1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report In Q2 2025, the convertible bond market generally followed the trend of the equity market, with the convertible bond index rising. However, the scale of convertible bonds held by funds decreased, and the convertible bonds of the banking industry were significantly reduced. Different types of funds showed different trends in holding convertible bonds, and the performance of convertible bond funds was stronger than that of the Wind All - A Index and the CSI Convertible Bond Index [2][3][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 2025 Q2 Market Review - Most major market indices rose, except for the Shenzhen Component Index. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.8%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.3%, the ChiNext Index rose 1.2%, the Wind All - A Index rose 3.0%, and the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 3.3%. The convertible bond market generally followed the trend of the equity market, and the conversion premium rate decreased from 46.58% on April 1 to 44.09% on June 30 [2][14]. 3.2 Fund Holding Convertible Bond Behavior Analysis 3.2.1 Fund Holding Convertible Bond Total Scale Change - As of the end of Q2 2025, the balance of the convertible bond market was 660.618 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.389 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter. The scale of convertible bonds held by funds was 272.825 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.457 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter, a year - on - year decrease of 1.21% and a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 3.35%. The proportion of the market value of convertible bonds held by funds to the balance of the convertible bond market was 41.30%, an increase of 1.03 percentage points compared with Q1 2025 [16][17]. 3.2.2 Various Types of Funds Holding Convertible Bond Scale Change - In Q2 2025, the secondary hybrid bond funds held the largest scale of convertible bonds, with a market value of 8.5867 billion yuan, followed by the primary hybrid bond funds with a market value of 7.2656 billion yuan. The secondary hybrid bond funds reduced their holdings of convertible bonds by 8.14 billion yuan, while the primary hybrid bond funds increased their holdings by 6.05 billion yuan [23][29]. 3.2.3 Fund Positioning Behavior Analysis - **Industry Distribution**: The convertible bonds of the banking sector were still the main allocation direction of funds. In Q2 2025, the top five industries with the largest scale of convertible bonds held by funds were banking, power equipment, basic chemicals, electronics, and non - ferrous metals. The convertible bonds of the banking industry were significantly reduced by over 14 billion yuan, while those of basic chemicals, non - banking finance, electronics, automotive, and pharmaceutical biology industries were increased by over 500 million yuan [37][40]. - **Individual Bond Distribution**: At the end of Q2 2025, among the top 5 convertible bonds held by funds, 4 were bank - related convertible bonds. The Bank of Shanghai Convertible Bond was the individual bond with the largest increase in holdings, followed by the Hebang Convertible Bond [45][47]. - **Rating Situation**: Among the convertible bonds held by funds, the proportion of AA - rated convertible bonds was relatively high, with 143 bonds, accounting for 30.82% [53]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Fund Holding Convertible Bond Behavior Analysis 3.3.1 Convertible Bond Fund Scale Change - As of the end of Q2 2025, there were 38 convertible bond funds in existence, holding a scale of 40.229 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.201 billion yuan from the previous quarter [56]. 3.3.2 Convertible Bond Fund Positioning Behavior Analysis - **Industry Distribution**: Convertible bond funds held the largest market value of bank - related convertible bonds, with a scale of 6.917 billion yuan. The convertible bonds of the non - banking finance industry were increased by 413 million yuan, while those of the banking industry were reduced by 1.583 billion yuan [57][59]. - **Performance**: In Q2 2025, the average return rate of convertible bond funds was 3.50%, the median return rate was 3.43%, and the average return rate of the top 10 convertible bond funds was 4.98%. The performance of convertible bond funds was stronger than that of the Wind All - A Index and the CSI Convertible Bond Index [63].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the food and beverage industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The liquor sector is currently in a deep value zone, with the CITIC liquor index showing a rebound and a dividend yield of 3.72% as of July 25, 2025, indicating strong profitability and willingness to distribute dividends [1][13]. - The restaurant supply chain is undergoing active transformation, with companies like Weizhi Xiang expanding their product categories and enhancing their sales channels, particularly in lower-tier cities [2][14]. - The snack food sector is focusing on steady growth in store openings and exploring new product categories, with companies like Wancheng Group adapting to market demands [3][15]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - The CITIC liquor index has seen a rebound, with a dividend yield of 3.72% as of July 25, 2025, placing it in a deep value zone [1][13]. - The cumulative net profit for the liquor sector is projected to reach 166.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 71% [1][13]. - The proportion of actively managed equity public funds holding liquor stocks has decreased to 5.1%, indicating significant clearing of positions [1][13]. - The market price of Moutai has dropped over 10% since the announcement of austerity measures, impacting confidence in the market [1][13]. Restaurant Supply Chain - Weizhi Xiang is actively transforming its channels, expanding product categories, and enhancing its online presence to boost sales [2][14]. - The company is also focusing on expanding into lower-tier cities and encouraging franchisees to open multiple stores [2][14]. - The B-end group meal channel has shown significant growth, with expectations for further expansion [2][14]. Snack Food Sector - Wancheng Group is maintaining a steady pace of store openings, with an increase in customer traffic despite a slight decline in average transaction value [3][15]. - The company is transitioning from rapid expansion to improving operational efficiency and brand building [3][15]. - New product categories are being explored, including collaborations with local suppliers for baked goods [3][15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining positions in dairy and snack sectors, recommending companies like Yili and Yanjinpuzi for core holdings [4][43]. - It also advises flexible trading in underperforming sectors with potential for recovery, such as Lihai Food and New Dairy [4][43]. - For the liquor sector, it recommends focusing on companies with better competitive positioning, such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye [4][43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) opens significant international market opportunities for the company, allowing it to leverage GSK's global sales capabilities [2][3] - The upfront payment of $500 million from GSK and potential milestone payments of approximately $12 billion highlight the company's recognized innovation and development capabilities [2][3] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the company's market value and solidify its position as a leading innovator in the domestic pharmaceutical sector [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 83.3 billion, 90.1 billion, and 101.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting increases of 22.7%, 12.5%, and 11.2% [3] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are estimated at 45, 42, and 37 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - Revenue is expected to grow from 22.82 billion yuan in 2023 to 41.26 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 11.06% [10] Revenue and Profitability Metrics - The company's revenue growth rates are projected at 7.26% for 2023, 22.63% for 2024, and 23.09% for 2025 [10] - The gross margin is expected to remain strong, with estimates of 84.6% in 2023 and 87.3% in 2027 [12] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 10.63% in 2023 and stabilize around 12.97% by 2027 [12] Market Position and Strategic Initiatives - The agreement with GSK allows the company to license up to 11 projects, significantly expanding its international pipeline [2] - The company has 19 innovative drugs approved for sale in China and over 90 products in clinical development, indicating a robust pipeline for future growth [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 36.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for H1 2025, reaching 10.737 billion yuan, and a 37.2% increase in net profit, amounting to 2.375 billion yuan [5] - The product matrix of "dual engines + multiple categories" is continuously improving, positioning the company as a comprehensive beverage group [6][9] - The company is expanding its market presence with a robust channel network, having 3,279 distributors and reaching over 420 million active terminal points [9] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.737 billion yuan, a 36.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.375 billion yuan, up 37.2% [5] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 5.889 billion yuan, reflecting a 34.1% year-on-year growth, with net profit at 1.395 billion yuan, a 30.8% increase [5] Product Breakdown - Energy drinks generated 8.36 billion yuan in revenue for H1 2025, a 21.9% increase, while electrolyte drinks saw a significant rise of 213.7%, reaching 1.49 billion yuan [6] - The company is expanding its product offerings, including large packaging for electrolyte drinks and new tea and coffee products [6][9] Sales Model - Revenue from distribution, key accounts, and online sales for H1 2025 was 9.35 billion yuan, 1.09 billion yuan, and 290 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 35.1%, 47.0%, and 53.8% [6] - The key account channel showed strong performance, contributing to overall revenue growth [6] Regional Performance - Revenue from various regions showed significant growth, with North China experiencing a remarkable 73.0% increase year-on-year [6][9] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 45.1%, a 0.5 percentage point increase year-on-year, driven by lean management and lower PET costs [8] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was approximately 22.1%, reflecting a slight increase [8] Future Outlook - The company has raised its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 4.553 billion yuan, 5.801 billion yuan, and 7.000 billion yuan respectively [10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 33x for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural chemicals industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The China Pesticide Industry Association has initiated a three-year "Rectification and Governance" action to address issues such as hidden additives, illegal production, and disorderly competition in the pesticide industry. This initiative aims to improve market order, enhance product quality, and strengthen compliance awareness among enterprises by the end of 2027 [3][4]. - The central government has shown a strong commitment to combating "involution" in the industry, emphasizing the need for self-discipline and the elimination of low-price competition. This includes the introduction of a new growth plan for the petrochemical and chemical industries [6][7]. - The pesticide industry is undergoing a structural optimization due to stricter environmental regulations, with a shift towards green, clean, and low-carbon production. The market is expected to see a rise in the use of high-efficiency, low-risk new chemical pesticides and biological pesticides, while phasing out older, more toxic products [8][9]. Summary by Sections Section 1: "Rectification and Governance" Action - The action prohibits the addition of hidden ingredients or unregistered active ingredients in products and aims to establish a credit information platform for pesticide companies [4][5]. - Companies are required to enhance quality control and resist using low-quality raw materials, while also promoting the improvement of product quality standards [5]. Section 2: Government Initiatives - The central government has frequently addressed the issue of "involution," indicating a strong desire to regulate industry competition and promote the exit of inefficient capacities [6][7]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to introduce a growth plan for key industries, including petrochemicals and chemicals, to optimize supply and eliminate outdated production capacities [7]. Section 3: Industry Trends - The pesticide industry is experiencing a shift towards cleaner production methods, with policies aimed at reducing pesticide usage and promoting sustainable practices [8][9]. - The market concentration in the pesticide production sector is expected to increase, with a focus on green development and the exit of non-compliant small enterprises [9].

- The report tracks the performance of various fund products, highlighting that cyclical theme funds saw significant net value increases, with a gain of 5.97% as of July 25, 2025[2][39] - Passive index funds, particularly those focused on rare metals, building materials, and coal, performed well, with the median net value change for stock passive index funds being 2.32%[2][45] - The ETF market saw significant inflows into cyclical and manufacturing theme ETFs, with Hong Kong ETFs continuing to attract substantial inflows, totaling 95.45 billion yuan[3][57] - The report also monitors the high-frequency positions of active equity funds, noting an increase of 0.53 percentage points in their positions compared to the previous week[3][67] - ESG financial products are tracked, with the green bond issuance market heating up, issuing 23 new green bonds with a total issuance scale of 32.919 billion yuan[4][73] - The report provides a detailed breakdown of the performance of different types of ESG funds, with active equity, stock passive index, and bond ESG funds showing median net value changes of 1.77%, 2.40%, and -0.25%, respectively[4][85]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - The US Treasury yield curve twist - flattened last week. Stronger - than - expected services PMI and declining initial claims reduced the possibility of near - term rate cuts. Trade developments decreased trade uncertainties and fueled risk - on sentiment, leading to UST selloffs. Trump shifted his strategy regarding the Fed. Looking ahead, the Fed is expected to hold rates in July, but may be open to a September cut. The US Treasury is expected to maintain current coupon issuance sizes and potentially increase long - end buybacks [3][4][5] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Secondary Market Recap - The US Treasury yield curve twist - flattened last week. Manufacturing PMI was disappointing, but services PMI was stronger - than - expected and initial claims declined, reducing the chance of near - term rate cuts. Trump reached trade agreements with Japan, the Philippines, and the EU. Japan's auto sector got tariff relief after pledging $550bn investment in the US. Reduced trade uncertainty promoted risk - on sentiment and led to UST selloffs. Trump changed his approach towards the Fed [3][4] - This week, the focus is on the July FOMC meeting and QRA. The Fed is expected to hold rates with Waller and Bowman dissenting. Tariff - induced price pressures and Trump's tariff increase support Powell's patient approach to rate cuts. However, the Fed may signal openness to a September cut. The US Treasury is expected to keep current coupon issuance sizes and guidelines unchanged and may increase long - end buybacks [4][5][6] - Yields on 2 - year and 5 - year Treasury notes rose 5bp and 1bp respectively, while 10 - year yield fell 3bp. China's credit bonds performed well, with China IG and HY bonds strengthening 3bp and 13bp respectively. China CDS and iTraxx Asia ex - Japan IG CDS tightened 2bps and 3bps respectively [2][7][12] Sector Performance - Financial sector mostly strengthened. AMC spreads compressed further. CFAMCI led gains, and China CITIC Financial AMC's stake increase in China Everbright Bank was credit - positive. CCAMCL 30s tightened to a historical low. In leasing, FRESHK 28s tightened, and the sale of Seaco by Bohai Leasing could drive AVOL spreads tighter. FWDGHDs performed strongly, and AT1s were mixed [8][13] - Tech sector was mixed. After SAMR's regulation on promotions, BABA 35s and JD 30s tightened, while MEITUA 30s widened. AACTEC 31s outperformed with 5bps of tightening [9][14] - Other IG Bonds were generally quiet. HAOHUA 30s and SINOCH 31s held flat. China's new dam project in Tibet may benefit Power Construction Corp of China. CHPWCN perps rose, and HXCEME 25s was lifted. CNMDHL 30s and ZHOSHK 28s widened. In HK IG, COSCO requested rights in the Hutchison Ports deal, Hutchison Port's profit increased, and CKHH curve tightened [10][14] - High - yield corporate sector was relatively quiet. VNKRLE 27s added 0.5pts. NWDEVL bonds were range - bound. West China Cement expected an 80% - 100% YoY jump in 1H25 profit, and its 2026s rose nearly 4pts [11][15] Primary Market - China Mengniu Diary issued 3.5bn offshore RMB sustainable bonds, with 5 - year and 10 - year bonds priced at 2% and 2.3% respectively, significantly narrower than the initial guidance. The market认购 was enthusiastic, with the 5 - year and 10 - year bonds having final subscription amounts of 8.9bn RMB and 9.2bn RMB respectively [16][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel and non-ferrous metals sectors [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that the steel sector's profitability is expected to recover to historical average levels, supported by government policies aimed at phasing out outdated production capacity [4][5] - The report notes significant fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly in coking coal, and suggests monitoring the risks associated with futures price volatility [4] Liquidity Analysis - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -3.7 percentage points in June 2025, indicating a potential impact on market liquidity [11][20] - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index was 49.12 in June 2025, showing a slight month-on-month increase of 0.07% [11][20] Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - Rebar prices reached a new high for the year, increasing by 5.50% to 3450 CNY/ton [9][41] - The national average capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 90.81%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.08 percentage points [41] Industrial Products Chain - The operating rate for semi-steel tires was reported at 75.87%, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points [2] - Major commodity prices showed varied performance, with cold-rolled steel prices increasing by 6.42% [2] Subsector Performance - The prices of main coking coal and iron ore reached four-month highs, with coking coal prices at 1227 CNY/ton, up 6.6% [9][2] - The report indicates that the profit margins for titanium dioxide and flat glass are currently low, with flat glass margins at -58 CNY/ton [78][80] Valuation Metrics - The report notes that the PB ratio for the steel sector relative to the broader market is currently at 0.57, with historical highs reaching 0.82 [9][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.69%, with the best-performing sector being cement manufacturing, which rose by 13.13% [9] Export Chain - The PMI new export orders for China were at 47.70% in June 2025, indicating a slight month-on-month increase [3][9] - The CCFI composite index for container shipping rates was reported at 1261.35 points, down 3.24% [3]

Overall View - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sectors of Power Equipment, Public Utilities, and Environmental Protection, indicating a positive outlook for these industries [1][3][4]. Solar Energy - In the solar sector, the focus is on the rising attention towards silicon material "stockpiling," with a reasonable price benchmark set at 60,000 yuan/ton. The market is optimistic about supply-demand matching, leading to significant price increases in polysilicon futures [3]. - The convertible bond price of JA Solar has been adjusted down to 11.66 yuan, enhancing its value and leading to price increases. More solar companies are expected to follow suit [3]. - Key companies to watch include TBEA, Tongwei, Aiko Solar, and Trina Solar, particularly in segments with price elasticity like silicon materials and glass [3]. Hydropower - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project commenced on July 19, 2025, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan. The market is currently overly enthusiastic about turbine investments, leading to inflated stock prices for companies like Dongfang Electric [4]. - The report suggests focusing on Gas Insulated Transmission Lines (GIL), which have substantial investment potential, alongside traditional turbine investments [4]. Wind Power - The wind power sector is expected to benefit from "anti-involution" policies, with significant performance elasticity anticipated in the wind turbine assembly segment for 2026. The report notes a favorable output curve for wind power, which may lead to a recovery in development and sales [4]. - Key companies to monitor include Windar, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Goldwind, with a focus on the trend of larger turbine components and opportunities in offshore wind products [4]. Solid-State Batteries - The report expresses optimism for solid-state batteries, highlighting potential benefits from new tenders initiated by major lithium battery manufacturers. Companies like Hong Kong Technology and Xiamen Tungsten are recommended for investment [5]. Energy Storage - The introduction of new pricing policies for large-scale energy storage in Gansu is expected to improve independent storage IRR. The report anticipates a high level of bidding activity in the domestic energy storage market due to consumption pressures and improved business models [5]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Sungrow Power Supply, Goodwe, and Deye [5]. Public Utilities - As of July 25, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is reported at 650 yuan/ton, reflecting an increase from the previous week. The report also notes stable prices for imported thermal coal [36]. - In June, the total electricity consumption in China reached 867 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, with significant increases in consumption across various sectors [37].

Revenue Analysis - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of national general public budget revenue from January to June 2025 is -0.3%, unchanged from the previous value[1] - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of general public budget expenditure is +3.4%, down from +4.2%[1] - Government fund budget revenue shows a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of -2.4%, improving from -6.9% previously[1] Tax Revenue Insights - In June, tax revenue shows a year-on-year growth of +1.04%, an improvement compared to May[3] - The domestic consumption tax in June increased by +1.96%, while the vehicle purchase tax rose by +5.99%, indicating a positive contribution from automotive consumption[4] - The corporate income tax grew by +2.73%, reflecting a low base effect, but remains lower than the growth rate of value-added tax[4] Government Fund Performance - Government fund budget revenue in June increased significantly by +20.8%, recovering from -8.1% the previous month, driven by land sales[25] - The expenditure of government funds in June surged by +79.2%, compared to +8.8% in the previous month, with land-related expenditures showing a year-on-year growth of +5.9%[25] Expenditure Trends - General public budget expenditure growth in June is +0.38%, a decrease of 2.25 percentage points from the previous month[15] - Infrastructure-related expenditure in June fell by -8.80%, while social security and health expenditures also saw declines[15] - The completion rate for general public budget revenue from January to June is 48.8%, lower than the average of the past five years[15]