证券研究报告·北交所公司点评报告·交通运输 路斯股份（920419） 2025 三季报点评：25Q3 业绩环比改善，持续 加大国内外市场开拓 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 696.31 | 777.64 | 873.17 | 980.45 | 1,094.32 | | 同比 | 26.82 | 11.68 | 12.29 | 12.29 | 11.61 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 68.40 | 78.36 | 68.79 | 80.43 | 94.12 | | 同比 | 58.58 | 14.57 | (12.21) | 16.91 | 17.02 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.91 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.26 | 23.80 | 27.11 | 23.18 | 19.81 | [Table_Su ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The profitability of the company's jacket structures is under short-term pressure, but a profit turning point is anticipated in 2026 [1] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 downwards due to lower-than-expected profitability in Q3 2025, while the 2026 profit forecast has been raised due to optimistic growth in domestic offshore wind installations and active overseas market expansion [1] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to increase significantly from 1,355 million RMB in 2024 to 6,230 million RMB in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 291.43% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 66.11 million RMB in 2024 to 920.46 million RMB in 2026, with a year-on-year growth of 668.30% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.30 RMB in 2024 to 4.23 RMB in 2026 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 285.09 in 2024 to 20.48 in 2026 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.61 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, up 24.9% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 420 million yuan, an increase of 27.7% year-on-year. The gross margin was 28.6%, down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The data center business is experiencing steady growth, with significant demand recovery in the energy storage sector. The company has established ODM cooperation with overseas and leading UPS customers, achieving substantial breakthroughs in the North American market. New products, including the 800V-HVDC, are expected to enhance market share [8] - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid growth in the charging pile and energy storage industries, with profit elasticity anticipated due to its product, research, and channel advantages. The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 590 million, 870 million, and 1.25 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 42, 28, and 20 times [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 5.53 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 32.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 589 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 49.48% [1][9] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 490 million yuan, a significant increase of 195.9% year-on-year, indicating improved cash flow management [8] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow to 10.85 billion yuan by 2026, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 41.70% [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported an increase in export orders leading to improved performance in Q3 2025, with a significant quarter-on-quarter revenue increase of 35.03% [7] - The overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 799 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 20 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 77.57% [7] - The gross margin improved to 10.33% in Q3 2025, up by 5.10 percentage points from the previous quarter, driven by higher overseas orders [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 due to intense competition in the photovoltaic industry, with expected net profits of 31 million yuan in 2025, 53 million yuan in 2026, and 75 million yuan in 2027 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023 is 1,284.99 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.86% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 193.61 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 63.48% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 2.16 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.41 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 2,239 million yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 34.20% [6][8] - The cash flow from operating activities is expected to be negative at -521 million yuan in 2025, indicating potential liquidity challenges [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The approval cycle for LED products has been extended, slightly affecting export rhythm in Q3, but a significant increase in both volume and profit is expected in Q4 [9] - Q3 performance met market expectations, with revenue of 5.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 510 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 82% [9] - The company anticipates a strong Q4 with an expected shipment of over 200 million units, representing a 20% quarter-on-quarter increase, leading to an annual shipment of 700 million units, a year-on-year increase of 60% [9] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to reach 6.756 billion yuan in 2024, 8.361 billion yuan in 2025, and 9.722 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.38%, 23.75%, and 16.29% respectively [1][10] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 487.84 million yuan in 2024, 724.87 million yuan in 2025, and 1 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 246.43%, 48.59%, and 37.97% respectively [1][10] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.42 yuan in 2024, 0.63 yuan in 2025, and 0.87 yuan in 2026 [1][10] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 18.43 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 21.26 billion yuan [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 43.59 for 2024, 29.34 for 2025, and 21.26 for 2026 [10] Operational Insights - The company shipped nearly 180 million units in Q3, maintaining a stable quarter-on-quarter performance [9] - The gross margin for Q3 was 19.8%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [9] - The company has seen a decrease in operating expenses, with a total of 460 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, down 1.9% year-on-year [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated high growth in performance, driven by industry recovery and product structure upgrades. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.618 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 84.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 664 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [7] - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 28.9%, with a net profit margin of 18.9%. The report highlights that the improvement in profitability is attributed to the recovery in the wind power bearing industry and the optimization of the product structure [7] - The report projects significant growth in net profit for 2025 and 2026, with estimates of 840 million yuan and 1.18 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2.946 billion yuan in 2024, 4.870 billion yuan in 2025, 6.289 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.677 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 65.38 million yuan in 2024, 842.02 million yuan in 2025, 1.18398 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.45199 billion yuan in 2027, showcasing a robust growth trajectory [8] - The report indicates a dynamic P/E ratio of 25.64 for 2025, 18.24 for 2026, and 14.87 for 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation relative to future earnings [7][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has diversified its production capacity and maintained a high proportion of overseas sales, which increased from approximately 24% in 2024 to 51% in 2025 [7] - The company is facing short-term profit pressure in its battery segment, but industry improvements are expected as competition stabilizes [7] - The company has a strong cash position with sufficient liquidity, despite experiencing negative operating cash flow in recent quarters [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 18.657 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 60.90%. However, a decline of 46.66% is expected in 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 815.64 million in 2023, with a significant drop to -591.11 million in 2024, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 2.79 in 2023, dropping to -2.02 in 2024, and recovering to 4.36 by 2027 [1] Operational Insights - The company shipped approximately 22GW in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6%, with Q3 shipments estimated at 8.1GW, up 11% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 0.7%, showing a slight improvement from previous quarters [7] - The company is actively investing in technology, with a new battery efficiency improvement project showing promising results [7] Market Positioning - The company is expanding its market presence in India and Turkey, where demand remains strong, and is working on a joint project in Turkey to enhance production capacity [7] - The company is also addressing potential risks related to international trade and tariff policies, particularly concerning its operations in Oman [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 slightly exceeded expectations, with significant contributions from electric vehicle (EV) circuit breakers [3][10] - The growth of the company's new energy circuit breakers is relatively stable, and data center circuit breakers are expected to bring additional growth [3][10] - The company has increased its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 due to the robust growth in new energy circuit breakers and the potential for data center circuit breakers to contribute to revenue [10] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33% [10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2025 was 100 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36% [10] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 41%, with a net profit margin of 17.6% [10] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to reach 1,060 million yuan in 2023, 1,421 million yuan in 2024, and 2,111 million yuan in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.41%, 34.11%, and 48.53% respectively [1][11] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 116.98 million yuan in 2023, 186.94 million yuan in 2024, and 358.19 million yuan in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of -23.94%, 59.80%, and 91.61% respectively [1][11] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company holds the largest market share in domestic EV circuit breakers, benefiting from the industry's high growth [10] - The penetration rate of incentive circuit breakers is continuously increasing, with expected revenue growth of over 70% for the company's vehicle circuit breakers in Q3 2025 [10] - The demand for circuit breakers in independent energy storage is expected to drive significant growth in the second half of the year [3][10]

证券研究报告·北交所公司点评报告·光学光电子 戈碧迦（920438） 2025 年三季报点评：业绩反转基本确立，玻 璃载板获订单超亿元 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 808.34 | 566.20 | 606.38 | 814.29 | 1,183.19 | | 同比（%） | 88.26 | (29.95) | 7.10 | 34.29 | 45.30 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 104.21 | 70.25 | 54.07 | 96.36 | 185.30 | | 同比（%） | 127.37 | (32.59) | (23.03) | 78.22 | 92.30 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 0.67 | 1.28 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 56.10 | 83.21 | 108.12 | 60.67 | 31.55 | ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电网设备 金盘科技（688676） 2025 年三季报点评：业绩符合市场预期，加 码布局 SST 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,668 | 6,901 | 8,838 | 10,843 | 12,929 | | 同比（%） | 40.50 | 3.50 | 28.07 | 22.69 | 19.24 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 504.66 | 574.42 | 783.79 | 1,037.58 | 1,318.38 | | 同比（%） | 78.15 | 13.82 | 36.45 | 32.38 | 27.06 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.70 | 2.26 | 2.87 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 61.50 | 54.03 | 39.60 | 29.91 | 23.54 | [Table_Tag ...