Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company's basic operations are stabilizing, and the new retail format is continuously expanding [1] - The company achieved better-than-expected earnings in Q1 2025, with a projected high dividend payout for the year [1] - The main brand's revenue decline is narrowing, and the proportion of direct sales is increasing [2] - Other brands, including Sporz and JD Outlet, are contributing to new growth points [3] - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, driven by new retail formats and a strong dividend policy [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 20.96 billion yuan (down 2.7% year-on-year) and a net profit of 2.16 billion yuan (down 26.9% year-on-year) [1] - Q1 2025 revenue reached 6.19 billion yuan (up 0.2% year-on-year) with a net profit of 935 million yuan (up 5.5% year-on-year) [1] - The company plans a cash dividend of 1.969 billion yuan for 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 91.22% [1] Main Brand Performance - The main brand's revenue in 2024 was 15.27 billion yuan (down 7.2% year-on-year), but gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points to 46.5% [2] - The number of direct stores increased by 216 to 1,468, while franchise stores decreased by 359 to 4,365 [2] - The company is expanding into overseas markets, with 101 stores opened by the end of 2024, generating 355 million yuan in overseas revenue (up 30.75% year-on-year) [2] Other Brands - Other brands generated revenue of 2.67 billion yuan in 2024 (up 32.4% year-on-year), with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 740 million yuan (up 100.2% year-on-year) [3] - The company increased its stake in Sporz to 51% and reported significant contributions from this brand [3] - The partnership with JD to open JD Outlet stores is also expected to drive growth [3] Earnings Forecast and Investment Advice - Revenue is projected to grow to 22.3 billion yuan in 2025, 24.8 billion yuan in 2026, and 26.6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.41 billion yuan, 2.66 billion yuan, and 2.91 billion yuan [4] - The new retail formats are expected to open up growth opportunities, and the company's high dividend yield is seen as stable [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company's asset quality continues to improve, with a TTM real non-performing loan generation rate of 1.24%, a decrease of 16 basis points from the previous quarter, maintaining the improvement trend since Q3 2024 [1][5] - Revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.6% and 2.2% year-on-year, respectively, primarily due to slowed growth in scale and increased non-interest burdens, although interest margin pressures improved [2][3] - The average daily interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.80%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but rebounded by 2 basis points compared to Q4 2024, benefiting from a significant decrease in the interest rate paid on deposits [3] - The bank's financial investment balance reached 3.55 trillion, demonstrating resilience amid challenges in the bond market, with minimal losses reported [4] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio increased slightly to 1.08% at the end of Q1 2025, while the attention loan ratio remained stable at 1.71% [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 55,683 million, a decrease of 3.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 23,796 million, down 2.2% year-on-year [12] - The return on equity (ROE) for Q1 2025 was 9.0%, reflecting a decline from previous quarters [12] Profitability and Valuation - The forecasted net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are -1.16%, 0.41%, and 2.25%, respectively, with corresponding book values per share (BPS) of 39.20, 41.64, and 44.16 [6] - The target price is set at 25.82 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 23% from the current price [6] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 1.08%, with a slight increase from the previous quarter, while the attention loan ratio remained stable at 1.71% [5] - The provision coverage ratio decreased to 233% [1][5]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 股份制银行Ⅱ ❑ 浦发银行 25Q1 盈利动能、客群夯实、资产质量三大经营拐点再印证，基本面继 续向好，目标价 16.45 元/股，现价空间 52%。 ❑ 数据概览 浦发银行 25Q1 营收同比增长 1.3%，较 24A 由减转增；归母净利润同比增长 1.0%。25Q1 末不良率环比下降 3bp 至 1.33%；25Q1 末拨备覆盖率环比基本持平 于 187%。 ❑ 盈利动能拐点印证 经营拐点再印证 ——浦发银行 2025 年一季报点评 投资要点 浦发银行 25Q1 营收同比由负转正，尤其是核心营收全面向好，盈利动能拐点印 证。25Q1 营收同比增长 1.3%，较 24A由减转增。其中，25Q1 利息净收入同比增 长 0.5%，较 24A 的-3.1%改善；中收同比持平，较 24A 的-6.7%改善。 展望未来，得益于资产质量拐点向好，浦发银行信用成本压力有望继续消退，支 撑全年利润增速修复。 ❑ 客群夯实拐点印证 浦发银行 25Q1 负债成本显著优化，显示客群基础显著夯实，支撑息差环比企 稳。测算浦发银行 25Q1 单季息差环比基本持平于 1.33%，主要得益于单季付息 负债 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.10 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year [2][10] - The company is benefiting from the gradual release of new production capacity, with polyester filament sales reaching 7.55 million tons in 2024, an increase of 10.83% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the polyester industry, with a focus on integrated operations and cost reduction strategies [11][12] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.10 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 5.63% [2][12] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, and a net profit of 0.36 billion yuan, up 77.92% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, and a net profit of 0.31 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [3][12] Industry Outlook - The polyester industry is expected to face short-term pressures due to factors such as tariffs and declining downstream orders, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the high market share of domestic polyester filament production [10][11] - The company is expected to benefit from the high concentration of the polyester filament industry, which may lead to improved profitability for leading firms [10][11] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.55 billion yuan, 2.08 billion yuan, and 2.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.01, 1.37, and 1.65 yuan [12][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for CITIC Bank is "Buy" [5] Core Views - CITIC Bank's Q1 2025 report indicates accelerated asset expansion but a decline in net interest margin, with other non-interest income dragging down overall performance [1][2] - Revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.7% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 1.7%, reflecting a slowdown compared to 2024 [2][5] - The bank's total assets increased by 8.7% year-on-year, with loans and bond investments also showing growth [2][3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue was 51,770 million, down 3.7% year-on-year, while net profit was 19,509 million, up 1.7% [2][11] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.16%, with a provision coverage ratio of 207%, down 2.3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [1][4] Revenue Growth - The decline in revenue growth was primarily due to a decrease in net interest margin and fluctuations in trading income, despite support from scale expansion and provisioning [2][3] - Total assets reached 9,855,268 million, with loans growing by 5.1% year-on-year [2][11] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, down 10 basis points from the previous quarter, with asset yield decreasing by 25 basis points to 3.31% [3][11] - The cost of liabilities decreased by 15 basis points to 1.74%, benefiting from adjustments in deposit rates [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was stable at 1.16%, with a slight increase in the attention loan ratio to 1.68% [4][11] - The true non-performing loan generation rate for Q1 2025 was 1.28%, up 2 basis points from the previous quarter [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Projected net profit growth for 2025-2027 is 0.6%, 3.0%, and 4.9%, respectively, with a target price of 9.31 per share, indicating a potential upside of 29% [5][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.10 billion yuan, up 1.32% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is benefiting from the gradual release of new production capacity, with polyester filament sales reaching 7.55 million tons in 2024, an increase of 10.83% year-on-year [2][11] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the polyester industry, with a focus on integrated supply chain management and cost reduction strategies [11][12] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 67.09 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.10 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 5.63% [2][12] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, and a net profit of 0.36 billion yuan, up 77.92% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, and a net profit of 0.31 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [3][12] Industry Outlook - The polyester industry is expected to face short-term pressures due to factors such as tariffs and reduced downstream orders, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the high market share of domestic polyester filament production [10][11] - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual recovery of the polyester market, with projected net profits of 1.55 billion yuan in 2025, 2.08 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.51 billion yuan in 2027 [12][13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for CITIC Bank is "Buy" [5] Core Views - CITIC Bank's Q1 2025 report indicates accelerated asset expansion but a decline in net interest margin, with other non-interest income dragging down overall performance [1][2] - Revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.7% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 1.7%, reflecting a slowdown compared to 2024 [2][5] - The bank's total assets increased by 8.7% year-on-year, with loans growing by 5.1% and bond investments by 9.4% [2][3] Summary by Sections Revenue Overview - CITIC Bank's Q1 2025 revenue decreased by 3.7% year-on-year, with a 7.5 percentage point decline in growth rate compared to 2024 [2] - The main drivers for revenue were asset expansion and provisioning support, while net interest margin decline and trading income volatility were significant detractors [2] - Non-interest income saw a 26.6% year-on-year decline, marking a 46.3 percentage point slowdown compared to the end of 2024 [2] Interest Margin - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, down 10 basis points from the previous quarter, with asset yield decreasing by 25 basis points to 3.31% [3] - The cost of liabilities decreased by 15 basis points to 1.74%, primarily due to adjustments in deposit rates [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.16% at the end of Q1 2025, while the attention loan ratio increased slightly to 1.68% [4] - The bank's provisioning coverage ratio was 207%, down 2.3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to grow by 0.6%, 3.0%, and 4.9% respectively, with a target price of 9.31 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 29% from the current price [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company's asset quality continues to improve, with a TTM real non-performing loan generation rate of 1.24%, a decrease of 16 basis points from the previous quarter, maintaining the improvement trend since Q3 2024 [1][5] - Revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.6% and 2.2% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a shift from growth to decline compared to 2024 [2][6] - The average net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.80%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but showed a rebound of 2 basis points compared to Q4 2024, primarily due to a significant decrease in the interest rate paid on deposits [3] - The bank's financial investment balance reached 3.55 trillion, demonstrating resilience amid challenges in the bond market [4] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue was 55,683 million, down 3.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 23,796 million, down 2.2% year-on-year [12] - The non-performing loan ratio increased by 1 basis point to 1.08% at the end of Q1 2025, while the attention loan ratio remained stable at 1.71% [1][5] Profitability and Valuation - The forecasted net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are -1.16%, 0.41%, and 2.25%, respectively, with corresponding BPS of 39.20, 41.64, and 44.16 [6] - The target price is set at 25.82 yuan per share, corresponding to a 2025 PB of 0.66, indicating a potential upside of 23% from the current price [6] Asset Quality - The bank's asset quality is on an improving path, with a focus on real estate and credit card risk generation, while retail remains under slight pressure [5] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 4 percentage points to 233% at the end of Q1 2025 [1][5]

Market Overview - On the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.1%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.2%, the STAR Market 50 rose by 0.1%, the CSI 1000 increased by 0.5%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.1%, and the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.2% [5] - The best-performing sectors included Beauty Care (+2.6%), Machinery Equipment (+1.4%), Media (+1.3%), Light Industry Manufacturing (+1.0%), and Basic Chemicals (+0.9%). The worst-performing sectors were Utilities (-1.8%), Comprehensive (-1.0%), Oil & Petrochemicals (-0.6%), Coal (-0.5%), and Social Services (-0.5%) [5] Key Recommendations New Lai Fu (301323) - New Lai Fu is a new materials platform company with stable growth in magnetic adsorption materials and rapid growth in wireless radiation protection materials. The company is expected to exceed performance expectations due to multiple nurturing materials [6][7] - The company plans a major asset restructuring to acquire Jin Nan Magnetic Materials, which has strong market competitiveness and technological reserves in various fields [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1,032 million, 1,267 million, and 1,541 million yuan, with net profit forecasts of 170 million, 249 million, and 350 million yuan, indicating growth rates of 16%, 23%, and 22% for revenue and 17%, 46%, and 41% for net profit respectively [7] Dingjie Smart (300378) - Dingjie Smart is a leading provider of intelligent manufacturing solutions in China, with potential growth driven by the increasing demand for core industrial software products and the integration of AI technologies [8][9] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 2,657 million, 3,075 million, and 3,635 million yuan, with net profit estimates of 193 million, 244 million, and 317 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 14.03%, 15.69%, and 18.23% for revenue and 23.82%, 26.54%, and 29.99% for net profit respectively [9] Guangyun Technology (688365) - Guangyun Technology is a leading e-commerce SaaS provider in China, with significant growth potential through AI applications in e-commerce [10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 578 million, 708 million, and 842 million yuan, with net profit forecasts of 5 million, 37 million, and 65 million yuan, indicating growth rates of 20.99%, 22.53%, and 18.90% for revenue and substantial growth in net profit in subsequent years [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 31.21% year-on-year for 2024, reaching 2.397 billion yuan, with a net profit growth of 52.81% to 224 million yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 606 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.06%, and a net profit of 59 million yuan, up 11.41% year-on-year [2] - The company is expanding its robotics business, focusing on advanced technologies such as dexterous hands and harmonic reducers, and has established a subsidiary to enhance its capabilities in humanoid robotics [3] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 3.44 billion yuan, 4.41 billion yuan, and 5.47 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 43.4%, 28.3%, and 23.9% [4] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected at 331 million yuan, 435 million yuan, and 530 million yuan, with growth rates of 47.5%, 31.5%, and 21.9% [4][9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.97 yuan in 2024 to 2.29 yuan in 2027 [11]