7月29日（周二），伦敦和上海期铜双双下滑，因交易商权衡中美谈判以及世界第一大铜生产国智利与 美国就8月1日起对铜征收50%关税的谈判。 智利财政部长Mario Marcel周一在采访中称， 智利预计铜关税问题将在华盛顿举行的更广泛的美智贸易 谈判中进行讨论。 他补充说，智利将要求将这些关税纳入与美国的更广泛的贸易协定之中。 秘鲁总统Dina Boluarte表示，秘鲁正在评估134个矿业勘探和开采项目的授权，这些项目预计投资规模 达60亿美元。秘鲁政府希望提高这一关键产业的收入。 Boluarte在国会发表讲话时表示，她预计到今年年底，正规小规模采矿业的年销售额将超过50亿美元， 到2026年，47亿美元的正规项目应该已经开工建设。 其他基本金属方面，沪铝主力合约下跌0.22%，报收于20,605元；沪锌主力合约下跌0.35%，报收于 22,655元；沪锡主力合约下滑0.76%，报收于266,660元；沪镍主力合约跌0.85%，报收于121,800元；沪 铅主力合约收跌0.24%，至每吨16,900元。 北京时间16:26，伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铜下滑0.16%，报每吨9,777美元。 上海期货交 ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper market is currently experiencing a weak trend due to seasonal demand slowdown, with a slight accumulation of social inventory, and is awaiting more definitive guidance as the August 1 deadline approaches [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The night trading session for copper opened slightly higher but fell back, closing down by 0.18% [1] - Domestic demand is currently weak, leading to a limited accumulation of social inventory [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes are anticipated, with the market expecting the Fed to maintain its current stance [1] Group 2: Trade Developments - A trade framework agreement was reached between the U.S. and the EU, reducing market uncertainty [1] - Ongoing attention is required on the progress of U.S.-China negotiations [1] - There are rumors regarding the potential implementation of tariffs on imported copper by the U.S. on August 1, including possible exemptions [1] Group 3: Chilean Copper Tariffs - Chile's finance minister indicated expectations for U.S. copper tariff exemptions, leading to a significant drop in U.S. copper prices, which affected LME and Shanghai copper prices [1] - Chile accounts for approximately 70% of U.S. copper imports; if exemptions are granted, the price difference between COMEX and LME copper will narrow significantly [1] - Despite potential exemptions, U.S. copper prices are expected to remain higher than non-U.S. markets due to ongoing tariffs [1] Group 4: Processing Fees - Domestic copper concentrate processing fees are still operating at low levels, and the tight supply situation is unlikely to change in the short term [1]

伦敦金属交易所（LME）公布数据显示，上周伦锌库存呈区间波动格局，整体库存有所回落，最新库 存水平为115,500吨。 上期所公布的数据显示，7月25日当周，沪锌库存继续回升，周度库存增加8.77%至59,419吨，增至逾三 个月新高。 注：一般来说，国内外交易所库存不断下降将对期价形成支撑，反之，则对期价有所利空。 2023年以来LME和上期所锌库存对比 以下为2025年7月以来LME和上期所锌库存数据：（单位：吨） ...

Group 1 - The U.S. government is attempting to reduce foreign dependence and enhance domestic production of critical minerals by extracting high-value minerals from tailings and abandoned mines, including rare earths, lithium, cobalt, and uranium [1] - Interior Secretary Doug Burgum has ordered modifications to streamline federal regulations and expedite project approvals for mineral recovery from coal reuse, tailings, and closed uranium mines [1] - The plan includes updating guidelines for federal funding support for these recovery projects and accelerating the review of proposed projects [1] Group 2 - The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has been tasked with mapping mineral tailings on federal lands and identifying locations rich in critical minerals [1] - Significant mineral sources have been identified, including tellurium in the Bingham Canyon copper mine tailings in Utah and zinc and germanium in the long-abandoned Tar Creek tailings in Oklahoma [1] - Rare earth elements have also been discovered in the clay layers of the Appalachian and Illinois basins [1] Group 3 - The initiative reflects a strong commitment to achieving mineral independence and ensuring the U.S. maintains a competitive edge in advanced technologies that power the future [1] - Adam Suess, Deputy Secretary for Land and Mineral Management, stated that accelerating the recovery of critical minerals from tailings helps to fully tap into the U.S. mineral resource potential, promoting national security and economic growth [2] - This move is part of the implementation of Trump's strategy to revitalize the U.S. mining industry, as the country has fallen behind in the extraction and processing of critical minerals [2]

Group 1 - LME copper prices fell on July 24, following a decline in US copper futures, amid increasing uncertainty as the deadline for US tariffs on copper imports approaches [1] - The three-month LME copper closed at $9,877.00 per ton, down $53.50 or 0.54% [2] - COMEX copper also decreased by 0.5% to $5.7925 per pound, after reaching a high of $5.9585 [3] Group 2 - The premium of COMEX copper over LME copper remains stable at 29%, still below the proposed 50% import tariff by President Trump [3] - Analysts suggest that any changes to Trump's tariff policy could lead to a decrease in the COMEX copper premium [3] - Over the past four months, copper inflows into COMEX warehouses increased by 163%, but the inflow has recently slowed down [4] Group 3 - The focus of the metal market is not only on the upcoming US copper tariff deadline but also on the upcoming US-China trade talks and investigations into key mineral imports [4] - Other base metals also experienced declines, with LME three-month aluminum down $4.00 (0.15%) and three-month zinc down $18.50 (0.65%) [4] - LME three-month tin fell by $227.00 (0.65%), closing at $34,626.00 per ton, after reaching a four-month high of $35,100.00 [4]

之前美国总统特朗普22日宣布，美国与日本达成贸易协议，美方将对日本进口商品的关税税率由25%降 至15%。 一位期货分析师表示："8月1日的最后期限正在临近，但没人知道哪些铜产品会受到影响，这让人难以 预测铜价未来的走势。" 其他基本金属方面，三个月期铝下跌0.21%，报每吨2,645.5美元；三个月期锌上涨0.47%，报每吨 2,875.5美元；三个月期锡上涨0.41%，报每吨34,995美元；三个月期镍上涨0.21%，报每吨15,605美元； 三个月期铅上涨0.17%，报每吨2,035.5美元。 7月24日（周四），伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜价周四小幅上涨，因对美国贸易谈判进展的乐观情绪升 温，不过美国铜进口关税的不确定性令交易商保持谨慎。 个月期铜上涨0.14%，最新报每吨9,944美元。 智利矿业部长和全球最大铜生产商--智利国营铜业公司(Codelco)董事长周三表示，他们尚未收到美国将 于8月1日征收50%铜关税的细节。美国大部分进口的精炼铜均来自智利。 据证券时报网报道，当地时间23日，美国总统特朗普表示，将对世界其他大部分国家征收15%至50%的 简单关税。特朗普还说，美国正在与欧盟进行认真谈 ...

Group 1 - LME inventory has decreased significantly from approximately 4,800 tons at the beginning of the year to 1,690 tons, representing a cumulative reduction of 65%, reaching a near two-year low [1] - The low inventory levels have increased the risk of short selling in LME tin, with a major holder owning 50-79% of the warehouse receipts, and concentrated long positions in the near term [1] - The LME 0-3 spot premium has expanded significantly, leading to a substantial increase in night trading for LME tin, which in turn has driven up domestic tin prices [1] Group 2 - China's tin ingot imports saw a slight decline in June, while exports increased, with the overall import level expected to decrease due to a persistently closed import window and low profit margins [2] - The domestic supply of refined tin is under pressure, with expectations of substantial outflows of tin ore in Q4 due to the reopening of mining operations in Myanmar [2] - The consumption side is facing challenges, particularly in the photovoltaic sector, which is suppressing solder demand, and the electronics and automotive electronics sectors are entering a seasonal downturn, leading to weak order growth [2]

Group 1 - LME copper prices reached a two-week high, supported by a trade agreement between the US and Japan, with prices closing at $9,930.5 per ton, up $11 or 0.11% [1] - COMEX copper prices increased by 1.84% to $5.8265 per pound, with a record high of $5.93 earlier, driven by the anticipation of a 50% tariff on imported copper by the US starting August 1 [3] - The market sentiment improved following the US-Japan trade agreement, contributing to a rise in global stock markets and increasing investor interest in potential US-China trade agreements [3] Group 2 - Concerns over copper supply surplus persisted, with a reported surplus of 272,000 tons in the first five months of the year, leading to pressure on the market [4] - LME three-month aluminum prices fell by $7.5 or 0.28%, closing at $2,651.0 per ton, marking the worst performance among base metals on that day [4] - LME three-month tin prices rose by $945 or 2.79%, closing at $34,853.0 per ton, indicating strong demand despite overall market pressures [5]

Core Viewpoint - The tin market is experiencing a weak demand season, with limited fundamental drivers and fluctuating macro sentiments impacting prices. The main contract closed at 268,540 yuan/ton, up 0.42% despite a cooling demand environment [1][2]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Tin downstream demand is currently weak due to the off-peak season, with a notable decline in orders from the home appliance sector and a significant drop in photovoltaic orders following the end of the rush for installations [2]. - In June, China's imports of tin concentrate slightly decreased compared to May, with supply remaining relatively tight domestically. The main sources of increased imports were the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Myanmar, with a significant rise from the former [1]. - The supply side continues to show low operating rates at smelters, and the industrial supply of tin concentrate remains tight, contributing to a subdued market environment [2]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Price Movements - Recent price increases have been met with a lack of actual transactions, as traders report a high price level and downstream participants exhibit a cautious stance, leading to a generally quiet trading atmosphere [2]. - The market is expected to remain under the influence of macroeconomic policies, with tin prices likely to experience fluctuations at high levels in the short term [2]. - The overall trading performance is characterized by a weak demand environment, with the market maintaining a low level of activity as consumer acceptance of current tin prices remains low [2].

虽然美国铝业有很多美国国内生产，但其也依赖于加拿大的业务来满足需求。该公司在魁北克拥有三家 冶炼和铸造厂，主要为美国客户提供服务。该公司是美国最大铝供应商之一，但由于美国对进口铝加征 关税，该公司现在正在重新安排货物路线。 7月21日（周一），美国铝业公司（Alcoa）首席执行官Bill Oplinger警告称，美国关税政策迫使该公司 旗下加拿大增长性项目暂停。 Bill Oplinger称，如果继续对进口铝加征关税，这家美国金属产商可能需要向加拿大政府寻求帮助。 他表示，该公司需要等到8月1日才能决定其是否会寻求加拿大政府的财政或其他方面的援助，以支持该 公司在魁北克的铝业务。 上周五，他在接受媒体采访的时候表示，"公司魁北克项目的盈利能力受到了严重影响。这种情况持续 的时间越长，对魁北克资产竞争力的损害就越大。加拿大政府也明白这一点。" 美国铝业遭遇的挑战表明，美国对进口铝加征关税旨在促进美国制造业的发展，但现在却损害了美国最 大的铝生产商，从可乐罐到汽车的所有产品都使用这种金属。 "我们正在尽一切可能将通常运往美国的（铝）供应运往全球其他地区。" 该公司称，如果关税保持不变，该公司可能会考虑游说加拿大联 ...