涨跌 (%) 收盘 指数 1月 名称 (点) 1日 5日 -0.45 8.38 -0.26 上证指数 3828 | 风格指数 (%) | FEE | 近１个月 近６个月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.57 | 11.37 | 16 | | 中盘指数 | -2.13 | 13.14 | 17.92 | | 小盘指数 | -2.48 | 9.84 | 16.95 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 바람들 | 近１个月 近６个月 | | | 衣商行II | 2.54 | 0.41 | 14.95 | | 国有大型银行II | 2.11 | 2.82 | 13.82 | | 股份制银行II | 1.95 | -2.3 | 7.84 | | 白色家电 | 1.78 | 2.14 | 2.45 | | 饰品 | 1.66 | 6.96 | 34.32 | | 跌幅居前 行业(%) | MEE | 近１个月 近６个月 | | | 通信设备 | -6.71 | 46.84 | 94.07 | | 其他电源设备Ⅱ | -5.71 | 14.99 | 22.82 | | 元件 ...

Market Overview - Recent stock market volatility has raised concerns among investors, with significant fluctuations in trading activity despite high transaction volumes exceeding 3 trillion [1][3] - A collective market drop occurred, with over 4,500 stocks declining, highlighting the importance of risk awareness [1] Trading Activity - High trading volumes did not correlate with sustained price increases, indicating potential profit-taking by large investors [1] - The market's trading volume may have peaked at 3.2 trillion, suggesting a possible difficulty in further upward movement [3] Financing Trends - Financing balance surged to a historical high of 2.28 trillion, surpassing levels seen during the 2015 bull market, with a net buy of 35.396 billion [3] - The increase in financing is concentrated in the technology sector, with notable spikes in financing balances for specific tech stocks, indicating potential volatility risks if market adjustments occur [3] Sector Performance - Defensive sectors such as banking, utilities, and home appliances performed well, while technology sectors like communications, computing, and defense saw significant declines [5]

Group 1 - The overall performance of A-shares is at a low point, with a focus on transformation and recovery in various sectors [2] - The sectors showing positive economic sentiment include electronics, home appliances, non-bank financials, machinery, non-ferrous metals, computers, food and beverages, defense, telecommunications, media, and agriculture [3][13] - The revenue growth rate for Q2 2025 shows a cumulative year-on-year decline, but the quarterly growth rate is on the rise, with leading sectors including defense, electronics, agriculture, automotive, computers, and non-bank financials [4][53] Group 2 - The overall ROE for Q2 2025 has slightly declined, with the best performance in essential consumer goods at 10.2% [5] - The gross profit margin for non-financial A-shares has slightly decreased, with essential consumer goods showing the highest margin at 30.4% [5][22] - Inventory turnover rates have increased, while accounts payable and receivable turnover rates have decreased [5][18] Group 3 - Most industries are actively replenishing inventory, while agriculture, home appliances, pharmaceuticals, public utilities, construction decoration, telecommunications, and environmental protection are in a passive destocking phase [6][24] - Capital expenditure intentions have rebounded in Q2 2025, although they remain negative overall [6][28] Group 4 - From June 30 to August 30, 2025, the industries with the highest upward revisions in net profit forecasts include steel, non-ferrous metals, beauty care, non-bank financials, and banking [7][30] - The phenomenon of net profit discontinuity is more likely to occur in sectors such as food and beverages, beauty care, non-bank financials, banking, and transportation [7][31]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices experienced a collective pullback on September 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell over 2% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 28,750 billion [1] Sector Performance - High dividend sectors, such as banking, showed strength, with the Bank ETF (512800) rising by 1.94% and the Value ETF (510030) increasing by 0.73% [1][2] - The innovative drug sector saw a rebound, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (520880) gaining 1.08% [1] - Conversely, the AI sector faced a downturn, with the ChiNext Artificial Intelligence ETF (159363) declining by 6.14%, marking its largest single-day drop since April 8 [1][3][4] - The defense and military industry continued its adjustment trend, with the Defense and Military Industry ETF (512810) closing down by 2.25% [1][3] ETF Insights - The ChiNext Artificial Intelligence ETF (159363) recorded a trading volume exceeding 21 billion, achieving a historical high, despite a price drop [4] - The Bank ETF (512800) and the Value ETF (510030) were among the top performers, reflecting investor interest in high dividend stocks [2] - The Defense and Military Industry ETF (512810) experienced a significant premium, indicating strong buying interest despite the overall market decline [17] Analyst Outlook - Analysts from China Galaxy Securities expect the market to operate at a high level in the short term, with ongoing active trading and supportive policy expectations [3] - CICC believes that long-term industrial upgrades will enhance the quality of A-share assets, making the stock market a crucial direction for asset allocation amid weak real estate conditions [3] - The AI hardware sector is anticipated to maintain high demand, with a projected CAGR of 46% over the next five years, driven by significant investments in AI infrastructure [6][7] Broker Insights - Multiple brokerages are optimistic about the A-share market's medium to long-term prospects, focusing on technology, consumption, and non-bank financial sectors [2][11] - The brokerages' strategy meetings indicate a consensus on the positive outlook for the A-share market, supported by favorable macroeconomic factors [2][11]

数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 9月2日，大市回调，国防军工板块延续调整行情。高标股领跌，华丰科技重挫12.38%，菲利华跌9%， 航天科技、中国长城跌超4%。长城军工、中航成飞宽幅震荡，顽强收涨。 风险提示：国防军工ETF被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。2020- 2024年分年度历史收益分别为：67.91%、14.28%、-25.74%、-11.02%、8.20%。指数成份股构成根据该 指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。以上个股均为标的指数成份股，仅作展 示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金 管理人评估的本基金的风险等级为R3-中风险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以上投资者，适当性匹配意见请以 销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形 式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析 及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议，亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责 任。基金投资有风险 ...

1、9.3上午阅兵仪式，北京天安门广场将举行纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年大 会，包括检阅部队。关注阅兵仪式中主战装备和新一代武器装备亮相，对"十五五"规划中军工领域发展 规划起重要指引。 2、9月美联储议息会议和特朗普对美联储独立性的干预。在全球央行年会释放鸽派表态后，市场积极定 价美联储年内3次降息预期，在国内低利率、美国降息预期较为确定的环境下，叠加政策积极托底与居 民存款搬家，权益市场入市资金有望持续增长。 3、美国最高院对特朗普关税合法性的裁定进展。当地时间8月29日，美国上诉法院裁定美国总统特朗普 实施的大部分全球关税政策非法。法院表示，《国际紧急经济权力法》并未明确赋予美国总统加征关税 的权力，特朗普援引该法加征关税超越了其职权范围。该裁决10月14日之前不会生效，以便特朗普政府 向美国最高法院提出上诉。虽然A股市场对海外风险已阶段性脱敏，但关税合法性仍有可能进一步催化 A股市场情绪。 4、美国8月非农就业数据。7月非农就业数据不仅在市场上产生了相当大的波动，而且引发了很多争 议。因此，8月份报告将在两个方面具有重要意义：它是否会指向劳动力市场状况的进一步恶化，以及 在特朗普 ...

Group 1 - The company responded to an investor inquiry regarding the order status of its three main business sectors for the fourth quarter, indicating that the special equipment business is fully organizing production and delivery based on order conditions [1] - The ultra-hard materials and automotive parts business sectors are arranging production and sales in an orderly manner according to market supply and demand [1] - The company expressed gratitude for the investor's attention [1]

从盘面上看，银行股逆市上涨，渝农商行(601077)、沪农商行(601825)、齐鲁银行(601665)、招商银行 (600036)等涨超3%，苏州银行(002966)、青岛银行(002948)、中信银行(601998)等涨超2%。 公用事业逆市上攻，京运通(601908)、胜利股份(000407)、华光环能(600475)、上海电力(600021)、兆新 股份(002256)等涨停，珈伟新能(300317)、露笑科技(002617)等涨超5%。 A股三大股指9月2日开盘涨跌互现。早盘两市震荡下挫，午前券商急涨带动两市跌幅略有收窄。午后科 技股回暖一度带动跌幅收窄，但尾盘跌幅再度扩大。 从盘面上看，AI硬件方向大幅回调，CPO、PCB、液冷概念股跌停数量显著增加，军工、稳定币、华为 概念同步走弱；机器人产业链午后强势反弹，银行、黄金、石油板块逆势活跃。 至收盘，上证综指跌0.45%，报3858.13点；科创50指数跌2.13%，报1328.28点；深证成指跌2.14%，报 12553.84点；创业板指跌2.85%，报2872.22点。 Wind统计显示，两市及北交所共1257只股票上涨，4055只股票下跌，平 ...

数据中心、新能源车业务高速增长，防务 订单明显恢复 核心观点 事件：2025 年 H1 公司实现营收 111.83 亿（+21.60%）；实现归母净利润 14.37 亿（- 13.87%）。单季度看，2025Q2环比改善，实现营收63.45亿，环比增长+31.13%；归母 净利润 7.97 亿，环比增长+24.55%。 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据 25 年半年报下调毛利率，下调 25、26、27 年 EPS 为 1.75、2.03、2.34 元 （前值为 1.77、2.08、2.41 元），参考可比公司 25 年 34 倍 PE，给予目标价 59.50 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示：军工订单和收入确认进度不及预期等。 2023A 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E 营业收入(百万元) 20,074 20,686 24,552 28,586 33,187 同比增长 (%) 26.7% 3.0% 18.7% 16.4% 16.1% 公司主要财务信息 | 营业利润(百万元) | 3,686 | 3,729 | 4,128 | 4,900 | 5,768 | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

本周（9 月 1 日至 7 日）全球市场迎来三大关键事件美国 8 月非农就业报告、中国抗战胜利日阅兵及上 海合作组织天津峰会。这些事件可能显著影响金融市场走势，尤其是黄金、外汇及股指的短期波动格 局。UNFX 为您解析核心动态： 一、美国非农数据：美联储降息预期的终极考验 时间：9 月 5 日（周五） 市场影响：本次非农数据被视为美联储 9 月议息会议前最关键的参考指标，其数据表现将直接左右市场 对美联储后续货币政策的预期。 预期值：经济学家预测 8 月非农就业人数仅增加 7.5 万，若该预期成真，这将是 2020 年以来最疲弱的 非农就业数据；同时，失业率可能从 4.2% 小幅上升。 潜在情景： 若数据弱于预期：可能进一步强化市场对美联储 9 月降息的预期（目前掉期市场定价降息概率已达 90%）。从资产影响来看，这一情景将利好黄金、美债等避险与低风险资产，但可能对美元汇率及股票 等风险资产形成压制。 若数据显著强于预期：则可能动摇当前市场普遍认可的降息逻辑，进而推动美元指数反弹，同时对近期 持续上涨的美股走势构成挑战。 后续关联事件：除本次非农数据外，后续还有多个关键事件值得关注，包括 9 月 9 日非农历 ...