2025 年 08 月 26 日 皖能电力（000543.SZ） 买入（维持评级） 公司点评 证券研究报告 度电成本显著下滑，2Q25 利润转正 2025 年 8 月 25 日公司披露半年报，上半年实现营收 131.85 亿元， 同比-5.83%；实现归母净利润 10.82 亿元，同比+1.05%。其中，公 司 Q2 实现营收 67.66 亿元，同比-3.6%；实现归母净利润 6.38 亿 元，同比+3.2%。 公司 1H25 归母净利润正增长，其中 Q1 负增长，Q2 在电价、电量持 续承压时净利润由负转正，主要受度电成本下滑驱动： ①电价：根据 2025 年安徽年度长协电量签约结果，省内发电企业电 价较 2024 年下降略超 0.02 元/kwh，2Q25 安徽省代理购电价格同比 下滑 6.4%，压低度电收入。 ②电量：公司省内控股 2×45 万千瓦气电机组、控股新疆英格玛电 厂 2×66 万千瓦煤电机组分别于 4M24、11-12M24 投产，且钱营孜公 司二期 100 万千瓦机组扩建工程已于 25 年 3 月正式投产，1H25 公 司控股火电装机较去年同期增幅明显；或因受部分终端制造业用电 短期增长承 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.188 billion RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.04%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 745 million RMB, up 63.95% year-on-year [2] - The overseas building materials segment benefited from optimized layout and pricing strategies, achieving a revenue of 3.771 billion RMB in H1 2025, a significant increase of 90.08% [3] - The lithium carbonate segment saw a sales volume of approximately 20,600 tons in H1 2025, with a contribution to net profit of 168 million RMB, reflecting a positive trend due to cost optimization [4] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.188 billion RMB, with a net profit of 745 million RMB and a non-recurring net profit of 700 million RMB, marking increases of 49.04%, 63.95%, and 75.06% respectively [2] Operational Analysis - Revenue structure for H1 2025: Overseas building materials (46%), building materials machinery (31%), lithium battery materials (11%), and new energy equipment (9%), with overseas revenue accounting for over 65% [3] - The overseas building materials segment's revenue reached 3.771 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 36.80%, an increase of 5.85 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The ceramics machinery segment experienced a revenue decline of 5.01% to 2.570 billion RMB due to industry demand slowdown [4] - The lithium carbonate segment's average price was 60,300 RMB/ton, down 2,270 RMB/ton year-on-year, but still contributed positively to profits due to cost reductions [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.544 billion RMB, 1.807 billion RMB, and 1.962 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.7, 12.6, and 11.6 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 met expectations, driven by an unexpected improvement in the gas business's gross margin, which offset the decline in profitability from the equipment business [3] - The gas sales business achieved revenue of 4.59 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 14.1% and a gross margin of 21.2%, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The air separation equipment business reported revenue of 2.32 billion RMB, flat year-on-year, with a gross margin of 20.4%, down 5.0 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The report anticipates a rebound in physical consumption, leading to an increase in gas prices and higher load factors for air separation [3] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.76 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.6% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 250 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.0% [2] Business Analysis - The gas business's gross margin improvement is attributed to concentrated capacity release in regions with strong demand, successful diversification of gas business, and a continuous increase in direct sales proportion [3] - The air separation equipment business faces margin pressure due to a decline in chemical product prices, with the chemical product price index down 9.7% year-on-year and the Shanghai rebar price down 12.6% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company is 1.09 billion RMB for 2025, 1.25 billion RMB for 2026, and 1.45 billion RMB for 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 17.8%, 15.0%, and 15.8% respectively [4] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 22x for 2025, 19x for 2026, and 16x for 2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 2.9 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4.1 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 39, 33, and 27 times [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.7 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7%, and a net profit of 1.43 billion RMB, up 11% year-on-year. In Q2 2025 alone, revenue reached 2.75 billion RMB, reflecting an 11% increase year-on-year, with net profit at 810 million RMB, an 18% increase year-on-year [2]. - The excavator market recovery has significantly boosted business revenue in Q2, with a notable increase in both domestic and export sales of excavators. The company sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators in the first half of the year, marking a growth of over 15% [3]. - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 41.85%, a year-on-year increase of 0.21 percentage points, while the net margin reached 27.70%, up 1.01 percentage points, both representing the highest levels in three years [4]. - The company is optimistic about its emerging business lines, particularly the linear actuator project, which has developed over 50 new products in the first half of the year, with nearly 300 new customers added [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - The company achieved a revenue of 5.7 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 1.43 billion RMB, both meeting expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The recovery in the excavator market has led to rapid revenue growth, with domestic excavator sales increasing by 22.9% and exports by 10.2% in the first half of the year. The company also expanded its product offerings in non-excavator hydraulic pumps and valves, achieving over 30% growth in sales [3]. Profitability Analysis - The company reported a gross margin of 41.85% and a net margin of 27.70% for the first half of 2025, both at three-year highs, attributed to product structure optimization and cost control [4]. Future Outlook - The company is focused on expanding its new business lines, particularly in linear actuators, which are expected to drive growth as the excavator industry stabilizes and non-excavator business increases [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.51 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.7%, with a net profit of 2.97 billion RMB, up 40.1% year-on-year [2]. - The automation sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, driven by equipment upgrades and digital transformation policies, with the company's automation business achieving a revenue of 8.8 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 17% increase year-on-year [3]. - The new energy vehicle segment continues to grow rapidly, with the company capturing significant market shares in various components, leading to a revenue of 9 billion RMB in this sector, reflecting a 50% year-on-year growth [4]. - The company is expanding its international presence, with overseas revenue reaching 1.32 billion RMB, a 39% increase year-on-year, supported by successful projects in key markets [4]. - Long-term strategies in product diversification, internationalization, digitalization, and energy management are expected to sustain growth, with projected net profits of 5.48 billion RMB, 6.77 billion RMB, and 8.11 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 20.51 billion RMB, with a net profit of 2.97 billion RMB, and a significant increase in operating cash flow by 65% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The automation sector is recovering, with a 2% increase in the OEM market size, and the company holds substantial market shares in various automation products [3]. - The new energy vehicle market saw a 40% increase in sales, with the company maintaining a leading position in several key components [4]. - The elevator industry is stabilizing, with the company focusing on overseas markets to drive growth [4]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5.48 billion RMB in 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 35, indicating strong growth potential [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 49.7 billion, 54.3 billion, and 59.8 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth of 0.9%, 9.4%, and 10.0% respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 4.7 billion, 6.0 billion, and 6.8 billion RMB for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 33.3%, 28.2%, and 12.3% respectively [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.5 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 5.04% [9] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 12.67 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of -3.64% and -5.99% for Q1 and Q2 respectively [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 1.59 billion RMB, down 16.06% year-on-year [9] Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 49.72 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 8.02% [8] - The net profit for 2023 is expected to be 659 million RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 15.67% [8] - The diluted earnings per share for 2023 is estimated at 0.869 RMB [8] Product Segment Performance - The fire alarm and control systems generated revenue of 9.59 billion RMB, accounting for 44.58% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 45.65% [9] - The emergency lighting and intelligent evacuation systems had a revenue of 4.56 billion RMB, representing 21.2% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 17.43% [9] - The industrial fire products segment achieved a revenue of 1.33 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 46.59% [9] Cost and Expense Analysis - The operating expenses remained relatively stable, with a sales expense ratio of 13.42% and a management expense ratio of 7.43% for the first half of 2025 [9] - Research and development expenses accounted for 7.17% of total revenue in the same period [9] Market Sentiment - The market analysis indicates a strong "Buy" sentiment with a score of 1.00 based on recent reports [11][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating significant profit recovery in the coming years [5]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.66 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 42.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -260 million RMB, down 58.5% year-on-year [2]. - The "anti-involution" strategy has been elevated to a national strategic level, leading to a recovery in battery prices towards covering costs. The price of 183N battery cells dropped to 0.24 RMB/W in Q2, a decline of 23%, but has since recovered to 0.29 RMB/W by August 20, 2025, due to supply-side reforms and industry consolidation [3]. - The company's overseas sales ratio increased significantly from 23.85% in 2024 to 51.87% in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong international market presence and strategic partnerships, such as with Turkish local component customers [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.66 billion RMB, with a net profit of -260 million RMB, aligning with expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The decline in battery prices and rising costs due to silver paste price increases have pressured profitability in Q2. However, government policies aimed at reducing low-price competition are expected to benefit the company in the long run [3]. Product Expansion - The company is expanding its overseas sales and has established strategic partnerships to enhance its international production capabilities, which is expected to contribute to future profitability [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to -385 million RMB, 619 million RMB, and 1.68 billion RMB respectively, reflecting anticipated recovery in profitability due to improved market conditions and overseas capacity expansion [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.0 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.3%, while the gross profit decreased by 0.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 44.0% to 51 million RMB, primarily due to a reduction in government subsidies [2]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 510 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, with gross profit rising by 34.3% [2]. - The company is focusing on international expansion of its credit card solutions, with its flagship product, CreditXIssuing, already implemented in Hong Kong and several Southeast Asian countries. The company has also established a SaaS cloud service platform for card issuance, acquiring strategic partnerships for risk management [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.94 billion, 2.18 billion, and 2.44 billion RMB, with expected growth rates of 10.0%, 12.0%, and 12.0% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 80 million, 110 million, and 130 million RMB, with growth rates of 2.2%, 33.9%, and 19.5% [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.0 billion RMB, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, while gross profit saw a slight decline of 0.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 51 million RMB, down 44.0% due to reduced government subsidies [2]. - The second quarter revenue reached 510 million RMB, marking a 15.6% increase year-on-year, with gross profit increasing by 34.3% [2]. Business Analysis - The company is prioritizing internationalization in its credit card solutions, with successful implementations of CreditXIssuing in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia. It has also developed a SaaS cloud service platform for various financial services and signed cooperation agreements in markets like Africa and Indonesia [3]. - The company has entered a strategic partnership with SS&C for risk management, gaining exclusive rights to use their software products in mainland China [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 1.94 billion, 2.18 billion, and 2.44 billion RMB, with growth rates of 10.0%, 12.0%, and 12.0%. Net profit projections are 80 million, 110 million, and 130 million RMB, with respective growth rates of 2.2%, 33.9%, and 19.5% [4].

业绩简评 8 月 25 日公司发布 2025 年中报，25H1 实现营业收入/归母净利润 / 扣非归母净利润 分别为 +9.35%/+117.82%/+96.41% 到 43.16/1.15/1.10 亿元。单 25Q2 来看，公司实现营业收入/归母净 利 润 / 扣非归母净利润分别 +6.83%/+70.39%/+39.56% 到 22.73/0.56/0.52 亿元。考虑到 Q2 公司受关税及海运费影响，整 体利润表现相对理想。 经营分析 25H1 北美洲、欧洲业务稳步增长，线上业务增速亮眼。公司国内 /海外收入 25H1 分别同比+11.74%/+8.10%至 7.53/34.18 亿元， 25Q2 分别+17.66%/+2.81%至 4.34/17.48 亿元。内销方面，直营/ 经 销 / 电商渠道 25H1 收入分别 +5.99%/5.79%/15.98% 至 0.99/1.74/1.79 亿元，25Q2 分别+1.93%/+10.96%/+25.23% 至 0.54/1.04/0.98 亿元。25H1 梦百合直营/经销门店分别为 318/908 家，公司持续推进店态升级和品类融合，单店收入保持稳健 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 7.9 billion, 9.0 billion, and 10.2 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 7%, 14%, and 12% respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 18x, 15x, and 14x [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.927 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 309 million yuan, up 0.39% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [1] - Revenue from related parties decreased by 12.68%, while revenue from third parties increased by 1.95%, and revenue from other restaurant clients surged by 131.75% in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company experienced a decline in gross margin to 29.55%, down 0.43 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to cost-cutting pressures from related party clients [3] - The company is focusing on channel development and product innovation, aiming for double-digit revenue growth and recovery in profit margins [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the sales figures for hot pot base, Chinese compound, and convenient fast food were 1.683 billion, 492 million, and 709 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3.70%, +8.22%, and +1.22% [2] - The company’s gross profit margin and net profit margin for the first half of 2025 were 29.55% and 10.57%, respectively [3] - The company’s operating income is projected to grow from 6.148 billion in 2023 to 8.456 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.87% [8] - The net profit is expected to increase from 853 million in 2023 to 1.016 billion in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 12.49% [8]