有色金属冶炼及压延加工业
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中钨高新在郴州成立钻石钨制品公司 注册资本3亿元
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-25 07:45
经济观察网郴州钻石钨制品有限公司成立,注册资本3亿元人民币,经营范围包括常用有色金属冶炼、 稀有稀土金属冶炼、有色金属合金制造、有色金属压延加工。股东信息显示,该公司由中钨高新 (000657)材料股份有限公司全资持股。 ...
有色商品日报(2025 年 11 月 25 日)-20251125
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 05:38
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - **Copper**: Overnight, both domestic and international copper prices fluctuated weakly. The Fed's dovish stance on a December rate - cut has increased market expectations, briefly alleviating liquidity concerns. LME and Comex inventories increased, while SHFE copper warrants decreased. Demand is slowly recovering, but high copper prices are suppressing terminal demand, and the high inventory may restrict future copper prices. Without unexpected events, copper prices will show a high - level oscillating trend with low volatility [1]. - **Aluminum**: Overnight, alumina fluctuated strongly, while Shanghai aluminum and aluminum alloy fluctuated weakly. Northern environmental inspections mainly target the ore end, with some phased maintenance in northern alumina plants. The alumina social inventory has slightly decreased, and downstream raw material inventory is overstocked, pressuring prices. With the decline in the US rate - cut expectation, the macro - sentiment has turned cautious. The aluminum price has a short - term support but is still restricted [1][2]. - **Nickel**: Overnight, LME and Shanghai nickel prices rose. LME inventory decreased, and SHFE warrants increased. The nickel ore benchmark price slightly declined, and the nickel - iron stainless - steel industry chain is weak. In the new - energy industry chain, the raw material end is tight, but the ternary precursor in November decreased month - on - month. The primary nickel inventory pressure is obvious, and investors can consider buying at low prices, but should beware of macro - disturbances [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: The Fed's dovish attitude on a December rate - cut has raised market expectations. LME inventory increased by 725 tons to 155,750 tons, Comex inventory increased by 5,905 tons to 371,391 tons, SHFE copper warrants decreased by 5,974 tons to 43,816 tons, and BC copper decreased by 25 tons to 6,177 tons. Demand is slowly warming up, but high inventory may limit future prices [1]. - **Aluminum**: Alumina AO2601 closed at 2,733 yuan/ton, up 0.07%, with an increase of 3,099 lots in positions. Shanghai aluminum AL2512 closed at 21,405 yuan/ton, up 0.12%, with a decrease of 4,542 lots in positions. Aluminum alloy AD2512 closed at 20,645 yuan/ton, down 0.02%, with a decrease of 90 lots in positions. The SMM alumina price dropped to 2,834 yuan/ton. Environmental inspections in the north and inventory changes affect the price [1][2]. - **Nickel**: LME nickel rose 0.75% to 14,730 US dollars/ton, and Shanghai nickel rose 0.69% to 116,100 yuan/ton. LME inventory decreased by 468 tons to 253,482 tons, and SHFE warrants increased by 708 tons to 34,493 tons. The nickel - iron stainless - steel industry chain is weak, and the new - energy industry chain has a tight raw - material end [3]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: On November 24, 2025, the price of flat - copper was 86,185 yuan/ton, up 415 yuan from November 21. The LME registered + cancelled inventory remained unchanged, while SHFE warrants decreased by 5,974 tons [4]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead in the Yangtze River was 17,140 yuan/ton on November 24, down 20 yuan from November 21. SHFE lead inventory decreased by 3,869 tons on a weekly basis [4]. - **Aluminum**: On November 24, the Wuxi aluminum price was 21,350 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan from November 21. The electrolytic aluminum social inventory decreased by 0.8 million tons on a weekly basis [5]. - **Nickel**: On November 24, the price of Jinchuan nickel plate was 119,850 yuan/ton, up 1,150 yuan from November 21. The SHFE nickel inventory decreased by 778 tons on a weekly basis [5]. - **Zinc**: The main settlement price on November 24 was 22,350 yuan/ton, down 0.7% from November 21. The social inventory decreased by 0.81 million tons on a weekly basis [7]. - **Tin**: The main settlement price on November 24 was 293,460 yuan/ton, up 0.5% from November 21. The SHFE tin inventory decreased by 29 tons on a weekly basis [7]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: Charts show the historical trends of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [9][11][14]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts display the historical trends of the near - far month spreads for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 [15][17][19]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts present the historical trends of LME inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [21][23][25]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of SHFE inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [27][29][31]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts display the historical trends of social inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series steel from 2019 - 2025 [33][35][37]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts present the historical trends of copper concentrate index, rough - copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit margin from 2019 - 2025 [40][42][44]. 4. Team Introduction - **Zhan Dapeng**: A science master, currently the director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, a senior researcher of precious metals, a gold intermediate investment analyst, and has won many awards. He has more than a decade of commodity research experience [47]. - **Wang Heng**: A master of finance from the University of Adelaide, Australia, an analyst mainly researching aluminum and silicon at Everbright Futures Research Institute [47]. - **Zhu Xi**: A master of science from the University of Warwick, UK, an analyst mainly researching lithium and nickel at Everbright Futures Research Institute [48].
广发期货《有色》日报-20251125
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 03:00
Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings were provided in the reports. Core Views Tin - Short - term macro fluctuations are large, but considering the strong fundamentals, maintain a bullish view on tin prices. Hold existing long positions and monitor macro changes and the recovery of supply from Myanmar [3]. Zinc - The downward pressure on the domestic supply side has eased. The price is likely to fluctuate, with the main contract reference range of 22,200 - 22,800 [7]. Copper - In the medium - to - long - term, supply - demand contradictions support the upward movement of the copper price bottom. Pay attention to macro drivers such as overseas interest - rate cut expectations, with the main contract reference range of 85,500 - 86,800 [9]. Nickel - The macro situation is stable, and the fundamentals are weak. However, due to upstream production cuts and low valuations, the price may fluctuate and recover. In the medium term, the supply glut restricts the upside potential, with the main contract reference range of 116,000 - 120,000 [13]. Stainless Steel - Policy - driven factors are difficult to have an immediate impact. The cost support is weakening, and the fundamentals have not improved significantly. The short - term price is expected to be weak, with the main contract reference range of 12,200 - 12,600 [15][16]. Aluminum - The alumina price is expected to remain in a bottom - range oscillation, with the main contract reference range of 2,700 - 2,850 yuan/ton. The electrolytic aluminum price is expected to maintain a high - level oscillation, with the main contract reference range of 21,100 - 21,700 yuan/ton [17]. Aluminum Alloy - The ADC12 price is expected to maintain an oscillating pattern in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 20,300 - 20,900 yuan/ton [18]. Industrial Silicon - The price of industrial silicon is expected to remain in a low - level oscillation. The market is likely to face inventory accumulation pressure in November, with the main price fluctuation range of 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [19]. Lithium Carbonate - The short - term market may maintain a weak and oscillating adjustment, with the main contract reference range of 86,000 - 90,000 yuan/ton [20]. Polysilicon - The price is expected to remain in a high - level range oscillation, maintaining a forward market structure. For trading strategies, consider going long around 50,000 yuan/ton in the futures market and holding or closing profitable positions for sell put options in the options market [22]. Summary by Related Catalogs Tin - **Spot Price and Basis**: SMM 1 tin increased by 0.76% to 293,500 yuan/ton, and the LME 0 - 3 spread rose by 0.71% to 95.67 dollars/ton [2]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, tin ore imports increased by 33.49% to 11,632 tons, and SMM refined tin production increased by 53.09% to 16,090 tons [2]. - **Inventory**: SHEF inventory decreased by 0.46% to 6,229 tons, while social inventory increased by 2.83% to 7,654 tons [3]. Zinc - **Price and Spreads**: SMM 0 zinc ingot decreased by 0.27% to 22,380 yuan/ton, and the import loss was 4,280 yuan/ton [7]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, refined zinc production increased by 2.85% to 61.72 million tons, and the export volume increased by 243.79% to 0.85 million tons [7]. - **Inventory**: China's seven - region zinc ingot social inventory decreased by 3.58% to 15.10 million tons, and LME inventory increased by 0.21% to 4.7 million tons [7]. Copper - **Price and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper increased by 0.49% to 86,235 yuan/ton, and the import loss was 858 yuan/ton [9]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, electrolytic copper production decreased by 2.62% to 109.16 million tons, and the import volume decreased by 15.61% to 28.21 million tons [9]. - **Inventory**: Domestic mainstream port copper concentrate inventory increased by 8.80% to 70.49 million tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 1.09% to 11.06 million tons [9]. Nickel - **Price and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel increased by 0.90% to 117,750 yuan/ton, and the 1 Jinchuan nickel premium increased by 3.57% to 4,350 yuan/ton [13]. - **Cost**: The cost of integrated MHP - produced electrolytic nickel decreased by 4.84% to 110,810 yuan/ton [13]. - **Inventory**: SHFE inventory decreased by 1.92% to 39,795 tons, and LME inventory decreased by 0.18% to 253,482 tons [13]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Spreads**: The 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) price remained unchanged at 12,700 yuan/ton, and the futures - spot spread decreased by 7.76% to 235 yuan/ton [15]. - **Fundamentals**: China's 300 - series stainless steel crude steel production decreased by 0.72% to 178.70 million tons, and the export volume decreased by 14.43% to 35.81 million tons [15]. - **Inventory**: The 300 - series social inventory (Wuxi + Foshan) decreased by 0.89% to 49.29 million tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 0.83% to 6.44 million tons [15]. Aluminum - **Price and Spreads**: SMM A00 aluminum decreased by 0.09% to 21,360 yuan/ton, and the import loss was 1,868 yuan/ton [17]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, alumina production increased by 2.39% to 778.53 million tons, and electrolytic aluminum production increased by 3.52% to 374.21 million tons [17]. - **Inventory**: China's electrolytic aluminum social inventory decreased by 5.11% to 61.30 million tons, and LME inventory decreased by 0.37% to 54.6 million tons [17]. Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Spreads**: SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 remained unchanged at 21,350 yuan/ton, and the Foshan broken primary aluminum scrap - to - refined spread remained unchanged at 1,749 yuan/ton [18]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, regenerated aluminum alloy ingot production decreased by 2.42% to 64.50 million tons, and the import volume decreased by 7.06% to 7.64 million tons [18]. - **Inventory**: The regenerated aluminum alloy weekly social inventory increased by 1.44% to 5.65 million tons [18]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Spreads**: The price of industrial silicon decreased by 50 - 100 yuan/ton, and the 2512 - 2601 spread decreased by 100% to 0 [19]. - **Fundamentals**: National industrial silicon production increased by 7.46% to 45.22 million tons, and the export volume decreased by 35.82% to 4.51 million tons [19]. - **Inventory**: The social inventory increased by 0.37% to 54.80 million tons, and the warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 2.02% to 20.76 million tons [19]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Basis**: SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.16% to 92,150 yuan/ton, and the lithium spodumene concentrate CIF average price decreased by 1.65% to 1,071 dollars/ton [20]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, lithium carbonate production increased by 5.73% to 92,260 tons, and the demand increased by 8.70% to 126,961 tons [20]. - **Inventory**: The total lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 10.90% to 84,234 tons in October [20]. Polysilicon - **Price and Spreads**: The N - type polysilicon spot price decreased by 0.10% to 52,250 yuan/ton, and the futures main contract decreased by 0.08% to 23,315 yuan/ton [22]. - **Fundamentals**: Weekly polysilicon production increased by 1.12% to 2.71 million tons, and the import volume increased by 11.96% to 0.14 million tons in October [22]. - **Inventory**: Polysilicon inventory increased by 1.50% to 27.10 million tons, and the polysilicon warehouse receipt decreased by 3.07% to 7,270 [22].
有色金属周报:市场风险偏好降温,有色板块继续回调-20251124
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 09:05
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 【有色金属周报】 市场风险偏好降温,有色板块继续回调 国贸期货 有色金属研究中心 2025-11-24 分析师:方富强 从业资格证号:F3043701 投资咨询证号:Z0015300 分析师:谢灵 从业资格证号:F3040017 投资咨询证号:Z0015788 助理分析师:林静妍 从业资格证号:F03131200 本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议;期市有风险,投资需谨慎 目录 03 锌(ZN) 04 镍(NI) 不锈钢(SS) 01 PART ONE 有色金属价格监测 有色金属价格监测 有色金属收盘价格监控 01 有色金属价格监测 02 铜(CU) | 有色金属价格监测 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | 有色金属收盘价格监控 | | | | | | | 品 种 | 单 位 | 现 值 | 日涨跌幅 | 周涨跌幅 | 年涨跌幅 | 品 ...
有色金属及新材料行业年度策略:铜铝筑基,金银涌动
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-11-24 08:25
分析师:石临源 登记编码:S0730525020001 shily@ccnew.com 0371-65585629 铜铝筑基,金银涌动 证券研究报告-行业年度策略 强于大市(维持) 有色金属相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源:中原证券研究所,聚源 -7% 5% 16% 28% 39% 51% 63% 74% 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 有色金属 沪深300 发布日期:2025 年 11 月 24 日 相关报告 《有色金属行业半年度策略:周期与成长共 舞,稳中求进》 2025-06-20 联系人:李智 投资要点: 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 有色金属及新材料 ——有色金属及新材料行业年度策略 风险提示:(1)美联储加息超预期导致金属价格回落;(2)全球经济 衰退超预期导致下游需求不足;(3)矿山产量供给超预期冲击金属价格; (4)功能性金刚石研发进展不及预期;(5)原材料价格大幅波动;(6) 地缘政治冲突因素影响;(7)铜、铝等矿石需求不及预期;(8)制造业 增速不及预期。 第1页 / 共50页 本报告版权属于中原 ...
永安期货有色早报-20251124
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 05:45
有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/11/24 铜 : 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/11/17 120 2602 115035 56965 -566.06 195.52 32.0 47.0 -32.62 136050 9475 2025/11/18 80 2326 115035 60874 -360.16 391.33 32.0 47.0 -35.33 140500 8925 2025/11/19 95 2456 115035 58352 -425.43 301.32 33.0 48.0 -33.13 157875 9725 2025/11/20 85 2537 115035 54983 -503.28 153.32 33.0 48.0 -18.89 157925 9475 2025/11/21 100 2233 115035 49790 -632.80 546.36 34.0 50.0 1.06 155025 6625 变化 15 -3 ...
新股首日 | 创新实业(02788)首挂上市 早盘高开38.31% 公司为中国电解铝行业出海领军者
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 01:46
公开资料显示,创新实业聚焦于铝产业链上游中的氧化铝精炼和电解铝冶炼。铝产业链主要包括上游铝 生产和下游铝合金加工。上游铝生产主要包含三个阶段:铝土矿开采、氧化铝精炼和电解铝冶炼。根据 CRU的报告,按2024年产量计,创新实业位于内蒙古霍林郭勒市的电解铝冶炼厂是华北地区第四大电 解铝生产基地;按2024年产量计,公司是中国第十二大电解铝生产商。 值得注意的是,创新实业积极响应"一带一路"倡议,前瞻性布局沙特50万吨电解铝综合项目,海外市场 将为公司注入新的增长动能。根据CRU的报告,2025年至2028年,预计中东地区电解铝需求量将保持 约4.6%的年复合增长率。通过切入这一高增长市场,公司不仅将充分受益于区域发展红利,也将通过 产能的全球化配置分散地缘政治与单一市场风险,增强经营稳定性。 智通财经APP获悉,创新实业(02788)首挂上市,公告显示,每股定价10.99港元,共发行5亿股股份,每 手500股,所得款项净额约53.13亿港元。截至发稿,涨38.31%,报15.2港元,成交额7.39亿港元。 ...
郴州钻石钨制品有限公司成立 注册资本30000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 06:45
天眼查App显示,近日,郴州钻石钨制品有限公司成立,法定代表人为申志均,注册资本30000万人民 币,经营范围为一般项目:常用有色金属冶炼;稀有稀土金属冶炼;有色金属合金制造;有色金属压延 加工。(除依法须经批准的项目外,凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动)(依法须经批准的项目,经相 关部门批准后方可开展经营活动)。 ...
中金岭南:公司提出“一体两翼”新战略
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 11:07
Core Viewpoint - Company announces a new strategic plan called "One Body, Two Wings" aimed at enhancing its market position and contributing to national supply chain security [1] Group 1: Strategic Focus - "One Body" refers to the company being a leading enterprise with rich metal resources [1] - "Two Wings" focuses on the development of copper, lead, and zinc smelting and deep processing industries, as well as rare and precious metals and new materials [1] Group 2: Development Approach - The company emphasizes both "external development" and "internal development" to drive growth [1] - A dual approach of "focusing on core business + capital operation" is adopted to optimize product structure and enhance the industrial chain layout [1] Group 3: Value Management - The company has established a value management system to enhance investor returns and protect the rights of stakeholders [1] - Efforts will be made to improve investor relations management and promote high-quality development to achieve shareholder value returns [1]
有色金属周度报告-20251121
Xin Ji Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 10:57
有色金属周度报告 新纪元期货研究 20251121 投资有风险,入市需谨慎 国内主要金属现货价格走势 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 主力合约 | 2025.11.7 | 2025.11.14 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | 现货指标 | 2025.11.7 | 2025.11.14 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | 铜 | CU2601 | 86900 | 85660 | -1240 | -1.43% | 平均价:1#铜:上海现货 | 87070 | 85870 | -1200 | -1.38% | | 铝 | AL2601 | 21840 | 21340 | -500 | -2.29% | 平均价:A00铝:上海现货 | 21900 | 21370 | -530 | -2.42% | | 锌 | ZN2601 | 22465 | 22390 | -75 | -0.33% | 平均价:0#锌:上海现货 | 2248 ...