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“AI比店长更懂高峰?”瑞幸智能排班引发网友大讨论
3 6 Ke· 2025-03-31 03:51
AI排班到底准不准? 近日,瑞幸"用AI给员工排班"一事引发网友热议。 有人拍手称赞"确实比店长算得更精准",也有人直呼"顶不住""只考虑出杯量没算上清洁、备货等其他隐性工作"。 争议之下的一个真相是,AI正在悄然改造饮品店。 01 瑞幸用"AI排班"引关注 近日,有瑞幸员工透露,今年开始瑞幸加强了系统排班的执行力度。新的排班体系下,要求各时段门店实际值班人员和排班系统一致。如果需要调整,可 以备注申请。 在瑞幸一线员工的描述中,智能AI排班系统会根据门店的历史销售数据预测未来的出杯量,据此安排相应的人手。 简而言之,如果门店某个时段出杯量不高,可能只安排一个人当班,以此节省人力。 事实上,不只瑞幸,餐饮行业已有不少品牌引入基于AI的"动态工时制",有麦当劳、必胜客这样的大型连锁,也有像满芳兰庭这样的区域品牌。 AI排班在优化人力调配、提升运营效率方面展现出显著成效,却也在社交平台上引发了激烈讨论:"算法能算出杯量,但能算出打工人的崩溃瞬间 吗?""天气预报都不准,AI排班能靠谱?" 那么,AI排班是否科学合理? 02 AI排班,算得到底准不准? 多家饮品品牌的人效顾问王莹表示,AI排班系统在门店应用中具备两 ...
Stripe助力瑞幸咖啡实现无缝客户消费体验,加速全球化布局
Zhong Guo Shi Pin Wang· 2025-03-28 07:25
Core Insights - Stripe has partnered with Luckin Coffee to support its global expansion, leveraging its extensive payment processing experience and localized support [1][4] - Luckin Coffee has successfully opened over 30 stores in Singapore and two stores in Malaysia since its international entry in 2023, facilitated by Stripe's scalable platform and technical support [1][4] Group 1: Payment Integration and Efficiency - Luckin Coffee completed the integration of its payment system within one month, significantly enhancing the efficiency of its overseas business expansion [2] - The one-time integration model reduces technical development costs and establishes a solid technical foundation for future market expansions [2] Group 2: Localized Payment Experience - Stripe provided comprehensive localized support, enabling a seamless payment experience that completes transactions in seconds [3] - The payment system integrates local mainstream payment methods, including credit cards and digital wallets, optimizing the checkout process to cater to consumer preferences [3] Group 3: Market Insights and Compliance - Stripe offered valuable market insights and compliance guidance to Luckin Coffee, helping it navigate local payment ecosystems and regulatory requirements in Singapore and Malaysia [4] - The collaboration emphasizes the alignment of business philosophies between Stripe and Luckin Coffee, focusing on delivering exceptional consumer experiences [4] Group 4: Company Background - Stripe is a leading global payment service and financial infrastructure provider, serving millions of companies worldwide, from large enterprises to ambitious startups [5]
招银国际每日投资策略-2025-03-28
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-03-28 03:40
Company Insights - Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) is expected to see a strong expansion in engine profit margins in 2024, with a projected net profit growth of 27% year-on-year to RMB 11.4 billion, aligning with expectations [2] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of RMB 0.347 per share, resulting in a historical high payout ratio of 55%, up from 50% in 2023 [6] - The target prices for Weichai Power have been adjusted to RMB 18.7 and HKD 18.0, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [6] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,579, up 0.41% for the day and 38.31% year-to-date [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.29%, with a year-to-date increase of 48.48% [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index saw a slight increase of 0.15%, with a year-to-date growth of 13.41% [3] Sector Analysis - The healthcare, consumer staples, and energy sectors led gains in the Hong Kong market, while materials, information technology, and real estate sectors faced declines [5] - In the U.S. market, defensive sectors such as consumer staples and healthcare outperformed, while energy and information technology sectors experienced declines [5] - European markets saw declines in information technology, materials, and healthcare, with defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples performing better [5] Future Outlook - Haidilao (6862 HK) is expected to accelerate store openings in FY2025, with a projected net increase of approximately 40 stores, reflecting a 3% year-on-year growth [7][9] - The company anticipates an improvement in profit margins, driven by a stable gross margin and operational efficiency enhancements [8] - Atour (ATAT US) plans to open around 500 new hotels in FY2025, aiming for a 30% year-on-year growth in hotel numbers, while closing about 60 underperforming locations [12]
瑞幸“包岛”:一颗椰子的全球供应链暗战
凤凰网财经· 2025-03-17 12:31
2025年3月13日,瑞幸咖啡与印尼邦盖群岛县政府签署《合作备忘录》,宣布将邦盖群岛作为生椰拿铁主要原料椰浆的专属优质原产地,并命名为"瑞 幸咖啡专属生椰岛(Luckin Exclusive Coconut Island)",这里将成为瑞幸生椰拿铁供应链的"心脏"。 从2021年全网"求椰不得"到如今日耗50万颗毛椰子,瑞幸用四年时间将一款爆品变成撬动全球原料市场的杠杆。在平均每天卖出200多万杯的超级胃口背 后,供应链战场的硝烟也从咖啡豆产地蔓延到椰林。 毕竟没有万吨巨轮护航的网红单品,不过是流量沙滩上的精致贝壳,已然穿越过周期的瑞幸,也正在把军火库架到赤道线上的椰林里——这场看似浪漫 的"包岛"行动背后,是中国消费品牌在供应链争夺战中的一场硬核突围。 当椰浆泵阀开启的瞬间,瑞幸已悄然开启了新消费品牌的全球军备竞赛。 01 从"抢椰大战"到"供应链革命" 2021年4月,生椰拿铁上市首周销量突破666万杯,频繁断货甚至把原料椰子一度带得涨价数倍,这个瑞幸的第一个百亿级大单品,不仅被网友戏称"瑞幸让 我明白了什么叫椰子比咖啡金贵",也成了一款"改变了中国咖啡进程"的产品。 在生椰拿铁诞生的次年,据咖门发布的《 ...
瑞幸等待下一个爆款
远川研究所· 2025-03-13 12:35
Core Viewpoint - The coffee chain industry is experiencing a significant shift as price wars come to an end, with Luckin Coffee focusing on cost control and operational efficiency after aggressive expansion in 2023 [1][3]. Industry Overview - In 2023, Luckin Coffee opened 8,034 new stores, which decreased to 6,092 in 2024, indicating a slowdown in expansion as the industry consolidates [1]. - The coffee bean prices surged over 70% due to extreme weather in Brazil and Vietnam, which supply nearly 60% of the world's coffee beans [3][4]. - The rising costs of raw materials, particularly coffee beans, have a substantial impact on the overall cost structure of coffee chains, which typically see raw material costs exceed rent and labor combined by 50% [3][4]. Company Strategy - Luckin Coffee has shifted its procurement strategy by directly sourcing coffee beans from Brazil, Colombia, and Ethiopia, avoiding about 15% in trading costs and benefiting from over 10% in bulk purchasing discounts [5][6]. - In 2024, Luckin signed a five-year agreement to purchase 240,000 tons of coffee beans from Brazil, more than tripling its previous procurement [5][6]. - The company has invested in its own roasting facilities, which allows for further cost reductions in the supply chain [6]. Financial Performance - Despite the increase in store openings, Luckin's operating profit margin decreased to 10.3% in 2024, down 1.8% from 2023, as rent and operational costs surged [12]. - The total rent and operating expenses rose to 8.54 billion yuan, a 65% increase year-on-year, significantly outpacing the 38% revenue growth [12]. - Luckin's raw material cost ratio decreased from 43.7% to 40.9% in 2024, indicating efforts to manage costs despite rising prices [6]. Market Dynamics - The entry of competitors like Kudi Coffee has forced Luckin to accelerate its store expansion and increase store density, with new stores often located within close proximity to existing ones [11]. - Kudi's aggressive pricing strategies initially pressured Luckin, leading to a significant drop in its profit margins [10][12]. - The competitive landscape has resulted in approximately 45,000 coffee shops exiting the market in 2024, five times the number in 2023 [4]. Product Innovation - Luckin Coffee has launched over 450 new products from 2021 to 2024, with significant hits like the "生椰拿铁" (Coconut Latte) driving user growth [16][17]. - However, the absence of new blockbuster products in 2024 has contributed to a decline in single-store user numbers, highlighting the challenges of maintaining innovation at scale [18][20]. - The introduction of new product lines, such as "轻轻茉莉·轻乳茶" (Light Jasmine Milk Tea), has shown promise but has not yet met internal sales expectations due to increased store density [19][20].
瑞幸终于赢了,但也给所有中国企业提了个醒
商业洞察· 2025-03-13 09:22
以下文章来源于刘润 ,作者刘润 刘润 . 刘润,润米咨询创始人,"5分钟商学院"课程主理人,著名商业顾问,曾为海尔、中远、恒基、百度等 企业提供过战略咨询服务,每年10月举办"进化的力量·年度演讲",为创业者企业家提供年度规划的参 考方向,一起更早看到未来。使命:降低商业的认知门槛。 作者: 刘润 来源:刘润(ID:runliu-pub) 最近,我朋友圈很多伙伴都在转发一条新闻: 泰国"山寨瑞幸"商标侵权案,法院判决瑞幸胜诉。 能在异国他乡打赢侵权官司,真是可喜可贺,恭喜瑞幸。 很多人问我,这案子究竟怎么回事?为什么我们这些年总是听到各种各样的商标侵权官司?瑞幸的故 事对我们又有什么启发? 法律方面我并不是专家,因此我请到了一位专家:靳红霞律师,她是北京市炜衡律师事务所资深律 师,在商标领域有着二十余年的从业经验。 在她的帮助下,我梳理了这起事件,以及商标知识产权领域的方方面面。 今天,我就点杯瑞幸咖啡,慢慢和你聊聊这事儿。 01 瑞幸事件 先快速梳理一下事件经过,这场"李鬼瑞幸案",究竟是怎么回事? 时间回到2022年,有中国网友到泰国旅游时,惊讶地发现小蓝杯竟然开到了泰国,于是在小红书上发 帖种草。 然而 ...
2025,咖啡赛道血拼万店
投中网· 2025-03-13 07:42
以下文章来源于惊蛰研究所 ,作者惊蛰研究所消费组 作者丨初夏 惊蛰研究所 . 探索发现新经济。 将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 来源丨惊蛰研究所 2025年开年以来,新茶饮赛道好消息不断,古茗、蜜雪冰城先后成功挂牌上市,沪上阿姨、霸王茶 姬也传言IPO在即。然而作为现制饮品另一条赛道的咖啡,却是不同光景。 下沉的不只是市场。 从头部品牌的价格厮杀到新玩家的跨界搅局,从连锁门店的疯狂扩张到精品咖啡的黯然收缩。咖啡赛 道的2025没有"春和景明",只有从"烈火烹油"转向"文火慢炖"的行业竞争环境。 当满大街的咖啡香气,无法掩盖行业的"苦味",咖啡品牌们对"苦尽甘来"的渴望也越发强烈。 但是对于国内的咖啡企业来说,上游的原料涨价只是加剧价格竞争的客观因素,来自内部友商的压迫 感更为致命。 价格战常态化,推动竞争升维 2025年的春天还没到,咖啡赛道价格战的号角就已经吹响。 元旦前夕,瑞幸咖啡发布了三条针对加盟商的补贴政策,内容包括下调原料供货价、新增学校定点补 贴、给予营业额较低门店补贴,并且三项政策已于2025年1月1日起生效。瑞幸的"补贴三板斧"看似 是为了扶持加盟商,增加线下门店的竞争力,但从另 ...
9.9元咖啡消失了
投资界· 2025-03-13 06:54
以下文章来源于图数室 ,作者图数室 新浪新闻出品《图数室》栏目。 关注我们,用数据读懂热点。 咖啡豆 涨幅超黄金。 作者 | 图数室 来源 | 图数室 (ID: sina-tushushi ) 2025年刚拉开序幕,国际咖啡市场便迎来了一波迅猛的价格飙升。2024年,美国ICE 咖啡期货年内累计涨幅约为70%,甚至超过黄金。 咖啡豆价格的疯涨引发了广泛关注,咖啡的香气依旧浓郁,但价格的苦涩却愈发明显。 咖啡馆的价目表悄然更新,九块九的咖啡曾是打工人的日常标配,如今却显得岌岌可 危。 图数室 . 消费者们发现,手中的那杯咖啡正变得越来越"昂贵"。 咖啡豆价格为何疯涨?涨价的咖啡豆真的会重塑咖啡市场吗? 01、咖啡豆涨幅超过黄金 2025年刚拉开序幕,国际咖啡市场便迎来了一波迅猛的价格飙升。咖啡的香气依旧浓 郁,但价格的苦涩却愈发明显。 咖啡豆涨价在去年就开始了。 2024年以来,咖啡豆价格一路高走——5月,交割的阿拉比卡咖啡豆期货价格在近期曾 出现显著上涨,一周内飙升12.5%,这是自2021年7月以来最大的当周涨幅,收盘价达 到每磅2.12美元。11月25日,纽约市场上阿拉比卡咖啡期货价格上涨1.54%,达到 ...
以后不会再有9.9元咖啡了
虎嗅APP· 2025-03-11 13:37
Core Viewpoint - The international coffee market is experiencing a significant price surge, with coffee bean prices increasing dramatically, surpassing even gold in percentage growth, leading to concerns about the affordability of coffee for consumers [2][6][8]. Price Surge in Coffee Beans - In 2024, coffee bean prices have risen sharply, with the price of Arabica coffee futures reaching $3.0995 per pound, marking a 70% increase for the year [6][8]. - The C-type coffee futures saw a nearly 90% increase, reaching a high of 429.95 cents per pound, the highest since 1972 [6][8]. Factors Influencing Coffee Prices - The primary driver of the price increase is extreme weather conditions affecting major coffee-producing regions, particularly droughts in Brazil and Vietnam, leading to a significant drop in coffee production [8][9]. - The International Coffee Organization predicts a supply gap of 8.5 million bags for 2025-2026 due to these production challenges, while global coffee market demand continues to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% [8][9]. Impact on Coffee Retail Prices - Coffee retail prices are rising, with examples from various brands showing significant price increases for popular coffee drinks [10][12]. - In China, the price of popular coffee drinks has been particularly sensitive, with many consumers accustomed to a price point around 9.9 yuan [10][12]. Cost Structure of Coffee - Despite the rising cost of coffee beans, they constitute a small portion of the overall cost of coffee drinks, with rent and labor being more significant factors [12][19]. - For instance, the cost of coffee beans accounts for less than 4% of the total cost of a cup of coffee at Luckin Coffee, while rent and labor costs are much higher [12][19]. Competitive Landscape - The coffee market is facing intense competition, with brands like Luckin Coffee and Starbucks adjusting their pricing strategies in response to rising costs and competitive pressures [20][21]. - The number of new coffee shop openings has decreased significantly, indicating a challenging environment for coffee retailers [20].
从价格战到 “立标准”,瑞幸想在茶饮赛道走更远
晚点LatePost· 2025-03-11 03:06
5 亿杯 "九块九" 卷向轻乳茶。 瑞幸打算烧钱补贴 5 亿杯 "九块九",但这次不是咖啡。 3 月 3 日,"鲜萃轻轻茉莉·轻乳茶" 上市,瑞幸宣布广撒 5 亿张 9.9 元优惠券为新品护航——数量上是初 代产品 "轻轻茉莉" 上新时的 5 倍之多。5 天后,新品单日销量突破 167 万杯,刷新瑞幸茶饮单日单品 销售纪录。 不同于代言人、杯袋、贴纸等上新物料标配,本次上新瑞幸在茶饮品类展现出了更多野心:在中国标准 化研究院技术指导下,瑞幸制定了 "三个 100" 轻乳茶标准(100% 真茶鲜萃,100% 动物乳脂,100 大 卡左右的单杯热量),向门店投放了 2 万多台自研萃茶机以保证出品品质。 3 月 10 日,轻乳茶系列迅速再次上新——这次是杭州钱塘产季限定的「鲜萃轻轻龙井」,以手工采摘的 春季鲜叶、传统的炒制工艺,给消费者带来 "茉莉 + 龙井" 的双重轻乳茶选择。 在构筑起数万家的庞大线下门店网络后,瑞幸咖啡开始为自身的经营品类做加法。茶饮市场足够大、且 消费者心智和供应链复用也更为顺畅。但在英雄辈出的茶饮行业,存量下的同质化竞争同样激烈。 2024 年,国内市场奶茶店数量超 51.5 万家,而咖啡 ...