Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for trendy toys is not a false need; entertainment is a necessity. The "Kidult" trend, driven by demographic changes, media evolution, and consumer psychology, is a long-term trend in the toy industry, exemplified by the increasing market share of companies targeting adult consumers [1][14] - The global entertainment and media industry is projected to reach approximately $3 trillion by 2024, indicating a growing market for diversified entertainment offerings [1][35] Supply-Side Growth Potential - Store Expansion: The company has significant room for growth in retail locations, with a projected increase in global retail stores from 571 in 2025, with a substantial portion located in China [2][58] - Increased Store Traffic: Domestic single-store membership is expected to rise from 145,000 to nearly 200,000, indicating potential for higher customer traffic [2] - Higher Member Spending: The maturity of IPs is expected to drive up member spending, as seen with the SKULLPANDA IP, where the cost to collect all items increased significantly from 5,922 RMB in 2021 to 47,430 RMB in 2025 [2] Demand-Side Competitive Barriers - Artist Talent Barrier: The company has established relationships with mature toy artists, creating a long-term competitive advantage [3] - Marketing Resource Barrier: The company's business model relies on top-tier brand collaborations and celebrity endorsements, which are core competitive barriers [3] - User Data Asset Barrier: The company's direct sales channels enhance its ability to control user data and market feedback, improving operational efficiency [3] Valuation Safety Margin - The company's valuation is expected to be significantly above 10X PE, given its growth stage and the rising influence of China's cultural output on its growth trajectory [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 369.57 billion RMB, 551.72 billion RMB, and 678.11 billion RMB for the years 2025-2027, with adjusted net profits of 123.76 billion RMB, 173.73 billion RMB, and 226.85 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 295.98%, 40.37%, and 30.58% respectively [4][7] - The target price is set at 359.72 HKD, based on a 25X PE for 2026 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The demand for trendy toys is not a false need; entertainment is a necessity. The "Kidult" trend, driven by demographic changes, media evolution, and consumer psychology, is a long-term trend in the toy industry, exemplified by the increasing market share of companies targeting adult consumers [1][14] - The global entertainment and media industry is projected to reach approximately $3 trillion by 2024, indicating a growing market for diversified entertainment offerings [1][35] Supply-Side Growth Potential - Store Expansion: The company has significant room for growth in retail locations, with a projected increase in global retail stores from 571 in 2025, with a substantial portion located in China [2][58] - Increased Store Traffic: Domestic single-store membership is expected to rise from 145,000 to nearly 200,000, with the opening of the first U.S. store in September 2023 [2] - Higher Member Spending: The maturity of IPs is expected to drive up the average spending per member, as seen with the SKULLPANDA IP, where the cost to purchase all products increased significantly from 5,922 RMB in 2021 to 47,430 RMB in 2025 [2] Demand-Side Competitive Barriers - Artist Talent Barrier: The company has established partnerships with mature toy artists in Hong Kong, creating a long-term competitive advantage [3] - Marketing Resource Barrier: The company's business model relies on top-tier brand collaborations and celebrity endorsements, which are core competitive barriers [3] - User Data Asset Barrier: The company has strong control over user data and market feedback due to its direct sales channels, enhancing operational efficiency [3] Valuation Safety Margin - The company's valuation is expected to be significantly above 10X PE, given its growth stage and the rising cultural influence of China on the global stage [3] Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.96 billion, 55.10 billion, and 67.74 billion RMB, with adjusted net profits of 12.38 billion, 17.35 billion, and 22.66 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 295.98%, 40.21%, and 30.59% respectively [4][7] - The target price is set at 359.72 HKD, based on a 25X PE for 2026 [4]

Group 1: Asset Side and Fund Performance - In Q4 2025, the stock allocation of active equity funds decreased to 86.30%, with A-shares rising to 73.96% and Hong Kong stocks falling to 12.34% [1][9] - The median return of active equity funds turned negative at approximately -0.11%, with about 47.82% of active funds outperforming their benchmarks, a significant drop from 76.71% in the previous quarter [1][15] - The performance of top-performing funds (P10) showed a notable net subscription, indicating an improvement compared to Q3 2025, regardless of previous performance [21][24] Group 2: Fund Flows and Market Dynamics - In Q4 2025, the net outflow of active equity funds significantly narrowed from 2178.52 billion to 1114.41 billion, while passive funds saw an increase in net inflow from 1908.60 billion to 2377.98 billion [1][21] - The concentration of holdings in active equity funds continued to rise, with increased allocations to large/small growth and large/mid-value stocks, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and machinery [2][18] - The overall average floating profit of active equity fund holders continued to rise, suggesting a gradual improvement in redemption pressure [21][25] Group 3: "Fixed Income Plus" Funds - The scale of "fixed income plus" funds continued to rise in Q4 2025, reaching a new high since 2024, with significant net subscriptions and increased allocations to sectors like non-ferrous metals, finance, and public utilities [3][31] - Similar to active equity funds, "fixed income plus" funds also increased their allocations to non-ferrous metals and public utilities while reducing exposure to sectors like pharmaceuticals and electronics [3][31] - The performance of "fixed income plus" funds indicates a potential alignment with active equity funds in terms of sector preferences and market dynamics [3][31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive recommendation for the industry, indicating an upward trend in fundamentals despite short-term fluctuations in performance [4]. Core Insights - The non-bank sector's public active equity allocation ratio has increased quarter-on-quarter, with a reduction in underweight levels [2]. - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in active equity holdings, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 117% in A-share active equity public fund heavy positions [3]. - The brokerage sector's active equity holdings have also risen, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14% in A-share active equity public fund heavy positions [5]. - Multi-financial companies, particularly Jiufang Zhituo Holdings, have shown a notable increase in allocation ratios [6]. Summary by Sections Non-Bank Sector - The total heavy stock allocation in the non-bank financial sector reached 40.9 billion yuan, with a configuration ratio of 2.51%, up by 1.03 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and an underweight ratio of 3.87%, narrowing by 0.92 percentage points [2]. Insurance Sector - The A-share active equity public fund heavy positions in the insurance sector reached 28 billion yuan, with a configuration ratio of 1.72%, up by 0.95 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The underweight ratio is 0.74 percentage points, down by 0.63 percentage points [3]. - Key individual stock allocations include China Life at 0.08%, Ping An at 1.11%, and others, with varying degrees of over- and under-allocation [3]. Brokerage Sector - The A-share active equity public fund heavy positions in the brokerage sector reached 11.8 billion yuan, with a configuration ratio of 0.73%, up by 0.10 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and an underweight ratio of 2.67 percentage points, narrowing by 0.29 percentage points [5]. - Major holdings include Huatai Securities and CITIC Securities, with slight increases in their respective ratios [5]. Multi-Financial Sector - Jiufang Zhituo Holdings has seen a significant increase in its allocation ratio, while other multi-financial companies are also recommended for their strong performance potential [6].

Investment Rating - The report suggests an "overweight" investment rating for the commercial space industry, particularly focusing on companies with state-owned backgrounds and those positioned in the core supply chain of commercial rockets and satellites [4]. Core Insights - Rocket Lab is positioned as a leading end-to-end space company, redefining access to space and applications, with a vision to build a comprehensive infrastructure from launch vehicles to space applications [13][14]. - The company has successfully transitioned from a small rocket launch provider to a vertically integrated space systems giant, establishing a competitive moat second only to SpaceX [6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the Neutron rocket, expected to launch in 2026, as a strategic tool to challenge SpaceX's dominance in the medium-lift market [6][62]. - The commercial space industry is undergoing structural changes akin to a new age of exploration, with significant growth expected in 2026, marking a pivotal year for China's commercial space sector [6][9]. Summary by Sections Company Positioning - Rocket Lab aims to redefine space access and applications, focusing on a full-spectrum capability from launch to operational services [13]. - The company has a rich history of engineering evolution, transitioning from a technology validation phase to a major player in the aerospace industry [14]. Vertical Integration - Rocket Lab's vertical integration strategy allows it to control costs and enhance supply chain resilience, making it a formidable competitor in the space industry [6][42]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions to bolster its capabilities in satellite manufacturing and components, enhancing its position in the supply chain [6][33]. Financial Analysis - Rocket Lab's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 88%, driven by its dual business model of launch services and space systems [34]. - The company has a robust order backlog of $1.1 billion, providing visibility into future revenue streams [34]. Launch Services - The Electron rocket is recognized as a leader in the small satellite launch market, with a successful track record of 79 launches and the deployment of 245 satellites [53]. - The report highlights the strategic value of the HASTE program, which serves U.S. defense needs and offers high profit margins compared to standard commercial launches [60]. Future Outlook - The introduction of the Neutron rocket is expected to expand Rocket Lab's service capabilities into the medium-lift market, directly competing with SpaceX's Falcon 9 [61]. - The report anticipates that the commercial space industry will accelerate in 2026, transitioning from speculative investments to fundamental performance-based investments [9].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the commercial rocket industry, particularly focusing on the upcoming key validation window in 2026-2027 for Chinese commercial rocket companies [1][12]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is experiencing a global resonance, with multiple medium and large rocket launches expected in China by 2026, leading to a dense launch schedule and large-scale satellite networking by 2027 [1][11]. - The success rate of rocket launches and corresponding payload capacity are critical indicators of a company's competitive edge in future commercial operations [1][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of engine design capabilities, thrust, and parallel capabilities as core focus areas for rocket engines, with a shift towards full-flow staged combustion liquid oxygen-methane engines anticipated [2][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Commercial Rocket Launch Status and Outlook - 2026-2027 is identified as a critical validation window for Chinese commercial rocket companies, with many planning to launch liquid rockets and conduct recovery tests [12][13]. - Successful completion of high payload or reusable flights will provide companies with reliability and cost advantages, potentially securing contracts with leading satellite companies [12][13]. 2. Engine Development - The majority of Chinese commercial rocket companies utilize gas generator cycle engines, with future developments expected to focus on full-flow staged combustion engines and nuclear-powered engines [2][17]. - The report highlights that successful launches of liquid rocket engines have primarily been sourced from state-owned enterprises, with only a few private companies achieving launch success [2][28]. 3. 3D Printing Technology - 3D printing is recognized as a key technology for reducing costs and shortening production times in commercial aerospace, with significant applications in manufacturing lightweight and complex components [3][30]. - The Chinese 3D printing market is projected to reach approximately 41.5 billion yuan in 2024, with the aerospace sector accounting for about 16.7% of this market [31][34]. 4. Structural Components - Structural components account for approximately 25%-30% of commercial rocket costs, with tank costs exceeding 60% of this value [36][37]. - The report anticipates a trend towards larger structural components as engine thrust increases, with a shift from aluminum alloys to higher strength, lower cost stainless steel materials [36][37]. 5. Control Systems - The flight control software is described as the "brain" of the rocket, primarily developed in-house by rocket companies, with servo systems representing 6%-10% of the rocket's value [4][39]. - The report notes a transition from electric servos to electromechanical hydraulic servos in commercial aerospace [4]. 6. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on listed companies within the system and those closely collaborating with leading private rocket companies, particularly in high-value segments such as 3D printing, tanks, servos, and materials [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the CXO sector for the year 2026, indicating strong demand and recovery in global orders [3][26]. Core Insights - Illumina's release of the Billion Cell Atlas marks a significant advancement in life sciences, transitioning from static genomic data to a comprehensive dataset that integrates AI for drug discovery [3][8]. - Regulatory developments in China and the US are accelerating drug approval processes, with China's implementation of eCTD and the US FDA's support for Bayesian methods enhancing clinical trial efficiency [3][23]. - The CXO sector is expected to see robust growth, supported by major players like Lonza and WuXi AppTec, who are expanding capacity and reporting increased order volumes [3][26]. Summary by Sections Industry Frontiers - Illumina's Billion Cell Atlas is the largest human genome perturbation dataset to date, aimed at accelerating drug discovery through AI [3][8]. - Regulatory dynamics indicate a race for faster drug approvals, with China's NMPA adopting eCTD and the FDA endorsing Bayesian statistical methods for clinical trials [3][23]. - The global order recovery is evident, with a positive outlook for the CXO sector throughout 2026, as major companies report growth and increased demand [3][26]. Capital Trends - GSK's acquisition of RAPT Therapeutics for $2.2 billion focuses on developing an anti-IgE monoclonal antibody for food allergies, highlighting the potential in the allergy treatment market [4][31]. - Novartis has entered a $1.5 billion agreement with SciNeuro to advance a new antibody project targeting Alzheimer's disease, indicating ongoing investment in neurodegenerative treatments [4][36]. Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the transition to an AI-driven era in drug discovery, suggesting that previous advantages in research may diminish as the landscape evolves [5][37]. - The demand for CXO services is expected to remain strong, driven by AI-enabled drug discovery and regulatory advancements [5][38].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The primary market for science and technology innovation bonds continues to grow at a high - speed. The secondary market's performance is closely tied to the capital flow of science and technology innovation bond ETFs, with short - term bonds expected to remain volatile. High - grade medium - and short - term bonds in hard - tech fields such as communications and pharmaceuticals will continue to receive liquidity premiums [2][4] Summary by Directory I. How Aggressive are Science and Technology Innovation Bonds? 1. Primary Issuance Scale and Structure - The primary market for science and technology innovation bonds maintains a high - speed growth trend. From January 12 to January 16, 2026, the new supply scale of science and technology innovation bonds reached 58.92 billion yuan, with bonds with a term of less than 1 year accounting for about 60%. The overall market demand for new science and technology innovation bonds has recovered, but the subscription enthusiasm is still lower than that of non - science and technology credit bonds [2][12] 2. Secondary Trading Activity and Pricing - **Rating and Industry Distribution**: The ratings of outstanding science and technology innovation bonds are highly concentrated. Bonds with an implied rating of AA+ and above account for 73.3%, and AA - rated medium - quality individual bonds account for 22.4%. The industry distribution is dominated by traditional industries, and bonds in construction decoration, public utilities, and comprehensive industries account for 38.7%. Textile and apparel, pharmaceutical biology, communications, power equipment, and non - banking finance industries have an excess spread of over 9bp compared to all credit bonds in the industry [3][19] - **Liquidity**: In late December 2025, the science and technology innovation bond ETF had a volume - boosting market, which strongly pushed up the turnover rate of component bonds. However, at the beginning of 2026, continuous capital outflows caused the turnover rate of science and technology innovation bonds to drop to 1.65% [3][26] - **Yield**: Due to the partial alleviation of negative factors affecting the bond market such as the "seesaw effect" of the stock market and the disappointment of monetary easing expectations, the average yield of high - grade science and technology innovation bonds on the exchange with a term of 1 - 3 years has dropped to 1.94%. The price of 3 - 5 - year bonds fluctuated in a narrow range, which is related to the ETF capital outflows during the week [3][29] - **Internal Pricing of Bond Types**: In the latest week, the spread between the component bonds and non - component bonds of the science and technology innovation bond index has marginally increased to 20.2bp, and the spread between inter - bank bonds and component bonds has also widened to 5.1bp. For 1 - 3 - year bonds, there is still a compression space of 17bp between inter - bank bonds and index component bonds [4][33]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The economic growth is characterized by slower steel inventory accumulation compared to previous years, with power plant daily consumption fluctuating at a high level, while inflation shows a nationwide increase in pork prices and oil prices oscillating within a range [2][3] 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Economic Growth: Slower Steel Inventory Accumulation than Previous Years 3.1.1 Production: High - level Fluctuation of Power Plant Daily Consumption - Power plant daily consumption is fluctuating at a high level. On January 20, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 857,000 tons, a 3.8% increase from January 13. On January 16, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.152 million tons, a 5.3% decrease from January 8 [5][12] - The overall blast furnace operating rate has declined. On January 16, the national blast furnace operating rate was 78.8%, a 0.5 - percentage - point decrease from January 9, and the capacity utilization rate was 85.5%, a 0.6 - percentage - point decrease from January 9. However, the blast furnace operating rate of Tangshan steel mills increased by 0.8 percentage points to 90.8% on January 16 compared to January 9 [5][16] - The tire operating rate has significantly rebounded. On January 15, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 62.9%, a 4.9 - percentage - point increase from January 8, and the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 73.4%, a 7.6 - percentage - point increase from January 8. Meanwhile, the operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions has continued to decline [5][19] 3.1.2 Demand: Slower Steel Inventory Accumulation than Previous Years - The sales volume of new houses in 30 cities has weakened month - on - month. From January 1 - 20, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 160,000 square meters, a 48.0% decrease from the same period in December, a 39.5% decrease from the same period in January last year, and a 38.4% decrease from the same period in January 2024 [5][25] - The retail growth of the automotive market is weak. In January, retail sales decreased by 32% year - on - year, and wholesale sales decreased by 40% year - on - year [5][29] - Steel prices have declined weakly. On January 20, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil decreased by 0.6%, 0.5%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively compared to January 13. The inventory accumulation of steel is slower than in previous years [5][34] - Cement prices have continued to break previous lows. On January 20, the national cement price index decreased by 0.6% compared to January 13, with prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions showing slightly weaker performance than the national average [5][37] - The glass price has ended its rebound. On January 20, the active glass futures contract price was 1,064 yuan/ton, a 4.9% decrease from January 13 [5][42] - The near - end decline of the container shipping freight rate index has widened. On January 16, the CCFI index increased by 4.2% compared to December 26, while the SCFI index decreased by 0.5% [5][46] 3.2 Inflation: Nationwide Increase in Pork Prices 3.2.1 CPI: Nationwide Increase in Pork Prices - Pork prices have increased nationwide. On January 20, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.5 yuan/kg, a 2.4% increase from January 13. The month - on - month price has turned upward [5][50] - The agricultural product price index has increased seasonally before the Spring Festival. On January 20, the agricultural product wholesale price index increased by 1.6% compared to January 13. By variety, the price increases are in the order of eggs (5.7%) > pork (2.4%) > vegetables (2.4%) > fruits (1.3%) > mutton (0.7%) > beef (0.4%) > chicken (- 1.3%) [5][54] 3.2.2 PPI: Oil Price Oscillation within a Range - Oil prices are oscillating within a range. On January 20, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $68.1 and $60.4 per barrel respectively, a 0.9% and 1.3% decrease from January 13 [5][57] - Copper and aluminum prices have declined. On January 20, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum decreased by 2.3% and 1.5% respectively compared to January 13. The domestic commodity index has turned upward month - on - month [5][61] - Industrial product prices have shown mixed month - on - month changes. Since January, the prices of glass, coking coal, coke, and steam coal have increased month - on - month, while other industrial product prices have decreased month - on - month. Most of the year - on - year declines in industrial product prices have converged [64]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 133.01 RMB per share based on a 85x PE valuation for 2026, leading to a target market capitalization of 28.5 billion RMB [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic industrial control sector, benefiting from overseas market expansion, deepening in niche markets, and product matrix expansion. The projected CAGR for revenue and net profit from 2020 to 2024 is 30% and 29%, respectively, indicating long-term stable growth amidst industry cycle fluctuations [2]. - The company is strategically positioned in the humanoid robot core actuator sector, collaborating with industry leaders to accelerate industrialization and build a new growth engine [2]. - The company has established a clear "one core, two new" product strategy, focusing on industrial automation, green energy, and embodied intelligence, which is expected to drive future growth [13]. Summary by Sections 1. Fundamentals - The company has been deeply engaged in the industrial automation control field for 20 years, evolving from a frequency converter manufacturer to a comprehensive solution provider [13]. - The overseas revenue share reached 27% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant increase in international market penetration [16]. - The company’s revenue and net profit are expected to grow at a CAGR of 30% and 29% from 2020 to 2024, respectively, with a strong performance in 2021 due to domestic manufacturing recovery [16][19]. 2. Growth Drivers - The humanoid robot sector is anticipated to see mass production starting in 2026, with the company well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [34]. - The company has established a complete product matrix for humanoid robots, including various actuator solutions, and is actively integrating resources with partners to enhance market competitiveness [44][46]. 3. Basic Landscape - The global industrial automation market is approximately 4-5 times larger than the domestic market, with higher average gross margins overseas [3]. - The company’s overseas revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 76% from 2020 to 2024, with significant contributions from emerging markets [3]. - The domestic automation market is expected to recover gradually, with a projected CAGR of over 15% from 2025 to 2027 [3]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 280 million RMB, 335 million RMB, and 402 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 14.3%, 19.6%, and 20.0% [4]. - The report emphasizes the company's robust operational performance in the industrial control sector and its leading position in overseas market expansion [4].