【2025 年 Q1 全球 AI 智能眼镜销量 60 万台，同比增速达 216%】2025 年 Q1 全球 VR 销量 133 万台，同比下降 23%，主要原因有 Vision Pro 基数 效应消退、PS VR2 与 Meta Quest 销量下滑、Pico 等其余品牌表现乏力。 2025 年全年预计销量为 611 万台。同期 AR 产品销量为 11.2 万台，与去年 基本持平。综合来看整体大环境消费行情下行，但中国消费补贴与海外信息 提示类 AR 填补了老牌 AR 头盔停产缺口。2025 年全年预计销量 65 万台，大 头为下半年光波导 AI+AR 新品。AI 智能眼镜 Q1 销量 60 万台，同比增长达 216%，主力产品 Ray Ban Meta 贡献 52.5 万台，雷鸟 V3 等新品增量显著。 AI 智能眼镜类产品全年预计销售 550 万台。值得一提的是，中美贸易战对 XR 与 AI 类产品都带来了极大的不确定性，如果关税没有豁免，近两年对 Meta 等产品的销量将会带来巨大冲击。 【Claude 网页版接入 MCP！10 款应用一键调用】Anthropic 宣布 Claude 两大更新："MCP ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [3][7]. Core Views - Xiaomi is advancing its high-end and international strategies, with smartphone shipments reaching 41.8 million units globally in Q1 2025, a 3% year-on-year increase, capturing a 14% global market share [1]. - In the domestic market, Xiaomi regained the top position with a 19% market share, achieving a 40% year-on-year growth in shipments [1]. - The IoT business is expected to see significant revenue growth driven by high-end products and international expansion, with plans to establish 10,000 Xiaomi Home stores overseas by 2029 [1]. - The automotive segment shows promising growth, with the SU7 Ultra model receiving over 10,000 orders within three days of its launch [2]. - Xiaomi has also launched its first open-source inference model, "Xiaomi MiMo," which outperformed competitors in public tests, indicating a strong position in AI hardware technology [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at CNY 488.6 billion, CNY 643.3 billion, and CNY 792.4 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 32%, and 23% respectively [3][5]. - Adjusted net profit for the consumer electronics segment is forecasted to be CNY 39 billion, CNY 49.6 billion, and CNY 59.1 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 17%, 27%, and 19% [3][5]. - The automotive segment is expected to contribute adjusted net profits of CNY 15 billion, CNY 100 billion, and CNY 173 billion from 2025 to 2027 [3]. - The report sets a target price of HKD 60 for Xiaomi Group based on a P/E ratio of 20x for 2026 estimates [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.115 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 148 million yuan, a significant increase of 338.3% year-on-year [1] - The chicken segment showed resilience with sales of 303,000 tons, up 3.1% year-on-year, despite a decline in average selling price by 4% to 9,759 yuan per ton [2] - The company has successfully optimized its customer and channel structure, maintaining a price premium of 630 yuan per ton over the industry average for two consecutive quarters [2] - Cost control measures have led to a 10% reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024, contributing to profitability in the chicken segment [2] - The deep processing food business generated 1.89 billion yuan in revenue, a slight decrease of 1.7% year-on-year, but the C-end retail sector experienced over 30% growth [3] - Investment income increased by 203.4% to 30 million yuan, primarily due to strong performance from the joint venture, Sun Valley [3] - The company expects net profits of 990 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 37.1%, 6.8%, and 13.8% [3] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 21.232 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.2% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 993 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 37.1% [5] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.80 yuan per share for 2025 [5] - The company maintains a P/E ratio of 20.7 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [5]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 02 年 月 日 地素时尚（603587.SH） 2025Q1 收入降幅收窄，期待全年业绩稳健增长 2024 年公司收入同比-16%/归母净利润同比-39%。1）2024 年公司收入为 22.2 亿元， 同比-16%；归母净利润为 3 亿元，同比-39%；扣非归母净利润为 2.5 亿元，同比-46%；非 经常损益主要系政府补助及公允价值变动损益。2）盈利质量：全年毛利率同比+0.4pct 至 74.8%；销售/管理/财务费用率同比分别+5.3/+1.6/+0.1pct 至 45.7%/8.7%/-2.0%（我们 判断销售费用率提升主要系直营渠道存在刚性费用）；净利率同比-5.0pct 至 13.7%。3）单 四季度：2024Q4 收入为 6.1 亿元，同比-25%；归母净利润为 0.2 亿元，同比-69%；扣非归 母净利润为 0.1 亿元，同比-89%。4）公司 2024 年合计拟分配现金股利 2.35 亿元，股利支 付率约为 78%，以 2025 年 4 月 30 日收盘价计算的股息率约为 4.2%。 2025Q1 公司收入同比-11 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.115 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 148 million yuan, a significant increase of 338.3% year-on-year [1] - The chicken segment showed resilience with sales of 303,000 tons, up 3.1% year-on-year, despite a decline in average selling price by 4% to 9,759 yuan per ton [2] - The company has successfully managed costs, achieving a 10% reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024, aided by the self-developed breed "Shengze 901Plus" [2] - The C-end business experienced rapid growth, with retail sales exceeding 30% year-on-year growth, despite overall pressure in the retail sector [3] - The company expects net profits to reach 990 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 37.1%, 6.8%, and 13.8% [3] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 21.232 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.2% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 993 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 37.1% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.80 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.7x [5]

为什么 Agent 对算力需求如此大 海外科技巨头业绩超预期，持续加大 AI 基建支出。1）谷歌：2025 年第一季度营收 902.3 亿美元，净利润 345 亿美元，均超预期。一季度谷歌云计算部门的收入同比增长 28%达 123 亿美元。谷歌将维持今年 2 月公布的资本支出计划，即 2025 年全年资本支出达到 750 亿美 元，用于建设数据中心等项目，较 2024 年的 530 亿美元显著增加。2）微软：截至 3 月 31 日的 2025 财年第三财季财报营收为 700.66 亿美元，同比增长 13%；净利润为 258.24 亿美 元，同比增长 18%，在云计算业务 Azure 强劲增长加持下业绩超过分析师预期。其中智能云 业务事业部营收为 267.51 亿美元，较上年同期的 221.41 亿美元增长 21%。剔除财务租赁 的资本支出达 167.5 亿美元，同比增长近 53%。2026 财年微软预计资本支出将继续增长， 但增速将低于 2025 财年，届时将包括更多短周期资产支出。3）Meta：2025 年第一季度营 收为 423.14 亿美元，同比增长 16%；净利润为 166.44 亿美元，同比增长 3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [3][7]. Core Views - Xiaomi's smartphone market share has returned to first place in China, with a global shipment of 41.8 million units in Q1 2025, representing a 3% year-on-year growth and a global market share of 14% [1]. - The company is advancing its IoT business with a focus on high-end products and international expansion, aiming to establish 10,000 Xiaomi Home stores overseas by 2029 [1]. - The automotive segment shows promising growth, with the SU7 Ultra model achieving over 10,000 orders within three days of its launch, and the company expects to meet or exceed its annual delivery target of 350,000 vehicles in 2025 [2]. - Xiaomi has launched its first open-source inference model, "Xiaomi MiMo," which outperformed competitors in public testing, indicating a strong potential for AI hardware integration in its products [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at CNY 488.6 billion, CNY 643.3 billion, and CNY 792.4 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 32%, and 23% respectively [3][5]. - Adjusted net profit for the consumer electronics segment is projected to be CNY 390 billion, CNY 496 billion, and CNY 591 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 17%, 27%, and 19% respectively [3][5]. - The automotive segment is expected to contribute adjusted net profits of CNY 15 billion, CNY 100 billion, and CNY 173 billion from 2025 to 2027 [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The report forecasts a non-GAAP EPS of CNY 1.6, CNY 2.4, and CNY 3.1 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][14]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 29 in 2025 to 15 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation as earnings grow [5][14]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 21.9% in 2025 to 23.5% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability across segments [14].

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 01 年 月 日 美格智能（002881.SZ） 全年业绩创历史新高，持续受益 AI 应用落地 事件：公司发布 2024 年财报及 2025 年一季报，24 全年公司实现营收 29 亿 元，同比增长 37%；实现归母净利润 1.4 亿元，同比增长 110%；扣非归母净 利润约 1.3 亿元，同比增长 244%，三项指标均创历史新高。25Q1 公司实现 营收 10 亿元，同比增长 74%；归母净利润 0.5 亿元，同比大幅增长 616%。 24 年业绩创历史新高，三大主要下游应用赛道均实现营收增长。从下游分类 来看，智能网联车领域营收保持高速增长态势，智能网联车业务营收占比持续 提升，主要得益于公司面向车载核心客户的 5G 智能座舱模组和车规级通信模 组，均实现持续稳定大批量出货；IoT 行业受海外客户智能化需求、国内端侧 AI 新应用推动，继续呈现增长态势，营收占比保持相对平稳；FWA 行业整体 营收规模小幅扩大。三大赛道景气度共振推动公司业绩持续增长。 毛利率略有下滑，成本管控能力进一步提升。24 全年公司整体毛利率为 17%， 较去 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The company is facing significant pressure on its performance, with a projected revenue decline of 20.5% in 2024 and a further decline of 31.6% in Q1 2025. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease by 11.9% to 1.95 billion yuan in 2024 and by 23.6% to 610 million yuan in Q1 2025 [1][4] - The company is adjusting its channel strategy and enhancing product innovation to cope with market challenges. This includes closing inefficient stores and increasing online business efforts [2][3] - The company is focusing on producing trendy products and enhancing its smart manufacturing capabilities to meet consumer demands [3] - The company is implementing deep reforms to promote long-term development, with a focus on high-quality growth [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 567.9 billion yuan, down 20.5% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 8.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected to be 1.95 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company expects a revenue of 175.2 billion yuan, down 31.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 610 million yuan, down 23.6% [1] Operational Strategy - The company is reducing the number of physical stores while enhancing its online presence, with a total of 5,838 marketing outlets at the end of 2024, a net decrease of 156 stores [2] - The company is also focusing on product innovation by launching series themed around national trends and collaborating with well-known IPs [3] - The company is enhancing its operational capabilities, with inventory decreasing by 4.1% to 11.82 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a continued decline in performance for 2025, with a projected revenue drop of 24% [4] - The long-term strategy includes optimizing channels and products to lay a foundation for future growth [4] - The company expects net profits for 2025 to be 1.48 billion yuan, a decrease of 24% [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 22.3 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -570 million yuan. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 100 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 448% [1][2] - The global sales of new energy vehicles reached 18.24 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with domestic sales at 12.87 million units, up 36%. In Q1 2025, global sales were 4.1 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29%, and domestic sales were 3.08 million units, up 47% [1] - The company's seat business generated 3.1 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, compared to 655 million yuan in the previous year, achieving annual breakeven for the first time [1] Financial Performance - In Q1, the company achieved a gross margin of 16.3%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 2.1%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement was primarily due to significant growth in the performance of its subsidiary, Grammer [2] - The company had a sufficient order backlog, with 21 projects for passenger car seats confirmed as of February 28, 2025, and a diverse customer base. The company is expanding its production bases in Europe and Southeast Asia [3] - Revenue from new products in 2024 included 400 million yuan from air outlets and 120 million yuan from vehicle refrigerators, with the latter achieving profitability [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 660 million yuan, 990 million yuan, and 1.35 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 16, and 12 times [3]