Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration has made unprecedented equity investments in at least 10 companies, primarily in critical minerals, with a strategy to support domestic supply chains and potentially expand investments in sectors like chip manufacturing and nuclear reactors [1]. Group 1: U.S. Steel - The Trump administration acquired a "golden share" in U.S. Steel, granting veto power over key business decisions without direct economic equity [1][2]. - This golden share allows the government to block decisions such as closing or relocating plants and changing the company's name [2]. Group 2: MP Materials - MP Materials operates the only commercial rare earth mine in the U.S. and has a market capitalization exceeding $10 billion [3]. - The U.S. Department of Defense agreed to a landmark deal involving a $400 million preferred stock purchase, potentially making it the largest single shareholder with a 15% stake [3]. Group 3: Intel - The U.S. Department of Commerce purchased 433.3 million shares of Intel at $20.47 per share, acquiring a 10% stake funded by government grants [4]. - The shares acquired do not carry voting rights or governance rights [4]. Group 4: Lithium Americas - Lithium Americas is a startup planning to develop a lithium mine in Nevada and has received a debt repayment deferral from the Department of Energy in exchange for equity [5]. - The government aims to mitigate taxpayer risk by acquiring a small equity stake [5]. Group 5: Trilogy Metals - Trilogy Metals is another startup focused on mining in Alaska, with the government investing $35.6 million for a 10% equity stake and additional warrants for more shares [6]. Group 6: USA Rare Earth - USA Rare Earth is developing a magnet manufacturing facility and has received a $1.3 billion loan offer from the Department of Commerce in exchange for equity [7]. - The government could hold between 8% to 16% of the company depending on warrant exercise [7]. Group 7: Westinghouse - Westinghouse, a private nuclear reactor developer, received funding for an $80 billion nuclear power plant project, with the government acquiring participation rights [8]. - The government may become an 8% shareholder if the company's value exceeds $30 billion [8]. Group 8: Vulcan Elements - Vulcan Elements is establishing a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain and has secured $6.2 billion in loans and incentives from the government [9]. - The Department of Commerce will receive a $50 million equity investment and the Department of Defense will obtain warrants [9]. Group 9: XLight - XLight is developing free-electron lasers for semiconductor manufacturing and has been offered up to $150 million in federal incentives in exchange for equity [10]. Group 10: L3 Harris Technologies - L3 Harris Technologies, valued over $65 billion, announced a partnership with the government for a $1 billion investment in its missile systems [12]. - The investment will convert into common stock during an anticipated IPO in late 2026 [12].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Iron ore: Stockpiling is nearing completion, and demand expectations are weakening [2][4]. - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: Apparent demand is weakening month - on - month, and prices will fluctuate widely [2][8][9]. - Ferrosilicon and silicomanganese: There is a game between fundamentals and sentiment, and prices will fluctuate widely [2][13]. - Coke and coking coal: Prices will fluctuate at high levels [2][17]. - Thermal coal: Coal prices will remain stable before the Spring Festival [2][21]. - Logs: Port arrivals are low, and spot prices are rising steadily [2][23]. 3. Summary by Commodity Iron Ore - **Price and Position Data**: The closing price of I2605 was 760.5 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan/ton (-1.04%); the position decreased by 10,368 hands. Spot prices of imported and some domestic ores declined [4]. - **Macro and Industry News**: China's January RatingDog manufacturing PMI was 50.3; some real - estate companies no longer need to report "three red lines" indicators monthly [4]. - **Trend Intensity**: - 1, indicating a bearish view [5]. Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - **Price and Position Data**: The closing price of RB2605 was 3,077 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton (-0.65%); the closing price of HC2605 was 3,251 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan/ton (-0.43%) [9]. - **Macro and Industry News**: In the week of February 5th, rebar production decreased by 8.15 tons, hot - rolled coil production decreased by 0.05 tons; total inventory increased, and apparent demand decreased. In late January 2026, key steel enterprises' average daily output of crude steel decreased by 2.2% month - on - month, etc. [10][11]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0, indicating a neutral view [11]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - **Price and Position Data**: The closing price of ferrosilicon 2603 was 5634 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan/ton; the closing price of silicomanganese 2603 was 5816 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan/ton [14]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The two - department will increase the proportion of coal - fired power generation units' fixed - cost recovery through capacity prices; steel mills' ferrosilicon procurement prices and quantities changed; electricity prices in some regions changed; UMK's March manganese ore quotation increased [13][14][15]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0, indicating a neutral view [16]. Coke and Coking Coal - **Price and Position Data**: The closing price of JM2605 was 1138.5 yuan/ton, down 33.5 yuan/ton (-2.9%); the closing price of J2605 was 1698.5 yuan/ton, down 39.5 yuan/ton (-2.3%) [17]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On February 6th, the CCI metallurgical coal index remained unchanged; the coking coal online auction had a 2% failure rate, and the demand was weakening [17]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0, indicating a neutral view [20]. Thermal Coal - **Price and Position Data**: The price of Shanxi Datong 5500 was 567 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Qinhuangdao Port's Shanxi - produced Q5500 increased by 1 yuan/ton to 695 yuan/ton [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On February 6th, the port market continued to rise steadily; the Indonesian government's coal production plan was uncertain; the Indonesian coal association worried that production cuts would lead to mine closures [22]. Logs - **Price and Position Data**: The closing price of the 2603 contract was 784, down 2.2%; the closing price of the 2605 contract was 788, down 1.2%. Spot prices of most logs remained stable, and a few increased slightly [23]. - **Macro and Industry News**: China's January RatingDog manufacturing PMI was 50.3; some real - estate companies no longer need to report "three red lines" indicators monthly [25]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0, indicating a neutral view [26].

Core Viewpoint - The chairman of Fangda Group, Fang Wei, emphasizes the importance of both production operations and ideological work, advocating for a balanced approach to management and employee engagement [3][6]. Group 1: Company Performance and Employee Incentives - In 2025, all four steel plants under Fangda Group reported profits, with Jiujiang Steel performing the best [3][6]. - Fang Wei proposed a bonus of 20,000 yuan for each ordinary employee at Jiujiang Steel and 10,000 yuan for employees at Fangda Special Steel, Leping Steel, and Dazhou Steel [3][6]. - For 2026, it is suggested that all employees at Jiujiang Steel receive an additional three days of paid annual leave [3][6]. Group 2: Year-End Reward Standards - HNA, a subsidiary of Fangda, announced its year-end reward standards for 2025, where profitable companies will provide a bonus of 20,000 yuan, while loss-making companies will offer 5,000 yuan [5]. - Employees at profitable companies will also receive an additional three days of paid leave and a 10% increase in their basic salary [5]. Group 3: Ideological Work and Management - Fang Wei highlighted the need for effective communication and management, stressing that ideological work must support production operations [3][6]. - The company aims to enhance management through positive and negative examples, ensuring timely and accurate responses to employee suggestions [3][6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - Not provided in the given content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Profit - The report presents the spot prices of various steel products including Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu, Xi'an, Guangzhou, and Wuhan's rebar, as well as Tianjin, Shanghai, and Lecong's hot-rolled and cold-rolled coils from February 2, 2026, to February 6, 2026. For example, Beijing rebar price remained at 3120 from February 2 - 5, and Tianjin hot-rolled coil price decreased by 10 to 3140 on February 6 compared to February 2 [1] Production and Inventory - Not provided in the given content Basis and Spread - Not provided in the given content

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The price of finished products is expected to move downward with a weak trend and fluctuate and consolidate. The price of aluminum ingots is expected to fluctuate in the short - term, and attention should be paid to macro - sentiment [1][2][3] Summary by Related Catalogs Finished Products - Yunnan and Guizhou short - process construction steel enterprises will stop production for maintenance from mid - January, and resume production around the 11th to 16th day of the first lunar month, affecting 741,000 tons of construction steel output. In Anhui, 1 out of 6 short - process steel mills stopped production on January 5, and most others will stop around mid - January, with a daily output impact of about 16,200 tons [2] - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% decrease from the previous period and a 43.2% increase year - on - year [2] - Finished products continued to decline yesterday, reaching a new low. In the pattern of weak supply and demand, the market sentiment is pessimistic, and the price center continues to move down. This year's winter storage is sluggish, providing weak price support [2] Aluminum Ingots - Last week, Shanghai aluminum pulled back from its high. The US threat to impose tariffs on countries involved in Iranian trade will disrupt global trade flows and suppress risk appetite. The central bank carried out reverse repurchases to supplement liquidity, alleviating the panic in the domestic commodity market [2] - Domestically, Shanxi's bauxite production has resumed actively, with sufficient supply and falling prices. For imported ore, the intended transaction price has decreased, and the market is quiet. Some alumina plants are cautious in purchasing [2] - In January, China's electrolytic aluminum output increased by 2.7% year - on - year and 0.5% month - on - month. Last week, the comprehensive aluminum processing operating rate was 57.9%, a 1.5 - percentage - point decrease from the previous week, with significant differentiation among sectors [2] - The operating rate of leading aluminum plate and strip enterprises rose to 66.0%, but will decline after the completion of pre - holiday stocking. The operating rate of leading aluminum foil enterprises rose to 71.4% and will maintain a high level. The operating rate of aluminum cables dropped to 58% and will further decline. The operating rate of aluminum profiles dropped to 36.0%, but the demand for photovoltaic profiles is strong [2] - As of February 9, the social inventory of aluminum ingots reached 857,000 tons, a 40,000 - ton increase from last Monday. As the price drops, attention should be paid to downstream feedback, but it is expected that there will be no obvious improvement before the Spring Festival [2] Market as a Whole - Short - term market sentiment has eased, the linkage between precious metals and non - ferrous metals is still strong, and market trading sentiment is cautious. Prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and attention should be paid to macro - expectations, geopolitical crises, mine resumption, and consumption release [3]

Market Performance - The steel sector declined by 3.02% this week, underperforming the broader market, with sub-sectors such as special steel down 2.10%, long products down 1.88%, and flat products down 3.84% [2][5] - Iron ore and steel consumables sectors also saw declines of 1.74% and 3.02% respectively, while the trade circulation sector fell by 4.006% [2][5] Supply Situation - As of February 6, the capacity utilization rate of blast furnaces in sample steel enterprises was 85.7%, an increase of 0.22 percentage points week-on-week [2] - Electric furnace capacity utilization was at 48.1%, a decrease of 7.59 percentage points week-on-week [2] - The production of five major steel products was 7.208 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 15,500 tons [2] - Daily average pig iron production was 2.2858 million tons, an increase of 6,000 tons week-on-week and 1,400 tons year-on-year [5] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products was 7.607 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 410,800 tons, or 5.12% [2] - Mainstream traders' sales volume of construction steel was 35,000 tons, down 32,500 tons week-on-week, representing a 48.24% decline [2] Inventory Situation - As of February 6, social inventory of five major steel products was 9.404 million tons, an increase of 496,800 tons week-on-week, or 5.58%, but down 18.04% year-on-year [3][5] - Factory inventory of five major steel products was 3.973 million tons, an increase of 95,600 tons week-on-week, or 2.47%, and down 24.13% year-on-year [3][5] Steel Prices & Profits - As of February 6, the comprehensive index for ordinary steel was 3,414.2 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 13.31 yuan/ton, or 0.39%, and down 5.51% year-on-year [3] - The comprehensive index for special steel was 6,582.0 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 2.28 yuan/ton, or 0.03%, and down 2.88% year-on-year [3] - The profit for rebar from blast furnaces was 65 yuan/ton, an increase of 14.0 yuan/ton week-on-week, or 27.45% [3] - The profit for construction steel from electric furnaces was -76 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.0 yuan/ton week-on-week, or 5.00% [3] Raw Material Situation - As of February 6, the spot price index for Australian powder ore (62% Fe) at Rizhao Port was 764 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 29.0 yuan/ton, or 3.66% [4] - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1,700 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 80.0 yuan/ton [4] - The average available days of iron ore for sample steel enterprises was 31.29 days, an increase of 2.6 days week-on-week [4] Investment Recommendations - The steel sector is expected to have strong "anti-involution" characteristics and significant profit recovery potential, with high-quality steel companies likely to see performance improvements [6][7] - Key companies to focus on include regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as those benefiting from the new energy cycle [7]

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is weak, with expectations for steel prices to decline as demand remains subdued and winter storage is nearly complete [4][6][17] - In January 2026, excavator sales reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales up 61.4% and exports up 40.5% [4][15] - The average capacity utilization rate of independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 48.12%, a decrease of 7.59 percentage points week-on-week, but an increase of 44.85 percentage points year-on-year [5][16] Group 2 - The production of rebar decreased by 81,500 tons to 1,916,800 tons, with total inventory increasing by 440,400 tons to 5,195,700 tons [6][17] - Hot-rolled steel production slightly decreased by 500 tons to 3,091,600 tons, with total inventory increasing by 36,200 tons [7][18] - The total supply of five major steel products was 8,199,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 32,700 tons, while total inventory increased by 592,400 tons to 13,377,500 tons [5][16] Group 3 - The iron ore transaction volume at major ports was 792,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 19.7% [5][16] - The demand for construction materials decreased by 16.6% week-on-week, while plate consumption increased by 0.1% [5][16] - The market is expected to maintain a neutral price fluctuation pattern for ferroalloys, with supply remaining low and production profits improving slightly [9][20]

Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings The report does not explicitly provide an overall investment rating for the industry. However, it gives trend intensities for various commodities, which can be used as a reference for investment sentiment: - Strongly Bullish: Cotton [191] - Bullish: None - Neutral: Gold, Silver, Zinc, Lead, Tin, Aluminum, Alumina, Cast Aluminum Alloy, Platinum, Palladium, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Carbonate Lithium, Industrial Silicon, Polysilicon, Rebar, Hot - Rolled Coil, Ferrosilicon, Silicomanganese, Coke, Coking Coal, Steam Coal, Logs, Rubber, LLDPE, PP, Caustic Soda, Pulp, Glass, Methanol, Urea, Styrene, Soda Ash, LPG, Propylene, Fuel Oil, Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil, Container Freight Index (European Line), Short - Fiber, Bottle Chips, Offset Printing Paper, Pure Benzene, Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, Soybean Meal, Soybean, Corn, Sugar, Eggs, Peanuts [21][27][29] - Bearish: Copper, Iron Ore, PX, PTA, MEG, Synthetic Rubber, PVC, Live Pigs [24][61][87] 2. Core Views - Global financial markets have shown complex fluctuations from the night session last Friday to this morning. Domestic A - share markets continued to fluctuate, with the Shanghai Composite Index hovering around 4065. The technology - growth sector remained under pressure, while the consumer and defensive sectors were relatively resilient. Hong Kong stocks were also weak. Internationally, the three major US stock indices diverged, with the Dow hitting a new high and the Nasdaq retreating due to tech - stock volatility. In the commodity market, gold prices stabilized and rebounded after previous large fluctuations, and silver prices also rebounded. Market sentiment remained cautious, and asset fluctuations were mainly affected by overseas policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and the pace of domestic economic recovery [8]. - For copper, the short - term fundamentals are weak, but the long - term outlook is positive. The market is in a wait - and - see mode. It is recommended to buy on dips and use options to hedge risks [9][10]. - For caustic soda, the cost is rising, and the valuation is at a low level. It is suggested to close out short positions in the 03 contract before the Spring Festival and gradually build long positions in the 05 contract [12]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - Gold: It is in an oscillating rebound, with a trend intensity of 0 [19][21]. - Silver: It is experiencing a high - level decline, with a trend intensity of 0 [19][21]. Base Metals - Copper: The price is oscillating, and trading is cautious. The trend intensity is - 1 [22][24]. - Zinc: It is in a range - bound oscillation, with a trend intensity of 0 [25][27]. - Lead: Supply and demand are both weak, and the price is oscillating, with a trend intensity of 0 [28][29]. - Tin: It is consolidating in an oscillation, with a trend intensity of 0 [31][36]. - Aluminum: Attention should be paid to post - holiday destocking. The trend intensity of aluminum is 0, alumina is - 1, and cast aluminum alloy is 0 [38][40]. - Platinum: It is recovering in an oscillation, with a trend intensity of 0 [41][43]. - Palladium: It is rebounding following the precious - metal sector, with a trend intensity of 0 [41][43]. - Nickel: There is an impact from pre - holiday capital outflows, and the medium - term contradiction lies in Indonesia. The trend intensity is 0 [45][51]. - Stainless Steel: There are frequent maintenance and production cuts in February, and the cost support center has shifted upward. The trend intensity is 0 [45][51]. Energy and Chemicals - Carbonate Lithium: The supply - demand pattern is tight. Attention should be paid to the evolution of macro - sentiment. The trend intensity is 0 [52][55]. - Industrial Silicon: The industry inventory is accumulating. Attention should be paid to this week's commodity sentiment. The trend intensity is 0 [57][59]. - Polysilicon: The industry cost guidance price has been determined. The trend intensity is 0 [57][59]. - Iron Ore: The restocking is almost over, and the demand expectation is weakening. The trend intensity is - 1 [60][61]. - Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil: The apparent demand has weakened month - on - month, and they are in a wide - range oscillation. The trend intensity of both is 0 [64][67]. - Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese: There is a game between fundamentals and sentiment, and they are in a wide - range oscillation. The trend intensity of both is 0 [69][72]. - Coke and Coking Coal: They are in a high - level oscillation, with a trend intensity of 0 for both [73][76]. - Steam Coal: The coal price is expected to remain stable before the Spring Festival [77][78]. - Logs: The port arrivals are low, and the spot price is stable with a slight increase. The trend intensity is 0 [79][82]. - PX: It is in a pre - holiday range - bound market, with a weakening month - spread. The trend intensity is - 1 [84][87]. - PTA: The downside space may be limited, and the month - spread is bearish. The trend intensity is - 1 [84][87]. - MEG: The supply pressure is still high. The trend intensity is - 1 [84][87]. - Rubber: It is in a wide - range oscillation. The trend intensity is 0 [92][93]. - Synthetic Rubber: It is under oscillating pressure. The trend intensity is - 1 [96][98]. - LLDPE: The import window is narrowing, and it is in a pre - holiday oscillating market. The trend intensity is - 1 [99][101]. - PP: The valuation repair is limited, and the weekly export signing volume has declined. The trend intensity is 0 [102][104]. - Caustic Soda: The cost is rising, and the valuation is at a low level. The trend intensity is 0 [105][108]. - Pulp: It is oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [110][112]. - Glass: The original - sheet price is stable. The trend intensity is 0 [115][116]. - Methanol: It is oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [118][123]. - Urea: It is oscillating with support. The trend intensity is 0 [124][126]. - Styrene: It is in a high - level oscillation. The trend intensity is 0 [127][128]. - Soda Ash: The spot market has changed little. The trend intensity is 0 [129][132]. - LPG: There are still geopolitical disturbances, and the fundamental driving force is downward. The trend intensity is 0 [135][142]. - Propylene: Supply and demand remain tight, and the upward driving force is weakening. The trend intensity is 0 [136][142]. - PVC: It is weakly oscillating. The trend intensity is - 1 [146][147]. - Fuel Oil: It is in a narrow - range adjustment, and the short - term weakness has暂缓. The trend intensity is 0 [149]. - Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil: It is weakly oscillating, and the spot high - low sulfur spread in the overseas market continues to decline. The trend intensity is 0 [149]. - Container Freight Index (European Line): It is in an oscillating market. The trend intensity is 0 [151][159]. Agricultural Products - Short - Fiber and Bottle Chips: They are in a short - term oscillating market. The trend intensity of both is 0 [160][161]. - Offset Printing Paper: It is recommended to close out short positions. The trend intensity is 0 [163]. - Pure Benzene: It is strongly oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [168][170]. - Palm Oil: The macro - sentiment is fluctuating, and the fundamental driving force is limited. The trend intensity is 0 [172][176]. - Soybean Oil: It is in a range - bound adjustment. The trend intensity is 0 [172][176]. - Soybean Meal: The overnight US soybeans rose slightly, and Dalian soybean meal may oscillate. The trend intensity is 0 [177][179]. - Soybean: The spot is gradually entering the holiday mode, and the price is oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [177][179]. - Corn: The callback range is limited. The trend intensity is 0 [180][182]. - Sugar: It is in a narrow - range consolidation. The trend intensity is 0 [183][186]. - Cotton: It is expected to remain oscillating before the Spring Festival. The trend intensity is 1 [188][191]. - Eggs: They are in an oscillating adjustment. The trend intensity is 0 [194][196]. - Live Pigs: The peak - season weakness is confirmed, and the release of the "backlog" has begun. The trend intensity is - 2 [198][201]. - Peanuts: They are oscillating. The trend intensity is 0 [203][205].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The macro - economic data shows a mixed picture, with some indicators like GDP growth slowing down while others such as CPI turning positive. The commodity market has different trends, with gold rising and silver experiencing significant price fluctuations. The financial market has various developments including bond market changes and currency exchange rate movements. The stock market shows a shift in capital flow from mainstream wide - based ETFs to specific high - growth theme ETFs [1][2][36]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Macro Data - GDP growth in Q4 2025 was 4.5% year - on - year, down from 4.8% in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year. The manufacturing PMI in January 2026 was 49.3%, slightly up from 49.0% in the previous month. The non - manufacturing PMI: business activity was 49.4%, down from 50.1% in the previous month [1]. - In December 2025, social financing scale was 22075 billion yuan, lower than 35299 billion yuan in the previous month. M0, M1, and M2 growth rates showed different trends, with M0 growth slowing down, M1 growth dropping significantly, and M2 growth slightly increasing [1]. - CPI in December 2025 was 0.8% year - on - year, turning positive from - 0.3% in the previous month. PPI was - 1.9% year - on - year, slightly improving from - 2.3% in the previous month [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - The State Council executive meeting studied policies to promote effective investment, aiming to use various funds and tools to promote major projects in key areas [2]. - In January 2026, the futures market had a good start, with total funds increasing by over 400 billion yuan to 2.57 trillion yuan, and customer equity increasing by about 19% compared to the end of 2025. The number of futures customers also continued to grow [2]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange adjusted the margin ratio and price limit of some contracts [2]. 3.2.2 Metals - On February 9, spot gold rose 1% to return to the $5000 mark, and spot silver rose nearly 3%. From February 2 to 6, the on - site price of Guotou Silver LOF dropped 40.94% in a single week [4][5]. - China's foreign exchange reserves increased for the sixth consecutive month, and gold reserves increased for 15 consecutive months. In January 2026, global gold ETFs attracted a record $18.7 billion in capital inflows [5][6]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - In late January, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 1.935 million tons, down 2.22% month - on - month and 8.25% year - on - year [9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - Indian refiners are avoiding purchasing Russian oil for April delivery. The IEA predicts that by 2030, the combined share of renewable energy and nuclear power in the global power structure will rise to 50% [10]. - The EU proposed the 20th round of sanctions against Russia, covering energy, financial services, and trade. The US Energy Secretary will visit Venezuela to understand local oil and gas production [10][11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The national standard for pre - made food safety is open for public comment, with restrictions on preservatives and shelf - life. The agricultural department will strengthen the regulation of pig production capacity [13]. - APK reduced Ukraine's corn and rapeseed export forecasts. Brazilian soybean sales reached 33.9% of the expected output, lower than 42.4% in the same period last year [13]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On February 6, the central bank conducted 31.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and 300 billion yuan of 14 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 146 billion yuan. This week, there will be 405.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 500 billion yuan of 182 - day repurchase due [16]. 3.3.2 Important News - This week, important domestic and international events include the release of economic data, corporate earnings reports, and international negotiations. The State Council studied policies to promote effective investment, and the central government emphasized the front - loading of macro - policies [17]. - Eight departments jointly issued a document to ban virtual currency - related business activities. The CSRC issued a regulatory guide for the overseas issuance of asset - backed securities tokens [18]. - The Ministry of Commerce will build a policy system to cultivate new service consumption growth points. China's foreign exchange and gold reserves increased, and the Asian and global manufacturing PMIs showed different trends [19][21]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Review - In the inter - bank bond market, bond yields generally declined, and bond futures rose. In the exchange bond market, some bonds had significant price changes. The convertible bond index rose, and the currency market interest rates had different trends [26][27][28]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 7 points at the 16:30 close, and the RMB central parity rate against the US dollar was adjusted down 20 points. The US dollar index fell 0.36% [31]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Shenwan Fixed - income believes that the convertible bond market style is solidified, and the supply - demand contradiction is intensified. CITIC Securities expects the market to return to the main lines of domestic policy and economic repair and overseas Fed rate - cut expectations in February [32][33]. - CICC believes that the Fed is unlikely to "shrink the balance sheet" in the short term, and the final rate - cut amplitude may exceed market expectations. CICC Fixed - income believes that the default risk of short - duration urban investment bonds is still low [33][34]. 3.4 Stock Market News - In 2026, the A - share ETF market showed a trend of capital flowing from mainstream wide - based ETFs to theme ETFs. Southbound funds have continuously increased their investment in the Hong Kong stock market, and the Hong Kong IPO market has maintained its popularity [36]. 3.5 Today's Reminder - On February 9, 248 bonds are listed, 118 bonds are issued, 147 bonds are due for payment, and 309 bonds are due for principal and interest repayment [35].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The current black series is in a bottom - game stage with both long and short factors. In the short term, the black series will mainly operate within a range, and the trend opportunities are not clear yet. Attention should be paid to inventory changes around the Spring Festival, the recovery of plate demand, and possible marginal adjustments to "dual - carbon" policies [3]. - In the medium - to - long term, the commodity bulls are expected to continue, but in the short term, the sharp adjustment of precious metals after a sharp rise may drag down the sentiment of the non - ferrous and commodity bulls and suppress the overall market atmosphere [9][16]. - It is expected that the anti - involution policy will continue to support the price of polysilicon, and the full - cost below will be used as the price support reference. The polysilicon futures market is expected to operate in an oscillatory manner, and it is advisable to wait and see [23]. Summary of Each Section Steel - **Market Information**: The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3077 yuan/ton, down 24 yuan/ton (-0.77%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on the day were 16,015 tons. The main contract of hot - rolled coil closed at 3,251 yuan/ton, down 12 yuan/ton (-0.36%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on the day were 220,579 tons [2][7]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply and demand of rebar have both declined seasonally, and the inventory is accumulating, but the overall accumulation range is still controllable. The demand for hot - rolled coils is relatively stable, with a slight decline in production and a slight accumulation of inventory. In the short term, the black series will mainly operate in an oscillatory range [3]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The main contract of iron ore (I2605) closed at 760.50 yuan/ton, with a change of -1.04% (-8.00), and the position changed by -10,368 lots to 514,700 lots. The weighted position was 875,200 lots. The spot price of PB powder at Qingdao Port was 765 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 51.52 yuan/ton and a basis rate of 6.34% [5]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Overseas iron ore shipments are gradually entering the off - season, and the supply pressure is marginally reduced. The inventory structural problem has not been solved, and the support effect of steel mills' pre - festival replenishment on prices is weakening. It is expected that the iron ore price will operate weakly in an oscillatory manner [6]. Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon) - **Market Information**: On February 6, the main contract of manganese silicon (SM605) closed down 0.48% at 5,856 yuan/ton. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF605) closed down 0.46% at 5,624 yuan/ton [8]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply - demand pattern of manganese silicon is still not ideal, but most of the factors have been reflected in the price. The supply - demand structure of ferrosilicon remains basically balanced. The future market trend will be affected by the overall sentiment of the black sector, cost - push factors of manganese ore, and possible supply contractions due to losses or "dual - carbon" policies [10]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: On February 6, the main contract of coking coal (JM2605) closed down 2.86% at 1,138.5 yuan/ton. The main contract of coke (J2605) closed down 2.27% at 1,698.5 yuan/ton [12]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Overseas coal - related disturbances have a certain positive impact on market sentiment, but the short - term upward driving force for coking coal prices is not strong. It is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of a phased price correction after the Spring Festival. Coking coal may have a relatively smooth upward trend from June to October [15][16][17]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: The main contract of industrial silicon (SI2605) closed at 8,500 yuan/ton, with a change of -1.22% (-105). The main contract of polysilicon (PS2605) closed at 49,285 yuan/ton, with a change of -0.53% (-265) [19][22]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: In February, industrial silicon shows a pattern of weak supply and demand, and it is expected to operate weakly in an oscillatory manner. For polysilicon, the supply continues to decrease, the supply - demand relationship is marginally improved, and the high inventory is expected to be slightly reduced. The futures market is expected to operate in an oscillatory manner [21][23]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: The main contract of glass closed at 1,072 yuan/ton, down 1.47% (-16). The weekly inventory of float glass sample enterprises on February 5 was 53.064 million boxes, a month - on - month increase of 500,000 boxes (+0.95%). The main contract of soda ash closed at 1,190 yuan/ton, down 1.57% (-19). The weekly inventory of soda ash sample enterprises on February 5 was 1.5811 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 36,900 tons (+0.95%) [25][27]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The downstream demand for glass is weak, and the market is expected to continue to oscillate and consolidate. The demand for heavy soda ash is still weak, and the soda ash price is expected to continue to operate weakly [26][28].