Core Viewpoint - The investment outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of a shift from valuation-driven to a dual driver of "profit + valuation" for market growth [1][2] Group 1: Overall Market Performance - The overall corporate performance is expected to improve in 2026, supported by a transition to an innovation-driven economic growth model, with infrastructure and high-tech industries driving growth [1][2] - The A-share market is anticipated to gradually shift towards a "slow and steady" performance supported by corporate earnings, with structural highlights likely to increase [1][2] - The current ratio of A-share free float market value to household deposits is relatively low, indicating potential for more new funds entering the stock market [1] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The AI technology sector is expected to continue its growth, with long-term opportunities outweighing short-term risks, focusing on the AI industry chain's weak links [2] - The consumer sector is poised for a turning point, driven by rising resident income expectations and a recovery in consumer goods prices, with investment strategies focusing on leading companies with improved cash flow and competitive positioning [3] Group 3: Fixed Income and Bond Market - The macroeconomic environment in 2026 is expected to be stable, with fixed asset investment from state-owned sectors contributing to growth, and a focus on long-term bond investment opportunities following recent declines [4] - The bond market is anticipated to experience a balance between supply and demand, providing support for overall valuation in the convertible bond market [4]

Group 1 - Multiple fund managers express optimism for the equity market in 2026, highlighting investment opportunities in AI technology, consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The market is expected to transition from a valuation-driven to a dual-driven model of profit and valuation, with a healthy valuation structure currently in place [1] - The Chinese economy is shifting from a real estate-driven growth model to an innovation-driven one, with infrastructure and high-tech industries taking over [2] Group 2 - The supply-side pressure in the manufacturing sector is expected to ease by 2026, leading to improved profitability for companies [3] - The AI technology sector is still in a "big infrastructure era," with long-term opportunities outweighing short-term risks [4] - The consumption sector is anticipated to experience a turning point, driven by rising resident income expectations and supportive monetary policies [4] Group 3 - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is expected to have significant growth potential in 2026, with many products entering critical clinical phases that could enhance market confidence [5] - Investment strategies will focus on optimizing competition in traditional consumption and selecting high-quality new consumption stocks with strong fundamentals [4][5]

"对明年的权益市场依旧乐观！"多位基金经理在近期的策略会上公开发声。 近期，国泰基金、招商基金、汇丰晋信基金、长城基金等多家公募机构召开了2026年年度策略会，多位 基金经理围绕AI科技、消费、创新药等多个热门板块的投资机遇展开深度探讨。 展望2026年，有业内人士表示，市场仍值得乐观期待，上涨动力或将从单一的估值驱动逐渐转向盈利 +估值双重驱动。此外，当前市场估值结构较为健康，暂未出现整体过热的情况。 基本面正经历周期底部的结构性转型 2025年，AI科技展现出"耀眼"行情。展望2026年，招商基金信息科学与技术产业链小组副组长杨成表 示，全球AI科技产业仍处于"大基建时代"，应用大繁荣的外部环境尚未成熟，长期机遇大于短期风险。 从宏观层面来看，招商基金研究部首席经济学家李湛认为，中国经济增长模式逐渐从地产拉动转向创新 驱动，基建和高技术产业接棒房地产拉动经济增长。权益方面，市场目前开启了一轮估值修复与资产轮 动驱动的行情。A股有望从估值抬升带来的"急而促"行情逐渐过渡到盈利支撑的"缓而慢"的行情。 国泰基金宏观策略分析师杨轶婷表示，基本面正在经历周期底部的结构性转型。一方面产能出清，地产 链和消费仍有一定 ...

大盘五连阳后是不是要面临调整？手里有票的话该如何安排操作？倘若没票的朋友又该在什么情况下进 场？相关问题咱们来一一作答，还是先看一下今天股指期货多空的持仓数据，虽然沪深300这边多空争 夺依然激烈，但是另外两个以及中信期货都在降低空头仓位，说明已经有部分空头开始认输了，这种情 况下即便明天指数调整，也会促使更多空头平仓，调整幅度不会太大，因此大盘五连阳后确实有回撤需 求，但是鉴于部分空头已经认输离场，调整大概率也是倒车接人的机会，手中有票的朋友可以考虑做做 高抛低吸，没票的在调整至20日线附近可以考虑入场。 除了大盘之外今天很多人也开始关心板块了，毕竟商业航天因为长征十二号甲火箭回收失败的影响出现 大分歧，顺灏和航机甚至直接跌停，不过很多人认为，上次回收失败之后也没耽误商业航天继续上涨， 这次回收失败之后会不会也是如此呢？我觉得概率不高，上次是因为商业航天整体位置偏低，而且后面 还有长征12甲托底，现在商业航天的核心股全在高位，风险自然不可同日而语，所以这里商业航天的调 整时间可能会长一些，但是依然不能说板块行情已经终结，至少要看一次商业航天回流的力度再说。 还有要说的就是今天表现不错的芯片和液冷了，这两个也 ...

风格上今天还是趋势大票走强的日子，而且早盘微盘股和趋势大票之间差距很大，要不是尾盘被券商带 回来，今天又是3000多家下跌，主要原因就是昨晚四家高标全被延长监管，平潭终于没能挺住尾盘跌 停，那么情绪今天就明显承压了，明天要观察平潭和龙洲的表现，毕竟龙洲的大单两连跌停也很打击市 场人气，明天他俩能否企稳将决定中高位是否补跌的问题。 中金公司明日复牌，今天大盘的上涨就与此有关，很多人都会认为，上次国泰复盘后连拉三个涨停，这 次中金复牌会不会复刻这个强势特征？我觉得明天确实存在涨停的可能，但是能否出现三个就很难说 了，毕竟去年10月10日正值行情低位启动，市场情绪高涨，现在券商处于阶段性震荡回落途中，这个利 好顶多能带动券商走波反抽，想要直接改变行业弱势格局的难度相当大。 当然今天大盘上涨除了券商引导之外，消息面有日本前央行副行长表示避免过早加息的，还有说汇金大 规模买指数ETF的，不过一个前任还是个副职说话确实不太可信，汇金的消息更是小作文的概率较大， 这样看来行情要想持续走强要么等日本加息落地，要么指数重新站上3930点中枢位置，在此之前还不能 说底部已经确认。 个人观点仅供参考，文章中任何内容均不对您构成任何 ...

此次获奖，不仅是对HERE奇梦岛过去一年成长成果的肯定，更彰显了其在新消费浪潮中持续创新的决 心与潜力。未来，HERE奇梦岛将继续深化IP生态布局，拓展更多元的消费场景，为用户创造更具价值 的体验，为行业探索可持续发展的新路径。 "鲸潮奖"评选由蓝鲸新闻发起，旨在汇聚消费领域头部企业、领军投资人与行业专家，通过权威评选发 现行业"韧性生长"的力量，为新消费产业升级提供参考与方向。 12月21日，由蓝鲸新闻主办的"2025鲸潮奖"评选结果正式揭晓，HERE奇梦岛凭借在消费领域的创新实 践与快速增长，斩获"年度成长价值企业"大奖。该奖项旨在表彰在新消费赛道中具备突破性成长潜力、 以创新驱动价值升级的标杆企业，HERE奇梦岛的入选，标志着其成长动能与商业模式获得行业权威高 度认可。 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 HERE奇梦岛作为新消费领域崛起的创新力量，始终以"IP+场景+产品"为核心战略，深耕年轻消费市 场，通过原创IP孵化、沉浸式体验与创新性营销，持续拓展新消费场景边界。从爆款IP"WAKUKU哇库 库立刻开挂吧"系列的全网热销，到快闪店、联名合作等多元业态的快速布局，HERE ...

在经历了连续两年的上涨后，中国股市正站在一个新的起点。 据追风交易台消息，高盛投资组合策略研究团队刘劲津（Kinger Lau）等分析师在其12月22日最新发布 的研报中，系统复盘了2025年中国股市的十大核心趋势，指出市场可能正在酝酿一轮由盈利增长接棒估 值修复驱动的"慢牛"行情，而人工智能（AI）、"反内卷"政策以及资本回流正成为定义未来市场走向的 关键变量。 这份题为《从2025年学到的10个股票洞见》的报告显示，中国A股和H股在2025年分别录得16%和29% 的年度回报，显著超越了该行年初的预测。报告强调，这一轮上涨主要由估值驱动，而非盈利增长，这 标志着市场周期可能正从"希望"阶段向"增长"阶段过渡。 今年的涨势主要由估值修复引领。报告数据显示，"MSCI中国指数的12个月远期市盈率从2025年初的 9.9倍上升至目前的12.5倍，而远期每股收益（fEPS）全年则下降了4%"。 风格方面，成长和GARP（合理价格成长）策略表现最佳，而价值和高股息策略则相对落后。 高盛预计，"牛市行情将继续，但步伐会放缓"，并预测到2027年底中国股市将上涨38%，主要由2026年 和2027年14%和12%的盈利 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.29%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.14%. The materials sector showed strength, with Zijin Mining up 1.19% and Tianqi Lithium up 2.02%. However, Kuaishou fell by 3.3% due to a cyber attack on its platform [1] - Huatai Securities noted that the combination of early-year reallocation and RMB appreciation may support an improvement in the funding environment in the next phase. Defensive dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market are expected to gain renewed attention as a core option [1] - By 2026, three catalysts related to "expectation differences" are anticipated for the Hong Kong stock market: the formation of consensus on RMB appreciation, a stable Sino-U.S. relationship in the first half of 2026, and breakthroughs in key sectors like AI and semiconductors that could drive independent performance in the tech sector [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicated that after a unilateral rise in September, the Hong Kong stock market has experienced fluctuations due to changing overseas macro expectations since October. Quality assets are now entering a high cost-performance range, supported by continuous capital inflow and improved profit expectations [1] - Huatai Securities believes the market is still in a left-side layout phase, with the right-side turning point not yet clear. There is strong consensus on an early spring rally, but year-end supply and demand pressures create uncertainty for a "Santa rally" [2] - China Galaxy suggested focusing on the technology sector as a long-term investment theme, which is expected to rebound after previous adjustments. The consumer sector is also anticipated to receive significant policy support, with current valuations at relatively low levels, indicating substantial long-term upside potential [2]

Macroeconomic Dynamics - The market anticipates a 58 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2026 following the release of U.S. employment data, with a 31% probability of a rate cut in January [1] - Key future focus areas include the nomination of a new Federal Reserve chair, prospects for U.S. fiscal stimulus, and actual measures to expand domestic demand [1] Satellite Internet - Sellers indicate that key launch projects are ready and awaiting coordination for new timelines [1] - The IPO of Electronic Science and Technology Blue Sky has been approved, positioning it as a core supplier for aerospace power [1] - Recent catalysts include the Hainan Wenchang Conference and multiple commercial rocket maiden flights [1] - Related ETF: Satellite Industry ETF (on-market: 159218) [1] Consumer Sector - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the need to enhance consumer willingness and implement special actions to boost consumption [1] - The Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission has identified expanding domestic demand as the top priority for next year [1] - Three departments have issued documents encouraging the use of digital RMB smart contract red envelopes to promote consumption [1] - Related ETFs: Consumer ETF (on-market: 510150, off-market link: 217017), Food and Beverage ETF (on-market: 159843) [1] Robotics - Sellers report that prototype demonstrations will occur after Christmas, with new suppliers and sales strategies to be introduced in March, while dexterous hands are undergoing rapid iteration [1] - Related ETFs: Robotics Index ETF (on-market: 560770, off-market link: 020482) [1] Artificial Intelligence - NVIDIA has released the Nemotron 3 family of open-source models [1] - Ant Group's AI health application "Antifortune" has reached third place on the Apple app rankings [1] - The Volcano Engine Conference on the 18th will focus on the Doubao large model, edge AI, and Agent ecosystem [1] - Reports suggest that Google's Asian supply chain visits are intensifying, with an expected procurement of 4 million TPUs next year [1] - Related ETFs: Cloud Computing ETF (on-market: 159890, off-market link: 021716), Software Leaders ETF (on-market: 159899, off-market link: 018385) [1] Autonomous Driving - Hongmeng Zhixing and Xpeng have been approved to begin internal testing of L3 autonomous driving [1] - Horizon Robotics has set a target of 5.5 million chip shipments for 2026, a 30% increase from previous expectations [1] - Related ETFs: Consumer Electronics 50 ETF (on-market: 159779, off-market link: 016007) [1] Market Observation - On December 16, trading volume was 1.7242 trillion, a decrease of 49.3 billion [2] - The index retraced to 3816 points, with strong performance in sectors such as retail, beauty care, and social services [2] - The satellite sector experienced fluctuations but rebounded, while intelligent driving and AI liquid cooling showed performance in the adjustment phase [2] - The market is expected to follow a "first suppress then rise" pattern, with strong resilience in the consumer sector and opportunities for layout in technology and satellite themes during adjustments [2]

杨德龙 | 立方大家谈专栏作者 2025年行情逐步接近尾声，整体来看，我国资本市场在2025年走出了一轮较为典型的慢牛、长牛走势， 主要指数一度突破4000点关口。然而，由于市场内部结构性分化较为明显，银行股与科技股表现相对突 出，集中配置上述方向的投资者获得了较好回报，而其他板块和部分投资者的获得感相对不足。这也导 致一个较为特殊的现象，即在指数已运行至4000点附近的背景下，仍有相当一部分市场参与者并不认为 这是一轮牛市。 进入年底阶段，部分资金选择兑现收益，市场出现一定幅度的调整。但从当前情况来看，这一调整已接 近尾声，部分着眼于2026年布局的资金开始逐步入场，市场整体呈现反复震荡、逐步企稳的特征。综合 判断，当前阶段正是为2026年行情、尤其是一季度春季行情进行布局的相对合适窗口。 展望2026年，宏观层面上，我国经济有望出现一定程度的复苏，稳增长相关政策预计将进一步加码。中 央经济工作会议对2026年的经济工作作出了明确部署，提出将采取更加积极有为的宏观政策以稳定经济 增速，并通过有效措施推动房地产市场止跌回稳。这有助于改善投资者预期，稳定消费增速。在提振内 需作为重要政策方向的背景下，通过内需修 ...