Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Views & Investment Suggestions - The third round of China-US trade negotiations will be held in Sweden, and the market should closely monitor the progress of these talks. The negotiations aim to postpone the scheduled tariff increase deadline of August 12, reflecting a pragmatic willingness from both sides to manage differences. The advancement of core tariff issues is a key support for current market sentiment, and a cautiously optimistic outlook is maintained for the prospects of a phased agreement [2][24]. - In July, 134 game licenses were issued, including 127 domestic games and 7 imported games, such as NetEase's "Diablo IV." The normalization of license issuance continues to support the healthy development of the industry, with major companies introducing significant IPs alongside original high-quality products, optimizing the supply structure and further releasing market vitality [2][24]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - In the week of July 21-25, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.67%, the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.69%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.76%. The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.86%, and the Hang Seng Internet Index increased by 2.27%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 0.41 percentage points. The SW Media Index rose by 2.15%, lagging behind the ChiNext Index by 0.61 percentage points, ranking 18th among 31 industries [1][11]. Sub-industry Data Film Industry - The top three films by box office for the week were "The Lychee of Chang'an" with a box office of 170.914 million yuan (25.6% market share), "Nanjing Photo Studio" with 152.25 million yuan (22.8%), and "The Legend of Lu Xiaobei 2" with 94.343 million yuan (14.2%) [27][28]. Gaming Industry - The top three iOS games by sales were "Honor of Kings," "Peacekeeper Elite," and "Love and Deep Space." The top three Android games by popularity were "Heart Town," "My Leisure Time," and "Staff Sword Legend" [30][31]. TV Series Industry - The top three TV series by broadcast index were "Drug Storm," "Morning Snow," and "Cherry Amber," with indices of 83.5, 82.9, and 80.8 respectively [33][34]. Variety Shows and Animation - The top variety show was "Running Man Season 9," followed by "Comedy King Stand-up Season 2" and "Talk Show and His Friends Season 2." The top three animated shows by viewership index were "Cang Yuan Tu," "Happy Hammer," and "Cloud Deep Not Knowing Dream" [34][36].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its layout both domestically and internationally, with significant breakthroughs expected in AI technology and cost reduction, leading to a strong demand for domestic core components [1][13][15] - The solid-state battery industry is progressing towards commercialization, driven by technological upgrades and the expansion of the supply chain, with companies expected to release new products and increase production capacity [2][18][19] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to return to an orderly competitive state due to the proposed price law amendments aimed at curbing "involution" competition, with upstream material prices rising and benefiting companies like JA Solar and Trina Solar [3][27][30] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - The industry is witnessing rapid advancements with major tech companies entering the market, leading to accelerated industrialization [1][14] - Domestic companies are expected to benefit significantly from the demand for localized core components [1][15] - Key players include Tesla, Unitree, and ByteDance, with significant product launches and production plans [14][17] New Energy Vehicles - The solid-state battery technology is identified as the next definitive direction for battery technology, with companies like Funeng Technology and Honeycomb Energy making strides in production [2][18][20] - The industry is experiencing rapid growth, with new models and technologies enhancing performance and reducing costs [20][21] - Companies with technological advantages and those expanding into new applications are expected to benefit [19][22] New Energy - The proposed price law amendments are set to improve market order and reduce excessive competition in the photovoltaic sector [3][26][27] - Upstream material prices are rising, which is expected to positively impact downstream component prices, creating rebound opportunities for companies like JA Solar and Trina Solar [27][30] - The industry is also seeing advancements in battery efficiency and production capabilities, with companies like Aiko Solar and LONGi Green Energy positioned to benefit [27][30] Power Equipment & AIDC - The demand for high-power density servers and cooling systems is expected to grow due to the rapid development of AI, benefiting the AIDC supply chain [8][19] - Companies involved in the production of power equipment and components for AI applications are likely to see increased demand [8][19]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of open and shared AI capabilities, highlighting the ongoing growth in the AI sector and the potential for significant investment opportunities in related companies [6][7] - The satellite internet sector is experiencing rapid development, with advancements in satellite constellations leading to increased communication capacity and reduced latency, alongside emerging applications in mobile broadband and intelligent driving systems [8][10] Summary by Sections AI and Computing Power - The AI sector is expected to maintain high growth due to strong overseas performance and elevated guidance, with short-term recommendations for companies benefiting from potential easing of chip bans, including Unisplendour, ZTE, and others [7][11] - Long-term growth in the computing power industry is anticipated, driven by advancements in inference computing and model upgrades, with key beneficiaries identified as NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication [7][11] Satellite Internet Development - The report notes a significant service interruption of Starlink for approximately 2.5 hours, affecting tens of thousands of users globally, while also highlighting ongoing breakthroughs in domestic inter-satellite laser communication [8][10] - Continuous recommendations for companies like Haige Communication and related beneficiaries such as Zhenlei Technology and Shanghai Hanhua are made, reflecting the robust growth in the satellite internet market [8][10] Communication Infrastructure - The report identifies key players in the communication infrastructure sector, including major operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, as well as equipment manufacturers such as ZTE and Unisplendour [11][12] - Recommendations extend to companies involved in optical network upgrades and edge computing, with specific mentions of optical module manufacturers and edge security firms [11][12]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From July 21 - 25, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1087.36 points, down 1.56% for the week, breaking below the 1100 - point mark, with a relatively large overall correction. The total market capitalization of the REITs market reached 204.7 billion yuan with 69 listed projects after the listing of CICC Principal Agricultural REIT [1][8]. - In terms of major asset classes, commodities and equities generally rose in July, while REITs had negative returns. Commodities performed strongly this week, with coking coal up 35%, and coke, lithium carbonate, polysilicon, soda ash, and glass up over 15%. The equity market rose between 1.5 - 3.5%, and indices such as the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, Hang Seng Tech, and CSI Convertible Bond all outperformed REITs [1][8]. Summary by Related Catalogs Secondary Market Price: The Rental Housing Sector Had the Largest Decline - All seven REITs sectors declined this week, with rental housing having the largest decline of 3.23%. Industrial parks and warehousing logistics were relatively more resilient. Eight rental housing REITs generally fell 3 - 5%. Some previously high - performing rental housing REITs like CRIC Wanke Shenzhen Rental Housing had a decline of about 3% this week. The average cash distribution rate of rental housing is 2.76%. REITs with high distribution rates such as Shanghai Real Estate Rental Housing and Chengtou Kuanting Rental Housing can be continuously monitored [2][13]. - In the highway sector, there were still differences among projects in June. Projects in the eastern economically active regions had better year - on - year performance in traffic volume and toll revenue. Huaxia Nanjing Traffic Highway REIT had the largest decline this week, but its operation has good resilience. Projects like China Merchants Highway and CICC Anhui Expressway had good fundamentals and can be continuously monitored [2][15]. Liquidity: Trading Activity Recovered - The overall market trading was relatively active this week, with the average daily trading volume of 583 million yuan, the average daily trading volume of 129 million shares, and the average daily turnover rate of 0.63%, up 17.72%, 15.22%, and 0.08 pct respectively from the previous week [20]. - By sector, the sectors with the highest average daily turnover rates this week were municipal environmental protection (1.06%), rental housing (0.78%), and consumer facilities (0.73%). Most sectors' turnover rates continued to decline compared with last week, except for consumer facilities and warehousing logistics, whose turnover rates slightly increased [23]. - Five projects were lifted from lock - up in July. With a large number of projects approaching the end of their lock - up periods from the second half of 2025 to the first half of 2026, potential trading pressure from recent lock - up expirations needs to be monitored [28]. Valuation: The Overall Decline Led to Valuation Adjustment - The overall decline of REITs this week led to valuation adjustments, and the distribution rate increased slightly. In terms of ChinaBond valuation yields, the energy infrastructure sector had the largest change in yield but still had the lowest yield among all sectors. The traffic (5.69%), warehousing logistics (5.09%), and industrial park (4.81%) sectors had relatively high yields [31]. - In terms of cash distribution rates, energy - related projects still had the largest change, with the average rising to 8.28%. For concession - based projects, the principal recovery situation should be considered when looking at the cash distribution rate. Among equity - based projects, industrial parks (4.33%), warehousing (4.11%), and consumer facilities (3.79%) had relatively high distribution rates, while the average distribution rate of rental housing was only 2.76% [31]. Primary Market Initial Offering: China Aerospace Tianhong Consumer REIT Has Been Filed - On July 22, 2025, China Aerospace Tianhong Consumer Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund was filed with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Tianhong Co., Ltd. has three major brands: "Tianhong", "Junshang", and "sp@ce", targeting the mid - to high - end consumer market [3][35]. - As of July 25, 2025, there were about 7 - 10 potential issuance projects remaining this year. There are 4 projects that have been approved and are waiting to be listed, 10 projects that have received feedback from the exchange, and 1 project that has been filed [35].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the public fund allocation ratio for the home appliance sector decreased by 15.4% to a market value of 99.56 billion yuan, with a public fund allocation ratio of 3.85%, down by 0.72 percentage points [9] - Among the sub-sectors, the black appliance segment saw an increase in public fund allocation, while the white and small appliances experienced declines [12] - TCL Electronics expects a net profit of approximately 950 million to 1.08 billion HKD for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 45% to 65% due to its focus on globalization and high-end product development [16][17] -泉峰控股 anticipates a net profit of approximately 90 million to 100 million USD for H1 2025, reflecting a 50% year-on-year increase driven by revenue growth and contributions from high-margin brands [18] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Topic: Q2 2025 Home Appliance Sector Fund Allocation - The public fund holding market value for the home appliance sector was 99.56 billion yuan, down 15.4% [9] - The allocation ratios for sub-sectors were as follows: white appliances (3.05%), small appliances (0.30%), black appliances (0.20%), appliance components (0.26%), kitchen and bathroom appliances (0.02%), and lighting equipment (0.01%) [12] 2. Key Company Announcements - TCL Electronics projects a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, driven by advancements in high-end display technologies and improved product competitiveness [16] -泉峰控股 expects a substantial profit increase due to growth in its proprietary brand business and favorable currency effects [18] 3. Data Tracking 3.1 Raw Material Data - LME copper price increased by 1.3% and aluminum price by 2.5% as of July 25, 2025 [19] 3.2 Shipping Rates and Exchange Rates - The CCFI composite index decreased by 3.24% as of July 25, 2025, with a slight decline in the USD to RMB exchange rate [24] 3.3 Real Estate Data - In the first half of 2025, the sales area of commercial housing decreased by 3.5%, with significant declines in construction and new starts [26]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, Newmont's attributable gold production was 1.48 million ounces (approximately 46.03 tons), a decrease of 3.9% quarter-over-quarter and 8.1% year-over-year, primarily due to the completion of non-core asset sales [2] - The average realized gold price in Q2 2025 was $3,320 per ounce, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 12.8% and a year-over-year increase of 41.5% [2] - The adjusted net income for Q2 2025 was $1.594 billion, representing a quarter-over-quarter growth of 13.5% and a year-over-year growth of 91.1% [6] Production and Operational Performance - Q2 2025 gold unit sales cost (CAS) excluding by-product revenue was $1,215 per ounce, a decrease of 1.0% quarter-over-quarter but an increase of 5.5% year-over-year [3] - The all-in sustaining cost (AISC) excluding by-product revenue was $1,593 per ounce, down 3.5% quarter-over-quarter but up 2.0% year-over-year [3] - The company expects approximately 50% of its gold production for 2025 to come from the second half of the year, with anticipated increases from Nevada and Yanacocha mines [8] Financial Performance - Newmont's sales revenue for Q2 2025 was $5.317 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6.1% and a year-over-year increase of 20.8% [4] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $2.997 billion, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 14.0% and a year-over-year increase of 52.4% [6] - Free cash flow for Q2 2025 was $1.710 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 41.9% and a year-over-year increase of 187.9% [7] Asset Divestiture and Guidance - Newmont has completed the sale of all non-core businesses and expects total proceeds from announced transactions to reach up to $4.3 billion, with $2.5 billion in net cash received so far in 2025 [12] - The company maintains its production guidance for 2025, with total attributable gold production expected to be 5.9 million ounces [15]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - The AI industry is expected to enter a "technology + policy" resonance upward cycle [4][40] - Major overseas companies are continuously advancing their AI businesses, with Google reporting a cloud revenue of $13.624 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year growth of 31.67% [12][17] - The World Artificial Intelligence Conference was successfully held, indicating China's leading position in the global AI revolution and the likelihood of supportive policies being introduced [2][25] - Global large model technology is expected to accelerate iteration, with OpenAI's GPT-5 anticipated to be released soon, integrating multiple internal technologies [3][40] Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Major Companies' AI Business Progress - Google reported Q2 2025 earnings with cloud revenue reaching $13.624 billion, maintaining a growth rate of approximately 30% since 2024 [12][17] - The search engine business also showed resilience, with revenue of $54.190 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.71% [20] - The Gemini application has over 450 million monthly active users, with a significant increase in daily requests [21][23] 2. Successful Hosting of the World Artificial Intelligence Conference - The conference featured over 800 companies and 3,000 cutting-edge exhibits, highlighting China's commitment to AI development [2][25] - Premier Li Qiang emphasized the importance of inclusive AI development and international cooperation during his speech [26][40] 3. Acceleration of Global Large Model Technology Iteration - OpenAI's GPT-5 is expected to be released soon, integrating various technologies to handle text, code, images, and tool calls [3][40] - The successful launch of GPT-5 could enhance confidence in the commercial application of AI technologies [3][40] 4. Investment Recommendations - Beneficial stocks include: - Large Models: iFlytek, Kunlun Wanwei [4] - AI Programming Applications: Zhuoyi Information, Dingjie Software, Hand Information [4] - AI Office Applications: Kingsoft Office, Foxit Software, Hehe Information [4] - AI Multi-modal: Wanjing Technology, Hongsoft Technology, Meitu Company [4] - AI Education Applications: Jiafa Education, Jingyeda [4] - AI Medical Applications: Weining Health, Jiahe Meikang, Rundata Medical [4]

[Table_Title2] 投资策略周报 [Table_Summary] ·市场回顾： 近期反内卷政策预期持续发酵，国内股票和商品市场均走强，债券市场则承压。股市方面，本周上证指数周线走 出"五连阳"，全 A 日成交额一度突破 1.9 万亿元，A 股宽基指数普涨；市场风格上，周期和成长风格领涨；行业 板块方面，水电、大基建、煤炭、有色金属等板块大涨。国内商品方面，反内卷相关的焦煤、玻璃、多晶硅、焦 炭等期货价格加速上行，进一步提振市场信心。 ·市场展望："反内卷"政策为 A 股上涨行情添一把火，寻找确定性主线。基本面来看，"反内卷"自上而下加速 落地，修正了部分投资者对经济长期低通胀的预期，A 股企业盈利得到提振；资金层面，二季度以来 A 股上涨行情 与"公募、私募仓位抬升、融资资金净买入"形成了正反馈效应，后续随着股市赚钱效应显现，居民增量资金入 市亦值得期待，下半年 A 股或有望冲击 2024 年高点。以下几个方面是近期市场关注的重点： ·行业配置上，寻找确定性主线：1）"十五五"规划相关新技术、新成长方向：如 AI 算力、机器人、军工、海洋 经济、固态电池等；2）受益于反内卷和涨价相关资源品方向。 风 ...

Market Overview - The equity market continued to strengthen from July 21-25, with the Wind All A closing at 5620.73, up 2.21% from July 18, and the China Convertible Bond Index rising 2.14% during the same period[1][8]. - Year-to-date, the Wind All A has increased by 11.93%, while the China Convertible Bond Index has risen by 11.82%[1][8]. Sector Rotation - The dominant sectors shifted from infrastructure to technology, driven by the commencement of the Yajiang Hydropower Station, which boosted market sentiment and funding participation[1][11]. - From July 21-25, the infrastructure narrative experienced three phases: a significant rise, a narrowing focus, and subsequent pressure, indicating a short-term adjustment in funding logic[1][18]. Investment Strategy - As the market approaches a period of macro events, including the Political Bureau meeting and US-China trade negotiations, maintaining a bullish mindset while employing a rotation strategy is crucial[2][41]. - The technology sector's declining heat and the strengthening of industrial narratives present ongoing investment opportunities, particularly in semiconductors and AI, which are expected to benefit from low-level rebounds[2][46]. Convertible Bond Valuation - As of July 25, the valuation of convertible bonds has reached historical highs, with the median price nearing 130 RMB, supported by strong market conditions despite the high valuation levels[2][52]. - The valuation centers for convertible bonds at various price points have increased, with the 80 RMB parity corresponding to a valuation center of 51.63%, up 1.82 percentage points from July 18[2][31]. Risk Factors - The rapid rotation of equity market styles and potential unexpected adjustments in the convertible bond market rules pose risks that investors should monitor closely[3][3].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Viewpoints - The commencement of the Yaxia Hydropower Station is expected to drive significant demand for engineering, construction materials, and civil explosives, with key beneficiaries including Zhongyan Dadi, China Power Construction, and China Energy Engineering [1][7] - The cement market is experiencing price declines, while the glass market is seeing a rebound in prices due to industry self-discipline and price increases [2][21] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic substitution in the shipbuilding paint sector, with companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co. expected to benefit from rising demand [1][7] Summary by Sections Market Trends - In the 30th week of the year, new home transaction volume in 30 major cities decreased by 9% year-on-year, with a total transaction area of 1.4758 million square meters [1][18] - The second-hand housing market in 15 monitored cities saw a 4% year-on-year decrease in transaction area, totaling 1.6674 million square meters [1][18] Cement Market - The national average cement price is 356 RMB/ton, down 0.9% from the previous week, with an average shipment rate of 43% [2][21] - The report highlights a significant drop in demand due to adverse weather conditions, impacting construction activities across various regions [21] Glass Market - The average price of float glass increased to 1238.61 RMB/ton, reflecting a 2.20% increase from the previous week [2][64] - The report notes a stable trading environment for photovoltaic glass, with prices remaining unchanged [70] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong pricing power and cost advantages in the cement and waterproofing sectors, such as Huaxin Cement and Dongfang Yuhong [1][7] - It also suggests investing in companies involved in domestic substitution in the paint industry, particularly those with innovative applications in new fields [1][7]