本报记者 刘琪 日前，中国人民银行（以下简称"央行"）党委召开会议，传达学习党的二十届四中全会精神，研究部署贯彻落实举措。会 议提到，央行将加快完善中央银行制度，扎实推动重点工作落实落地。 央行明确了五大重点工作：一是坚持党中央对金融工作的集中统一领导，纵深推进全面从严治党；二是构建科学稳健的货 币政策体系；三是健全覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系和系统性金融风险防范处置机制；四是持续深化金融供给侧结构性改革； 五是稳步推进金融高水平开放，坚决维护国家金融安全。 在健全覆盖全面的宏观审慎管理体系和系统性金融风险防范处置机制方面，央行强调"维护股市、债市、汇市等金融市场 平稳运行"。 近年来，我国金融市场整体稳健运行。外汇市场方面，央行坚持市场在汇率形成之中的决定性作用，面对多变的外部环 境，保持了人民币汇率的基本稳定。经过多年发展，中国外汇市场参与主体更加成熟，汇率避险工具使用更加广泛，市场更具 韧性。债券市场方面，央行从宏观审慎角度观察、评估债市运行情况，强化监管协同，及时向市场参与机构提示风险，有效弱 化和阻断风险累积。债券违约率保持低位，市场运行总体平稳。资本市场方面，探索维护资本市场稳定的货币政策工具，会同 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The bond market will continue to oscillate and recover. It is believed that the interest rate decline will be smoother in the second half of the fourth quarter. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate is expected to recover to the pre - adjustment level of 1.6% - 1.65% by the end of the year [5][19]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 Market Performance and Interest Rate Trend - This week, funds remained loose, and the bond market declined slightly. The R007 was stable below 1.5%, and R001 was below 1.4%. The yields of 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury bonds rose by 2.4bps and 1.2bps to 1.85% and 2.21% respectively, and the yields of 3 - year and 5 - year secondary capital bonds rose by 2.9bps and 0.8bps [1][8]. - Fundamentally and in terms of funds, the trend supports the decline of interest rates. The slight adjustment of interest rates last week was driven by the increase in risk appetite such as the rise of the stock market. The GDP real and nominal growth rates in the third quarter slowed down, and the real growth rate may further decline in the fourth quarter [1][8]. 3.2 Bond Market Fund Supply and Demand - The bond market shows a situation where the source of funds is greater than the supply of assets, and the gap has recently widened. Except for funds, the liability - side growth rates of financial institutions such as banks, insurance, and wealth management have increased. The total growth rate of relevant items increased from 10.5% in May to 11.5% in September [2][9]. - Due to the insufficient supply of other fixed - income assets such as loans and non - standard assets, financial institutions need to allocate more bonds. The non - government bond social financing growth rate in September was 5.9%, significantly lower than the 11.5% growth rate of the liabilities of financial institutions. The gap may continue to widen in the future [3][12]. 3.3 Asset - Liability Mismatch in Duration - Although the bond market is in a state of increasing asset shortage in terms of total volume, the pressure of duration mismatch is increasing. The liability side of financial institutions shows a short - term characteristic, while the duration of the asset side is lengthening, especially in banks [3][15]. - The proportion of current deposits in total deposits of banks increased from 19.5% in May to 20.1% in September, while the average issuance period of local bonds in the first nine months was 15.6 years, significantly higher than the 13.1 - year level of the same period last year [3][15]. 3.4 Response to Duration Pressure - The increase in duration pressure should be viewed dynamically. The rise in long - term bond yields has partially reflected this situation. The rise in long - term interest rates may also lead to dynamic changes in supply and demand and adjustments in institutional allocation behavior [4][17]. 3.5 Outlook for the Bond Market - The bond market will continue to oscillate and recover. In the second half of the fourth quarter, as the bond - selling pressure of banks fades and the risk of public offering fee reform is settled, the decline of interest rates will be smoother [5][19]. - It is recommended to adopt a dumbbell - shaped strategy, which can control risks through duration and obtain double benefits from the overall decline of interest rates and the narrowing of spreads [5][19].

Core Insights - The implementation of a comprehensive incremental policy since September 26, 2024, has led to a steady recovery in both invoice sales and tax revenue across major industries and tax categories, indicating an overall improvement in the Chinese economy [1][21] Invoice Sales and Tax Revenue - From Q3 2024 to Q3 2025, the quarterly sales revenue growth rates for enterprises were 0.4%, 2.6%, 2.1%, 3.1%, and 4.4%, showing a steady upward trend [3] - In October 2024, tax revenue turned positive after seven months of negative growth, with a cumulative increase in tax revenue from February 2025 showing consistent positive growth for eight months [5] Capital Market Performance - The capital market has become more active, with the total market value of A-share companies surpassing 100 trillion yuan in August 2025, and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in September [7] - Tax revenue from capital market services increased by 56.8% year-on-year, with securities transaction stamp duty rising by 110.5% [7] Corporate Performance and Tax Growth - The manufacturing sector saw a year-on-year tax revenue increase of 5.4%, accounting for 31% of total tax revenue, indicating a significant stabilizing effect [11] - Major tax categories showed positive growth, with domestic value-added tax increasing by 3.2% and corporate income tax rising by 4.1%, reflecting improved profitability in certain industries [14] Policy Impact and Market Dynamics - The "Two New" policies have effectively released market vitality, with significant growth in machinery and equipment purchases, particularly in high-tech manufacturing, which saw a 11.8% increase [18] - Retail sales in consumer goods, such as refrigerators and televisions, experienced substantial year-on-year growth of 55.4% and 35.3%, respectively [18]

同日，中国证监会召开党委（扩大）会议，认真传达学习党的二十届四中全会精神，按照金融系统学习贯彻党的二十届四中全 会精神会议的工作要求，研究部署贯彻落实举措。 10月24日，中国人民银行党委召开会议，传达学习党的二十届四中全会精神。 会议强调，构建科学稳健的货币政策体系，动态 完善货币政策框架；拓展丰富中央银行宏观审慎和金融稳定功能，维护股市、债市、汇市等金融市场平稳运行；稳步推进数字 人民币研发和应用。 央行：维护股市、债市、汇市等金融市场平稳运行 10月24日，中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜主持召开党委会议，传达学习习近平总书记在党的二十届四中全会上的重要讲 话和全会精神，落实主要金融单位学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神会议要求，研究部署贯彻落实举措。中国人民银行各党委 委员参加会议。 会议认为，党的二十届三中全会以来，在经济运行的关键时点，党中央沉着应对、果断决策，部署推出增量政策，有效稳就 业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，党和国家事业取得新的重大成就。 中国人民银行按照党中央部署，先后出台一揽子货币政策举 措，加强逆周期调节，保持流动性充裕，坚定支持股市、债市、汇市等金融市场稳定运行，为经济稳定增长创造了良 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing measures to maintain liquidity in the banking system, including a 900 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation, reflecting a proactive monetary policy stance to support economic growth and stabilize market expectations [1][2]. Group 1: MLF Operations - On October 27, the PBOC will conduct a 900 billion yuan MLF operation with a one-year term, marking the eighth consecutive month of increased MLF operations [1]. - With 700 billion yuan of MLF maturing in October, the net injection of liquidity will amount to 200 billion yuan after the MLF operation [1]. - The total net liquidity injection for October is projected to reach 600 billion yuan, maintaining a high level consistent with September [1]. Group 2: Government Bonds and Financing - The current phase involves significant government bond issuance, with an expected net financing scale of over one trillion yuan in October due to the arrangement of 500 billion yuan for local government debt [1][2]. - The PBOC's actions are seen as a coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, aimed at enhancing effective investment and addressing existing debt [1]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Interest Rates - Recent market conditions have led to an increase in medium to long-term interest rates, with liquidity tightening in the banking system [2]. - The PBOC's continued MLF operations signal a commitment to maintaining liquidity and stabilizing the bond market [2]. - The overall interest rate environment has been characterized by fluctuations above 1.8% for long-term bonds, indicating a high-level oscillation [2]. Group 4: Future Monetary Policy Outlook - Analysts anticipate that the PBOC may implement further quantitative easing measures, including potential reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and continued use of MLF and reverse repos to inject liquidity [2]. - The fourth quarter is expected to see enhanced monetary policy tools to support economic growth and stabilize the real estate market [2].

Group 1 - The event organized by Jiangsu's Provincial Organization Department and Human Resources Department on October 25 in Beijing focuses on connecting universities, high-level talents, high-quality projects, and valuable capital, with 186 employers offering 11,409 quality job positions [1] - The participating employers include 27 provincial state-owned enterprises, 19 research institutes, 42 universities, and 82 large enterprises, covering key industries such as high-end equipment manufacturing, artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, new energy, and information technology [1][2] - The recruitment event emphasizes the need for specific job positions, particularly in technical fields, with a significant increase in demand for roles in semiconductors, new energy, and AI data algorithms [3] Group 2 - A total of 8,887 positions require master's degrees or higher, accounting for 77.9% of the total demand, while 5,419 positions require doctoral degrees, making up 47.5% [3] - Among the 11,409 job positions, 95.8% offer monthly salaries exceeding 10,000 yuan, with over a quarter of the positions offering salaries above 20,000 yuan [4] - Many employers provide substantial support such as research start-up funds, housing allowances, and performance bonuses, enhancing the attractiveness of the job offers [4]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market surged to record highs on Friday, driven by a lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, which provides stronger justification for the Federal Reserve to continue interest rate cuts in the upcoming meetings [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all closed at historical highs, with the Dow surpassing 47,000 points, marking the 13th record high this year [1] - Inflation indicators, including rent, are showing signs of deflation, but inflation remains sticky, and returning to the 2% target will take time according to Apollon Wealth Management [1] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury yields showed mixed movements, with the 3-year Treasury yield dropping to 3.49%, significantly below the effective federal funds rate of approximately 4.11% [2] - Market expectations indicate a total of 4 to 5 rate cuts of 25 basis points each by mid-2026, although the actual number of cuts may be lower according to Steven Blitz [2] - A positive slope in the short-end yield curve could trigger banks to release credit, restarting loan expansion, potentially occurring as early as next summer [2] Group 3 - Concerns about medium to long-term inflation pressures are echoed by other analysts, highlighting the lagging effects of Fed rate cuts and the potential end of balance sheet reduction by late 2025, which could accelerate inflation risks [3] - Factors such as a rebound in bank lending, increased demand for mortgages and refinancing, and fiscal stimulus from policies could reignite inflation [3]

Group 1 - President Xi Jinping will attend the APEC informal leaders' meeting in South Korea from October 30 to November 1, with potential discussions on a meeting between the Chinese and U.S. leaders [1] - The Central Committee emphasizes addressing "three rural issues" as a priority, projecting an estimated market space of around 10 trillion yuan over the next five years [1] - The focus on new urbanization is expected to require over 5 trillion yuan in investment for underground infrastructure during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Group 2 - The U.S. September CPI rose 3% year-on-year, the highest since January, but below market expectations of 3.1% [2] - The market has fully priced in two 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for the remainder of the year [2] Group 3 - Premier Li Qiang will attend multiple ASEAN meetings in Malaysia from October 27 to 28 [3] - The central bank aims to enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy and maintain stability in financial markets [3] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange emphasizes the need for high-level opening in the foreign exchange sector and promoting the internationalization of the renminbi [3] Group 4 - The central bank will conduct a 900 billion yuan MLF operation on October 27, marking a net injection of 200 billion yuan for the month [4] - Various provinces have reported GDP data for the first three quarters, with Guangdong's GDP reaching 10.52 trillion yuan, a 4.1% increase [4] Group 5 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasizes risk prevention and high-quality development in capital markets [5] - A-shares saw significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.71% to 3950.31 points [5] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 0.74%, with notable strength in the semiconductor sector [5] Group 6 - 712 listed companies have disclosed share repurchase or increase loan plans, totaling a maximum loan amount of 152.48 billion yuan [6] - Domestic GPU leader Muxi Co. successfully passed IPO approval on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aiming to raise 3.904 billion yuan for R&D [6] Group 7 - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation initiated an "anti-involution" campaign to combat low-quality competition in the warehousing industry [8] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association stressed the importance of maintaining industry confidence and preventing "involution" [9] Group 8 - The People's Bank of China reported a decline in real estate loans, with a balance of 52.83 trillion yuan, down 0.1% year-on-year [10] - Hangzhou is implementing "home purchase + consumption voucher" subsidy activities to stimulate the housing market [10] Group 9 - JD.com, Meituan, and other companies are under investigation by market regulators for food safety and operational compliance issues [11] - The narrow passenger car retail market is expected to reach around 2.2 million units in October, with a projected 60% penetration rate for new energy vehicles [11] Group 10 - Morgan Stanley plans to allow institutional clients to use actual holdings of Bitcoin and Ethereum as loan collateral [12] - Xiaomi Auto announced a tax subsidy plan for customers who complete orders by November 30 [13] Group 11 - Ford's Q3 adjusted EPS was 45 cents, with sales up 9.3% to a record $50.5 billion, exceeding expectations [21] - Procter & Gamble reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.99, with revenue of $22.39 billion, both surpassing market expectations [21]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is focusing on implementing a scientific and stable monetary policy system to maintain the stability of financial markets including stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Financial Stability - The PBOC aims to balance short-term and long-term goals, support economic growth while ensuring the health of the financial sector, and manage internal and external relationships effectively [2] - The central bank will enhance the execution and transmission of monetary policy, reform the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism, and maintain the RMB's stability at a reasonable and balanced level [2] Group 2: Macro-Prudential Management - A comprehensive macro-prudential management system and mechanisms for systemic financial risk prevention and resolution will be established, focusing on monitoring, assessing, and warning against systemic financial risks [2] - The PBOC will work with relevant departments to support local small financial institutions, local government financing platforms, and address risks in the real estate market [2] Group 3: Financial Supply-Side Structural Reform - The PBOC will deepen financial supply-side structural reforms, focusing on technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance to enhance financial services for the real economy [3] - There will be an emphasis on building a transparent, open, and resilient financial market system, as well as advancing the research and application of digital RMB [3] Group 4: Financial Openness and Security - The PBOC is committed to promoting high-level financial openness while safeguarding national financial security, including advancing the internationalization of the RMB and enhancing the use of RMB in trade [3] - Efforts will be made to facilitate trade and investment financing, and to develop a cross-border payment system for the RMB that is self-controlled and widely accessible [3]

Company Overview - The company, Guiding Compass (SZ 300803), announced on October 24 that its 14th Board of Directors' 10th meeting was held via telecommunication, where it reviewed proposals regarding the cancellation of certain stock options from the 2023 and 2025 stock option incentive plans [1][1][1] - As of the report, the company's market capitalization stands at 95.1 billion yuan [1][1][1] Revenue Composition - For the year 2024, the company's revenue composition is as follows: Internet financial services account for 79.22%, securities industry for 20.76%, and other businesses for 0.02% [1][1][1]