截至2026年2月27日 09:35，中证石化产业指数(H11057)下跌0.10%。成分股方面涨跌互现，恒逸石化领 涨1.84%，和邦生物上涨1.38%，扬农化工上涨1.34%；蓝晓科技领跌2.89%，彤程新材下跌2.52%，圣泉 集团下跌2.50%。化工行业ETF易方达(516570)下跌0.17%，最新报价1.16元。拉长时间看，截至2026年2 月26日，化工行业ETF易方达近2周累计上涨2.56%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之 意） 从资金净流入方面来看，化工行业ETF易方达近4天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得3069.65万元净 流入，合计"吸金"7857.82万元，日均净流入达1964.46万元。（数据来源：Wind） 截至2月26日，化工行业ETF易方达近2年净值上涨61.95%。从收益能力看，截至2026年2月26日，化工 行业ETF易方达自成立以来，最高单月回报为15.74%，最长连涨月数为9个月，最长连涨涨幅为 61.01%，上涨月份平均收益率为5.43%。截至2026年2月26日，化工行业ETF易方达近1年超越基准年化 收益为2.99%，排名可比基金1/2。 回撤方面， ...

行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2026 年 2 月 27 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃、纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 纯碱当日行情： 2 月 26 日，纯碱主力合约 SA605 震荡运行，收于 1191 元/吨，较前一日上涨 6 元 /吨，涨幅为 0.50%，日内减仓 25476 ...

2026 年 02 月 27 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 77 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：机器人、电网设备、化工 1、机器人主题：2026 年春晚堪称机器人"含量"最高的一 届，标志着中国机器人行业正从"炫技"加速迈向"商 用"。舞台上，宇树机器人完成空翻、武术等高动态集群控 制，技术全球领先。随着量产成本下降，一个规模巨大的增 量市场正加速形成。相关标的：三花智控（002050）、卧龙 电驱（600580） 2、电网设备主题：全球 AI 数据中心（AIDC）耗电量巨大， 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡，美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时，国内"十五五"期间，国家电网 4 万亿元的 巨额投资将 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report In the short - term, the market may enter an oscillation and volatility - reduction cycle. The overall market atmosphere is under certain suppression, but in the medium - to - long - term, the commodity bull market is expected to continue. Different industries have their own supply - demand situations and influencing factors, and corresponding investment strategies are proposed based on these [39][45]. Summary by Directory Macro Finance Stock Index - **Market Information**: The annualized basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH for current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter are presented. For example, IF's ratios are 4.70%/2.97%/5.48%/4.74% [2]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by factors such as the US - Iran conflict, US tariff policy, RMB exchange rate, and AI business, the stock index is expected to have a relatively strong performance [3]. Treasury Bond - **Market Information**: The closing prices and changes of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts on Thursday are provided. There are also news about Sino - US economic and trade consultations and the stance of the Bank of Japan. The central bank conducted 320.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 79.5 billion yuan [4]. - **Strategy View**: Although inflation recovery has potential suppression on the bond market, and the endogenous power of economic recovery is not stable, the capital side is expected to remain loose. The bond market is expected to continue to oscillate [6]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: The prices of Shanghai gold and silver, COMEX gold and silver have declined. The US 10 - year Treasury yield and the US dollar index are reported. The precious metal prices are in horizontal consolidation, with support from Trump's tariff plan and the US - Iran nuclear negotiation, and resistance from the Fed's officials' statements and the expectation of stable US short - term interest rates [7]. - **Strategy View**: The precious metal prices are expected to remain in high - level oscillation. It is recommended to wait and see, with the reference ranges of 11,300 - 12,000 yuan/gram for Shanghai gold and 22,000 - 23,000 yuan/kilogram for Shanghai silver [9]. Non - ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Affected by the US - Iran negotiation and other factors, copper prices are in oscillatory adjustment. LME inventory has increased, and domestic social and bonded area inventories have also changed. The spot discount in the East China region has expanded [11]. - **Strategy View**: The US tariff policy provides emotional support, but the refined copper supply is relatively excessive. Short - term copper prices are expected to be oscillatory, with reference ranges of 101,000 - 103,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai copper and 13,100 - 13,400 US dollars/ton for LME copper [12]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices have adjusted. LME inventory has decreased, and domestic inventory has increased. The spot discount in the East China region has narrowed [13]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term price support is strong. The reference ranges are 23,400 - 23,900 yuan/ton for Shanghai aluminum and 3,100 - 3,170 US dollars/ton for LME aluminum [14]. Zinc - **Market Information**: Zinc prices have declined. The social inventory of zinc ingots in China has increased, and the downstream enterprise start - up rate is average [15][16]. - **Strategy View**: The zinc industry in China shows a weak trend. Zinc prices may follow the rise of copper and aluminum prices. The zinc ore TC has stopped falling and stabilized [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: Lead prices have increased. Both domestic and foreign inventories have risen rapidly, and the industrial situation is weak [17]. - **Strategy View**: The strategic stockpiling of battery enterprises may support the lead price in the short - term. It is necessary to observe the start - up of downstream battery enterprises after the Spring Festival [17]. Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices have declined. The prices of nickel ore are stable, and the price of nickel iron has increased [18]. - **Strategy View**: The supply of nickel is shrinking, and nickel prices are expected to rise. It is recommended to go long on dips, with reference ranges of 120,000 - 160,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai nickel and 16,000 - 20,000 US dollars/ton for LME nickel [19]. Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices are in oscillatory operation. The inventory has decreased, and the supply and demand are marginally loose [20]. - **Strategy View**: Tin prices are expected to oscillate widely in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with reference ranges of 380,000 - 450,000 yuan/ton for domestic tin and 48,000 - 53,000 US dollars/ton for LME tin [21]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The price of lithium carbonate has increased. The production has increased, and the inventory has decreased [22]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by the export ban, the short - term spot shortage is expected to continue. It is necessary to be cautious about the increase of selling orders. The reference range for the 2605 contract is 164,000 - 180,000 yuan/ton [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index has declined. The spot price in Shandong has increased, and the overseas price is stable. The inventory has increased [24]. - **Strategy View**: The over - capacity situation in the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with a reference range of 2,750 - 2,950 yuan/ton for the AO2605 contract [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: Stainless steel prices have increased. The raw material prices have changed, and the inventory has increased [27]. - **Strategy View**: The supply pressure will be relieved, and the price has a strong bottom support. It is recommended to be bullish, with a reference range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton [28]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of casting aluminum alloy has increased. The inventory has changed, and the trading volume has increased [29]. - **Strategy View**: The cost has support, and the demand is expected to improve. The short - term price is expected to oscillate strongly [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil have declined. The inventory and trading volume have changed [32]. - **Strategy View**: The black series is in a bottom - game stage. It is expected to oscillate within a range with a weak center of gravity in the short - term. It is necessary to focus on the demand recovery and policy trends [33]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: Iron ore prices have declined. Some steel enterprises in North China will implement emission reduction measures during important meetings [34]. - **Strategy View**: The overseas supply has recovered, and the demand is okay. The price is expected to oscillate weakly and stably. It is necessary to pay attention to domestic terminal demand and policy guidance [35]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: The prices of coking coal and coke have declined. The spot prices have different changes, and the basis is positive [36]. - **Strategy View**: In the short - term, the upward catalysis of coking coal is weak. It may face a callback risk in March - May, but it may rise in the second half of 2026 [39]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: Glass prices have declined, and the inventory has increased. Soda ash prices are stable, and the inventory has increased [40][42]. - **Strategy View**: Glass is expected to oscillate, with a reference range of 1,025 - 1,100 yuan/ton. Soda ash is expected to oscillate weakly and stably, with a reference range of 1,140 - 1,200 yuan/ton [41][43]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: Manganese silicon prices have increased, and ferrosilicon prices have also risen slightly [44]. - **Strategy View**: The future market is mainly affected by the black market and cost factors. It is recommended to pay attention to manganese ore supply and "dual - carbon" policies [45][46]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: Industrial silicon prices have declined, and polysilicon prices have also decreased [48][50]. - **Strategy View**: Industrial silicon prices are expected to be weak. Polysilicon prices are expected to oscillate weakly. It is recommended to wait and see [49][51]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market Information**: Rubber prices are in oscillatory operation. The start - up rates of tire enterprises are low, and the inventory has increased [53][54]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to trade according to the short - term trend of the disk and set stop - losses. It is also recommended to go long on NR and short on RU2609 [56]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: Crude oil prices have declined, and the inventory data of related products have changed [57]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits on rallies and focus on medium - term layout [58]. Methanol - **Market Information**: Methanol prices have changed, and the MTO profit has increased [59]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [60]. Urea - **Market Information**: Urea prices have changed, and the basis is negative [61]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to short urea due to the expected negative fundamentals [62]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The prices and basis of pure benzene and styrene have changed. The supply and demand sides have different performances [63]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits gradually as the non - integrated profit of styrene has been significantly repaired [64]. PVC - **Market Information**: PVC prices have declined. The supply is strong, and the demand is weak [66]. - **Strategy View**: The domestic supply - demand situation is poor, and the fundamentals are weak [67]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: Ethylene glycol prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [68]. - **Strategy View**: The supply - demand pattern needs to be improved by increasing production cuts. There is a risk of rebound [69]. PTA - **Market Information**: PTA prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [70]. - **Strategy View**: The inventory cycle is about to end. It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [71]. p - Xylene - **Market Information**: p - Xylene prices have declined. The load and inventory have changed [72]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips following crude oil in the medium - term [73]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: PE prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory has changed [74]. - **Strategy View**: The PE valuation has room to decline, and the demand is in a seasonal off - season [75]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: PP prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory pressure is high [76]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on the PP5 - 9 spread on dips [78]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market Information**: Pig prices have different changes. The actual supply pressure has been reduced [80]. - **Strategy View**: The spot price is expected to be weak, but there may be support for the far - month contracts [81]. Eggs - **Market Information**: Egg prices are mainly stable. The supply is normal, and the market digestion speed is okay [82]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term spot price decline is limited. It is recommended to wait and see or trade short - term [83]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The export and production data of soybeans in the US and Brazil are provided. The domestic soybean inventory has changed [84]. - **Strategy View**: The protein meal price may be bottoming out due to the increase in import costs [86]. Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: The production, export, and inventory data of palm oil in Malaysia and Indonesia are provided. The domestic oil inventory has increased [87]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term soybean oil price is stronger. It is recommended to buy when the oil prices stop falling at low levels [88]. Sugar - **Market Information**: The production data of sugar in India, Brazil, and Thailand are provided. The domestic import data are also given [89][90]. - **Strategy View**: It is not advisable to be overly bearish on the international sugar market. The domestic sugar price is suppressed by high inventory. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [91]. Cotton - **Market Information**: The US cotton export data and the domestic cotton inventory data are provided [92]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to buy on dips if the downstream start - up rate after the Spring Festival is good [93].

中信建投：看好顺周期板块行情 重点看好重资产行业困境反转机会：一是通胀预期升温，PPI持续修复，大宗商品价格上行，利好重资 产企业资产负债表修复；二是化工、建材等行业历经产能出清，叠加反内卷政策控增量、稳价格，行业 盈利修复动力增强；三是一线城市地产逐步企稳，有望带动内需与产业链需求回暖。综合转债估值与行 业逻辑，建议重点关注化工、建材、电力设备板块。 光大证券：碳排放双控转型推动碳成本重估，看好绿电的非电应用 国内从能耗双控向碳排放双控的考核机制转变、欧盟碳关税实质落地，具备低碳或负碳属性的资产（绿 铝、绿氢氨醇、零碳园区等）将获得绿色溢价。综合考虑下游支付溢价能力、替代经济性等因素，航运 燃料绿醇、储氢固碳绿氨、氢冶金领域的非电应用有望受益。 昨日，市场探底回升，三大指数涨跌不一，创业板指盘中一度跌超1%，黄白线分化。沪深两市成交额 2.54万亿。从板块来看，算力硬件方向涨幅居前，PCB、CPO、液冷服务器、算力芯片概念均表现强 势，电力板块走强，燃气轮机概念集体大涨。下跌方面，影视院线、保险、房地产等板块跌幅居前。截 至收盘，沪指跌0.01%，深成指涨0.19%，创业板指跌0.29%。 在今日券商晨会上 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|能源化⼯策略⽇报 2026-02-27 美伊和谈导致油价延续⾼波动，化⼯下 游稳步复⼯ 原油价格在亚洲盘时间段下跌，因彭博报道，美伊核谈判的调解方表 示，目前讨论进展积极，谈判将于周四晚些时候继续进行。美伊正在日内 瓦举行第三轮核谈判，距离特朗普总统设定的达成协议最后期限仅剩几 天。作为调解方的阿曼外交大臣表示，双方交流了"富有创意且积极的想 法"。原油市场本身略显疲态，Brent近月价差在周四盘中一度走弱至每 桶-3美分，短暂进入contango结构，同一指标在上周某一时点曾高达每桶 +69美分；这是自2024年以来，该价差首次在非到期日进入contango结 构。（以上信息来自彭博终端） 板块逻辑： 化工跟随原油进入弱势调整格局中，烯烃表现明显弱于芳烃。化工期 货主力合约小幅下跌后，各品种的基差大都开始走强，现货表现强于期 货。从周度开工看，聚酯和织造开工从春节前的77.6%、0分别升至79. 7%、12%，产业链下游稳步复工中（数据来源CCF）。原料开工本身看，PT A和苯乙烯周度开工略有攀升，PP和PE开工周度环比下滑，整体变动不 大，春季 ...

中信建投：看好顺周期板块行情 重点看好重资产行业困境反转机会：一是通胀预期升温，PPI持续修复，大宗商品价格上行，利好重资 产企业资产负债表修复；二是化工、建材等行业历经产能出清，叠加反内卷政策控增量、稳价格，行业 盈利修复动力增强；三是一线城市地产逐步企稳，有望带动内需与产业链需求回暖。综合转债估值与行 业逻辑，建议重点关注化工、建材、电力设备板块。 光大证券：碳排放双控转型推动碳成本重估，看好绿电的非电应用 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 智通财经2月27日讯，昨日，市场探底回升，三大指数涨跌不一，创业板指盘中一度跌超1%，黄白线分 化。沪深两市成交额2.54万亿。从板块来看，算力硬件方向涨幅居前，PCB、CPO、液冷服务器、算力 芯片概念均表现强势，电力板块走强，燃气轮机概念集体大涨。下跌方面，影视院线、保险、房地产等 板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指跌0.01%，深成指涨0.19%，创业板指跌0.29%。 在今日券商晨会上，华泰证券认为，全球燃机新签订单有望实现双位数同比增速；中信建投认为，看好 顺周期板块行情；光大证券认为，碳排放双控转型推动碳成本重估，看好绿电 ...

绿氢是绿电的核心非电应用，是碳双控政策转向的受益方向 在钢铁(氢冶金)、化工(绿氨、绿甲醇)行业，绿氢可替代煤炭或天然气作为还原剂或原料。绿氢还可作 为绿电的储能方式，是绿电实现长时储存、跨地域运输和非电应用的大规模方案。在"十五五"碳双控代 替能耗双控的政策框架下，绿电不计入能耗考核，拥有绿氢配额或使用绿氢的企业不占用碳指标审批额 度。 综合考虑下游支付溢价能力、替代经济性等因素，航运燃料绿醇、储氢固碳绿氨、氢冶金领域的非电应 用有望受益 绿氢是能量源与下游应用降本的核心，而绿氨是绿氢理想的运输载体，绿醇是绿氢在航运领域的最佳载 体。随着新能源度电成本的下降和电解槽技术的迭代，绿氢正在逼近与灰氢的平价点，从而推动绿醇、 绿氨的应用降本。当前时点支付溢价动力最强的是航运领域的全球龙头企业(马士基等)，此外面向欧洲 市场的高端化工巨头(巴斯夫等)在欧盟EU ETS政策收紧和自身碳中和转型承诺的加持下对绿色甲醇同 样有较强的需求。 智通财经APP获悉，光大证券发布研究报告称，在全球能源转型进入深水区的当下，过去十年的主题是 绿电替代火电逻辑下风光装机的增长，那么未来十年的核心逻辑将是绿电的"非电化应用"——即通过 ...

中国人习惯把春节当作新旧交替的分水岭。马年春节假期，中原大地就鼓足了拼搏奋进的劲头，2月24 日，河南纵深推进融入服务全国统一大市场大会召开。截至2月25日，洛阳、南阳、许昌等9个省辖市召 开市级"新春第一会"。一场场高规格会议密集召开，如战鼓擂响，催人奋进。 为什么"新春第一会"如此重要？ （一） 中原大地素有抢抓先机的传统。隋唐大运河上南来北往的商船，见证着洛阳在那时的枢纽地位；《清明 上河图》里熙熙攘攘的市井，记录着开封作为繁华都会的开放气度；安阳殷墟的甲骨文里，刻着"商"字 ——三个三角形顶承而同立，恰如买方、卖方、市场三方合力，才能把商事办成办好……这片土地从不 缺少实干传统，如今，各地的"新春第一会"，正是对这种精神的传承与表达。 一季度是全年经济的风向标。有专家指出，各地在节后迅速开会、调研，就是为了确保全年经济工作开 好局、起好步。比如，鹤壁明确要求，农历正月十五前，90%以上在建项目须全面复工，100个重点项 目在一季度完成年度投资计划的30%以上；春节期间，南阳112个项目不停工、不停产，目前已完成投 资52.1亿元。这种"早"字当头的作风，本身就是一种态度、一种担当。 从全局看，今年是" ...

招商证券2月26日发布的行业景气观察周报显示，上游资源品中金属、原油和多数化工品价格在近期整 体呈上涨态势，并推荐关注石油石化等景气较高或有改善的板块方向。 值得注意的是，原油价格的变动对产业链下游企业同样产生直接影响。东材科技（601208.SH）2月26 日发布股票交易异常波动公告，其中明确提示风险称："公司主导产品的原材料成本占比较高，其采购 价格与国际原油价格密切相关，主要原材料的价格波动可能影响公司经营业绩的稳定性。" 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 2月27日，国际原油期货结算价小幅收跌。WTI原油期货4月合约收跌0.32%，报65.21美元/桶；布伦特原 油期货4月合约收跌0.14%，报70.75美元/桶。 当日原油价格的波动与美伊核谈判进展密切相关。据公开信息，美国与伊朗当天在瑞士日内瓦结束第三 轮核谈判，距离美方此前设定的达成协议最后期限仅剩数日。调解方阿曼方面表示，双方会谈取得进 展，下周将继续进行技术层面的磋商。美国官员称谈判进展"积极"，伊朗外长阿拉格奇也表示谈判取得 了良好进展。不过，盘中一度因伊朗官方媒体报道称伊朗不会允许 ...