - 2027E: 19.01 [6] Company Overview - The company has acquired a 51% stake in Fulu Family for an investment of 286 million RMB, with the acquisition expected to enhance its brand portfolio [8] - Fulu Family operates approximately 1,200 stores across 28 provinces in China, primarily using a franchise model for expansion [8] - The company aims to maintain a high-quality and affordable product positioning in the fresh beer market, which includes a diverse product range [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][10]. Core Insights - The company is the largest independent digital payment solution provider in China, offering digital payment and value-added services to global traders. It has obtained 65 licenses globally, covering key markets including mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the US, the UK, Thailand, Luxembourg, and Indonesia [6][18]. - The digital payment market is rapidly growing due to globalization and the trend of cross-border e-commerce, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.7% for China's cross-border e-commerce imports and exports from 2020 to 2024 [6][42]. - The company's revenue primarily comes from global payment services, with cross-border payment contributing about 60% of its income. The fee rates for cross-border payments are expected to remain stable, while domestic payment rates are lower due to competition [6][9]. - The company has seen significant growth in its value-added services, which include digital marketing and operational support, with revenue from digital marketing rapidly increasing from 3.76 million in 2021 to 79.08 million in 2023 [6][50]. - The strategic sale of shares in a joint venture has positively impacted the company's performance, with a reported gain of approximately 2 billion RMB in the first half of 2025 [6][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 2009 and has focused on digital payment services, obtaining various licenses to expand its global footprint. It has a strong management team with extensive experience in finance and technology [18][24]. Market Performance - As of October 10, 2025, the company's closing price was HKD 8.67, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 9.69 billion. The asset-liability ratio stands at 86.32% [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.7 billion, 2.2 billion, and 2.7 billion RMB, with corresponding growth rates of 29.3%, 29.6%, and 22.7% [9][12]. - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 1.456 billion RMB, with a significant increase from previous years [9][12]. Competitive Landscape - The cross-border payment industry is characterized by a few dominant players, with the company being the only Chinese firm holding payment licenses in all US states. The competitive landscape includes companies like Payoneer and Airwallex, each with unique strengths [53][57]. Strategic Developments - The company has received a VATP license in Hong Kong, which is expected to enhance its business capabilities in virtual asset trading and improve cross-border payment efficiency [9][10].

- The report compares the performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Index (STAR 50), ChiNext Index, and CSI All Share Index before and after the tariff war escalation on April 2, 2025, and October 10, 2025[7][8][9] - The report highlights the increase in the proportion of stocks hitting new highs within the past year across various indices, indicating a higher market recognition and trend strength compared to early April 2025[10][11][12] - The turnover rate of the STAR 50 Index is significantly higher, suggesting a potential overheating and correction risk, while the ChiNext Index and CSI All Share Index have moderate turnover rates[27][28][32] - The valuation metrics (PE_TTM) for the three indices have increased significantly since April 2025, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term volatility and correction risks[33][37] - The financing balance of the three indices has increased substantially, reflecting a stronger bullish sentiment in the market, but the current market overheating level is lower compared to the 2015 bull market peak[38][39][43] - The report compares the performance of various industries before and after the tariff war escalation, noting that the computer, electronics, and media industries performed well before the escalation, while the communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics industries performed well after the escalation[44][45][47] - The valuation levels of most industries have increased since April 2025, with the average price-to-book ratio and price-to-earnings ratio percentiles rising significantly, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term risks for high-valuation sectors[46][48][50] - The report emphasizes the need to be cautious of sectors with high valuation percentiles and recent high trading activity, such as the computer and electronics industries, which may experience short-term volatility[46][54][55]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report is bullish on the bond market in October and predicts that the domestic policy rate may be cut by 10 - 20BP in Q4 [4][13][92] Report's Core View - The consumption volume increased while the price rose slowly during the National Day holiday, and the per - capita data was under pressure, indicating a relatively low domestic consumption willingness and a continuous consumption downgrade trend. The external environment is disturbed, with rising policy risks and uncertainties [2][10][11] - The bond market's performance in September deviated from the capital and economic fundamentals. Currently, the bond market has prominent allocation value, and bond yields may fluctuate downward. The report is fully bullish on the bond market, with the preferred investments being 10Y China Development Bank bonds, 30Y treasury bonds, and 5Y capital bonds [4][13][92] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Macro News - During the 8 - day National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival holiday in 2025, the number of domestic tourist trips reached 890 million, an increase of 120 million compared to the 7 - day National Day holiday in 2024. The total domestic tourism consumption was 809.01 billion yuan, a 15.4% increase. The per - capita consumption decreased by 0.6% year - on - year to 911 yuan. The number of inbound and outbound trips of mainland residents was 9.165 million, a 9.6% increase [14] - On October 1, 2025 (EDT), the U.S. federal government announced a "shutdown". On October 10 (EDT), Trump announced an additional 100% tariff on all Chinese imports starting from November 1, 2025. As of October 11 (09:30 Beijing time), the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October reached 98.3% [21] - In September 2025, the U.S. manufacturing PMI was 49.1% (continuing in the contraction range, up 0.4pct from the previous month), and the service PMI dropped to the critical point of 50.0% (down 2.0pct from the previous month) [21] 2. Medium - term High - frequency Data 2.1 Consumption - As of September 30, the daily average retail and wholesale volumes of passenger cars increased by 42.8% and 57.3% year - on - year respectively. The total box office during the National Day in 2025 was 1.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 900 million and 270 million yuan compared to 2023 and 2024 respectively. As of September 26, the total retail volume and sales of three major household appliances decreased by 16.9% and 27.6% year - on - year respectively [22][24] 2.2 Transportation - As of October 5, the weekly container throughput of ports increased by 12.0% year - on - year, the postal express pick - up volume increased by 4.5% year - on - year, the delivery volume increased by 12.4% year - on - year, the railway freight volume decreased by 0.3% year - on - year, and the highway truck traffic volume increased by 9.7% year - on - year. As of October 10, the average subway passenger volume in first - tier cities in the past 7 days decreased by 7.4% year - on - year [28][36][39] 2.3开工率 - As of October 9, the blast furnace operating rate of major steel enterprises increased by 2.2pct year - on - year, the asphalt average operating rate increased by 3.0pct year - on - year, the soda ash operating rate increased by 2.9pct year - on - year, and the PVC operating rate increased by 2.2pct year - on - year. As of October 11, the average operating rate of PX was 88.5%, and the average operating rate of PTA was 75.1% [44][47] 2.4 Real Estate - As of October 10, the total commercial housing transaction area of 30 large - and medium - sized cities in the past 7 days decreased by 34.7% year - on - year. As of October 3, the second - hand housing transaction area of 9 sample cities increased by 104.2% year - on - year [51][54] 2.5 Prices - As of October 11, the average wholesale price of pork decreased by 24.1% year - on - year, the average wholesale price of vegetables decreased by 21.0% year - on - year, and the average wholesale price of 6 key fruits decreased by 3.3% year - on - year. As of October 10, the average spot price of WTI crude oil decreased by 14.6% year - on - year, the average spot price of rebar decreased by 13.1% year - on - year, and the average spot price of iron ore decreased by 1.4% year - on - year [58][60][66] 3. Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets - On October 11, overnight Shibor and various short - term interest rates generally declined. Most treasury bond yields declined, with the 1 - year/5 - year/10 - year/30 - year treasury bond yields at 1.37%/1.58%/1.82%/2.23% respectively, down 1.2BP/4.3BP/5.6BP/up 1.5BP compared to September 28. The yields of China Development Bank bonds, local government bonds, and inter - bank certificates of deposit also showed certain changes. As of October 10, the ten - year treasury bond yields of the U.S., Japan, the UK, and Germany were 4.1%, 1.7%, 4.7%, and 2.8% respectively, down 15BP/up 3BP/down 7BP/down 7BP compared to September 26. The central parity rate and spot exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB on October 10 decreased by 70/21 pips compared to September 25 [69][73][80] 4. Institutional Behavior - As of October 10, the estimated median durations of medium - and long - term interest rate and credit bond funds were about 4.5 years and 2.6 years respectively, down about 0.03 years and 0.3 years compared to September 26 [4][86][87] 5. Investment Advice - The report is bullish on the bond market, predicting that the 10Y treasury bond yield will return to around 1.65%, the 30Y treasury bond yield will reach 1.9%, and the 5Y secondary capital bonds of large banks will reach 1.9% [4][13][92]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current data asset ABS has three models: "data - pledged loan", "accounts receivable/financial leasing + data pledge", and "data - empowered pricing". Policy support has been provided for the value transformation path from data "resources" to "assets" and then to "capital", but there are still pain points in the development of data asset ABS. Some data asset ABS products have investment value due to their asset pool quality, credit - enhancement measures, and yield advantages [2][12][13] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Current Models of Data Asset ABS - As of September 22, 2025, 7 data asset ABS have been issued in China, with a total scale of 2.49 billion yuan. Six of the issuers are state - owned enterprises, and only one is a private enterprise. The three models are: "data - pledged loan" (e.g., "Data 1 Phase"), "accounts receivable/financial leasing + data pledge" (e.g., "Rugao 01" and "Liantou 3 Phase"), and "data - empowered pricing" (e.g., "Zhongtoubao 2 Phase" and "Jiangong Project") [2][3][5] - The first approved data asset labeled product is the "Huaxin - Xinxin - Data Asset 1 - 5 Phase Asset - Backed Special Plan", with a total shelf scale of 500 million yuan. The first successfully established data asset ABS product is the "Ping'an - Rugao Phase 1 Asset - Backed Special Plan (Data Asset)", with a scale of 130 million yuan and a coupon rate as low as 2.4% [4] 3.2 Policy Support for Value Transformation - Policies such as the "Data Twenty Articles" in December 2022, the "Interim Provisions on the Accounting Treatment of Enterprise Data Resources" in August 2023, and the "Guiding Opinions on Strengthening Data Asset Management" in December 2023 have provided support for the value transformation from data "resources" to "assets" and then to "capital" [2][12] - However, the development of data asset ABS still faces pain points, including inconsistent data confirmation and registration standards, the lack of a perfect valuation system, and increasing data security and compliance risks [2][13] 3.3 Investment Value Analysis of Data Asset ABS - In terms of asset pool quality, "Zhongtoubao 2A/2C" and "25 Jiangong You/Ci" have excellent asset pools. "Data 1 You/Ci" is in the middle. "Rugao 01 You/Ci" and "25 Yihang You/Ci" have creditworthy but concentrated debtors. "Liantou 3 You/Ci" and "25 Xingzu 01/Ci" have relatively weak asset pools [16] - Regarding credit - enhancement measures, "25 Jiangong You/Ci" and "Rugao 01 You/Ci" have high credit - enhancement effectiveness. "Liantou 3 You/Ci" has a 100% data asset pledge but depends on the quality of underlying leasing assets. "Zhongtoubao 2A/2C" has traditional credit - enhancement methods [17] - Some data asset ABS have higher yields than other bonds of the same credit subject, same rating, and similar maturity due to structural complexity and liquidity premium. For example, on September 24, 2025, the yield of "Data 1 You" was about 11bp higher than that of "Meixin 3A" [2][19]