更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 重要提醒 ...

法律声明 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 ...

重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 ...

⾯对下半年⼤国博弈加剧、全球产业链重构的复杂环境，投资者如何精准锚定⽅ 向，把握财富机遇？ 国泰海通2025中期策略会将于6⽉4⽇启幕，当⽇13:30⾄17:00，君弘推出特别直播带 您现场直击！ 全球视野解析市场脉动，专业领航发掘投资价值，共同迈向"转型⽜"。 △欢迎扫描二维码预约视频直播 精彩内容 君弘特别直播现场直击 策略会现场实况大公开 首席访谈专区实时陪伴守候 首席投顾&分析师&资产配置官 轮番上阵 展望市场走势、热门板块机会， 解读主题投资、资产配置思路， 专业护航投资 君弘视频直播带您现场直击国泰海通2025年中期策略会，投资者可以跟随镜头聆听宏观、策 略、新股研究、量化投资、固定收益研究等多位首席分析师演讲，获取最新出炉的下半年投资 观点。 02 亮点二：深度解读，"首席对话" 深度解析 理财方案 新鲜出炉的A股研究观点如何适配个人投资？普通投资者该如何调整决策，提高投资胜率？除了获取首 席分析师演讲中的核心观点，本次君弘中期策略会直播特设的"首席对话"访谈专区，将由首席投顾、首 席宏观&策略配置官等与投资者在线对话，深度解析下半年A股投资观点、大类资产配置思路、主题赛 道的投资逻辑，助力投资 ...

本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 亦可联系对口销售获取 重要提醒 更多国泰海通研究和服务 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the recovery of leading brands in the home appliance industry, which is driving industry concentration and a shift in pricing strategies as companies aim to regain market share by 2025 [1] - Domestic sales are experiencing seasonal price reductions, while leading brands are changing their strategic direction to focus on structural improvements rather than just market share [1] - The external market is benefiting from brands expanding overseas and a fragmented production capacity, which enhances supply chain resilience and adaptability to changing trade policies [1] Group 2 - New consumer trends are emerging, including high aesthetic product designs that fulfill emotional and ritualistic needs, the integration of AI and robotics in home appliances, and an upward trend in smart short-distance transportation tools [1] - Investment recommendations include a positive outlook on leading brands' market share growth both domestically and internationally, opportunities in niche markets driven by new consumer trends, and potential for companies undergoing business model transformations to create new growth avenues [1]

每周一景： 云南玉龙雪山 点击右上角菜单，收听朗读版 【策略 】 全球外资流出美股，流入中国资产 市场定价状态：市场整体交易热度 略有下降，行业轮动强度下降。 1 ）市场情绪（下降）：本期国泰海 通资金流入强度指数整体有所抬升， 市场交易热度略有下降， 全 A 日均成交额从 1.17 万亿降至 1.09 万亿，上证指数换手率分位数回落至 58% ，创业板换手率分位数回落至 39% 。 日均涨停家数抬升至 80 家，最大连板数为 5 个，封板率升至 74% ，龙虎榜上榜家数降至 67 家。 2 ）赚钱效应（下降）： 本期个股收涨比例回落至 60% ，全 A 个股周度收益中位数回落至 0.75% ； 3 ）交易集中度（上 升）：国泰海通行业轮动指数转为下降，一级行业前五成交额占比底部有所回升，本期行业换手率历史分 位数处于 90% 以上的行业有 2 个，环比出现下降，其中换手率分位数超 90% 的行业为综合金融和食品 饮料。 A 股资金流动：本期多种资金流入 A 股市场， ETF 资金流入超百亿。 1 ）公募：本期偏股基金新发规 模边际降至 92.3 亿，存量公募基金仓位下降 0.5% ； 2 ）私募：近期私募仓 ...

Group 1: High School Education Industry - The high school education industry is expected to have a population dividend for another 7-8 years, with the eligible population born between 2008-2010 (ages 15-17) [1] - Policy support is driving the expansion of high school education, transitioning from vocational-general separation to integration [1] - The graduation rate of regular high schools in China is gradually approaching that of developed countries, indicating significant improvement in education accessibility [1] Group 2: Emotional and Experiential Consumption - Emotional value and experiential consumption are rapidly translating into commercial value, addressing underlying psychological needs across different social stages [1] - The craftsmanship and added value of gold products are increasing, with innovations catering to young consumers' aesthetic and preservation needs [1] - The tea and coffee sectors are undergoing product, channel, and technological iterations, showing structural high growth potential [1] Group 3: AI Commercialization and Retail Innovation - New technologies, particularly AI, are being applied to new physical devices like AI glasses and toys, with significant advancements in efficiency and commercialization in HR services, e-commerce, and education [2] - Traditional retail is under pressure but is experiencing strong transformation dynamics, shifting core competencies from site selection to product selection [2] - New retail channels, such as discount snacks and urban outlet stores, are achieving economies of scale, while instant retail leverages fulfillment efficiency to capture market share [2]

Group 1: Shipping Industry - The core viewpoint highlights the ongoing impact of tariff policies and the need to monitor the restructuring and differentiation of shipping alliances. The past five years have seen two cycles of high prosperity, with an increase in profit margins. The sustainability of this prosperity will depend on tariff and economic expectations, especially as trade tensions escalate in the first half of 2025. The market is expected to face pressures from larger vessels and supply constraints, alongside ongoing trade friction, necessitating attention to the reshaping of global trade patterns [1]. - The dry bulk shipping sector is anticipated to see a gradual recovery in demand driven by iron ore production increases. The post-pandemic recovery is expected to lead to moderate growth in 2023-2024, but demand growth may taper off in the first half of 2025 due to production cuts in some steel mills. The global iron ore production cycle is beginning, particularly with the imminent launch of the West Simandou mega project, which could lead to demand exceeding expectations [1]. Group 2: Oil Shipping - The oil shipping sector is projected to benefit from increased crude oil production, which is favorable for demand, and has the potential for a downside option with falling oil prices. The market is expected to see an upward trend in prosperity from 2022 to the first half of 2024, with a significant rebound in freight rates due to a recovery in oil price levels and the escalation of sanctions on Iran. The supply of oil tankers remains rigid, and the oil shipping supply-demand balance is expected to continue improving over the next two years [1]. - The strategy maintains a bullish rating on oil shipping, emphasizing the potential for reverse layout opportunities. The profitability of oil shipping companies is expected to be robust, benefiting from the rising market conditions. Market expectations are at a low point, with dividend yields supporting valuation floors, making the risk-reward ratio attractive, especially in light of geopolitical situations that may present reverse opportunities [2].

重要提醒 更多国泰海通研究和服务 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 亦可联系对口销售获取 ...