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建信期货纸浆日报-20250528
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-28 01:46
Report Summary 1. Report Date - The report is dated May 28, 2025 [2] 2. Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report 3. Core View - New round of imported pulp offers are mainly decreasing, port de - stocking is still slow. Downstream paper mills have issued price - increase notices, boosting market confidence, but their raw material procurement is cautious. Pulp is likely to maintain low - level range - bound adjustment in the future [8] 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The pre - settlement price of the pulp futures 09 contract was 5306 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5184 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.30%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong market was 5400 - 6750 yuan/ton, with the low - end price stable compared to the previous trading day. The Shandong Yinxing offer was 6300 yuan/ton [7] - **Supply and Demand Analysis**: Chile's Arauco announced May offers, with Yinxing at 740 dollars/ton and Jinxing at 620 dollars/ton, lower than the previous offers. In March, the shipment volume of softwood pulp from 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 11.7% year - on - year, and the cumulative increase from January to March was 4.1% year - on - year. In April, China's pulp imports were 2.89 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 10.2%. As of May 22, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 2.2164 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.98%. The downstream market has a clear demand for improved profitability, but terminal orders are limited, and raw material procurement is cautious [8] 4.2 Industry News - On May 23, Shandong Jiefeng Machinery Manufacturing Co., Ltd. announced the launch of the "Intelligent Pulping and Papermaking Production Line Test Workshop" and "Intelligent Manufacturing Digital Production Workshop" construction projects. The projects are planned to start in August 2025 and be put into production in March 2026. Aiming to enhance efficiency, reduce energy consumption, and consolidate the company's leading position in the domestic pulping and papermaking machinery field, the new workshops focus on full - process intelligence, improving product design and processing accuracy, and promoting green production [9]
软商品日报-20250527
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 13:13
| | | | SDIC FUTURES | | 2025年05月27日 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | | | 棉花 | ななな | 曹凯 首席分析师 | | 纸浆 | ★☆★ | F03095462 Z0017365 | | 白糖 | な女女 | 胡华轩 高级分析师 | | 苹果 | な女女 | F0285606 Z0003096 | | 木材 | な女女 | | | 20号胶 | な女女 | 黄维 高级分析师 | | 天然橡胶 | ななな | F03096483 Z0017474 | | 丁二烯橡胶 ☆☆☆ | | | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | (棉花&棉纱) 今天郑棉有所回落,国产棉现货交投一般、主流基差坚挺;纯棉纱市场成交走谈,纺企库存出现累积但仍不高。国内棉花进口 延续偏低的情况, 2025年4月进口6万吨,同比降28万吨,环比降1.4万吨;2025年1-4月累计进口40万吨,同比降71%;2024/25 年度9-4月累计进口86.6万吨,同比降65%。目前看对于下游的订单好 ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20250527
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 02:03
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Pulp futures contract 09 closed at 5300 yuan/ton, down 0.53% from the previous settlement price. The new round of imported pulp offers are mainly lower, the port destocking speed is still slow, downstream paper mills have issued price increase notices to boost market confidence, but the raw material procurement mentality of paper mills is cautious, and the pulp may maintain a low - level range - bound adjustment in the future [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 09 had a previous settlement price of 5328 yuan/ton and a closing price of 5300 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.53%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in Shandong wood pulp market was 5400 - 6750 yuan/ton, with the low - end price stable compared to the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Silver Star was 6300 yuan/ton. Arauco in Chile announced May offers: Silver Star at 740 US dollars/ton and Venus at 620 US dollars/ton, still lower than the previous offers. The shipment volume of softwood pulp from 20 major pulp - producing countries in the world in March increased by 11.7% year - on - year, and the cumulative increase from January to March was 4.1%. China's pulp imports in April were 2.89 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 10.2%. As of May 22, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 2.2164 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.98%. The downstream market has a clear demand for improved profitability, but the follow - up of terminal orders is limited, and the raw material procurement mentality is cautious [7]. 3.2. Industry News - On May 22, Shandong JinCailun Paper's PM18 was successfully started up. The new equipment will optimize the product structure and improve product quality. Hunan Zhengding Environmental Technology Co., Ltd. provided a complete set of air hood ventilation system and workshop ceiling air supply system for this project, which is technologically advanced and incorporates energy - saving and emission - reduction concepts [8]. 3.3. Data Overview - No specific data summary content provided other than indicating data sources such as Wind and Jianxin Futures Research and Development Department [10][12][13]
纸浆数据日报-20250526
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-05-26 07:01
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Current macro - level positive factors have not been reflected in the demand for finished paper, so it is recommended to wait and see [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On May 23, 2025, SP2601 was 5316 with a daily increase of 0.08% and a weekly increase of 0.64%; SP2507 was 5464 with a daily increase of 0.70% and a weekly increase of 2.02%; SP2509 was 5338 with a daily increase of 0.41% and a weekly increase of 1.10% [1] - **Spot Prices**: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 6250 with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 0.79%; Knitted pulp was 5450 with no daily or weekly change; Broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was 4200 with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 1.18% [1] - **Foreign Quotes and Import Costs**: Chilean Silver Star's foreign quote was 740 dollars/ton (down 3.90% month - on - month), and its import cost was 6046 (down 3.87% month - on - month); Chilean Star's foreign quote was 560 dollars/ton (down 11.11% month - on - month), and its import cost was 4587 (down 11.00% month - on - month); Chilean Venus's foreign quote was 620 dollars/ton (down 4.62% month - on - month), and its import cost was 5073 (down 4.57% month - on - month) [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Import Volume**: In April 2025, coniferous pulp import volume was 75.8 tons (down 5.01% month - on - month), and broad - leaf pulp import volume was 119.9 tons (down 18.44% month - on - month) [1] - **Domestic Production**: On May 22, 2025, broad - leaf pulp domestic production was 20 tons, and chemimechanical pulp domestic production was 20.1 tons [1] - **Inventory**: As of May 22, 2025, pulp port inventory was 215.7 tons (down 4.1 tons from the previous period, a 1.9% decrease), and delivery warehouse inventory was 26.10 tons [1] - **Finished Paper Production**: On May 22, 2025, double - offset paper production was 20.03 tons, coated paper production was 7.60 tons, tissue paper production was 27.60 tons, and white cardboard production was 28.30 tons [1] Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On May 23, 2025, Russian needle basis was - 14 with a quantile level of 0.673, and Silver Star basis was 786 with a quantile level of 0.961 [1] - **Import Profit**: On May 23, 2025, coniferous pulp Silver Star's import profit was 204 with a quantile level of 0.84, and broad - leaf pulp Goldfish's import profit was - 387 with a quantile level of 0.236 [1] Summary - **Supply**: Chilean Arauco announced May 2025 wood pulp foreign quotes. Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 740 dollars/ton (down 30 dollars/ton), broad - leaf pulp Star had no supply in May and June and was expected to partially resume in July, and natural pulp Venus was 620 dollars/ton (down 30 dollars/ton) [1] - **Demand**: Cultural paper and white cardboard manufacturers issued price increase letters, and finished paper production remained stable [1] - **Inventory**: As of May 22, 2025, China's main pulp port sample inventory showed a de - stocking trend [1]
土耳其母婴市场发展下,纸包装及纸浆需求的趋势前瞻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 13:55
Core Insights - The Turkish maternal and infant market has seen significant growth in demand for paper packaging, driven by economic conditions, demographic changes, and market upgrades [1][3] - The demand for paper packaging is not only increasing in quantity but also in quality and innovation, influenced by consumer awareness of safety and environmental concerns [1][3] - Turkey's position as a member of the EU Customs Union allows its paper packaging products to enter the EU market tariff-free, enhancing its attractiveness for international brands [5] Demand Trends - The Turkish maternal and infant market's demand for paper packaging is influenced by a stable birth rate and heightened consumer focus on product safety, environmental sustainability, and functionality [1] - The Turkish government has implemented green packaging regulations, promoting the use of biodegradable or highly recyclable materials in maternal and infant product packaging [1][3] - There is a growing trend towards smart and personalized packaging solutions, incorporating features like anti-counterfeiting labels and interactive designs to cater to the high-end market [1][3] Supply Chain Dynamics - Turkey has developed a comprehensive paper packaging industry chain, including pulp supply, paper production, and packaging design and manufacturing [3] - Despite limited domestic pulp production, Turkey benefits from its geographical location, allowing stable imports of high-quality pulp from Europe, Russia, and Central Asia [3] - Leading Turkish paper packaging companies are enhancing production efficiency and product quality through technological upgrades, enabling them to compete with international brands [3] International Trade Impact - The EU Customs Union membership provides Turkish paper packaging products with zero-tariff access to the EU market, attracting international maternal and infant brands to establish production bases in Turkey [5] - Turkish maternal and infant brands are leveraging this geographical advantage to expand into overseas markets, contributing to a continuous increase in paper packaging exports [5] Future Outlook - The demand for paper packaging in Turkey's maternal and infant market is expected to continue growing, with a focus on the wider application of green packaging materials and increased R&D in biodegradable materials [7] - Smart packaging technologies are anticipated to penetrate the market further, enhancing product value and consumer interaction through IoT and big data [7] - Turkey is poised to become a key hub connecting the European and Asian maternal and infant packaging supply chains, enhancing regional market synergy [7] Industry Events - The third Paper Eurasia exhibition will take place in Istanbul from May 6-8, 2026, serving as a significant platform for industry leaders to showcase eco-friendly packaging solutions and smart production technologies [10]
产业链缺乏利好驱动,浆价反弹空间受限
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 02:30
Report Industry Investment Rating - All three industries (cotton, sugar, and pulp) are rated as neutral [4][7][8] Core Viewpoints - For cotton, short - term cotton prices are supported by positive market sentiment due to Sino - US negotiations, but the rebound space is limited by the off - season, high retained tariffs, and expected high yields in the new year [3][4] - For sugar, Zhengzhou sugar generally follows the trend of raw sugar. The domestic sugar price is supported in the short term but faces upward pressure limitations from potential imports. Long - term sugar prices may decline if Brazil's high - yield expectations are met [7] - For pulp, although macro - sentiment improvement boosts pulp prices, the approaching off - season and weak terminal demand lead to a lack of industry drivers, and short - term pulp prices are expected to remain in a low - level oscillation [8] Summary by Related Catalogs Cotton Market News and Key Data - Futures: The closing price of cotton 2509 contract was 13,440 yuan/ton yesterday, up 45 yuan/ton (+0.34%) from the previous day. Spot: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B cotton was 14,487 yuan/ton, up 22 yuan/ton, and the national average price was 14,567 yuan/ton, up 17 yuan/ton. As of May 15, the national commercial cotton inventory was 3.834 million tons, a decrease of 318,600 tons (-7.67%) from the end of April [2] Market Analysis - The Zhengzhou cotton futures price showed a strong oscillation yesterday. Macro: Sino - US negotiations made substantial progress, improving market sentiment, but the actual tariff on textile and clothing exports to the US remains high. International: USDA adjusted the 25/26 global cotton balance sheet, but there are many uncertainties. Domestic: The new - year cotton planting area is stable with a slight increase, current inventories are decreasing, but it's the off - season and the impact of retained tariffs has not been fully reflected [3] Strategy - A neutral strategy is recommended. Short - term price support comes from market sentiment, but the rebound space is limited [4] Sugar Market News and Key Data - Futures: The closing price of sugar 2509 contract was 5863 yuan/ton yesterday, up 14 yuan/ton (+0.24%) from the previous day. Spot: The sugar price in Nanning, Guangxi was 6150 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton, and in Kunming, Yunnan was 5900 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton. As of May 19, Russia's beet planting area reached 1.1609 million hectares, with different progress and weather impacts in different regions [5] Market Analysis - The Zhengzhou sugar futures price showed a strong performance yesterday. Raw sugar was first boosted by lower - than - expected production in Brazil's central - southern region but then pressured by expectations of global supply surplus. Zhengzhou sugar is supported by domestic sales data in the short term but faces import pressure in the long term [6][7] Strategy - A neutral strategy is recommended, with a focus on Brazil's production and domestic import rhythm [7] Pulp Market News and Key Data - Futures: The closing price of pulp 2507 contract was 5420 yuan/ton yesterday, up 10 yuan/ton (+0.18%) from the previous day. Spot: The price of Chilean silver star coniferous pulp in Shandong was 6300 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the price of Russian needles was 5440 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton. The import pulp market had different price trends [7][8] Market Analysis - The pulp futures price closed higher with oscillation yesterday. Macro: The "reciprocal tariff" policy and Sino - US negotiations affected market sentiment. Supply: The foreign quotation decreased, and the inventory was at a high level. Demand: European and domestic demand was weak, and the off - season is approaching [8] Strategy - A neutral strategy is recommended. Although macro - sentiment improves prices, the short - term price is expected to remain in a low - level oscillation due to weak demand [8]
建信期货纸浆日报-20250522
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 01:22
行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 22 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015157 021-60635727 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料油) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业硅) 研究 ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20250521
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 02:00
Report Information - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: May 21, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - The fundamental pattern of pulp remains weak, and it may continue to fluctuate and adjust in a low - level range in the future [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 09 had a previous settlement price of 5,320 yuan/ton and a closing price of 5,322 yuan/ton, rising 0.04% overall. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5,400 - 6,750 yuan/ton, with the low - end price remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The Shandong Yinxing was quoted at 6,300 yuan/ton [7] - In May, there were many rumors about the import wood pulp FOB prices, but the official offers were not clear, and the market was still in the negotiation stage with strong wait - and - see sentiment [7] - According to PPPC data, the shipment volume of softwood pulp from 20 major pulp - producing countries in the world increased by 11.7% year - on - year in March, and the cumulative increase from January to March was 4.1% year - on - year. In April, China's pulp import volume was 2.89 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 10.2% [7] - As of May 15, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports increased by 11.45% month - on - month. Only the inventory in Baoding decreased compared to the previous week, while the inventory in other major ports increased, and the overall shipment speed did not improve significantly [7] - The downstream is currently in the off - season of consumption, and the enthusiasm for raw material procurement is insufficient [7] 2. Industry News - On May 8, the launch meeting of the digital factory project of Guangdong Oubi Personal Care Products Co., Ltd. was held. The project will focus on building an MOM digital operation platform, constructing a digital lean management system covering the entire chain, and creating a new benchmark for intelligent manufacturing in the personal care products industry. The application of the MOM system will reconstruct Oubi's production model, enabling intelligent decision - making on equipment collaboration, process optimization, and resource scheduling through real - time data collection and analysis, and significantly improving production flexibility and response speed [8] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are provided, including cross - period spreads, spot prices of imported bleached softwood pulp, pulp futures prices, basis, inventory data of domestic and European ports, and prices and spreads of various paper products, with data sources mainly from Wind and Zhuochuang Information [13][21][27]
建信期货纸浆日报-20250520
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 01:58
Report Overview - Report Title: Pulp Daily Report - Date: May 20, 2025 - Industry: Pulp 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report. 2. Core View - The fundamental pattern of the pulp market remains weak. Although the world's top 20 pulp - producing countries saw a 11.7% year - on - year increase in coniferous pulp shipments in March and a 4.1% cumulative year - on - year increase from January to March, as of May 15, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports increased by 11.45% month - on - month. The downstream is in the off - season, with insufficient raw material purchasing enthusiasm. After the rapid price decline, the sentiment of reluctance to sell at low prices has intensified, and the price is expected to fluctuate and adjust in the low - level range in the future [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 09 contract was 5294 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5310 yuan/ton, a total increase of 0.30%. The intended transaction price range of coniferous pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5320 - 6800 yuan/ton, with the low - end price rising by 70 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The Shandong Yinxing was quoted at 6300 yuan/ton. The 09, 01, and 05 contracts of pulp futures showed different price changes and trading volumes [7]. - **Operation Suggestion**: The report did not explicitly provide operation suggestions but analyzed that the pulp price may maintain a low - level range - bound adjustment [8]. 3.2 Industry News - On May 8, the start - up meeting of the digital factory project of Guangdong Oubi Personal Care Products Co., Ltd. was held. The project focuses on building an MOM digital operation platform, aiming to create a new benchmark for intelligent manufacturing in the personal care products industry. The application of the MOM system will reconstruct Oubi's production model, improve production flexibility and response speed, and enhance production efficiency and product quality [9]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, needle - broadleaf price differences, inter - period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate. However, specific data values in these charts are not described in detail in the text [15][17][19][26][28][31].
纸浆数据日报-20250519
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 08:37
| | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | ITC 国贸期货 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | SUL | | | | | | | | 农产品研究中心 | 国贸期货研究院 | 杨璐琳 | 投资咨询号:Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 | | | 2025/5/19 | | | | | | | | 纸浆价格数据 | | | | | | | | 2025年5月16日 | HMM | 周环比 | | | 2025年5月16日 | HMA | 周环比 | | | SP2601 | 5282 | -0. 64% | 2. 40% | | 针叶浆银星 | 6300 | 0. 00% | 1.61% | | 期货价格 | SP2507 | 5356 | -0. 56% | 3.72% | 现货价 | 针织我针 | 5450 | 0. 00% | 4. 81% | | | SP2509 | 5280 | -0. 71% | 3.57% | | 阔叶浆金鱼 ...