1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - In 2025, domestic liquidity is expected to remain loose and the market is in a policy window period. More incremental policies may be introduced in the second half of the year to boost the real economy. External risks are gradually easing, with a 90 - day extension of the suspension of Sino - US tariffs and an increased probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September, which further enhances the attractiveness of RMB assets. The current market is in a resonance period of "policy bottom + capital bottom + valuation bottom", and the market trend is likely to continue, but investors need to adapt to accelerated sector rotation and structural differentiation. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indexes, which are dominated by technology - growth stocks, are more offensive with larger fluctuations but may bring higher returns, while the SSE 50 and CSI 300 indexes, which are dominated by dividend blue - chip stocks, are more defensive with smaller fluctuations but relatively weaker price elasticity [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The closing prices of IF contracts for different periods increased, with increases of 49.00, 46.80, 49.60, and 50.80 respectively. The trading volume of the current - month contract was 90137.00, and the open interest increased by 4297.00. The price - to - price spreads between the next - month and current - month contracts changed from - 4.80 to - 8.60 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The closing prices of IH contracts for different periods also rose, with increases of 30.40, 30.60, 29.60, and 29.00 respectively. The trading volume of the current - month contract was 45450.00, and the open interest of the current - month and next - month contracts increased, while that of the next - quarter and far - quarter contracts decreased. The price - to - price spreads between the next - month and current - month contracts changed from 0.20 to 0.00 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The closing prices of IC contracts for different periods increased significantly, with increases of 92.40, 98.00, 94.20, and 103.20 respectively. The trading volume of the current - month contract was 77339.00, and the open interest increased in all periods. The price - to - price spreads between the next - month and current - month contracts changed from - 43.40 to - 37.00 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The closing prices of IM contracts for different periods rose, with increases of 88.60, 93.60, 98.40, and 106.60 respectively. The trading volume of the current - month contract was 196109.00, and the open interest increased in all periods. The price - to - price spreads between the next - month and current - month contracts changed from - 50.80 to - 47.80 [1] 3.2 Stock Index Spot Market - **Index Performance**: The SSE 50 index increased by 1.23%, the CSI 300 index increased by 1.14%, the CSI 500 index increased by 1.09%, and the CSI 1000 index increased by 0.86%. The trading volume and total trading amount of each index showed different degrees of change [1] - **Industry Performance**: Among different industries, the information technology industry had the highest increase of 2.51%, followed by optional consumption (1.36%), raw materials (1.35%), etc., while the public utilities industry had the lowest increase of 0.16% [1] 3.3 Futures - Spot Basis - The basis of different contracts relative to their corresponding spot indexes changed. For example, the basis of the IF current - month contract relative to the CSI 300 index changed from - 7.17 to - 1.40, and the basis of the IH current - month contract relative to the SSE 50 index changed from 2.98 to 4.21 [1] 3.4 Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.89%, the Small and Medium - sized Board Index increased by 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.23% [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.17%, the Nikkei 225 decreased by 1.51%, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.24%, and the DAX index decreased by 0.60% [1] 3.5 Macro Information - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced that child - rearing subsidies are exempt from personal income tax starting from January 1, 2025. The new LPR remained unchanged for three consecutive months, with the 1 - year LPR at 3.0% and the over - 5 - year LPR at 3.5%. The Fed's July meeting minutes showed that almost all policymakers supported not cutting interest rates, and there were differences among officials regarding inflation, employment risks, and the impact of tariffs on inflation. Premier Li Qiang emphasized promoting the quality improvement and upgrading of the biomedical industry, and the State Council General Office proposed a classified and hierarchical approach to implement existing PPP projects [2] 3.6 Industry Information - Some platform companies have reported basic information as required, and the tax department will conduct publicity, guidance, and interviews for those that have not. The State Administration for Market Regulation plans to introduce new regulations on anti - monopoly in the public utilities sector. Multiple rural banks in Zhejiang, Guizhou, Jilin and other places have lowered deposit interest rates by 10 - 20 basis points, while many banks have launched large - denomination certificate of deposit products with an annual interest rate of over 2%. In July, the comprehensive inventory coefficient of automobile dealers was 1.35, a 4.9% month - on - month and 10% year - on - year decrease, with the inventory level below the warning line but above the reasonable range [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The polyolefin futures closed positive yesterday. The spot prices of linear LL and拉丝 PP from Sinopec and PetroChina remained stable. The market heat has cooled down, and the polyolefin spot market is still mainly driven by supply and demand. Summer maintenance is in balance, and inventory is slowly being digested, but short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate. The domestic macro - level is still driven by domestic demand, and the terminal stocking demand may gradually pick up in mid - to late August. The future market should focus on the autumn stocking rhythm after supply - demand digestion and possible changes on the supply side [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Prices**: For linear LL futures, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7347, 7340, and 7308 respectively, with increases of 40, 49, and 40 and涨幅 of 0.55%, 0.67%, and 0.55% respectively. For拉丝 PP futures, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7056, 7062, and 7026 respectively, with increases of 40, 30, and 39 and涨幅 of 0.57%, 0.43%, and 0.56% respectively [2]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of linear LL futures for January, May, and September contracts were 400529, 7534, and 95001 respectively, and the open interests were 381563, 20465, and 90092 respectively. The open interest changes were 21423, 1614, and - 35644 respectively. For拉丝 PP futures, the trading volumes were 341106, 14955, and 58830 respectively, the open interests were 442583, 31841, and 61893 respectively, and the open interest changes were 25989, 2844, and - 19500 respectively [2]. - **Spreads**: For linear LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 7, 32, and - 39 respectively, compared with previous values of 16, 23, and - 39. For拉丝 PP, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were - 6, 36, and - 30 respectively, compared with previous values of - 16, 45, and - 29 [2]. Raw Materials and Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2427 yuan/ton, 6390 yuan/ton, 570 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6770 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively, with some changes compared to previous values [2]. - **Spot Market**: In the middle - stream market, the current price ranges of linear LL in East China, North China, and South China were 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7150 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7350 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. For拉丝 PP, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China were 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, 6850 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6850 - 7100 yuan/ton respectively [2]. News - On Wednesday (August 20), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.21 per barrel, up $0.86 or 1.38% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.39 - $63.55. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.84 per barrel, up $1.05 or 1.60% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.81 - $67.06 [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report Last week's unexpected US inflation data pressured gold and silver, and recent positive signals from US-Russia negotiations reduced geopolitical risks. The sharp increase in the US PPI in July cooled the expectation of a significant interest rate cut. Although the employment market's weakening supported the prices of gold and silver, the overall trade environment continued to deteriorate. The implementation of the "Big and Beautiful" bill increased the expectation of the US fiscal deficit, and the People's Bank of China continued to purchase gold. Gold and silver may show a volatile trend as the expectation of an interest rate cut rises [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data - **Futures Market**: The prices of Shanghai gold and silver futures contracts all declined, with the decline rates of Shanghai gold futures at -0.32% and that of Shanghai silver futures at -1.37% and -1.35% respectively. The trading volume and open interest of each contract varied [2]. - **Spot Market**: The prices of spot gold and silver also decreased, with the decline rate of London silver reaching -1.66%. The price differences between different contracts and the ratios of Shanghai gold/silver to London gold/silver changed to varying degrees [2]. - **Inventory**: The inventories of gold and silver in the Shanghai Futures Exchange and COMEX changed, with the Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory increasing by 11,020 kilograms and the COMEX's gold inventory decreasing by 17,425.86 ounces [2]. - **Related Derivatives and Macroeconomic Indicators**: The US dollar index rose by 0.13%, the S&P 500 index fell by -0.59%, the US Treasury yield decreased by -0.92%, and the positions of SPDR Gold ETF and SLV Silver ETF increased slightly [2]. Macro News - Trump stated that the US would help Ukraine defend but not send ground troops, and Ukraine would not be allowed to join NATO. The US planned a tripartite meeting among the US, Russia, and Ukraine in Budapest [3]. - The US Department of Commerce added 407 product categories to the steel and aluminum tariff list, with a tax rate of 50% [3]. - Japan and the US planned to closely discuss the implementation of a $550 billion investment in the US and set up a mechanism to verify national interests [3]. - The annualized monthly rate of new housing starts in the US in July increased by 5.2%, reaching 1.428 million units, higher than market expectations [3]. Comments and Strategies - The unexpected inflation data in the US last week pressured gold and silver, and the positive signals from US-Russia negotiations reduced geopolitical risks. The sharp increase in the US PPI in July cooled the expectation of a significant interest rate cut [4]. - Previously, the US Treasury Secretary believed that there was a high possibility of a 50 - basis - point interest rate cut in September, but the inflation data has changed this expectation [4]. - The employment market's weakening supported the prices of gold and silver, but the overall trade environment continued to deteriorate. The implementation of the "Big and Beautiful" bill increased the expectation of the US fiscal deficit, and the People's Bank of China continued to purchase gold. Gold and silver may show a volatile trend as the expectation of an interest rate cut rises [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - On August 19, treasury bond futures prices generally rose, with the T2509 contract up 0.04% and a decrease in open interest. The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of treasury bond futures was at a low level, with no arbitrage opportunities. Short - term market interest rates generally increased, and key - term treasury bond yields showed mixed changes. The 10Y treasury bond yield dropped 1.82bp to 1.77%, and the long - short (10 - 2) treasury bond yield spread was 33.3bp. The central bank's open - market operation had a net injection of 46.57 billion yuan, and there were various macro and industry news. Treasury bond futures prices may continue to weaken, and the cross - variety spread may widen [2][3] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Price Changes**: On the previous trading day, treasury bond futures prices generally rose. For example, the TS2509 contract rose 0.028 (0.03%), the TF2509 contract rose 0.085 (0.08%), and the T2509 contract rose 0.040 (0.04%) [2] - **Open Interest and Volume**: The open interest of some contracts decreased (e.g., TS2509 decreased by 8399), while others increased (e.g., TS2512 increased by 4068). Trading volumes varied across different contracts [2] - **Cross - period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads changed. For example, the cross - period spread of TS contracts changed from - 0.022 to - 0.012 [2] - **IRR Analysis**: The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of treasury bond futures was at a low level, indicating no arbitrage opportunities [2] 3.2 Short - term Market Interest Rates - **Rate Changes**: On the previous trading day, short - term market interest rates generally increased. SHIBOR7 - day rate rose 3.4bp, DR007 rate rose 5.51bp, and GC007 rate rose 5.6bp [2] 3.3 Spot Market - **Domestic Treasury Bond Yields**: Key - term treasury bond yields showed mixed changes. The 10Y treasury bond yield dropped 1.82bp to 1.77%, and the long - short (10 - 2) treasury bond yield spread was 33.3bp [2] - **Overseas Treasury Bond Yields**: U.S. 10Y treasury bond yield dropped 4bp, German 10Y treasury bond yield rose 2bp, and Japanese 10Y treasury bond yield rose 1.9bp [2] 3.4 Macro News - **Central Bank Operations**: On August 19, the central bank conducted 580.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed rate, with a net injection of 465.7 billion yuan after 114.6 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured [3] - **Fiscal Revenue**: In July, national general public budget revenue increased 2.6% year - on - year, with central and local revenues up 2.2% and 3.1% respectively. Tax revenue in July increased 5%, the highest this year [3] - **Special Bond Issues**: Some provincial audit reports pointed out problems in the use and management of special bond funds, including data inaccuracies, project delays, and misappropriation [3] - **Central Bank Support**: The People's Bank of China added 100 billion yuan of re - loans for supporting agriculture and small businesses to aid disaster - affected areas [3] - **Personal Pension Policy**: Starting from September 1, three new conditions for withdrawing personal pension were added [3] - **International News**: Trump stated that the U.S. would help Ukraine defend but not send ground troops, and that Ukraine would not join NATO. The U.S. White House was planning a trilateral meeting [3] - **U.S. Housing Data**: In July, U.S. new home starts increased 5.2% month - on - month to 1.428 million units, reaching a five - month high [3] 3.5 Industry Information - **Money Market Interest Rates**: On August 19, most money market interest rates increased. For example, the 1 - day and 7 - day silver inter - bank pledged repurchase weighted average interest rates increased [3] - **U.S. Treasury Bond Yields**: U.S. treasury bond yields fell across the board. For example, the 2 - year yield dropped 1.69bp to 3.738% [3] 3.6 Market Comment and Strategy - **Market Situation**: Treasury bond futures prices slightly rose, with the 10Y treasury bond active bond yield down to 1.771%. The central bank's net injection was 46.57 billion yuan, and Shibor short - end varieties mostly increased. The U.S. 9 - month interest rate cut expectation decreased, and the Chinese real estate market was still adjusting [3] - **Future Outlook**: Treasury bond futures prices may continue to weaken, and the cross - variety spread may widen due to factors such as the stock - bond seesaw effect and the resumption of VAT collection on government and financial bonds [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Fiscal inflection point and pension new policy help the A-share ecosystem enter a new starting point of a "slow bull." Market funds have voted in advance under the policy combination. The central bank has increased support, and multi - ministry "anti - involution" actions are advancing to reshape profit expectations for a long - term bull market [1]. - In 2025, domestic liquidity in China will continue to be loose, in the policy window period. More incremental policies may be introduced in the second half of the year. External risks are gradually easing, and the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in September increases, which further enhances the attractiveness of RMB assets. The current market is in the resonance period of "policy bottom + capital bottom + valuation bottom" [2][11]. - The unexpected US inflation data last week put pressure on gold and silver, and the positive signals from the US - Russia negotiations reduced geopolitical risks. The long - term driving factors of gold still provide support, and gold and silver may show a volatile trend under the increasing expectation of interest rate cuts [3][20]. - SC crude oil fell 0.87% at night. The situation after the multi - party meeting on the Ukraine issue is under concern, and the subsequent OPEC production increase situation needs attention [4][14]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Chief Comment - On August 19, the Ministry of Finance data showed that the growth rate of the national general public budget revenue in July reached a new high this year, and the cumulative growth rate turned from negative to positive. Five departments such as the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security announced new pension withdrawal situations and optimized channels. The securities transaction stamp duty in July was 15.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year surge of 125%. The A - share total market value exceeded 100 trillion yuan for the first time. The central bank added 100 billion yuan of re - loans for agriculture and small businesses [1]. 2. Key Varieties 2.1 Index Futures - US three major indices mainly declined. The domestic market turnover was 2.64 trillion yuan on the previous trading day. The margin trading balance increased by 39.506 billion yuan on August 18. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices are more offensive, while the SSE 50 and SSE 300 are more defensive [2][11]. 2.2 Precious Metals - Unexpected US inflation data last week pressured gold and silver. US 7 - month PPI and CPI data had different impacts on the market. Geopolitical risks declined, and the long - term driving factors of gold still support it. Gold and silver may fluctuate under the increasing expectation of interest rate cuts [3][20]. 2.3 Crude Oil - SC crude oil fell 0.87% at night. The multi - party meeting on the Ukraine issue was held, and India's state - owned refiner continued to buy Russian crude oil. US commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 2.4 million barrels in the week ending August 15, 2025. Follow - up attention should be paid to OPEC's production increase [4][5][14]. 3. Main News Concerns of the Day 3.1 International News - The US Department of Commerce included 407 product categories in the steel and aluminum tariff list with a 50% tax rate to protect domestic manufacturing and curb import dependence [6]. 3.2 Domestic News - In July, the national general public budget revenue was 2.0273 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.6%. The cumulative increase in the first 7 months turned positive. The expenditure was 1.60737 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4% [7]. 3.3 Industry News - Six departments including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology deployed to standardize the competition order of the photovoltaic industry, strengthen industrial regulation, and curb low - price disorderly competition [8]. 4. Daily Earnings of External Markets - The report provides the daily earnings of various external market varieties on August 18 and 19, 2025, including the S&P 500, European STOXX 50, etc., showing the price changes and percentage changes of each variety [10]. 5. Morning Comments on Main Varieties 5.1 Financial - **Stock Index Futures**: The domestic market is in a resonance period of "policy bottom + capital bottom + valuation bottom." The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 are offensive, while the SSE 50 and SSE 300 are defensive [2][11]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bonds rose slightly. The central bank's net investment increased, and the US interest rate cut expectation in September decreased. The bond market may be under pressure, and the cross - variety spread may widen [12][13]. 5.2 Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: SC crude oil fell at night. Pay attention to the situation after the multi - party meeting on the Ukraine issue and OPEC's production increase [4][14]. - **Methanol**: Methanol rose 0.5% at night. The domestic methanol plant operating rate decreased slightly, and the coastal inventory increased. It is expected to be bullish in the short term [15]. - **Rubber**: The price support mainly comes from the supply side. The demand side is weak, and the price may fluctuate and decline in the short term [16]. - **Polyolefins**: Polyolefin futures are weak. The market is mainly driven by supply and demand, and the terminal demand may pick up in mid - to late August [17]. - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Glass and soda ash futures fell. The supply is shrinking, but the inventory has rebounded. Pay attention to the inventory digestion speed [18][19]. 5.3 Metals - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are under pressure from US inflation data. Geopolitical risks decline, and they may fluctuate under the increasing expectation of interest rate cuts [3][20]. - **Copper**: The copper price closed lower at night. The concentrate processing fee is low, and the downstream demand is mixed. The copper price may fluctuate in a range [21]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price closed lower at night. The concentrate processing fee is rising, and the zinc price may fluctuate widely [22]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Jiangte Motor plans to resume lithium mine production. The supply is expected to increase slightly in August, and the demand is also growing. The lithium price may have callback risks and potential upward space [23][24]. 5.4 Black Metals - **Iron Ore**: The demand for iron ore is supported, but the global shipment may increase rapidly in the second half of the year. The market is expected to be volatile and bullish [25]. - **Steel**: The supply pressure of steel is emerging, but the inventory is decreasing. The export is still strong, and the market is expected to be volatile and bullish [26]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The double - coking futures are weak. The inventory of coking coal has increased, and the market is in a wide - range shock [27]. 5.5 Agricultural Products - **Protein Meal**: The soybean and rapeseed meal futures are weak. The USDA report shows a decrease in US soybean production and inventory, and the domestic market is supported by import costs [28]. - **Oils and Fats**: The oils and fats futures are weak. The production and export of Malaysian palm oil have changed, and the market is expected to be volatile in the short term [29][30]. - **Sugar**: The international sugar market is expected to be weak, while the domestic market is supported by high sales - to - production ratio and low inventory. The domestic sugar price is expected to be volatile [31]. - **Cotton**: The ICE cotton futures fell. The domestic cotton supply is tight, and the demand is in the off - season. The Zhengzhou cotton futures may be weak and volatile [32]. 5.6 Shipping Index - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The EC index is volatile. The freight rate has decreased, and it is expected to slow down in early September. The market is likely to continue to fluctuate [33].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The USDA has adjusted the planting area and yield of new - crop soybeans in the United States, leading to a decrease in the estimated production of new - crop soybeans and a significant tightening of the ending stocks. The prices of soybean meal futures are supported by the cost of imports. For palm oil, the increase in production and exports in Malaysia, along with concerns about Indonesia's production and policy, will cause short - term oscillations in the oil market [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Domestic Futures**: The previous day's closing prices of domestic futures for soybean oil, palm oil, and other varieties are provided, along with their price changes, price differences, and price - to - price difference ratios. For example, the previous day's closing price of soybean oil futures was 8526, with a price increase of 10 and a price increase rate of 0.12%. The current value of the Y9 - 1 spread was 32, compared to a previous value of 28 [1] - **International Futures**: The previous day's closing prices, price changes, and price increase rates of international futures such as BMD palm oil, CBOT soybeans, and others are presented. For instance, the previous day's closing price of BMD palm oil was 4473, with a price increase of 135 and a price increase rate of 3.11% [1] Spot Market - **Domestic Spot**: The current spot prices, price increase rates, spot basis, and spot price differences of domestic products like soybean oil, palm oil, and others are given. For example, the current spot price of Tianjin first - grade soybean oil is 8730, with a price increase rate of 0.00%, and the spot basis is 204 [1] - **Import and Profit**: The current and previous values of import profit for varieties such as Malaysian palm oil, U.S. Gulf soybeans, and others are provided. For example, the current import profit of Malaysian palm oil is - 195, compared to a previous value of - 204 [1] - **Warehouse Receipts**: The current and previous values of warehouse receipts for soybean oil, palm oil, and other varieties are presented. For example, the current value of soybean oil warehouse receipts is 15,310, the same as the previous value [1] Industry Information - **Crop Inspection**: ProFarmer's crop inspection estimates that the corn yield per acre in Ohio in 2025 will be 185.69 bushels, and the average number of soybean pods in Ohio will be 1287.28, showing an increase compared to 2024 [2] - **Protein Meal**: The USDA has adjusted the planting area and yield of new - crop soybeans in the United States, resulting in a decrease in the estimated production of new - crop soybeans from 43.35 billion bushels to 42.92 billion bushels. The export estimate of U.S. soybeans has been further reduced to 17.05 billion bushels, and the ending stocks of U.S. soybean futures in the 25/26 season have decreased to 2.9 billion bushels [2] - **Oils**: According to high - frequency data, the estimated production of Malaysian palm oil from August 1 - 15, 2025, increased by 0.88% compared to the same period last month, and the export volume increased by 34.5%. Indonesia's policies and actions have also affected the palm oil market [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Polyolefin futures are running weakly. The spot market of polyolefins is mainly driven by supply - demand factors. The market heat has cooled down, and the inventory is slowly being digested after the previous rebound. The short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate, and the destocking process in summer is tortuous. However, domestic demand is the main driver at the macro level, and the terminal备货 demand may gradually pick up in the middle and late August. The focus should be on the autumn stocking market rhythm after supply - demand digestion and the potential changes in the cost side [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **LL and PP Futures Prices**: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7307, 7291, and 7268 respectively, with changes of - 27, - 21, and - 24 compared to the day before, and percentage changes of - 0.37%, - 0.29%, and - 0.33% respectively. For PP, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7016, 7032, and 6987 respectively, with changes of - 32, - 16, and - 39 compared to the day before, and percentage changes of - 0.45%, - 0.23%, and - 0.56% respectively [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 195031, 3873, and 54494 respectively, and the open interests were 360140, 18851, and 125736 respectively, with changes of 18234, 761, and - 22109 respectively. For PP, the trading volumes for January, May, and September contracts were 198360, 7393, and 50844 respectively, and the open interests were 416594, 28997, and 81393 respectively, with changes of 24874, 1950, and - 18050 respectively [2]. - **Price Spreads**: The current price spreads of LL for January - May, May - September, and September - January are 16, 23, and - 39 respectively, compared to previous values of 22, 20, and - 42. For PP, the current price spreads for January - May, May - September, and September - January are - 16, 45, and - 29 respectively, compared to previous values of 0, 22, and - 22 [2]. Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film are 2395 yuan/ton, 6410 yuan/ton, 560 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively. The previous values were 2400 yuan/ton, 6425 yuan/ton, 564 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - **Intermediate and Final Products**: The current price ranges of LL in the East China, North China, and South China markets are 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. The previous price ranges were 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, and 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton. For PP, the current price ranges in the East China, North China, and South China markets are 6950 - 7050 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6850 - 7100 yuan/ton respectively, and the previous price ranges were 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6900 - 7100 yuan/ton [2]. News - On Tuesday (August 19), the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $62.35 per barrel, down $1.07 or 1.69% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.25 - $63.39. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $65.79 per barrel, down $0.81 or 1.22% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.61 - $66.58 [2].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, domestic liquidity is expected to remain loose, and it is in a policy window period. More incremental policies may be introduced in the second half of the year to boost the real economy. External risks are gradually easing, with the suspension of Sino - US tariffs extended for another 90 days and an increasing probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September, which further enhances the attractiveness of RMB assets. The current market is in a resonance period of "policy bottom + capital bottom + valuation bottom", and the upward trend is likely to continue, but investors need to adapt to the accelerating sector rotation and structural differentiation. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which are rich in technology - growth components, are more offensive with larger fluctuations but may bring higher returns. The SSE 50 and CSI 300 indices, which are rich in dividend - blue - chip components, are more defensive with smaller fluctuations but relatively weaker price elasticity [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IF contracts showed an increase, with the highest increase of 1.16% in the IF far - quarter contract. The trading volume of the IF current - month contract was 99,705, and the open interest was 168,841, with an increase of 168,841 in open interest. The spread between the IF next - month and current - month contracts decreased from 4.40 to - 2.40 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IH contracts also rose slightly, with the highest increase of 0.31% in the IH current - month contract. The trading volume of the IH current - month contract was 52,884, and the open interest was 74,907, with an increase of 74,907 in open interest. The spread between the IH next - month and current - month contracts decreased from 6.80 to 1.20 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IC contracts increased significantly, with the highest increase of 1.54% in the IC next - quarter contract. The trading volume of the IC current - month contract was 83,689, and the open interest was 129,184, with an increase of 129,184 in open interest. The spread between the IC next - month and current - month contracts decreased from - 29.80 to - 31.60 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IM contracts had a large increase, with the highest increase of 2.02% in the IM far - quarter contract. The trading volume of the IM current - month contract was 187,694, and the open interest was 220,587, with an increase of 220,587 in open interest. The spread between the IM next - month and current - month contracts decreased from - 18.20 to - 46.40 [1] 2. Stock Index Spot Market - **Major Indexes**: The CSI 300 index increased by 0.88%, the SSE 50 index increased by 0.21%, the CSI 500 index increased by 1.52%, and the CSI 1000 index increased by 1.69%. Among industries, the telecommunications business had the highest increase of 4.78%, while the raw materials industry decreased by 0.02% [1] - **Trading Volume and Turnover**: The total trading volume and turnover of major indexes generally increased compared to the previous two days [1] 3. Futures - Spot Basis - The basis of IF contracts against the CSI 300 index generally decreased compared to the previous two days [1] - The basis of IH contracts against the SSE 50 index generally increased compared to the previous two days [1] - The basis of IC contracts against the CSI 500 index generally decreased compared to the previous two days [1] - The basis of IM contracts against the CSI 1000 index generally decreased compared to the previous two days [1] 4. Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.85%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.73%, the Small and Medium - sized Board Index increased by 1.44%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.84% [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The Hang Seng Index decreased by 0.37%, the Nikkei 225 increased by 0.77%, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.01%, and the DAX index decreased by 0.18% [1] 5. Macro Information - The Chinese government aims to enhance macro - policy implementation efficiency, stimulate consumption, expand effective investment, and stabilize the real estate market [2] - The US and Ukraine have potential military and economic cooperation, with Ukraine planning to purchase $100 billion worth of weapons from the US and sign a $50 billion drone cooperation production agreement [2] - China's central bank plans to improve the legal system for movable property financing [2] - China has extended the anti - subsidy investigation on EU dairy products until February 21, 2026 [2] 6. Industry Information - The radio and television administration plans to increase the supply of high - quality audio - visual content [2] - The second - hand housing market in 100 cities is in a state of "trading at lower prices", with the average price in July decreasing by 0.77% month - on - month and 7.32% year - on - year [2] - The new - car business of automobile dealers suffered serious losses in the first half of the year, and the growth expectation for 2025 is less optimistic than at the end of last year [2] - 49 models of 13 automobile manufacturers, including Li Auto, Xiaomi, and XPeng, meet the requirements for automobile data security [2] 7. Stock Index Views - The US stock market had small fluctuations, and the previous trading day's domestic stock index rose, with the communication sector leading the gain and the real estate sector leading the decline. The market turnover was 2.81 trillion yuan. On August 15, the margin trading balance increased by 7.542 billion yuan to 2.048599 trillion yuan [2]

Group 1: Report Summary - The report focuses on the polyolefin (LL&PP) futures and spot markets, providing data on prices, trading volumes, and inventories, along with market analysis and strategies [2]. Group 2: Market Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 3: Core View - Polyolefin futures are running weakly. The spot market is mainly driven by supply - demand. The market heat has cooled down, and the inventory is slowly being digested. It is in a stage of stopping the decline after the previous rebound. The destocking process in summer is tortuous, but the terminal备货 demand may pick up in mid - to late August. The key is to focus on the autumn stocking market rhythm and potential cost changes [2]. Group 4: Futures Market - **Price and Change**: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7334, 7312, and 7292 respectively, with declines of - 17, - 34, and - 14 and percentage drops of - 0.23%, - 0.46%, and - 0.19%. For PP, the closing prices were 7048, 7048, and 7026, with declines of - 36, - 32, and - 32 and percentage drops of - 0.51%, - 0.45%, and - 0.45% [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 210483, 3872, and 77466. The open interests were 341906, 18090, and 147845, with changes of 23091, 1252, and - 25485. For PP, the trading volumes were 198520, 7133, and 56805. The open interests were 391720, 27047, and 99443, with changes of 28363, 1051, and - 11273 [2]. - **Spread**: For LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 22, 20, and - 42, compared to previous values of 5, 40, and - 45. For PP, the current spreads were 0, 22, and - 22, compared to previous values of 4, 22, and - 26 [2]. Group 5: Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2400 yuan/ton, 6425 yuan/ton, 562 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively, with some price changes from the previous values [2]. - **Intermediate Products**: For LL, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China markets were 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton. For PP, the ranges were 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6900 - 7100 yuan/ton, with some price changes from the previous values [2]. Group 6: News - On August 18, 2025, the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.42 per barrel, up $0.62 or 0.99% from the previous day. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.60 per barrel, up $0.75 or 1.14% from the previous day [2].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Copper prices may experience short - term range - bound fluctuations. Multiple factors are at play, with low concentrate processing fees testing smelting output, while downstream demand shows a mixed picture. Attention should be paid to US tariff progress, the US dollar, copper smelting, and household appliance production [2]. - Zinc prices may have short - term wide - range fluctuations. Concentrate processing fees are rising, and this year's concentrate supply has improved significantly. Domestic demand is also a mix of positive and negative factors, and the same external factors need to be monitored [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - Night - session copper prices closed lower. Current concentrate processing fees are generally at a low level, challenging smelting output. Domestic downstream demand is generally stable and positive, with power and automobile industries growing, household appliance output growth slowing, and the real estate sector remaining weak. Copper prices may fluctuate within a range [2]. - The previous domestic futures closing price was 78,950 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of 170 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 9,733 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 96.75 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 155,800 tons, with a daily change of - 50 tons [2]. Zinc - Night - session zinc prices closed lower. Concentrate processing fees have been rising recently. Domestic automobile production and sales are growing, infrastructure is growing steadily, household appliance output growth is slowing, and the real estate sector is weak. This year's concentrate supply has improved significantly, and smelting supply may recover. Zinc prices may have wide - range short - term fluctuations [2]. - The previous domestic futures closing price was 22,340 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of - 65 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 2,777 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 8.65 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 76,325 tons, with a daily change of - 1,125 tons [2]. Other Metals - Aluminum: The previous domestic futures closing price was 20,600 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of - 20 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 2,589 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 0.05 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 479,550 tons, with a daily change of - 125 tons [2]. - Nickel: The previous domestic futures closing price was 120,340 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of - 1,270 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 15,151 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 194.65 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 211,662 tons, with a daily change of 522 tons [2]. - Lead: The previous domestic futures closing price was 16,775 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of - 155 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 1,971 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was - 44.00 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 261,100 tons, with a daily change of - 575 tons [2]. - Tin: The previous domestic futures closing price was 267,020 yuan/ton, with a domestic basis of - 420 yuan/ton. The previous LME 3 - month closing price was 33,702 dollars/ton, and the LME spot premium (CASH - 3M) was 89.00 dollars/ton. LME inventory was 1,655 tons, with a daily change of - 175 tons [2].