Chang Cheng Qi Huo
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豆粕、豆油期货品种周报-20251201
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 01:20
2025.12.01-12.05 豆粕、豆油 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 豆粕期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 中线行情分析 中线趋势来看,豆粕主力处于震荡的阶段。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 据Mysteel数据:第47周油厂大豆实际压榨量233.44万吨,开机率为 64.22%,豆粕库存115.15万吨。油厂维持高开工率,加之大豆到港量充 裕,豆粕库存持续累积,供应整体宽松。同时,下游养殖利润处于亏损 状态,严重抑制饲料消费需求,企业多以刚需补库为主。尽管基本面偏 弱,但进口成本为价格提供底部支撑,加之南美天气仍存不确定性。综 合来看,中线趋势预计豆粕价格将处于震荡阶段。 2 关注美豆出口节奏,南美天气,养殖需求。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 豆粕期价整体趋势处于下行通道,资金方面较为偏空。M2601 短期内预计处于震荡偏弱阶段,预计运行区间:2920-3080。 本周策略建议 豆粕期价整体趋势处于横盘阶段,资金方面倾向不明显。M2601 短期内预计处于震荡阶段,预计运行区间:2980-3100。 品种诊断情况 | 豆粕 ...
黄金、白银期货品种周报-20251201
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 01:16
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Gold futures are in an upward trend, possibly at the end of the trend. Last week, the price showed a volatile and upward trend with a cumulative increase of 2.54%. In the short - term, it may maintain high - level volatility, and in the long - term, it is supported by central bank gold purchases and the easing cycle [7]. - Silver futures are in a strong upward phase, also possibly at the end of the trend. Last week, the price showed a volatile and strengthening trend. In the short - term, it may maintain high - level volatility, and in the long - term, it is supported by supply - demand balance and the easing cycle [31]. 3. Summary by Directory Gold Futures - **Mid - term Market Analysis** - **Trend Judgment**: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in an upward channel, possibly at the end of the trend [7]. - **Trend Logic**: Last week, the gold price was volatile and upward, with a 2.54% increase. It was driven by the strengthened expectation of the Fed's December interest rate cut, a weaker US dollar index, and continuous capital inflow. However, the upward momentum was restricted as the market had partially priced in the easing expectation before the December FOMC meeting. In the future, it may maintain high - level volatility in the short - term and be supported by central bank gold purchases and the easing cycle in the long - term [7]. - **Mid - term Strategy**: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The Shanghai Gold contract 2602 was in short - term volatility. The upper pressure level was 960 - 970 yuan/gram, and the lower support level was 910 - 920 yuan/gram. It was recommended to wait and see [10]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The Shanghai Gold contract 2602 may continue high - level volatility in the short - term. The upper pressure level is 960 - 970 yuan/gram, and the lower support level is 930 - 940 yuan/gram. It is recommended to wait and see [11]. - **Related Data Situation**: The report provides data on the price trends of Shanghai Gold and COMEX gold, SPDR gold ETF holdings, COMEX gold inventory, US 10 - year Treasury yield, US dollar index, US dollar against offshore RMB, gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and gold internal - external price difference [18][21][23][25][27]. Silver Futures - **Mid - term Market Analysis** - **Trend Judgment**: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward phase, possibly at the end of the trend [31]. - **Trend Logic**: Last week, the silver price was volatile and strengthening. It was driven by the strengthened expectation of the Fed's December interest rate cut, continuous depletion of global silver inventory, recovery of industrial demand, and large - scale capital inflow. In the future, it may maintain high - level volatility in the short - term and be supported by supply - demand balance and the easing cycle in the long - term [31]. - **Mid - term Strategy**: It is recommended to wait and see [32]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The silver contract 2602 was in short - term consolidation. The upper pressure level was 12,000 - 12,200 yuan/kg, and the lower support level was 11,600 - 11,800 yuan/kg. It was recommended to wait and see [35]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The silver contract 2602 may strengthen in short - term volatility. The upper pressure level is 12,500 - 13,000 yuan/kg, and the lower support level is 11,500 - 12,000 yuan/kg. It is recommended to buy on dips [36]. - **Related Data Situation**: The report provides data on the price trends of Shanghai Silver and COMEX silver, SLV silver ETF holdings, COMEX silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and silver internal - external price difference [43][45][47].
工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:32
工业硅期货 目录 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 Contents 工业硅、碳酸锂 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 2025.11.24-11.28 中线行情分析 工业硅期货目前处于大区间运行。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 2 上周工业硅现货价格维稳,截至11月21日新疆地区421#价格9200元/吨, 云南地区421#价格9900元/吨,四川地区421#价格10000元/吨。长城期货 AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示工业硅价格日线处在横盘阶段。资金方面, 主力显示出较强的偏多情绪。 预计工业硅2601合约运行区间在7500—10000之中。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 工业硅大区间运行,观望为主。 本周策略建议 工业硅大区间运行,观望为主。 相关数据情况 截止至2024年04月19日,上海期货交易所阴极铜库存为300,045吨,较上一周增加322吨。从季节性角度分析,当前库存较近五年相比维持在较高水平。 SHF阴极铜库存走势 SHF阴极铜库存季节性分析 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 截止至2024年04月19日, ...
豆粕、豆油期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:31
Contents 01 P A R T 豆粕期货 2025.11.24-11.28 豆粕、豆油 期货品种周报 目录 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 中线趋势来看,豆粕主力处于宽幅震荡的阶段。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 据Mysteel数据:第46周油厂大豆实际压榨量207.76万吨,开机率为 57.15%,豆粕库存99.29万吨。供应端,油厂高开工率与近百万吨库存令 市场承压,加之进口大豆到港及南美丰产预期,供应整体宽松。需求端, 养殖利润亏损抑制饲料消费,下游企业补库谨慎。然而,进口成本及油 厂持续亏损挺价意愿为价格提供支撑。中线趋势预计豆粕价格将处于宽 幅震荡阶段。 2 关注中美贸易政策变化,南美天气,养殖需求。 中线策略建议 3 中线行情分析 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 豆粕期价整体趋势处于上行通道,资金方面较为偏空。M2601 短期内预计震荡调整后重心仍缓慢上移,预计运行区间: 3000-3180。 本周策略建议 豆粕期价整体趋势处于下行通道,资金方面较为偏空。M2601短 期内预计处于震荡偏弱阶段,预计运行区间:2920-3080。 品种诊断情况 精选指标情况 本报 ...
螺纹钢、铁矿石期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:25
Group 1: Overall Information - Report title: "Rebar, Iron Ore Futures Weekly Report" [2] - Report period: November 24 - 28, 2025 [1] Group 2: Rebar Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330 [7] - Trend judgment logic: Weekly rebar output is 2.08 million tons, apparent consumption is 2.3 million tons, major steel mills' inventory is 1.53 million tons, and social inventory is 5.97 million tons [7] - Mid - term strategy: Consider a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and 14 grids [7] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range [10] - This week's strategy: Implement a large - grid trading strategy as the main contract is in a sideways consolidation range [11] - Hedging advice for spot enterprises: Wait and see until a new mid - term trend becomes clear [12] 3. Related Data - Data sources: Wind, Mysteel, and the trading consulting department of Great Wall Futures [15][20][21] Group 3: Iron Ore Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of iron ore futures is in a range - bound consolidation stage of 732 - 872 [31] - Trend judgment logic: Last week, the global shipment volume of iron ore was 3.516 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major Chinese ports was 2.268 million tons, steel enterprises' inventory was 9.001 million tons, and the inventory at major domestic ports was 15.054 million tons [31] - Mid - term strategy: Consider implementing a grid trading strategy [31] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The mid - term price of iron ore was in an oscillatory consolidation stage [34] - This week's strategy: Implement a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and 14 grids [35] 3. Related Data - Data sources: Wind, Mysteel, and the trading consulting department of Great Wall Futures [41][48][52]
纯碱、玻璃期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:23
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The soda ash futures market is in a volatile stage. The core contradiction of high supply and weak demand remains unresolved, and the price center has shifted downwards. It is recommended to wait and see [6][8]. - The float glass market is in a weak and volatile trend. The supply - demand contradiction is prominent, and the short - term weak situation is difficult to change. It is recommended to hold an empty position and wait and see [31]. 3. Summary by Directory Soda Ash Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - The soda ash futures are in a volatile stage. The domestic soda ash market was generally stable last week. The supply contracted due to some device overhauls, but it was still abundant. The demand was divided, with light soda demand relatively stable and heavy soda demand continuously weak. Coal cost increase and industry losses provided support for prices. The market was in a game between weak reality and strong cost, and it was expected to maintain a narrow - range shock in the short term. The soda ash futures price oscillated downward, and the main contract fell below the key point. It is recommended to wait and see [6][8]. 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The domestic soda ash market was stable with a slight upward trend last week. Light soda prices rose slightly, and heavy soda prices remained stable. Supply contracted but demand was stable, with obvious cost support. It was expected to continue narrow - range consolidation under the oversupply pattern. The futures were in a tug - of - war, and it was expected that the operating range of soda ash 2601 was 1100 - 1250 [11]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The domestic soda ash market remained stable last week. Light soda demand was stable, and heavy soda demand was weak. Supply decreased slightly due to overhauls but was still abundant. Cost support and enterprises' willingness to stabilize prices were obvious. The market was in a game between weak reality and strong cost, and it was expected to continue to oscillate in the short term. The expected operating range of soda ash 2601 was 1100 - 1250 [12]. 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - The relevant data include China's weekly soda ash开工率, production, light - soda inventory, heavy - soda inventory, basis, and ammonia - soda process production cost in North China [13][17][19]. Float Glass Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - The float glass market was in a weak and volatile trend. The domestic float glass market declined weakly last week, with prices in various regions generally falling by 20 - 50 yuan/ton. The supply was generally abundant, and downstream demand was continuously weak. Enterprises' shipment pressure increased, and most adopted price - cut promotions, but the transactions were mainly low - priced resources. The overall inventory was still in an accumulating trend. The supply - demand contradiction in the futures market was prominent, and the short - term weak situation was difficult to change. It is recommended to hold an empty position and wait and see, and pay attention to inventory destocking and policy trends in the follow - up [31]. 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The domestic float glass market was weak last week, with prices stable with a slight decline. Supply was sufficient but downstream orders were limited. Manufacturers mainly focused on reducing inventory and shipping. Cost provided support but the market lacked positive factors. The futures market was in a weak and volatile trend [34]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The float glass market was weak last week, with spot prices generally falling. Supply was abundant while demand was weak. Enterprises carried out price - cut promotions, and the overall inventory pressure remained. The futures market declined unilaterally, and the supply - demand contradiction was prominent. It was expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend [35]. 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - The relevant data include China's weekly float glass production,开工率, production cost and production profit of the float process using natural gas as fuel, basis, and ending inventory [37][40][44].
黄金、白银期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 06:22
Report Summary of Gold and Silver Futures 1. Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **Gold**: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in an upward channel, possibly at the end of the trend. Short - term gold prices may continue to fluctuate in the range of 910 - 970 yuan/gram, and the price center is expected to gradually rise in the medium - to - long term [7]. - **Silver**: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward stage, currently at the end of the trend. Short - term silver prices may continue to fluctuate in the range of 11,600 - 12,200 yuan/kg, and the price center is expected to gradually rise in the medium - to - long term [33]. 3. Summary by Directory Gold Futures - **Mid - line Market Analysis** - **Trend Judgment**: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in an upward channel, possibly at the end of the trend. The core driving factors for the range - bound movement last week were fluctuations in US Treasury yields, differences in Fed policy expectations, and repeated market sentiment [7]. - **Trend Logic**: In the short term, gold prices may continue to fluctuate in the range of 910 - 970 yuan/gram. In the medium - to - long term, the price center is expected to gradually rise, supported by the continued trend of central bank gold purchases globally and the expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle [7]. - **Strategy Suggestion**: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The Shanghai Gold contract 2602 was in short - term shock consolidation last week, with the upper pressure level at 960 - 970 yuan/gram and the lower support level at 900 - 910 yuan/gram. It was recommended to wait and see [10]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The Shanghai Gold contract 2602 will continue to fluctuate in the short term, with the upper pressure level at 960 - 970 yuan/gram and the lower support level at 910 - 920 yuan/gram. It is recommended to wait and see [11]. - **Related Data Situation** - The report presents data on the price trends of Shanghai Gold and COMEX Gold, SPDR Gold ETF holdings, COMEX Gold inventory, US 10 - year Treasury yields, US dollar index, US dollar against offshore RMB, gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and gold internal - external price difference through charts [20][23][25]. Silver Futures - **Mid - line Market Analysis** - **Trend Judgment**: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward stage, currently at the end of the trend. The core driving factors for the wide - range shock movement last week were differences in Fed policy expectations, the strengthening of the US dollar index, and the game of continuous destocking of spot inventory [33]. - **Trend Logic**: In the short term, silver prices may continue to fluctuate in the range of 11,600 - 12,200 yuan/kg. In the medium - to - long term, the price center is expected to gradually rise, supported by the tight global silver supply - demand situation (low inventory + resilient industrial demand such as photovoltaics) and the expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle [33]. - **Strategy Suggestion**: It is recommended to wait and see [34]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - **Last Week's Strategy Review**: The Silver contract 2602 was in short - term shock consolidation last week, with the upper pressure level at 12,000 - 12,600 yuan/kg and the lower support level at 10,900 - 11,500 yuan/kg. It was recommended to wait and see [37]. - **This Week's Strategy Suggestion**: The Silver contract 2602 will continue to be in short - term shock consolidation, with the upper pressure level at 12,000 - 12,200 yuan/kg and the lower support level at 11,600 - 11,800 yuan/kg. It is recommended to wait and see [38]. - **Related Data Situation** - The report presents data on the price trends of Shanghai Silver and COMEX Silver, SLV Silver ETF holdings, COMEX Silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and silver internal - external price difference through charts [45][47][49].
电解铝期货品种周报-20251124
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 05:41
Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives an overall rating of "Bullish Oscillation" for the electrolytic aluminum industry [4][11] Core Viewpoints - Mid - term (2026): The global supply growth rate of primary aluminum is expected to slow down, while demand is likely to remain resilient due to the global manufacturing recovery. The supply gap is expected to widen compared to 2025, indicating a bullish mid - term supply - demand pattern [4] - Short - term (November 2025): The aluminum price may fluctuate. There is no significant new demand increment, and although the demand is resilient, the exploration above 22,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai aluminum usually requires major supply disruptions. The supply from Guinea is expected to be stable at the end of the year, and domestic bauxite and alumina inventories are abundant [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Overall View Supply - Bauxite: The market is in a state of oversupply. Market participants expect an increase in shipments from Guinea at the end of the year, and the cumulative import volume growth rate of bauxite this year is higher than the cumulative production growth rate of alumina [9][12] - Alumina: As of November 21, 2025, the domestic built - in capacity is about 11,255 million tons, the operating capacity is about 9,660 million tons, and the capacity utilization rate is about 85.46%. In 2026, about 1,440 million tons/year of new capacity will be put into production, mainly in the first half of the year in the southwest and northern coastal regions. The supply - demand contradiction is still severe due to high inventory and new capacity [9] - Electrolytic Aluminum: In October 2025, the domestic built - in capacity was about 4,571.65 million tons, and the operating capacity was about 4,455.93 million tons. The domestic smelting profit is high, and the supply is steadily increasing. However, overseas supply may decrease due to power shortages, and the global aluminum supply has entered a low - growth stage [9] Demand - Aluminum Profiles: The weekly industry starting rate decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 52.6%. The construction profile market sentiment is weak, while the automotive profile orders are expected to last until the end of the year. The procurement of photovoltaic component factories has slowed down, and the starting rate is expected to decline slightly [10] - Aluminum Plate, Strip and Foil: The starting rate of leading aluminum plate and strip enterprises increased by 0.4 percentage points to 66.0%, but it will continue to decline due to the off - season, uncertain environmental policies, and lack of order support. The starting rate of leading aluminum foil enterprises decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 70.4%, and the demand in traditional consumption areas is weak [10] - Aluminum Cables: The weekly starting rate increased by 0.4 percentage points to 62.4%. Supported by grid orders, it is expected to continue to recover [10] - Alloys: The starting rate of the primary aluminum alloy industry remained stable at 59.8%, showing a stable supply - demand situation. The starting rate of leading recycled aluminum enterprises remained stable at 60.6%, and it is expected to remain stable in the short term [10] Inventory - Electrolytic Aluminum: The social inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots is 61.9 million tons, basically stable since November, about 15% higher than the same period last year, and slightly below the mid - axis level since 2023. The in - plant inventory of electrolytic aluminum is at a low level in recent years, and the outbound volume has decreased significantly since the end of October. The inventory of aluminum rods is 13.62 million tons, about 2% lower than last week and about 31% higher than last year. The LME aluminum inventory decreased by about 1% compared to last week and about 23% compared to last year, remaining at a low level in recent years [10] Profit - Alumina: The average full - cost in the past month was about 2,800 yuan/ton, the spot theoretical profit was about 50 yuan/ton, and the futures main - contract theoretical profit was - 70 yuan/ton [11][19] - Electrolytic Aluminum: The current average production cost is about 16,950 yuan/ton, and the theoretical profit is about 4,200 yuan/ton (last week it was 4,800 yuan/ton), with a relatively high profit level [11][19] Market Expectation and Outlook - Market Expectation: The strong US dollar and low interest - rate cut expectations at the macro level suppress the aluminum price. The domestic supply is at a high level, the demand has entered the off - season, the inventory support is limited, the capital sentiment is cautious, and the current spot trading is still weak, so the correction may not be over [11] - Outlook: At the end of November, the macro - guidance is slightly weak. The domestic supply is stable, while the demand has further seasonal contraction pressure. The social inventory may slightly increase, and the price is expected to oscillate under pressure. The main 2601 contract is expected to be in the range of 21,000 - 21,700 yuan/ton in the next week [11] 2. Important Industry Link Price Changes - Bauxite: The import price is under pressure. The price of bauxite SI2 - 3% Guinea decreased by 0.69% week - on - week, and the prices of some other types remained stable [12] - Alumina: It has been oscillating downward since mid - August. The price of Henan first - grade alumina decreased by 0.18% week - on - week [12] - Other: Coal prices have been rising since September, and the supply - demand situation is expected to be strong at the end of the year. The prices of some other raw materials such as pre - baked anodes and ice crystals have also changed to varying degrees [12] 3. Important Industry Link Inventory Changes - Bauxite: The port inventory of imported bauxite decreased slightly, and it has been fluctuating around the annual high of 2,850 million tons since August. The domestic bauxite inventory is abundant [16] - Alumina: It has been accumulating inventory since the end of May and is currently at a high level in recent years. The inventory of alumina plants and ports decreased slightly this week, while the in - plant inventory of electrolytic aluminum continued to accumulate rapidly [16] - Electrolytic Aluminum: The domestic mainstream consumption area inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots remained stable, and the inventory of aluminum rods decreased [16] 4. Supply - Demand Situation - The off - season characteristics of the aluminum processing industry are more obvious this week, with significant structural differentiation in the sector. The primary aluminum alloy has stable supply and demand; the starting rate of aluminum cables has slightly increased supported by grid orders; the traditional demand for aluminum plates and strips is weak; the construction profiles are sluggish, and the demand for packaging foil has weakened; the recycled aluminum is still restricted by the tight raw material supply [25] 5. Futures - Spot Structure - The current spot - end price is under pressure, and the Shanghai aluminum futures price structure is moderately weak [30] 6. Spread Structure - The spread between aluminum ingots and ADC12 this week is about - 2,040 yuan/ton (pre - holiday was - 1,840 yuan/ton). The current spread of primary aluminum and alloys is at the mid - axis level in recent years and has a neutral impact on electrolytic aluminum [34][36] 7. Market Fund Situation - LME Aluminum: The net long position of funds is near the high level since April 2022. In the latest period, the net long position increased slightly, and both the long and short camps reduced their positions. Overseas funds still have a positive expectation for the aluminum price [38] - SHFE Electrolytic Aluminum: The net long position of the main force significantly reduced this week, with the long camp reducing positions more than the short camp. The net long position of funds with a financial speculation background continued to reduce positions, and funds with a background of mid - downstream enterprises are in a stalemate between long and short. Overall, the main funds still tend to adjust [41]
豆粕、豆油期货品种周报-20251117
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 03:20
2025.11.17-11.21 豆粕、豆油 期货品种周报 Contents 中线行情分析 01 P A R T 豆粕期货 目录 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 中线趋势来看,豆粕主力处于宽幅震荡的阶段。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 据Mysteel数据:第45周油厂大豆实际压榨量180.57万吨,开机率为 49.67%,豆粕库存99.86万吨。国内大豆到港量维持高位,压榨量虽短期 回落但仍处于相对充裕水平,豆粕整体供应宽松格局未改。下游饲料企 业采购谨慎,养殖利润持续不佳抑制消费积极性,且最新美农供需报告 部分利多预期已提前消化。然而,进口成本抬升及远月备货情绪为市场 提供底部支撑。综合来看,中线趋势预计豆粕期价处于宽幅震荡阶段。 2 关注中美贸易政策变化,南美天气,养殖需求。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 豆粕期价整体趋势处于上行通道,资金方面强烈偏空。M2601 短期内或处于震荡调整阶段,预计运行区间:2950-3150。 本周策略建议 | < 豆粕(m) v | | --- | | 品种诊断 机构观点 盈利席位 主力资金 : | | 多空流向: -71. ...
螺纹钢、铁矿石期货品种周报-20251117
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 03:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The report analyzes the mid - line market, trading strategies, and related data of rebar and iron ore futures. It uses the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent big - data quantitative strategy model to make trend judgments and gives corresponding trading strategy suggestions [7][30]. 3. Summary according to the Directory Rebar Futures Mid - line Market Analysis - The main contract of rebar futures operates in the sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330. The weekly output of rebar is 2 million tons, the apparent consumption is 2.16 million tons, the inventory of major steel mills is 1.6 million tons, and the social inventory is 6.2 million tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the consolidation stage, with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and a grid number of 14 [7]. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the main contract of rebar futures entered the shock consolidation range. This week, according to the model, it enters the sideways consolidation range, and a large - grid trading strategy can be considered. Spot enterprises are advised to wait and see until a new mid - line trend becomes clear [10][11][12]. Related Data Situation No specific data content is summarized in the text other than the above - mentioned production, consumption, and inventory data. Iron Ore Futures Mid - line Market Analysis - The main contract of iron ore futures is in the range consolidation stage of 732 - 872. In terms of supply, the global shipment volume of iron ore last week was 30.69 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major ports in China was 27.41 million tons, the inventory of steel enterprises was 90.76 million tons, and the inventory of domestic major ports was 151.29 million tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the shock consolidation stage [30]. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the mid - line price of iron ore was in the shock consolidation stage. This week, the AI intelligent system suggests implementing a grid trading strategy, with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and a grid number of 14 [33][34]. Related Data Situation No specific data content is summarized in the text other than the above - mentioned supply - related data.