Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][4]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the main brand of the company experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales year-on-year, while the Saucony brand saw over 20% growth in retail sales [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the main brand's retail sales grew in the mid-single digits year-on-year, and Saucony's retail sales exceeded 30% growth [1]. - The company is actively expanding its presence in the basketball sector while solidifying its leading position in the running category through sponsorships and successful athlete endorsements [2]. - The Saucony brand is focusing on professional runners and has launched new products, including the TRIUMPH 23 running shoes, which emphasize both performance and lifestyle [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 14.7 billion RMB, 15.8 billion RMB, and 17 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [4]. - Projected net profits for the same period are 1.36 billion RMB, 1.52 billion RMB, and 1.69 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 0.49 RMB, 0.55 RMB, and 0.61 RMB [4]. - The price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 11x, 10x, and 9x for the years 2025 to 2027 [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The foundation of economic recovery needs to be consolidated, and domestic demand restoration still requires policy support. Attention should be paid to the policy signals released by the Politburo meeting in July [1]. - The property market shows a weak performance, and the supply - demand sides are both weak. In the second half of the year, more active property - easing policies may be needed to release the demand for improved housing [2][3]. - The commodity futures market is generally rising, with black - series, new - energy materials, and building materials leading the gains. The "anti - involution" policy strengthens the supply - side contraction expectation and drives the industry valuation repair [7][106]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Demand: New home sales increase month - on - month, and automobile consumption shows marginal improvement - New home sales: The transaction area of 20 - city commercial housing increased by 22% month - on - month and decreased by 7% year - on - year as of the week ending July 25. Second and third - tier cities had larger increases in new home sales, while first - tier cities decreased by 7% [13]. - Second - hand home sales: Among the monitored key cities, Beijing and Shanghai's second - hand home transaction areas increased by 4% and 3% month - on - month respectively, while Shenzhen and Hangzhou decreased by 13% and 15% [33]. - Automobile consumption: The average daily retail sales of passenger cars increased by 22.4% month - on - month and 14.3% year - on - year as of the week ending July 25. The national movie box office increased by 39.0% month - on - month, but was weaker than the same period last year. The national migration scale index decreased by 2.2% month - on - month [42]. 3.2 Production: Industrial production runs smoothly, and infrastructure construction starts remain strong - Mid - and upstream: As of the week ending July 25, the Tangshan blast furnace operating rate remained at 80.4%, the rebar operating rate rose by 1.0 pct to 43.9%, the PTA operating rate remained at 80.8%, the polyester filament operating rate in Jiangsu and Zhejiang decreased by 0.8 pct to 92.1%, and the petroleum asphalt plant operating rate decreased by 4.0 pct to 28.8% [49]. - Downstream: The operating rates of automobile all - steel tires and semi - steel tires decreased month - on - month, but the semi - steel tire operating rate was still at a seasonal high [49]. 3.3 Investment: Apparent consumption of rebar improves, and rebar prices continue to rise - Rebar: As of the week ending July 25, the apparent consumption of rebar increased by 5.0% month - on - month to 217 tons, and the rebar price increased by 4.3% month - on - month to 3433.2 yuan/ton [64]. - Cement: As of the week ending July 25, the cement price decreased by 1.9% month - on - month to 105.9 points. As of the week ending July 18, the cement shipping rate increased by 0.8 pct to 40.9%, and the cement inventory ratio increased by 0.8 pct to 62.3% [64]. 3.4 Trade: Port throughput increases, and export container shipping prices decline - Export: As of the week ending July 25, port container throughput increased by 2.6% month - on - month, higher than the same period last year. The CCFI composite index decreased by 3.2% month - on - month. The BDI index continued to rise, increasing by 10.9% month - on - month [73]. - Import: The CICFI composite index decreased by 0.5% month - on - month [6]. 3.5 Prices: Agricultural product prices decline, and black - series products lead the gains - CPI: The agricultural product wholesale price 200 index decreased by 0.2% month - on - month as of the week ending July 25. Pork, egg, and vegetable prices increased, while fruit prices decreased [7]. - PPI: The Nanhua industrial product price index increased by 4.2% month - on - month. Brent crude oil spot price decreased by 1.1% month - on - month, COMEX gold futures price increased by 1.3% month - on - month, and LME copper spot price increased by 2.4% month - on - month [7]. - Commodity futures: Polysilicon futures settlement price increased by 17.5%, industrial silicon futures settlement price increased by 9.0%, coking coal futures settlement price increased by 28.9%, coke futures settlement price increased by 13.8%, glass futures settlement price increased by 21.1%, and PVC futures settlement price increased by 6.5% [106]. 3.6 Interest - rate Bond Tracking: The cumulative issuance progress of replacement bonds this year exceeds 94% - Next week (July 28 - August 1): The planned issuance of interest - rate bonds is 5532 billion yuan, with a net financing of 4345 billion yuan. Among them, treasury bonds are planned to issue 1800 billion yuan with a net financing of 1600 billion yuan, local bonds 3372 billion yuan with a net financing of 2431 billion yuan, and policy - bank bonds 360 billion yuan with a net financing of 315 billion yuan [110]. - Issuance progress: As of July 25, the cumulative issuance progress of replacement bonds was 94.1%, that of new general bonds was 64.7%, and that of new special bonds was 59.0%. The cumulative net issuance progress of treasury bonds was 57.7%, and that of policy - bank bonds was 68.6% [8][114][116]. 3.7 Policy Weekly Observation - On July 21, the "Housing Rental Regulations" was announced to regulate the housing rental market [118]. - On July 23, a subsidy project for elderly care services for moderately and severely disabled elderly was launched [119]. - On July 23, the tax policy for goods in Hainan Free Trade Port at the time of full - island customs closure was released [120]. - On July 25, it was reported that the national general public budget expenditure in the first half of 2025 was 141271 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4% [121]. - On July 22, Chengdu planned to cancel housing sales restrictions in batches and increase housing provident fund loan support [123]. - On July 24, Zhongshan introduced measures to promote the high - quality development of the real - estate market [124].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company has signed a supplementary agreement with Grinmei to supply 500,000 tons of low-cost core precipitant products by the end of 2028, which will significantly reduce Grinmei's smelting costs by 10%-15% and enhance profitability [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the steel industry and the expansion of its efficient precipitant production capacity, leading to an acceleration in performance release [3] - The company has established a production capacity of 110,000 tons per year for efficient precipitant products, with plans for further expansion [2] Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenue for 2023 is 5,472.92 million yuan, with a growth rate of 10.88% [4] - Expected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 298.96 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 121.36% [4] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.30 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.59 [4] Business Outlook - The company is positioned to meet the demand for precipitant products in the Indonesian nickel resource project, which will enhance its market presence and operational performance [1][2] - The recovery in the domestic steel industry is expected to improve the profitability of the company's refractory materials business [3] - The overseas production capacity in the U.S. and Serbia is anticipated to stabilize the company's performance in the refractory materials sector [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6][17] Core Views - The implementation of vehicle transport regulation is expected to lead to increased freight rates and improved profitability for the company, similar to the effects observed during previous regulatory periods [2][4] - The company's self-owned transport vehicles exhibit significant profit elasticity, which could benefit from a rebound in freight rates and increased mileage due to regulatory compliance [3][4] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to declining vehicle freight rates, but the long-term outlook remains positive with expectations of recovery driven by regulatory actions [4][5] Summary by Sections Regulatory Impact - The Ministry of Transport, Public Security, and Industry and Information Technology has initiated a special governance action for vehicle transport, effective from July 2025, aimed at strict management of new vehicle market access and enhanced enforcement against overloaded vehicles [1] - Historical data shows that similar regulatory actions in 2016-2018 led to a significant increase in freight rates and profitability for the company, with average freight rates rising by 23% and net profit reaching 400 million yuan by 2018 [2] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 3,783.01 million yuan in 2023 to 4,888.02 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.99% [5][12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to fluctuate, with a forecast of 73.63 million yuan for 2025, down from previous estimates, but anticipated to rebound to 416.81 million yuan by 2027 [5][12] Valuation Metrics - The report provides various valuation metrics, including a projected P/E ratio of 65.24 for 2025 and an EV/EBITDA of 11.29, indicating a potential undervaluation relative to future earnings growth [5][12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core View of the Report - This week, the liquidity demand remained high, and the central bank's net - withdrawal in the first half - week and the rise of the stock market and some commodities led to the unexpected convergence of the capital market. The capital market shifted from loose to neutral - tight, with overnight capital interest rates rising and large - bank net lending first increasing and then decreasing. Next week, as the month - end approaches, the central bank's attitude of timely support remains, and the pressure on the capital market may be marginally relieved, but the central bank's response to large - scale open - market withdrawals and the recovery of large - bank lending scale will be important determinants of the month - end capital market and interest rates [2][11][24] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Analysis of the Pressure at the Month - End after the "Roller - Coaster" of Funds - This week, due to large liquidity demand and the central bank's withdrawal of tax - period liquidity, the capital market shifted from loose to neutral - tight. Overnight capital interest rates reached a relatively high level since June, large - bank net lending first increased and then decreased, and the primary and secondary prices of certificates of deposit (CDs) rose slightly in the second half of the week. The average weekly values of DR001, R001, DR007, and R007 changed by - 2.56, - 2.77, 0.23, and 1.55BP respectively compared with the previous week. The week - average of the capital stratification between R001 and DR001 decreased by 0.21BP, and that between R007 and DR007 increased by 1.32BP [11] - The reasons for the unexpected convergence of the capital market are the central bank's net - withdrawal in the first half - week and the diversion of bond - market funds by the rising stock market and some commodities. Next week, the central bank's support attitude remains, and the pressure on the capital market may be marginally relieved as the issuance scale of government bonds and the maturity scale of CDs decline, and fiscal expenditures may accelerate at the end of the month. However, the central bank's response to open - market withdrawals and the recovery of large - bank lending will be crucial [24][25][26] 3.2. Open Market: The Maturity Scale Will Decrease Slightly Next Week - From July 21 to July 25, the open - market net injection was 1.095 billion yuan. The 7 - day reverse repurchase was issued 165.63 billion yuan and matured 172.68 billion yuan, the Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) was issued 40 billion yuan and redeemed 20 billion yuan, and the treasury cash fixed - deposit was issued 10 billion yuan and matured 12 billion yuan. From July 28 to August 1, the open - market maturity will be 165.63 billion yuan, all of which are 7 - day reverse repurchases [3][30] 3.3. Government Bonds: The Issuance Scale Will Decrease Next Week - This week, the net payment of government bonds was 27.1 billion yuan. Next week, the planned issuance of government bonds is 51.72 billion yuan, including 18 billion yuan of treasury bonds and 33.72 billion yuan of local bonds. The net payment of treasury bonds is - 2 billion yuan, and that of local bonds is 30.76 billion yuan. This week, the net issuance of treasury bonds was 1.07 billion yuan, with a cumulative issuance of 3.8421 trillion yuan this year and an issuance progress of 62%. The issuance of new local bonds was 22.87 billion yuan, with a cumulative issuance of 3.1534 trillion yuan and an issuance progress of 61% [41][42] 3.4. Excess Reserve Tracking and Prediction - It is predicted that the excess reserve ratio in July 2025 will be about 0.97%, a month - on - month decrease of about 0.31pct and a year - on - year decrease of 0.52pct. The predicted excess reserve at the end of June is about 403.68 billion yuan. From July 21 to July 25, the open - market net injection was 1.095 billion yuan, the net payment of government bonds was 27.1 billion yuan, the predicted fiscal revenue - expenditure difference was 5.49 billion yuan, and the reserve payment was - 14 billion yuan [46][47] 3.5. Money Market: The Net Lending of Large Banks First Increased and then Decreased - Most capital interest rates increased. As of July 25, compared with July 18, DR001, DR007, R001, and R007 increased by 6.08, 14.56, 6.41, and 18.65BP respectively. The weekly average of SHIBOR overnight and 7 - day interest rates changed by - 2.72 and 0.08BP respectively to 1.47% and 1.51%. The weekly average of CNH HIBOR overnight and 7 - day interest rates changed by - 18.16 and - 7.62BP respectively to 1.56% and 1.63%. The weekly average of FR007S1Y and FR007S5Y interest rates changed by - 0.21 and 4.82BP respectively to 1.53% and 1.57%. The weekly average of six - month national - share transfer and six - month city - commercial transfer interest rates changed by - 0.1pct to 0.74% and 0.85% respectively [49][55][58] - The average daily trading volume of inter - bank pledged repurchase was 7.6986 trillion yuan, an increase of 45.4 billion yuan compared with July 14 - 18. The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange's new pledged treasury bond repurchase was 2.1359 trillion yuan, an increase of 450 million yuan compared with July 14 - 18 [60] - This week, the average net lending of the banking system was 3.18 trillion yuan, a change of 175.5 billion yuan compared with last week. The average net lending of large state - owned banks was 3.87 trillion yuan, a change of 253.5 billion yuan compared with last week, with an overnight lending ratio of 97%, a change of - 0.1% compared with last week. The average net lending of other banks was - 0.69 trillion yuan, a change of - 77.9 billion yuan compared with last week [65] 3.6. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit 3.6.1. Primary Market: The Maturity Scale Will Decrease Next Week - From July 21 to July 25, the total issuance of inter - bank CDs was 51.57 billion yuan, and the net financing was - 55.43 billion yuan, a decrease in both issuance scale and net financing compared with last week. By issuer, city - commercial banks had the highest issuance scale and net financing. By term, 1 - year CDs had the highest issuance scale and net financing [72] - Next week (July 28 - August 3), the maturity scale of inter - bank CDs will be 40.29 billion yuan, a decrease compared with this week. The maturity scale is mainly concentrated in national - share banks and city - commercial banks, and the terms are mainly concentrated in 1 - year and 3 - month CDs [82] - The weighted issuance term of inter - bank CDs this week was 7.25 months, a compression compared with last week's 8.3 months. The issuance success rate of share - holding banks was the highest, and the 3 - month issuance success rate was the highest among different terms [76][78] 3.6.2. Secondary Market: Yields Increased - Driven by the marginal convergence of the capital market this week, the secondary yields of CDs increased significantly. The yields of AAA - rated CDs of all terms increased, and the yields of 1 - year CDs of all ratings increased [96] - Compared with the previous week, the spreads between 1 - year CDs and R007, R001, 7 - day OMO, and 1 - year treasury bonds changed to - 1.87BP, 12.28BP, 27.5BP, and 29.15BP respectively [100]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leading distributor in the 3C product sector, with a diversified business model that benefits from opportunities in the AI-driven consumer electronics industry and value chain restructuring [1][12]. - The company has experienced a short-term revenue decline but is expected to benefit from a recovery in the smartphone market and the growth of its e-commerce business [2][20]. - The company has established a strong marketing network and deep partnerships with major smartphone brands, which positions it well for future growth [43][59]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview and Business Diversification - The company has expanded its business from mobile phone distribution to include smart terminal sales, e-commerce, lottery, mobile internet, and mobile resale, becoming a large conglomerate [1][12]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 840.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.38% year-on-year, and a net profit of 31.18 million yuan, down 62.72% year-on-year [20]. 2. Smartphone Market Recovery and E-commerce Opportunities - The global smartphone market is projected to recover in 2024, with a 7% increase in shipments compared to 2023, reaching 1.22 billion units [2][29]. - The company has a well-established distribution network and is actively expanding its e-commerce presence, with a significant increase in the number of stores under its e-commerce subsidiary, reaching 446 stores, an 80% increase from 2023 [2][52]. 3. Strategic Partnerships and Channel Development - The company maintains deep partnerships with leading smartphone brands such as Apple, Huawei, and Samsung, which enhances its market position [43][45]. - The company has developed a comprehensive marketing network in China, with over 2,311 managed stores and a strong online presence through platforms like JD.com and Douyin [43][45]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in net profit, with projections of 0.01 billion yuan in 2025, 0.64 billion yuan in 2026, and 0.94 billion yuan in 2027 [59]. - The report emphasizes the company's significant scale advantages and its successful expansion into e-commerce, supporting the "Hold" investment rating [59].

固定收益 | 固定收益专题 基金转债持仓分析 证券研究报告 25Q2，类底仓转债方向分化 2025Q2 公募基金转债持仓概览 2025Q2，权益市场延续旺势，债市震荡，股票及混合型基金业绩整体亮 眼，纯债型基金业绩偏弱；权益指数类基金份额微增，纯债型及被动指数 型债基份额明显上升。公募基金"落袋为安"情绪浓厚，持有股债主流资 产市值占比下降，持债市值环比上涨 7.69%至 21.21 万亿元，债券仓位占 比 57.79%，环比下降 0.40pct。 伴随转债赎回潮，2025Q2 公募基金持有转债市值环比继续微降，但转债 参与度继续上升。全市场持有转债的公募基金数量在 25Q2 末降至 2229 只，与 23Q3 持平；持有转债市值占存续转债余额衡量的比例环比提升 0.81pct 至 41.65%，由转债价格上涨和转债市场缩量共同驱动。 2025Q2，二级债基继续减仓转债，一级债基持有转债市值创历史新高。 2025Q2 持有转债市值环比下降 8.66%至 858.67 亿元，为 2021Q4 以 来最低水平；一级债基持有转债市值环比大幅增长 9.26%至 726.56 亿 元，创历史新高；转债基金持有转债市值环 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The global autoimmune disease treatment market is projected to exceed $100 billion, with an estimated market size of approximately $107.9 billion in 2024, expected to grow to $137.59 billion by 2033. The prevalence of autoimmune diseases is estimated to affect about 7.6% to 9.4% of the global population, leading to a long-term medication requirement for patients [3] - The leading drug in the autoimmune market for 2024 is Dupilumab, with sales of $14.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23%. The highest clinical demand is noted for atopic dermatitis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, systemic lupus erythematosus, and inflammatory bowel disease, which have high prevalence rates and complex disease courses [3] - Significant growth in overseas licensing for China's autoimmune sector is observed, with a total transaction amount of $9.132 billion from 2017 to 2024, where 2024 alone accounts for $3.108 billion, representing about one-third of the total, showing a notable increase compared to previous years [4] - Major business development transactions include Roche's acquisition of Telavant for $7.1 billion, Pfizer's acquisition of Arena for approximately $6.7 billion, and Takeda's acquisition of Nimbus for $4 billion, highlighting the substantial deal sizes in the autoimmune sector [4] Recommendations - Companies to watch include Yifang Bio, TianKang, CloudTop, Kexing Pharmaceutical, Zai Lab, Hengrui Medicine, Kangzhe Pharmaceutical, Sanofi, Innovent Biologics, Xiansheng Pharmaceutical, Lizhu Group, Zhixiang Jintai, China Antibody, and Chuanxin Biotech [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7][18]. Core Views - The company experienced a temporary decline in mid-year performance but is expected to release significant potential due to a strong order backlog [1][2]. - The company has secured two large orders this year, totaling approximately 47.45 billion, indicating a positive outlook for the Singapore market and continued order fulfillment [2]. - The gross margin has improved significantly, and cash flow remains at a healthy level, with a net cash inflow of 877 million in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 213 million for the first half of 2025, maintaining a strong commitment to shareholder returns [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.683 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 41%, and a net profit of 161 million, down 32% [1]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 16.9%, an increase of 5.89 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 9.63%, up 1.34 percentage points [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 877 million, a decrease of 282 million year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 145% [3]. Order Backlog and Market Outlook - As of mid-2025, the company has an uncompleted contract amount of 6.1 billion, indicating a robust order backlog [2]. - The company is optimistic about the semiconductor industry in Southeast Asia, driven by increased demand from AI applications [4]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 528 million, 797 million, and 844 million respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 10, and 9.6 [4]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly in 2024, with a projected increase of 68.09% [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The macro - policy tone is expected to continue the characteristics of expansionary neutrality. The demands for stabilizing growth, expanding domestic demand, and stabilizing expectations remain. The meeting may emphasize policy continuity, and the necessity of strong stimulus may decline. It will also use the current window period to accelerate structural adjustment and industrial reform [1][15]. - Different policy areas may have various focuses, including "anti - involution" policies, fiscal policies, monetary policies, real estate policies, and consumption policies [16]. - After the July Politburo meeting, the bond market interest rates often show a trend of first falling and then rising, but the specific trend depends on the macro - economic situation and policy paradigm evolution [26]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. 7 - month Politburo Meeting Preview - **Economic Situation**: In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year - on - year, showing resilience. However, there are still economic pressures such as insufficient effective demand, a weak real estate market, low - level prices, and external uncertainties [14]. - **Policy Focuses** - **"Anti - involution" Policy**: Due to over - expansion of production capacity in some industries and price wars, the PPI has been negative for 33 consecutive months. The July Politburo meeting may focus on this policy to promote domestic structural adjustment, optimize supply, and prevent risks [16]. - **Fiscal Policy**: Considering the easing of Sino - US tariff games and the 5.3% GDP growth in the first half, it is expected to continue the tone of the April meeting, emphasizing the issuance and use of local government special bonds and ultra - long - term special treasury bonds. Attention should be paid to new policy - based financial instruments [18]. - **Monetary Policy**: It is expected to maintain a "moderately loose" tone, providing sufficient liquidity and coordinating with fiscal policies. The probability of an interest - rate cut in the short term may be low, and attention should be paid to the expansion of structural monetary policy tools [20]. - **Real Estate Policy**: In the first half of the year, real estate sales and investment were weak. In the second half, loose policies may be expected, focusing on releasing demand (such as lowering provident fund loan interest rates and relaxing purchase restrictions in core cities) and optimizing supply (such as improving the acquisition policy of existing commercial housing and financing mechanisms) [21][22]. - **Consumption Policy**: The contribution rate of domestic demand to economic growth has been increasing. The July Politburo meeting may continue to emphasize the importance of expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption. In the second half, consumption policies may continue to exert force, such as implementing "two new" policies, developing service consumption, and increasing the income of low - and middle - income groups [23]. - **Bond Market Performance**: After the July Politburo meeting, bond market interest rates often show a trend of first falling and then rising. From 2013 - 2024, on T + 5 days, the average 1 - year treasury bond interest rate decreased by 4BP, and the 10 - year treasury bond interest rate decreased by 1BP; on T + 30 days, the average 1 - year treasury bond interest rate increased by 4BP, and the 10 - year treasury bond interest rate increased by 1BP [26]. 2. 2024: Policy Tone Continues Positive Orientation, Bond Market Maintains Volatility - **Policy**: The meeting proposed that macro - policies should "continue to exert force and be more effective", emphasizing policy continuity. Fiscal policies focused on accelerating the issuance and use of special bonds and using ultra - long - term special treasury bonds; monetary policies aimed to increase support for the real economy [28][30]. - **Bond Market**: After the meeting, on T + 30 days, the 1Y and 10Y treasury bond yields increased by 6BP and 2BP respectively [28]. 3. 2022: Policy Intensity Slows Down, Economic Targets are Weakened, Interest Rates Decline - **Policy**: Compared with the April meeting, the judgment of economic downward pressure was alleviated. The meeting no longer emphasized achieving the annual economic growth target. Fiscal policies focused on using local government special bond funds, and monetary policies focused on implementing existing policies [35][37]. - **Bond Market**: After the meeting, on T + 30 days, bond market interest rates were in a downward trend, especially after the central bank unexpectedly cut OMO and MLF interest rates by 10BP in August [35]. 4. 2021: Policy Shifts from Structural Adjustment to Growth Stabilization, Bond Market Consolidates in a Range - **Policy**: The economic situation judgment changed, and the task of "stabilizing growth" took precedence over "structural adjustment". Fiscal policies were more proactive, accelerating local government bond issuance. Monetary policies focused on supporting small and medium - sized enterprises and difficult industries [42][49]. - **Bond Market**: After the meeting, the 10 - year treasury bond yield showed a trend of first falling and then rising, and the short - end yield had a larger callback amplitude in the third quarter [52].