Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [4][7]. Core Insights - The coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, with prices generally returning to levels before the recent uptrend. The market is now aware of the price decline, indicating that the bottom may be near. It is essential to understand the industry's fundamental attributes and maintain confidence and determination [3]. - As of April 2025, Australian coal exports totaled 104 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%. In April alone, exports were 26.53 million tons, down 3.7% year-on-year and 12.3% month-on-month [2][6]. - Domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) reporting losses as of March 2025. This trend may lead to both passive and active production cuts as prices continue to decline [3]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining Exports - In the first four months of 2025, Australian coal exports decreased by 8.1% year-on-year, totaling 104 million tons. April's exports were 26.53 million tons, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year decline and a 12.3% month-on-month decline [2][6]. Price Trends - As of May 16, 2025, coal prices showed mixed trends: Newcastle port coal (6000K) was priced at $99.0 per ton (up 0.1), while European ARA port coal was at $94.5 per ton (down 2.6) [35]. The IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $87.60 per ton (down 1.4) [35]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several coal companies, including: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) - Buy - Yancoal (600188.SH) - Buy - New Hope Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [7].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical industry, particularly focusing on innovative drugs and potential treatments for cancer cachexia [1][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights the complexity of cancer cachexia and the limited treatment options currently available, emphasizing the importance of developing targeted therapies [17][18]. - It identifies key companies to watch, including Changchun High-tech, Kexing Pharmaceutical, Sunshine Nuohuo, Shiyao Group, and Jinfang Pharmaceutical, which are involved in promising drug candidates [1][17]. - The report anticipates a structural bull market in the pharmaceutical sector, driven by innovative drugs and new technologies [3][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical index increased by 1.27% during the week of May 12-16, underperforming the ChiNext index but outperforming the CSI 300 index [1][12]. 2. Cancer Cachexia Insights - Cancer cachexia affects 60%-80% of cancer patients, with approximately 20% of these patients dying from it, highlighting the critical need for effective treatments [17]. - The report discusses the mechanisms of cancer cachexia, including metabolic abnormalities and inflammatory responses, which complicate treatment options [18][21]. 3. Potential Drug Targets - The report identifies GDF15/GFRAL and GHSR as key potential drug targets for cancer cachexia, with several companies developing therapies targeting these pathways [27][35]. - Notable drug candidates include ponsegromab by Pfizer, which has shown promising results in clinical trials [33]. 4. Investment Strategies - The report outlines investment strategies focusing on innovative drugs, including overseas big pharma, early-stage research, and undervalued generics [15][16]. - It emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency and restructuring the supply chain within the pharmaceutical industry [5][14]. 5. Future Outlook - The report predicts a favorable trading atmosphere for the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, with a high likelihood of structural growth driven by innovative drugs and new technologies [3][14].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 17 年 月 日 钢铁 关税不确定性下降改善经济预期 行情回顾（5.12-5.16）： 中信钢铁指数报收 1,560.36 点，下跌 0.02%，跑输沪深 300 指数 1.14pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 22 位。 重点领域分析： 投资策略：本周市场起伏不大，黑色商品处于低位震荡，产业产能利用率扩张导致 在以焦煤为首的原料大幅回落的情况下得以保持冶炼的盈利的稳定。周内中美关 税摩擦进入阶段性缓和，但未来不确定性依然很大。今年美国 1 季度累计进口商 品 1 万亿美元，同比增加 26%。库存的数量决定了美国谈判的紧迫性，因为随着 时间的推移，一旦一季度增加的 25 天体量的库存将逐渐消耗殆尽，关税影响对美 国消费和物价的影响就会开始显现，因此时间对美国显得更为急迫。对于中国来 说经济实际影响轻微，更多的影响体现在预期层面。关税的不确定性比关税本身 影响更大。不确定性会短期中断了原有经济恢复趋势下企业和居民预期改善过程， 企业也会减少库存和资本开支，对需求造成波动。目前暂时降低中国的关税，这次 贸易战对中国经济的负面影响会大 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业点评 gszqdatemark 2025 05 17 年 月 日 工业金属 铝土矿：几内亚政策导致供给扰动加剧，铝土矿资源价值凸显 事件：2025 年 5 月 14 日，几内亚总统马马迪·敦布亚（Mamadi Doumbouya）采取了强硬措施。根据总统令，政府将撤销 40 多家矿业公 司的工业和半工业采矿经营许可证，其中包含 7 家铝土矿企业。被撤销的 授权和证书将无偿归还国家。 几内亚政府撤销铝土矿经营许可证或影响产能超 4,000 万吨/年。几内亚 撤销经营许可证的 7 家铝土矿企业分别为几内亚铝业公司（Société des Bauxites de Guinée）、金博铝土矿公司（Bauxites de Kimbo）、非洲前进 资源公司（Société Forward Africa Ressources）、特丽莎矿业物流公司 （Société Teresa Mining Logistics）、兴荣矿业开发公司（Société Xing Rong Mining Development）、法科几内亚铝土矿公司（（Société Faco Guinea Bauxite）和阿克西斯矿产公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the blockchain industry, specifically focusing on stablecoins [4]. Core Insights - Stablecoins have emerged as essential tools in the cryptocurrency market, serving as a bridge between traditional finance and Web3.0, facilitating transactions and providing liquidity [7][30]. - The demand for stablecoins is driven by their ability to act as a "fiat currency" on the blockchain, enabling seamless integration with decentralized finance (DeFi) projects [8][12]. - The report highlights the increasing adoption of stablecoins by traditional financial institutions, indicating a trend towards institutionalization in the Real World Assets (RWA) sector [51][52]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights - Stablecoins originated in the early days of Web3.0 as a means to facilitate cryptocurrency transactions and have evolved into foundational tools for exchanges, DeFi, and RWA ecosystems [7]. - The success of stablecoins hinges on market trust, which is closely tied to their credit transmission mechanisms [7]. 2. The Necessity of Stablecoins - Stablecoins serve as a digital representation of fiat currencies on the blockchain, allowing for deeper integration with DeFi projects [8]. - The need for stablecoins arose from the limitations of traditional fiat currencies in the blockchain space, particularly regarding transaction speed and interoperability [9][10]. 3. RWA as a Key Application Area - RWA has become a significant driver for the cryptocurrency market, with traditional financial institutions increasingly adopting stablecoins to facilitate transactions [51]. - The report notes that the RWA market has shown resilience and growth, even amid fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices [49]. 4. Regulatory Considerations for Stablecoins - The report discusses the ongoing evolution of stablecoin regulation, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that fosters innovation while ensuring consumer protection [5]. 5. Credit Transmission Models for Stablecoins - There are three primary models for credit transmission in stablecoins: centralized issuance backed by reserves, decentralized issuance through collateralized assets, and algorithmic stablecoins [32]. - USDT, as a centralized stablecoin, relies on traditional market mechanisms for credit transmission, while DAI and USDS utilize decentralized models [33][39]. 6. Market Dynamics and Trends - As of May 3, 2025, the total issuance of stablecoins exceeded $240 billion, with USDT and USDC dominating the market [26][23]. - The report highlights the growing importance of decentralized stablecoins in the DeFi ecosystem, although centralized stablecoins still hold a significant market share [20][24].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 18 年 月 日 电力 重视增配电力板块，广东出台 136 号文承接细则 本周行情回顾：本周（5.12-5.16）上证指数报收 3367.46 点，上涨 0.76%，沪深 300 指数报收 3889.09 点，上涨 1.12%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2912.72 点，上涨 0.29%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.82pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜 第 18 位。 本周行业观点： 投资建议：广东发布 136 号文承接细则，聚焦增量项目，明确 90%机制电量比 例上限与长周期执行期限。相比广东，山东存量项目保守，增量项目细化竞争， 攻守兼备，推荐关注存量项目占比较高&短期收益确定性更优、以及中长期更具降 本增效优势的绿电运营商。随着电力市场化不断加深，辅助服务需求有望进一步 提升，建议重视灵活调节电源配置价值。建议关注重点火电标的：华电国际、华能 国际、大唐发电、建投能源；以及火电改造设备龙头：青达环保。推荐布局低估绿 电板块，推荐优先关注低估港股绿电以及风电运营商，建议关注新天绿色能源（H）、 龙源电力（H）、中闽能源、福 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 18 年 月 日 传媒 阿里开源全能视频模型，腾讯发布混元图像 2.0 模型 行情概览：本周（5.12-5.16）中信一级传媒板块下跌 0.67%。本周传媒板 块受市场影响下跌。2025 年传媒弹性方向看好 AI 应用、IP 变现及并购重组， AI 应用聚焦新应用的映射投资及部分较成熟应用的数据跟踪，重点关注多模 态产业方向。IP 变现聚焦有 IP 优势及全产业链潜力的公司，潮流玩具、影视 内容等方向有机会。并购重组重点关注国企方向，在国资委明确国企市值考核 的背景下，传媒国企诉求明显提升，部分国企资金优势明显。 板块观点与关注标的：1）资源整合预期：中视传媒、国新文化、广西广电、 唐德影视、吉视传媒、游族网络等；2）AI：荣信文化、奥飞娱乐、汤姆猫、 盛天网络、中文在线、易点天下、视觉中国、盛通股份、焦点科技、豆神教育、 世纪天鸿、佳发教育等；3）游戏：建议关注确定性强的神州泰岳、恺英网络、 巨人网络、吉比特，关注完美世界、ST 华通、冰川网络、华立科技；4）国企： 慈文传媒、皖新传媒、中文传媒、南方传媒、凯文教育、大晟文化等；5）教 育 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electric equipment industry [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a downward trend in silicon wafer prices, with significant reductions in transaction prices due to weak downstream demand, leading to a supply-side production cut [15][16] - The offshore wind sector is experiencing a surge in project activity, with multiple wind turbine tenders and installations scheduled for Q2 [16] - The hydrogen energy sector is advancing with a large-scale green hydrogen project in Gansu, aiming for over 10,000 tons of annual production [17] - The energy storage market is seeing competitive bidding with average prices for storage systems ranging from 0.422 to 2.29 RMB/Wh [23][26] - The solid-state battery technology is gaining traction, with companies like BETTERY launching comprehensive solutions for solid-state battery materials [30] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: Silicon wafer prices continue to decline, with N-type G10L wafers averaging 0.95 RMB/piece, a week-on-week drop of 5.94%. The industry operating rate has decreased to around 55% due to reduced demand [15][16] - **Wind Power & Grid**: The Huaren Shantou Honghai Bay offshore wind project has initiated turbine tenders, with a total capacity of 500MW. Q2 is expected to see significant performance releases in offshore wind [16] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: A green hydrogen project in Gansu is set to produce over 10,000 tons annually, contributing to carbon reduction efforts. The energy storage sector is witnessing a robust bidding environment with substantial project sizes [17][18] Energy Storage - The average bidding price for energy storage systems in May ranges from 0.422 RMB/Wh to 2.29 RMB/Wh, indicating a competitive market [23][26] - The report recommends focusing on domestic and international large-scale energy storage opportunities, highlighting companies like Sunshine Power and Shangneng Electric [26] New Energy Vehicles - BETTERY has launched a solid-state battery material solution, including high-nickel cathodes and silicon-based anodes, which are expected to enhance battery performance significantly [30][31] - The report emphasizes the long-term trend towards solid-state batteries and suggests monitoring companies involved in this technology [31]

根据 wind 统计，2025 年 4 月地方政府债总发行量 6932.91 亿元，发行金 额同比 2024 年 4 月增长 101.6%，截至目前，2025 年一般债发行规模 0.65 万亿元，同比-0.04 万亿元，专项债发行规模 3.18 万亿元，同比+1.71 万亿元。化债下加码政府财政压力有望减轻，企业资产负债表也存在修复 的空间，市政工程类项目有望加快推进，市政管网及减隔震实物工作量有 望加快落地，关注龙泉股份、青龙管业、中国联塑、震安科技。玻璃需求 季节性环比改善，但供需仍有矛盾：2025 年后玻璃需求持续下滑，3 月以 来需求开始边际改善，但供需仍有矛盾，关注价格下行后的冷修。消费建 材持续推荐：消费建材受益二手房交易向好、消费刺激等政策，且具备长 期提升市占率的逻辑，估值弹性大，持续推荐北新建材、伟星新材，关注 三棵树、兔宝宝、东鹏控股、蒙娜丽莎。水泥错峰停产加强：水泥行业需 求仍在寻底过程中，但企业错峰停产力度加强，水泥价格围绕行业平均不 赚钱波动，关注成本优势定价的龙头海螺水泥、出海标的华新水泥。玻纤 底部已现，关注风电纱涨价：玻纤价格战结束，价格已触底回升，同时风 电招标量快速增长，2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The rapid development of AI is driving operators to optimize their capital expenditures, with a clear trend towards structural optimization. Despite a decline in overall capital expenditures, investments in computing power are expected to grow or remain stable, indicating the operators' commitment to AI [1][21] - Cloud computing is experiencing a new growth curve catalyzed by AI, significantly enhancing its application potential. The roles of the three major operators in cloud infrastructure are being redefined as they deepen their investments in cloud construction [2][23] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on the computing power sector, particularly in optical communication and related companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng. It also highlights the importance of operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom in this space [8][14][31] Industry Trends - The report notes a significant slowdown in 5G user growth across the three major operators, with a total of approximately 1.2 billion 5G users. The average revenue per user (ARPU) is also declining, indicating intensified competition among operators [7][26] Operator Capital Expenditure - China Mobile plans to invest CNY 37.3 billion in computing power for 2025, accounting for 25% of its capital expenditures. China Telecom's computing power investment is projected to reach CNY 22 billion, a 22% increase year-on-year. China Unicom expects a 28% increase in computing power investment, exceeding CNY 18 billion [23][24][25] Market Performance - The report highlights that the optical communication index outperformed other segments within the communication sector, with a notable increase in stock prices for key players in the computing power industry [17][20] Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies within the computing power supply chain, including optical communication leaders and related technology firms, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing AI wave [8][31]