Investment Rating - The report rates the humanoid robot industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating towards mass production, with an estimated demand of approximately 2.1 million units in the manufacturing and domestic service sectors in China and the US by 2030, representing a market space of about 314.6 billion RMB [3][10] - Key components such as dexterous hands, planetary roller screws, and harmonic reducers are critical to the humanoid robot industry, with a projected market space of 102.2 billion RMB by 2030, and a CAGR of 141% from 2025 to 2030 [3][10] - Hangzhou Xinjian is a specialized enterprise focusing on precision transmission, actively investing in core components for humanoid robots, including dexterous hands and planetary roller screws [3][28] Summary by Sections Hangzhou Xinjian - Hangzhou Xinjian specializes in precision transmission components, including planetary roller screws and harmonic reducers, with a leading production capacity in the industry [3][28] - The company has shown steady growth from 2015 to 2022, with a revenue CAGR of 18% and a net profit CAGR of 32% [52][53] - The company has established partnerships with well-known manufacturers, providing components for various automotive models and achieving competitive pricing [60][62] Recommended Companies - Wuzhou Xinchun is collaborating with Hangzhou Xinjian to invest in planetary roller screws and harmonic reducers, with a total planned investment of approximately 1.5 billion RMB [3][73] - Jinwo Co., a leading domestic bearing manufacturer, is entering the robot sector, with plans to start screw business by the end of 2023 [3][74] Industry Progress - The humanoid robot industry is witnessing rapid industrialization, with major players entering the market and significant advancements in technology [4][6] - The report highlights the increasing penetration rates of humanoid robots in both manufacturing and domestic service sectors, with projections indicating substantial growth in demand [49]

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report recommends Junsheng Electronics (均胜电子, 600699) due to the recovery of automotive safety profitability, the arrival of new automotive electronic technologies, and the company's investment in humanoid robots, which is expected to accelerate performance release [5] - The report highlights Bubugao (步步高, 002251) as a strong candidate for investment, citing its successful restructuring and significant sales growth post-adjustment, with expectations for rapid profit improvement [6] - The report identifies AsiaInfo Technology (亚信科技, 01675) as a key player in the AI sector, benefiting from its partnership with Alibaba in large model delivery, which is expected to drive revenue growth [7][9] - The report recommends Boke Technology (步科股份, 688160) for its leadership in frameless torque motors and the growth potential in humanoid robotics [10] - Gree Electric Appliances (格力电器, 000651) is noted for its recovery in management and channel reforms, which are expected to drive performance beyond expectations [11] Group 2: Financial Projections and Valuations - For Junsheng Electronics, projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 64.53 billion, 66.45 billion, and 71.02 billion CNY, with net profits expected to grow at rates of 59.7%, 19.5%, and 17.9% respectively [5] - Bubugao's revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.75 billion, 9.55 billion, and 12.10 billion CNY, with a remarkable revenue growth rate of 126.01% in 2025 [6] - AsiaInfo Technology's revenue is forecasted to reach 6.915 billion, 7.461 billion, and 8.269 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of 4.84%, 17.99%, and 15.25% [9] - Boke Technology's revenue is expected to be 684 million, 859 million, and 1.069 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 76.0%, 26.2%, and 24.2% [10] - Gree Electric's projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 200.12 billion, 208.32 billion, and 216.82 billion CNY, with net profit growth rates of 10.32%, 7.99%, and 6.85% [12] Group 3: Market Insights and Trends - The report indicates that the automotive safety sector is stabilizing, with Junsheng Electronics expected to benefit from the recovery in profitability and the new technology production cycle [5] - Bubugao's restructuring has led to a significant increase in daily sales, with expectations for further improvements in profit margins as the company completes its store adjustments [6] - The AI industry is experiencing rapid growth, with AsiaInfo Technology positioned to capitalize on this trend through its comprehensive digital solutions [9] - The demand for frameless torque motors is expected to rise, driven by advancements in robotics and automation, benefiting Boke Technology [10] - Gree Electric is anticipated to see improved operational efficiency and profitability as it navigates through its channel reform phase [11]

证券研究报告 | 行业点评 | 小金属 小金属 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 25 日 核电发展再强化，天然铀长牛可期，底部修复区间积极布局 ——特朗普核能复兴令点评 投资要点 ❑ 5 月 23 日，美国总统特朗普签署 4 项行政命令推动美国核能产业改革，包括扩 大美国核能规模、核能产业链、缩短核电项目审批周期等；此举或吹响美国核 电复兴号角，受政策影响，周五美股核能股普遍大涨。 我们认为，特朗普新政将进一步强化全球核电发展叙事蓝图，带动产业资本开支 强度提升，作为核电燃料，天然铀将显著受益此次远期核电需求预期增长，且天 然铀供需偏紧格局或将进一步强化，天然铀长牛可期。 ❑ 特朗普核能复兴令要点：加快审批、加快部署、扩展产业链 此次特朗普连续签署的 4 项行政令内容涵盖振兴美国核工业基础的多个方面，其 中重要内容主要包括： ❑ 核电发展叙事再强化，长坡厚雪未来可期 自 2019 年中国复批核电机组、2021 年全球主要国家陆续表态支持核电重启以 来，本轮核电复苏周期已持续深入多年，以中国为代表的发展中国家持续推动新 机组批准、建设、并网，核电发展趋势已极为明确。 "核电复兴令"意在重塑美国核工业与增强核电 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic bearing manufacturer, strategically investing in high-growth sectors such as humanoid robots and EMB systems [2][3] - The company is expanding its humanoid robot components business, with a projected demand of approximately 2.1 million units in the US and China by 2030, representing a market space of about 314.6 billion RMB [2] - The company is optimizing its bearing product structure to meet emerging demands in AI and aerospace, aiming for high-quality growth [3] Summary by Sections Strategic Investments - The company has invested 1.5 billion RMB to enhance production capacity for planetary roller screws and micro ball screws, focusing on the embodied intelligence sector [2] - A strategic cooperation framework has been established with Hangzhou Xinjian to develop key components for various applications, including intelligent automotive systems and mechanical electronic braking systems [2] Business Performance - The company is improving its overseas operations, with a focus on mature and stable markets in Europe to reduce losses [3] - The EMB system is nearing mass production, with significant developments in the domestic market expected by 2026 [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.6 billion, 4.1 billion, and 5.1 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 15%, and 25% respectively [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million RMB for the same period, reflecting growth rates of 64%, 21%, and 25% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic bearing manufacturer, strategically investing in high-growth sectors such as humanoid robots and EMB systems [2][3] - The company is accelerating its layout in humanoid robot components, with an expected demand of approximately 2.1 million units in the US and China by 2030, representing a market space of about 314.6 billion RMB [2] - The company is optimizing its bearing product structure to meet emerging demands in AI and aerospace, aiming for high-quality growth [3] - The EMB system is nearing mass production, with the company having developed key components for various applications, expected to start order production in the second half of 2025 [4] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 3.59 billion, 4.12 billion, and 5.14 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 15%, and 25% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 150 million, 182 million, and 228 million RMB, with growth rates of 64%, 21%, and 25% respectively [5] - The company's P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 98, 81, and 64 [5]

证券研究报告 | 宏观深度报告 | 中国宏观 经济周周看：本周经济景气度总体平稳 ——宏观经济周度高频前瞻报告 核心观点 基于前期报告《经济周周看：整体向上，生产偏强，需求涨跌互现——宏观经济周度 高频前瞻报告》中构建的生产端景气周度跟踪框架，我们进一步编制 GDP 周度高频 景气指数，更好地综合把握经济景气强度及变化方向。 从我们构建的 GDP 周度高频景气指数历史回溯来看，GDP 周度高频景气指数在趋势、 节奏上与月度 GDP 的趋势节奏有较好的拟合度，例如 2024 年二季度的回落、三季度 筑底与四季度的大幅改善得到较好拟合，在拐点上有较好提示。未来随着高频数据质 量的进一步完善，有望更好地拟合周度 GDP，使其在弹性强度上更为准确。 GDP 周度高频景气指数本周（截至 5 月 24 日）为 5.6%，与上周修订值 5.6%基本持 平，或表征经济增长景气相对平稳。 从生产端来看，服务业、工业高频指标较上周总体平稳。 从需求端来看，各变量分化，消费走强，固投强弱互现，出口走强抢出口开始显现。 从价格端来看，本周物价边际承压，系统性回升有待需求侧反弹。 ❑ 风险提示 经济结构转型，传统指标对经济的拟合度下降 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information for the industry is provided in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the future week, as the fund - face crosses the month and the net payment scale of government bonds rises, considering the central bank's care for the fund - face, the fund - face is expected to operate in a balanced manner [1][28]. - In the future week, with a certificate of deposit (CD) maturity scale of about 65 billion, the pressure on the bank's liability side is controllable, and CD yields are expected to fluctuate following the fund - face [1][29]. - In the week before the holiday, against the background of the lack of a clear direction in the interest - rate bond market, the attention to the coupon strategy of non - bank institutions such as funds may further increase. Short - end coupon asset sinking will still be the mainstream strategy in the near future [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Liquidity Tracking 3.1.1 Fund Review - Central bank operations: From May 19 to May 23, 2025, 48.6 billion of 7 - day reverse repurchase funds matured, the central bank injected 94.6 billion of 7 - day funds, renewed 50 billion of MLF, and injected 24 billion of treasury deposits, with a net injection of 120 billion in total, and the 7 - day OMO stock rose to 94.6 billion [10]. - Exchange rate: The on - the - spot exchange rate of the RMB against the US dollar appreciated by 2 basis points, and the use of the counter - cyclical factor basically disappeared [10]. - Government bond progress: Last week, the net financing of treasury bonds was 24.349 billion, and the net financing since the beginning of the year was 264.401 billion, completing 39.7% of the annual plan. The issuance of new local bonds was 11.3083 billion, and the issuance since the beginning of the year was 180.3 billion, completing 34.7% of the annual plan. As of May 23, the issuance of special refinancing bonds for replacing hidden debts was 1.62 trillion, completing 81.2% of the annual plan [13]. - Fund structure: The lending scale of state - owned and joint - stock banks decreased, while that of money market funds and wealth management products increased. The overall borrowing scale of non - bank institutions decreased slightly. Overnight and 7 - day fund rates declined marginally, while the 14 - day fund rate rose slightly due to cross - month arrangements. The liquidity stratification was at a low level [17]. 3.1.2 CD Review - Primary market: The net financing of inter - bank CDs was - 2.4 billion, with a total issuance of 71.434 billion and a maturity of 73.834 billion. The future three - week maturities will be 65.273 billion, 66.655 billion, and 120.363 billion respectively. The primary issuance rate rose slightly to 1.6688% [20]. - Secondary market: Core buyers such as funds, wealth management products, and large - scale banks continued to increase their holdings, while money market funds switched to selling. Insurance, other non - bank institutions, and product accounts continued to increase their holdings. The secondary - market yields of CDs fluctuated slightly upwards, and the yield curve steepened [23]. 3.1.3 Next Week's Focus - Fund - face: The asymmetric cut of deposit and loan interest rates on May 20 may relieve the pressure on banks' net interest margins, but the policy effect needs to be observed. The central bank's over - renewal of MLF on May 23 and net injection of liquidity in the open market throughout the week reflect its care for the fund - face. Before the next interest - rate cut, the central bank is likely to guide the fund - face to maintain a balanced state. In the future week, as the fund - face crosses the month and the net payment scale of government bonds rises, the fund - face is expected to operate in a balanced manner [28]. - CD: The net financing of CDs was still negative last week, but the amplitude narrowed, and the primary - market rate rose slightly. In the future week, with a CD maturity scale of about 65 billion, the pressure on the bank's liability side is controllable, and CD yields are expected to fluctuate following the fund - face [29]. 3.2 Weekly Institutional Behavior and Micro - structure Review - Regarding institutional asset - liability sides: After the policy - rate cut and deposit - rate reduction, it is still difficult to reduce banks' liability costs. The classification supervision trial rating results for wealth management products have been released, and some leading wealth management companies may need to optimize and adjust their indicators. June is the peak of CD maturities this year, and large - scale banks may start to reserve liabilities in advance in late May. Short - end coupon asset sinking will still be the mainstream strategy [31]. - Specific data: On May 23, the median duration of medium - and long - term bond funds in the past 10 - day rolling average was 3.18 years, a slight increase. The bond - market leverage ratio in the week before the holiday was 106.84%, a slight decrease. The 10Y China Development Bank - 10Y treasury bond term spread was - 1.74bp, and the 1Y China Development Bank - R001 spread was - 6.18BP, with the inversion pattern of short - term bonds and fund prices converging [32][33][36].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - This week, the market fluctuated and consolidated. Major broad - based indices and convertible bond indices recorded negative returns, but most sectors had shallow declines. The domestic market is still waiting for incremental information, with adjustments concentrated in previously crowded small - cap stocks, and bond yields showed a fluctuating downward trend. In May, the equity market may replicate the 2020 "first fluctuate, then break through" path under the expectations of seizing exports, stabilizing domestic demand, and stabilizing the capital market [1][3]. - In the short - term, the risk of a significant market decline is limited, and the fluctuating pattern is expected to continue. It is recommended to focus on high - grade, fundamentally stable convertible bonds, and the dumbbell strategy is dominant. In terms of strategies, it is necessary to balance defensive stability and theme flexibility, and dynamically balance the industry's prosperity rhythm and valuation cost - effectiveness [3]. - In terms of individual bonds, the top 10 convertible bonds in the low - volatility portfolio in May are Wenshan Convertible Bond, Ran 23 Convertible Bond, etc.; the top 10 in the stable portfolio are Yong 02 Convertible Bond, Dongjie Convertible Bond, etc.; the top 10 in the high - volatility portfolio are Furong Convertible Bond, Qilin Convertible Bond, etc. [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Convertible Bond Market Tracking 1.1 Convertible Bond Market Trends - The report provides the performance data of various convertible bond indices in different time periods (such as the past week, two weeks, since March, etc.). For example, the Wind Convertible Bond Energy Index had a 0.16% increase in the past week, while the Wind Convertible Bond Optional Consumption Index had a 0.77% decline in the past week [9]. 1.2 Convertible Bond Individual Bonds - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content 1.3 Convertible Bond Valuations - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content, but mentions the valuation trends of different types of convertible bonds (such as bond - type, balanced, and stock - type) through figures [20] 1.4 Convertible Bond Prices - The report presents the trends of high - price bond ratio, low - price bond ratio, the proportion of bonds breaking the bond floor, and the median price of the convertible bond market through figures [27][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights three key updates that support a positive outlook for the company's long-term development: 1) The company will benefit from the upgrade of smart driving functions from L2 to L2+, leading to an acceleration in market share for J3/J5 [27][28]. 2) In the medium to long term, the company holds multiple pre-installed orders from various automakers for high-level smart driving, securing a position in the high-level smart driving market alongside Nvidia and Huawei [34][27]. 3) The company is expected to benefit from dual advantages of "domestic production" and "stricter smart driving regulations" amid various market disturbances [25][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 37.11 billion, 57.21 billion, and 83.45 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 55.71%, 54.15%, and 45.87% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -11.09 billion, -6.58 billion, and 6.01 billion CNY, indicating a potential return to profitability by 2027 [3][47]. 2. Market Discrepancies - There are two main points of divergence in market perception regarding the company: 1) The competitive strength of the company's products compared to suppliers like Nvidia and Huawei, with the J6P chip aligning its capabilities with high-performance scenarios [2][39]. 2) The impact of automakers developing their own smart driving solutions on the company's market position, which the report argues will not pose a significant threat due to high development costs and regulatory challenges [3][45]. 3. Financial Projections and Valuation - The report employs a Price-to-Sales (PS) valuation method, assigning a target market value of 111.3 billion CNY (121.2 billion HKD) for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 9.18 HKD per share, based on a 30x PS multiple [11][50]. 4. Product and Market Strategy - The company is positioned as an open ecosystem player, allowing greater flexibility for automakers through its BPU IP licensing model, which enhances collaboration opportunities with Tier 1 customers [40][39]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The report emphasizes the company's strategic partnerships with major automakers, including BYD, Ideal, and Volkswagen, which are expected to drive significant growth in chip shipments and market share in the L2+ segment [30][34]. 6. Regulatory Environment - The tightening of regulations in the smart driving sector is seen as beneficial for established suppliers with proven production capabilities, positioning the company favorably in the evolving market landscape [37][38].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Views - The food and beverage sector is focusing on three new consumer investment opportunities: "category dividends in the food sector," "new channel drivers such as snack companies in membership supermarkets," and "new hotspots in health products." Traditional consumption is expected to see performance bottoming out and potentially rising [1][2] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies in the industry during this phase, particularly in the liquor sector, which may experience a transition year in 2025 [1][2] - The report continues to recommend leading stocks in the food and beverage sector, highlighting companies such as Jin Zai Food and Yan Jin Pu Zi, while also paying attention to You You Food [1][2] Summary by Sections Food and Beverage Sector - The report highlights the focus on "category dividends," "new channel drivers," and "health product hotspots" as key investment opportunities [1][2] - Recommended stocks include Jin Zai Food, Yi Li, Yan Jin Pu Zi, Dong Peng Beverage, and others, with a focus on leading companies [2][24] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is currently at a low point, with the first quarter potentially being the lowest for the year. The report recommends focusing on brands with strong momentum and reasonable growth targets [2][16] - High-end liquor recommendations include Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye, while mid-range and regional brands include Gu Qing Gong Jiu and Shanxi Fen Jiu [2][17] - The report notes that the liquor sector may enter a structural bull market due to policy stabilization and real estate recovery [16][17] Market Performance - From May 19 to May 23, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, while other liquor categories rose by 8.69% and frozen foods by 3.89% [3][29] - The report indicates that the liquor sector experienced a decline of 2.78% during the same period, with specific brands showing varied performance [4][29] Company Updates - Jin Zai Food is highlighted as a leading snack brand with a clear growth path, driven by its main product line and new channel expansions expected to boost revenue and profits [19][20] - Guizhou Moutai is focusing on five key areas for development, including maintaining brand value and enhancing international market presence [7][8] - Liquor companies like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fen Jiu are also focusing on expanding their market presence and improving brand strength [10][12]