Core Insights - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that Hong Kong stocks experienced a historical low in revenue growth for the first half of 2025, while overall profitability has improved [1][2] - The differentiation between new and old economies is evident, with sectors like information technology, pharmaceuticals, and discretionary consumption showing strong performance [1][3] Summary by Category Overall Performance - Revenue growth for all Hong Kong companies decreased by 0.9% in H1 2025, while excluding financials, oil, and real estate, revenue grew by 0.5%. The Hang Seng Index constituent companies saw a revenue increase of 2.6%, all reflecting a slowdown compared to the previous year [2] - Net profit for all Hong Kong companies grew by 5.4%, and for those excluding financials, oil, and real estate, net profit increased by 11.7%, both better than the previous year and at historical median levels [2] Profitability - Overall profitability has improved, with gross margins and operating profit margins showing positive trends year-on-year, although operating profit margins decreased quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit margin for Hong Kong listed companies has improved both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.0%, which is back to historical average levels [2] Industry Differentiation - The fastest revenue growth was seen in information technology (12.3%), discretionary consumption (8.5%), and financials (5.2%), while the largest declines were in real estate (-20.9%), energy (-9%), and utilities (-4.8%) [3] - The highest net profit growth was recorded in healthcare (202.9%), information technology (60.9%), and materials (52.2%), indicating strong performance in the new economy sectors [3] Inventory Cycle - The overall Hong Kong market is undergoing a destocking cycle, with upstream industries continuing to destock while midstream and downstream sectors have entered a replenishment phase [3] - New economy sectors like information technology, discretionary consumption, and healthcare are in an "active restocking" phase, while traditional sectors like energy and real estate are still in "active destocking" [3] Capital Expenditure - There has been a significant reduction in capital expenditures across most industries during the economic downturn, with real estate, healthcare, and energy showing the least willingness to expand [4] - Only the e-commerce and automotive sectors have seen capital expenditure growth, but this remains at maintenance levels rather than significant increases [4] Industry Fundamentals - High-performing sectors include information technology, non-essential consumer goods distribution and retail (primarily e-commerce), and healthcare, while lower-performing sectors include energy, real estate, and traditional manufacturing [4] - The report suggests that investors should focus on technology growth stocks, particularly in sectors with strong fundamentals and less correlation to the Chinese macroeconomic environment [4]

9月17日，陈茂波出席中信建投证券2025全球投资者大会并发表演讲。 陈茂波表示，当前全球经济正经历一场由数字技术驱动的深度转型。人工智能、生物科技等颠覆性创新，正在重塑产业 格局和价值创造模式。无论是发达经济体还是新兴市场，都正在全力探索如何更深入运用人工智能，提升效能、开发新 产品、开拓新市场。它已成为不同经济体与企业核心竞争力的关键所在。 陈茂波表示，在这一历史性进程中，香港国际金融中心展现出强劲的发展韧性和创新活力。我们不仅积极参与科技变 革，更致力于推动它的高效商业转化和产业群聚。可以说，今天的香港，正通过科技与金融的深度结合，展现出更丰富 的经济内涵、更强大的发展动能。 他从以下三个维度做了进一步阐述： "新经济公司数目占在港上市公司约15%，但它们占港股总市值约28%，贡献了30%的交投额；与五年前相比，交投额 的占比上升了八个百分点"。 今日，香港财政司司长陈茂波在中信建投2025全球投资者大会上演讲称，香港市场结构转型，新经济已成为发展的核心 动力。事实上，科技与金融已成为香港经济增长的两大驱动力，这一点已清晰反映在港股的结构上。 中信建投证券董事长刘成表示，香港金融市场大有可为，中资券商依 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2025 年 09 月 17 日 新旧经济的极致分化，信息技术、医药、互联网景气度高 ——港股 25H1 业绩深度分析之一 港股 25H1 收入增速处于历史低位，但盈利能力整体改善新旧经济分化明显， 信息技术、医药、可选消费表现突出，下游产业链供需格局最优，科技、消费、 医药处于主动加库存周期。结合中报业绩与近期内外流动性催化，继续推荐互 联网、有色金属与非银三个方向。 专题报告 相关报告 3、《流动性驱动港股新一轮上 涨，聚焦三进攻+两底仓——— 港股 9 月策略月报》2025-09-15 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 ❑ 总体概览：收入增速放缓，处于历史较低水平；净利润增速改善。2025 年上 半年，全部港股公司收入下降 0.9%，全部港股公司（除金融、石油、地产） 收入增长 0.5%，恒生指数成分公司收入增长 2.6%，均比去年同期放缓，从 过去 7 年周期维度看处于历史较低水平，与宏观经济周期下行态势一致。净 利润方面，全部港股公司净利润增长 5.4%，全部港股公司（除金融、石油、 地产）净利润增长 11.7%，均好于去年同期，处于历史中值水平。 ❑ 盈利能力整体改善，"反内 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 4.2%, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index increased by 3.9%, the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index went up by 3.3%, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index climbed by 2.1%, and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical and Health Comprehensive Index saw a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - According to Galaxy Securities, under the expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, foreign capital is showing a structural preference for the Chinese Hong Kong stock market, primarily focusing on technology, finance, and certain consumer and manufacturing sectors, with a particular emphasis on technology stocks, healthcare, and biotechnology [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng New Economy Index consists of 50 stocks from the "new economy" sector within the Hong Kong Stock Connect, primarily including information technology, consumer discretionary, and healthcare industries [2] - The index has a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 25.5 times and has seen a valuation percentile increase of 59.2% since its inception in 2018 [2] - The Hang Seng Technology Index is composed of 30 stocks highly related to technology, with over 90% of its weight in information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, and it has a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 23.4 times, with a valuation percentile increase of 32.3% since its launch in 2020 [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical and Health Comprehensive Index includes 50 liquid and large-cap stocks in the healthcare sector, which accounts for over 90% of the index's weight, with a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 31.6 times and a valuation percentile increase of 48.9% since its inception in 2017 [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index consists of 30 leading internet companies, primarily in information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, with a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 25.2 times and a valuation percentile increase of 27.4% since its launch in 2021 [2]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance today, with financial and real estate sectors continuing to rise, while pharmaceutical and new consumption sectors experienced widespread declines [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 1.3%, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index rose by 1.1%, the Hang Seng Stock Connect New Economy Index gained 0.2%, and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index saw a slight increase of 0.1%. In contrast, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Health Comprehensive Index fell by 1.1% [1] ETF Performance - The E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) has recorded net inflows for 10 consecutive trading days, totaling over 2 billion yuan, with the latest scale reaching 17.6 billion yuan, marking a historical high [1] - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF (513320) tracks the Hang Seng Stock Connect New Economy Index, which consists of 50 stocks from the "new economy" sector with the largest market capitalization [2] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index, composed of 30 stocks highly related to technology themes, with over 90% of the index comprising information technology and consumer discretionary sectors [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical ETF (513200) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Health Comprehensive Index, which includes 50 liquid and large-cap stocks in the healthcare sector [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF (513040) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index, consisting of 30 leading internet companies, primarily in information technology and consumer discretionary sectors [2] Valuation Metrics - The rolling P/E ratio for the Hang Seng New Economy Index is 24.8 times, with a valuation percentile of 55.4% since 2018 [2] - The rolling P/E ratio for the Hang Seng Technology Index is 22.5 times, with a valuation percentile of 27.4% since its inception in 2020 [2] - The rolling P/E ratio for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical Index is 32.3 times, with a valuation percentile of 50.2% since 2017 [2] - The rolling P/E ratio for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index is 24.4 times, with a valuation percentile of 24.4% since its inception in 2021 [2] - The rolling P/E ratio for the E Fund Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513070) is 21.7 times, with a valuation percentile of 21.9% since its inception in 2020 [3]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the Hong Kong Stock Connect (HKSC) is experiencing a recovery in Return on Equity (ROE), particularly in the technology sector, with a focus on deep value opportunities [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the overall revenue growth of HKSC was 1.4% year-on-year, with a decline of 1.3 percentage points compared to H2 2024. The net profit growth for the parent company was 4.2%, down 3.9 percentage points from H2 2024 [4]. - The non-financial segment of HKSC showed a revenue growth of 0.5% year-on-year, with a 1.0 percentage point decline from H2 2024, while net profit growth improved to 7.2%, up 2.2 percentage points from H2 2024 [4]. - The ROE for HKSC (TTM) in H1 2025 was 6.9%, remaining stable compared to H2 2024, while the non-financial ROE (TTM) increased by 0.1 percentage points to 6.4% [4]. Group 2: Sector Comparisons - The report highlights that the fundamentals of HKSC are stronger in the internet and new consumption sectors, while A-shares show better fundamentals in technology hardware and military industries [5]. - In H1 2025, the ROE (TTM) for the consumption sector in HKSC was 11.0%, improving by 1.2 percentage points from H2 2024, with both sales net profit margin and asset turnover increasing [5]. - The technology and pharmaceutical sectors in HKSC had ROEs (TTM) of 8.2% and 6.8%, respectively, both showing improvements driven by enhanced sales net profit margins [5]. Group 3: Growth Trends - The report notes that the overall profit growth of the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index declined in H1 2025, with the Hang Seng Index's net profit growth at -0.8% year-on-year and the Hang Seng Technology Index at 12.1% [5]. - Since the third quarter, the market has significantly revised down its profit forecasts for HKSC, with expected EPS for the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index decreasing by 2% and 9%, respectively, from the end of June to the end of August [5]. - The report emphasizes a continued focus on broad growth directions, particularly in AI and new consumption sectors, which are expected to provide investment value [5]. Group 4: Value Opportunities - The report identifies deep value opportunities in certain sectors, particularly in real estate and domestic consumption companies, where some firms have cash holdings exceeding their market value [5]. - The report suggests that the real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, with improvements in revenue and profit growth, and highlights the potential for stock price recovery in this sector [5]. - Additionally, the report notes improvements in growth characteristics in the consumer sector, particularly in beverages and dairy products, indicating a rotation opportunity in the consumer industry [5].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.31%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 0.42%. The sportswear sector led the gains, with Li Ning up over 3% and Anta Sports up nearly 2% [1] - The outlook for the Hong Kong stock market is optimistic, with foreign capital potentially returning due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. The technology and financial sectors are particularly favored by foreign investors [2][3] - The overall profitability of the Hong Kong stock market remains strong, with low valuations and a scarcity of assets in sectors like internet, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] Group 2 - International funds are actively reallocating to Chinese assets, with hedge funds expected to record the highest monthly buying of Chinese stocks since February. Consumer staples and industrial sectors are seeing the most inflows [3] - The Hong Kong stock market's structural advantages remain significant despite short-term liquidity challenges. Investors are encouraged to focus on opportunities arising from overseas demand chains [3] - The earnings outlook for Hong Kong stocks is positive, with a high rate of earnings upgrades. The strategy suggests focusing on innovative pharmaceuticals first, followed by internet and new consumption sectors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic investment of $1.5 billion from Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) into GLP Group signifies a new phase of collaboration, enhancing GLP's financial strength and accelerating its expansion in the new economy sector [1][2][3] Group 1: Investment Details - GLP Group received a strategic investment of $1.5 billion, with an initial deployment of $500 million [2] - This investment is seen as a recognition of GLP's past performance and business model, marking an important step for further expansion in the new economy [2][4] - ADIA's investment will optimize GLP's capital structure and enhance its investment and expansion capabilities [3] Group 2: Business Focus and Growth - GLP focuses on new economic sectors, including logistics supply chain, big data infrastructure, and renewable energy, aiming to create differentiated and scalable business platforms [2][4] - The company has established a strong professional barrier in these sectors, which are seen as high-potential markets with significant growth opportunities [4] - GLP's revenue for the first half of the year reached 4.224 billion yuan, a 10% increase year-on-year, indicating stable growth in its new infrastructure operations [4] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Prospects - The investment aligns with the growing demand for new economic infrastructure driven by domestic consumption and the recovery of the economy [8][9] - The data center market in China is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated market size increase of $274 billion from 2025 to 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 38% [9] - GLP is expected to explore opportunities for asset securitization and potential IPOs as it continues to develop its business model [10]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on September 4, with major ETFs such as the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) dropping by 1.4% and trading volume exceeding 210 million yuan [1] - The ChiNext index, which the ChiNext ETF closely tracks, consists of 100 representative companies listed on the ChiNext board, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market, characterized by a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises [1] - The Science and Technology Innovation Board ETF Tianhong (589860) fell by 1.8%, with a trading volume of over 37 million yuan, and leading stocks included Hangke Technology and Daqo Energy [1] Group 2 - As of August 31, 2025, 1,384 companies listed on the ChiNext have reported their semi-annual results, showing significant improvement in operating performance, with total revenue reaching 2.05 trillion yuan and net profit of 150.54 billion yuan [2] - Key sectors such as advanced manufacturing, digital economy, and green low-carbon industries have shown outstanding performance, with leading companies playing a stabilizing role [2] - The ChiNext Composite Index, which reflects the overall performance of the ChiNext, has strong representation in new economic sectors, covering strategic emerging industries like new energy, pharmaceuticals, electronics, and communications [2]

Group 1 - The core initiative is the "Sixteen Measures" aimed at attracting young talent for innovation and entrepreneurship in Hainan Old Town Science and Technology New City, effective until December 31, 2027 [1] - The measures target graduates aged between 18 and 45 with at least a full-time college diploma [1] - The initiative includes five main areas: establishing a support system for young talent, creating a favorable ecosystem for innovation and entrepreneurship, enhancing employment skills, increasing support for young entrepreneurs, and fostering a vibrant entrepreneurial atmosphere [1] Group 2 - The measures provide financial support through various means, including a one-time reward of up to 10,000 yuan for young entrepreneurs who establish startups that operate for at least six months [2] - Young entrepreneurs can receive rent-free office space support, with a maximum of 200 square meters for a single enterprise, for up to three years [1][2] - The initiative includes a mechanism for publishing job opportunities related to major strategic projects, guiding young talent towards new economic sectors [2] Group 3 - The measures will enhance support through an entrepreneurship fund, offering up to 500,000 yuan for qualifying startup projects, with potential for additional investment for high-growth companies [3] - Financial institutions are encouraged to simplify loan approval processes for young entrepreneurs, expanding access to credit [3] - The rewards will be distributed in the form of consumption vouchers for use within the park, and property purchase subsidies can be combined with other government incentives [3]