Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - From August 11th to August 17th, local government bonds issued a total of 9.1432 billion yuan, including 4.9356 billion yuan in new bonds (3.0321 billion yuan in new general bonds and 1.9034 billion yuan in new special bonds) and 4.2076 billion yuan in refinancing bonds (2.8632 billion yuan in refinancing general bonds and 1.3445 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds). From August 18th to August 24th, local government bonds are expected to issue 36.915 billion yuan, including 24.8807 billion yuan in new bonds (953.9 million yuan in new general bonds and 23.9268 billion yuan in new special bonds) and 12.0343 billion yuan in refinancing bonds (4.6873 billion yuan in refinancing general bonds and 7.347 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds) [2][4][5] - As of August 17th, the fourth round of special refinancing bonds has a total disclosed amount of 435.5743 billion yuan, with 196.7218 billion yuan disclosed in 2025 and an additional 9.164 billion yuan to be disclosed next week. The top three provinces or municipalities with separate planning in terms of the fourth - round disclosure scale are Jiangsu (56.47 billion yuan), Hunan (27.8732 billion yuan), and Shandong (24.1398 billion yuan). As of August 17th, the special new special bonds in 2025 have a total disclosed amount of 44.0733 billion yuan, and since 2023, a total of 163.1246 billion yuan has been disclosed. The top three in terms of disclosure scale are Jiangsu (21.0235 billion yuan), Hubei (12.8769 billion yuan), and Xinjiang (11.886 billion yuan). The top three provinces or municipalities with separate planning in terms of the 2025 disclosure scale are Jiangsu (9.51 billion yuan), Hebei (3.9143 billion yuan), and Hubei (3.6913 billion yuan) [6] Summary by Directory Local Bond Actual Issuance and Forecast Issuance - From August 11th to August 17th, the net supply of local government bonds was - 1.37 billion yuan; from August 18th to August 24th, the forecast net supply of local government bonds is 20.88 billion yuan [10][15] - A comparison of the planned and actual issuance of local government bonds in July and August is presented, showing differences in the issuance of new bonds, new general bonds, new special bonds, and refinancing bonds [13][17] - The monthly issuance plan, actual issuance, and net financing situation of local government bonds are also shown [21] Local Bond Net Supply - As of August 17th, the issuance progress of new general bonds was 70.47%, and the issuance progress of new special bonds was 64.10% [25] - The cumulative scale of the difference between refinancing bonds and local government bond maturities as of August 17th is presented [25] Special Bond Issuance Details - As of August 17th, the statistics of special refinancing bonds show the issuance amounts in different rounds for various provinces and municipalities [29] - As of August 17th, the statistics of special new special bonds show the issuance amounts from 2023 to 2025 for various provinces and municipalities [31] Local Bond Investment and Trading - The first - and second - level spreads of local government bonds are presented, including the spreads for different maturities and the changes over time [36] - The second - level spreads of local government bonds in different regions are presented, showing the spread changes in different regions from May to August 2025 [39] New Special Bond Investment Directions - The investment directions of new special bonds are presented, with the latest month's statistics only considering the issued new bonds [42]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company reported stable operations in the first half of 2025, with significant revenue growth in structural mechanics performance testing systems and a relatively fast growth rate in electrochemical workstations. Overall, the business remains stable [2][6]. - The gross profit margin for various segments has improved, leading to an enhancement in overall sales gross margin. The company continues to promote domestic substitution of mechanical products and aims to build a high-end scientific research instrument platform [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 283 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 76 million, up 2.80% year-on-year. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 174 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.34% [6]. - The gross profit margin for the structural mechanics performance testing system was 69.62%, an increase of 3.30 percentage points year-on-year, while the electrochemical workstation's gross profit margin was 67.83%, up 2.93 percentage points [12]. Business Development - The company is advancing the development of new products, including customized measurement and control analysis systems and experimental simulation integration platforms, to enrich its product line [12]. - The establishment of Jiangsu Donghua Calibration Testing Co., Ltd. aims to provide third-party calibration and testing services, increasing market share in various industries [12]. Product Quality and Market Position - The company offers a comprehensive range of sensor products, including accelerometers, speed sensors, displacement sensors, impact sensors, and strain sensors, which are reliable and suitable for harsh environments [12]. - The data acquisition and control analysis systems are noted for their accuracy, stability, and strong anti-interference capabilities, contributing to the company's competitive edge [12]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 154 million and 202 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 38x and 29x [12].

Core Insights - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 80.62 billion from August 11 to 15, 2025, with significant investments in non-bank financials, hardware equipment, pharmaceutical biology, software services, and real estate II sectors, totaling a net inflow of HKD 130.61 billion across the top five industries [2][5][30] - On August 15, 2025, southbound funds achieved a single-day net inflow of HKD 358.76 billion, marking the highest level since 2018 [2][5][30] Industry Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.65% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.52% during the period from August 11 to 15, 2025, with healthcare, information technology, and materials sectors leading the gains, while utilities lagged [5][12][27] - The top five industries for southbound fund inflows were: - Non-bank financials: HKD 47.23 billion - Hardware equipment: HKD 37.1 billion - Pharmaceutical biology: HKD 22.62 billion - Software services: HKD 14.31 billion - Real estate II: HKD 9.36 billion [2][5][30] Fund Flow Dynamics - Southbound funds showed a divergence from foreign institutional flows, with southbound investments focusing on non-bank pharmaceuticals while foreign capital targeted media and software sectors [5][30] - From August 1 to 15, 2025, southbound funds had a net inflow of HKD 543.79 billion, primarily into software services, hardware equipment, non-bank financials, consumer discretionary retail, and pharmaceutical biology [5][45] Sectoral Trends - The report highlighted that the inflow of southbound funds was concentrated in technology sectors, while foreign capital increased its stake in pharmaceuticals and non-ferrous metals [5][45] - The major outflows were observed in sectors such as telecommunications services, durable consumer goods, and automotive components [5][30][45]

Investment Rating - The report gives an investment rating of "Positive" for the industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The optical module industry is experiencing a new growth cycle driven by the demand for AI large models, with a projected CAGR of over 50% in the short term and a medium to long-term CAGR of 20-30% [48]. - The demand for optical modules is concentrated among leading manufacturers, with the top three suppliers for 800G modules holding 80% of the market share [49]. - The report highlights the importance of silicon photonics integration as a future trend, which is expected to significantly enhance performance and reduce costs [73]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Optical communication utilizes lasers as information carriers and optical fibers as transmission media, playing a crucial role in telecommunications and data communications markets [11]. - Optical modules are primarily used for signal conversion, including electrical-to-optical and optical-to-electrical transformations [11]. Market Dynamics - The main application of optical modules is in data center networks, particularly for server-to-switch and switch-to-switch connections [16]. - The report estimates that the market for 100G+ optical modules will see significant growth, with expected revenue increases of 157% in 2024 and 54% in 2025 [48]. Key Players and Market Share - The report identifies key players in the optical module market, including companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, NewEase, and Tianfu Communication, which are positioned to benefit from the growing demand [89]. - The market for 400G modules is expected to dominate in 2025, with major clients including ByteDance, Huawei, Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu [49]. Technological Trends - The report discusses the evolution from traditional discrete optical modules to silicon photonics integration, which is anticipated to overcome current limitations in performance and cost [65][73]. - Co-packaged optics (CPO) and Optical I/O (OIO) are highlighted as future solutions that will replace traditional electrical interconnects, offering lower power consumption and higher bandwidth [78][88]. Financial Projections - The report projects that the capital expenditure (Capex) of major cloud service providers will continue to grow, supporting the demand for optical modules [37]. - Historical data indicates that the Capex of leading cloud companies has a CAGR of 26% over the past decade, reflecting a positive cycle of investment and profitability [37].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in orders on hand, indicating a potential turning point in performance for the third quarter [4][5] - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 599 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.16%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 93 million, down 51.41% year-on-year [2][4] - The company has signed contracts with a corresponding revenue amount of 1.75 billion as of the end of the first half of 2025, representing a 478% increase compared to the beginning of the period [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 313 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.01%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.49% [2][4] - The gross profit margin for the casting high-temperature alloy business was 39.4%, down 11.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin for the deformation high-temperature alloy business was 25.6%, down 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 to be 300 million, 450 million, and 650 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 47%, and 46% [4]

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨东方电缆（603606.SH） [Table_Title] 东方电缆：Q2 经营基本触底，排产加速有望奠 定下半年交付放量基础 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年中报，公司实现营业收入 44.32 亿元，同比增长 8.95%；归属净利润 4.73 亿 元，同比下降 26.57%。其中，2025Q2 营业收入 22.85 亿元，同比下降 17.13%；归属净利润 1.92 亿元，同比下降 49.56%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 周圣钧 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524120003 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 事件评论 ⚫ 收入端，公司 2025 年上半年营业收入同比增长，其中：海底电缆与高压电缆营收 19.57 亿元，同比增长 8.32%，海洋装备与工程运维营收 2.75 亿元，同比下 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 37.2 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.711 billion yuan, up 62.26% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.587 billion yuan, an increase of 47.68% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 19.355 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.459 billion yuan, up 16.51% quarter-on-quarter, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.36 billion yuan, an increase of 10.89% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The strong profit growth is primarily driven by the overproduction of the wet nickel project and the rising cobalt prices, indicating sustainable profitability [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.711 billion yuan, reflecting a 62.26% increase year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.587 billion yuan, up 47.68% year-on-year [2][4]. Nickel Production - The company’s wet nickel MHP output reached approximately 120,000 tons in H1 2025, with an annualized capacity nearing 240,000 tons, exceeding the designed capacity of 180,000 tons by over 30%. The nickel product shipment was 139,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 83.91% [8]. Cobalt Market Dynamics - Following the implementation of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo, cobalt prices have risen, contributing to profit growth. The average price of cobalt in Q2 was approximately 240,000 yuan per ton, up from 190,000 yuan per ton in Q1 [8]. Lithium Battery Materials - The company reported a significant increase in the shipment of ternary cathode materials, reaching 39,600 tons in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.68%. The high-nickel 9 series products accounted for over 60% of the total shipments [8]. Cost Management - The company has effectively reduced costs, with the average financing cost decreasing by 30 basis points year-on-year and financial expenses down by 14.80% [8].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Positive" for investment, indicating an optimistic outlook for the sector over the next 12 months [6]. Core Insights - The liquid cooling technology is positioned as a crucial solution for data centers to address heat dissipation challenges, especially with the increasing power consumption driven by AI applications [14][20]. - The report highlights the significant advantages of liquid cooling over traditional air cooling, including higher cooling efficiency, lower energy consumption, and reduced total cost of ownership (TCO) [13][26]. - The domestic liquid cooling market is projected to reach approximately 4-5 billion yuan by 2025 and 7-8 billion yuan by 2026, driven by the increasing adoption of high-power servers [43]. Summary by Sections Cooling Technology Overview - Data centers require efficient cooling systems due to their high heat generation, with liquid cooling being a key upgrade from traditional air cooling methods [8][13]. - Liquid cooling methods include cold plate, spray, and immersion cooling, with immersion cooling further divided into single-phase and two-phase types [9][13]. Drivers of Liquid Cooling Adoption - **Driver 1: AI Power Consumption** The power consumption of CPUs and GPUs is rapidly increasing, pushing the limits of air cooling solutions [14][19]. - **Driver 2: Policy Control on PUE** The report emphasizes the need for more efficient cooling solutions to meet stringent PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness) targets set by regulations, with liquid cooling achieving lower PUE values compared to air cooling [20][25]. - **Driver 3: Lower Lifecycle Costs** Liquid cooling systems demonstrate lower TCO compared to air cooling, particularly in terms of capital and operational expenditures [26][29]. Market Size and Growth - The report estimates that the domestic liquid cooling market will grow significantly, with projections of 40-50 billion yuan in 2025 and 70-80 billion yuan in 2026 [43][45]. - The market for liquid cooling components, such as CDU and manifolds, is expected to see substantial growth, with specific segments projected to grow by over 200% year-on-year by 2026 [49]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities within the liquid cooling supply chain, including liquid cooling plates, CDU, and manifold products, with a focus on domestic manufacturers [54][57]. - The trend towards domestic substitution in the liquid cooling market is highlighted, particularly for components currently dominated by foreign suppliers [58][61]. Key Players and Competitive Landscape - Major players in the liquid cooling market include companies like Invec, Feirongda, and Zhonghang Optoelectronics, which are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for liquid cooling solutions [78][84]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of established players and emerging domestic manufacturers, with a focus on innovation and cost reduction in liquid cooling technologies [79][82].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company has signed an expanded strategic cooperation agreement with Volkswagen Group to jointly develop electronic and electrical architecture, which will be applied not only to electric vehicle platforms but also to fuel and plug-in hybrid vehicles in the Chinese market. This collaboration is expected to enhance service revenue [2][4]. - The company is entering a strong new vehicle cycle with the launch of models like MONA M03 and P7+, which is anticipated to drive sales growth. The new models have already seen significant demand, with the G7 model achieving over 10,000 pre-orders in just 9 minutes [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4X, indicating a substantial improvement in financial performance due to software revenue from Volkswagen [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is deepening its cooperation with Volkswagen, expanding the scope to include procurement, supply chain, electric vehicle platforms, and electronic architecture, which is expected to enhance overall profitability [9]. Sales and New Models - The new models G6 and G9 have been well-received in the market, achieving sales leadership in their segments. The upcoming models are expected to further boost sales, with a focus on achieving positive cash flow by Q4 [9]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to turn profitable in Q4 and achieve a positive free cash flow for the year, supported by the new vehicle launches and improved operational efficiencies [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company is expected to see significant growth in overseas business gross margin due to self-research of core components and an increase in the proportion of high-end products. The precision agriculture products have expanded their application scenarios, and the passenger vehicle business has progressed smoothly with a delivery volume of 300,000 units. The company aims for a net profit of 730 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25% [2][6]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.833 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.54%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 326 million yuan, up 29.94%. The non-recurring net profit was 299 million yuan, reflecting a 41.80% increase [6]. Business Segmentation - Revenue from the resource and public utilities segment was 702 million yuan, up 3.09% year-on-year; the construction and infrastructure segment generated 659 million yuan, up 23.67% due to increased RTK market share; the geographic information segment saw revenue of 359 million yuan, up 87.61% driven by significant growth in 3D intelligent products; the robotics and autonomous driving segment earned 114 million yuan, up 43.80% due to substantial volume from a specific automotive client [12]. Geographic Performance - Domestic revenue reached 1.232 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.58%, while overseas revenue was 602 million yuan, up 35.09%, indicating a recovery to over 40% growth for the full year [12]. Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on four main growth areas: overseas expansion, 3D intelligence, precision agriculture, and intelligent driving. The overseas market is expected to provide high margins and rapid growth, with overseas revenue accounting for 29% of total revenue and a gross margin of 77.6%, which is 27 percentage points higher than the domestic market [12]. Profit Forecast - The company aims for a net profit of 730 million yuan in 2025, with projections of 756 million yuan, 995 million yuan, and 1.326 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 32%, and 33% [12].