Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the liquor industry, particularly on high-end liquor such as Moutai, with expectations of gradual recovery in sales and pricing stability post-Spring Festival [10][11][12]. Core Insights - The high-end liquor segment, especially Moutai, is experiencing a sales boost as the Spring Festival approaches, with expectations of price recovery due to increased demand driven by wealth effects [10][11]. - The report suggests that the market's concerns about post-festival price drops for Moutai are likely to be unfounded, predicting only minor seasonal fluctuations [10][12]. - The overall sentiment in the liquor industry is shifting from a pessimistic outlook to a more stable one, with expectations of improved sales dynamics as external constraints on consumption ease [11][12]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - The report highlights that Moutai's sales are performing better than previously cautious expectations, leading to a price recovery for both Moutai and newer Moutai products [10]. - It is noted that the market is still wary of potential price declines after the Spring Festival, but historical patterns suggest only minor adjustments are likely [10][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of brand strength and market positioning for high-end liquor companies, recommending investments in brands with strong market presence and growth potential [12]. Beer Industry - The beer sector is seeing a steady recovery in on-premise consumption, with companies diversifying into non-drink channels and soft drinks [12]. - The report suggests that the beer industry's performance is expected to stabilize, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing and improving dividend yields [12]. Snack Industry - The snack sector is benefiting from pre-Spring Festival stocking and product innovation, with companies like Qiaqia and Ganyuan expected to show significant profit elasticity due to low comparative bases [14]. - The report recommends focusing on leading snack companies that are expanding their store presence and adapting their product offerings [14]. Beverage Industry - The soft drink sector is currently facing challenges due to seasonal demand fluctuations and competition from ready-to-drink tea brands, leading to a slight decline in overall sales growth [14]. - Despite these challenges, leading brands like Dongpeng and Nongfu are expected to maintain double-digit growth through brand strength and market share consolidation [14]. Seasoning Industry - The seasoning sector is stabilizing as restaurant demand begins to recover, with expectations of improved performance in 2026 driven by seasonal effects [15]. - The report highlights companies like Angel Yeast and Qianhe Condiments as having strong growth potential due to favorable market conditions and dividend yields [15].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the innovative drug sector, indicating it will continue to be a core investment direction in 2026 due to the maturation of the industry chain and normalization of medical insurance negotiations [4]. Core Insights - The public fund's pharmaceutical holdings decreased to 8.11% in Q4 2025, down by 1.66 percentage points (pp) from the previous quarter. Excluding actively managed pharmaceutical funds, the holdings dropped to 3.90%, a decrease of 1.36pp [11][12]. - The innovative drug ETF reached a scale of 100.62 billion yuan in Q4, accounting for 13.11% of the pharmaceutical fund, which is a slight decrease of 1.35pp [13][15]. - The CXO sector saw a decline in holdings due to geopolitical disturbances, while the medical device sector benefited from innovations like brain-computer interfaces and surgical robots, leading to an increase in holdings [14][17]. - The report highlights the acquisition of PART by GSK for $2.2 billion to strengthen its position in the IgE antibody market, with the core product Ozureprubart showing significant market potential [2][31]. - The oral weight loss drug Wegovy has shown strong early commercial progress, with retail prescriptions reaching approximately 3,071 in the first four days post-launch, nearly three times that of its competitor Zepbound [2][31]. Summary by Sections Pharmaceutical Sector - The report indicates a significant decrease in public fund holdings in the pharmaceutical sector, with a noted resilience in the innovative drug segment [11][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with core pipeline competitiveness and global layout capabilities for investment [4]. Medical Devices - The introduction of new pricing guidelines for auxiliary medical services is expected to accelerate the adoption of innovative products in the medical device sector [3][17]. - The report suggests monitoring domestic leading companies in this sector for increasing product penetration [3]. Drugstores - The report discusses the potential for leading drugstore companies to increase market share, supported by recent government policies promoting high-quality development in the retail pharmaceutical industry [3][17]. - Specific companies like Yifeng Pharmacy and Dazhenglin are highlighted as having low valuations and significant cost reduction achievements [3]. CXO and Pharmaceutical Supply Chain - Several CXO companies have released optimistic earnings forecasts for 2025, indicating a clear upward trend in industry prosperity [2][31]. - The report recommends active investment in this sector due to the positive signals regarding industry growth [2][31].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the industry, highlighting a "golden window period" for the short drama sector, with expectations for significant growth in the coming years [2][11]. Core Insights - The short drama industry has reached a scale of nearly 1 trillion yuan, surpassing both the film and long video sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50% from 2023 to 2026 [11]. - The market for animated dramas is expected to exceed 22 billion yuan by 2026, contributing 50% of the incremental growth in the short drama industry [11]. - ByteDance is positioned as the absolute leader in the animated drama sector, leveraging its "traffic + IP + AI" integrated strategy to dominate the market [2][17]. - The application of AI technology is transforming the production paradigm of animated dramas, reducing production cycles from over 50 days to under 30 days and significantly lowering costs [3][21]. Summary by Sections Section 1: The Golden Window for Short Dramas - The short drama market has surpassed 1 trillion yuan, with user engagement increasing, and the average daily viewing time expected to exceed 100 minutes by 2025 [11]. - The market has entered a phase of rapid growth and commercialization, with significant increases in both supply and demand for animated dramas [11][12]. Section 2: AI Reshaping Production Paradigms - AI technologies are enabling a shift from manual production to industrialized generation, with production costs dropping to the thousand-yuan level [3][21]. - The integration of AI in production processes is expected to streamline workflows, reducing the number of steps from 11 to 5 and cutting costs by 60% [3][24]. Section 3: Trends in AI Applications - The report anticipates a significant uptick in AI applications by 2026, driven by the need for software to leverage substantial computational investments [4][31]. - Companies are increasingly integrating AI into their business models, with some reporting that AI-related revenues account for over 10% of total income [4][31]. Section 4: Related Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies such as DeCai Co., Zhaochi Co., and Wanxing Technology, among others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the animated drama and AI sectors [5][40].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the space photovoltaic industry, indicating it may become a new growth area within the photovoltaic sector [3][18]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry in China has achieved significant milestones in areas such as reusable rocket technology and large satellite constellation networking, driving rapid development in the space photovoltaic sector [3][18]. - Space photovoltaic technology benefits from continuous sunlight in space, leading to much higher energy generation efficiency compared to ground-based systems, making it a key support for long-term stable energy supply for spacecraft [3][18]. - The demand for space photovoltaics is expected to grow due to the scaling of satellite networks and upgrades in onboard equipment, driven by both quantity and quality improvements [3][18]. - The long-term development potential of space photovoltaics is becoming increasingly clear, positioning it as a promising new growth area in the photovoltaic industry [3][18]. Related Companies - Potential companies in the space photovoltaic supply chain include: Maiwei Co., Ltd., Yujing Co., Ltd., Xinwei Communication, Lens Technology, Aotwei, Liancheng CNC, and Shuangliang Energy [3][23]. - Companies involved in rocket technology include: Aerospace Power, Feiwo Technology, Western Materials, Aerospace Electromechanical, Chaojie Co., Ltd., Srey New Materials, and Guanglian Aviation [3][23]. - Satellite-related companies include: China Satellite, Mingyang Smart Energy, Sanan Optoelectronics, Shanghai Hanhua, Zhenlei Technology, Aerospace Hongtu, Zhongke Xingtou, Haige Communication, China Satcom, and others [3][23]. - Companies in space computing include: Shunhao Co., Ltd. and Putian Technology [3][23]. - Companies in 3D printing include: Huashu High-Tech, Yinbang Co., Ltd., and Bolite [4][23].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the petrochemical sector, with the oil and petrochemical index outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 6.87% this week [10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical risks are the primary drivers of oil price fluctuations, with current prices reflecting a rebound due to tensions involving Iran and production delays in Kazakhstan [15][16]. - The report notes that while supply fundamentals remain weak, geopolitical factors are currently dominating market sentiment, suggesting that unless there is a miscalculation regarding Iran, price increases driven by geopolitical conflicts may not be sustainable [15]. Market Overview - The oil and petrochemical sector indices showed significant weekly gains, with the petrochemical index rising by 8.16% and the refining and chemical index increasing by 7.58% [10]. - As of January 23, WTI crude oil was priced at $61.07 per barrel, up by $1.63, while Brent crude was at $68.73, up by $0.95 [16]. - The EIA reported a weekly increase in commercial crude oil inventories by 3.602 million barrels, with gasoline inventories also rising [16]. Oil Sector Analysis - The report indicates that U.S. crude oil production is at 13.732 million barrels per day, with a slight decrease in net imports [16]. - The active oil rig count in the U.S. increased by one to 411 rigs as of January 23 [16]. Refining Sector Insights - The average operating rate of domestic refineries increased to 78.78%, while independent refineries in Shandong saw a slight decrease in operating rates [16]. - The average refining margin for major refineries was reported at 761.48 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous period [14]. Petrochemical Sector Insights - The PX-Naphtha spread has decreased to $330 per ton, while PTA processing fees have increased to 402 yuan per ton [15]. - The report notes that polyester production margins are showing signs of recovery, with POY150D average profit levels rising significantly [15]. Olefins Market Overview - The average price of ethylene decreased to 5,788 yuan per ton, while propylene prices in Shandong increased to 6,175 yuan per ton [15].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a positive outlook for specific sectors within the mechanical equipment industry, particularly commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics [5][11]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is highlighted as a key area of growth, with China completing 50 launches in 2025, accounting for 54% of total space launches, and a significant increase in commercial satellite deployments [5]. - Humanoid robotics is positioned as a transformative industry, with expectations for public sales of humanoid robots by 2027, indicating a pivotal moment for the sector [5]. - The agricultural machinery sector shows positive trends, with both domestic demand and exports improving, particularly for large tractors [5]. - The report identifies various mechanical sub-sectors with differing performance outlooks, including general machinery under pressure, engineering machinery accelerating upward, and stable growth in railway equipment and gas turbines [5]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Mechanical Equipment Index rose by 2.57% during the week of January 19-23, 2026, ranking 13th among 31 primary industry categories [13]. - Year-to-date, the index has increased by 10.16%, ranking 9th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.57% [16]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector remains under pressure, with a PMI of 50.1% in December, marking the first increase above the threshold in eight months [23]. - Forklift sales in December totaled 111,363 units, with domestic sales down by 5.17% and exports up by 7.97% [23]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing upward momentum, with excavator sales reaching 23,095 units in December, a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [32]. Railway Equipment - The railway equipment sector shows steady growth, with fixed asset investment maintaining around 6% growth since 2025 [41]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, with the global new ship price index at 184.65, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.38% [43]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing, with high demand in the Middle East and OPEC+ balancing pressures expected to support oil prices [45]. Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is expected to benefit from improved steel profitability due to declining raw material prices, leading to increased demand [49]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is showing robust growth, with GEV reporting a 39% year-on-year increase in new orders for gas turbines in the first three quarters of 2025 [51].

2026 年 01 月 24 日 连锁茶饮行业研究 买入（首次评级） 行业深度研究 证券研究报告 商贸零售组 分析师：于健（执业 S1130525070012 ） yu_j＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：谷亦清（执业 S1130525080002 ） guyiqing＠gjzq.com.cn 市场扩容持续，供应链铸就头部壁垒 投资逻辑： 消费频次提升带动市场规模增长，行业步入成长期中后段。现制饮品场景拓宽，叠加对软饮结构性替代，带动消费频 次提升。按照"市场规模=目标人群数量×人均年消费频次×平均杯单价"测算我国现制饮品市场规模，伴随消费频 次持续提升，我国现制饮品市场规模有望持续增长。根据中商产业研究院数据，2023 年我国人均现制饮品消费频次 22 杯，2018-2023 年 CAGR 为 22.4%。我们预估 2024-2026 年人均现制饮品消费频次维持 22.4%CAGR 增长，测算得出我 国 2026 年现制饮品市场规模同比增长有望达 22%+。当前，行业门店数增速放缓，品牌数量呈现下降趋势，行业集中 度提升，步入成长期中后段。 供应链与产品力重塑竞争格局，头部品牌优势巩固。头部品牌凭借供应链与 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it implies a cautious outlook due to recent market conditions and regulatory delays [34]. Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant decline, with a total market capitalization dropping by 6.5% to $3.02 trillion. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices fell by 6.3% and 10.4%, respectively [10][11]. - The fear and greed index shifted from neutral to fear, indicating a decrease in market sentiment [14]. - Upcoming Federal Reserve meetings are anticipated to maintain interest rates, with a high probability of no rate cuts in early 2026 [10]. - The Clarity Act's review has been postponed, affecting the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies [2][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The cryptocurrency market capitalization decreased by 6.5% this week, with Bitcoin closing at $89,504 and Ethereum at $2,953 [10][11]. - The market sentiment has turned cold, with the fear and greed index dropping to 35, indicating fear among investors [14] [10]. 2. Global Policy and Industry News - The Clarity Act is expected to be delayed until late February to March due to prioritization of housing policies in the Senate [2][27]. - The New York Stock Exchange plans to launch a 24/7 trading platform for tokenized securities, aiming to reduce counterparty risk [2][27]. - Vietnam is initiating a pilot program for licensing cryptocurrency trading platforms, with about 10 companies expressing interest [2][29]. 3. Company News - Bitmine received shareholder approval for a stock increase to facilitate future financing [30]. - Strive plans to raise $150 million through preferred stock issuance to purchase Bitcoin and repay debts [30]. - WhiteFiber forecasts preliminary revenues of $22.7 to $25.1 million for Q4 2025 [30]. 4. Investment Recommendations - As the earnings season approaches, attention is drawn to companies transitioning to AI data centers, particularly those with partnerships with Google and significant power reserves [4][32]. - Companies like Riot Platform and Hut 8 are highlighted for their potential in the evolving market landscape [32].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the industry, indicating a potential increase in value over the next 3-6 months, with expectations of growth exceeding the market by more than 15% [40]. Core Insights - The report highlights three core logic points driving the rigid demand for CPU in the Agent era, emphasizing the shift in computational load from GPU to CPU due to the complexity of tasks performed by Agents [11][16]. - The global Agent ecosystem is predicted to experience exponential growth, with active Agents expected to rise from approximately 28.6 million in 2025 to 2.216 billion by 2030, alongside a significant increase in task execution and token consumption [16][21]. - A supply-demand imbalance is emerging, with Intel shifting production capacity to server CPUs, leading to delivery issues in consumer electronics, while NVIDIA plans to enhance CPU core counts in response to bottlenecks [33][37]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Three Core Logics Revealing the Rigid Demand for CPU - The shift in computational load towards CPU is driven by the Multi-Agent architecture, which increases OS scheduling pressure due to the complex workflow of Agents [11]. - The challenge of long context scenarios necessitates KV Cache offloading to CPU, which increases CPU load due to the need for task scheduling and data transfer [11][12]. - High concurrency in tool usage by Agents leads to significant CPU consumption, as non-model inference tasks are primarily handled by CPUs [15]. Section 2: Expansion of the Agent Ecosystem Igniting CPU Performance Bottlenecks - The number of active Agents is projected to grow significantly, with task execution expected to increase from 44 billion in 2025 to 415 trillion by 2030, indicating a shift towards deeper reliance on Agents in business processes [16][17]. - Token consumption is anticipated to surge from 0.0005 PetaTokens in 2025 to 152,667 PetaTokens by 2030, reflecting the increasing complexity of tasks handled by Agents [17]. Section 3: Supply-Demand Imbalance and New Shortboards in Computing Power - Intel's urgent shift in production to server CPUs has resulted in a decline in consumer electronics delivery rates, while NVIDIA's new architecture aims to address CPU bottlenecks [33]. - Market data indicates a growth in global client CPU shipments, with a 7.9% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 13% year-on-year increase in the second quarter of 2025 [33][34]. Section 4: Related Companies - Key companies in the CPU sector include Haiguang Information, Zhongke Shuguang, He Sheng New Materials, China Great Wall, Longxin Zhongke, and others [4][38]. - Domestic computing power companies include Haiguang Information, Cambricon, Dongyangguang, and others, while overseas companies include Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and others [4][38].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 116.06 RMB based on a 40x PS valuation for 2026 [3]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a global leader in 3D printing, with a comprehensive ecosystem that includes equipment, materials, proprietary software, and after-sales services [8][10]. - The company is expected to experience significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 6.91 billion RMB in 2025, 12.02 billion RMB in 2026, and 16.23 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +40.6%, +73.8%, and +35.0% respectively [3][7]. - The aerospace sector is anticipated to contribute nearly 50% of the company's revenue by 2024, driven by increasing demand for 3D printing in aerospace and consumer electronics [8][21]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 606 million RMB in 2023, 492 million RMB in 2024, and a rebound to 691 million RMB in 2025, with a net profit of 131 million RMB in 2023, dropping to 67 million RMB in 2024, and recovering to 72 million RMB in 2025 [7][3]. - The diluted earnings per share are projected to be 0.317 RMB in 2023, 0.162 RMB in 2024, and increasing to 0.174 RMB in 2025 [7]. Business Overview - The company has established a full industry chain covering industrial-grade 3D printing equipment, materials, software, and technical services, achieving 100% domestic control [17][18]. - The company has developed over 40 specialized materials and has a strong focus on R&D, with a research and development expense ratio reaching 22.23% in the first three quarters of 2025 [8][19]. Market Dynamics - The global 3D printing market is projected to reach 219 billion USD in 2024, with China expected to account for approximately 27% of this market [40][45]. - The company is strategically expanding into consumer electronics and automotive sectors, leveraging its technology to meet the growing demand for lightweight and customized components [8][10][21].