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多因子选股周报:动量因子表现出色,沪深300增强组合年内超额21.85%-20251227
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-27 07:50
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月27日 多因子选股周报 动量因子表现出色,沪深 300 增强组合年内超额 21.85% 核心观点 金融工程周报 国信金工指数增强组合表现跟踪 因子表现监控 以沪深 300 指数为选股空间。最近一周,一年动量、标准化预期外盈利、预 期净利润环比等因子表现较好,而一个月波动、三个月波动、三个月换手等 因子表现较差。 以中证 500 指数为选股空间。最近一周,预期净利润环比、标准化预期外盈 利、DELTAROE 等因子表现较好,而三个月波动、一个月波动、三个月机 构覆盖等因子表现较差。 以中证 1000 指数为选股空间。最近一周,一个月反转、单季营收同比增速、 标准化预期外收入等因子表现较好,而一个月波动、三个月波动、BP 等因 子表现较差。 以公募重仓指数为选股空间。最近一周,一年动量、预期净利润环比、单季 净利同比增速等因子表现较好,而三个月波动、一个月波动、EPTTM 等因 子表现较差。 公募基金指数增强产品表现跟踪 目前,公募基金沪深 300 指数增强产品共有 79 只(A、C 类算作一只,下 同),总规模合计 799 亿元。中证 500 指数增强产品共有 76 只,总规模 ...
主动量化策略周报:创板块领涨,四大主动量化组合本周均战胜股基指数-20251227
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-27 07:49
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月27日 主动量化策略周报 科创板块领涨,四大主动量化组合本周均战胜股基指数 核心观点 金融工程周报 国信金工主动量化策略表现跟踪: 本周,优秀基金业绩增强组合绝对收益 3.01%,相对偏股混合型基金指数超 额收益 0.33%。本年,优秀基金业绩增强组合绝对收益 32.05%,相对偏股 混合型基金指数超额收益-1.98%。今年以来,优秀基金业绩增强组合在主动 股基中排名 48.34%分位点(1677/3469)。 本周,超预期精选组合绝对收益 2.92%,相对偏股混合型基金指数超额收益 0.24%。本年,超预期精选组合绝对收益 44.40%,相对偏股混合型基金指 数超额收益 10.36%。今年以来,超预期精选组合在主动股基中排名 28.39% 分位点(985/3469)。 本周,券商金股业绩增强组合绝对收益 4.59%,相对偏股混合型基金指数超 额收益 1.91%。本年,券商金股业绩增强组合绝对收益 41.60%,相对偏股 混合型基金指数超额收益 7.57%。今年以来,券商金股业绩增强组合在主动 股基中排名 32.69%分位点(1134/3469)。 本周,成长稳健组合绝对收益 ...
热点追踪周报:由创新高个股看市场投资热点(第225 期)-20251226
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 13:35
- The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that have reached new highs, which are considered market indicators[11] - The report uses a 250-day high distance metric to represent new highs, calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{ day high distance} = 1 - \frac{Closet}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ where Closet is the latest closing price and ts_max(Close, 250) is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11] - As of December 26, 2025, the 250-day high distances for major indices are: Shanghai Composite Index 1.63%, Shenzhen Component Index 0.89%, CSI 300 1.91%, CSI 500 1.19%, CSI 1000 0.56%, CSI 2000 0.05%, ChiNext Index 2.42%, STAR 50 Index 12.56%[12] - The 250-day high distances for CITIC Level 1 industry indices are: National Defense and Military Industry 0.00%, Nonferrous Metals 0.00%, Building Materials 0.00%, Machinery 0.00%, Light Manufacturing 0.44%[13] - The 250-day high distances for some concept indices are: Forestry, Aerospace and Military Industry, Wind Power, Top Ten Military Groups, HJT Battery, Metals and Nonmetals, Gold[15] - As of December 26, 2025, 726 stocks reached new 250-day highs in the past 20 trading days, with the most in the Machinery, Electronics, and Basic Chemicals industries[19] - The highest proportions of new high stocks are in the National Defense and Military Industry, Petroleum and Petrochemicals, and Nonferrous Metals industries[19] - By sector, the most new high stocks are in Manufacturing and Technology, with 261 and 176 stocks respectively[20] - By index, the proportions of new high stocks are: CSI 2000 14.65%, CSI 1000 11.50%, CSI 500 15.20%, CSI 300 15.33%, ChiNext Index 15.00%, STAR 50 Index 6.00%[20] - The report identifies 50 "stable new high" stocks based on analyst attention, relative strength, trend continuity, price path stability, and new high persistence[24][27] - The most stable new high stocks are in the Cyclical and Technology sectors, with 21 and 15 stocks respectively[28]
热点追踪周报:由创新高个股看市场投资热点(第225期)-20251226
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 11:49
**Acknowledgement** **The authors thank the anonymous referee for the help and comments on the manuscript.** 证券研究报告 | 2025年12月26日 乘势而起:市场新高趋势追踪:截至 2025 年 12 月 26 日,上证指数、深 证成指、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000、中证 2000、创业板指、科创 50 指数 250 日新高距离分别为 1.63%、0.89%、1.91%、1.19%、0.56%、 0.05%、2.42%、12.56%。中信一级行业指数中国防军工、有色金属、建 材、机械、轻工制造行业指数距离 250 日新高较近,食品饮料、银行、 医药、综合金融、房地产行业指数距离 250 日新高较远。概念指数中, 林木、航天军工、万得风电、十大军工集团、HJT 电池、金属非金属、 黄金等概念指数距离 250 日新高较近。 见微知著:利用创新高个股进行市场监测:截至 2025 年 12 月 26 日,共 726 只股票在过去 20 个交易日间创出 250 日新高。其中创新高个股数量最多的 ...
长信科技(300088):触显模组龙头,布局智算新赛道
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 11:43
Investment Rating - The report gives an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [5][40]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in touch display modules and is positioned to benefit from the growth in automotive electronics and the adoption of new technologies such as foldable screens [3][32]. - The company has a strong market presence, being the largest manufacturer of ITO conductive glass globally and holding a 50% market share in TFT LCD substrate thinning [1][7]. - The automotive electronics segment is highlighted as a key growth area, with the company providing integrated touch display modules for over 70% of global vehicle brands [2][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2000 and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2010, the company specializes in the research, production, and sales of key components for flat panel displays, including ITO conductive glass and touch sensors [1][7]. - The company has established itself as a significant player in the automotive touch display market, with a comprehensive product range that includes 3D curved automotive cover plates and display modules [2][3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 88.89 billion, 110.58 billion, and 119.43 billion CNY for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.2%, 24.4%, and 8.0% [4][35]. - Net profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.92 billion, 5.17 billion, and 7.12 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 10.0%, 31.8%, and 37.6% [3][35]. Valuation - The report estimates a reasonable valuation range for the company's stock between 6.95 and 7.37 CNY, indicating a potential upside of 17.42% to 24.54% from the current price of 6.07 CNY [5][40]. - The valuation is based on a relative valuation method, comparing the company to similar firms in the industry [38][40]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is the only supplier in mainland China certified for thinning business by a major North American client, which enhances its competitive edge [1][2]. - The company has a robust client base, including major brands like Huawei, OPPO, and VIVO, which positions it well for future growth in high-end markets [1][2].
洁净室工程点评:为何洁净室能成为 AI 基建主线
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 09:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the cleanroom engineering sector is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][3]. Core Insights - The cleanroom engineering sector is becoming a key focus in AI infrastructure as capital expenditures shift towards engineering investments, with cleanroom projects representing a significant portion of this trend [5][6]. - Major companies in the cleanroom sector, such as Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration, are positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for cleanroom construction driven by the urgent expansion needs of leading firms like Micron [5][28]. - The cleanroom engineering segment is critical for the AI computing industry, accounting for approximately 60% of engineering investments related to chip production [16][18]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - From December to the present, major cleanroom sector stocks have seen significant increases, with Yaxiang Integration rising by 74%, Shenghui Integration by 60%, and Meiyai Technology by 52% [4]. Industry Dynamics - The cleanroom engineering industry is experiencing explosive growth in demand due to the global AI capacity expansion, which is currently constrained by limited construction capabilities [22][23]. - The complexity and customization of cleanroom projects create high entry barriers, resulting in strong customer loyalty and long-term relationships between clients and engineering service providers [25][27]. Future Outlook - As AI infrastructure transitions from procurement to construction, the proportion of capital expenditure directed towards engineering will significantly increase, making cleanroom engineering a central component of this evolution [6][28]. - The cleanroom engineering market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by the urgent needs of major clients and the limited supply of qualified engineering resources [23][28].
洁净室工程点评:为何洁净室能成为AI基建主线?
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 07:30
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月26日 洁净室工程点评 为何洁净室能成为 AI 基建主线? 优于大市 |  | 行业研究·行业快评 | |  建筑装饰·专业工程 |  投资评级:优于大市(维持) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师: | 任鹤 | 010-88005315 | renhe@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520040006 | | 证券分析师: | 朱家琪 | 021-60375435 | zhujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980524010001 | 国信建筑观点: 1)随着 AI 基建从备货采购步入到工程建设阶段,下游客户资本开支将发生结构性变化,工程投资占比将 显著上升,以洁净室工程为代表的工程产业链将成为新的主线环节;2)由于海外 AI 算力需求的爆发式增 长,而洁净室建设能力供给相对刚性,洁净室目前已成为制约全球 AI 产能扩张的核心瓶颈。美光等龙头 厂商扩产需求紧迫,急切希望缩短洁净室建设工期,因此不得不加价下单以优先获得工程资源,洁净室工 程"量价齐升"逻辑将得以持续强化。3 ...
晨会纪要-20251226
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 05:15
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月26日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | 行业与公司 | 数据日期:2025-12-25 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数(点) | 3959.62 | 13531.41 | 4642.53 | 14517.25 | 3938.41 | 1349.05 | | 涨跌幅度(%) | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.70 | 0.69 | -0.22 | | 成交金额(亿元) | 7850.18 | 11395.04 | 3853.56 | 4151.46 | 5262.93 | 448.28 | 【常规内容】 中国神华(601088.SH) 公司快评:千亿规模收购助力未来发展,龙头行稳 致远 中国海油(600938.SH) 公司快评:渤海海域获得亿吨级油田发现,国内油 气持续上产 金融工程 金融工程周报:股指分红点位监控周报-股指期货主力合约贴水幅度收窄 金融工程日报:沪指震荡攀升录得六连阳,商业 ...
国信证券晨会纪要-20251226
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 01:33
| 数据日期:2025-12-25 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数(点) | 3959.62 | 13531.41 | 4642.53 | 14517.25 | 3938.41 | 1349.05 | | 涨跌幅度(%) | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.70 | 0.69 | -0.22 | | 成交金额(亿元) | 7850.18 | 11395.04 | 3853.56 | 4151.46 | 5262.93 | 448.28 | 【常规内容】 行业与公司 医药生物行业 2025 年 12 月投资策略:推荐关注 CXO 板块 证券研究报告 | 2025年12月26日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | 中国神华(601088.SH) 公司快评:千亿规模收购助力未来发展,龙头行稳 致远 中国海油(600938.SH) 公司快评:渤海海域获得亿吨级油田发现,国内油 气持续上产 金融工程 金融工程周报:股指分红点位监控周报-股 ...
云天化(600096):子公司获云南镇雄磷矿采矿权,资源壁垒再加固
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-26 01:26
事项: 事件:云天化参股子公司取得云南镇雄碗厂 24.38 亿吨磷矿采矿权。云天化于 2025 年 12 月 25 日发布公 告披露其参股子公司云南云天化聚磷新材料有限公司(简称"聚磷新材")已于 12 月 23 日取得云南省镇 雄县碗厂磷矿的《不动产权证书(采矿权)》与《采矿许可证》。该矿区面积达 23.1564 平方公里,开采 期限至 2040 年 12 月,资源量约 24.38 亿吨、平均品位 22.54%,主采矿种为磷矿,共伴生氟矿。云天化目 前持有聚磷新材 35%股权,其控股股东云天化集团承诺 3 年内将聚磷新材控制权优先注入上市公司;此次 采矿权落地后,聚磷新材将打造磷基新材料产业园区,助力云天化实现磷资源高值高效利用,推动产业结 构升级与核心竞争力提升。 国信化工观点:1)此次聚磷新材取得的镇雄碗厂磷矿是国内少有的大型优质磷矿资源,公司磷矿资源储 备大幅增厚,筑牢成本与竞争壁垒;2)磷矿石稀缺属性持续强化,储能及动力电池驱动磷矿石需求上行; 3)磷矿石价格预期高位运行,矿增贡献的利润增量可期。 投资建议:公司作为化肥及磷化工龙头,资源与产业规模优势显著,我们维持公司 2025-2027 年归母净 ...