Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: November 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Core View - The SCFIS index increased by 20.7% week-on-week to 1639.37 this week, better than expected, but the shipping companies' price increase in December was less than expected. Maersk's quotes were the most aggressive, suppressing the price increase space of other airlines. There is a possibility that other airlines will follow Maersk to cut prices to attract cargo. Considering that February is a traditional peak season, the market may carry out incentive games for the pre-Spring Festival shipping rush. The cost - performance ratio of short - selling is not high. Pay attention to the possibility that the April contract in the off - season may be overvalued and the positive spread opportunity between the 02 and 04 contracts [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot market: The SCFIS index increased by 20.7% week - on - week to 1639.37 this week, better than expected. But shipping companies' price increase in December was less than expected. Maersk's quotes were aggressive, suppressing other airlines' price increase space, and other airlines may follow to cut prices. Consider the 02 - 04 positive spread opportunity [8] 2. Industry News - From November 17th to 21st, the China export container shipping market was basically stable, and the freight rates of ocean routes were adjusted with the composite index falling. The euro - zone's November consumer confidence index was lower than expected, and the European shipping demand lacked growth momentum with falling spot market booking prices. The Mediterranean route's supply - demand fundamentals were better with slightly rising freight rates. In the North American route, due to the US government shutdown, the employment market was weak and the freight rates continued to fall. There were also military conflicts in the Middle East that may affect the shipping market [9][10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - The SCFIS for the European route (basic ports) on November 24, 2025, was 1639.37, up 281.7 (20.7% week - on - week) from November 17th. The SCFIS for the US West route (basic ports) was 1107.85, down 130.57 (- 10.5% week - on - week) from November 17th [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Route) Futures Market - The trading data of container shipping European line futures on November 24th showed different price changes, trading volumes, and open interests for different contracts such as EC2512, EC2602, etc. [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - There were various shipping - related data charts including container ship capacity in Europe, global container ship orders, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, etc [17][21]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The domestic fundamental situation has been weakening marginally since mid - year, especially the accelerated decline in the investment sector, which still poses a significant drag on credit expansion. Monetary policy has begun to send signals of easing, and the bullish factors for the bond market are accumulating. However, it is difficult for the easing to materialize in the short term, and it is unlikely for the bond market to start a new round of rapid upward movement. It is still in the stage of oscillating and accumulating energy. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of laying out at low levels. In the short term, it is currently in a data vacuum period, and with important meetings in December approaching, the market is highly cautious. The bond market may show a slight recovery, mainly depending on the capital situation and risk - aversion sentiment. After the tax payment period this week, the capital situation may further ease, and the central bank's bond - buying may boost market sentiment. Coupled with the adjustment of risk assets, it is expected to boost risk - aversion sentiment [11][12] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Conditions**: After the tax payment period, the capital situation has loosened. With the short - term news being calm, the market may be waiting for policy guidance from the December meetings. Treasury bond futures showed narrow - range fluctuations across the board and closed slightly higher [8] - **Interest Rate Bonds**: The yields of major inter - bank interest rate bonds across all maturities showed narrow - range fluctuations. By 16:30 in the afternoon, the yield of the 10 - year active treasury bond 250016 was reported at 1.813%, up 0.05bp [9] - **Funding Market**: After the impact of the tax payment period ended, the inter - bank capital situation loosened. There were 283 billion yuan of maturities in the open market today, and the central bank injected 538.7 billion yuan, achieving a net injection of 255.7 billion yuan. The inter - bank capital sentiment index dropped significantly, indicating a further alleviation of capital pressure. The weighted overnight rate of inter - bank deposits fluctuated narrowly around 1.32%, the 7 - day rate rose 2.96bp to 1.47%, the medium - and long - term funds were stable, and the 1 - year AAA certificate of deposit rate fluctuated narrowly around 1.61% - 1.62% [10] 3.2 Industry News - **Domestic News**: The issuance of treasury bonds has entered a dense period. On November 24, the Ministry of Finance tendered and issued 97 billion yuan of book - entry coupon - bearing treasury bonds and 60 billion yuan of book - entry discounted treasury bonds. On November 26, two short - term treasury bonds will be issued. The Ministry of Finance will continue to pre - issue the new local government debt quota for 2026. As of November 23, the total scale of new special bonds issued by local governments this year has reached approximately 4.2315 trillion yuan, and the issuance progress of new special bonds has reached 96% [13] - **International News**: Multiple Federal Reserve officials have signaled interest rate cuts, and the market's bet on a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has exceeded 50%. The cabinet of Japanese Prime Minister Hayasuna Sanae has approved the largest - scale additional expenditure since the pandemic, with a general account expenditure of 17.7 trillion yen (112 billion US dollars) and a total stimulus package worth 21.3 trillion yen [14] 3.3 Data Overview - **Treasury Bond Futures Market**: The report presents data on treasury bond futures, including trading data such as opening price, closing price, settlement price, price change, and trading volume of different contracts on November 24, as well as information on the spread between main contracts of treasury bond futures across different maturities and varieties [6] - **Money Market**: The report mentions the term structure change and trend of SHIBOR, as well as the change in the weighted inter - bank pledged repurchase rate and the inter - bank deposit pledged repurchase rate [29][33] - **Derivatives Market**: The report shows the average Shibor3M interest rate swap fixing curve and the average FR007 interest rate swap fixing curve [35]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - On November 24, the main contracts of coke and coking coal futures J2601 and JM2601 rebounded after hitting lows. The closing price of coke futures rebounded, while that of coking coal futures continued to decline, reaching new lows since September 15 and September 5 respectively [7]. - With the fourth round of price increase of coke spot confirmed, independent coking enterprises turned profitable after five consecutive weeks of losses. However, the coke production of independent coking enterprises has not stabilized and recently reached a new low since late March. Although steel mills and ports continued to reduce coke inventories, the coke inventory of independent coking enterprises increased significantly, recovering the decline since mid - September [12]. - Since October 25, the customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal has increased significantly. As of November 22, the 10 - day moving average data increased by 50,000 tons or 44.2% compared to October 25. Recently, the coking coal inventory of 230 independent coking plants has declined after reaching a high, and the coking coal inventory at ports has a similar trend [12]. - Currently, the prices of some coking coal spot markets have loosened. Affected by coal supply guarantee policies, the decline of coke and coking coal futures is relatively large. The future downward trend mainly depends on the restocking rhythm of steel mills and power plants. It is expected that the downward space for coke and coking coal futures is limited, and they may enter a volatile market [12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - **Futures Market**: On November 24, the main contracts of coke and coking coal futures J2601 and JM2601 fluctuated. The closing price of J2601 was 1,632.5 yuan/ton, up 0.03% from the previous day, with a trading volume of 23,441 lots and a position of 35,231 lots, a decrease of 1,325 lots. The closing price of JM2601 was 1,096.5 yuan/ton, down 1.48% from the previous day, with a trading volume of 750,678 lots and a position of 498,903 lots, an increase of 1,800 lots [5]. - **Spot Market**: On November 24, the flat - price index of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, and Tianjin Port was 1,670 yuan/ton, with no change. The aggregate price of low - sulfur main coking coal in Tangshan was 1,605 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan/ton [10]. - **Technical Indicators**: The daily KDJ indicator of the coke J2601 contract formed a golden cross, and the green column of the daily MACD indicator narrowed. The daily KDJ indicator of the coking coal JM2601 contract continued to diverge, with the J and K values rising and the D value falling. The green column of the daily MACD indicator continued to expand slightly [10]. 3.2 Future Outlook - **Policy Aspect**: The National Development and Reform Commission organized a video conference on energy supply guarantee for the heating season from 2025 - 2026, requiring stable energy production and supply, ensuring the performance of medium - and long - term energy contracts, and focusing on meeting the coal demand of northern heating areas, especially in the Northeast [11]. - **Market Aspect**: It is expected that the downward space for coke and coking coal futures is limited, and they may enter a volatile market. Attention should be paid to the implementation of supply guarantee policies and the restocking situation of downstream coal and coke industries [12]. 3.3 Industry News - **Steel Industry**: In mid - November, the social inventory of five major steel products in 21 cities was 8.71 million tons, a decrease of 220,000 tons or 2.5% from the previous period, showing a continuous downward trend [13]. - **Energy Industry**: From January to October, the cumulative freight volume of national railways reached 3.378 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 3%. As of the end of October, the coal production of Ningxia Coal Industry reached 52.2069 million tons, and the production of coal - to - oil and chemical products reached 10.6252 million tons, with multiple production and operation indicators hitting record highs [13][14]. - **International Market**: In October 2025, China's coal imports decreased by 9.3% month - on - month to 41.737 million tons. The global crude steel production in October was 143 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 5.9% [14]. 3.4 Data Overview The report presents multiple data charts, including the production and capacity utilization rate of coking plants and steel mills, national daily average hot metal production, coke and coking coal inventories of ports, steel mills, and coking plants, and the basis of Rizhao Port quasi - first - grade coke and Linfen low - sulfur main coking coal [19][20][23].

1. Report Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: November 25, 2025 [2] 2. Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical situation has eased as the US is promoting an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and has drafted a peace framework. The sanctions on Russian oil by the US are about to take effect, and the proportion of Russian oil with unknown export destinations is rising rapidly, potentially reshaping the trade flow. With the geopolitical risks in the market easing recently and significant inventory accumulation pressure in the fourth quarter, the report suggests a bearish approach to crude oil, recommending shorting on rebounds or reverse arbitrage [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Data**: WTI's opening price was $58.80, closing at $57.98, with a high of $58.80, a low of $57.38, a decline of 1.73%, and a trading volume of 32.42 million lots. Brent's opening price was $62.40, closing at $61.89, with a high of $62.47, a low of $61.26, a decline of 1.45%, and a trading volume of 41.05 million lots. SC's opening price was 449.1 yuan/barrel, closing at 447.9 yuan/barrel, with a high of 449.5 yuan/barrel, a low of 442.5 yuan/barrel, a decline of 1.13%, and a trading volume of 10.81 million lots [6]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Adopt a bearish approach, short on rebounds or engage in reverse arbitrage [6]. 3.2 Industry News - After US sanctions on Russian oil companies, Russian Urals crude is being sold to Indian refiners at the lowest price in at least two years, at a discount of $7 per barrel to Brent spot prices (CIF). Most Indian refiners stopped ordering Russian crude after the sanctions, but some are now considering purchasing from non-sanctioned sellers due to the lower price, with only about one-fifth of the cargoes coming from non-blacklisted entities [7]. - The US is preparing a new round of actions related to Venezuela in the coming days [7]. - The US and Ukraine issued a joint statement stating that they have improved the Russia-Ukraine peace framework [7]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including global high-frequency crude oil inventory, EIA crude oil inventory, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption, with data sources from EIA, Wind, Bloomberg, and the research and development department of Jianxin Futures [9][10][17][21]

021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回 ...

研究员：余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 行业 棉花 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 研究员：林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 研究员：王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 、 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 近期纺企依旧交付前期订单为主，新增订单较少；中小型纺企按需生产，库 存压力不大，走货尚可；部分大型纺企产销比有所下降，库存稍累，开机有一定 下调。溯源单近期纯澳棉等高品质纱走货尚可，部分厂商有抢 ...

工业硅日报 一、行情回顾与展望 市场表现：工业硅期货价格窄幅震荡。Si2601 收盘价 8940 元/吨，跌幅 1%，成交 量 214012 手，持仓量 262676 手，净增 1672 手。 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷, ...

行业 沥青日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（碳市场工业硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 每日 ...

行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 研究员：王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价（元/吨 美分/磅） | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 持仓 ...

多晶硅日报 现货价格：多晶硅 n 型复投料成交价格区间为 4.9-5.5 万元/吨，成交均价为 5.32 万元/吨，环比持平。n 型颗粒硅成交价格区间为 5.0-5.1 万元/吨，成交均价为 5.05 万元/吨，环比持平。 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA ...