Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical and basic chemical sectors [5] Core Insights - The bulk chemical industry is at a dual cycle inflection point, with profitability expected to recover as domestic and international demand improves in 2026 [1][3] - After a prolonged period of low profitability, the industry is entering a phase of reduced capacity expansion and inventory adjustments, with limited new capacity expected in 2026-2027 [2][3] - The dividend payout ratio for Chinese bulk chemical companies is anticipated to trend upwards due to decreased capital expenditure intensity compared to the 2015-2025 period [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The bulk chemical industry has experienced a significant downturn in profitability since 2023, with a notable oversupply leading to continued low earnings through the second half of 2025 [2] - The industry is expected to enter a recovery phase in 2026 as demand begins to rebound [1][3] Capacity and Inventory Cycles - The current inventory cycle is at a turning point, with passive inventory replenishment observed since the second quarter of 2025, influenced by external demand factors [3] - The report indicates that the capacity expansion in the bulk chemical sector will be orderly during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with limited new capacity additions expected [2] Dividend and Capital Expenditure Trends - The report highlights that the capital expenditure intensity for the bulk chemical sector is likely to decrease significantly, leading to an increase in dividend payout ratios for companies in this space [4] - Recommended companies include Xinhengcheng, Wanhua Chemical, Hengli Petrochemical, and Sinopec A/H, which are expected to benefit from these trends [4][8]

Group 1 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has applied for a patent for "Crystal Form I of 2-Nitroterephthalic Acid Dimethyl Ester and Its Preparation Method and Application" with publication number CN121342666A, filed on July 2024 [1] - The patent describes a crystalline product of 2-Nitroterephthalic Acid Dimethyl Ester, characterized by specific peaks in X-ray powder diffraction at angles of 10.2±0.2°, 14.3±0.2°, 14.9±0.2°, 15.8±0.2°, 16.3±0.2°, 17.3±0.2°, 19.3±0.2°, 20.1±0.2°, 20.5±0.2°, 22.1±0.2°, 22.5±0.2°, 23.4±0.2°, 24.4±0.2°, 25.0±0.2°, 25.5±0.2°, 26.4±0.2°, 26.7±0.2°, 27.2±0.2°, 27.5±0.2°, and 28.4±0.2° [1] - The crystalline product is described as block-shaped, with complete crystal habits, smooth surfaces, high crystallinity, and good stability [1] Group 2 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation was established in 2000, located in Beijing, primarily engaged in oil and gas extraction, with a registered capital of approximately 12.17 billion RMB [2] - Sinopec has invested in 269 companies, participated in 5000 bidding projects, holds 45 trademark registrations, and has 5000 patent records, along with 41 administrative licenses [2] - Sinopec Research Institute of Petroleum and Chemical Industry, established in 2022, is also based in Beijing, focusing on research and experimental development, with a registered capital of 300 million RMB [2] - The research institute has invested in 2 companies, participated in 3932 bidding projects, holds 1653 patent records, and has 293 administrative licenses [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that geopolitical risks are driving up oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil futures prices increasing by 1.9% and 0.7% respectively as of January 16, 2026 [1] - The Iranian situation may lead to significant impacts on oil production and exports if tensions escalate, with Iran's average monthly oil production projected at 3.26 million barrels per day for 2025 [1] - OPEC forecasts an increase in global oil demand by 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026 and 1.34 million barrels per day in 2027, while OPEC+ is expected to increase production by 2.21 million barrels per day in 2025 [1] Group 2 - The "Big Three" oil companies in China, namely China National Petroleum Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Sinopec, are expected to maintain high capital expenditures and strengthen their natural gas market expansion, showing resilience during oil price downturns [2] - As of January 19, 2026, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index rose by 1.31%, with significant gains in stocks such as Jiufeng Energy and China Merchants Energy [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index account for 67.11% of the index, including major players like China National Petroleum Corporation and Sinopec [2]

该充电站是中国石化销售股份有限公司北京石油分公司首个采用EPC模式自主建设的充电场站，也是石 景山区率先落地的油电一体化综合能源服务站。除了提供传统加油服务外，站内还配置10个快充终端与 2个超充终端，可高效满足各类新能源车辆的快速补能需求。运营以来，单日最高服务车辆达156辆，日 均服务121车次，有效缓解了周边充电压力，提升了设施利用效率与用户充电体验。 新京报讯 据"北京石景山"微信公众号消息，为深入贯彻落实国家"双碳"战略部署，加快完善城市新能 源汽车充电基础设施网络，石景山区持续推进综合能源服务体系建设。近日，位于体育场南路北侧中国 石化鲁谷加油站内的鲁谷充电站正式投入运营。 项目建成投运是政企协同、共促能源转型的重要成果，标志着石景山区在构建一体化综合能源服务网络 方面取得新进展，为区域绿色低碳出行提供了有力支撑，对优化能源结构、补齐充电设施短板、提升城 市综合服务功能具有重要意义。 石景山区城市管理委立足行业主管职责，结合周边充电需求，积极协调相关部门优化流程，做好服务保 障，全力推进该充电站建设。同时加强安全管理，指导该站严格落实安全管理制度，实现充电区与加油 区物理隔离、独立运行，配备完善的 ...

Group 1 - Since 2022, the chemical industry has faced price declines due to new capacity coming online and falling crude oil prices, leading to a decrease in overall profitability as companies adopt a price-for-volume strategy to capture market share [1] - In 2024, most chemical prices are stabilizing at low levels, with profitability still under pressure; however, the introduction of growth stabilization measures may lead to the elimination of some outdated capacities, improving the overall supply-demand balance and potentially enhancing product profitability [1] - According to Huatai Securities, by the second half of 2025, the profitability of bulk chemicals is expected to hit a ten-year low due to weak demand and the end of supply-side increases, with the current downturn resembling the bottom of the basic chemical sector in late 2015 [1] Group 2 - The chemical industry is characterized as a typical cyclical industry, usually experiencing a five-year cycle that includes phases of "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement" [2] - With capital expenditure growth turning negative, anti-involution trends, global interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion, there is optimism for the chemical sector entering a "dawn" phase at the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The chemical industry chain includes several Hong Kong-listed companies such as Sinopec (600028)(00386), Sinopec Oilfield Service (600871)(01033), and Shanghai Petrochemical (600688)(00338) [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, are significant factors influencing oil prices. The Brent and WTI oil prices were reported at $64.13 and $59.34 per barrel, respectively, as of January 16, 2026 [2][9]. Oil Price Overview - As of January 16, 2026, Brent crude futures settled at $64.13 per barrel, up $0.79 (+1.25%) from the previous week. WTI crude futures settled at $59.34 per barrel, up $0.22 (+0.37%). The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude rose by $0.49 (+0.98%) to $50.39 per barrel [2][26]. Offshore Drilling Services - As of January 12, 2026, the global number of offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 377, an increase of 1 from the previous week. The number of floating drilling platforms was 130, also up by 1 [2][35]. U.S. Oil Supply - As of January 9, 2026, U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. was 410, with an increase of 1 rig [2][49]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing was 16.958 million barrels per day as of January 9, 2026, an increase of 49,000 barrels from the previous week. The refinery utilization rate was 95.30%, up 0.6 percentage points [2][57]. U.S. Oil Inventory - As of January 9, 2026, total U.S. crude oil inventories were 836 million barrels, an increase of 3.605 million barrels (+0.43%) from the previous week. Strategic oil inventories were 414 million barrels, up 214,000 barrels (+0.05%) [2][67]. Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and PetroChina [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the oil and petrochemical sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - The uncertainty in the Middle East has increased, leading to a short-term strong fluctuation in oil prices. WTI crude futures closed up by 1.02% and Brent oil futures by 1.87% during the week of January 9 to January 16, 2026 [6]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Iran and the U.S., are significant factors affecting oil prices. Iran's oil inventory has reached record levels, equivalent to about 50 days of production, due to Western sanctions [6]. - The fluorochemical sector is expected to maintain high prosperity due to supply quota constraints and favorable demand driven by policy support. The production quota for HFCs in 2026 has increased by 5,963 tons year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections Oil and Petrochemical - The report highlights the increased uncertainty in the Middle East, which is likely to impact oil prices in the short term. The geopolitical situation, including U.S. sanctions and military movements, is a critical factor [6][7]. - The report notes that domestic oil companies are diversifying their oil sources and integrating upstream and downstream operations to mitigate the impact of volatile international oil prices [7]. Fluorochemical - The fluorochemical sector is experiencing a favorable environment due to supply constraints and policy-driven demand. The production quotas for HFCs have been adjusted, with significant increases in specific categories [6][7]. - The report indicates that the demand for refrigerants is expected to grow, supported by national subsidy policies, with production of household air conditioners projected to increase by 11% year-on-year in January 2026 [6]. Semiconductor Materials - The semiconductor materials sector is on an upward cycle, with improving fundamentals and domestic substitution trends. The report suggests that there is potential for further price increases in this sector [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [5] Core Views - Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, have driven significant fluctuations in oil prices, providing a favorable backdrop for oil price recovery [1] - OPEC+ is expected to cautiously increase production in 2026, which may help alleviate the oversupply situation in the oil market [2] - Global oil demand is projected to improve, with the chemical raw material demand expected to dominate the growth in 2026 [3] - The report expresses a positive long-term outlook for major Chinese oil companies and the oil service sector, emphasizing their resilience during price fluctuations [4] Summary by Sections Oil Supply and Demand - OPEC forecasts a demand increase of 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026, with a cautious production increase expected to improve the supply-demand balance [2] - The IEA has raised its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 860,000 barrels per day, attributing this to improved macroeconomic conditions [3] Price Trends - As of January 16, 2026, Brent and WTI crude oil futures closed at $64.20 and $59.22 per barrel, reflecting increases of 1.9% and 0.7% respectively from the previous week [1] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on major Chinese oil companies, including China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and CNOOC, as well as their associated oil service engineering firms [4]

Report Overview - Report Title: Crude Oil Weekly Report: International Oil Prices Fluctuated and Rose Supported by Concerns over Iranian Supply - Report Date: January 18, 2026 - Chief Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA - Analyst: Zhou Shaowen 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report Core View The report mainly presents the weekly data of crude oil and refined oil in the United States, including prices, inventories, production, demand, and import and export volumes. It also provides the performance and valuation of related listed companies, and recommends a number of oil - related companies [2][3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Upstream Key Company Performance**: The report shows the recent performance of upstream key companies such as CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec, including stock price changes in the past week, month, quarter, year, and year - to - date. It also provides the valuation of these companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, P/E ratio, and P/B ratio [8]. - **Crude Oil Market**: Brent and WTI crude oil futures had average weekly prices of $64.8 and $60.3 per barrel respectively, up $3.2 and $2.6 from the previous week. The total US crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.4 billion, 4.2 billion, 4.1 billion, and 0.2 billion barrels respectively, with a week - on - week increase of 361, 339, 21, and 75 barrels. US crude oil production was 13.75 million barrels per day, down 60,000 barrels per day week - on - week. The number of active US crude oil rigs was 410, up 1 week - on - week, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 156, up 4 week - on - week. US refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.96 million barrels per day, up 50,000 barrels per day week - on - week, and the refinery operating rate was 95.3%, up 0.6 percentage points week - on - week. US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 7.09 million, 4.31 million, and 2.79 million barrels per day respectively, up 750,000, 40,000, and 710,000 barrels per day week - on - week [2][8]. - **Refined Oil Market**: The average weekly prices of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel were $76, $92, and $89 per barrel respectively, with a week - on - week change of +$3.0, +$3.5, and -$5.1. The inventory of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 250 million, 130 million, and 40 million barrels respectively, with a week - on - week change of +8.98 million, -30,000, and -890,000 barrels. The production of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.03 million, 5.3 million, and 1.85 million barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +30,000, -20,000, and -20,000 barrels. The consumption of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 8.3 million, 4.1 million, and 1.88 million barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +130,000, +900,000, and +180,000 barrels. The import, export, and net export of US gasoline were 130,000, 860,000, and 730,000 barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +30,000, -110,000, and -130,000 barrels. Similar data is also provided for diesel and jet fuel [2][9]. - **Oil Service Market**: The average weekly daily rates of self - elevating offshore drilling platforms and semi - submersible offshore drilling platforms remained unchanged week - on - week, month - on - month, and quarter - on - quarter [9]. 3.2 This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance**: The report presents the performance of the petroleum and petrochemical sector, including the sector's overall performance and the performance of its sub - industries. However, specific numerical data is not fully presented in the provided text [11]. - **Listed Company Performance in the Sector**: The report shows the stock price changes of upstream companies in the sector, including CNOOC, PetroChina, Sinopec, and other companies, in the past week, month, quarter, year, and year - to - date. It also provides the valuation of these companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, P/E ratio, and P/B ratio [22][23]. 3.3 Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Crude Oil Price**: The report shows the prices of various crude oils such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as their price differences. It also analyzes the relationship between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price [8][9]. - **Crude Oil Inventory**: It presents the inventory data of US crude oil, including total inventory, commercial inventory, strategic inventory, and Cushing inventory, and analyzes the relationship between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices [8][41]. - **Crude Oil Supply**: It shows the production data of US crude oil, including production volume, the number of drilling rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets, and analyzes the relationship between the number of drilling rigs, fracturing fleets, and oil prices [8][60]. - **Crude Oil Demand**: It presents the crude oil processing volume and operating rate of US refineries, as well as the operating rates of Chinese local and major refineries [8]. - **Crude Oil Import and Export**: It shows the import, export, and net import data of US crude oil and petroleum products [8]. 3.4 Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Refined Oil Price**: It analyzes the relationship between international oil prices and domestic gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices, and presents the prices and price differences of refined oils in different regions such as the US, Europe, and Singapore [9][91]. - **Refined Oil Inventory**: It shows the inventory data of US and Singapore gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. - **Refined Oil Supply**: It presents the production data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. - **Refined Oil Demand**: It shows the consumption data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as the number of airport security checks of US passengers [9][150]. - **Refined Oil Import and Export**: It shows the import, export, and net export data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. 3.5 Oil Service Sector Data Tracking The report presents the average daily rates of self - elevating and semi - submersible offshore drilling platforms [9]. 3.6 Related Listed Companies - **Recommended Companies**: CNOOC/China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina/PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec/China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), CNOOC Development Co., Ltd. (600968.SH) [3]. - **Companies to Watch**: Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), Sinopec Machinery Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3].

Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) and China Aviation Oil Holding Company (China Aviation Oil) aims to create a powerful entity in the aviation fuel industry, enhancing supply chain control and competitiveness in line with China's dual carbon goals [3][24]. Industry Overview - The aviation fuel supply chain, valued at several hundred billion yuan, is undergoing significant restructuring, impacting upstream suppliers, midstream refining companies, independent traders, and downstream airlines [2][4]. - The merger is not merely a scale expansion but focuses on "professional integration," shifting competition from channel-based to efficiency and cost across the entire supply chain [4][5]. Merger Implementation - Following the merger announcement, both companies initiated the integration of production and procurement systems, aiming to optimize the supply chain from refineries to airports [3][6]. - A joint working group has been established to assess logistics, customer contracts, and supplier lists, with a focus on ensuring stable market supply during the transition [6][7]. Market Reactions - The merger has raised concerns among midstream small and medium-sized refining companies and independent traders, who fear losing business as Sinopec's capacity may cover most of China Aviation Oil's needs [13][14]. - Some companies are exploring alliances with other large refiners or considering direct supply to airports to maintain market presence [13][14]. User Perspective - Airlines, as the end users of aviation fuel, are closely monitoring the merger's impact on fuel costs, which constitute over 30% of their operational expenses [18][19]. - While the integration may enhance supply stability and reduce costs, airlines are concerned about diminished bargaining power against a unified supplier [18][19]. Future Considerations - The merger is expected to accelerate the green transition in the aviation sector, with both companies collaborating on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) initiatives [24][25]. - Regulatory scrutiny is anticipated to ensure fair competition and prevent monopolistic practices, with the National Market Supervision Administration likely to review the merger [23][25].